Corporate Presentation
September 2019
Opportunity Day
Corporate Presentation Opportunity Day September 2019 Disclaimer - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Corporate Presentation Opportunity Day September 2019 Disclaimer The information (Confidential Information) contained in this presentation is strictly confidential and is provided by Noble De velopment Public Company Limited (the
September 2019
Opportunity Day
The information (“Confidential Information”) contained in this presentation is strictly confidential and is provided by Noble Development Public Company Limited (the “Company”) to you solely for your reference. Such information is subject to change without notice, its accuracy is not guaranteed and it may not contain all material information regarding the Company. None of the Company, or any of their respective members, directors, officers, employees or affiliates nor any other person accepts any liability (in negligence, or otherwise) whatsoever for any loss howsoever arising from any use of this presentation or its contents or otherwise arising in connection therewith. By using this presentation, you are agreeing to be bound by the below. The information in this presentation has not been independently verified. No representation, warranty, express or implied, is made as to, and no reliance should be placed on, the fairness, accuracy, completeness or correctness of the information and opinions in this presentation. It is not the intention to provide, and you may not rely on these materials as providing a complete or comprehensive analysis of the Company or trading position or prospects. The information and opinions contained in these materials are provided as at the date
future and no reliance, in whole or in part, should be placed on the fairness, accuracy, completeness or correctness of the information contained herein. This presentation is for information purposes only and does not constitute or form part of any offer or invitation for sale or subscription of or solicitation or invitation of any offer to or recommendation to buy or subscribe for any securities, nor shall it or any part of it form the basis of or be relied on in connection with any contract, commitment or investment decision in relation thereto in Thailand, United States or any other jurisdiction. Any such purchase should be made solely on the basis of the information contained in the announcements to the Stock Exchange of Thailand relating to such securities. No reliance may be placed for any purposes whatsoever on the information set forth in this presentation or on its completeness. This presentation contains projections and forward‐looking statements that reflect the Company's current views with respect to future events and financial performance. These views are based on a number of estimates and current assumptions which are subject to business, economic and competitive uncertainties and contingencies as well as various risks and these may change over time and in many cases are outside the control of the Company. No assurance can be given that future events will occur, that projections will be achieved, or that the Company's assumptions are correct. The actual results, financial condition, performance or achievements of the Company may differ materially from those forecasted and
Disclaimer
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Total of 48
Residential Projects
worth more than
THB mm
Inventories worth more than
THB mm
As of September 2019, total of
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Agenda
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The Company has set out ambitious 3-year targets to elevate Noble Development into a best-in-class developer.
Three-Year Goal
Pre re-20 2019 19 3-Year ear Tar Target et Annua ual l Reven enue ue (THB in Billion
s) Numbe ber r of Proje jects ts per r Annum um Prof
t Margin rgin (%)
and dives estmen tment Return turn on Equity y (%) Intere terest st Bea earing ing Debt bt-to to-Equi quity ⍨5 2 20% 20% 15% 15% 1.8x 10 10 – 12 12 4 4 - 5 17% - 18% 18% 28% - 32% 32% 1.5x – 1.8x
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Shareholding Structure
The main shareholders of the Company will provide the stability and foundation on which the Company can build upon to attain its aspirations.
nCrowne ne Pte.Ltd. d. (whol holly ly owne ned d by
nk Leung ng)
23.4%
chai Busr srapa pan 23.3% BTS Grou
p Holdings ngs PCL 9.9% Othe her Public lic Invest vestor
s 43.4% Noble le Develo velopme pment nt PCL
Remark: Figures as of 9 August 2019
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gchai hai Busr srapa pan Chair airman man / Co -Chief ief Exec ecutiv utive e Offic ficer r Acting ting Chief ief Corporat
port t Offic ficer
Mr.Thongchai was the Vice Chairman and Board Member of Noble Development from 1991 – 2012.
2013 to 2017. He was responsible for the execution of the strategic vision of the company, as well as the company’s day-to-day operations. During his tenure, he launched the project, Park 24, with total sales value of THB 17.5 billion. Prior to joining Proud Residences Co.,. Ltd., Mr. Busrapan was the President and Executive Director of Noble Development Public Company Limited which is a listed real estate developer on the Stock Exchange of Thailand (Ticker: NOBLE.BK). He was responsible for the overall daily operations and the launch of the project, Noble Ploenchit, with total sales value exceeding THB 18 billion.
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Fulcrum Global, wholly owned by Mr. Frank Leung, seeks to leverage its distribution network and knowledge of the overseas network to support Noble’s foreign sales – in 2018, Fulcrum achieved over 7BB sales of Thai properties.
stake in Noble Development and have become a major shareholder and strategic partner of Noble Development since Sep 28, 2018.
in Thailand, UK and Japan. The Company manages over 400 distributors across 9 countries in Asia to sell its projects, and is
Thailand real estate projects across its distribution network.
Noble to leverage Fulcrum’s extensive distribution know-how to tap the large and growing overseas market.
Fulcrum Global
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BTS Group Holdings PCL
BTS Group Holdings (BTSG) PCL, whose core business engages in mass transit, media, property and services has acquired 9.9% strategic stake in Noble Development since April 2019.
BTS Group aims to provide a sustainable and leading set of “City Solutions” to urban communities across Asia, supporting critical across four business areas: Mass Transit, Media, Property and Services.
BTS Group is the majority owner of U City, which is the designated property development and investment vehicle of BTSG, the company is a strategic vehicle to derive synergies from the “mass transit premium” of the BTSG
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Vice Chairman / Co – Chief Executive Officer
Chairman / Co – Chief Executive Officer
Chief Business Development Officer 1
Chief Business Development Officer 3
Chief Business Development Officer 2
Chief Financial Officer
Noble’s Senior Managements have decades of experience both within Noble and in the Thailand real estate sector.
Management Team
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Agenda
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The Company has focused on five initiatives to improve shareholders in the short, medium and long term.
Key Strategy Steps
Initiativ tiative
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Initiativ tiative Expand overseas network whereby foreign buyers should account for 30% - 40% of sales revenue Realignment of product mix Proactive in strategic collaboration with suitable strategic partner Develop international property investment platform to leverage Noble’s brand as well as mitigate risks through diversification
2
Initiativ tiative
4
Initiativ tiative
5
Initiativ tiative
1
Sales of completed inventory, monetisation of commercial property and non-core land plots
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The Company has so far achieved significant progress in each respective initiative, setting the stage for an outstanding 2019 and beyond.
Milestones Achieved
Up to 1H 2019, managed to monetize the completed inventories, commercial properties and non-core land plots up to THB 5, 265 mm
Launch of NUE brand (Price point < THB 5 mm) as part of new product mix Market leader in overseas sale with over THB 2,169 mm in booking, equivalent to 56 % of total Pre-Sale In final discussion with Pan Asian Developer to jointly develop high-end project with GAV more than THB 12 bn Bookings continued to improve Y-o-Y with two upcoming project transfers within 4Q2019 worth
1 12 3 4 5
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Divest Commercial Properties
Noble Ora Commercial Size: 959 sqm Appraised Value: 76 MB Status: Vacant, available for lease Noble Solo Commercial-On Process Size: 1,423 sqm Appraised Value: 167 MB Status: Leased out Noble Remix Commercial Size: 6,726 sqm Appraised Value: 702 MB Status: Showroom Noble Ploenchit Tower D - SOLD Size: 4,446 sqm Appraised Value: 900 MB Status: Noble HQ
The Company has accumulated commercial properties and land plots in its portfolio – divestment of such asset will create cash for higher return investments.
The Company has entered into a sale and lease back transaction for Noble PloenchitTower D, which will free up cashflow for redeployment. 1
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Inventory Concentration
Nearly 70% Company’s inventory is between the 5 MB – 15 MB range, limiting the addressable market for the Company.
1% 9% 8% 16% 22% 18% 17% 6% 4% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% <2MB 2MB - 3MB 3MB - 5MB 5MB - 7MB 7MB - 9MB 9MB - 11MB 11MB - 15MB 15MB - 20MB 20MB - 35MB
% of Total Inventory
Po Pote tential ntial Opport portunity unity
2
Inventory Distribution (As % of Inventory Value across Price Brackets)
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Remark: Inventory as of 2Q2019
Developing Brand Pyramid
We plan to develop three separate brands to broaden the Company’s appeal beyond Noble’s traditional customer set.
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High gh End Mass ss Market rket
continu inue to address ss the mid-to to- high h end segment nt
lop JV with interna rnatio ional nal develo lopers rs to target custome
rs with diffe ferent nt value proposition sition
alongside gside rail l infrast structure re expansio ion
lish sh JVs s to get access to strategic gic land plots
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Expansion Along Rail Network
Noble seeks to expand its portfolio of projects from Central Bangkok to take advantage of transportation infrastructure expansion. 2
The BTS Sukhumvit Line The Sukhumvit Line begins at Samrong Station and ends at Mo Chit Station. The BTS Silom Line Begins at Bang Wa Station and ends at National Stadium Station. The Future Yellow Line Monorail Begins at Samrong Station and ends at Lat Phrao Station. The Future Pink Line Monorail Begins at Khae Rai Station and ends at Min Buri Station. The Future Orange Line Monorail Begins at Bang Khun Non Station and ends at Yaek Suwinthawong Station The Future Grey Line Monorail Begins at Watcharaphol Station and ends at Thong Lor Station.
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The total bookings from overseas sales in 1H2019 is THB 2,169 mm, roughly 89% of the total overseas booking in 2018. Overseas Sales (2015 – 1H 2019)
Unit THB mm
500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 2018 1H2019
2,169 2015 2016 2017 2018
Overseas Sales
2,436
3
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2,436 2,169 1,000 1,200 1,400 1,600 1,800 2,000 2,200 2,400 2018 1H2019 8% 38% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 2018 2Q2019
We achieved in 1H2019, 89% of the total annual overseas bookings in 2018, and established Noble’s position as market share leader for Bangkok condominium.
89% 89% Remark: Net overseas bookings, and exclusive of agency undertaking arrangements.
Noble in the Overseas Market
Unit: THB mm
Overseas Sales (1H2019 VS 2018) Noble Market Share in Overseas Market for Bangkok Condo (2Q2019 VS 2018)
3
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Agenda
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7,464 2,436 9,900 12,923 9,677 2017 5,078 2018 17,989 2,529 1,442 3,971 1,683 1,676 2,169 5,528 17,850 4,480 1H2019
Pre-Sales Performance and Target
Pre-Sales Performance Backlog Recognition 2019-2022 THB 17,989 mm
Unit: THB mm
Backlog Revenue Pre-Sales OVS Local Extra
29% 38% 12% 21%
2019 2020 2021 2022
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81% 79% 88% 91% 2% 3% 4% 1% 94% 73% 64% 73% 87% 89% 66% 22% 20% 17% 18% 8% 8% 6% 27% 36% 27% 13% 11% 34% 78% 80%
2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 10,000 12,000 14,000 16,000 18,000 20,000
Ploenchit Revolve Ratchada Revolve Ratchada II Revo Silom Recole BE33 BE19 Around 33 Ambience 42 Nue Chaengwattana Around Ari State 39 Nue Srinakarin
Inventory Backlog Sold
Backlogs
Completed Inventory Pipeline Project New Project*
Pre-sale of pipeline projects as of 1H2019 has created strong backlogs for revenues realization. The new projects have been offered to the international market and will be launched officially in 3Q2019.
Remark: * Pre-Sales figures of new projects as of 31 August 2019
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Noble Ploenchit Total Units: 1,385 Project Value: THB 17,891 mm Remaining Units: 223 Remaining Project Value: THB 3,109 mm Noble Revo Silom Total Units: 319 Project Value: THB 1,796 mm Remaining Units: 20 Remaining Project Value: THB 140 mm Noble Revolve Ratchada Total Units: 762 Project Value: THB 2,922 mm Remaining Units: 80 Remaining Project Value: THB 538 mm Noble Revolve Ratchada 2 Total Units: 751 Project Value: THB 3,276 mm Remaining Units: 51 Remaining Project Value: THB 270 mm Noble Geo Rama 5 Total Units: 141 Project Value: THB 954 mm Remaining Units: 11 Remaining Project Value: THB 76 mm Noble Gable Total Units: 153 Project Value: THB 1,050 mm Remaining Units: 77 Remaining Project Value: THB 617 mm
Inventories as of 30 June 2019
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Pipeline Projects
Noble Recole Total Units: 288 Project Value: THB 2,483 mm Sale Progress: 94% Construction Progress: 90% Expected Transfer: 4Q2019
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Noble BE 33 Total Units: 279 Project Value: THB 2,930 mm Sale Progress: 73% Construction Progress: 80% Expected Transfer: 4Q2019
Pipeline Projects
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Pipeline Projects
Noble Ambience Sukhumvit 42 Total Units: 259 Project Value: THB 1,669 mm Sale Progress: 87% Construction Progress: 58% Expected Transfer: 4Q2020 Noble Around Sukhumvit 33 Total Units: 274 Project Value: THB 2,538 mm Sale Progress: 73% Construction Progress: 55% Expected Transfer: 4Q2020 Noble Around Ari Total Units: 611 Project Value: THB 4,585 mm Sale Progress: 66% Construction Progress: 46% Expected Transfer: 4Q2023 Nue Noble Change Wattana Total Units: 813 Project Value: THB 2,374 mm Sale Progress: 89% Construction Progress: 40% Expected Transfer: 1Q2021 Noble BE19 Total Units: 586 Project Value: THB 5,558 mm Sale Progress: 64% Construction Progress: 66% Expected Transfer: 3Q2020
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New Projects
Launch Timing Location Project Size Development Type Estimated Transfer Q3 Soi Sukhumvit 39 THB 3,700 mm New Build 3Q2022 Nue Noble Srinakarin- Lasalle Q3 La Salle Srinakarin THB 2,500 mm New Build 3Q2022 Noble Ruamrudee Q3 Soi Ruamrudee 2 THB 1,000 mm Refurbishment 1Q2020 Wireless Road Wireless Road THB 12,000 mm New Build 4Q2023 Q4 State 39
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Agenda
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Total Revenue and Net Profit Highlight
702 826 2Q2018 2Q2019 1,741 4,518 1H2018 1H2019
Reven evenue ue Gross
Net t Profit
320 276 2Q2018 2Q2019
Unit: THB mm Unit: THB mm Unit: THB mm
17.7% YoY 159.5% YoY 698 2,365 1H2018 1H2019 69 165 2Q2018 2Q2019 200 1,474 1H2018 1H2019
% Gr Gros
s Prof
it Marg rgin in Gross
rgins (1H 1H19) 9)
Gross Margin Land & Commercial property
Residential Sales 80.1% 52.9% Average 36.6% 48.9% 34.4% 2Q2018 2Q2019 42.4% 52.9% 1H2018 1H2019
% Ne Net t Prof
it Marg rgin in
9.9% 19.9% 2Q2018 2Q2019 11.5% 32.6% 1H2018 1H2019 13.8 % YoY 238.8% YoY
Note: 1H2019 net profit included gain from sale of commercial property amounting to THB 230 mm
139% YoY 637% YoY
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Profitability Analysis
Gross
rgin Comparis mparison
52.9% 33.6% 37.6% 33.0% 33.0% 27.9% 27.1% 43.7% 35.8% 34.1% 31.1% 33.8% 29.2% 30.0%
0.0% 10.0% 20.0% 30.0% 40.0% 50.0% 60.0% NOBLE LPN PF SC AP SIRI ANAN 2018 1H2019
Normalized gross profit margin for the 1H2019 is 36.6%- Gross margin for condominium sales reduced slightly in exchange for higher sales velocity.
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Normalized
36.6% Normalized
Financial Position
ASSETS
Unit: THB mm
RETURN ON INVESTMENT
1,147 3,302 18,038 1,075 1,350 24,911 2Q2019 18,638 6,273 24,911 2Q2019 Cash TL Real estate development cost Investment property Others Inventory Equity 1,564 5,160 15,583 1,330 2,316 25,953 2018 18,00 4 7,948 25,953 2018
Net IBD/E
1.83 1.95 1.78 1.47 2.00 1.93
1.00 1.50 2.00 2.50
1Q2018 2Q2018 3Q2018 4Q2018 1Q2019 2Q2019
Net IBD/E stands lower than covenant of 2.5
22.0% 16.3% 10.5% 12.4% 35.5% 37.0% 5.8% 4.5% 3.0% 3.8% 8.4% 9.3% 0.0% 10.0% 20.0% 30.0% 40.0%
1Q2018 2Q2018 3Q2018 4Q2018 1Q2019 2Q2019
RoE RoA 31
Debt Profile
Unit: THB mm
13,313 13 THB mm
Long-Term Loan 7,763 THB mm Long-Term Bonds 5,550 THB mm Fixed 41% Floating 59%
13,313 13 THB mm
Drawn Facility 7,763 THB mm
16,377 77 THB mm
Undrawn Facility 8,614 THB mm
Debt Break Down Credit Facility and Utilization
Weighted ted Aver erage Cost of Fund
32 4.6% 4.6% 4.6% 4.5% 4.5% 4.6%
1Q2018 2Q2018 3Q2018 4Q2018 1Q2019 2Q2019
2,550 1,500 1,500 2020 2021 2022
Unit: THB mm As of 30 June 2019
Bond Maturity Profile and Finance Cost
Finance ance Cost
273 233 221 2016 2017 2018 87 162 1H2018 1H2019
Bonds Maturity Profile
Unit: THB mm Unit: THB mm 33
Capital expenditure
1,518 1,591 1,023 3,944 5,050 5,674 2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 2019 2020 2021
The Company expects to spend roughly 6BB in CAPEX per – about 20% of which will be for the purpose of land acquisitions.
Net Debt : Equity Target 1.9x 1.5x 1.5x
Three-Year Capital Expenditure (2019 – 2021)
As % of 3-Year Revenue
78% 22% Construction Costs Land Acquisition
THB mm
5,462 6,641 6,697
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2H2019 Priorities
Divestment of non-core assets and redeploy capital in high return Additional projects in the 80K – 120K range in more diversified and upcoming urbanization area. Best utilized owned oversea network to tap foreign buyers Inbound Outbound Embark on international investment
High Dividend yield Uplift Revenue and Earning profile Higher Total Shareholders’ Return
+ =
1 2 1 2
Continu ntinue e to Focus
yram amid id Inbou
nd & Outbou bound nd Oversea rseas Atta tachm chment nt Bala alance nce Between etween Growth th Stock
Dividend idend Pl Plan an
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Other Key Financial Activities
has divested none-core land plots worth THB 1,988 mm as well as monetized office area amounting to THB 800 mm.
refinancing purpose.
THB 8,614 mm for flexible financial management.
6.90 per share based on historical performance over the past 6-7 years.
Historical Dividend Payment Asset Monetization Bond Issuance Financial Management
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payout was low .
Expected Strong Dividend Payout From Now On
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0.30 0.30 0.10 0.0% 0.0% 0.17 6.90 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Dividend per share
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Dividend Payout Ratio 42.2% 42.4% 28.0%
319.4%
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For r more re informat
ion, plea ease se contact ntact :
Investor Relations Noble Development Public Company Limited Noble Building, 1035 Ploenchit Rd., Lumpini, Pathumwan, Bangkok 10330, Thailand. ir@noblehome.com 0-2251-9955