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Central Asia-South Africa: Contents Exchange of Experiences in Water Resources Management Water resources and development: Paradigms and perspectives across spatial and temporal scales Marius Claassen 12 June 2018 Given that most water


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Contents

Central Asia-South Africa: Exchange of Experiences in Water Resources Management

Water resources and development: Paradigms and perspectives across spatial and temporal scales

Marius Claassen 12 June 2018

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“Given that most water resources cross borders, transboundary cooperation is crucial” Ban Ki‐moon “Together, we can facilitate Africa’s integration, unity and shared values of prosperity and lasting peace for all”

  • Dr. Nkosazana Dlamini Zuma
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Nile Basin

The Nile Basin Initiative is a regional partnership for promoting growth and addressing critical challenges It is built around a shared belief that countries can achieve better

  • utcomes through

cooperation

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Southern African Development Community

  • SADC Declaration and Treaty (1992)
  • SADC Revised Protocol on Shared Watercourses (2000)
  • SADC Regional Water Policy (2005)
  • SADC Regional Water Strategy (2006)
  • The SADC Guidelines for Strengthening River Basin Organisations (2010)
  • SADC Regional Indicative Strategic Development Plan (2011)
  • Regional Awareness and Communication Strategy for the Water Sector (2011)
  • Climate Change Adaptation in SADC: A Strategy for the Water Sector (2011)
  • The SADC Regional Strategic Action Plan (2011)
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NBI: Benefits of Hydropower

Burundi; 62 Rwanda; 158 DRC; 662 Uganda; 540 Tanzania; 961 Kenya; 1219 South Sudan; 266 Sudan; 1476 Egypt; 6030 Ethiopia; 1112

Increase in GDP (million USD) due to increased reliability of electricity supply

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NBI: Development Scenarios

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NBI: Benefits under different scenarios

Financially Sustainable Regional Economic Integration and Goodwill “One Nile”

Sudan Community

  • Crop yields increase 79%‐129%
  • Milk yields increase 71%

ENTRO Watershed Management Main Nile sub‐Basin

  • Protect 2 520 ha existing and

18 480 potential croplands Abay‐Blue Nile sub‐Basin

  • Yields increase by 460 635 tons
  • 25.7 M tons less sediment in river

Baro‐Sobat Nile sub‐Basin

  • Yield increase by 1 529 448 tons
  • 2.8 M tons less sediment in river

Tekezi‐Atbara Nile sub‐Basin

  • Yield increase by 134 945 tons
  • 22.11 M tons less sediment in river

Tana‐Beles Nile sub‐Basin

  • Various Livelihood benefits
  • Multiple benefits to the river

Hydropower NELSAP Energy impact on GDP

  • $37.46 billion added per year

NELSAP Interconnection, less surplus

  • $921 million saving per year

NELSAP Reliability impact on GDP

  • $12.49 billion added per year

Ethio‐Sudan Interconnection

  • Ethiopia: $ 8.8M foreign exchange
  • Sudan: 52% lower electricity cost

Eastern Nile

  • Crop yields increase 79%‐129%
  • Milk yields increase 71%
  • Protect 2 520 ha existing and

18 480 potential croplands

  • Yields increase by 2 125 028 tons
  • 50.61 M tons less sediment in river
  • Various livelihood benefits
  • Multiple benefits to the river
  • Ethiopia: $ 8.8M foreign exchange
  • Sudan: 52% lower electricity cost

Nile Equatorial Lakes

  • $ 50 880 million added per year

Nile Basin

  • Combined benefits
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NBI: Strategy (2017‐2027)

Goal 1: Enhance availability and sustainable utilization and management of transboundary water resources of the Nile Basin Goal 2: Enhance hydropower development in the basin and increase interconnectivity of electric grids and power trade Goal 3: Enhance efficient agricultural water use and promote a basin approach to address the linkages between water and food security Goal 4: Protect, restore and promote sustainable use of water related ecosystems across the basin Goal 5: Improve basin resilience to climate change impacts Goal 6: Strengthen transboundary water governance in the Nile Basin

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NBI: Resource mobilised

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Southern African Development Community

Regional Infrastructure Development Master Plan: Water Sector

  • Identifies 34 infrastructure projects to be implemented over 25 years, aimed at

raising the level of human and economic development of the region

  • Phase I, running from 2013 to 2021, intends to achieve the following goals:

– Improving storage of renewable water resources from 14% per year to 25% – Increasing the irrigated area from 3.4 million hectares to 10 million hectares (13% of the potential land available) – Raising the level of hydropower generation from 12 GW to 75 GW (50% of the sector’s potential) – Increasing access to safe drinking water from 61% to 75% of the population – Increasing access to sanitation facilities from 39% to 75% of the population

  • Phase II, beginning in 2018, and Phase III, beginning in 2023, to move toward a

water sector operating at 100% of its potential by 2027

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NBI: Practical steps to deliver benefits

1 2 3 4

It is important to consider the spatial and temporal scales of the analysis and in particular the linkages between scales. It is not necessary to have complete knowledge, but missing critical knowledge can pose a risk to good decisions and effective implementation A clear articulation of the preferred development opportunities is needed to create a common platform decision‐making. The benefits of transboundary cooperation are vested in the cumulative regional synergies and opportunities.

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Key learning points

  • More/better knowledge does not equate to better cooperation or decisions

(it may be necessary, but it is not sufficient)

  • National sovereignty weighs stronger that regional objectives

(although they are not mutually exclusive)

  • Alignment of riparian countries' visions/objectives/policies are important

(they don't have to be the same, just pointed in the same direction)

  • Esoteric debates about the benefits of cooperation are largely a waste of time

(we've had much of this)

  • Priorities and conditions are dynamic. Cookie‐cutter solutions are not useful

(although we can extract principles)

  • Practical, on the ground, development initiatives are valuable to build trust and

demonstrate benefits (but less so the calculations of the potential benefits in consultant reports)

  • Large, unwieldy regional institutions (often supported by donor funds) have very

low cost/benefit ratios

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Way forward

  • Develop/confirm shared intent
  • Be clear on desired outcomes and development options (at various scales) to

achieve shared intent

  • Implement national and subnational actions that are aligned with the above (and

avoid those that are not)

  • Implement shared actions (bilateral or multi‐lateral) aligned with the above
  • Start small to build trust, upscale when/where it makes sense
  • Continue to track changes in drivers, processes and outcomes and adapt

accordingly

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Thank you

Marius Claassen mclaasse@csir.co.za