SLIDE 1 IANAS Energy Project
Initial Wor kshop IANAS E ne r gy Pr
Ac ade mia Colombiana de Cie nc ias E xac tas, F isic as y Natur ale s
COUNT RY RE PORT – ARGE NT INA
Ma rio A.J. Ma risc o tti Ac a de mia Na c io na l de Cie nc ia s E xa c ta s F ísic a y Na tura le s, Arg e ntina
Bo g o tá , De c e mb e r 6 a nd 7, 2010
SLIDE 2
IANAS Energy Project
6-7 Dec 2010 ARGENTINA REPORT 2
OUT L INE
1. Co untry e ne rg y o utlo o k 2. Re ne wa b le e ne rg ie s 3. E ffic ie nc y pro g ra ms 4. A wo rd a b o ut nuc le a r a nd no n-c o nve ntio na l g a s 5. Huma n a nd I nstitutio na l re so urc e s 6. So c ia l a wa re ne ss a nd c o nsc io usne ss 7. Pro po sa ls
SLIDE 3 IANAS Energy Project
6-7 Dec 2010 ARGENTINA REPORT 3
Countr y E ne r gy Outlook1 – E
ne rg y Ma trix a nd Re c e nt E vo lutio n
T
- o de pe nde nt o n fo ssil fue ls: 87% o il + g a s. Arg e ntina le a de r in use o f
g a s (51% o f to ta l e ne rg y c o nsumptio n)
E c o no mé tric a S.A, A.A. Guadag ni, Plan E ne rg é tic o : E ne rg ía E lé c tric a, Gas y Pe tró le o , 15 no v. 2010
SLIDE 4 IANAS Energy Project
6-7 Dec 2010 ARGENTINA REPORT 4
Countr y E ne r gy Outlook - Po we r a nd c o nsumptio n1
1A.A. Guadag ni, Plan E
ne rg é tic o : E ne rg ía E lé c tric a, Gas y Pe tró le o , 15 no v. 2010
Date Power (GW) Consumption (GWh) 1992 13 50 2002 23 (72% up) 76 (54% up) 2009 27 (18% up) 107 (40%)
As o f 2009 de ma nd e xc e e ds insta lle d c a pa c ity
SLIDE 5 IANAS Energy Project
6-7 Dec 2010 ARGENTINA REPORT 5
Countr y E ne r gy Outlook - Plans for next 15 years1
1Proyección del balance energético nacional 2005/2025. Eduardo Bobillo, junio 2007. trabajo del Area Energía
del Foro Estratégico para el Desarrollo Nacional.
Wind power 3,1 GW Solar (photo) 0,4 Geo 0,35 Nuclear 6,1 Hydro 17,3 Fossil 8,8 Others 1,3
I mplie s 4,3% a nnua l g ro wth
2005 2025 Renewable 0,1 % 6% Nuclear 4 11 Hydro 35 44 Fossil 61 39 36GW additional in the next 15 years
SLIDE 6 IANAS Energy Project
6-7 Dec 2010 ARGENTINA REPORT 6
30% no a c c e ss to g a s pub lic ne two rk; b o ttle d g a s (60% o f po o re r 20%)1 1,8 millio n pe o ple o ff g rid (a b o ut 4,5%)2 (1,4 M in rura l a re a s o r 30% o f rura l)3 Ne e ds ma inly sa tisfie d b e c a use g a s a nd e le c tric ity a re sub sidize d 4 (up to a b o ut 6000 millio n U$ in 2009)1… … a nd pric e s ve ry lo w (o il, g a s a nd e le c tric ity 70, 20 a nd 30% b e lo w inte rna tio na l va lue s, re spe c tive ly)5 Ne e d o f a djusting pric e s to stimula te inve stme nt.
1A.A. Guadag ni, Plan E
ne rg é tic o : E ne rg ía E lé c tric a, Gas y Pe tró le o , 15 no v. 2010
- 2. Xiao ping Wang , Banc o Mundial, I
ANAS wo rksho p, Bue no s Aire s, Oc tub re 2008
3 A. Co varrub ias and K. Re ic he , http://www.worldbank.org/html/fpd/esmap/energy_report2000/ch10.pdf2
- 4. Víc to r Bro nste in (priv. c o mm., no v 2010)
5 Danie l Mo ntamat (private c o mm., o c t 2010)
Countr y E ne r gy Outlook - Ne e ds
SLIDE 7 IANAS Energy Project
6-7 Dec 2010 ARGENTINA REPORT 7
Countr y E ne r gy Outlook - Ne e ds
Numbe r of pe ople in rura l a re a s off- g rid (x 1000)
1Guillermo Urribarri, Las energías renovables como solución de abastecimiento eléctrico a las escuelas rurales
dispersas de la provincia de Río Nego, www.ambiente-ecologico.com/revista65/guille65b.htm
SLIDE 8
IANAS Energy Project
6-7 Dec 2010 ARGENTINA REPORT 8
Re ne wable e ne r gie s – Ba c kg ro und
1960. R&D o n wind e ne rg y - E ng ine e ring Sc ho o l, Univ. o f Bue no s Aire s 1970. Na tio na l Re se a rc h Pro g ra m o n No n-Co nve ntio na l E ne rg ie s F irst so la r ho use s in Ro sa rio , Me ndo za a nd L a Pla ta . 1978. So la rme try Ne t suppo rte d b y OAS – 12 ma ps o f so la r ra dia tio n 1980´s. De sig n a nd de ve lo pme nt o f wind turb ine (SE NI D) CNE A´s R&D pro g ra m o n So la r E ne rg y Chub ut Pro vinc e R&D Ce nte r fo r Wind E ne rg y Na tio na l De pa rtme nt o f Ne w E ne rg y So urc e s E va lua tio n o f wind e ne rg y po te ntia l 1990´s. Ma ny re se a rc h g ro ups thro ug ho ut the c o untry 1998 L a w 25.019, fo r wind a nd so la r e ne rg y 2006 L a w 26.190, fo r re ne wa b le e ne rg ie s – Go a l o f 8% e le c tric ity in 10 ye a rs. Ma ny pro vinc ia l a nd munic ipa l re so lutio ns
SLIDE 9
IANAS Energy Project
6-7 Dec 2010 ARGENTINA REPORT 9
Re ne wable e ne r gie s – Ba c kg ro und (AGN 2007)
SLIDE 10 IANAS Energy Project
6-7 Dec 2010 ARGENTINA REPORT 10
Re ne wable e ne r gie s – Ge ne ra l1
1E
NE RGI AS RE NOVABL E S, RE E P, Se c r. de E ne rg ìa, F
- und. Barilo c he , junio 2009 http://energia3.mecon.gov.ar/home/
SOL
- AR. No rthe rn a re a 5kWh/ m 2 a llo wing po we r pro je c ts. Othe r a re a s fo r
lo w po we r o r wa te r he a ting . Be side PE RME R pro g ra m (se e la te r) a b o ut 10MWe (pho to vo lta ic ) a nd 25 MWe (the rmo ). Po te ntia l fo r se ve ra l hundre ds o f MW.
- WIND. Po te ntia l o f 5000 MW. Na tio na l Pla n 300 MW b y 2012. I
n a dditio n priva te pro je c ts mig ht re a c h 400 MW. T
- da y 30 MW insta lle d. 3
Arg e ntine c o mpa nie s (I NVAP, I MPSA, NRG) pio ne e r de ve lo pme nts in L A (units o f > 1MW). I MPSA is in Bra zil a nd ha s insta lle d 300 MW.
nsta lle d 720 MW. Ric e : ~2; fo re stry ~25; wine ~ 20; sug a r c a ne ~ 150; ma nure ~ 23 MWh/ da y; USR ~ 120; b io fue l 150; M.
GE OT HE RMAL
. Co pa hue pro je c t 30 MW. I n a dditio n 134 units = 26 MWt
SMAL L HYDRO (<30MW). I
n o pe ra tio n 380 MW + pro je c te d 430 MW.
HIDROGE
- N. Se ve ra l g ro ups de ve lo ping fue l c e lls
SLIDE 11
IANAS Energy Project
6-7 Dec 2010 ARGENTINA REPORT 11
SLIDE 12
IANAS Energy Project
6-7 Dec 2010 ARGENTINA REPORT 12
WIND PARKS IN ARGENTINA
SLIDE 13 IANAS Energy Project
6-7 Dec 2010 ARGENTINA REPORT 13
USES OF GEOTHERMAL
THERMAL WATERS, SPA´S – 14 MWt GREEN HOUSES – 1,1 MWt FISHERY – 0,38 MWt HOME HEATING – 1,2 MWt ICE, SNOW STREET MELTING – 1,4 MWt HOME APPLICATIONS – 6,3 MWt
SLIDE 14 IANAS Energy Project
6-7 Dec 2010 ARGENTINA REPORT 14
RENEWABLE ENERGY Government projects (2009): potential, in progress and installed
POTENTIAL IN PROGRESS INSTALLED
SLIDE 15
IANAS Energy Project
6-7 Dec 2010 ARGENTINA REPORT 15
Government calls for bids (2009)
SLIDE 16 IANAS Energy Project
6-7 Dec 2010 ARGENTINA REPORT 16
Re ne wable e ne r gie s – Rura l Are a s
PAE PRA – Arg e ntine Rura l E
le c trific a tio n Pro g ra m 120MU$ with 30 fro m BI RF a nd 7 fro m GE F . (1999 - 2007). Co nc e ssio n g ra nte d to the b idde r re q uiring the le a st sub sidy fo r the pro visio n o f e le c tric ity se rvic e . U$600 fo r insta lla tio n a nd 90% o f O&M c o sts a re sub sidize d. 7,5 kWh/ mo nth. T wo 50 Wp mo dule s. So fa r 5000 ho me s a nd 1200 pub lic se rvic e s.
SOL ART E C – Arg e ntine Co mpa ny fo unde d 1981. 18.000 units/ ye a r, hig h pe rc e nt e xpo rte d) WIND E NE
- RGY. 600 tho usa nd mills (= 200MW). Pa ta g o nia a privile g e d a re a .
SLIDE 17 IANAS Energy Project
6-7 Dec 2010 ARGENTINA REPORT 17
E ffic ie nc y pr
ams - POT E NT I AL SAVI NGS
1
1Dire c c ió n Nac io nal de Pro mo c ió n – Se c re taría de E
ne rg ía – Re p. Arg e ntina – Pro g rama Nac io nal de Uso Rac io nal y E fic ie nte de la E ne rg ía PRONURE E – I ng . E . Go nzále z – Se p 2009
SECTOR ELECTRICITY GAS + FUEL OIL Industry 4-6% (no tech change) 15-20% (with tech) 10 – 15% Business and public 30 % 10 – 15 % Public light utility 30 % N/A Residential 30% 10 % (no tech change) 20 – 30 % (with tech) Transport N/A 30% (gas oil) Agro (watering) 40% 10% (gas oil) Health services 50% N/A
SLIDE 18 IANAS Energy Project
6-7 Dec 2010 ARGENTINA REPORT 18
E ffic ie nc y pr
ams - OE CD SAVI NGS
1
1Dire c c ió n Nac io nal de Pro mo c ió n – Se c re taría de E
ne rg ía – Re p. Arg e ntina – Pro g rama Nac io nal de Uso Rac io nal y E fic ie nte de la E ne rg ía PRONURE E – I ng . E . Go nzále z – Se p 2009
SLIDE 19 IANAS Energy Project
6-7 Dec 2010 ARGENTINA REPORT 19
E ffic ie nc y pr
ams - PROGRAM PRONURE E (2007)
1Se c re taría de E
ne rg ía – Re p. Arg e ntina – Pro g rama Nac io nal de Uso Rac io nal y E fic ie nte de la E ne rg ía PRONURE E – I ng . E . Go nzále z – Se p 2009
- De c la re s e ne rg y e ffic ie nc y o f na tio na l inte re st
- Cha ng e o f da y time ho urs (a b o ut 3,5% sa ving s)
- Ma ssive re pla c e me nt o f inc a nde sc e nt la mps (se e ne xt pa g e )
- E
duc a tio n pro g ra m
- Ne w sta nda rds o f e ne rg y e ffic ie nc y
- Co lla b o ra tio n a g re e me nts with priva te se c to r, unive rsitie s, S&T
institutio ns, Busine ss Cha mb e rs, ME RCOSUR
a b e ling pro g ra m (a pplia nc e s, e tc .)
ne rg y e ffic ie nc y pro g ra m with Wo rld Ba nk a nd GE F 152,4 MU$, 6 ye a rs
SLIDE 20 IANAS Energy Project
6-7 Dec 2010 ARGENTINA REPORT 20
E ffic ie nc y pr
ams - I nc a nde sc e nt la mp re pla c e me nt pro g ra m
1Dire c c ió n Nac io nal de Pro mo c ió n – Se c re taría de E
ne rg ía – RE
- p. Arg e ntina – Pro g rama Nac io nal de
Uso Rac io nal y E fic ie nte de la E ne rg ía PRONURE E – I ng . E . Go nzále z – Se p 2009
SLIDE 21
IANAS Energy Project
6-7 Dec 2010 ARGENTINA REPORT 21
A wor d about nuc le ar e ne r gy in Ar ge ntina 8% o f the to ta l e le c tric ity a nd 3% o f prima ry e ne rg y. T wo NPP g e ne ra ting a b o ut 1GWe . Ano the r 700 MWe in 2011. Arg e ntina pio ne e re d nuc le a r e ne rg y in L A a nd is a e xpo rte r o f nuc le a r te c hno lo g y. I n a dditio n to its ro le in mitig a ting the se ve re g lo b a l wa rming pro b le m, nuc le a r e ne rg y ha s c o ntrib ute d sig nific a ntly to the inte nsity o f the S&T a c tivity in Arg e ntina . Sinc e S&T is a n e sse ntia l drive fo r susta ina b le de ve lo pme nt, the re is “a dde d va lue ” in inve sting in this a re a . Go ve rnme nt pla ns to a dd 6GWe nuc le a r to the g rid in the ne xt 15 ye a rs is se e n b y the a c a de mic c o mmunity a s a n o ppo rtunity fo r a re ne we d le a p in indig e no us te c hno lo g ic a l de ve lo pme nt.
SLIDE 22 IANAS Energy Project
6-7 Dec 2010 ARGENTINA REPORT 22
A wor d about Non Conve ntional Gas “T he future o f the re se rve s o f no n c o nve ntio na l g a s is no t a to pic o f prio rity to da y in Arg e ntina b ut it will so o n b e c o me o f g re a t impo rta nc e b e c a use o f its impa c t in the inve stme nt stra te g ie s o f se ve ra l inte rna tio na l c o mpa nie s tha t o pe ra te in the c o untry” (o c t 2009)1. Ne w te c hno lo g ie s ha ve a llo we d to e xplo it no n-c o nve ntio na l re se rve s (sha le g a s, tig ht g a s a nd c o a l-b e d me tha ne ) whic h a re g ro wing sig nific a ntly in USA, Ca na da a nd Austra lia .1 (Cut g a s pric e s to 60% in the USA)2. YPF inve sting U$10 M in the drilling o f first sha le -g a s we ll in L A a pplying “hydra ulic fra c turing ” o n c o mpa c t c la y (De c . 2010)3.
1. Interview R. Brandt, Petrotecnia, oct 2009, pag 18-20 2.
- E. Baglietto, Academia Nacional de Ingeniería, priv. comm. (2010)
3. Latin American Herald Tribune, Dec. 1, 2010 http://laht.com/article.asp?CategoryId=14093&ArticleId=359547
SLIDE 23 IANAS Energy Project
6-7 Dec 2010 ARGENTINA REPORT 23
Human and Institutional r e sour c e s1
1E
NE RGI AS RE NOVABL E S, RE E P, Se c r. de E ne rg ìa, F
- und. Barilo c he , junio 2009 http://energia3.mecon.gov.ar/home/
SLIDE 24 IANAS Energy Project
6-7 Dec 2010 ARGENTINA REPORT 24
Soc ial awar e ne ss and c onsc iousne ss1 Re sults o f po lling 1500 pe o ple re la te d to re ne wa b le e ne rg ie s A) Pro je c t suc c e ss ra te : 82% (o ut o f 177 pro je c ts) B) Pro je c t re sults: VG 13%; G 59%, R 18%, B 9% C) De ve lo pme nt Oppo rtunity: Wind 59%, So la r 54%, Hydro 32%, Bio 30%, Ge o 15% D) I nstitutio na l b a rrie rs: Co o rdina tio n R; Awa re ne ss pro mo tio n R. E ) E c o no mic a l-fina nc ia l b a rrie rs: I nve sto rs stimulus R-B; I nc e ntive s NK
a ttitude B. F ) L e g a l re g ula tio ns: Ove ra ll o pinio n NK
G) So c io -c ultura l b a rrie rs: a wa re ne ss o f RE b e ne fits G-R; a c c e ss fo r po o r VG; a wa re ne ss o f ne e d fo r tra ining VG
1E
NE RGI AS RE NOVABL E S, RE E P, Se c r. de E ne rg ìa, F
- und. Barilo c he , junio 2009 http://energia3.mecon.gov.ar/home/
VG = very good; G = good; R = regular; B = bad; NK = not known
SLIDE 25 IANAS Energy Project
6-7 Dec 2010 ARGENTINA REPORT 25
Summar y of RE E P, E ne r gy Se c r e tar iat, Bar iloc he F
1) E xiste nc e o f impo rta nt RE re so urc e s in Arg e ntina 2) Go o d institutio na l a nd te c hnic a l a sse t b ut the re a re po litic a l/ institutio na l a nd e c o no mic a l b a rrie rs. No t to o muc h c o nc e rn a b o ut so c ia l a nd te c hnic a l b a rrie rs. 3) I mpro ve d de sig n, insta lla tio n a nd pro duc tio n a b ilitie s ne e de d. 4) I mpro ve d e q uipme nt c e rtific a tio n ne e de d 5) Pre fe re nc e s So la r. Wind a nd Bio ma ss in tha t o rde r 6) Po te ntia l: Wind, So la r, Hydro a nd Bio ma ss in tha t o rde r.
SLIDE 26 IANAS Energy Project
6-7 Dec 2010 ARGENTINA REPORT 26
Pr
1) Robust National Age nc y for e c onomic - financ ial- te c hnic al assistanc e in RE . 2) Inve st in RE , hydr
. 3) T e c hnologic al mode r nization of ur ban public tr anspor t (follow e xample s of Bogotá, Santiago de Chile and Mé xic o DF ) and r ailr
4) Re gional agr e e me nt r e lative to r e gulations to impr
fue l e ffic ie nc y. 5) Impr
ing industr y e ne r gy e ffic ie nc y. 6) Ne w building and applianc e s c ode s for impr
7) Update fisc al polic ie s to pr e se r ve for e st r e sour c e and stimulate e ne r gy e ffic ie nc y. 8) Soc ially or ie nte d utility r ate s to assur e minimum e ne r gy c onditions for the poor e st.
1RE
E P, Se c r. de E ne rg ìa, F
- und. Barilo c he Re po rt, june 2009 http://e ne rg ia3.me c o n.g o v.ar/ho me /, A.A.
Guadag ni, Plan E ne rg é tic o : E ne rg ía E lé c tric a, Gas y Pe tró le o , 15 no v. 2010, and o the rs