Credit Rating Presentation
Denver Public Schools General Obligation Bonds
Tax-Exempt, Series 2012B Taxable Qualified Zone Academy Bonds, Series 2012C Taxable Refunding Bonds, Series 2012D
November 14, 2012
Credit Rating Presentation Denver Public Schools General Obligation - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Credit Rating Presentation Denver Public Schools General Obligation Bonds Tax-Exempt, Series 2012B Taxable Qualified Zone Academy Bonds, Series 2012C Taxable Refunding Bonds, Series 2012D November 14, 2012 Presentation Participants General
Tax-Exempt, Series 2012B Taxable Qualified Zone Academy Bonds, Series 2012C Taxable Refunding Bonds, Series 2012D
November 14, 2012
1
DENVER PUBLIC SCHOOLS GENERAL OBLIGATION BONDS, SERIES 2012 B – D
1
Denver Public Schools Tom Boasberg, Superintendent David Suppes, Chief Operating Officer David Hart, Chief Financial Officer Charles Garcia, Financial Planning and Analysis Chuck Carpenter, Senior Manager of Finance Scott Smith, Senior Manager of Financial Planning and Analysis Kathy Rinkel, Executive Director of Finance Financial Advisor (Fiscal Strategies Group, Inc.) David Paul Series 2012 C& D Bookrunning Underwriter (RBC Capital Markets) Dan O’Connell, Director Rudy Andras, Vice President Series 2012 E Bookrunning Underwriter (Stifel Nicolaus) Josh Benninghoff, Managing Director
General Obligation Bonds, Series 2012 B – D
2
DENVER PUBLIC SCHOOLS GENERAL OBLIGATION BONDS, SERIES 2012 B – D
2
3
DENVER PUBLIC SCHOOLS GENERAL OBLIGATION BONDS, SERIES 2012 B – D
Taxable Taxable Tax-Exempt Tax Status General Obligation General Obligation General Obligation Security Refund remaining callable portion of Series 2004 and Series 2004C Bonds New Money for school construction and improvements New Money for school construction and improvements Purpose 2035 Bullet w/ Funded Sinking Fund $16.000 million Series 2012C 2013 – 2022 Serial & 2025 and 2028 Term Bonds 2013 – 2032 Serial Bonds Structure* $67.235 million $450.000 million Par Amount* Series 2012D Series 2012B
* Preliminary, subject to change
AA- Aa2 AA+ Underlying Ratings AA- Aa2 NR State Intercept Ratings S&P Moody’s Fitch
within the boundaries of the District is subject to ad valorem property taxation without limitation as to rate.
4
DENVER PUBLIC SCHOOLS GENERAL OBLIGATION BONDS, SERIES 2012 B – D
4
VOTER SUPPORT
tax environment
STRONG FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE
ENROLLMENT AND GRADUATION ON THE RISE
TAX BASE WHICH SUPPORTS G.O. BOND REPAYMENT
MISSION SUCCESS
5
DENVER PUBLIC SCHOOLS GENERAL OBLIGATION BONDS, SERIES 2012 B – D
5
6
DENVER PUBLIC SCHOOLS GENERAL OBLIGATION BONDS, SERIES 2012 B – D
Mission Statement: To provide all students the opportunity to achieve the knowledge and skills necessary to become contributing citizens in our society Board of Education: Seven elected members (two of which are elected at-large) Superintendent: Tom Boasberg – appointed in January 2009 Student Base 1: Estimated Fall 2012 Funded Pupil Count of 76,438 students; Estimated Fall 2012 Enrollment for budget purposes is 83,230 students. DPS updated 2012 enrollment forecast of 84,134. Official count is expected on or around November 17. Employees: 14,469 total employees – 10,019 full-time and 4,550 part-time time Facilities: 72 elementary schools, 15 K-8 schools, 21 middle schools, 22 high schools, 11 alternative education centers, one adult opportunity school and seven additional education centers and seven support buildings Charter Schools: 41 charter schools, including six new charter schools in School Year 2012-2013; 21 charter schools using district facilities
DPS is the Second Largest School District in Colorado
1 Funded Pupil Count per CDE forecast with ECE=0 and K=.5. Enrollment per DPS forecast of ECE and K=1
7
DENVER PUBLIC SCHOOLS GENERAL OBLIGATION BONDS, SERIES 2012 B – D
7
community members
DPS Foundation Tax Increment Financing Agreements with Denver Urban Renewal Authority
City and County of Denver
strengthen ties within neighborhoods
parents and improvement grants to pre-schools; 0012% sales tax, in FY 2013 this will generate approximately $5.25 million, providing assistance to 2,492 preschool age kids within DPS; Approved by Denver voters in 2006
8
DENVER PUBLIC SCHOOLS GENERAL OBLIGATION BONDS, SERIES 2012 B – D
for School Year 2011-12 has more than doubled from School Year 2004-05. Students achieving a score of 3, 4
2004-05: 870 students 2011-12: 1,829
in proficiency in all tested areas (math, reading, science and writing) in the past 7 years AP Tests With Score of 3, 4 or 5 CSAP Growth: District vs. State – All Grades
Achievement Continues to Improve Across All Grades
870 954 1,061 1,071 1,178 1,579 1,584 1,829 200 400 600 800 1,000 1,200 1,400 1,600 1,800 2,000
04/05 05/06 06/07 07/08 08/09 09/10 10/11 11/12
Change in TCAP % Proficient: DPS vs. State
12% 14% 11% 11% 2% 4%
0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% 14% 16% Reading Math Writing Science DPS (2005-2012) State* (2005-2012)
*State data does not include DPS
9
DENVER PUBLIC SCHOOLS GENERAL OBLIGATION BONDS, SERIES 2012 B – D
67,521 67,663 69,394 72,115 72,770 75,005 77,276 62,000 64,000 66,000 68,000 70,000 72,000 74,000 76,000 78,000 80,000
06/07 07/08 08/09 09/10 10/11 11/12 12/13*
Funded Pupil Count
Stable Enrollment Growth and Increasing Graduation Rate
– School Year 2012-13 estimated enrollment is up 1.7% from School Year 2011-12 – Average annual increase is 2% – Enrollment forecast predicts significant growth through School Year 2016-17
– Average annual increase is 4% – School Year 2011-12 Graduation Rate is up 8% from 2010-11
*Estimated figure; official count is expected to be available November 17, 2012
Graduation Count
2,642 2,796 2,857 2,893 3,245 3,373 3,414 2000 2200 2400 2600 2800 3000 3200 3400 3600 05/06 06/07 07/08 08/09 09/10 10/11 11/12*
*Preliminary Data
1 Colorado Department of Education Pupil Membership Count among large Colorado school districts,
2008-09 to 2011-12
Enrollment
73,399 73,866 75,269 78,352 79,423 81,870 83,230 68,000 70,000 72,000 74,000 76,000 78,000 80,000 82,000 84,000
06/07 07/08 08/09 09/10 10/11 11/12 12/13* *Estimated figure; official count is expected to be available November 17, 2012
10
DENVER PUBLIC SCHOOLS GENERAL OBLIGATION BONDS, SERIES 2012 B – D
10
DPS has been successful soliciting outside funding for district priorities
Foundation) and new TIF Grant (Federal)
and Michael and Susan Dell Foundation)
(Title I, i 3)
Top State Funding and Colorado Legacy Foundation)
and Michael Dell Foundation)
Grant and Walton Family Foundation) Major Initiatives Funded by Grants
Summary of Grants Received for Reform Efforts - 2008 to Present Foundation (e.g., Anschutz, Gates, Walton, Broad, Wallace, Dell) 60,414,400 Competitive, Federal and State (e.g., Read to Achieve, Teacher Incentive Fund) 62,251,635 Federal Sub-Award-CDE (e.g., Race to the Top) 2,200,000 ARRA Competitive (e.g., Investing in Innovation, Teacher Quality Partnership Grant) 37,541,000 Multi-Year Totals $162,407,035 Source: DPS Foundation Summary of Federal Grant Awards (FY 2011) (2).
Urban Principal Leadership) 7,037,867
70,595,832 ARRA (e.g., Title I, Part A, IDEA Part B, State Stabilization Fund) 47,134,855 Other Federal (e.g., Headstart, JROTC Career Academy) 5,220,013 Total $155,327,633 Source: DPS 2011 FY Single Audit Report
11
DENVER PUBLIC SCHOOLS GENERAL OBLIGATION BONDS, SERIES 2012 B – D
Strong History of Election Success
Win (68%) $454,000,000 Bond 2008 Win $12,099,253 Override 1988 Win (57%) $17,000,000 Override 1998 Win (56%) $305,000,000 Bond 1998 Loss $29,750,000 Override 1995 Win $199,600,000 Bond 1990 Win N/A De-Bruce 1999 Win (60%) $20,000,000 Override 2003 Win (57%) $310,800,000 Bond 2003 Win (51%) $25,000,000 ProComp Override 2 2005 Win (68%) $49,000,000 Override 1 2012 Win (64%) $466,000,000 Bond 2012 Result Amount Type Year
1 Fixed mill levy 2 Annually adjusted for CPI
DPS Election History Since 1988 Comparison of Metro Area School District Taxes Per $100,000 in Home Value
559 500 489 488 458 402 399 388 357 $0 $100 $200 $300 $400 $500 $600 A d a m s 1 2 A u r
a W e s t m i n s t e r 5 C h e r r y C r e e k L i t t l e t
J e f f e r s
C
e n v e r D
g l a s C
l d e r Tax Bill per $100k Home Value 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 Mills District Mills
12
DENVER PUBLIC SCHOOLS GENERAL OBLIGATION BONDS, SERIES 2012 B – D
Note: Numbers shown above are estimates based on 2011-12 enrollment and SPF status. Enrollment: 13,467 (17%) Population: 108,102 (18%) 30 schools Maintenance $88M New Capacity $8M Technology $6M Total Bond $102M $7,574 pp Mill Levy $9.3M $691 pp Enrollment: 27,266 (35%) Population: 143,710 (24%) 47 schools Maintenance $38M New Capacity $96M Technology $12M Total Bond $146M $5,208 pp Mill Levy $16.8M $616 pp District-Wide Bond Projects $12M – District-wide facilities (e.g. bus terminals, data center) $6M – Enterprise software applications Enrollment: 17,738 (23%) Population: 117,053 (19%) 27 schools Maintenance $36M New Capacity $36M Technology $8M Total Bond $80M $4,510 pp Mill Levy $11.9M $671 pp Enrollment: 10,360 (13%) Population: 113,942 (19%) 19 schools Maintenance $32M New Capacity $27M Technology $4M Total Bond $64M $6,178 pp Mill Levy $5.8M $559 pp Enrollment: 8,901 (12%) Population: 117,414 (20%) 17 schools Maintenance $24M New Capacity $28M Technology $4M Total Bond $56M $6,291 pp Mill Levy $5.2M $584 pp
Every student in the District will directly benefit from both mill levy and bond funds
Facilities to Address Overcrowding, Expand Technology
Student & Community Support
13
DENVER PUBLIC SCHOOLS GENERAL OBLIGATION BONDS, SERIES 2012 B – D
13
transportation and administration
paying a cost-based facility use fee.
capturing more students that live within and outside Denver’s boundary
Source: http://www.boarddocs.com/co/dpsk12/Board.nsf/files/8U9TEK770585/$file/Adopted%20Board%20Book%20Presentation.pdf
14
DENVER PUBLIC SCHOOLS GENERAL OBLIGATION BONDS, SERIES 2012 B – D
27% 1,871 Total Offsetting District Costs 73% 4,997 Net Received by Charter
Other Purchased Services
(460) Taxable Certificates
(673) DPS Facility Use
(511) Special Ed (severe and mild)
(227) DPS Overhead 100% 6,868 Allocation to Charter 100% 6,868 PPR from State Charter
Notes: 1) Average per student allocation to district-managed schools based on Grades 1-12 Total Enrollment 2) Both entities contribute equally to PERA, based on individual payroll 3) District-managed pay pro-rata share of Taxable Certificates as a % of payroll
15
DENVER PUBLIC SCHOOLS GENERAL OBLIGATION BONDS, SERIES 2012 B – D
Montbello HS: 206 open seats Shares with Collegiate Prep and DCIS Evie Dennis Campus: Shared between Vista / DSST / SOAR / WDP Noel: 176 open seats Shares with KIPP / Noel Community Arts Smiley: 255 open seats Shares with Venture Prep Cole: 305 open seats Shares with DSST West HS: 1,035 open seats Shares with West Gen, West Leadership Merrill: 315 open seats Shares with C3 (Fall 2012) North HS: 1,139 open seats Shares with WDP Highlands MS Lake IB MS: 182 open seats Shares with WDP Lake Rishel: 310 open seats Now KIPP HS + MSLA shared College Heights Campus: Shared between Summit / DSST / SWEC
16
DENVER PUBLIC SCHOOLS GENERAL OBLIGATION BONDS, SERIES 2012 B – D
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 08/09 09/10 10/11 11/12 12/13 %
8 6 7 6 6 8 6 12 15 11 10 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 Charlotte Duval Chicago Denver PGCPS Philadelphia
Atlanta Wash D.C. Boston Rochester %
DPS% of Budget on Central Overhead Comparison of DPS Against Other Districts: FY 2010
DPS continues to reduce centrally budgeted services and remains strong among comparative urban districts with the lowest percentage of central funding
Sources: DPS and Education Resource Strategies: FY 2009-10
17
DENVER PUBLIC SCHOOLS GENERAL OBLIGATION BONDS, SERIES 2012 B – D
17
18
DENVER PUBLIC SCHOOLS GENERAL OBLIGATION BONDS, SERIES 2012 B – D
DPS to Its Colorado School District Peers
1 2013 Preliminary Figures 2 FY 2011-12 Full-Time Equivalent Count, does not include online students
Note: All districts have FTE pupil count of at least 25,000
$353,449 $49,924 35,494 $12,545,334,257 $1,772,018,910 Aa2 / NR / NR Adams-Arapahoe 28J School District $474,795 $51,420 35,736 $16,967,028,833 $1,837,515,272 Aa2 / AA- / NR Adams 12 Five Star Schools $671,126 $85,537 27,184 $18,243,898,397 $2,325,241,920 Aa2 / AA- / NR Colorado Springs 11 School District $736,538 $95,293 25,789 $18,994,209,514 $2,457,461,202 Aa2 / AA- / NR
$780,971 $94,520 25,480 $19,898,745,982 $2,408,330,888 Aa2 / NR / AA+ Poudre R-1 School District $786,276 $89,779 79,193 $62,267,535,652 $7,109,881,457 Aa2 / AA- / NR Jefferson County R-1 School District $701,188 $87,363 49,313 $34,577,334,341 $4,308,096,296 Aa1 / AA / NR Cherry Creek 5 School District $714,547 $81,859 56,103 $40,087,874,440 $4,592,507,520 Aa1 / NR / AA+ Douglas County RE 1 School District $1,064,730 $149,665 72,271 $76,948,580,213 $10,816,373,040 Aa2 / AA- / NR Denver County 1 School District $1,392,755 $171,713 27,866 $38,809,809,931 $4,784,865,469 Aa1 / AA / AA+ Boulder Valley RE 2 School District MV Per Pupil AV Per Pupil FTE Pupils2 Total Market Value 1 Total Assessed Value (w/ TIF) 1 GO Ratings School District
19
DENVER PUBLIC SCHOOLS GENERAL OBLIGATION BONDS, SERIES 2012 B – D
$941,484,000 3 $10,816,373,040 Aaa / AAA /AAA City & County of Denver ~$1,475,215,000 2 $10,816,373,040 Aa2 / AA- / NR Denver County 1 School District Total GO Debt Total Assessed Value 1 GO Ratings
1 2013 Preliminary Figures 2 Assumes Series 2012C-E 3 Data from 2011 CAFR
Sources: Moody’s Investor Services, Standard & Poor’s and Fitch Ratings
Aa2 / AA / AA+ Aa2 / AA / NR Aa1 / AA / NR Aa1/ AAA / NR Aaa / AA+ / AA+ Aaa / AAA / NR Aaa / NR / AAA Aaa/ AA+ / NR School District Go Ratings Columbus City Schools | City of Columbus OH Maricopa City Schools | City of Phoenix AZ Albuquerque Schools | City of Albuquerque NM Omaha Public Schools | City of Omaha NE Austin ISD | City of Austin TX Lincoln Public Schools | City of Lincoln NE Salt Lake City Schools | City of Salt Lake UT Seattle Public Schools | City of Seattle WA School District | ‘ AAA’ Municipality State
20
DENVER PUBLIC SCHOOLS GENERAL OBLIGATION BONDS, SERIES 2012 B – D
$12.0$13.5 $17.0 $21.0 $26.5 $36.7 $45.0 $48.2 $55.2 $57.1 $54.4 $8.8 $8.6 $8.8 $10.3 $12.8 $15.6 $16.7 $17.6 $21.6 $25.7 $22.8 $0.0 $10.0 $20.0 $30.0 $40.0 $50.0 $60.0 $70.0 $80.0 9 3 / 9 4 * 9 4 / 9 5 9 5 / 9 6 * 9 6 / 9 7 9 7 / 9 8 * 9 8 / 9 9 9 9 / * / 1 1 / 2 * 2 / 3 3 / 4 * 4 / 5 5 / 6 * 6 / 7 7 / 8 * 8 / 9 9 / 1 * 1 / 1 1 1 1 / 1 2 * 1 2 / 1 3
$ in Billions
Residential Market Value Non-Residential Market Value
District Residential Market & Assessed Value Shares
41.4% 40.7% 40.7% 42.5% 43.5% 37.9% 40.2%
61.4% 67.1% 67.2% 72.9% 73.7% 68.9% 71.0% 0.0% 20.0% 40.0% 60.0% 80.0% 100.0%
94/95 97/98 00/01 03/04 06/07 09/10 12/13 Market Value Assessed Value
DPS Residential Property Tax Base Has Been Relatively Stable Over Time
21
DENVER PUBLIC SCHOOLS GENERAL OBLIGATION BONDS, SERIES 2012 B – D
Note: * indicates biennial reappraisal period.
2.5% 21.4% 1.1% 4.7% 0.7% 4.2% 0.2% 17.1% 1.6% 10.6%
0.6% 0.6% 3.7% 0.6% 4.0% 0.6% 4.0%
0.0% 5.0% 10.0% 15.0% 20.0% 25.0% / 1 1 / 2 * 2 / 3 3 / 4 * 4 / 5 5 / 6 * 6 / 7 7 / 8 * 8 / 9 9 / 1 * 1 / 1 1 1 1 / 1 2 * 1 2 / 1 3 1 3 / 1 4 * 1 4 / 1 5 1 5 / 1 6 * 1 6 / 1 7 1 7 / 1 8 * 1 8 / 1 9 1 9 / 2 *
ACTUAL PROJECTED
Average 00/01 – 12/13 Reappraisal Year AV Growth = 8.2% Average 00/01 – 12/13 NonReappraisal Year AV Growth = .6%
Assessed Value Growth (WITHOUT TIF)
22
DENVER PUBLIC SCHOOLS GENERAL OBLIGATION BONDS, SERIES 2012 B – D
Note: * indicates biennial reappraisal period.
2.45% 21.36% 1.12% 4.67% 0.69% 4.16% 0.21% 17.10% 1.61% 10.65%
5.0% 15.0% 25.0% 35.0% 45.0% 00/01 01/02* 02/03 03/04* 04/05 05/06* 06/07 07/08* 08/09 09/10* 10/11 11/12* 12/13
Assessed Value Growth (WITHOUT TIF)
0.07%
0.00% 0.20% 00/01 01/02* 02/03 03/04* 04/05 05/06* 06/07 07/08* 08/09 09/10* 10/11 11/12* 12/13
Change In AV Due To TAX Increment Value Change
23
DENVER PUBLIC SCHOOLS GENERAL OBLIGATION BONDS, SERIES 2012 B – D
23
24
DENVER PUBLIC SCHOOLS GENERAL OBLIGATION BONDS, SERIES 2012 B – D
$466 Million General Obligation Bonds & $49 Million Mill Levy Override Constraints
25
DENVER PUBLIC SCHOOLS GENERAL OBLIGATION BONDS, SERIES 2012 B – D
equipment, with a lease term of 15 months. As of June 30, 2012, the liability under this lease was $298,454 DPS currently has $1 billion in GO Bonds outstanding
$1,009,215,000 Total 129,870,000 GO Refunding Bonds, Series 2012A 85,390,000 GO Refunding Bonds, Series 2010C 1,545,000 GO BABs, Series 2010B 29,260,000 GO QSCBs, Series 2010A 42,745,000 GO Refunding Bonds, Series 2009G 24,650,000 GO Refunding Bonds, Series 2009F 250,000,000 GO BABs, Series 2009C 24,022,000 GO QSCBs, Series 2009B 149,170,000 GO Bonds, Series 2009A 129,510,000 GO Refunding Bonds, Series 2005A 83,570,000 GO Refunding Bonds, Series 2004C 25,820,000 GO Refunding Bonds, Series 2004B 25,665,000 GO Bonds, Series 2004 7,998,000 GO QZABs, Series 2001 A&B Amount Outstanding
DPS currently has $808 million in COPs outstanding
$808,487,160 Total Fixed 396,235,000 Taxable COPs, Series 2011B Variable 100,000,000 Taxable COPs, Series 2011A-4 Variable 100,000,000 Taxable COPs, Series 2011A-3 Variable 100,000,000 Taxable COPs, Series 2011A-2 Variable 96,045,000 Taxable COPs, Series 2011A-1 Fixed 16,207,160 COPs, Series 1997 Type Amount Outstanding
26
DENVER PUBLIC SCHOOLS GENERAL OBLIGATION BONDS, SERIES 2012 B – D
1.03% 1.55% 0.66% 1.88% 1.31% 1.25% 1.02% 0.83% 1.12% 0.51% 0.00% 0.25% 0.50% 0.75% 1.00% 1.25% 1.50% 1.75% 2.00% 2.25% 2.50% 9 7 / 9 8 * 9 8 / 9 9 9 9 / * / 1 1 / 2 * 2 / 3 3 / 4 * 4 / 5 5 / 6 * 6 / 7 7 / 8 * 8 / 9 9 / 1 * 1 / 1 1 1 1 / 1 2 * 1 2 / 1 3 1 3 / 1 4 * 1 4 / 1 5 1 5 / 1 6 *
GO Debt As % Of Estimated Full Value
After 1998 $305 Million Bond Election After 2003 $310.8 Million Bond Election After 2008 $454 Million Bond Election After 2012 $466 Million Bond Election Larger Than Typical Increase Partly Due To 7% Full Value Decline In 2012
27
DENVER PUBLIC SCHOOLS GENERAL OBLIGATION BONDS, SERIES 2012 B – D
Background: In 2008, DPS issued Certificates of Participation with the long-term strategy to lower DPS’ annual pension related costs below 8.50% UAAL funding rate by fully funding the pension and allowed for the merger with PERA to increase the portability of teacher pensions Series 2011 Restructure: DPS refinanced half of the Series 2008 Taxable COPs to fixed rate obligations ($396.235 million) and refunded the remaining variable rate issues ($396.045 million), removing FSA insurance and Dexia credit facilities. Structure has no swap acceleration or termination risk Variable Rate Series 2011A1-4: The Variable Rate Certificates have an all-in rate (as of 10/24/2012) of 7.69% and are secured by letters of credit with the Royal Bank of Canada, JP Morgan Chase and Wells
4.959% 4.909% 4.909% Fixed Rates Payable by Corporation Wells Fargo Royal Bank of Canada Bank of America Counterparty Aa3 / AA- Aa3 / AA- A3 / A Current Long- Term Rating $96,045,000 $100,000,000 $200,000,000 Notional Amt 1-M LIBOR 1-M LIBOR 1-M LIBOR Variable Rate Payable to Corporation
Fixed Rate Series 2011B: The fixed rate leases have all-in TIC of 7.20%, which includes the swap termination payment to JP Morgan
Currently functioning within DPS’ objectives
28
DENVER PUBLIC SCHOOLS GENERAL OBLIGATION BONDS, SERIES 2012 B – D
Active Management of the Remaining Variable Rate Certificates
http://www.dpsk12.org/policies/
portion of the Series 2011A to a fixed rate to achieve an all-in cost of 7.25% inclusive of swap mark to market
converting to fixed rate COPs
to the BOE Compares budget to actual Reviews parameters resolution
letters of credit in April of 2014 and the implementation of Basel III : Fixing out remaining variable rate certificates Renewing LOCs Floating rate note market offers potential alterative to variable rate structure that would eliminate risks associated with bank letters of credit
29
DENVER PUBLIC SCHOOLS GENERAL OBLIGATION BONDS, SERIES 2012 B – D
29
30
DENVER PUBLIC SCHOOLS GENERAL OBLIGATION BONDS, SERIES 2012 B – D
have occurred under Amendment 23 (AARA funds made up for $21.2 million of the loss in FY 2011)
Denver Public Schools Total Program Funding
Source: Colorado Department of Education Funded Pupil Count Per Pupil SFA Funding $7,104 $7,283 $7,495 $6,939 $6,871 $6,868 $7,104 $7,672 $7,744 $8,188 $7,894 $7,294 $6,000 $6,500 $7,000 $7,500 $8,000 $8,500 FY 07/08 FY 08/09 FY 09/10 FY 10/11 FY 11/12 FY 12/13
Amendment 23 Required Funding Actual Funding
31
DENVER PUBLIC SCHOOLS GENERAL OBLIGATION BONDS, SERIES 2012 B – D
since FY 09/10
budget, will be reduced slightly
Denver Public Schools Total Program Funding
Source: Colorado Department of Education analysis, November 1, 2012 Funded Pupil Count Per Pupil SFA Funding $7,104 $7,283 $7,495 $6,939 $6,871 $6,868 $7,070 $7,104 $7,672 $7,744 $8,188 $7,894 $7,294 $6,000 $6,500 $7,000 $7,500 $8,000 $8,500 FY 07/08 FY 08/09 FY 09/10 FY 10/11 FY 11/12 FY 12/13 FY 13/14
Amendment 23 Required Funding Actual Funding
32
DENVER PUBLIC SCHOOLS GENERAL OBLIGATION BONDS, SERIES 2012 B – D
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 2 2 1 2 2 2 3 2 4 2 5 2 6 2 7 2 8 2 9 2 1 2 1 1 2 1 2 Cash as % of GF Revenue GAAP Fund Balance as % of GF Revenue
124,296,873 122,058,616 95,585,702 56,899,050 66,477,987 72,332,730 56,242,567 45,854,201 42,042,339 38,243,478 31,744,329 37,519,404 41,446,522 Cash Position 81,874,574 64,000,000 120,500,000 166,000,000 168,000,000 143,700,000 177,500,000 164,200,000 187,400,000 N/A N/A N/A N/A State Loan Program Cash Borrowed March 13 March 11 May 11 May 12 May 13 May 11 June 10 June 27 June 25 N/A N/A N/A N/A Loan Repayment Date 101,669,568 634,318,574 1 2012 116,513,738 669,438,042 2011 63,251,930 667,351,646 2010 28,625,407 625,758,568 2009 34,883,716 608,361,819 2008 32,431,028* 587,121,645 2007 21,931,135* 574,378,599 2006 18,422,385* 524,298,400 2005 9,298,874 509,717,246 2004 (2,047,811) 483,521,913 2003 13,290,139 465,287,804 2002 14,585,345 434,235,111 2001 10,182,555 410,196,361 2000 GAAP Fund Balance General Fund Revenue FY Year
DPS’ cash has increased, which has reduced the need for borrowing from the State
1 Decline in total General Fund revenue due to change in accounting treatment of property tax
revenue attributable to ProComp. Historically, ProComp revenue was recorded in the General Fund and then transferred to the ProComp Fund. ProComp property tax revenue is now directly recorded in the Pro-Comp fund. Additionally, one-time revenue related to Ed Jobs and ARRA Stabilization was not available in FY11-12. The changes to funding were offset by an increase of approximately 2,200 funded pupils.
33
DENVER PUBLIC SCHOOLS GENERAL OBLIGATION BONDS, SERIES 2012 B – D
Fixed $ Amt $16,483,032 $20,000,000 2003 Fixed $ Amt $6,174,938 $12,099,253 1988 Fixed $ Amt $12,482,151 $17,000,000 1998 Inflation Adjusted $28,402,005 $25,000,000 2006 Fixed Mill Levy $49,000,000 2012 Type 2012 Inflation Adjusted Amt Amount Year
Override History Comparison of 2012 Override Revenue to Prior Fixed $ Overrides
$49.0 $49.3 $49.6 $51.4 $51.8 $53.8 $54.2 $56.3 $56.7 $58.9 $49.1 $49.1 $49.1 $49.1 $49.1 $49.1 $49.1 $49.1 $49.1 $49.1 $40.0 $45.0 $50.0 $55.0 $60.0 $65.0 $70.0 12/13 13/14* 14/15 15/16* 16/17 17/18* 18/19 19/20* 20/21 21/22*
$ in Millions
2012 Override Revenue With AV Growth 4.0% Reappraisal Years .6% Nonreappraisal Years 1988/1998/2003 Fixed $ Amount Override Revenue
Denver Public Schools Override Capacity will be about $43 million after the election, growing to about $70 million by 2017
34
DENVER PUBLIC SCHOOLS GENERAL OBLIGATION BONDS, SERIES 2012 B – D
34
35
DENVER PUBLIC SCHOOLS GENERAL OBLIGATION BONDS, SERIES 2012 B – D
Economic Outlook: 8th Employment Outlook: 9th (Up from 40th in 2009- 10) Highly Educated: 3rd Fastest Growing: 4th Top-10 rankings for 4th grade and 8th grade reading proficiencies Highest ACT and SAT scores: 1st Entrepreneurial Activity Index: 4th High Tech Employment: 3rd How Colorado Ranks Amongst Other States:
Summary of Metro Denver Economic Development Corporation’s 2012 Report
Source: Metro Denver’s Towards a More Competitive Colorado Report (October 24, 2012)
36
DENVER PUBLIC SCHOOLS GENERAL OBLIGATION BONDS, SERIES 2012 B – D
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012* % Denver Colorado
Major Denver Metro Areas Employers1
from 2011
Higher growth (1.7%) then the Colorado labor force (1.5%)
Largest sector: Government jobs – 16% of total employment
nation
10,813 City Government City & County of Denver 13,087 Education Denver Public Schools 16,861 Education University of Colorado 25,238 Retail Discount Wal-Mart Stores Inc. 9,137 Retail Grocery Safeway, Inc. 8,000 Health Care SCL HealthOneLLC 9,000 Health Care HCA-HealthOneLLC 9,617 Retail Grocery King Soopers, Inc. 29,510 State Government State of Colorado 40,296 Federal Government Federal Government Estimated # of Employees Product / Service Firm
*Through September 30, 2012
Denver Unemployment Lags Behind the State Denver Income Surpasses the State and the U.S.
10,000 20,000 30,000 40,000 50,000 60,000 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 $ Denver Colorado United States
1 As of May 2012
Source: Denver Public Schools POS Appendix C
37
DENVER PUBLIC SCHOOLS GENERAL OBLIGATION BONDS, SERIES 2012 B – D
decrease in the 1980s and 1990s From 2010 to 2011, Denver’s population grew faster than the Denver Metro Area and State averages
foreclosures also continue to fall
Population
500,000 1,000,000 1,500,000 2,000,000 2,500,000 3,000,000 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2011 100,000 200,000 300,000 400,000 500,000 600,000 700,000 Denver Metro Denver 200 400 600 800 1,000 1,200 1,400 1,600 1,800 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012* Permits 1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 6,000 7,000 8,000 9,000 Foreclosures Commercial/Residential Permits Multi Family Permits Single Family Permits Foreclosures Filed
Building Permits vs. Foreclosures
Source: Denver Public Schools POS Appendix C * Permit data through August 31, 2012, foreclosure data through September 30, 2012
38
DENVER PUBLIC SCHOOLS GENERAL OBLIGATION BONDS, SERIES 2012 B – D
38
39
DENVER PUBLIC SCHOOLS GENERAL OBLIGATION BONDS, SERIES 2012 B – D
Expected Pricing on December 4, 2012
December 1, 2028 December 1, 2034 December 1, 2032 Final Maturity Refunding Serial Bonds & Term Bonds $67.235 million Taxable Series, 2012D* New Money Bullet w/ Funded Sinking Fund $16.000 million Taxable QZABs, Series 2012C* New Money Purpose Serial Bonds Structure $450.000 million Par Amount Tax-Exempt, Series 2012B*
buildings
education and full-day kindergarten Series 2012D Refunding: Use of Proceeds Series 2012B&C New Money: Use of Proceeds
Service Savings Remaining portion of 2014 – 2023 Serial Bonds Remaining portion of 2028 Term Bond
Maturities for Debt Service Savings 2015 – 2018 Serial Bonds
* Preliminary, subject to change
40
DENVER PUBLIC SCHOOLS GENERAL OBLIGATION BONDS, SERIES 2012 B – D
20,000,000 40,000,000 60,000,000 80,000,000 100,000,000 120,000,000 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 Debt Service
Total Outstanding Debt
Post-Series 2012 B – D General Obligation Debt Profile*
* Preliminary, subject to change
41
DENVER PUBLIC SCHOOLS GENERAL OBLIGATION BONDS, SERIES 2012 B – D
41
Week of November 26 December 4 December 19 Week of November 26
Financing Schedule
42
DENVER PUBLIC SCHOOLS GENERAL OBLIGATION BONDS, SERIES 2012 B – D
42
43
DENVER PUBLIC SCHOOLS GENERAL OBLIGATION BONDS, SERIES 2012 B – D
43
VOTER SUPPORT
tax environment
STRONG FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE
ENROLLMENT AND GRADUATION ON THE RISE
TAX BASE WHICH SUPPORTS G.O. BOND REPAYMENT
MISSION SUCCESS