Continuing the Legacy New Beginnings September 15, 2016 Randy - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Continuing the Legacy New Beginnings

September 15, 2016 Randy Eminger Executive Director Energy Policy Network

Clean Air Act FIPs

Source: William Yeatman – globalwarming.org

Sooner Station Victory

• Scrubbers vs. convert

to natural gas

• Commission voted 3-0

in favor of OG&E

• Opposition - sierra club,

wind, natural gas industry

• $500 million investment

4.4 million tons PRB 2015 (CPE, Arch)

Formula for Success

Build a coalition

• Electric Utilities (IOU,

Coops)

• Transportation

(Railroads)

• Large Industrials (OIEC)
• Conservative

Consumer Groups (AFP) Educate

• Keep it simple stupid

Activate

• Timing

Comments and Contacts

• Large industry (Michelin,

IBM, American Airlines, Tysons Food)

• UP, ORRA
• Jones Public Relations
• Grassroots and earned

media

• Article in ‘NewsOK’
• 600 emails to

Commissioners

• 250 direct phone calls

to Commissioners

Texas Regional Haze Victory

• EPA Regional Haze FIP targeted 15 coal-fueled plants (8

scrubbers and 7 upgrades)

• ERCOT predicted the closure of 3,000 – 8,400 MW of coal-

fueled power

• These 15 plants used 17.5 million tons of PRB coal (2015)
• EPN joined with a small group of Balance Energy Texas

members in filing an intervention in support of the State of Texas

• 5th Circuit Court of Appeals ruled in favor of Texas

• Visibility benefit from FIP (adding controls to 15 plants) is .112

Deciview

• 1 Deciview is the measurement of what a human eye can detect 28

miles away.

5

Wichita Mountains National Park

Findings of the 5th Circuit

• EPA rule was ‘stayed’ because Texas has an overwhelming

case with the likelihood of winning at the Supreme Court

States Rights: EPA can set the visibility goal, but it can not prescribe the specific implementation plan Cost: EPA used a ‘cost per ton’ of emissions reduced to decide the cost

• f their FIP must use ‘cost per deciview’
• The jurisdiction should be with the District Court of Appeals, not

the DC Court of Appeals

New Battleground - Arkansas

White Bluff – 1,657 MW Independence – 1,678 MW

• U.S. EPA issued a Regional Haze FIP calls for Scrubbers on all four units
• CAA sets a deadline of 5 year for the power plant to come into compliance
• Estimated cost $2 billion

Reasonable Progress Assessment - Upper Buffalo

Wilderness Area

2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 Haze Index (deciview, dv) Natural Conditions Observation Glide Path Baseline Rolling Average

Reasonable Progress Assessment - Caney Creek Wilderness Area

2 4 6 8 10 12 14 Haze Index (deciview, dv) Natural Conditions Observation Glide Path Baseline Rolling Average

Strong response from both the Governor and ADEQ

“EPA’s mandates to impose billions of dollars in economic costs without clear health or environmental benefits is questionable at best and irrational at worst.” “I am mindful of litigation in surrounding states regarding their haze plans and I have directed ADEQ to work with the Arkansas Attorney General to pursue all available legal remedies.”

• Gov. Asa Hutchison

“This Federal Plan mandates controls that are both unnecessary and costly and does not take into account the real progress Arkansas has made…

• Dir. Becky Keogh

Arkansas’s Response

Define the Win

• Measures for Success

Develop Stategic Plan

• funding/manpower
• TimelineResource Needs

(internal/external)

Communication

• internal/external

Collaboration

• Public and Private entities

Step-by-step Operation

periodic progress check

Campaign Strategy

EPA’s Clean Power Plan

In other words, we rely tremendously on the generation that’s in place today to provide voltage support. And so when you lose the capability of the generation to provide that voltage support then you create voltage conditions so severe that you have blackout conditions and cascading

• utages.”

Lanny Nichell, VP Engineering SPP

“We’re working like Crazy to get states to take advantage of the Clean Energy Incentive Plan by the end of the year” SB 318 (Kansas) HB 1631(Missouri) Suspends all state agency activity on CPP AG letter to EPA and Congress “Obey the Stay”. Stop pushing states to draft plans. State Policymaker Outreach NARUC, ECOS, ALEC State Policy Network (47 state conservative organizations and think tanks) Engaging in Michigan IRP

Battling the Clean Power Plan

The loss of base load generation raises serious concerns about the electric reliability and fuel diversity. MISO projects a generation shortfall

• f 300 MW, 800 MW,

and 1.2 GW in parts

• f Michigan,

Missouri, and Illinois, respectively.

Transfer of Funds Under CPP

Winners and Losers

Sponsored by: EPN and the U.S. Chamber of Commerce Produced by: Natural Resource Economics (Dec. 2016)

Advancing Existing Technology

Kemper County MS (Mississippi Power)

PolkPower Station (TECO Energy)

Advanced Carbon Capture

Petra Nova Project NRG Parish Power Plant (Houston, TX) WY Integrated Test Center (Dry Fork Station)

Randy Eminger

Energy Policy Network

reminger@tepn.org Phone – (806)674-7079 Website www.energypolicynetwork.org