Corporate Presentation
3Q-2019
Corporate Presentation 3Q-2019 LEADING GENERATION COMPANY IN LATIN - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Corporate Presentation 3Q-2019 LEADING GENERATION COMPANY IN LATIN AMERICA AES GENER AT A GLANCE WITH DIVERSIFIED OPERA TIONS IN CHILE, COLOMBIA AND ARGENTINA 5,229MW 5,229M 784 784MW 131 131MW Of installed capacity (1) Of fully funded
Corporate Presentation
3Q-2019
LEADING GENERATION COMPANY IN LATIN AMERICA
2
5,229M 5,229MW
Of installed capacity(1) Leading Energy Producer in Chile
131 131MW
Added since launch of Greentegra
784 784MW
Of fully funded green capacity under construction(2)
Baa3/BBB-/BBB-
Stable Outlook (Moody’s/S&P/Fitch)
3.9x (3)
Net Debt/LTM 3Q’19 EBITDA
~10 years
Average life of PPAs(4) Providing Stable Cash Flows
US$852mm
LTM 3Q’19 EBITDA
Sources: Company, Bloomberg. Note: LTM Figures derive from the addition of 9M’19 and FY’18 figures minus 9M’18 figures. (1) Includes 5,177MW of installed capacity and 52MW of Battery Energy Storage System. (2) Includes 683MW of capacity under construction (531MW Alto Maipo, 80MW Andes Solar IIa, 101MW Los Olmos 62MW Mesamávida, and 10MW Virtual Reservoir Battery) at the end of 2019. (3) Consolidated metric, not including equity credit (4) Average remaining life on PPAs in Chile as of December 2019. (5) Total Shareholder Return from May 7, 2018 to January 9, 2020
WITH DIVERSIFIED OPERA TIONS IN CHILE, COLOMBIA AND ARGENTINA
Launched Greentegra Strategy to incorporate Renewables leveraging on existing commercial relationships
26% TSR
Since Launch of
Greentegra(5)
Member of Chile and MILA Indices
3
LEADING POSITION
DIVERSIFIED PORTFOLIO
HIGH QUALITY LONG TERM PPAs
GREEN TRANSFORMATIONAL STRATEGY
ROBUST CAPITAL STRUCTURE
STRONG FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE
4
CHILE (3,545MW)(1) COLOMBIA (1,041MW) ARGENTINA (643MW)
Only International T-Line connecting
Source: Company. Global Note: Installed Capacity breakdown may not sum the total of 5,229MW due to rounding. (1) Includes 52MW of Battery Energy Storage System in operation.
66% 27% 7% 58% 13% 29% 30% 70%
5
US$852 mm 27.2 TWh/y 5,229 MW(1)
Argentina Chile Regulated/Unregulated Spot Coal Renewables Diesel/Gas Colombia
CUSTOMERS TECHNOLOGY(2)
Source: Company. Note: Figures as of 3Q’19 LTM.. (1) Includes 5,177MW of installed capacity and 52MW of Battery Energy Storage System. (2) As of December 31, 2019.
Geographical and Technological Diversification Mitigates Risk
Contracted 20% Spot 80% Contracted 59% Spot 41% Unregulated 66% Regulated 22% Spot 12%
6
Argentina Colombia Chile
~10 year average life 2 ➔ 4 year average life 1 year average life
US$564mm US$227mm US$61mm PPA Tenor / Description LTM 3Q’19
15.4TWh 7.3TWh 4.4TWh
Energy Sales
Stable Cash Flows Supported by Long Term Contracts
Most long-term contracts include indexation mechanisms that periodically adjust prices based on generation cost structure and, in some cases, pass-through of full fuel and regulatory costs
Source: Company. (1) Note: Energy Sales figures correspond to LTM as of 3Q-2019
FIRM COMMITMENT WITH THE ENVIRONMENT
7
Source: Company.
PROVIDER OF CHOICE IN SOUTH AMERICA
Integrating Renewables Into Our Portfolio, Leveraging On Existing Competitive Advantages FIRM COMMITMENT WITH THE ENVIRONMENT
Greentegra
Energy Solutions Transform existing Relationships
Add Green⁺ Contracts with new clients
8
Source: Company.
Fixed Charge Fixed Charge
Variable Cost passthrough RENEWABLE
PPA
Take or Pay PPA Coal to Green PPA Fixed Price +Coal indexation Fixed Price ↑ Duration ↑ Renewables ↓Price +CPI Indexation Conventional PPA Blextend PPA
Extend existing Relationships
Green Tech Portfolio + Tailored Services GenerFlex PPA
Milestones Achieved Since Launch in 2018 FIRM COMMITMENT WITH THE ENVIRONMENT
9
Source: Company.
600 MW
WIND
101 MW
SOLAR
#1 Wind Developer IN COLOMBIA
10 MW
STORAGE
RENEWABLES PPAS
RENEWABLES CAPACITY
531 MW
HYDRO
RENEWABLES PORTFOLIO
LONG TERM AUCTION
TRANSFORMATIONAL STRATEGY
Reshaping Our Portfolio With Reliable Clean Energy Increasing Green Energy Capacity by 74% Adding +1.2GW of Renewables
TODAY+PROJECTS
13% 1% 59%
BEFORE GREENTEGRA
RENEWABLES & ENERGY STORAGE NATURAL GAS DIESEL COAL
INCLUDING
SHUTDOWN WN
PIPELI LINE V1 & V2 V2
11% 1% 45%
10
Milestones Achieved Since Launch of Greentegra in 2018
11
ROBUST
De-risked
in the Americas
NON-STRATEGIC
3,717 1,178
581 864 1,094
LTM 3Q’19 Adj. EBITDA
Net Debt/ LTM 3Q’19 EBITDA
RECOURSE DEBT CONSOLIDATED DEBT
NON-RECOURSE DEBT
Angamos Cochrane Alto Maipo
Leverage Profile as of September 30, 2019
12
ROBUST CAPITAL STRUCTURE &
STRONG FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE
CAPEX Capital Allocation
83 92 83 73 479 405 481 371 562 497 564 444 2016 2017 2018 LTM 3Q-19
Maintenance Growth
53 74 263 48 93 261 184 215 102 471 351 203 248 806 798 466 2016 2017 2018 LTM 3Q-19
Equity Contribution Dividends Paid Debt Payment
581 591 591 564 172 174 241 227 25 29 55 61 778 793 887 852 34% 33% 34% 34% 2016 2017 2018 LTM 3Q-19
Chile Colombia Argentina EBITDA Margin
EBITDA & EBITDA margin
2,198 2,387 2,346 2,540 1,626 1,353 1,179 1,178 3,824 3,741 3,525 3,717 4.3x 4.4x 3.6x 3.9x 2016 2017 2018 LTM 3Q-19
PF/Non-Recourse Corporate Debt Net Debt/EBITDA
Total Debt and Net Debt / EBITDA
13
14
LEADING POSITION
DIVERSIFIED PORTFOLIO
HIGH QUALITY COMMERCIAL RELATIONSHIPS
GREEN TRANSFORMATIONAL STRATEGY
ROBUST CAPITAL STRUCTURE
STRONG FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE
Leading energy producer in Chile over the last four years 3 countries, 7 technologies, diverse customer base ~10-year remaining average life in Chile Focused on renewables
TARGET(1)
3.5x
Net Debt/Adj. EBITDA
Source: Company. Note: LTM Figures derive from the addition of 9M’19 and FY’18 figures minus 9M’18 figures. . (1) AES Gener targets to be at 3.5x Net Debt / Adj. EBITDA in 2022
16
Source: Company.
RENEWABLE
ENERGY SYSTEM
FLEXIBILITY
Intensity
REDUCTION
Adding 1.2GW of Clean Energy Batteries Flexible Thermal Fleet Interconnection
LOS CURUROS
110 MW
MESAMAVIDA LOS OLMOS CAMPO LINDO
235 MW
CASTILLA
21 MW
ANDES SOLAR IIa
80 MW
ALTO MAIPO
531 MW
Renewable Growth Capacity
COD: 2020/2021 COD: 2020
VIR IRTUAL RESERVOIR
10 MW
COD: 2021 Acquired in 2019 COD: 2019 COD: 2020
FIRM COMMITMENT WITH THE ENVIRONMENT
CASA ELÉCTRICA APOTOLORRU
255 MW
COD: 2023
Overview of renewable growth capacity FIRM COMMITMENT WITH THE ENVIRONMENT
17
Source: Company.
WIND (600 MW) ENERGY STORAGE (10 MW) SOLAR (281 MW) RUN OF RIVER HYDRO (531 MW)
Virtual Reservoir, 10MW 5 Hour Chile
COD:2020
Alto Maipo, 531MW San José de Maipo Chile
COD: 2020
Castilla 21MW Meta Colombia
COD: 2019
Los Olmos, 101MW Mulchén Chile
COD: 2021
Campo Lindo 72MW Los Angeles Chile
COD:2021
Mesamávida, 62MW Los Angeles Chile
COD: 2021
Andes IIa 80MW Atacama Desert Chile
COD: 2020
Casa Electrica & Apotolorru 255MW La Guajira Colombia
COD: 2023
Projects Under Construction Projects Ready to be built Los Cururos 110MW Chile
ACQUIRED IN 4Q-2019
Andes IIb 180MW Atacama Desert Chile
Las Lajas 267 MW
2 1
Hydro Project Construction Update: Largest Renewable Project Under Construction in Chile
Alfalfal II 264 MW Las Lajas & Alfalfal II Tunnels 60km Volcan Tunnel 14km PROJECT
COMPLETION
Las Lajas & Alfalfal ll Tunnels Volcan Tunnel
Tunnel System Excavation Progress
10 20 30 40 50 60 7055 km
6 km
5 km
8 km
42% 91%
Change in Risk Profile Project Capitalization Limited Commitments by AES Gener
Strabag, including guaranteed completion dates and strong collaterals posted in favor of the project
year term after COD
cost and debt service as an equity contribution
PROJECT UPDATE
Source: Company. Progress as of Jan1, 2020
18
Wind, solar & storage projects to support commercial agreements FIRM COMMITMENT WITH THE ENVIRONMENT
19
Source: Company.
2020 2021 2022 2023 ANDES SOLAR IIa
SOLAR
80 MW VIRTUAL RESERVOIR
ENERGY STORAGE
10 MW – 5 HOUR LOS OLMOS
WIND
101 MW MESAMÁVIDA
WIND
62 MW CAMPO LINDO
WIND
72 MW CASA ELÉCTRICA
WIND 180MW
APOTOLORRU
WIND 75MW
#1 PLAYER WITH
MOST RENEWABLE CAPACITY
UNDER CONSTRUCTION IN CHILE
#1 WIN 1 WIND
DEVELOPER IN C N COL OLOM OMBIA
Growth CAPEX Requirements FIRM COMMITMENT WITH THE ENVIRONMENT
20
Projects included: 531MW Alto Maipo, 180MW Casa Eléctrica, 110MW Los Cururos, 101MW Los Olmos, 62MW Mesamávida, 80MW Andes Solar IIa, 75MW Apotolorru, 72MW Campo Lindo, 21MW Castilla and 10MW Virtual Dam, No incremental debt to fund growth apart from committed debt to fund Alto Maipo
No incremental debt to fund growth
$574 $490 $290 $586 $65
2019 2020 2021 2022 2023
Hydro Wind Solar Storage
Decarbonization Agreement Dissipates Uncertainty Surrounding Coal-fired Operations in Chile FIRM COMMITMENT WITH THE ENVIRONMENT
21
Source: Company.
RESPONSIBLE &
GRADUAL PHASEOUT
ENSURES
SYSTEM RELIABILITY
2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Ventanas I
114MW
Business as Usual Operating as Strategic Backup
Ventanas II
208MW
Business as Usual Operating as Strategic Backup
LEADING ENERGY PRODUCER IN CHILE (3,494MW) MAJOR PLAYER IN COLOMBIA (1,041 MW) EFFICIENT OPERATION IN ARGENTINA (643 MW) HIGH-QUALITY ASSET PORTFOLIO
Diversified By Technology And Geography
22
Guacolda, 764MW 5 coal units Huasco
COD:1995/1996/2009 2010/2015
Hydro Plants 271MW 4 run of river hydro units Cajon del Maipo
COD:1923/1928/1944/1991
Angamos, 558MW 2 coal units Mejillones
COD: 2011
Cochrane, 550MW 2 coal units Mejillones
COD: 2016
Andes Solar, 22MW PV Solar Atacama Desert
COD: 2016
Chivor, 1,000MW 8 hydro units Bocaya
COD: 1977/1982
Tunjita, 20MW 1 hydro unit Bocaya
COD: 2016
Termoandes, 643MW Combined Cycle Turbines: 2 gas, 1 steam Salta
COD: 1999
ENERGY STORAGE (52 MW)
Energy Storage Systems Norgener 12MW Angamos 20MW Cochrane 20MW Other Plants, 186MW : Los Cururos 110MW Wind Laguna Verde 63MW Diesel Laja 13MW Biomass Norgener, 277MW 2 coal units Tocopilla
COD:1995/1997
Ventanas, 866MW 4 coal units Valparaiso
COD:1964/1977/2010/2013
Source: Company. Note: Figures may not add up to total capacity due to rounding.
Castilla, 21MW PV Solar Meta
COD: 2019
DIVERSIFIED ASSET BASE
RATINGS SYSTEM DATA ENERGY DEMAND GENERATION BY FUEL TYPE
S&P A+
25,008 MW
Installed Capacity
Energy Sales Growth (CAGR 2007-2017)
Moody’s A1
76,880 GWh
Generation Fitch A
Chile
~19M
inhabitants
~$298B
GDP as of 2018
Regulated 42% Unregulated 58% Thermal 55% Hydro 29% NCRE 16%
Source: Company. As of December 2018 (1) Central Interconnected System (Sistema Interconectado Central). (2) Great North Interconnected system (Sistema Interconectado del Norte Grande). (3) Non-conventional Renewable Energy including Wind, Solar, Geothermal and Biomass (4) National Electrical System (Sistema Eléctrico Nacional).
(3)
The SING(2) and the SIC(1) were interconnected in November 2017 to comprise the SEN(4) The SEN became fully operational in May 2019, once the last segment of the Cardones-Polpaico transmission line was completed
71,491 GWh 76,880 GWh
23
Based On High Quality , Long-term Customer Relationships CHILE
24
Distribution 25% Non Regulated 75%
10 year Avg. Contract Life
Commercial strategy aims to maximize cash flow while minimizing volatility Optimal contracted position seeks to match contracted energy with long term efficient generation Contract customers include regulated customers (distribution companies) and non regulated customers (mining, commercial and industrial)
Contracts include Price indexation mechanisms (coal and US CPI) and pass-through provisions (regulatory risks)
~10 years average life of outstanding contracts
10,000 15,000 20,000 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
GWh/year
Non Regulated Distribution
DIVERSIFIED ASSET BASE
S&P BBB- Moody’s Baa2 Fitch BBB
17,413 MW
Installed Capacity
Energy Demand Growth (CAGR 2014-2018)
67,718 GWh
LTM Generation S&P CCC- Moody’s CAA2 Fitch CC
39,268 MW
Installed Capacity
Energy Demand Growth (CAGR 2013-2018)
131,154 GWh
LTM Generation
Thermal 62% Hydro 29% Nuclear 5% NCRE 4%
Residential 43% Industrial 29% Comercial 28% Regulated 68% Unregulated 32% Thermal 20% Hydro 79% NCRE 1%
Colombia
~50M
inhabitants
~$330B
GDP as of 2018
Argentina
~45M
inhabitants
~$539B
GDP as of 2018
69,528 GWh 128,059 GWh 131,154 GWh 67,718 GWh RATINGS SYSTEM DATA ENERGY DEMAND GENERATION BY FUEL TYPE RATINGS SYSTEM DATA ENERGY DEMAND GENERATION BY FUEL TYPE
(1)
Source: Company. As of December 2018 (1) Non-conventional Renewable Energy including Wind, Solar and Biomass
25
Based On High Quality , Long-term Customer Relationships COLOMBIA AND ARGENTINA
~59% of Current Generation Long Term Contracts
(4-15 Years)
Remaining Generation Spot and Frequency Regulation Sales Firm Energy (~3,000 GWh) Reliability Charge Revenue Contract Energy Energía Plus Contracts(1) (1-2 years) Remaining Generation Energía Base Spot Sales to ISO(2)
26
Colombia Argentina
Source: Company. (1) Up to 306MW. (2) ISO stands for “Independent system operator.
59% 41%
ENERGY SALES Contract Spot
20% 80%
ENERGY SALES Contract Spot
7,249
GWh
4,358
GWh
Corporate Presentation
3Q-2019