Corporate Presentation March 10, 2015 zargon.ca Forward - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Corporate Presentation March 10, 2015 zargon.ca Forward - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Corporate Presentation March 10, 2015 zargon.ca Forward Looking-Advisory Forward-Looking Statements - This presentation offers our assessment of Zargon's future plans and operations as at March 9, 2015, and contains forward-looking statements.


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SLIDE 1

zargon.ca

Corporate Presentation

March 10, 2015

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SLIDE 2

Forward Looking-Advisory

Forward-Looking Statements - This presentation offers our assessment of Zargon's future plans and operations as at March 9, 2015, and contains forward-looking

  • statements. Such statements are generally identified by the use of words such as "anticipate", "continue", "estimate", "expect", "forecast", "may", "will", "project",

"should", "plan", "intend", "believe" and similar expressions (including the negatives thereof). In particular, this presentation contains forward-looking information as to Zargon’s corporate strategy and business plans, Zargon’s oil exploration project inventory and development plans, Zargon’s dividend policy and the amount of future dividends, future commodity prices, Zargon’s expectation for uses of funds from financing, Zargon’s capital expenditure program and the allocation and the sources of funding thereof, Zargon’s cash flow and dividend model and the assumptions contained therein and the results there from, anticipated payout rates, 2015 and beyond production and other guidance and the assumptions contained therein, estimated tax pools, Zargon’s reserve estimates, Zargon’s hedging policies, Zargon’s drilling, development and exploitation plans and projects and the results there from and Zargon’s ASP project plans 2015 and beyond, plans to sell un-strategic assets, the source of funding for our 2015 and beyond capital program including ASP, capital expenditures, costs and the results therefrom. By their nature, forward-looking statements are subject to numerous risks and uncertainties, some of which are beyond our control, including such as those relating to results of operations and financial condition, general economic conditions, industry conditions, changes in regulatory and taxation regimes, volatility of commodity prices, escalation of operating and capital costs, currency fluctuations, the availability of services, imprecision of reserve estimates, geological, technical, drilling and processing problems, environmental risks, weather, the lack of availability of qualified personnel or management, stock market volatility, the ability to access sufficient capital from internal and external sources and competition from other industry participants for, among other things, capital, services, acquisitions of reserves, undeveloped lands and skilled personnel. Risks are described in more detail in our Annual Information Form, which is available on our website. Forward- looking statements are provided to allow investors to have a greater understanding of our business. You are cautioned that the assumptions, including, among other things, future oil and natural gas prices; future capital expenditure levels; future production levels; future exchange rates; the cost of developing and expanding our assets; our ability to obtain equipment in a timely manner to carry out development activities; our ability to market our oil and natural gas successfully to current and new customers; the impact of increasing competition; our ability to obtain financing on acceptable terms; and our ability to add production and reserves through our development and acquisition activities used in the preparation of such information, although considered reasonable at the time of preparation, may prove to be imprecise and, as such, undue reliance should not be placed on forward-looking

  • statements. Our actual results, performance, or achievement could differ materially from those expressed in, or implied by, these forward-looking statements. We

can give no assurance that any of the events anticipated will transpire or occur, or if any of them do, what benefits we will derive from them. The forward-looking information contained in this presentation is expressly qualified by this cautionary statement. Our policy for updating forward-looking statements is that Zargon disclaims, except as required by law, any intention or obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise. Barrels of Oil Equivalent - Natural gas is converted to a barrel of oil equivalent (“Boe”) using six thousand cubic feet of gas to one barrel of oil. In certain circumstances, natural gas liquid volumes have been converted to a thousand cubic feet equivalent (“Mcfe”) on the basis of one barrel of natural gas liquids to six thousand cubic feet of gas. Boes and Mcfes may be misleading, particularly if used in isolation. A conversion ratio of one barrel to six thousand cubic feet of natural gas is based on an energy equivalency conversion method primarily applicable at the burner tip and does not represent a value equivalency at the wellhead. Given that the value ratio based on the current price of crude oil as compared to natural gas is significantly different from the energy equivalency of 6:1, utilizing a conversion ratio on a 6:1 basis may be misleading as an indication of value. The estimates of reserves and future net revenue for individual properties may not reflect the same confidence level as estimates of reserves and future net revenue for all properties, due to the effects of aggregation. Estimated reserve values disclosed in this presentation do not represent fair market value. Discovered Petroleum Initially-In-Place (“DPIIP”) is that quantity of petroleum that is estimated, as of a given date, to be contained in known accumulations prior to production. The recoverable portion of discovered petroleum initially in place includes production, reserves, and contingent resources; the remainder is unrecoverable. The aggregate of the exploration and development costs incurred in the most recent financial year and the change during that year in estimated future development costs generally will not reflect total finding and development costs related to reserves additions for that year.

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SLIDE 3

Core Attributes

  • $362 million ($17.96/share) of dividends and distributions paid over history on

total historical equity investment of $210 million.

  • Effective January 2015, the dividend has been reduced to $0.03 per share from

$0.06 per share, in order to preserve capital in a low oil price period.

  • Pressure Supported (Waterflood and Waterdrive): 35+ prospective oil exploitation

locations in pressure supported (low decline) properties.

  • Tertiary (ASP): Little Bow ASP tertiary recovery project provides years of oil

production growth. Oil Exploitation Long-Life Oil Assets Dividend Paying

  • After 2+ years of restructuring, Zargon’s remaining assets are either;
  • high-netback waterflood/waterdrive low-decline assets, or
  • the Little Bow ASP property that will provide years of low-cost growth.
  • We have the “right” assets for a sustainable income model.

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Asset Description

Waterflood and Waterdrive Oil Properties Other Non- Strategic Little Bow ASP Teritiatry Recovery

  • Properties account for approximately 94% of oil production (3,750 bbl/d); very

predictable with low declines of 15 percent (or less) per year.

  • Inventory of low risk oil exploitation wells, can be deferred until prices improve.
  • High proved and probable producing oil reserve life index of 8.8 years (McDaniel

corporate estimate) identifies long-term production without any additional wells.

  • Little Bow ASP phase 1 is displaying encouraging oil-banking production

trends.

  • Combined, Little Bow ASP Phases 1-4 are forecast to provide 2,400 bbl/d of

incremental oil production by 2021.

  • Scalable technology that can be used for other fields.
  • Remaining properties were higher cost, higher decline and did not support our

sustainable oil income model.

  • In 2014, we disposed 350+ net wells producing 220 bbl/d and 9.5 mmcf/d (1,800 boe/d).
  • Remaining non-strategic assets of 250 bbl/d and 3.0 mmcf/d (750 boe/d) represents
  • nly 6% of oil production. These assets will be “warehoused” until prices improve.

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Zargon Overview (March 9, 2015)

Capitalization – Toronto Stock Exchange: Symbols: ZAR; ZAR.DB – Common Shares Outstanding: 30.25 million (basic) – Market Capitalization: $95 million ($3.14 per share) (1) – Net Debt at Dec. 31, 2014: $113 million (after Hamilton Lake sale), comprised of

  • Convertible Debentures (6%)

$57.5 million (face value – June 2017 maturity)

  • Bank Debt and Net Working Capital Deficit

$56 million

  • Authorized Bank Debt

$130 million (43 percent drawn)

– Insider Ownership: 3.35 million shares (11 percent) Dividend & Yield – Monthly Dividend (Commencing January 2015): $0.03 per share (reduced from $0.06 per share) – Yield at current share price: 11.5% (1) Q4 2014 Production – Equivalent: 5,222 boe/d – Oil: 4,150 bbl/d (79% of production) – Gas: 6.43 mmcf/d Q4 2014 Financial Results – Funds Flow from Operations $0.42 per basic share ($12.6 million) – Dividends Paid $0.18 per basic share ($5.4 million)

(1) Based on a monthly dividend rate of $0.03/share and using the March 9, 2015 closing share price of $3.14.

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SLIDE 6

Recent Developments

  • March 10, 2015 Audited Financials (2014) Press Release:
  • 2014 Funds Flow of $50.7 million ($1.68 per share),
  • 2014 Net Earnings of $6.0 million ($0.20 per share),
  • 2014 Year End Net Debt of $113.4 million.
  • January 19, 2015 Production Update Press Release:
  • Definitive ASP production of 80 bbl/d (total) observed,
  • ASP production trends continue to point to the targeted 12% reservoir recovery,
  • Q4 2014 production met guidance (4,150 bbl/d and 6.43 mmcf/d).

Production Update 2014 Year End Reserves 2014 Audited Financials

  • February 19, 2015 Annual Reserves Review Press Release:
  • Proved and Probable Oil Reserves – 19.67 million barrels (13.0 year rli),
  • Proved Developed Producing Oil Reserves – 10.05 million barrels (6.6 year rli),
  • Proved and Probable NAV of $10.11 per share; Proved Developed Producing

NAV of $3.84 per share (no ASP).

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SLIDE 7

2015 Corporate Objectives

Little Bow ASP Preserve Balance Sheet Waterflood and Waterdrive

  • Efficiently/effectively operate the Little Bow ASP project; maintain chemical injections

and optimize phase 1 production.

  • Optimize phase 2 timing and scope to conserve 2015 capital.
  • Conclude phase 3 & 4 laboratory and preliminary reservoir simulation studies.
  • Operate efficiently and cost-effectively to maximize cash flow.
  • Proceed with long-dated waterflood optimizations, but defer drilling programs until
  • il prices improve.
  • The preservation of our balance sheet during this challenging low oil price period is

imperative.

  • Maximize corporate cash flows by targeting all costs, including operating, G&A and

discretionary capital costs.

  • As a last resort, consider a further temporary dividend reduction until oil prices improve.

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SLIDE 8

Waterflood/drive Well Inventory

Property Project Net Wells Comments Bellshill Lake Increase fluid withdrawal 5 Facility optimization; infills and step-outs Bellshill Lake – Killam Develop Glauconite pool 5 Infill and step-out locations Taber Develop Sunburst pool 5 Expand and enhance waterfloods Williston Basin Elswick, Midale, Weyburn, Ralph, Steelman, Mackobee 20+ Horizontal drainage wells in relatively tight reservoirs; additional pressure support required in some cases

Drilling Inventory of 35+ net wells. The Q4 2014 conventional oil exploitation drilling program included 3 Williston Basin and 2 Taber wells. Future drilling will be deferred until oil prices improve.

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SLIDE 9

Long-Life, Low-Decline Oil Volumes

Using vintaged Zargon operated production plots, we calculate base oil production declines of less than 15%. Independent research by Peters and the proved and probable developed producing McDaniel analyses (1st year decline of 14.5%) support our view of industry- low base declines.

1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 6,000 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

Gross W.I. Oil Production Rate ( bbl/day )

2013 Additions 2012 Additions 2011 Additions 2010 Additions 2009 Additions 2008 Additions Base Production

Zargon Corporate Decline Analysis - Total Oil Production Rate

Data to Dec 31, 2013

Comparative Declines Source: Peters & Co. Limited, Intermediates & Juniors (January 12, 2015) Oil sands and SAGD producers are not included.

10 20 30 40 50

Average Annual Decline Rate (%)

Average 31%

Zargon

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SLIDE 10

Canadian ASP Projects

  • 10 Canadian ASP Projects in
  • peration.
  • 2 additional projects have

regulatory approval.

  • Major operators: Husky, CNRL,

Cenovus, Crescent Point.

  • Significant implementation in

Saskatchewan: historically (no longer) favorable EOR royalty treatment.

  • Technology utilized in Asia since

1980’s.

Edmonton Lethbridge Calgary Medicine Hat Grande Prairie Mooney (Black Pearl) 2011 Coleville (Penn West) 2011 Suffield (Cenovus) 2007 Taber South (Husky) 2006 Taber (Husky) 2008 Grand Forks (CNRL) Battrum (Hyak Energy) Fosterton (Husky) 2012 Gull Lake (Husky) 2009 Instow (Crescent Point) 2007/11

Little Bow (Zargon)

Alberta Sask.

Bone Creek (Husky)

In Progress Scheme Approved

Edmonton Lethbridge Calgary Medicine Hat Grande Prairie Mooney (Black Pearl) 2011 Coleville (Penn West) 2011 Suffield (Cenovus) 2007 Taber South (Husky) 2006 Taber (Husky) 2008 Grand Forks (CNRL) Battrum (Hyak Energy) Fosterton (Husky) 2012 Gull Lake (Husky) 2009 Instow (Crescent Point) 2007/11

Little Bow (Zargon)

Alberta Sask.

Bone Creek (Husky)

In Progress Scheme Approved In Progress Scheme Approved

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Little Bow ASP: Proven Technology

EOR in a mature, southern Alberta waterflood

  • Phased Development
  • Phase 1 ASP injection commenced March 2014

Capital (Non Chemical):

  • Phase 1: $50 Million (Completed)
  • Phase 2 Development: $12 million evenly split

between 2015-16 Chemical Costs

  • 2015 – Phase 1: $12 Million
  • 2016 – Phase 1 & 2: $15 Million

Incremental ASP production (Zargon forecast):

  • 2015 Q1-Q4:

100, 250, 500 and 750 bbl/d 2015 Avg: 400 bbl/d 2016 Avg: 1,200 bbl/d Incremental Phases 1 & 2 ASP Reserves:

  • Zargon forecast incremental oil recovery:

5.2 million barrels (12% doiip)

  • McDaniel forecast incremental oil recovery:

4.5 million barrels (proved and probable) 1.5 million barrels (proved)

Little Bow ASP: Phase 1&2 Development

15-18W4

Zargon Land Zargon Wells Zargon Land Zargon Wells Phase 1 Area Phase 2 Area Phase 1 Area Phase 2 Area Little Bow Mannville “P” Pool Little Bow Mannville “I” Pool

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Little Bow ASP Project Milestones

Recent Highlights

  • ASP facility, oil battery and field construction complete and online in March 2014

($50 million: construction & startup).

  • July 2014 - Revisions to Conventional Enhanced Oil Recovery (“EOR”) Crown royalty program

significantly improved Zargon’s Little Bow ASP economics.

  • March 2015: 3.6 million barrels of ASP Injection or 16 percent of the total chemical bank (ASP

and polymer only) scheduled to be injected in the phase 1 operations.

  • Reservoir pressure and injection data provides strong evidence of oil banks being formed in the
  • reservoir. Currently more than 100 bbl/d of new ASP production (southeast area) from

producers in close proximity to ASP injectors. Oil cut improvements observed in 11 of the project’s 16 producers.

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SLIDE 13

ASP Enhanced Oil Recovery Process

Dilute concentrations of chemicals (Alkali, Surfactant and Polymer) in water are injected into an existing oil pool to “scrub” out oil that waterflooding alone will not recover.

Rock Rock

a) Water Injection: More than half of oil is “trapped” b) Alkali / Surfactant Mobilizes trapped oil

Water Injection Trapped Oil Droplet Water Rock Rock Mobilized Oil Droplet Alkali & Surfactant Solution Injector Producer Water Water Injector Producer Polymer Solution Increased Contact Volume Polymer Solution Increased Contact Volume

a) Water Injection b) Polymer Injection

  • Surfactants:

Detergent; mobilizes trapped oil.

  • Alkali:

Increases surfactant effectiveness.

  • Polymer (Thickener):

Thickened water helps sweep oil from the reservoir.

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ASP Injection Sequence

1) ASP Injection

A blend of Alkali, Surfactant & Polymer mobilizes trapped oil

2) Polymer “Push”

Polymer displaces mobilized

  • il to producing wells

3) Terminal Waterflood

Return to waterflood to complete oil displacement

OIL BANK ASP POLYMER WATER

Little Bow Phase 1 & 2 Injection Schedule Phase 1

ASP Polymer Waterflood

Phase 2

ASP Polymer

2021 2017 2018 2019 2020 2013 2014 2015 2016

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SLIDE 15

Little Bow ASP Project Analog

Taber Mannville “B” ASP Analog

  • Most mature Canadian ASP Project; Husky Operated
  • Same geological setting, oil quality, reservoir size and pre-

ASP depletion state as Zargon’s Little Bow Pool

  • First ASP Injection: 2006
  • Incremental recovery greater than 12% is projected

Taber Production History

Sep-12 Sep-11 Sep-10 Sep-09 Sep-08 Sep-07 Sep-06 Sep-05

16 % R.F. 16 % R.F. 14.5 % R.F. (Husky Application) 14 % R.F. 14 % R.F. 12 % R.F. (Zargon Base Case) 12 % R.F. 10 % R.F. 10 % R.F. 8 % R.F. (Zargon PV10 Breakeven) 8 % R.F.

10 100 1,000 10,000

15,000 16,000 17,000 18,000 19,000 20,000 21,000 22,000 23,000 24,000 25,000 Cumulative Oil Production (mbbl) Oil Production (bbl/d) 1% 10% 100% 1000% Oil Cut (%)

Data to July-2013

Oil Cut (%) Oil Rate, bbl/d First ASP Injection May, 2006

? ?

ERCB DPIIP = 43.1 mmbbl ASP Recovery

  • Ult. Recovery *

% mmbbl mmbbl 8 3.4 20.5 10 4.3 21.3 12 5.2 22.2 14 6.0 23.0 16 6.9 23.9 * Ultimate Recovery where ASP flood returns to pre-ASP levels

Little Bow Mannville “I” and “P” Pools (Zargon) Taber Mannville “B” Pool (Husky)

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SLIDE 16 Oil Producer Waterflood Injector ASP Injector Oil Producer Waterflood Injector ASP Injector Oil Producer Waterflood Injector ASP Injector

Oil Producer ASP Injector Waterflood Injector

Increased Oil Cut

  • 200
  • 150
  • 100
  • 50

50 100 150 200 Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr bpd 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Oil Cut (%)

2014 2015

  • 200
  • 150
  • 100
  • 50

50 100 150 200 Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr bpd 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Oil Cut (%)

  • 200
  • 150
  • 100
  • 50

50 100 150 200 Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr bpd 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Oil Cut (%)

2014 2015

ASP Early Oil Response Varies by Area

2014 2015

Northwest:

  • Chemical Injection: 10 -18% complete
  • Injection conformance challenges, now

remedied, but still under-injected

  • Modified ASP flow patterns interrupted

waterflood production trends

  • 2 of 4 producers with (subtle) oil cut

gains Southeast:

  • Chemical Injection: 18% complete
  • Oil Cut increase: 1 to 3.2%
  • Oil Rate increase: 100 bbl/d
  • 6 of 7 producers with oil cut gains

Central:

  • Chemical Injection 12% complete
  • Currently under-injected, will remedy
  • 3 of 5 producers with (subtle)
  • il cut gains
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SLIDE 17

Little Bow ASP Oil Production

Nov Dec Jan 2015 Feb Mar April May June July Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec

200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400

Oct-2014

bbl/d

ASP Oil Response – Actual vs. Forecast

17 2014 Base Waterflood Forecast (from McDaniel 2014 mid-year report)

Daily Actuals Zargon Forecast 2015 Avg. ∆ = 400 bbl/d Ultimate: 5.2 million barrels McDaniel P+P (Undev.) 2015 Avg. ∆ = 132 bbl/d Ultimate: 4.5 million barrels

ASP Plant Maintenance and Well Workovers

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SLIDE 18

Phases 1-4 Development Plan

Zargon W.I. (%) W.I. DOIIP* (mmbbl) Phases 1 & 2 LB “I” Pool 100 31 LB “P” Pool 100 8 Phases 3 & 4 U&W Unit 97 26 G Unit 95 10 MM Unit 100 5 Other C8C / X8X 100 9 Total 89

* AER DOIIP Data (Jan. 2014)

15-19W4 15-18W4 14-19W4 14-18W4

Zargon Land Zargon Wells

Phases 1&2 Area

“C8C/X8X” Pool “MM” Unit “G”, “U&W” Units

Phases 3&4 Area

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SLIDE 19

Phases 1 & 2 Project Economics

Zargon Internal Production Forecasts Oil Price: 80 C$/bbl Real (Edmonton Par) Effective Date: January 1, 2015 Compares to McDaniel July 1, 2014 : 2P reserves – 4.5 mmbl, 2P PV10 – $98.6 million

Little Bow ASP: Phases 1&2 Production

500 1000 1500 2000 2500

2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030

bbl/d

Phases 1&2: 12% Recovery (5.2 mmbbl) Phase 1 Phase 2

(1) ASP Chemical injectant booked as capital (2) Phase 2 capital; incurred in 2015 and 2016

Base Waterflood

Go Forward

IRR (%) 90 PV10 ($million) 106 F&D ($/bbl) (1) 16 Netback ($/bbl) (1) 55 Recycle Ratio (1) 3.4 Oil Reserves (mbbl) 5,200 Capital ($million) 12 (2) Chemical ($million) 71 19

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SLIDE 20

Phases 3 & 4 Project Economics

Zargon Internal Production Forecasts Oil Price: 80 C$/bbl Real (Edmonton Par) Effective Date: January 1, 2015 Reflects Current Zargon Working Interests varying from 97 – 100 % (1) ASP Chemical injectant booked as capital (2) Phase 3 & 4 capital; incurred in 2019-2021 (3) Phase 3 & 4 chemical costs; incurred in 2019-2027 ASP Development Forecast - Phases 1-4

500 1000 1500 2000 2500 3000

2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030

BOPD Zargon W.I. Production

Phases 1&2 12% Recovery 100% W.I. Phases 3&4 11% Recovery 97% W.I.

Base Waterflood

Phases 1 - 4 Go Forward Economics Phases 3 & 4 Phases 1 - 4

IRR (%) 37 82 PV10 ($million) 51 157 F&D ($/bbl) (1) 23 19 Netback ($/bbl) (1) 61 58 Recycle Ratio (1) 2.7 3.0 Oil Reserves (mbbl) 4,650 9,850 Capital ($million) (2) 20 32 Chemical ($million) (3) 85 156

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SLIDE 21

Project Netbacks and Recycle Ratios

Notes:

  • EOR royalties reflect recent Alberta EOR royalty modifications, which are calculated to be in effect for the first 8 years of each phase.
  • Existing operations are carrying the battery, gas plant, and field costs; therefore incremental costs are low. Chemical costs are treated as

capital.

The Little Bow ASP project provides attractive half cycle returns (even at the current low oil prices), that will provide profitable reinvestment programs throughout the rest of the decade.

Future Development Costs Phase 1-2 Phase 1-4 Future Capital Costs $ 12 million $ 32 million Future Chemical Costs $ 71 million $ 156 million Total Future Capital $ 83 million $ 188 million Oil Reserves (Zargon estimate) 5,200 mbbl 9,850 mbbl Future Development Cost $ 16/bbl $ 19/bbl Incremental ASP Netbacks & Recycle Ratios for Phase 1-2 $ 50 US/bbl $ 70 US/bbl Estimated Field Price (Cdn.) $ 37.50/bbl $ 62.50/bbl Effective EOR Royalty, % 5 % 5 % Incremental Op. Costs $ 7/bbl $ 7/bbl Incremental Field Netback $ 29/bbl $ 52/bbl Future Development Costs (Phase 1-2) $ 16/bbl $ 16/bbl Go Forward Recycle Ratio 1.8 times 3.2 times

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SLIDE 22

2014 Property Disposition Program

Objective: Conclude property dispositions that high-grade and concentrate the Company’s properties on our core oil exploitation business: More than 350 net active wells were sold in these sales. Over 500 net wells were sold in the last 18 months. Only a few minor non-core properties remain for potential sale. These assets will be “warehoused” until commodity prices improve.

Completed 2014 property sales:

  • $1.5 million of Q1 proceeds for one Saskatchewan property (9 bbl/d)
  • $3.2 million (net) of Q2 proceeds relating to five Alberta transactions (23 bbl/d and

1,050 mcf/d)

  • $6.6 million of Q3 proceeds relating to seven Alberta transactions (17 bbl/d and 7,080

mcf/d)

  • $25.0 million ($22.5 million cash) of Q4 proceeds for Hamilton Lake property (170 bbl/d

and 1,400 mcf/d)

  • Total cash proceeds of $33.7 million (net) for approximately 220 bb/d and 9,500 mcf/d

(or 1,800 boe/d)

  • In aggregate, these properties (net of acquisitions) had been assigned 21.2 bcf and 824

mbbl in the McDaniel 2013 year end report. 22

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SLIDE 23

2015 Capital Budgets

Zargon is committed to not materially increase debt levels in 2015. Based on the current 2015 budget, Zargon’s $32 million of 2015 capital programs and $11 million of dividends ($0.03 per share per month) must be balanced by $43 million of 2015 corporate cash flows, which (based on our corporate modeling – inputs provided on the next slide) require a WTI oil price of $60 US per barrel in H1 and $70 US per barrel in H2. In order to balance the 2015 budget in a lower price environment, Zargon’s adjustment hierarchy will be: g&a and operating cost reductions, conventional capital deferral/elimination, non-critical path ASP phase 2 capital deferrals and finally (if absolutely necessary) temporary dividend rate adjustments. ASP chemical injections will be maintained. Note: excluding hedges a $10 US/bbl WTI change in 2015 oil prices changes cash flows by $15 million.

Capital Program 2015 (Dec. 2014 budget) ASP Phase 1 Exploitation Capital $ 2 million ASP Phase 2 Development Capital $ 6 million ASP Phase 1 Chemical Costs $12 million Total ASP Capital $20 million Conventional (non ASP) Capital $12 million Total Capital Program $32 million

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SLIDE 24

Production Guidance and Cost Targets

  • Operating

Conventional Oil - $22.00 per bbl; Gas - $2.60/mcf; ASP Oil - $7.00/bbl

  • G&A

$5.00 per boe (excluding one-time charges); costs expected to improve during the year due to effects of corporate downsizing and growing ASP volumes.

  • Royalties

Conventional Oil 18%; ASP Oil 5%; Natural Gas 9%.

  • Q1 2015 Oil

4,100 barrels per day (4,000 bbl/d conventional and 100 bbl/d ASP)

  • Cal. 2015 Oil

3,800 barrels per day (excl. ASP) 400 barrels per day (ASP)

  • Q1 2015 Gas

5.0 million cubic feet per day

  • Cal. 2015 Gas

4.8 million cubic feet per day

  • FX

$0.80 US/$Cdn.

  • Oil Prices

$60 US/bbl; H2 $70 US/bbl WTI to Zargon Base Differential; $18 Cdn./bbl WTI to ASP Differential; $25 Cdn./bbl

  • Gas Prices

$2.65/mcf

  • Hedges

Refer to appendix Production Guidance 2015 Cost Targets (Year Avg.) Other 2015 Parameters

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SLIDE 25

McDaniel 2014 Yr. End Net Asset Value

Waterflood and waterdrive property value of $286 million less estimated December 31/14 net debt

  • f $114 million leaves $172 million or $5.70 per Zargon share (30.18 million shares outstanding).

Little Bow ASP, undeveloped land and other assets (after sales) add $133 million, or $4.41 per share, taking the net asset value to $10.11 per share.

Waterflood Waterdrive Properties Q1/15 Oil Guidance (bbl/d) Q1/15 Gas Guidance (mmcf/d)

  • McD. Oil Res.

(mmbbl)

  • McD. Gas
  • Res. (bcf)

PV10 Asset Value (million)

Williston Basin 1,850 0.40 7.95 1.23 $150 Taber South 730 0.10 2.25 0.20 $ 55 Bellshill (incl. Killam) 670 0.20 2.19 2.20 $ 45 Little Bow Conventional 500 1.30 2.14 2.22 $ 36 Subtotal – Core 3,750 2.00 14.53 5.85 $ 286

Non-Core Assets Q1/15 Oil Guidance (bbl/d) Q1/15 Gas Guidance (mmcf/d)

  • McD. Oil Res.

(mmbbl)

  • McD. Gas

Res.(bcf) PV10 Asset Value ($million)

Non Core Remaining 250 3.00 0.66 8.10 $ 20 Undeveloped Land

  • $ 12

Subtotal – Non-Core 250 3.00 0.66 8.10 $ 32

Little Bow ASP Assets Q1/15 Oil Guidance (bbl/d) Q1/15 Gas Guidance (mmcf/d)

  • McD. Oil Res.

(mmbbl)

  • McD. Gas

Res.(bcf) PV 10 Asset Value ($million)

Subtotal – ASP 100

  • 4.48

1.74 $ 101 Grand Total 4,100 5.00 19.67 15.69 $ 419 25

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SLIDE 26

McDaniel 2014 Yr. End Net Asset Value

(30.18 million shares at Dec 31, 2014) (30.09 million shares at Dec 31, 2013)

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SLIDE 27

Key Takeaways

  • Zargon’s unique low-decline asset provides stability in this challenging low price period.
  • Balance sheet will be protected by cost containment initiatives, 2015 capital budget

reductions and finally (if absolutely necessary) a temporary further dividend reduction.

  • Bank debt (& net working capital deficiency) of $56 million at year end 2014 represents
  • nly 43% of authorized bank line.
  • Go forward ASP project economics provide solid recycle ratios (1.8 times), even at WTI
  • il prices of $50 US/bbl. Little Bow ASP project provides years of profitable production

growth through 2021.

  • ASP project success will lead to follow-on projects at Little Bow and potentially other

Southern Alberta properties. Balance Sheet Protected Deep Discount to NAV Oil Growth at Low Cost

  • Investors buy Zargon at a large discount to the proved and probable net asset value

for Zargon’s waterflood and waterdrive oil assets. No value is attributed to the Little Bow ASP project.

  • Zargon’s long-dated oil reserves provide investor’s exceptional torque to future

increases in oil prices.

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SLIDE 28

zargon.ca

Appendices

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SLIDE 29

Williston Basin Property Summary

  • The Williston Basin assets are

characterized by waterflood and waterdrive

  • properties. Significant oil exploitation work

remains.

  • Since 2008, these properties have provided

$281 million of property cash flow and $147 million of free cash flow after capital, in addition to providing a net $87 million

  • f proceeds from property dispositions.

1000 1100 1200 1300 1400 1500 1600 1700 1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 2500 2600 2700 2800 2900

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Historical - Current Assets 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

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SLIDE 30

Williston Basin Activity Summary

Ongoing Activities

  • Exploit long life low decline pools

with horizontal wells and waterflood enhancements. 2014 Activities

  • Drilled 8 exploitation horizontal

wells at Steelman, Weyburn, Ralph and Mackobee Coulee.

  • Upgraded 2 central batteries

(Weyburn, and Steelman).

  • Modified and enhanced existing

waterflood projects (Steelman and Ralph). 2015 Activities

  • The size and scope of the Williston

Basin conventional oil exploitation capital programs will be dependent

  • n the corporate cash flows

available.

  • Drill exploitation horizontal wells at

Frys, Weyburn, Huntoon, Ralph and Mackobee Coulee.

  • Upgrade 2 central batteries

(Huntoon and Elswick).

  • Modify and enhance existing

waterflood projects (Weyburn, Frys and Elswick).

Estevan

North Dakota Saskatchewan Manitoba

Haas Truro Mackobee Coulee Frys Steelman Ralph Elswick Weyburn Workman 30

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SLIDE 31

Taber South Property Summary

  • The Taber South waterflood property has been developed with horizontal producers and injectors.

Now, mostly developed (except for waterflood expansion) the property provides significant free cash flow.

  • Since 2008, the property has provided $80 million of property cash flow and $43 million of free cash

flow after capital.

Taber S - Production Contribution by Drilling Program Date (29 hz wells) 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900 1,000 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Oil Rate (bbl/d)

Pre 2008 2008 2009 2010 Q1 2011 Q3 2011 Q4 2012 Q4 2013 Q2 2014 2 wells converted to Water Injection 1 well converted to Water Injection 1 well converted to Water Injection

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SLIDE 32

Little Bow (pre-ASP) Property Summary

  • The Little Bow waterflood property is now

being re-developed for tertiary ASP potential.

  • Since 2009, these waterflood assets have

provided $38 million of property cash flow and $20 million of free cash flow after capital.

Little Bow Core Area Production

200 300 400 500 600 700 800 Jan-10 Jul-10 Jan-11 Jul-11 Jan-12 Jul-12 Jan-13 Jul-13 Jan-14 Oil Rate (bbl/d)

Zargon Operated Oilwells

No Drilling Activity - Well Reactivation/Optimization Projects

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SLIDE 33

Bellshill Lake Property Summary

  • Bellshill Lake property includes a Bellshill Lake waterdrive and

Killam Glauconite waterflood property.

  • The Bellshill Lake waterdrive property has been developed with

vertical producers and high volume lift.

  • The Killam Glauconite property is a less mature property that is

being developed with horizontal producers.

  • Since 2008, these two Bellshill Lake properties have provided $76

million of property cash flow and $36 million of free cash flow after capital.

100 1,000 Jan-07 Jan-08 Jan-09 Jan-10 Jan-11 Jan-12 Jan-13 Jan-14 Oil Rate (bbl/day)

base 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

Rate OPEX Netback Netback CAPEX Net Proceeds (bbl/d) ($/boe) ($/boe) ($M) ($M) ($M) 2008 488 12.70 50.56 11,987 6,302 5,686 2009 738 11.12 31.94 9,693 3,684 6,009 2010 607 13.91 38.42 9,306 4,863 4,443 2011 688 15.33 45.24 12,596 7,570 5,026 2012 703 13.92 39.78 12,034 9,185 2,849 2013 713 14.43 41.04 12,414 4,067 8,348 H1-2014 718 13.87 52.29 7,680 4,368 3,312 Total 75,710 40,037 35,673 Netback Elements

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SLIDE 34

Little Bow Phase 1 & 2 Optimizations

  • Reservoir simulation model

developed to optimize ASP flood design

  • Multiple scenarios:
  • ASP fluid design
  • Drilling & workover locations
  • Pattern layout
  • Optimized case predicts 6.5

million barrels incremental oil recovery

  • Economics assume 5.2 million

barrels: 12% incremental recovery factor

1,276 cases run

Base Waterflood Recovery

ASP Oil Recovery (mbbl)

McDaniel 2013 Year End: 4,500 Zargon 2013 Optimized: 6,500 Zargon 2013 Economics: 5,200

ASP Oil Recovery 

Oil Recovery

1,276 cases run

Base Waterflood Recovery

ASP Oil Recovery (mbbl)

McDaniel 2013 Year End: 4,500 Zargon 2013 Optimized: 6,500 Zargon 2013 Economics: 5,200

ASP Oil Recovery 

Oil Recovery

1,276 cases run

Base Waterflood Recovery

ASP Oil Recovery (mbbl)

McDaniel 2013 Year End: 4,500 Zargon 2013 Optimized: 6,500 Zargon 2013 Economics: 5,200

ASP Oil Recovery 

Oil Recovery

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SLIDE 35

Alberta Modified EOR Crown Royalty

Program Highlights and its Impact on Zargon

  • Announced July 2014.
  • Now, Alberta conventional oil EOR royalties in line with Alberta oil sands and

Saskatchewan conventional oil EOR programs.

  • 5 percent oil royalty rate for up to 10 years.
  • Little Bow Phase 1: Eight years expected.
  • McDaniel has updated the Little Bow ASP evaluation with the new royalty program.

McDaniel (Phases 1 & 2) Oil & Liquids Reserves (mmbbl) Project NPV

  • Prev. EOR Roy.

As of Jan. 1, 2014 ($million) Project NPV Modified EOR Roy. As of July 1, 2014 ($million) Proved Undeveloped 1.53 25.1 39.6 Proved and Probable Undeveloped 4.48 66.3 98.6

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SLIDE 36

Estimated Tax Pools

Category

  • Dec. 31, 2014

Canadian Exploration Expense $ 58 million Non Capital Losses $102 million Canadian Development Expense $ 34 million Canadian Oil & Gas Property Expense $ nil million Canadian Undepreciated Capital Cost $ 83 million Other $ 5 million Total Tax Pools $282 million Zargon has more than $280 million of very high quality Canadian tax pools that will shield increasing ASP revenues for many years.

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SLIDE 37

Current Commodity Hedges

  • Q1 2015: 3,000 gj/d at $4.18/gj (AECO)
  • Zargon uses hedges to help fund dividends and capital programs

during periods of lower commodity prices

  • Q1 2015: 1,600 bbl/d at $93.44 US/bbl (WTI)
  • Q2 2015: 1,200 bbl/d at $94.01 US/bbl (WTI)

Hedging Strategy Current Forward Natural Gas Sales Current Forward Oil Sales

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