Corporate Presentation July 2018 KeltExploration.com David J. Wilson President & Chief Executive Officer Sadiq H. Lalani Vice President & Chief Financial Officer www.KeltExploration.com 0
Why Invest in Kelt ? CREATING VALUE DURING DOWNTURNS ● The Kelt management team has a track record of creating shareholder value during downturns, previously during the 2008-2009 period with Celtic Exploration Ltd., eventually sold in February 2013 for $3.2 billion. ● Kelt focuses on long-term growth with emphasis on low-cost land accumulation on resource-style plays and rapid growth of its drilling inventory portfolio. ● Kelt successfully acquired large contiguous tracts of Montney acreage in both B.C. and Alberta during the 2015-2016 downturn. ● Kelt targets a 2.0 times or better recycle ratio over the long-term on a proved plus probable reserve basis. 1
Common Share Information ● Stock Exchange listing TSX ● Trading symbol KEL ● Market capitalization $ 1.6 billion ● 52-week trading range $ 5.69 – $ 9.30 ● Common shares issued ( @ June/2018 ) 183.5 million ● Stock options ( 8.3 MM ) & RSUs ( 0.7 MM ) 9.0 million ( 4.9% ) → average exercise price of stock options is $ 6.54 / share ● Diluted common shares (before convertible debentures) 192.5 million ● Diluted common shares (debs convert to 16.4 MM shares) 208.9 million ● Directors & Officers (D&O’s) ownership [1] 17% ( 19% diluted ) Note: [1] See slide entitled “Insider Commitment” for details of Insider participation in equity offerings. D&O ownership includes ho ldings of retired Director, Eldon McIntyre, who served on the Kelt Board from inception until his retirement in April 2018. 2
Convertible Debentures ● TSX trading symbol KEL.DB ● Principal amount outstanding $ 90.0 million ● Coupon / Maturity date 5.0% / May 31, 2021 ● 52-week trading range $ 133.51 – $ 176.00 → D&O’s purchased $14.7 million (16%) of the total Debenture offering. Conversion privilege: Each debenture will be convertible into common shares of Kelt at the option of the holder at any time prior to close of business on the earliest of: (a) the business day immediately preceding the maturity date; (b) if called for redemption (on or after May 31, 2019), on the business day immediately preceding the date specified by the Company for redemption of the debentures; or ( c) if called for repurchase (pursuant to a “Change of Control”), on the business day immediately preceding the payment date; at a conversion price of $5.50 per common share, subject to adjustment in certain circumstances. 3
Insider Commitment Insider Purchases Offering / Market Purchases Date Shares (MM) Amount (MM) Price/share $ 13.9 MM Equity Private Placement Feb-2013 3.7 $ 8.7 $ 2.32 $ 94.4 MM Equity Private Placement Apr-2013 5.7 $ 31.5 $ 5.55 $ 92.0 MM Equity Private Placement Aug-2013 0.5 $ 4.0 $ 8.00 $ 19.6 MM Flow-through Equity Private Placement Aug-2013 0.5 $ 4.9 $ 9.80 $ 101.1 MM Equity Private Placement Dec-2013 2.4 $ 19.6 $8.15 $ 33.6 MM Flow-through Equity Private Placement Mar-2014 1.0 $ 13.5 $ 12.75 $ 33.4 MM Flow-through Equity Private Placement Mar-2015 1.7 $ 14.7 $ 8.60 $ 90.0 MM Equity Prospectus Offering Jul-2015 0.4 $ 3.5 $ 8.85 $ 22.1 MM Flow-through Equity Private Placement Apr-2016 0.2 $ 0.9 $ 4.70 $ 90.0 MM Convertible Debenture Offering [1] May-2016 2.7 $ 14.7 $ 5.50 $ 15.5 MM Flow-through Equity Private Placement Oct-2017 0.1 $ 0.6 $ 7.75 Open Market Purchases 2013-2018 2.5 $ 14.6 $ 5.82 TOTAL [2] 21.4 $ 131.2 $ 6.12 Notes: [1] Convertible debenture includes the option to convert to common shares at $5.50 per common share. [2] Insiders (including a retired director) total current holdings are 31.4 million shares or 17.4% of outstanding shares (includes Kelt shares received from previous Celtic and Artek holdings and is before conversion of debentures). 4
Capital Expenditures 2018 2018/17 ( $ millions ) 2016 2017 Forecast Change Drilling & Completions 47.4 154.7 170.0 + 10% Equipment, Facilities, & 28.5 78.0 95.0 + 22% Pipeline Infrastructure Land, Seismic & Asset Acquisitions 28.3 11.6 12.5 + 8% Capital Expenditures 104.2 244.3 277.5 + 14% Property Dispositions ( 5.9 ) ( 116.3 ) [1] ( 2.5 ) − 98% Net Capital Expenditures 98.3 128.0 275.0 + 115% Note: [1] Approximately $103.0 MM of disposition proceeds relates to the sale of Karr assets on Jan/18/2017, after closing adjustments. 5
Drilling Program 2017 Gross 2017 Net 2018 Gross 2018 Net Drills Wells Wells Wells Wells Alberta 16 15.0 13 11.6 British Columbia 13 13.0 18 18.0 Non-operated Properties 11 3.2 6 0.4 Total 40 31.2 37 30.0 2017 Gross 2017 Net 2018 Gross 2018 Net Completions Wells Wells Wells Wells Alberta 15 14.0 15 13.6 British Columbia 13 13.0 13 13.0 Non-operated Properties 11 3.2 6 0.4 Total 39 30.2 34 27.0 [1] Note: [1] There were 7 DUCs (wells drilled in 2017 but not completed until 2018) as follows: a 5-well pad at Pouce Coupe, 1 well at Progress and 1 well at Inga. There are expected to be 10 DUCs (wells drilled in 2018 but not expected to be completed until 2019) from the 2018 drilling program in the following areas: a 4-well pad at Pouce Coupe and a 6-well pad at Inga. 6
Reserves LIQUIDS WEIGHTING CONTINUES TO GROW: ● 2017 proved plus probable reserve additions, before dispositions, were weighted 63% to oil/ngls and 37% to gas compared to 40% and 60% respectively in 2016. ● The 2018 drilling program will continue to target oil and condensate rich Montney wells. Oil / Ngls Gas Combined ( Mbbls ) ( MMcf ) ( MBOE ) As at December 31, 2017 Proved plus Probable Reserves 101,788 802,875 235,601 Weighting 43% 57% 100% As at December 31, 2016 Proved plus Probable Reserves 71,893 733,037 194,066 Weighting 37% 63% 100% Note: [1] Reserves are per the reports prepared by Sproule Associates Limited. Reserve volumes include Company gross working interest share of remaining reserves, as determined in accordance with NI 51-101. 7
Finding, Development & Acquisition Costs Proved + As at December 31, 2017 Proved Probable 2017 capital expenditures + change in FDC ( $M ) 315,436 343,953 Reserve additions, net ( MBOE ) 32,837 49,592 FD&A cost ( $/BOE ) 9.61 6.94 2017 operating netback ( $/BOE ) 15.28 15.28 Recycle ratio ( looking back – 2017 ) 1.6 x 2.2 x 2018 forecasted operating netback ( $/BOE ) 21.90 21.90 Recycle ratio ( looking forward – 2018 ) 2.3 x 3.2 x Notes: [1] Reserves are per the reports prepared by Sproule Associates Limited. Reserve volumes include Company gross working interest share of remaining reserves, as determined in accordance with NI 51-101. [2] FD&A in 2016 were $4.86/BOE (Proved) and $3.47/BOE (P+P). [3] FD&A: Finding, development & acquisition (net of dispositions). [4] FDC: Future development capital. 8
Production Outlook 2018 2018/17 2016 2017 Forecast Change Oil ( bbls/d ) 5,070 6,634 10,000 − 10,600 51% − 60% Ngls ( bbls/d ) [1] 2,709 2,608 3,300 − 3,600 27% − 38% Gas ( mcf/d ) 79,009 77,330 90,000 − 96,000 16% − 24% Combined ( BOE/d ) 20,947 22,130 28,500 − 29,500 29% − 33% Per MM Shares ( BOE/d ) 121 125 156 − 162 25% − 30% Note: [1] The 2018 forecasted Ngls production mix is as follows: Pentane ( C5+ ) 26% Butane ( C4 ) 27% Propane ( C3 ) 29% Ethane ( C2 ) 18% Total Ngls 100% 9
2018 Product Mix Production 2018 Forecast Income Split ( $MM ) Split Oil & Ngls 47% 212.0 91% Gas 53% 19.8 9% Operating income 100% 231.8 100% G&A and interest expense ( 16.8 ) Funds from operations 215.0 10
Commodity Prices ( CA$, unless otherwise specified ) 2016 2017 2018 (E) YOY Change WTI Crude Oil ( USD/bbl ) [1] US $ 43.32 US $ 50.95 US $ 65.00 + 28% WTI Crude Oil ( CAD/bbl ) [2] $ 52.79 $ 61.85 $ 78.11 + 26% NYMEX Natural Gas ( USD/mmBtu ) US $ 2.43 US $ 3.07 US $ 2.90 − 6% DAWN Gas Daily Index ( USD/MMBtu ) US $ 2.56 US $ 3.04 US $ 2.75 − 10% CHICAGO City Gate Gas Daily Index ( USD/MMBtu ) US $ 2.47 US $ 2.90 US $ 2.70 − 7% MALIN Gas Monthly Index ( USD/MMBtu ) US $ 2.33 US $ 2.82 US $ 2.35 − 17% SUMAS Gas Monthly Index ( USD/MMBtu ) US $ 2.17 US $ 2.76 US $ 2.25 − 18% AECO 5A Gas Daily Index ( USD/MMBtu ) [3] US $ 1.63 US $ 1.66 US $ 1.50 − 10% Station 2 Gas NGX Daily Index ( USD/MMBtu ) [3] US $1.30 US $ 1.20 US $ 1.20 0% Exchange Rate ( CAD/USD ) $ 1.326 $ 1.298 $ 1.270 − 2% Exchange Rate ( USD/CAD ) US $ 0.754 US $ 0.770 US $ 0.787 + 2% Kelt Oil price ( $/bbl ) $ 47.84 $ 59.09 $ 71.74 + 21% Discount to CLS Crude Oil price − 9.4% − 4.5% − 8.2% Kelt NGLs price ( $/bbl ) $ 18.28 $ 27.72 $ 35.91 + 30% Kelt Gas price ( $/mcf ) $ 2.69 $ 3.01 $ 2.89 − 4% Premium to AECO 5A CAD price per MMBtu + 24.5% + 40.0% + 51.3% Kelt combined price ( $/BOE ) $ 24.08 $ 31.51 $ 38.78 + 23% Notes: [1] WTI – West Texas Intermediate – light sweet crude oil (API 40˚) for settlement at Cushing, Oklahoma, priced in USD. [2] CLS – Canadian Light Sweet – light sweet crude oil (API 40˚) for settlement at Edmonton, Alberta, priced in CAD. [3] AECO and Station 2 converted from GJ to MMBtu at a factor of 1.0546 GJ / MMBtu (1,000 Btu/scf gas). 11
Recommend
More recommend
