CORPORATE PRESENTATION AES GENER September 2017 AES Gener at a - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
CORPORATE PRESENTATION AES GENER September 2017 AES Gener at a - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
CORPORATE PRESENTATION AES GENER September 2017 AES Gener at a Glance Leading power generation company controlled by AES Corporation AES GENER IS ENERGIZED BY A $813 M $2.8 B REGIONAL WORKFORCE OF +1,500 PEOPLE EBITDA MARKET CAP IMPROVING
2
Leading power generation company controlled by AES Corporation
AES Gener at a Glance
IMPROVING LIVES IN
CHILE, COLOMBIA AND ARGENTINA 5,813
GROSS MW in operation
4,150 1,020 643
531
GROSS MW in construction (Alto Maipo Project in Chile)
TECHNOLOGIES
COAL, 3,029 MW HYDRO, 1,291 MW GAS/DIESEL, 1,459 MW OTHERS, 34 MW
FOUNDED IN 1981
And Acquired by The AES Corporation in 2000, Who Currently owns 66.7% Named to
DOW JONES SUSTAINABILITY INDEX for Chile
AES GENER IS ENERGIZED BY A REGIONAL WORKFORCE OF
+1,500 PEOPLE
RECOGNIZED AS A
GREAT PLACE TO WORK in
CHILE (ranked 16th), COLOMBIA (ranked 16th) and ARGENTINA (ranked 15th)
$8.0 B
TOTAL ASSETS
OWNED & MANAGED
$813 M
EBITDA
2017-2Q LTM
$4.0 B
- CONS. DEBT
2017-2Q
$2.8 B
MARKET CAP
AS OF AUG 8, 2017
RATED
Baa3 / BBB- / BBB- BY
MOODY’S, S&P GLOBAL FITCH RATINGS
MARKET SHARE
CHILE 30% by generation COLOMBIA 5% by generation ARGENTINA 3% by generation
COMMERCIAL BUSINESS LARGELY CONTRACTED
EFFICIENT GENERATION CONTRACTED WITH AN AVERAGE LIFE OF 11 YEARS LISTED N
SANTIAGO STOCK EXCHANGE
3 Contains Forward-Looking Statements
2017 2Q HIGHLIGHTS
4
Highest LTM EBITDA of all time: $813mn
Year-to-Date EBITDA of $380mn, +10% increase over 2016 Second quarter EBITDA of $191mn, +2% higher than 2016
Continued enhancing Investment Grade Credit Profile by repaying Corporate Debt
$132mn prepaid since December 2016
In April, the Company declared dividends of $261mn payable in 2017, equal to 100% of Net
Income in 2016.
$146mn distributed in May 2017
Second Quarter of 2017
Highlights
5
Advanced second phase of expansion, all projects other than Alto Maipo fully operational
Cochrane Project fully operational and contracted since October 2016 New 743 MW generating earnings and cash flows
We continue developing solar PV based distributed energy solutions
4 contracts signed with new industrial customers
Nueva Renca continues contributing margin through the tolling agreements. Secured renewal
for 2018 Second Quarter of 2017
Highlights
6
AES Gener continues to be the largest energy producer in Chile contributing 30% of gross
generation during the first half of 2017 Largest Energy Producer in Chile
Highlights (cont’d)
AES Gener 24% AES Gener 48%
SIC SING ~27.5 TWh ~9.0 TWh
AES Gener 30%
SIC + SING
~36.5 TWh
7
5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 GWH per Year Regulated Non-Regulated Guacolda Discos 27% Mining 64% Industrial 9%
- Avg. Contract
life: 11 years
AES Gener Contracted Portfolio
Highlights (cont’d)
Efficient
generation fully contracted with no relevant maturities until 2021/2022
Looking forward to present competitive bids in the upcoming regulated auction (October 2017)
Guacolda re-contracted ~1,200 GWh with industrial customers
PPAs with tenors ranging between 3 and 7 years
8 Contains Forward-Looking Statements
COMPANY OVERVIEW
9
Markets Overview (2017-2Q LTM Figures)
CHILE ($590m EBITDA)
4,150 MW of installed capacity (SIC+SING)
COLOMBIA ($200m EBITDA)
83% 17%
ENERGY SALES
Unregulated Customers Spot Sales
ARGENTINA ($24m EBITDA)
99% 1%
GENERATION
Thermal Solar
7,643 GWh
SING
34% 60% 6%
ENERGY SALES
Unregulated Regulated Spot Sales
81% 19% 0%
GENERATION
Thermal Hydro Other
7,425 GWh
SIC
67% 33%
ENERGY SALES
Contract Sales Spot
100%
GENERATION
Hydro
4,439 GWh
SIN
54% 46%
ENERGY SALES
Contract Spot Sales
100%
GENERATION
Thermal
4,637 GWh
SADI
$727mn $861mn $363mn $122mn
SING ASSETS, 1,406 MW
NORGENER, 277 MW, coal ANGAMOS, 558 MW, coal COCHRANE, 550 MW, coal ANDES SOLAR, 21MW
SIC ASSETS, 2,744 MW,
VENTANAS, 884 MW, coal GUACOLDA, 760 MW, coal ELECTRICA SANTIAGO, 750 MW, gas & diesel HYDROS, 271 MW OTHERS, 78 MW, diesel
SADI ASSETS, 643 MW,
TERMOANDES, 643 MW, gas
SIN ASSETS, 1,020 MW,
CHIVOR, 1,000 MW, hydro TUNJITA, 20 MW, hydro
10
We operate a 5,813 MW diversified portfolio in terms of market and technology
Portfolio Overview (2017-2Q LTM Figures)
71% 18% 11%
Chile Colombia Argentina
Countries
47% 24% 18% 11%
SIC SING SIN SADI
Markets
77% 23%
Thermal Renewable
Technology
52% 22% 23% 2% 1%
Coal Hydro Gas/Diesel Diesel Other
Fuel
37% 35% 25% 3%
SIC SING SIN SADI
EBITDA
5,813 MW 5,813 MW 5,813 MW 5,813 MW $813mn
72% 25% 3%
Chile Colombia Argentina $813mn
11
Long term contracts with creditworthy and reliable offtakers
Commercial Strategy for Chile
Overview
Commercial strategy aims to maximize cash flow while minimizing volatility
Optimal contracted position seeks to match contracted energy with long term efficient generation
Contract customers include regulated customers (distribution companies) and unregulated customers (mining and industrial)
Contracts include Price indexation mechanisms (coal and US CPI) and passthrough provisions (regulatory risks)
~11 years average life of outstanding contracts
Customers
Discos 27% Mining 64% Industrial 9%
5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 GWH per Year Regulated Non-Regulated Guacolda
Contract
- avg. life:
11 years
12
Colombia Argentina
Commercial Strategy for Colombia and Argentina
Contract Energy Energia Plus Contracts Remaining Generation Spot Sales to ISO
59% 41%
ENERGY SALES (YTD)
Contract Spot
~80% of Expected Generation Medium Term Contracts (1-4 Years) Remaining Generation Spot and Frequency Regulation Sales Firm Energy (~3,000 GWh) Reliability Charge Revenue
81% 19%
ENERGY SALES (YTD)
Contract Spot
13
Phase I 2007-2013: 1,677 MW of new capacity
Successful Project Development and Construction
BESS Angamos I BESS Norgener 2 2 12 MW Energy Storage Start Date: Nov. 2009 20 MW Energy Storage Start Date: Dec. 2011 Guacolda III Guacolda IV 4 4 152 MW Coal Start Date: Jul. 2009 152 MW Coal Start Date: Mar. 2010 Angamos I & II 1 558 MW (2 units) Coal Start Date: Apr./Oct. 2011 1 2 Los Vientos 3 132 MW Diesel Start Date: Jan. 2007 4 Ventanas III Ventanas IV 6 7 Santa Lidia 5 139 MW Diesel Start Date: Apr. 2009 272 MW Coal Start Date: Feb. 2010 272 MW Coal Start Date: Mar. 2013 3 6 7 5 Antofagasta Santiago
Extensive experience in project development
and execution on time and within budget
49% increase of installed capacity between
2007 and 2014
Total investment of $3bn
3,417 5,094
2007 2014
+49%
14
Phase II 2015-2019: 1,256 MW of new capacity
Successful Project Development and Construction
$4bn investment, fully funded
+21%
Guacolda V – 152 MW Angamos Desalinization Tunjita – 20 MW Andes Solar – 21 MW Cochrane – 532 MW Alto Maipo – 531 MW
Guacolda V - COMPLETED
Construction Progress
152 MW Coal Start Date: Dec. 2015 Angamos Desal - COMPLETED Desalination plant Andes Solar - COMPLETED 21 MW Solar Start Date: May 2016 Tunjita - COMPLETED 20 MW Hydro Start Date: Jun 2016 Cochrane - COMPLETED 550 MW (2 units) Coal Start Date: Oct 2016 Alto Maipo 531 MW Run of River Hydro Progress: 52%
152 573 531 2015 5.222 5.070 2019 6.326 5.795 2016 5.795 5.222
15
IFRS 2017-2Q LTM Figures in US$ mn
Strong Financial Performance
Total debt and net debt / EBITDA EBITDA & EBITDA margin Total CAPEX Capital Allocation
377 426 581 590 263 246 172 201 32 19 25 22 672 691 778 813
29% 32% 34% 35%
2014 2015 2016 2Q-2017 LTM Chile Colombia Argentina EBITDA Margin 1,520 1,669 2,198 2,405 1,214 1,706 1,626 1,560 2,734 3,375 3,824 3,966
3.7x 4.5x 4.3x 4.4x
2014 2015 2016 2Q-2017 LTM PF/Non-Recourse Corporate Debt Net Debt/EBITDA 703 893 479 459 127 109 83 158 830 1,002 562 617 2014 2015 2016 2Q-2017 LTM Construction Maintenance 162 279 53 117 210 235 93 188 66 92 102 113 438 606 248 418 2014 2015 2016 2Q-2017 LTM Equity Contribution Dividends Paid Debt Payment
16
Strong Capital Structure
Manageable Amortization Profile for $3,966mn as of June 30, 2017
- Average Cost: 5.5%
- Average Life: 14 years
- Net Debt/EBITDA: 4.4x (2.4x excluding non recourse debt)
- 98% denominated in USD
- 93% at fixed interest rate
61% 39%
Non Recourse Debt Recourse Debt
$3.97bn
47 157 174 153 558 161 173 187 571 1,786 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026/2073
AMORTIZATION SCHEDULE (US$mn)
Non Recourse Debt Recourse Debt Note: Amortization Schedule does not include potential acceleration of Alto Maipo’s debt
17
Key Investment Considerations
LEADING POSITION
Largest energy producer in Chile, and major producer in Colombia, with
- ne of the most efficient plants in Argentina
DIVERSIFICATION
One of the most diversified Latin American generator in terms of geographical footprint and technology HIGH GROWTH
Outgrown peers in addition of new capacity and secured future growth through fully-financed pipeline STABLE CASH FLOWS
Largely contracted US dollar-denominated revenue streams with built in fuel and inflation passthrough provisions STRONG CAPITAL STRUCTURE
A successful financing history committed to investment grade rating
18 Contains Forward-Looking Statements
APPENDIX
19
We operate a 5,813 MW diversified portfolio in terms of market and technology
Assets Overview
SIC (2,744 MW) SING (1,406 MW) Colombia (1,020 MW) Argentina (643 MW)
VENTANAS, 884MW
4 coal units Located in Valparaiso Start of operations: 1964/1996/2010/2013
GUACOLDA, 760MW
5 coal units Located in Huasco Start of operations: 1995/1996/2009/2010/2015
ELECTRICA SANTIAGO 479MW
2 gas/diesel units
HYDRO PLANTS 271MW
4 run of river hydro units
Chile
NORGENER, 277MW
2 coal units Located in Tocopilla Start of operations: 1995/1997
ANGAMOS, 558MW
2 coal units Located in Mejillones Start of operations: 2011
COCHRANE, 550MW
2 coal units Located in Mejillones Start of operations: 2016
ANDES SOLAR, 21MW
1 PV solar Adjacent to Andes substation Start of operations: 2016
CHIVOR, 1,000MW
10 hydro units Located in Bocaya Start of operations: 1977/1981
TUNJITA, 20MW
1 hydro units Located in Bocaya Start of operations: 2016
TERMOANDES, 643MW
Combined Cycle Turbines: 2 gas, 1 steam Located in Salta Start of operations: 1999
Energy Storage (Chile)
ENERGY STORAGE 52MW
3 units in Norgener, Angamos and Cochrane
BACKUP PLANTS, 350MW
3 diesel plants: Los Vientos, Santa Lidia, Laguna Verde and Laja
20
5 11 16 4 5 2013 2014 2015 2016 2Q-2017 LTM CAPEX 5.8x 6.8x 6.9x 6.2x 6.6x 3.1x 3.0x 2.5x 2.8x 2.5x 2013 2014 2015 2016 2Q-2017 LTM Net Debt/EBITDA EBITDA/Financial Expense 119 112 111 122 112 39% 38% 39% 39% 35% 2013 2014 2015 2016 2Q-2017 LTM EBITDA EBITDA Margin 225 214 238 252 242 81 83 44 52 72 2 1 2 5 10 308 298 284 309 323 2013 2014 2015 2016 2Q-2017 LTM Contracted Spot Other
Angamos
EBITDA and EBITDA Margin Revenue Credit Metrics Capital Expenditures
Summary of Historical Financials (US$mn)
21
125 342 115 78 60 2013 2014 2015 2016 2Q-2017 LTM CAPEX 165 129 122 150 148 30% 25% 28% 39% 35% 2013 2014 2015 2016 2Q-2017 LTM EBITDA EBITDA Margin 554 515 438 381 425 554 515 438 381 425 2013 2014 2015 2016 2Q-2017 LTM Revenue
Guacolda
EBITDA and EBITDA Margin Revenue Credit Metrics Capital Expenditures
Summary of Historical Financials (US$mn)
2.9x 4.8x 6.3x 4.9x 4.7x 7.0x 7.3x 3.9x 3.5x 3.7x 2013 2014 2015 2016 1Q-2017 LTM
Net Debt/EBITDA EBITDA/Financial Expense
2.9x 4.8x 6.3x 4.9x 4.5x 7.0x 7.3x 3.9x 3.5x 3.7x 2013 2014 2015 2016 2Q-2017 LTM Net Debt/EBITDA EBITDA/Financial Expense
22 Contains Forward-Looking Statements
2Q-2017 FINANCIAL REVIEW
23
Consolidated Financials
EBITDA BY MARKET YTD Second Quarter
Key Financials (US$mn) 2017 2016
- Var. (%)
2017 2016
- Var. (%)
Operating Revenues 1,156 1,099 5% 599 544 10% Gross Profit 291 272 7% 145 150
- 4%
EBITDA 380 345 10% 191 187 2% EBITDA Margin 33% 31% 32% 34% Net Income 88 108
- 19%
41 67
- 38%
36% 50% 40% 31% 22% 16%
2016 345
3%
2017 380
2%
Year to date Second Quarter
33% 47% 42% 28% 23% 23% 2% 2%
2017 191 2016 187
SADI SING SIN SIC
24
EBITDA Increased 2%, $4mn
EBITDA Bridge
29 24 191
SIN 2017 SING
1
SADI
2
2016 SIC
187
Second Quarter
46 29 36
SADI
3
SING SIC 2016
344
2017
380
SIN
Year-to-Date EBITDA Increased 10%, $36mn
25
Lower efficient generation and higher coal costs due to indexation lag Accrual of green taxes in 2017 Lower margin from Nueva Renca
YTD EBITDA Decreased by $36mn
SIC Market
87 63 24 12
2017 2016 1Q Var 2Q Var
171 84
- 21%
135 72 2Q 1Q
Regulated Customers 62% Unregulated Customers 35% Spot Sales 3%
$440mn
EBITDA Variation (YTD) Electricity Revenue Breakdown (YTD)
26
Cochrane and Andes Solar started operations Accrual of Green taxes in 2017 Lower margin from old Norgener contracts
YTD EBITDA Increased by $46mn
SING Market
17 29 51 80 +43%
2017
152 72
2Q Var 1Q Var 2016
106 55 1Q 2Q
Unregulated Customers 77% Spot Sales 23%
EBITDA Variation (YTD) Electricity Revenue Breakdown (YTD)
$382mn
27
Higher contract sales Lower costs in energy purchases Lower spot sales
YTD EBITDA Increased by $29mn
SIN Market
13 41 42
1Q Var
28
2016
55 84 43
2017
+52%
2Q Var
1 2Q 1Q
Contract Sales 81% Spot Sales 19%
EBITDA Variation (YTD) Electricity Revenue Breakdown (YTD)
$145mn
28
Higher fuel and transmission costs Lower generation due to maintenance activities Higher energy prices and higher volume of contract sales
YTD EBITDA Decreased by $3mn
SADI Market
6 4 1 2
- 27%
2017
8 4
2Q Var 1Q Var 2016
11 5 1Q 2Q
Contract Sales 59% Spot Sales 41%
EBITDA Variation (YTD) Electricity Revenue Breakdown (YTD)
$62mn
29
YTD, Attributable to AES Gener (US$mn)
Net Income
69
24 21 8 35 1H-2017
108
2
88
1H-2016
EBITDA Variation Depreciation (*) Higher Interest Expense (*) Non-controlling Interest Others
(*) Both higher depreciation and higher interest expense are related to new assets
30
YTD (US$mn)
Cash Flow and Liquidity
93 174 379
Investment CF
Dec-16
470
Operating CF
Jun-17 2
356
FX Variation Financing CF Cash and Cash Equivalents $356 mn Undrawn Committed Facilities $240 mn
$596mn
Liquidity as of June 30, 2017
31 Contains Forward-Looking Statements
APPENDIX
Distribution Companies PPA Auctions
32
Distribution Companies PPA Auctions
Year of the Auction 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Start of Supply 2016-2019 2019 2021-2022 2024 2023 2024 2026 Tenor 15 20 20 20 20 20 20
13.0 1.2 12.4 2.2
Auction Size (TWh-Year) Auction Launch (Year)
2013 2015 2015-01 2017-01 2017 2018 2019
Last Auctions
Current Auction
7.0 7.0 4.5
- Avg. Awarded Price
94.7 $/MWh (92% awarded w/o change in law)
- Avg. Awarded Price
47.6 $/MWh (100% awarded)
- Avg. Awarded Price
79.9 $/MWh
33
Main Changes on Terms & Conditions
Distribution Companies PPA Auctions
Main Terms and Conditions 2015-01 Auction 2017-01 Auction
Energy Offered 12,400 GWh per year 2,200 GWh per year PPA Tenor 20 years, starting 2021-2022 20 years, starting 2024 Power Blocks Daily blocks Daily blocks + seasonal blocks for hydro (new, totaling 600 GWh) Guarantees Initial ~$4,000 per GWh (CLF$100) Performance ~$12,000 per GWh (CLF$300) Initial ~$8,000 per GWh (CLF$200) Performance ~$24,000 per GWh (CLF$600) Fines for Delays (for new projects, every two milestones delay) ~$200 per GWh (CLF$5) ~$1,200 per GWh (CLF$30)
34 Contains Forward-Looking Statements
APPENDIX
About The AES Corporation
35
We are part of The AES Corporation, one of the leading power companies in the world, who provides access to power globally
The AES Corporation Overview
$36B TOTAL ASSETS
OWNED & MANAGED
$14B
TOTAL 2016
REVENUES
17
COUNTRIES
6
MARKET-ORIENTED STRATEGIC BUSINESS UNITS
4,759 MW
GENERATION CAPACITY UNDER CONSTRUCTION
FUEL TYPES
Coal, Diesel, Gas, Oil, Pet Coke, Renewables
FORTUNE 200
Global Power Company
FOUNDED IN 1981
Named to
DOW JONES SUSTAINABILITY INDEX for North America
for the Third Year in a Row (2014-2016)
19,000 EMPLOYEES
AES serves
9M+
CUSTOMERS
7
UTILITY
COMPANIES
36,084
GROSS MW in operation
MISSION GLOBAL ACCESS TO
Construction expertise and contractors Financing Equipment and fuel suppliers Engineering, consulting and insurance
Improving lives by providing safe, reliable and sustainable energy solutions United States Brazil Mexico, Central America and the Caribbean Europe Asia (India, Philippines and Vietnam) Andes (Argentina, Chile and Colombia)
SBUs
25,610
Proportional MW generation portfolio
www.aes.com
Sources: The AES Corporation SEC flings. Note: According to information provided in the 2016 10-K of The AES Corporation
36
AES Gener and AES Argentina Generación share the same senior leadership
Largest energy producer in Chile, a leading player in Argentina and a major producer in Colombia and Brazil
One of the most diversified LatAm generation player in terms of geographical footprint and technology
Owns InterAndes transmission line, connecting Chile and Argentina
AES has a strong regional presence (11,872 MW)(1), owning assets in Argentina, Chile and Colombia under Andes SBU (8,574 MW) and Brazil, under Brazil SBU (3,298 MW)
Sources: Preliminary OM, The AES Corporation 10-K 2015, AES Gener Financials as of September 30, 2016. 1) Adding up 8,555 MW of generation capacity under ANDES SBU as of September 30, 2016 and 3,298 MW under Brazil SBU as of December 31, 2015. 2) Including AES Gener’s Termoandes facility located in Argentina.
The AES Corporation Strong Footprint in South America
Andes SBU Overview
Andes SBU Brazil SBU
We leverage on our relationship with AES in negotiations with suppliers, regulators and creditors, and benefit from their technical expertise, and global best practices in optimizing performance
29% 28% 35% 8%
Chile Colombia Argentina(2) Brazil
643 MW 1,020 MW 4,150 MW + 52MW Energy Storage 2,760 MW 2 facilities for fuel procurement Service center in Buenos Aires 172 people Finance and HR transactional service to other AES affiliates 3,298 MW 1 utility
AES Electropaulo AES Tietê AES Uruguaiana
3,404 MW 1,020 MW 4,150 MW 3,298 MW
AES owns 11,872 MW in South America
37 Contains Forward-Looking Statements