SLIDE 4 4 4
10,000,000
Logic Transistors per Chip (K) Productivity Trans./Staff-Mo.
The Impending Design Productivity Crisis
1,000,000 100,000 10,000 1,000 100 10 1 100,000,000 10,000,000 1,000,000 100,000 10,000 1,000 100 10 __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ 1981 1983 1985 1987 1989 1991 1993 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009
58%/Yr. Compounded Complexity growth rate 21%/Yr. Compounded Productivity growth rate Source: SEMATECH x x x xx x x Logic Tr./Chip Tr./S.M.
A DESIGN PRODUCTIVITY CRISIS WAS PREDICTED A DECADE AGO
Maya Rubeiz USAF Wright Labs maya.rubeiz@sn.wpafb.af.mil http://rassp.scra.org 1997