Contents Press slides Page 3 Financial highlights Q2/04 Page 19 - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Contents Press slides Page 3 Financial highlights Q2/04 Page 19 - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Contents Press slides Page 3 Financial highlights Q2/04 Page 19 Credit quality Page 54 Economic capital Page 70 Nordea Page 75 Business areas Page 84 Balance sheet Page 127 Market shares Page 132 Appendix
2
Contents
Press slides
Page 3
Financial highlights Q2/04
Page 19
Credit quality
Page 54
Economic capital
Page 70
Nordea
Page 75
Business areas
Page 84
Balance sheet
Page 127
Market shares
Page 132
Appendix
Page 146
Interim Report Second Quarter 2004 Press conference
18 August 2004 Lars G Nordström President and Group CEO
4
Strong results in first half of 2004
Operating profit up 15% to EUR 1,100m (EUR 959m in first half-year
2003)
Net profit up 64% to EUR 1,082m (EUR 660m), including gain related to
the completed real estate divestment process
Total income maintained at EUR 2,825m (EUR 2,837m). Net interest
and commission income up
Total expenses down 5% to EUR 1,722m (EUR 1,819m) Loan losses down 79% to EUR 39m (EUR 190m) Earnings per share EUR 0.39 (EUR 0.23) Return on equity (excl. goodwill) 23.1% (15.2%)
5
Solid underlying development in Q2
Operating profit EUR 516m (EUR 584m in first quarter 2004) Net profit up 59% to EUR 664m (EUR 418m) Total income maintained and costs down 3%. Net interest and
commission income up
Trading income and investment earnings influenced by difficult market
conditions
Life insurance result further improved Positive net loan losses
6
Growth in business volumes and increased focus
Continued growth in lending to personal customers, up 15% Lending to small and medium-sized corporate customers up 1% Deposits up 7% Assets under Management increased by 21% to EUR 123bn Number of netbank customers up 9% to more than 3.8 million Number of netbank payments up 17% to 42.4 million per quarter Pioneering new model for equity research
7
Net interest income up
843 838 850 846 868
200 400 600 800 1000 Q2/03 Q3/03 Q4/03 Q1/04 Q2/04
Quarter-on-quarter (QoQ):
Up 3% Growth in volumes
– total lending up 5% – total deposits up 7%
Corporate lending increased Lending margins
– households and large corporate
margins slightly down
– SME margins stable
H1oH1:
Up 2% Strong growth in mortgage
lending
Pressure on deposit margins
EURm
8
191 194 200 192 199 114 120 129 127 124 87 88 88 90 90 20 28 35 44 40 40 47 47 49 60
- 80
- 84
- 94
- 95
- 91
- 100
100 200 300 400 500 Q2/03 Q3/03 Q4/03 Q1/04 Q2/04
Payments & deposits Asset mgmt Lending Brokerage Other Expenses
EURm
Net commission income up
366 379 388 397
QoQ:
Up 2% Strong payment commissions
–
total transactions up 5%
Asset Mgmt commissions
–
mgmt fees stable
–
transaction fees slightly down
Brokerage maintained despite
lower volumes H1oH1:
Up 12%
–
strong growth in all key areas
405
9 EURbn
Strong growth in mortgage lending to personal customers
15.8% 10.5% 32.7% 13.1% 2003 32.5% FI 10.9% NO 16.1% 14.0% Q2/04 SE DK
Market shares, %
45.7 48.2 48.9 50.0 52.6
10 20 30 40 50 60 Q2/03 Q3/03 Q4/03 Q1/04 Q2/04
10
Trading income affected by difficult market conditions especially in Q2
155 130 125 156 104
20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 Q2/03 Q3/03 Q4/03 Q1/04 Q2/04
QoQ:
Reduced to EUR 104m due to:
– challenging market conditions – jower customer activity
H1oH1:
Down 17% on high level last
year
EURm
11
539 531 511 488 456 363 350 416 370 378 46 15 15
200 400 600 800 1000 Q2/03 Q3/03 Q4/03 Q1/04 Q2/04 Staff costs Other Profit sharing
EURm
Expenses continue down
QoQ:
Reported expenses down 3% Underlying expenses down 2% Staff costs down 7%
–
continued reduction of FTEs
–
lower variable salaries
Other expenses up 2%
–
higher marketing
H1oH1:
Reported expenses down 5% Underlying expenses down 6%
902 881 973 873 849
12
Loan loss level reflects healthy credit portfolio
92 89 84 42
- 3
- 10
10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 Q2/03 Q3/03 Q4/03 Q1/04 Q2/04
EURm
QoQ:
Positive net provisions
– reversals exceeded new
provisions
– no major problem areas
H1oH1:
Loan loss ratio down to 5bp
from 26bp annualised
No new losses in fish farming
13
Investment earnings negative in Q2
81 27 33 62
- 61
- 80
- 60
- 40
- 20
20 40 60 80 100 Q2/03 Q3/03 Q4/03 Q1/04 Q2/04
QoQ:
Loss of EUR 61m resulting
from
– difficult market conditions – loss on holding in OMHEX AB
H1oH1:
Reduced to EUR 1m
– very high level last year – mixed market conditions this
year EURm
14
Strong and stable result within Life & Pensions
50 40 40 47 51
10 20 30 40 50 60 Q2/03 Q3/03 Q4/03 Q1/04 Q2/04
QoQ:
Up 9% Stabilisation at high level Investment return decreased Decreased financial buffers
H1oH1:
Improved profit reflecting the
changed business model
EURm
15
Real estate divestment process completed
A gain of EUR 300m is reflected in Q2 accounts Properties and real estate shares divested represent a book
value of approx. EUR 1.6bn
Net financial effect of real estate disposals is a gain of EUR
185m (write-off of EUR 115m in Q4/03)
Nordea no longer owns any major properties Going forward the financial effect of the divestments will be
positive
16
Assets under management continue to grow
20 40 60 80 100 120 140 Q2/03 Q3/03 Q4/03 Q1/04 Q2/04
Nordic retail funds Nordic private banking International wealth mgmt & funds Institutional clients Life & pensions
EURbn
121.9 Strong distribution capacity Nordea market leader within
retail funds in the Nordic region
Strong sales through
European fund distribution
113 107 102 123.3
17
Pioneering new model for equity research
Nordea’s customers will gain access to Standard & Poor’s (S&P) independent
equity research on 1,500 international and 200 Nordic stocks
Nordea will close existing Nordic company research department within
Markets, and establish a new, integrated research unit, Alpha Research Team, with in-house sector specialists, quantitative analysts and strategists
S&P will establish an equity research team in Stockholm with 20 analysts,
covering Nordic companies.
Response to market trends - including the changing needs of investors and
regulatory developments
– significantly improved equity research offering – ensure independency and credibility – without increasing the cost base
The agreement is the first of its kind worldwide
18
In summary
Strong results in the first half of 2004
– operating profit up 15% – total income maintained, Net interest and commission income up – costs down 5%
Solid underlying development in Q2
– efforts to improve performance increasingly visible in financials – total income maintained, Net interest and commission income up – costs down 3% – positive net loan losses
Continued focus on income development and on strict cost and risk
management going forward
19
20
0.4 1.9 0.7 1.6 2.5 3.0 3.8 2.7 2.4 3.5 2.8 3.0
0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 4.0 Denmark Finland Norway Sweden 2003 2004(e) 2005(e)
Market development - GDP
% Source: Nordea Markets. In Norway, forecasts are for mainland GDP
Outlook for economic growth somewhat improved
21
3.37 2.37 3.50 1.88 3.34 2.13 3.06 2.00 31-03-04 +0.62
- 0.27
+0.53
- 0.17
+0.53 +0.04 +0.51 +0.05 Change Q2/04 2.10 Short, SE 3.99 Long, SE 1.71 Short, NO 4.03 Long, NO 3.87 Long, DK 2.17 Short, DK 3.57 Long, EUR (5 years) 2.05 Short, EUR (one week) 30-06-04 %
Market development – interest rates
Sweden cut reference rate by 50bp on 7 April Long-term Nordic interest rates up approx. 50bp in Q2
22
2.44 2.51 3.41 5.05 2.09 2.10 2.86 3.42 2.07 2.11 2.81 2.52 2.03 2.15 2.57 1.99 2.04 2.16 2.07 1.75
0.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 6.0 EUR DKK SEK NOK Q2/03 Q3/03 Q4/03 Q1/04 Q2/04
Short interest rates - average (one week)
%
Short interest rates likely to have bottomed out
23 3
- 13
6 1 6 1
- 15
- 10
- 5
5 10 15 C
- p
e n h a g e n H e l s i n k i O s l
- S
t
- c
k h
- l
m N a s d a q D
- w
J
- n
e s
Market development Q2 – stock market
Mixed index development
%
Reduced turnover volumes
%
- 14
- 21
- 27
- 23
- 30
- 20
- 10
10 20 30 Copenhagen Helsinki Oslo Stockholm
24
Net interest income
843 838 850 846 868
200 400 600 800 1000 Q2/03 Q3/03 Q4/03 Q1/04 Q2/04
QoQ:
Up 3% Growth in volumes
– total lending up 5% – total deposits up 7%
Corporate lending increased Lending margins
– household and large corporate
margins slightly down
– SME margins stable
H1oH1:
Up 2% Strong growth in mortgage
lending
Pressure on deposit margins
EURm
25
Structural Interest Income Risk (SIIR)
- 263
298
Q1/04
- 248
294
Q2/04
Decreasing market rates, 100bp Increasing market rates, 100bp EURm, annualised effect on Nii*
- Previous hedge arrangements expired
- Active mgmt of non-trading interest rate risk
*Approx. end of period SIIR is defined as the effect on net interest income (Nii) in the next 12 months if market rates change by one percentage point. Figures are asymmetrical as interest rates on deposits from customers cannot be reduced below 0%. Figures are based on maturity and repricing structure, and the effect going forward will be subject to management decisions and the competitive situation in the market.
26
191 194 200 192 199 114 120 129 127 124 87 88 88 90 90 20 28 35 44 40 40 47 47 49 60
- 80
- 84
- 94
- 95
- 91
- 100
100 200 300 400 500 Q2/03 Q3/03 Q4/03 Q1/04 Q2/04
Payments & deposits Asset mgmt Lending Brokerage Other Expenses
EURm
Net commission income
366 379 388 397
QoQ:
Up 2% Strong payment commissions
–
total transactions up 5%
Asset Mgmt commissions
–
mgmt fees stable
–
transaction fees slightly down
Brokerage maintained despite
lower volumes
H1oH1:
Up 12%
–
strong growth in all key areas
405
27
Trading
155 130 125 156 104
20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 Q2/03 Q3/03 Q4/03 Q1/04 Q2/04
QoQ:
Reduced to EUR 104m due to:
– lower customer activity – challenging market conditions
H1oH1:
Down 17% on high level last
year
EURm
28 539 531 511 488 456 363 350 416 370 378 46 15 15 200 400 600 800 1000 Q2/03 Q3/03 Q4/03 Q1/04 Q2/04 Staff costs Other Profit sharing
EURm
Expenses
QoQ:
Down 3% Staff costs down 7%
–
continued reduction of FTEs
–
lower variable salaries
Other expenses up 2%
–
higher marketing H1oH1:
Down 5% Number of FTE’s down 11%
902 881 973 873 849
29
Expenses - development
- 6%
- 5%
- 2%
- 3%
Total expenses
- 6%
- 2%
+1% +2% Other expenses
- 5%
Underlying
- 6%
- 11%
- 7%
Staff costs Reported Q2/04 vs. Q1/04 Underlying Reported H1/04 vs. H1/03
Underlying expenses are adjusted for:
– restructuring expenses – variable salaries – profit sharing – F/X effects
30
Development of FTEs
32,862 32,140 30,674 29,880 29,289
5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000 30,000 35,000 Q2/03 Q3/03 Q4/03 Q1/04 Q2/04
30,674 29,880 29,289 Total
- 2.6%
- 2,0%
Change 1,679 6,235 1,796 1,941 17,638 Q2/04 1,673 6,554 1,797 1,974 17,882 Q1/04 1,684 6,772 1,796 2,102 18,320 2003 Other CIB GPT AM & Life Retail FTEs
End of period YoY down approx. 3,600 FTEs
- f which 1,100 outsourced
– Q2 reduction 600 of which 170
- utsourced
31
Loan losses
92 89 84 42
- 3
- 10
10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100
Q2/03 Q3/03 Q4/03 Q1/04 Q2/04
EURm QoQ:
Positive net provisions
– reversals exceeded new
provisions
No major problem areas
H1oH1:
Loan loss ratio down to 5bp
from 26bp annualised
No new losses in fish farming
32
Investment earnings, banking
81 27 33 62
- 61
- 80
- 60
- 40
- 20
20 40 60 80 100 Q2/03 Q3/03 Q4/03 Q1/04 Q2/04
QoQ:
Loss of EUR 61m resulting
from
– difficult market conditions – loss on holding in OMHEX AB
H1oH1:
Reduced to EUR 1m
– very high level last year – mixed market conditions this
year EURm
33
Operating profit, life insurance
50 40 40 47 51
10 20 30 40 50 60 Q2/03 Q3/03 Q4/03 Q1/04 Q2/04
QoQ:
Up 9% Stabilisation at high level Investment return decreased Decreased financial buffers
H1oH1:
Improved profit reflecting the
changed business model
EURm
34
Income statement summary
- 12
2 9
- 198
10
- 107
- 3
- 1
Chg %
584
- 40
47 62 515 9
- 42
- 873
1,421 Q1/04 51 Operating profit, life insurance
- 61
Investment earnings, banking
516 Operating profit
- 41
Goodwill amortisation and write-downs 567 Profit before inv. earnings and insurance 9 Equity method 3 Loan losses, net
- 849
Total expenses 1,404 Total income Q2/04 EURm,
35
Income statement summary
15
42
- 99
26
- 45
- 79
- 5
Chg %
959
- 81
69 110 861 33
- 190
- 1,819
2,837 Jan-June 2003 98 Operating profit, life insurance 1 Investment earnings, banking
1,100 Operating profit
- 81
Goodwill amortisation and write-downs 1,082 Profit before inv. earnings and insurance 18 Equity method
- 39
Loan losses, net
- 1,722
Total expenses 2,825 Total income Jan-June 2004 EURm
36
Real estate divestment process completed
A gain of EUR 300m is reflected in Q2 accounts below
- perating profit
– write-down of EUR 115m in Q4 2003
Reduced EC by EUR 260m and improved capital effiency Lower RWA’s and improved Tier 1 capital Nordea owns no major properties Going forward the recurring financial effect of the
divestments will be positive
37
Net profit
405 628 202 418 664
100 200 300 400 500 600 700 Q2/03 Q3/03 Q4/03 Q1/04 Q2/04
EURm QoQ:
Up 59% Gain of EUR 300m increased
profit
H1oH1:
Up 64%
38
18.1 26.5 9.7 18.2 28.1
5 10 15 20 25 30 Q2/03 Q3/03 Q4/03 Q1/04 Q2/04
0.14 0.21 0.07 0.15 0.24
0.00 0.05 0.10 0.15 0.20 0.25 Q2/03 Q3/03 Q4/03 Q1/04 Q2/04
Key figures
Return on equity (excl. goodwill) % Earnings per share EUR
EUR 0.28 EPS H1 2004 adjusted for real estate gain EUR 0.39 EPS H1 2004 23.1% RoE H1 2004 17.3% RoE H1 2004 adjusted for real estate gain
39 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 Q 1 / 2 Q 2 / 2 Q 3 / 2 Q 4 / 2 Q 1 / 2 1 Q 2 / 2 1 Q 3 / 2 1 Q 4 / 2 1 Q 1 / 2 2 Q 2 / 2 2 Q 3 / 2 2 Q 4 / 2 2 Q 1 / 2 3 Q 2 / 2 3 Q 3 / 2 3 Q 4 / 2 3 Q 1 / 2 4 Q 2 / 2 4
EUR
Earnings per share – 12 months rolling
40
Balance sheet - key items
134 262 12 96 146 2003 140 262 12 98 156 Q2/04 135 270 12 91 147 Q2/03 4 Risk-weighted assets
- 3
Total assets 2 Shareholders’ equity 7 Deposits 6 Lending Change, 12 months %
EURbn
End of period
41
Lending
147 149 146 148 156 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 Q2/03 Q3/03 Q4/03 Q1/04 Q2/04
Lending and deposits
Deposits
91 93 96 92 98 20 40 60 80 100 Q2/03 Q3/03 Q4/03 Q1/04 Q2/04 EURbn EURbn
End of period
42
Tier 1 ratio 6.7 7.0 7.3 7.5 7.5 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Q2/03 Q3/03 Q4/03 Q1/04 Q2/04
Capital position
%
End of period
RWA’s increased
– higher business volumes
Tier 1 capital increased
– half-year profit included
Total capital ratio 9.3%
43
433 154 60 53 55
- 131
456 89 58 57
- 27
- 73
- 200
- 100
100 200 300 400 500 Retail CIB Asset Mgmt* Life* Group Treasury Group Functions and Eliminations
Q1/04 Q2/04
Result by business area
EURm
*Product result for Asset Management and Life
44
Retail Banking operating profit
376 395 428 433 456 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450 500 Q2/03 Q3/03 Q4/03 Q1/04 Q2/04
EURm
Increased lending volumes SME loan growth continued Strong increase in non-interest
income
Positive net loan losses
26 58 Q1/04 27 58 Q2/04 RoE, % C/I ratio, % Key ratios
45 EURbn
Lending to households - mortgages
15.8 10.5 32.7 13.1 2003 n.a 32.5 FI 10.0 10.9 NO 15.6 12.1 2002 16.1 14.0 Q2/04 SE DK
Market shares, %
45.7 48.2 48.9 50.0 52.6
10 20 30 40 50 60 Q2/03 Q3/03 Q4/03 Q1/04 Q2/04
46
Retail Banking, lending and deposit margins
Quarterly averages 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0 1.2 1.4 1.6 1.8 2.0 2.2 2.4 2.6 Q1/02 Q2/02 Q3/02 Q4/02 Q1/03 Q2/03 Q3/03 Q4/03 Q1/04 Q2/04 Lending to corporates Lending to households Morgage lending to households Deposits from corporates Deposits from households Overall stable lending
margins
– household margins slightly
down
– SME margins stable
Declining deposit margins
%
47
131 92 100 154 85 30 60 90 120 150 180 Q2/03 Q3/03 Q4/03 Q1/04 Q2/04
CIB operating profit
EURm
Increased lending volumes Markets income down
– lower customer activity – challenging market conditions
Stable development in other areas Positive net loan losses
25 48 Q1/04 14 64 Q2/04 RoE, % C/I ratio, % Key ratios
48
Asset Management product result
41 48 60 60 58 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 Q2/03 Q3/03 Q4/03 Q1/04 Q2/04 EURm
AuM up EUR 1.4bn to EUR
123.3bn
– net inflow of EUR 1.4bn in Q1
Asset appreciation flat Asset Mgmt commissions
– mgmt fees stable – transaction fees slightly down
122 56 Q1/04 123 57 Q2/04 AuM, EURbn C/I ratio, % Key ratios
49
Assets under management
20 40 60 80 100 120 140 Q2/03 Q3/03 Q4/03 Q1/04 Q2/04
Nordic retail funds Nordic private banking International wealth mgmt & funds Institutional clients Life & pensions
EURbn
121.9 Strong distribution capacity Nordea market leader within
retail funds in the Nordic region
– holds 19% of all Nordic
investment fund assets
Strong sales through
European fund distribution
113 107 102 123.3
50
44 53 57 52 43 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 Q2/03 Q3/03 Q4/03 Q1/04 Q2/04
EURm
Life Insurance, product result
Stabilisation at high level Decreased financial buffers Effect of changed business
model increasingly visible
5.6 3.2 Q1/04
- 0.4
Inv return, % 4.9 Q2/04 Financial buffers*, % Key ratios
* Financial buffers in % of provisions
51
Group Treasury operating profit
Investment earnings down
– Influenced by difficult market
conditions
– loss on holding in OMHEX AB
Improved result in Group Funding
91 35 62 55
- 27
- 40
- 20
20 40 60 80 100 Q2/03 Q3/03 Q4/03 Q1/04 Q2/04
EURm
52
Group Functions and Eliminations
QoQ:
Unallocated expenses from
GPT reduced
General:
Expenses in Group functions
not defined as service offered to business areas
Loan losses are central
provisions
Depreciation of goodwill
related to the creation of Nordea
- 131
- 31
7
- 1
- 35
- 66
- 5
Q1/04 11 Operating profit, Life
- 16
Income
- 32
Goodwill 2 Equity method
- 73
Operating profit
- 8
Loan losses
- 26
Expenses Q2/04
53
Outlook 2004
Outlook for economic growth improved Short-term interest rates lowered in Q2
– likely to have bottomed out
Total income 2004 expected to exceed 2003
– despite high non-recurring revenues 2003
Increased business volumes expected
– primarily household sector – potential for increased activity in SME sector
Costs in 2004 expected to remain clearly below 2003 Loan loss ratio expected to be substantially lower than 2003
54
55
77 80 83 82 84 87 85 88 85 85 84 82 78 79 83 35 36 37 37 39 42 41 42 44 44 46 48 49 50 53 13 13 12 12 12 10 14 14 14 14 15 15 16 16 17
20 40 60 80 100 Q4/00 Q1/01 Q2/01 Q3/01 Q4/01 Q1/02 Q2/02 Q3/02 Q4/02 Q1/03 Q2/03 Q3/03 Q4/03 Q1/04 Q2/04 Corparate lending Housing loans Consumer loans
Loan portfolio by customer category*
EURbn End of period *Excluding public sector
56
Companies 53% Public sector 2% Household customers 45%
Q2/04, EUR 155.5bn
Public sector 2% Companies 57% Household customers 41%
Q2/03, EUR 147.0bn
Loan portfolio by customer group
57 Housing loans 76% Other loans 24%
Lending to household customers
End of Q2/04
EUR 69.5bn
Continued strong growth in
mortgage lending
Other loans comprise
–
consumer credits
–
investment credits
–
car financing
–
- verdraft facilities
–
credit cards
58
Construction 3% Real estate 27% Manufacturing 16% Finance 12% Commerce and services 11% Transport and communication 5% Shipping & Offshore 5% Agriculture & Fishing 6% Renting, consulting and other services 7% Other companies 8%
Lending to companies by industry
End of Q2/04
EUR 82.9 bn
59
155.5 4.2 4.9 9.4 6.2 9.6 12.9 9.3 4.3 2.8 22.4 69.5 Q2/04 145.6 3.7 4.3 9.5 5.7 8.3 12.5 8.7 4.4 2.6 21.2 64.7 Q4/03 148.0 4.1 5.0 9.4 5.9 8.7 11.9 8.8 4.3 2.7 20.9 66.3 Q1/04 147.0 4.5 4.3 8.6 7.0 12.2 12.5 9.1 3.8 2.8 22.0 60.2 Q2/03 148.7 3.9 4.3 8.3 6.1 11.2 13.2 9.1 4.6 2.5 22.0 63.5 Q3/03 Total Shipping & Offshore Agriculture & Fishing Other companies/public sector Renting, Consulting and other services Finance Manufacturing Trade and services Transport, communication Construction Real estate Household customers EURbn
Loan portfolio in figures
End of period
60 Nordic countries and P&B 92.7% Other OECD 0.5% USA 1.1% Other non OECD 0.6% Other EU countries 3.9% Other 7.3% Asia 0.5% Latin America 0.7%
Lending by geographical area
End of Q2/04
EUR 155.5bn
Nordic countries and P&B
- Denmark
41.0
- Finland
33.4
- Norway
23.5
- Sweden
44.5
- P&B
1.8
61
Transfer risk exposure
- EURm. End of Q2/04
62 Turkey 173 Iran
- of which
1 Argentina
367 Middle East
21 130 200
527
- of which
Latin America
Panama Chile Mexico Brazil 13 Indonesia South Korea China 5 39 192
- of which
288 Asia
62
Nordea fisheries financing
End of Q2/04
Fish processing/ export 22% Fish farming 40% Fishing vessels 38%
Total outstanding EUR 1.7bn Mainly Norwegian exposure Fish farming
– represents approx. 0.5% of total
loan book
– increases in salmon prices in
2004
– no provisions in 2004
Total exposure approx. EUR 2.0 bn
63
Nordea shipping portfolio
Distribution by type of vessel
End of Q2/04
Combined vessels 1% Bulkers 15%
- Misc. loans
13% Crude tankers 11% Product tankers 11% Gas tankers 9% Liners 8% Chemical tankers 7% Cruise 7% Ferries 5% Pure car carries 5% Other dry cargo 4% Reefers 4%
Outstanding, EUR 5.4bn Well diversified portfolio by
type of vessel
Focus on large industrial
players
Exposure split approx
55% / 45% Nordic / Int’l.
Total exposure approx. EUR 6.1bn
64
Nordea real estate financing portfolio
End of Q2/04
Denmark 8.7% Norway 19.6% Sweden 49.2% Finland 22.5%
Largest industry exposure Relatively large and financially
strong companies
High level of collateral coverage Lending to residential real estate
companies approx 50%
Dominantly Swedish exposure
Total exposure approx. EUR 22.4bn
65
0.43 74 97 665
- 436
- 55
- 1,406
1,898 2,563
Q2/04
0.49 73 99 713
- 406
- 62
- 1,468
- 1,936
2,649
Q4/03
0.46 74 100 686
- 420
- 60
- 1,449
1,929 2,615
Q1/04
0.57 71 109 836
- 379
- 65
- 1,571
- 2,015
2,851
Q2/03
0.57 71 105 844
- 384
- 64
- 1,624
- 2,072
2,916
Q3/03
Transfer risk reserve Of which: General provisions Appraised by category Specific provisions Provisions Provisions/impaired loans, gross (%) Impaired loans,net/lending (%) Impaired loans, net Impaired loans, gross
- EURm. End of period
Impaired loans
66
1,898 57 157 1 307 178 58 228 177 190 62 141 342 Provisons 1 Public sector 2,563 65 178 444 265 73 282 217 246 72 189 531 Gross 665 8 21 137 87 15 54 40 56 10 48 189 Net Total Shipping & Offshore Agriculture & Fishing Other companies Renting, Consulting and other services Finance Manufacturing Trade and services Transport, communication Construction Real estate Household customers
- EURm. End of Q2/04
Impaired loans
67
Loan losses
246 221 229 128 129
- 154
- 132
- 145
- 86
- 132
92 89 84 42
- 3
- 200
- 100
100 200 300 Q2/03 Q3/03 Q4/03 Q1/04 Q2/04 Gross Reversals Net
EURm QoQ:
Positive net provisions
– reversals exceeded new
provisions
No major problem areas
H1oH1:
Loan loss ratio down to 5bp
from 26bp annualised
No new losses in fish farming
68
Comments on certain industries
Real estate
Vacancy rates for office buildings high particularly in the Stockholm
region
Rent levels down from peak but still higher than original levels 3-5
years ago
Low interest rates help secure cash flow and secondary market
values
New construction volumes adjusted to decreased demand Large foreign interest in Nordic property market Residential part of portfolio performing strongly
69
Comments on certain industries
Shipping and Offshore industry
China the driving force for shipping boom Bulk market particularly strong Tanker market strong but volatile Crusing market recovering from global uncertainties Nordea´s exposure well diversified with modern ships and globally
competitive companies
Restructuring and consolidation of industry continue
70
71
Economic capital (EC)
EC is the capital required by Nordea to cover unexpected losses 5 different risk categories are incorporated The measurement period is one year The confidence level is 99.97% The economic capital may change over time due to:
– composition of risk exposures – changes in parameters
Economic capital is used for
– risk management – performance measurement – capital allocation
72
Economic capital
9.1 9.0 8.9 8.7 8.4
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Q2/03 Q3/03 Q4/03 Q1/04 Q2/04 EURbn
Reduced EC due to
divestment of real estate portfolio
Market risk reduced within
Life and Treasury
Increased lending
73
Economic capital per business area
End of Q2/04
Treasury 5% CIB 21% Other 5% Asset Mgmt & Life 11% Retail 58%
0.8 Life 1.7 CIB 0.1 Asset Mgmt 0.4 Treasury 0.5 Other 4.9 Retail Banking
8.4
Q2/04
Total
EC per business area, EURbn
74
Distribution of economic capital - by risk category
End of Q2/04
Credit risk 63% Business risk 11% Market risk 16% Life risk 1% Operational risk 9%
75
76
Developing Nordea
2001 2002 2000 2003
Customer organisation, customer strategy and customer relation Planning and performance management Business organisation and management Name, brand and values Resuming top-line growth Focus, speed and performance Changes of business models Divestment of non-core assets Reduction of complexity The complex point of departure
Embarking
- n the Nordic
vision Shaping the new reality Adjusting to changed market conditions Benefiting from the Nordic vision
One bank
77
Vision
We will be valued as the leading financial services group in the Nordic and Baltic markets with a substantial growth potential. We will be in the top league or show superior profitable growth in every market and product area in which we choose to compete. We will have the leading multichannel distribution with a top world ranking in e-based financial solutions and a high level of use of our e-services We will be a good corporate citizen ensuring confidence and trust
Mission
Making it possible
Corporate values and key words
- Focus. We concentrate on creating value for our customers and shareholders.
We contrentrate on our strengths and core activities, and we discontinue activities when needed
- Speed. We provide a broad set of easily accessible and competitive financial services and
We are quick, adjust to market conditions and do not hesitate to execute decisions made.
- Performance. We aim to deliver better solutions and results than our competitors
We continuosly improve in everything we do, and we deliver on our promises
78
Strategic themes 2004
Attract, develop and retain highly motivated, competent and performance oriented employees Ensure stable and profitable growth of income Ensure operational excellence, strict cost management and reduced complexity Ensure capital efficiency and high credit portfolio quality Sustainable growth of economic profit
79
Strategic themes firmly anchored throughout the Group
Group / Group functions
- Centralisation and
consolidation of production processes
- Centralisation and
consolidation of administrative processes
- Selective use of sourcing
alternatives
- Complete divestment of real
estate
- Roll-out of economic
capital/economic profit framework
Retail Banking
- Increase sales to all existing
customers
- Acquire new profitable
customers
- Sell more through all
channels: Branches, Netbank and Contact Centres
- Sell products in bundles
- Implement common
solutions
- Encourage the customers to
use Netbank and Contact Centres
- Handle customers according
to segment-based strategy
- Enforce strict cost
management
- Use economic profit to
determine individual corporate customer strategy
- Secure the right procedure
for credit-granting
- Monitor credit risks and take
rapid action
- Use credit-scoring models
Ensure stable and profitable growth of income
- Corp. and Inst. Banking
- Increase share of wallet
- Further enhance position
among large corporate customers in Sweden
- Increase focus on Financial
Institutions
- Realise full potential of the
existing cost saving initiatives and harvest full benefits
- Increase organisational
efficiency
- Limited use of balance
sheet
- Price according to risk
- Proactive handling of credit
risk
Asset Management & Life
- Capture share of growth in
the long-term savings and life area
- Grow economic profit in Life
& Pensions at low volatility
- Standardise service
concepts
- Streamline support functions
- Ensure continuous product
range management
- Leverage on existing
products/processes
- Proactively manage
compliance and operational risk
- Realise full potential of the
changed business model in Life & Pensions Ensure capital efficiency and high credit portfolio quality Ensure operational excellence, strict cost management and reduced complexity
1
Group financial targets
Key performance indicator Target 2003 3,673 Costs, EURm Same cost level as in 2003 0.25 Loan losses ratio, % < 0.40% of loans and guarantees
- n average over a business cycle
48 Dividend pay-out ratio, % > 40% 7.3 Tier 1 capital ratio, % > 6.5% In the top five of the peer group of 20 banks # 3 Total shareholder return, % 2002 # 15 3,745 0.18 76 7.1 16.7 RoE, excluding goodwill, % > 15% 11.3 63 Cost/income ratio, % < 55% from 2005 64 Supporting performance indicator
1) 14.5% using standard tax rate and adjusted for the negative impact of the real estate write-down at year-end 2) 17.3% adjusted for real estate gain in Q2 1)
H1/04 1,722 0.05 n.a 7.0 # 8 23.1 61
2)
81
10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 SAMPO DnBNOR SWEDBANK SEB COMMERZBANK HYPOVEREINSBANK BANK OF IRELAND ALLIED IRISH BANK SHB ABBEY NATIONAL DANSKE BANK KBC NORDEA ABN AMRO SOCIETE GENERALE LLOYDS TSB HBOS BNP BARCLAYS RBOS
Peer group* by market cap, EURbn
3 August 2004
*As defined by Nordea
82
Strong distribution network throughout the Nordic and Baltic Sea region
Riga Vilnius Tallinn
Helsinki
Luxembourg
Stockholm
St Petersburg Frankfurt
Oslo
Countrywide network
Branch office or subsidiary Office of an associated bank
Moscow
Copenhagen
7,203 Personnel 8,683 Personnel 29,289 Total personnel 1,202 Total locations 1,450 Personnel 57 Branches/salepoints Poland and Baltic 8,465 Personnel 344 Branch offices Denmark 3,488 Personnel 130 Branch offices Norway 255 Branch offices Sweden 416 Branch offices Finland
Warzaw
83
Large customer base with high penetration in e-banking
1,605 517 440 4,100 SE 56 59 40 300 Baltic Sea Region 294 237 60 630 NO 3,778 1,751 940 9,610 Total 321 617 Life insurance customers (1,000) 1,246 577 E-banking customers (1,000) 320 80 Corporate customers 2,970 1,610 Personal customers Banking customers (1,000) FI DK
84
85
86
Retail Banking operating profit
376 395 428 433 456 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450 500 Q2/03 Q3/03 Q4/03 Q1/04 Q2/04
EURm
Increased lending volumes SME loan growth continued Strong increase in non-interest
income
Positive net loan losses
26 58 Q1/04 27 58 Q2/04 RoE, % C/I ratio, % Key ratios
87
Retail Banking operating profit by markets
5 5 30 30 21 23 31 32 25 25 26 27 RoE % 76 76 57 59 57 60 57 56 56 55 58 58 C/I ratio % 0.1 0.1 1.4 1.3 0.8 0.8 1.1 1.2 1.4 1.5 4.8 4.9 Economic capital, EURbn 12 16 211 196 113 112 187 188 200 205 727 721 Net interest income 8 9 120 134 36 35 91 103 88 90 345 374 Non-interest income Q1 Q2 Q1 Q2 Q1 Q2 Q1 Q2 Q1 Q2 Q1 Q2
EURm
2
- 2
6
- 19
25 138 5 137
- 193
330 65 7 58
- 89
147 125
- 3
128
- 163
291 128
- 5
129
- 166
295 456 1 458
- 637
1,095 20 331 149 278 288 1,072 Total income
- 15
- 189
- 85
- 159
- 163
- 621
Total expenses 2 139 60 117 121 433 Operating profit
- 1
1
- 4
- 2
- 9
- 16
Loan losses 142 SE 5 64 119 125 451 Profit bef. loan loss P&B NO FI DK Retail
88
32.0 25.8 20.8 38.0 33.1 26.9 18.9 38.3 35.0 28.9 20.2 39.5 0.0 5.0 10.0 15.0 20.0 25.0 30.0 35.0 40.0 Denmark Finland Norway Sweden Q2/03 Q4/03 Q2/04
Retail Banking lending
EURbn End of period
89 15.6 21.9 11.0 20.2 15.3 22.6 10.0 21.2 16.1 22.7 10.4 20.1 5 10 15 20 25 Denmark Finland Norway Sweden Q2/03 Q4/03 Q2/04
Retail Banking deposits
EURbn End of period
90
Retail Banking deposits
9.2 5.5 6.8 6.6 6.7 3.6 6.3 6.9 4.2 1.4 9.6 2.6
5 10 15 20 25 Denmark Finland Norway Sweden
Corporate Household customer - saving accounts Household customer - current accounts
- EURbn. End of Q2/04
91
Retail Banking, volumes and margins
1.0% 0.9% 50.0 52.6 Household mortgages 1.2% 1.4% 0.9% 1.4% 1.5% 1.2% Q2/04 1.3% 1.6% 1.0% 1.4% 1.6% 1.2% Q1/04 Margins 40.9 41.8 Deposits from household customers 121.1 125.6 Total lending 69.6 70.6 Total deposits 28.6 28.8 Deposits from corporates 64.3 67.5 Lending to household customers 56.8 58.1 Lending to corporates Q1/04 Q2/04
EURbn
Volumes
Margins are quarterly averages and exclude Poland and Baltic, volumes end of period
92
Retail Banking, lending and deposit margins
Quarterly averages 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0 1.2 1.4 1.6 1.8 2.0 2.2 2.4 2.6 Q1/02 Q2/02 Q3/02 Q4/02 Q1/03 Q2/03 Q3/03 Q4/03 Q1/04 Q2/04 Lending to corporates Lending to households Morgage lending to households Deposits from corporates Deposits from households Overall stable lending
margins
– household margins slightly
down
– SME margins stable
Declining deposit margins
%
93
94
E-banking customers
Equity trading customers
50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 Jan-00 June-00 Nov-00 April-01 Sept-01 Feb-02 July-02 Dec-02 May-03 Oct-03 Mar-04
E-banking customers
1 1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5 4 Jan-00 June-00 Nov-00 April-01 Sept-01 Feb-02 July-02 Dec-02 May-03 Oct-03 Mar-04
(1,000) Mill.
95
Payments and log-ons
E-banking payments 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 Q1/00 Q3/00 Q1/01 Q3/01 Q1/02 Q3/02 Q1/03 Q3/03 Q1/04 Denmark Finland Norway Sweden Mill. E-banking log-ons 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 Q1/00 Q3/00 Q1/01 Q3/01 Q1/02 Q3/02 Q1/03 Q3/03 Q1/04 Denmark Finland Norway Sweden Mill.
96
Penetration on the net
Equity trading penetration rate
Executed trades
10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 Jan-00 May-00 Sept-00 Jan-01 May-01 Sept-01 Jan-02 May-02 02-Sep Jan-03 May-03 Sep-03 Jan-04 May-04
Mutual funds penetration rate
5 10 15 20 25 30 35 Jan-01 May-01 Sept-01 Jan-02 May-02 Sep-02 Jan-03 May-03 Sep-03 Jan-04 May-04
% %
97
Cards
Issued debit and credit cards
0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 4.0 4.5 5.0
J a n
- 1
M a y
- 1
S e p t
- 1
J a n
- 2
M a y
- 2
S e p t
- 2
J a n
- 3
M a y
- 3
S e p
- 3
J a n
- 4
M a y
- 4
Card payments
10 20 30 40 50 60
J a n
- 1
M a y
- 1
S e p t
- 1
J a n
- 2
M a y
- 2
S e p t
- 2
J a n
- 3
M a y
- 3
S e p
- 3
J a n
- 4
M a y
- 4
Mill. Mill.
98
Payment transactions, households
Payments transactions, households 150 175 200 225 250 275 300
Q1/01 Q2/01 Q3/01 Q4/01 Q1/02 Q2/02 Q3/02 Q4/02 Q1/03 Q2/03 Q3/03 Q4/03 Q1/04 Q2/04
Mill. Breakdown of transactions
20 40 60 80 100 120 140
Q1/01 Q3/01 Q1/02 Q3/02 Q1/03 Q3/03 Q1/04 Manual transactions Payment ATMs Card payments Cash withdrawal ATMs Direct debit Solo payments
Mill.
99
100
131 92 100 154 85 30 60 90 120 150 180 Q2/03 Q3/03 Q4/03 Q1/04 Q2/04
CIB operating profit
EURm
Increased lending volumes Markets income down
– lower customer activity – challenging market conditions
Stable development in other areas Positive net loan losses
25 48 Q1/04 14 64 Q2/04 RoE, % C/I ratio, % Key ratios
101
Stock market development
Source: Nordea Markets
1
- 23
88.6 Sweden 6
- 27
19.9 Norway
- 13
- 21
44.7 Finland 3
- 14
20.1 Denmark Q2 2004, % Chg Q2 vs Q1, % Q2 2004, EURbn Market index Market Volume
102
CIB operating profit by main area
0.6 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 1.0 1.0 1.7 1.7 Economic capital
- 34
5
- 39
- 57
18 Q1 51 51
- 73
124 Q2 Markets
- 26
- 29
- 52
23 Q2 Other 105 105
- 75
180 Q1 Q1 Q2 Q1 Q2 Q2 Q2 Q1 Q2 EURm 30 2 28
- 12
40 8 9
- 31
40 72 4 4 65
- 39
104 64 85 3 4 6 74
- 134
208 43 88 127 276 Total income
- 10
- 28
- 39
- 134
Total expenses 48 C/I ratio % Transfer risk 5 Equity method 37 59 92 154 Operating profit 4 5 9 Loan losses 33 60 88 142 Profit bef. loan losses International and Shipping Division Financial Instititutions Division Corporate Banking Division CIB
* Markets has product responsibility for trading products such as FX, fixed income and related derivatives and is evaluated by
monitoring the product result. The product result includes all income and expenses related to the respective products, which is allocated to the customer responsible unit within Corporate and Institutional Banking and Retail Banking.
1
CIB lending volume*
15.8 6.8 25.3 11.9 1.7 6.4 20.0 13.3 6.6 21.8 2.7 1.9
5 10 15 20 25 30 Corporate Banking Division Financial Institutions Division International and Shipping Division Total Q2/03 Q4/03 Q2/04
EURbn
End of period *Excluding volumes within Markets
104
105
Asset Management product result
41 48 60 60 58 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 Q2/03 Q3/03 Q4/03 Q1/04 Q2/04 EURm
AuM up EUR 1.4bn to EUR
123.3bn
– net inflow of EUR 1.4bn in Q1
Asset appreciation flat Asset Mgmt commissions
– mgmt fees stable – transaction fees slightly down
122 56 Q1/04 123 57 Q2/04 AuM, EURbn C/I ratio, % Key ratios
106
Assets under management
20 40 60 80 100 120 140 Q2/03 Q3/03 Q4/03 Q1/04 Q2/04
Nordic retail funds Nordic private banking International wealth mgmt & funds Institutional clients Life & pensions
EURbn
121.9 Strong distribution capacity Nordea market leader within
retail funds in the Nordic region
– holds 19% of all Nordic
investment fund assets
Strong sales through
European fund distribution
113 107 102 123.3
107
Net inflows
- 1
1 2 3 4 5 6 Q2/03 Q3/03 Q4/03 Q1/04 Q2/04 Life & pensions Institutional clients International wealth mgmt & funds Nordic private banking Nordic retail funds EURbn 4.2 5.7 2.4 2.4 1.4
108
Asset structure – Investment Management*
*Including mgmt of own investment funds
Nordic fixed income 53% Int'l. equities 22% Nordic equities 14% Int'l. fixed income 11%
Q2/04 EUR 78.1bn
Nordic fixed income 52% Int'l. equities 22% Nordic equities 14% Int'l. fixed income 12%
Q1/04 EUR 77.7bn
109
Asset structure – Investment Funds
Fixed income funds 45% Equity funds 45% Balanced funds 10%
Q2/04 EUR 46.9bn
Fixed income funds 45% Equity funds 45% Balanced funds 10%
Q1/04 EUR 45.5bn
110
Investment Funds, volumes and margins
14.5 6.2 1.6 16.6 14.4 6.9 1.8 16.8
2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 DK FI NO SE Q1/04 Q2/04
0.53 1.22 0.87 1.07 0.48 1.15 0.82 1.08
0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0 1.2 1.4 DK* FI NO SE Q1/04 Q2/04
Margins * Net margin
% EURbn End of period
111
European Fund distribution
1000 2000 3000 4000 5000 6000 Q3/00 Q1/01 Q3/01 Q1/02 Q3/02 Q1/03 Q3/03 Q1/04 Inflow AUM
Net inflow of EUR 0.5bn in Q2 More than 1000 active distribution
agreements
Assets by country of source:
– 25% from Switzerland – 25% from Germany – 15% from Spain – 9% from Austria – 7% from UK – 6% from France – 4% from Luxembourg – 8% from Other
EURm
112
44 53 57 52 43 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 Q2/03 Q3/03 Q4/03 Q1/04 Q2/04
EURm
Life Insurance, product result
Stabilisation at high level Decreased financial buffers Effect of changed business
model increasingly visible
5.6 3.2 Q1/04
- 0.4
Inv return, % 4.9 Q2/04 Financial buffers*, % Key ratios
* Financial buffers in % of provisions
113
Life - breakdown of product result
53
- 3
56 7 3
- 218
- 30
- 98
347 45 Q1/04 3 Net profit from other business 60 Product result before distribution expenses 8 Operating profit Unit Linked business 57
- 3
124
- 26
159
- 280
72 Q2/04 Change in discount rate for life provisions Total product result Distribution expenses Retail Allocation to/from financial buffers Fluctuations compared to normalised investment return Normalised operating margin Allocation to policy-holders
EURm
114
Life
17 57
- 3
60 612 8 190 52 3 124
- 26
- 49
159
- 280
72
- 26
- 560
236 422
Q2/04
18 44
- 3
47 701 6 168 41
- 2
- 10
- 6
59 111
- 114
62
- 28
- 687
244 533
Q4/03
10 43
- 3
46 457 7 87 39
- 1
28
- 13
25 126
- 151
50
- 24
- 532
236 370
Q3/03
10 52
- 3
55 548 4 87 51 4
- 165
- 13
225
- 126
297 54
- 28
- 626
247 461
Q2/03
53 Product result
- 3
Distribution expenses Retail 13 56 643 7 152 49 3
- 218
- 30
294
- 98
347 45
- 25
- 655
234 491
Q1/04
Change in discount rate for life provisions Premiums written, net of reinsurance Of which profit within Retail Banking Product result before distribution expenses TOTAL LIFE & PENSIONS Product result before distribution expenses Premiums written, net of reinsurance UNIT LINKED BUSINESS Product result before distribution expenses TRADITIONAL LIFE Normalised operating margin Of which allocated to policyholders Of which to/from financial buffers Insurance operating expenses Fluctuations compared to normalised investment return Actual operating margin Net profit from other business Benefits paid and change in provision Normalised investment. return Premiums written net
EURm
115
Life
60 8 3 13 23 13 Product result before distribution expenses
- 3
- 2
Distribution expenses Retail
- 280
- 4
- 29
- 13
- 46
- 190
Fluctuation compared to normalised investment return 8 39 36 7 4 3 7
- 3
2 3 4 Other 13 190 14 13
- 2
30
- 15
159 16
- 11
- 266
117 175 Denmark 612 49 92 243 Premiums written, net of reinsurance 57 3 12 21 Product result TOTAL LIFE & PENSIONS 8 3 5 Product result before distribution expenses 190 22 19 100 Premiums written, net of reinsurance UNIT LINKED BUSINESS 52 1 12 18 Product result before distribution expenses TRADITIONAL LIFE 72 7 19 24 Normalised operating margin
- 26
- 20
- 6
Of which allocated to policyholders 124 23 26 46 Of which to/from financial buffers
- 26
- 2
- 8
- 2
Insurance operating expenses 159 Change in discount rate for life provisions
- 49
- 22
7
- 21
Actual operating margin 3
- 560
236 422 Total
- 35
16 27 Sweden
- 84
38 73 Norway Net profit from other business
- 178
Benefits paid and change in provision 61 Normalised investment return 143 Premiums written net Finland EURm
116
Life - investments
5 10 15 20 25 30 Q2/03 Q3/03 Q4/03 Q1/04 Q2/04
Equities Bonds Real estate Unit linked Equities
–
predominantly listed equities
–
1/3 Nordic, 2/3 international
Bonds
–
¾ Nordic issuers
–
primarily govmn’t & mortgage inst. EURbn
24.8
End of period
23.9 23.4 23.1 24.8
117
Life - asset allocation
15 15 24.3 24.2 Total 4 12 15 19 Q2/04 Equities, % 4 12 18 18 Q1/04 2.8 3.3 6.6 11.6 Q1/04 Q2/04 2.8 Sweden 3.2 Norway 6.6 Finland 11.6 Denmark Total, EURbn
118
Life - solvency situation
End of Q2/04
177 52 120 68 Sweden 218 247 456 209 Finland* 117 75 519 444 Denmark 165 81 206 125 Norway Solvency in %
- f requirement
Solvency buffer Actual solvency Required solvency EURm
*Solvency buffer in Finland has decreased due to a change in Finnish solvency rules as from 1/6 2004
119
Life – financial buffers*
4.9 3.5 1.1 3.3 7.1 Q2/04 933 57 30 158 688 Q2/04 5.2 83 Sweden % of total provisions EURm 5.6 1,058 Total 4.3 204 Finland 7.3 717 Denmark 2.0 55 Norway Q1/04 Q1/04
* Financial buffers are defined in accordance with local regulations and practices.
120
Life – solvency sensitivity, end of Q2/04
177 165 218 117 Solvency in % of requirement 162 137 184 117 Equities drop 12% 211 141 245 115 Interest rates down 50bp 134 Norway 157 Sweden 117 Denmark Finland 190 Interest rates up 50bp
%
121
Life – buffer sensitivity, end of Q2/04
57 30 158 688 Financial buffers*
- 10
- 4
- 71
- 180
Equities drop 12% 22 34 57
- 39
Interest rates down 50bp 25 Norway
- 14
Sweden 26 Denmark Finland
- 56
Interest rates up 50bp EURm
* Financial buffers are defined in accordance with local regulations and practices.
122
123
Group Treasury operating profit
Investment earnings down
– Influenced by difficult market
conditions
– loss on holding in OMHEX AB
Improved result in Group Funding
91 35 62 55
- 27
- 40
- 20
20 40 60 80 100 Q2/03 Q3/03 Q4/03 Q1/04 Q2/04
EURm
124
Group Treasury operating profit by main areas
Q1/04 Q2/04 Q1/04 Q2/04 Q1/04 Q2/04 Q1/04 Q2/04
EURm Group Funding Group Investment
Equity portfolios Fixed income portfolios
Total
55
- 27
Operating profit
17
- 15
45
- 46
62
- 61
Investment earnings
- 7
34
- 7
34
Profit excl. Investment earnings
- 8
- 8
- 1
- 3
- 3
Expenses
1 42 18
- 15
48
- 43
Income
125
Group Treasury - investments
5 10 15 20 Q2/03 Q3/03 Q4/03 Q1/04 Q2/04 Fixed income Equities
Equities
–
listed, unlisted & private equity funds
Bonds
–
¾ Nordic issuers
–
primarily government and mortgage inst. EURbn
16.2
End of period
14.8 15.9 16.0 16.0
126
Treasury – risk management
End of Q2/04
Interest rate risk (VaR)
– risk related to interest rate positions, calculated as VaR
Equity risk (VaR)
– risk related to equities, calculated as VaR, comprise all equities including listed,
unlisted and private equity
53 46 Q1/04 45 28 Q2/04 Equity risk (VaR) Interest rate risk (VaR) EURm, end of period
127
128 147 32 28 22 36 5 156 30 23 23 26 4 40 80 120 160 Lending Bonds and
- ther interest
bearing securities Loans and advances to credit inst. Assets, insurance Other assets, banking Other 30/06/03 30/06/04
Balance sheet structure - assets
EURbn End of period
129 89 64 38 38 21 12 7 98 64 31 29 23 12 6 20 40 60 80 100 120
Deposits and
- ther
borrowings from the public Debt securities in issue Deposits by credit institutions Provisions and
- ther liabilities,
banking Liabilities, insurance Shareholder´s equity Other
30/06/03 30/06/04
Balance sheet structure – liabilities and equity
EURbn End of period
130
Lending
147 149 146 148 156 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 Q2/03 Q3/03 Q4/03 Q1/04 Q2/04
Lending and deposits
Deposits
91 93 96 92 98 20 40 60 80 100 Q2/03 Q3/03 Q4/03 Q1/04 Q2/04 EURbn EURbn
End of period
131
Capital base
13,047
- 257
- 1,441
4,838 9,907
- 56
- 1,711
3 287 11,384
- 657
12,041 End of Q2/04 Deductions for other investments Group goodwill Other deductions TIER 1 Capital TIER 2 Capital (subordinated debt) Deductions for investments in insurance companies Deductions insurance companies and other Hybrid capital Minority interests Shareholders’ equity in the capital base Capital base Shareholders’ equity
EURm
132
* Statistics as of June 2004
133
Market shares, personal customer deposits
22.0 34.6 8.5 19.5 21.9 34.1 8.6 19.0
5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 Denmark Finland Norway Sweden
June 03 June 04 %
134
Personal customer deposits - market volume & share
10 20 30 40 50 J a n
- 3
M a r
- 3
M a y
- 3
J u l
- 3
S e p
- 3
N
- v
- 3
J a n
- 4
M a r
- 4
M a y
- 4
30% 32% 34% 36% 38% 40%
100 200 300 400 500 Jun-01 Sep-01 Dec-01 Mar-02 Jun-02 Sep-02 02-Dec 03-Mar 03-Jun 03-Sep 03-Dec 04-Mar 04-Jun 18% 20% 22% 24% 26% 28% 100 200 300 400 500 600 Jun-01 Sep-01 dec-01 mar-02 june-02 Sep-02 Dec-02 Mar-03 Jun-03 Sep-03 Dec-03 Mar-04 Jun-04 15% 17% 19% 21% 23% 25%
EURbn
Finland
DKKbn
Denmark
SEKbn
Sweden
NOKbn
Norway
Market volume Market share 100 200 300 400 500 May-01 Aug-01 Nov-01 Feb-02 May-02 Aug-02 Nov-02 Feb-03 May-03 Aug-03 Nov-03 Feb-04 May-04 5% 7% 9% 11% 13% 15%
135
Market shares, corporate deposits
22.8 40.8 15.8 24.6 22.7 39.0 15.8 22.6 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 Denmark Finland Norway Sweden June 03 June 04
%
136
Corporate deposits - market volume & share
5 10 15 20 25 Jan-03 Mar-03 May-03 Jul-03 Sep-03 Nov-03 Jan-04 Mar-04 May-04 35% 37% 39% 41% 43% 45% 0.0 50.0 100.0 150.0 200.0 250.0 300.0 350.0 jun-01 Sep-01 Dec-01 Mar-02 Jun-02 Sep-02 Dec-03 Mar-03 Jun-03 Sep-03 Dec-03 Mar-04 Jun-04 14% 16% 18% 20% 22% 24% 26% 28% 100 200 300 400 May-01 Aug-01 Nov-01 Feb-02 May-02 Aug-02 Nov-02 Feb-03 May-03 Aug-03 Nov-03 Feb-04 May-04 10% 12% 14% 16% 18% 20% EURbn
Finland
DKKbn
Denmark
SEKbn
Sweden
NOKbn
Norway
Market volume Market share 100 200 300 400 Jun-01 Sep-01 dec-01 mar-02 Jun-02 Sep-02 Dec-03 Mar-03 Jun-03 Sep-03 Dec-03 Mar-04 Jun-04 10% 15% 20% 25%
137
Market shares, personal customer lending
18.5 32.1 10.6 14.0 16.8 32.0 11.1 14.2
5 10 15 20 25 30 35 Denmark Finland Norway Sweden Jun-03 Jun-04
%
138
Personal customer lending - market volume & share
10 20 30 40 50 60 Jan-03 Mar-03 May-03 Jul-03 Sep-03 Nov-03 Jan-04 Mar-04 May-04 29% 30% 31% 32% 33% 34% 35% 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 J u n
- 1
S e p
- 1
D e c
- 2
M a r
- 2
J u n
- 2
S e p
- 2
D e c
- 3
M a r
- 3
J u n
- 3
S e p
- 3
D e c
- 3
M a r
- 4
J u n
- 4
10% 12% 14% 16% 18% 20% 200 400 600 800 May-01 Aug-01 Nov-01 Feb-02 May-02 Aug-02 Nov-02 Feb-03 May-03 Aug-03 Nov-03 Feb-04 May-04 8% 9% 10% 11% 12% EURbn
Finland
DKKbn
Denmark
SEKbn
Sweden
NOKbn
Norway
Market volume Market share
50 100 150 200 250 300 Jun-01 Sep-01 Dec-01 Mar-02 Jun-02 Sep-02 Dec-03 Mar-03 Jun-03 Sep-03 Dec-03 Mar-04 Jun-04 12% 14% 16% 18% 20% 22%
139
Morgage lending households - market volume & share
200 400 600 800 1000 J u n
- 1
D e c
- 1
J u n
- 2
D e c
- 2
J u n
- 3
D e c
- 3
J u n
- 4
10% 12% 14% 16% 18% 20% 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 May-02 Aug-02 Nov-02 Feb-03 May-03 Aug-03 Nov-03 Feb-04 May-04 8% 9% 10% 11% 12% EURbn
Finland
DKKbn
Denmark
SEKbn
Sweden
NOKbn
Norway
Market volume Market share
200 400 600 800 1000 Q1/01 Q2/01 Q3/01 Q4/01 Q1/02 Q2/02 Q3/02 Q4/02 Q1/03 Q2/03 Q3/03 Q4/03 Q1/04 Q2/04 0% 4% 8% 12% 16% 20% 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 Jan-03 Mar-03 May-03 Jul-03 Sep-03 Nov-03 Jan-04 Mar-04 May-04 30% 31% 32% 33% 34% 35%
140
Corporate lending - market volume & share
10 20 30 40 50 J a n
- 3
M a r
- 3
M a y
- 3
J u l
- 3
S e p
- 3
N
- v
- 3
J a n
- 4
M a r
- 4
M a y
- 4
32% 33% 34% 35% 36% 37% 38%
250 500 750 1,000 1,250 1,500 1,750 Jun-01 Sep-01 Dec-02 Mar-02 Jun-03 Sep-02 Dec-02 Mar-03 Jun-03 Sep-03 Dec-03 Mar-04 Jun-04 10% 12% 14% 16% 18% 20% 100 200 300 400 500 May-01 Aug-02 Nov-02 Feb-02 May-02 Aug-02 Nov-02 Feb-03 May-03 Aug-03 Nov-03 Feb-04 May-04 10% 12% 14% 16% 18% 20% EURbn
Finland
DKKbn
Denmark
SEKbn
Sweden
NOKbn
Norway
Market volume Market share
50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450 Jun-01 Sep-01 Dec-01 Mar-02 Jun-02 Sep-02 Dec-03 Mar-03 Jun-03 Sep-03 Dec-03 Mar-04 Jun-04 20% 22% 24% 26% 28% 30% 32%
141
Investment funds - market volume & share
5 10 15 20 25 30 Jun-02 Nov-02 Feb-03 May-03 Aug-03 Nov-03 Feb-04 May-04 20% 22% 24% 26% 28% 30% 32% 34% 200 400 600 800 1000 Jun-00 Mar-01 Dec-01 Sep-02 Jun-03 Mar-04 14% 16% 18% 20% 22% 24% 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 Jun-01 Jan-02 Jun-02 Sep-03 Dec-02 Mar-03 Jun-03 Sep-03 Dec-03 Mar-04 Jun-04 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% 14% EURbn
Finland
DKKbn
Denmark
SEKbn
Sweden
NOKbn
Norway
Market volume Nordea market share
100 200 300 400 500 M a r
- 2
A u g
- 2
N
- v
- 2
F e b
- 3
M a y
- 3
A u g
- 3
N
- v
- 3
F e b
- 4
M a y
- 4
20% 22% 24% 26% 28% 30% 32%
142
Investment funds, net inflow, Norway
Market volume, Nordea volume, and accumulated market share ytd
- 3,000
- 2,000
- 1,000
1,000 2,000 3,000 J u n
- 2
A u g
- 2
O c t
- 2
D e c
- 2
F e b
- 3
A p r
- 3
J u n
- 3
A u g
- 3
O c t
- 3
D e c
- 3
F e b
- 4
A p r
- 4
J u n
- 4
- 60
- 50
- 40
- 30
- 20
- 10
10 20 30 40 50 60
Market net inflow Nordea net inflow Nordea %
% NOKm
143
Investment funds, net inflow, Finland
Market volume, Nordea volume, and accumulated market share ytd
- 400
- 200
200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400 Jun-02 Jul-02 Aug-02 Sep-02 Oct-02 Nov-02 Dec-02 Jan-03 Feb-03 Mar-03 Apr-03 May-03 Jun-03 Jul-03 Aug-03 Sep-03 Oct-03 Nov-03 Dec-03 Jan-04 Feb-04 Mar-04 Apr-04 May-04 Jun-04
- 16
- 8
8 16 24 32 40
Market net inflow Nordea net inflow Nordea %
% EURm
144
Investment funds, net inflow, Sweden
Market volume, Nordea volume, and accumulated market share ytd
- 2,000
2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 10,000 12,000 14,000 Jun-02 Aug-02 Oct-02 Dec-02 Feb-03 Apr-03 Jun-03 Aug-03 Oct-03 Dec-03 Feb-04 Apr-04 Jun-04
- 4
4 8 12 16 20 24 28
Market net inflow Nordea net inflow Nordea %
% SEKm
19bn 19bn
145
10.1 5.8 6.1 3.9 7.2 6.1 4.9 3.6
2 4 6 8 10 12 C
- p
e n h a g e n H e l s i n k i O s l
- S
t
- c
k h
- l
m Q1/04 Q2/04
%
Market share, equity dealing - Nordea Securities
115.6 27.1 56.5 23.4
Q1/04
88.6 19.9 44.7 20.1
Q2/04
Sweden Norway Finland Denmark
EURbn Equity market turnover
146
Appendix
Financials
Page 147
Nordea share
Page 157
Other
Page 163
Macro statistics
Page 168
147
Appendix
Financials
148
Pension obligations
No material pension obligations off balance sheet Pension costs going forward largely unchanged EUR 554m Net liability 1 January 2004 EUR 256m* Effect of implementation of RR29/IAS19 EUR 298m Pension Obligation, national GAAP, net liability *EUR 183m adjustment of equity (after tax) RR29/IAS19 implemented 1 January 2004
– defined benefit plans reflected on balance sheet
149 516
- 41
51
- 61
567 9 3 555
- 849
- 378
- 15
- 456
1,404 27 104 405 868 Q2/04 383
- 46
40 33 356 14
- 84
426
- 973
- 416
- 46
- 511
1,399 36 125 388 850 Q4/03
- 15
Profit sharing 470
- 40
40 27 443 10
- 89
522
- 881
- 350
- 531
1,403 56 130 379 838 Q3/03 579
- 40
50 81 488 19
- 92
561
- 902
- 363
- 539
1,463 99 155 366 843 Q2/03 584
- 40
47 62 515 9
- 42
548
- 873
- 370
- 488
1,421 22 156 397 846 Q1/04 Investment earnings, banking Operating profit, life Insurance Other income Profit before inv. earnings and insurance Equity method Loan losses, net Profit before loan losses Operating profit Goodwill depreciation Total expenses Other expenses Personnel expenses Total income Trading income Net commission income Net interest income EURm
Operational income statement
150
Statutory income statement
- Write-downs on securities held as financial fixed assets
- 72
- 76
Depreciation, amortisation and write-down of tangible and intangible fixed assets
405
- 174
- 2
581
44 537 19
- 46
- 46
610
- 940
- 329
- 539
1,550
98 97 372 26 957
- 1,395
2,352
Q2/03
- 908
Total operating expenses
Minority interest
816 Total operating profit
- Pension adjustments
- 152
Taxes 3 Loan losses, net Change in value of property taken over for protection of claims 16 Profit from companies accounted for under the equity method 771 Operating profit, banking 45 Operating profit, insurance
664 752
- 360
- 472
1,660
328 41 421 11 859
- 1,136
1,995
Q2/04 Profit before loan losses Total income
General administrative expenses Personnel expenses Other administrative expenses Net interest income Net result from financial operations Other income Dividends received Net commission income
Net profit
Interest expenses Interest income
EURm
151
Reconciliation of operational and statutory accounts
17)
- 300
300 Real estate sales and write-downs, net 16) 30
- 30
Profit sharing Change in value of property taken over 1,082
- 1
- 317
1,400 86 1,314 25
- 39
1,328
- 1,819
- 154
- 689
- 976
3,147 345 236 828 15 1,723 Statutory H1/04 300 69 231 231
- 90
- 154
64
- 30
321 300 21 Other adjustment 12
- 12
Insurance
- 1
1 7
- 6
- 7
- 5
- 2
1 15
- 1
6
- 19
Investment activities
- 4
221
- 260
27 9 7 Trading income 1,082
- 1
- 317
1,100
- 81
98 1 1,082 18
- 39
1,103
- 1,722
- 748
- 944
2,825 49 260 802 1,714 Operational H1/04 4) 3) 5) 2) 4) 1) 9) 9) 7) 8) 6) 10) 10) 13) 12,13) 11,16) 17) 18) 15) 15) Allocation to Pension foundation Taxes Minority interests Total expenses Operating profit, life insurance Goodwill depreciation Operating profit Loan losses, net Profit from companies – equity method Profit excluding investment earnings Investment earnings, banking Profit before Loan losses Total income Personnel expenses Other expenses Depreciation according to plan Commission income Net result from financial operations Other income Trading Net profit Dividends received Net interest income
EURm
152
Reconciliation of operational and statutory acounts
1. Net interest income from trading transactions in Nordea Markets (for example interest related to swaps etc.), reclassified as trading income in the operational accounts. Mainly customer trading. 2. Commission income in Nordea Markets, reclassified as Trading income in the operational accounts. 3. Net result from financial operations from trading transactions in Nordea Markets (foreign exchange and derivatives trading) reclassified to trading income in the
- perational accounts. Mainly customer trading.
4. Other income and Dividend income in Nordea Markets, reclassified to trading income in the operational accounts. 5. Trading income in the operational accounts, equals income in Nordea Markets (incl. income allocated to Business Areas), reclassified from the statutory accounts as described in 1) through 4) above. 6. Net interest income from Treasury’s portfolio of certificates and bonds, reclassified as investment earnings, banking in the operational accounts. 7. Securities gains/losses on Treasury’s investment portfolios (certificates, bonds and equities), reclassified from Net result form financial operations in the statutory accounts, to investment earnings, banking in the operational accounts. 8. Dividend income on equities (non-insurance portfolio), reclassified as Investment earnings in the operational accounts. 9. Costs related to investment activities, reclassified from relevant category of cost in the statutory accounts, to being reported on a net basis as part of investment earnings, banking in the operational accounts. 10. Amortisation of goodwill related to insurance included in
- ne-line consolidation of insurance activities (Operating
profit, life insurance) in the statutory accounts, reclassified to Amortisation of goodwill in the operational accounts. 11. Pension adjustments accounted for according to Swedish regulations in the statutory accounts. Reclassified to Staff costs in the Operational accounts. 12. Depreciation according to plan, including goodwill within banking is separate line in the statutory accounts. Depreciation excluding goodwill is reclassified as Other expenses in the operational accounts. 13. Depreciation of goodwill, see footnote 12) (Banking) and 10) (Insurance), shown as part of Depreciation according to plan in the statutory accounts, as opposed to separate line item in the operational accounts. 14. Change in value of property taken over in the statutory accounts, reclassified as Loan losses, net, in the
- perational accounts.
15. The difference between statutory accounts and operational accounts at the Total operating profit level is related to Pension adjustments (Sweden), only. There is no difference between the two at the Net profit level. 16. Profit sharing included in Staff costs in the statutory income statement 17. Real estate gains included in the operating profit in the statutory income statement 18. Leasing depreciation is reported as expenses in the statutory income statement, but is reported as a reduction
- f net interest income in the operational statement
153
Expenses - breakdown
849
- 3
852 110 89 50 23 108 15 457 Q1/04 973
- 3
976 112 87 56 27 136 46 512 Q4/03
- 15
Profit sharing 881
- 3
884 123 74 53 14 88 532 Q3/03 902
- 5
907 128 81 49 23 85 541 Q2/03 873
- 4
877 120 75 52 14 112 489 Q1/04 Information technology 2) Other Expenses
- f which investment activities 3)
Expenses Rents, premises and real estate expenses Postage, telephone and office expenses Marketing Staff 1) EURm
1) Variable salaries were EUR 28m in Q2 2004 (Q1 2004: EUR 37m) 2) Refers to IT operations, service expenses and consulting fees. Total IT-related costs in Q2 2004, including personnel etc were EUR 166m (Q1 2004: EUR 165m). 3) Including personnel expenses (Q2 2004 EUR 1m)
154
Total IT-related expenses*
174 166 208 165 166
50 100 150 200 250 Q2/03 Q3/03 Q4/03 Q1/04 Q2/04
EURm
*Refers to IT operations, service expenses and consultant fees including personnel etc, but
excluding IT expenses in insurance operations
- Approx. 20% of total
costs
155 58 61 67 59 63
10 20 30 40 50 60 70 Q2/03 Q3/03 Q4/03 Q1/04 Q2/04
Cost/income ratio
C/I ratio, banking %
58 64 63
10 20 30 40 50 60 70 2001 2002 2003 C/I ratio, banking %
156 Other Other Own line 300 Real estate sales and write downs Other Other Other Other Other Own line P&L
Operational
Q2/04
- 105
10
- 115
Q4/03 Other Own line Real estate sales and write downs Retail Other Retail Finland Q1/04 Other Other Other Net result fin trans P&L
Statutory
Other Retail Retail Other BA 27 OM/HEX shares 8 Inkassosentralen
75
32 43 Q2/03 Huoneistokeskus Nordisk Renting
35
Q3/03
Total
EURm
Gains and losses on various disposals etc
157
Appendix
Nordea share
158
- 20
- 10
10 20 30 40
HYPOVEREINSBANK COMMERZBANK RBOS BARCLAYS ABN AMRO LLOYDS TSB HBOS SHB SOCIETE GENERALE SWEDBANK SEB BNP NORDEA BANK OF IRELAND ALLIED IRISH BANK DANSKE BANK SAMPO ABBEY NATIONAL DnB NOR KBC
Total shareholder return (TSR) Ytd 2004
Nordea peer group*
Source: Bloomberg 4/8-2004
%
*As defined by Nordea
159
Shareholder structure, end of Q2/04
19.5% 7.3% 6.0% 6.4% 3.9% 27.5% 2.4% 26.9% International institutions Swedish institutions Swedish state Finnish institutions Danish institutions Finnish public Danish public Swedish public
Number of shareholders approx. 498,000
160
Largest registered shareholders, end of Q2/04
1.5 41.3 Fjärde AP-fonden 1.2 34.4 SHB/SPP fonder 1.2 34.1 Skandia 1.1 30.5 Första AP-fonden 1.1 30.5 Andra AP-fonden 1.0 28.2 Tredje AP-fonden 0.3 8.3 Xact fonder 0.3 8.2 Folksam fonder 0.5 13.2 Nordea Bank Sverige vinstandelsstiftelse 45.2 1,257.6 Total for the 20 largest shareholders 3.7 102.5 Nordea Danmark fonden 2.7 75.4 Robur fonder 19.5 542.0 Swedish state 3.7 103.6 Alecta 2.3 62.5 Nordea fonder 2.2 61.0 SEB fonder 0.9 26.2 AMF Pension 0.9 25.8 Tryg i Danmark smba 0.3 8.5 Länsförsäkringar fonder 0.3 8.7 Pensionsförsäkringsbolaget Varma-Sampo 0.5 12.5 Solidium Oy (Finnish state) % Number of shares Shareholder
161
Number of shares
2,928,108,227
- 57,008,000**
Buyback Cancellation Oct, 2003 2,783,108,227 145,000,000 Buyback Market Nov 03-Mar 04 2,928,108,227 45,050 Conversions* New issue Sep, 2002 2,928,063,177 40,008,000** Buyback Market Aug-Sep 2002 2,968,071,177 2,405,087 Conversions* New issue May, 2002 2,965,666,090 17,000,000** Buyback Market April, 2001 2,982,666,090 3,473,373 Conversions* New issue 2000-2001 2,979,192,717 18,348,501 Unidanmark New issue June, 2000 2,960,844,216 869,776,488 Unidanmark New issue April, 2000 2,091,067,728 815,800,287 Merita New issue Jan, 2000 Outstanding shares Number of shares issued Subject Type of transaction Date
*Convertible bond conversions
** Shares bought back in April 2001 and Aug-Sep 2002 cancelled in Oct 2003 Average number of outstanding shares Jan-June 2004 was 2.806 million (Jan-Dec 2003 2.921m, Jan-June 2003 2.928m). Dilution not applicable.
162
71.5 55.5 38.4 54.0 54.25 Share price, end of period, SEK 8.9 0.24 4.33
n.a
Q2/04
1)) Share price converted to euro devided by 12 months rolling EPS
14.0 0.30 4.06
EUR 0.23
2002 14.0 11.3 11.7 P/E ratio1) 0.58 0.53 0.51 Earnings per share, EUR 3.74 4.00 4.28 Shareholders’ equity per share, EUR
SEK
2.00
EUR
0.23
EUR 0.25
Dividend 2000 2001 2003
Data per share
163
Appendix
Other
164
Ratings
Individ. Long Short Long Short Long Short BFSR A1 P-1 Norgeskreditt Aaa Nordea Kredit A-1 Aa3 P-1 Nordea Hypotek B AA- F1+ A+ A-1 Aa3 P-1 B Nordea Bank S B AA- F1+ A+ A-1 Aa3 P-1 B- Nordea Bank N B AA- F1+ A+ A-1 Aa3 P-1 B Nordea Bank F B AA- F1+ A+ A-1 Aa3 P-1 B Nordea Bank D Fitch S&P Moody’s
165
Business structure
Corporate Nordic Wealth Management Household Planning and Control Investment Management Investment Funds Nordic Wealth Management European Private Banking Group IT Electronic Banking* Global Operations Services* Group Credit and Risk Control Carl-Johan Granvik Group Treasury Group Planning and Control Group Legal CEO Lars G Nordström Corporate Banking Division Financial Institituitions Division International and Shipping Division Group Support and Procurement Group Human Resources Group Identity and Communications Group Management Secretariat Production and Productivity Market Support Product Companies Group Finance Investor Relations Group Corporate Development Group Compliance Life & Pensions Board of Directors Internal Audit Activity Regional Banks Denmark Regional Banks Finland Regional Banks Norway Regional Banks Sweden Regional Banks Poland and Baltic Retail Banking Kari Jordan Asset Management & Life Christian Clausen Group Processing and Technology Markku Pohjola Group Corporate Centre Arne Liljedahl Group Staffs Peter Schütze Markets Corporate and Institutional Banking Tom Ruud
166
Legal structure
Nordea Life Holding Finland Nordea Bank AB (Publ) Sweden Nordea Life Holding A/S Denmark Nordea Asset Management AB Sweden Nordea Bank Polska SA Poland
Nordea Liv Holding AS Norway Nordea Life Assurance I Sweden AB (publ) Sweden Nordea Pension Danmark, Livsfor- sikringsselskab A/S Denmark Nordea Life Assurance II Sweden AB (publ) Sweden Various subsidiaries Various subsidiaries
Nordea Bank Finland Plc Finland Nordea Bank Danmark A/S Denmark
Various subsidiaries Various subsidiaries Various subsidiaries Various subsidiaries
Nordea Bank Norge ASA Norway
Various subsidiaries Nordea Zycie SA Poland Various subsidiaries Various subsidiaries Nordea Livförsäkring Finland AB
167
Group Executive Management
Lars G Nordström President and Group CEO Christian Clausen Head of Asset Management & Life Carl-Johan Granvik Head of Group Credit and Risk Control, Group CRO Kari Jordan Head of Retail Banking (to leave Nordea later 2004) Arne Liljedahl Head of Group Corporate Centre, Group CFO Markku Pohjola Head of Group Processing and Technology, Deputy Group CEO Tom Ruud Head of Corporate and Institutional Banking Peter Schütze Head of Group Staffs
168
Appendix
Macro statistics and estimates
Source: Nordea Markets Economic Research Estimates mainly from May 2004
169
Macro data
% 2003e 2004e 2005e Gross domestic product DK 0.4 2.5 2.4 FI 1.9 3.0 3.5 NO 0.7 3.8 2.8 SE 1.6 2.7 3.0 Inflation DK 2.1 1.3 1.9 FI 1.3 0.6 1.8 NO 2.5 0.4 1.9 SE 2.1 0.4 1.5 Private consumption DK 1.1 3.2 2.5 FI 3.6 3.3 2.7 NO 3.7 4.9 3.3 SE 2.0 2.6 2.9 Unemployment DK 5.9 6.1 5.6 FI 9.0 8.9 8.6 NO 4.5 4.2 3.8 SE 4.9 5.4 5.1
In Norway, forecasts are for mainland GDP
170
Market development - GDP
3.0 2.8 3.5 2.4 2005e 2.7 1.6 Sweden 3.8 0.7 Norway 3.0 1.9 Finland 2.5 0.4 Denmark 2003e
%
In Norway, forecasts are for mainland GDP
2004e 2002 2.1 1.7 2.2 1.0
171
Gross domestic product
- 10
- 8
- 6
- 4
- 2
2 4 6 8 10 Q1/90 Q1/93 Q1/96 Q1/99 Q1/02 Denmark Finland Norway Sweden
Change in % YoY
172
Inflation
- 2
2 4 6 8 10 12 14 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004
Denmark Finland Norway Sweden
%
173
Private consumption
- 8
- 6
- 4
- 2
2 4 6 8 10 Q1/90 Q1/93 Q1/96 Q1/99 Q1/02
Denmark Finland Norway Sweden
Change in % YoY
174
Household saving rates
- 4
- 2
2 4 6 8 10 12 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004
Denmark Finland Norway Sweden %
175
Unemployment
5 10 15 20 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004
Denmark Finland Norway Sweden % of labour force
176
Credit growth total lending to non-bank sector
- 10
- 5
5 10 15 96 March 96 Dec 97 Sept 98 June 99 March 99 Dec 00 Sept 01 June 02-Mar 02-Dec 03-Sep 04-Jun
Denmark Finland Norway Sweden
Change in % YoY
177
Bankruptcies
200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400 1600 1800 Jan-94 Jan-95 Jan-96 Jan-97 Jan-98 Jan-99 Jan-00 Jan-01 Jan-02 Jan-03 Jan-04
Denmark Finland Norway Sweden Number of bankruptcies per month
178
Exchange rate, EUR/USD
0.8 0.85 0.9 0.95 1 1.05 1.1 1.15 1.2 1.25 1.3 2/1 /98 2/4 /98 2/7 /98 2/10 /98 2/1 /99 2/4 /99 2/7 /99 2/10 /99 2/1 /00 2/4 /00 2/7 /00 2/10 /00 2/1 /01 2/4 /01 2/7 /01 2/10 /01 2/1 /02 2/4 /02 2/7 /02 2/10 /02 2/1 /03 2/4 /03 2/7 /03 2/10 /03 2/1 /04 2/4 /04 2/7 /04
USD
179
Exchange rate, EUR/SEK
8 8.4 8.8 9.2 9.6 10 1/1 /98 1/5 /98 1/9 /98 1/1 /99 1/5 /99 1/9 /99 1/1 /00 1/5 /00 1/9 /00 1/1 /01 1/5 /01 1/9 /01 1/1 /02 1/5 /02 1/9 /02 1/1 /03 1/5 /03 1/9 /03 1/1 /04 1/5 /04 SEK
180
Exchange rate, EUR/NOK
7 7.5 8 8.5 9 9.5 10 1 / 1 / 9 8 1 / 5 / 9 8 1 / 9 / 9 8 1 / 1 / 9 9 1 / 5 / 9 9 1 / 9 / 9 9 1 / 1 / 1 / 5 / 1 / 9 / 1 / 1 / 1 1 / 5 / 1 1 / 9 / 1 1 / 1 / 2 1 / 5 / 2 1 / 9 / 2 1 / 1 / 3 1 / 5 / 3 1 / 9 / 3 1 / 1 / 4 1 / 5 / 4 NOK
181
Oil price development, Brent, USD/Barrel
5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 1 / 1 / 9 1 / 1 / 9 1 1 / 1 / 9 2 1 / 1 / 9 3 1 / 1 / 9 4 1 / 1 / 9 5 1 / 1 / 9 6 1 / 1 / 9 7 1 / 1 / 9 8 1 / 1 / 9 9 1 / 1 / 1 / 1 / 1 1 / 1 / 2 1 / 1 / 3 1 / 1 / 4 Dollar
182
Stock exchange indices
100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 2/1 /97 2/7 /97 2/1 /98 2/7 /98 2/1 /99 2/7 /99 2/1 /00 2/7 /00 2/1 /01 2/7 /01 2/1 /02 2/7 /02 2/1 /03 2/7 /03 2/1 /04 2/7 /04
KAX Index HEX Index Oslo Total Index AFGX Index Index 100 = 1997
183
Money market, 3 month rates
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 1/1 /98 1/4 /98 1/7 /98 1/10 /98 1/1 /99 1/4 /99 1/7 /99 1/10 /99 1/1 /00 1/4 /00 1/7 /00 1/10 /00 1/1 /01 1/4 /01 1/7 /01 1/10 /01 1/1 /02 1/4 /02 1/7 /02 1/10 /02 1/1 /03 1/4 /03 1/7 /03 1/10 /03 1/1 /04 1/4 /04 1/7 /04
Denmark Finland Norway Sweden
%
184
Government bond, 10 year
3 3.5 4 4.5 5 5.5 6 6.5 7 7.5 1/1 /98 1/5 /98 1/9 /98 1/1 /99 1/5 /99 1/9 /99 1/1 /00 1/5 /00 1/9 /00 1/1 /01 1/5 /01 1/9 /01 1/1 /02 1/5 /02 1/9 /02 1/1 /03 1/5 /03 1/9 /03 1/1 /04 1/5 /04
Denmark Finland Norway Sweden
%
185