Contents Press slides Page 3 Financial highlights Q3/03 Page 17 - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Contents Press slides Page 3 Financial highlights Q3/03 Page 17 - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Contents Press slides Page 3 Financial highlights Q3/03 Page 17 Credit quality Page 56 Economic capital Page 72 Nordea Page 77 Business areas Page 85 Balance sheet Page 128 Market shares Page 135 Appendix
2
Contents
Press slides
Page 3
Financial highlights Q3/03
Page 17
Credit quality
Page 56
Economic capital
Page 72
Nordea
Page 77
Business areas
Page 85
Balance sheet
Page 128
Market shares
Page 135
Appendix
Page 149
Interim Report Third Quarter 2003 Press conference
29 October 2003 Lars G Nordström
4
Stable underlying development in Q3
Operating profit EUR 470m (EUR 579m in Q2) Net profit up 55% to EUR 628m (EUR 405m in Q2 and EUR 193m in
Q3/02)
Total income EUR 1,403m (EUR 1,463m in Q2 and EUR 1,406m in
Q3/02)
Total expenses down 2% to EUR 881m (EUR 902m in Q2) Earnings per share EUR 0.21 (EUR 0.14 in Q2 and EUR 0.07 in Q3/02) Return on equity, excl. goodwill, 26.6%, 14.0% when using standard tax
rate (18.1% in Q2)
5
Significantly improved performance in the first nine months of 2003
Operating profit up 30% to EUR 1,429m (EUR 1,101m in Jan-Sep 02) Total income EUR 4,240m (EUR 4,213m) Total expenses down 2% to EUR 2,700m (EUR 2,752m) Earnings per share, rolling 12 months, EUR 0.55 Return on equity, excl. goodwill, 19.0%, 14.8% when using standard
tax rate
6
Continued focus
Partnership agreement with IBM for IT production services Sale of Norwegian debt collection company Inkassosentralen Change process of legal structure on track Repurchase of own shares
7
Top priorities
Reduce volatility and ensure growth of income Improve cost management Ensure capital efficiency Maintain credit portfolio quality Reduce complexity - from “too many” to “just one”
8
Reduced earnings volatility from capital markets exposure
- Investment earnings down in
Q3 2003 from exceptionally high Q2 level
–
Higher medium and long-term interest rates in Q3
- Operating profit in Life &
Pensions down in Q3 2003, although at a satisfactory level
–
Lower investment returns
–
Gradual implementation of changed business model
- Earnings volatility significantly
down in Q1-Q3 2003
–
Operating losses in General Insurance and Life & Pensions
–
Divestment loss from General Insurance
11 31 39 41 29 81 27
- 34
- 17
44 19 50 40
- 113
- 125
- 100
- 75
- 50
- 25
25 50 75 100 Q1/02 Q2/02 Q3/02 Q4/02 Q1/03 Q2/03 Q3/03 Investment earnings, banking Operating profit, Life and General
EURm
Investment earnings and insurance
- perating profit Q1/02-Q3/03
9
- Total income in Q3 2003 down
4%
- adjusted for non-recurring
items largely unchanged
–
Deposit and lending margins unchanged
–
Commission income increased
–
Lower trading income
–
Increased volumes
- Total income in Q1-Q3 2003 up
1%
–
Net interest income and commission income slightly down
–
Trading income significantly up
–
Several minor non-recurring items
–
Increased volumes
Total income level maintained
Income Q1/02-Q3/031
1 Insurance reported according to the one-line principle
1,382 1,425 1,406 1,457 1,374 1,463 1,403 400 800 1200 1600 2000 Q1/02 Q2/02 Q3/02 Q4/02 Q1/03 Q2/03 Q3/03 EURm
10
Cost development under control
- Total costs down 2% in Q3 as
well as Q1-Q3 2003
- Underlying costs in Q1-Q3 2003
down by 5%
–
LG Petro Bank consolidated
–
Higher restructuring costs
–
Higher variable salaries
–
Release of previous restructuring reserve
–
F/X effects
- Well within target of flat costs
compared to 2002
925 993 917 881 902 922 905 61 66 65 63 64 58 64 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 EURm 20 40 60 80 100 Costs C/I ratio
Costs and C/I ratio Q1/02-Q2/03
% Q1/02 Q2/02 Q3/02 Q4/02 Q1/03 Q2/03 Q3/03
11
- Number of employees (FTE)
down by 2,050 or 6% since beginning of year
–
Huoneistokeskus employees account for 1.5 percentage point
- External recruitment reduced
and the process for recirculation to vacant positions improved
Number of employees falling
Full time equivalents (FTEs) Q1/02-Q3/03 (end of period)
32,227 5000 10000 15000 20000 25000 30000 35000 40000 45000 Q1/02 Q2/02 Q3/02 Q4/02 Q1/03 Q2/03 Q3/03 Nordea Group excl. GI General Insurance (GI)
Number
- f FTEs
LG Petro Bank included as from December 2002
12
Capital efficiency - strong capital position
10.2 10.4 9.9 10.2 9.5 9.1 9,0 2 4 6 8 10 12 Q1/02 Q2/02 Q3/02 Q4/02 Q1/03 Q2/03 Q3/03
Economic capital 01/02-Q3/03
EURbn
- Economic capital reduced by
EUR 1.2bn since end of 2002
- Further real estate divestment
will reduce economic capital going forward
- RWA stable since end of 2002
- Regulatory capital ratios
maintained well above targets
- Repurchase of own shares
Q1/02 Q2/02 Q3/02 Q4/02 Q1/03 Q2/03 Q3/03 Tier 1 7.2 7.4 7.0 7.1 7.2 7.5 7.5 Total 9.2 8.9 9.0 9.9 9.7 9.8 9.8 RWA 140 136 137 135 137 135 135
13
Credit quality maintained
- Loan loss level (annualised)
stabilised at 0.25% of loans and guarantees, well below target of max. 0.40%
- Majority of loan losses stems
from the Norwegian lending portfolio - especially fish farming
- Impaired loans, net, in Q3 2003
unchanged at 0.6% of total lending
- Continued slight shift towards
mortgages
66 76 89 63 56 92 98 25 50 75 100 125 Q1/02 Q2/02 Q3/02 Q4/02 Q1/03 Q2/03 Q3/03 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 Loan losses Loan losses ratio (acc. and annualised)
EURm
%
Loan losses Q1/02-Q3/03
14
Developing Nordea
2001 2002 2000 2003
Customer organisation, customer strategy and customer relation Planning and performance management Business organisation and management Name, brand and values Reduction of complexity Changes of business models Divestment of non-core assets Focus, speed and performance The complex point of departure
Embarking
- n the Nordic
vision Shaping the new reality Adjusting to changed market conditions Benefiting from the Nordic vision
One bank
15
In summary
Our performance has been significantly improved We have increased focus on core business and activities As complexity in operations is being reduced our efficiency will improve …….We are on the right track
Interim Report Third Quarter 2003 Press conference
29 October 2003 Lars G Nordström
17
Financial highlights Q3/03
18
Stable underlying development in Q3
Operating profit EUR 470m (EUR 579m in Q2) Net profit up 55% to EUR 628m (EUR 405m in Q2 and EUR 193m in
Q3/02)
Total income EUR 1,403m (EUR 1,463m in Q2 and EUR 1,406m in
Q3/02)
Total expenses down 2% to EUR 881m (EUR 902m in Q2) Earnings per share EUR 0.21 (EUR 0.14 in Q2 and EUR 0.07 in Q3/02) Return on equity, excl. goodwill, 26.6%, 14.0% when using standard tax
rate (18.1% in Q2)
19
Significantly improved performance in the first nine months of 2003
Operating profit up 30% to EUR 1,429m (EUR 1,101m in Jan-Sep 02) Total income EUR 4,240m (EUR 4,213m) Total expenses down 2% to EUR 2,700m (EUR 2,752m) Earnings per share, rolling 12 months, EUR 0.55 Return on equity, excl. goodwill, 19.0%, 14.8% when using standard
tax rate
20
Continued focus
Partnership agreement with IBM for IT production services Sale of Norwegian debt collection company Inkassosentralen Change process of legal structure on track Repurchase of own shares
21
5 10 15 20 25 30 Q2/03 Q3/03 Copenhagen Helsinki Oslo Stockholm Nasdaq Dow Jones
Market development – stock market indexes
%
22
3.61 3.08 4.06 4.05 3.18 2.05 2.97 2.13 30-06-03
- 0.26
2.82 Short, SE +0.16 3.77 Long, SE
- 1.29
2.76 Short, NO
- 0.02
4.04 Long, NO +0.16 3.34 Long, DK +0.05 2.10 Short, DK +0.13 3.10 Long, EUR (5 years)
- 0.06
2.07 Short, EUR (one week) Change 30-09-03 %
Market development – interest rates
23
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 EUR DKK SEK NOK Q1/03 Q2/03 Q3/03
Short interest rates - average (one week)
%
24
Net interest income
874 885 835 843 838
200 400 600 800 1000 Q3/02 Q4/02 Q1/03 Q2/03 Q3/03 QoQ:
Short interest rates reduced Continued pressure on interest
income
Compensated by increased volumes
and hedges against falling short-term rates YoY:
Volumes increased Pressure on deposit margins Corporate lending margins improved
EURm
25
Structural Interest Income Risk (SIIR)
- 240
220
Q3/03
Decreasing market rates, 100bp Increasing market rates, 100bp EURm, annualised effect on Nii*
- Increased SIIR in Q3
–
interest rates expected to have bottomed out
–
maturity of current hedges shorter than 12 months
*Approximately, end of period
SIIR is defined as the effect on net interest income (Nii) in the next 12 months if market rates change by one percentage point. Figures are asymmetrical as interest rates on deposits from customers cannot be reduced below 0%. Figures are based on maturity and repricing structure, and the effect going forward will be subject to management decisions and the competitive situation in the market.
26
101 108 104 114 120 189 195 179 191 194 38 35 24 20 28 86 95 88 87 88 50 61 44 40 47
- 85
- 88
- 76
- 80
- 84
- 100
100 200 300 400 500 Q3/02 Q4/02 Q1/03 Q2/03 Q3/03
Asset management Payments & deposits Brokerage Lending Other Expenses
EURm
Net commission income
QoQ:
Net commissions up 4% AuM up 5% to EUR 107bn
–
strong sales
–
strengthening of equity markets
Payment commissions
improved slightly
Brokerage increased EUR 8m
YoY:
Down 4%
–
reflecting lower brokerage income following lower market volumes
371 388 353 366 379
27
Trading
127 130 157 155 130
20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 Q3/02 Q4/02 Q1/03 Q2/03 Q3/03
Decreased somewhat reflecting
lower market activity
– still at a high level
Leading Nordic provider of
derivatives and debt capital market services
High quality earnings
– customer driven revenue
stream EURm
28
Total income
1,403 1,463
300 600 900 1200 1500 Q2/03 Q3/03
Maintained income level Q3 non-recurring items:
– Hex shares, EUR 27m – Inkassosentralen, EUR 8m
Q2 non-recurring items:
– Huoneistokeskus, EUR 43m – Nordisk renting, EUR 32m
EURm
29
Income statement summary
579
- 40
- 50
81 488 19
- 92
- 902
1,463 Q2/03
- 19
- 9
- 2
- 4
Change % 40 Operating profit, life insurance 27 Investment earnings, banking 470 Operating profit
- 40
Goodwill depreciation
- Operating profit, general insurance
443 Profit before inv. earnings and insurance 10 Equity method
- 89
Loan losses
- 881
Expenses
1,403 Income Q3/03 EURm
30
521 545 520 539 531 404 448 397 363 350 200 400 600 800 1000 Q3/02 Q4/02 Q1/03 Q2/03 Q3/03 Personnel Other
EURm
Expenses
QoQ:
Continued strict cost
management
–
cost reduction quarter by quarter
Total costs down 2% Seasonally lower activity
917 925 993 902 881
31
Income statement summary
1,101
- 128
- 122
- 42
81 1,312 36
- 185
- 2,752
4,213 Jan-Sep 2002 30
- 1
- 2
1 Change % 1,547
- 171
- 122
2 122 1,716 52
- 261
- 3,745
5,670 Full year 2002 109 Operating profit, life insurance 137 Investment earnings, banking 1,429 Operating profit
- 121
Goodwill depreciation
- Operating profit, general insurance
1,304 Profit before inv. earnings and insurance 43 Equity method
- 279
Loan losses
- 2,700
Expenses
4,240 Income Jan-Sep 2003 EURm
32
Expenses – underlying development
2,586 2,715
500 1000 1500 2000 2500 3000 Jan-Sep 2002 Jan-Sep 2003
YoY:
Ongoing initiatives showing
effect
Reported expenses down EUR
52m, or 2%
Underlying expenses approx.
EUR 130m, or 4.8% lower
– new business, Poland – higher restructuring costs – higher variable salaries – release of previous restructuring
reserve
– f/x effects
Also absorbed inflation and
- rganic growth
EURm 2,752 2,700
33
Development of FTEs
32,227 34,271 33,879 32,949
5000 10000 15000 20000 25000 30000 35000 40000 Q4/02 Q1/03 Q2/03 Q3/03
34,271 32,227 Total
- 6%
1,729 7,737 1,818 2,172 18,771 Q3/03 1,951 7,710 1,866 2,444 20,300* Q4/02 Other CIB Change GPT** AM & Life Retail FTEs
*Of which approx. 500 in Huoneistokeskus **Increased in 2003 by 480 FTEs from Retail and CIB due to organisational changes
End of period
34
Loan losses
181 219 236 246 221
- 115
- 143
- 138
- 154
- 132
66 76 98 92 89
- 200
- 100
100 200 300 Q3/02 Q4/02 Q1/03 Q2/03 Q3/03 Gross Reversals Net
EURm
Loan losses at manageable
level
– 0.24% of total loans and
guarantees annualised in Q3
Concentrated to Norwegian
retail portfolio
Vast majority within fish
farming
Exposure to fisheries industry
EUR 2.2bn
– approx. 44% related to fish
farming
Pan Fish shares valued at
zero
35
Investment earnings, banking
39 41 29 81 27
10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 Q3/02 Q4/02 Q1/03 Q2/03 Q3/03
QoQ:
Interest rates rose globally Loss on fixed-income portfolio Gain on equities
YoY:
Increased EUR 56m Position taking benefited from
reduced interest rates particularly in Q2
EURm
36
19 50 40
- 13
44
- 20
- 10
10 20 30 40 50 60 Q3/02 Q4/02 Q1/03 Q2/03 Q3/03
EURm
Operating profit, Life Insurance
Lower volatility Gradual implementation of
changed business model
Investment return decreased
in Q3
37
Income statement summary
1,101
- 128
- 122
- 42
81 1,312 36
- 185
- 2,752
4,213 Jan-Sep 2002
30
- 1
- 2
1 Change %
1,547
- 171
- 122
2 122 1,716 52
- 261
- 3,745
5,670 Full year 2002 109 Operating profit, life insurance 137 Investment earnings, banking
1,429 Operating profit
- 121
Goodwill depreciation
- Operating profit, general insurance
1,304 Profit before inv. earnings and insurance 43 Equity method
- 279
Loan losses
- 2,700
Expenses 4,240 Income Jan-Sep 2003 EURm
38
Net profit
564 1,288
300 600 900 1200 1500 Jan-Sep 2002 Jan-Sep 2003
YoY:
Increased by 128% Deferred tax asset of EUR
300m included in Q3/03
Allocation to pension fund in
2002 (EUR 272m)
EURm
39
5 10 15 20 25 30 Q3/02 Q4/02 Q1/03 Q2/03 Q3/03 0.00 0.05 0.10 0.15 0.20 0.25 Q3/02 Q4/02 Q1/03 Q2/03 Q3/03
Key figures
Return on equity (excl. goodwill) % Earnings per share EUR
14.8% 14.0% RoE adjusted to standard tax, ytd RoE adjusted to standard tax, Q3 EUR 0.33 EUR 0.11 EPS adjusted to standard tax, ytd EPS adjusted to standard tax, Q3
40
0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 Q 1 / 2 Q 2 / 2 Q 3 / 2 Q 4 / 2 Q 1 / 2 1 Q 2 / 2 1 Q 3 / 2 1 Q 4 / 2 1 Q 1 / 2 2 Q 2 / 2 2 Q 3 / 2 2 Q 4 / 2 2 Q 1 / 2 3 Q 2 / 2 3 Q 3 / 2 3
EUR
Earnings per share – 12 months rolling
41
Balance sheet - key items
135 261 13 93 149 Q3/03 137 252 12 93 147 Q3/02 135 250 12 94 146 Q4/02
- 1
Risk-weighted assets 4 Total assets 9 Shareholders’ equity Deposits 1 Lending Change, 12 months %
EURbn
End of period
42
Lending
147 146 147 147 149 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 Q3/02 Q4/02 Q1/03 Q2/03 Q3/03
Lending and deposits
Deposits
93 94 95 91 93 20 40 60 80 100 Q3/02 Q4/02 Q1/03 Q2/03 Q3/03 EURbn EURbn
End of period
43
Real estate holdings reduced
Sales process progressing according to plan Book value of approx. EUR 1.0bn to be divested Properties in Denmark with a book value of approx. EUR 0.4
sold in H1 2003
Nordisk Renting sold in Q2
44
Tier 1 ratio 7.1 7.5 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Q4/02 Q3/03
Capital position – strong
%
End of period
AGM authorisation to repurchase
10% of outstanding shares
Board decision to buy back shares
up to 5% of outstanding shares
Nordea will implement IAS19
(pensions) from 2004
– non-recurring reduction of equity of
- approx. EUR 250m
New Basel Capital Accord (Basel II)
– positive effect expected on required
regulatory capital
45
381 135 42 52 91
- 85
403 94 48 43 35
- 128
- 150
- 100
- 50
50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450 Retail CIB Asset Mgmt* Life* Group Treasury Other
Q2/03 Q3/03
Results by business area
EURm
*Product result for Asset Management and Life
46
Retail Banking operating profit
415 341 347 381 403 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450 500 Q3/02 Q4/02 Q1/03 Q2/03 Q3/03
EURm
Strong sales Continued growth in household
mortgages
Sale of Inkassosentralen Loan losses in Retail Banking
Norway
24 56 Q3/03 23 RoE, % 57 C/I ratio, % Q2/03 Key ratios
47
Retail Banking, lending and deposit margins
Quarterly averages 0.5 0.7 0.9 1.1 1.3 1.5 1.7 1.9 2.1 2.3 2.5 Q 1 / 2 Q 2 / 2 Q 3 / 2 Q 4 / 2 Q 1 / 3 Q 2 / 3 Q 3 / 3 Lending to corporates Lending to personal customers Deposits from corporates Deposits from personal customers Stable lending margins Overall deposit margins
relatively stable
Falling short-term rates
– compensated by hedges
%
48
123 138 109 135 94 30 60 90 120 150 Q3/02 Q4/02 Q1/03 Q2/03 Q3/03
CIB operating profit
EURm
Markets income reduced but still
at good level
– reflected in FID income
Custody Services
– pressure on prices
Seasonal decline in customer
demand
Nii down following lower volumes
13 56 Q3/03 19 RoE, % 52 C/I ratio, % Q2/03 Key ratios
49
Asset Management product result
35 38 31 42 48 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 Q3/02 Q4/02 Q1/03 Q2/03 Q3/03 EURm
Product result up 14% Net inflow of EUR 2.4bn
– 9% inflow annualised – ytd inflow EUR 6.7bn
AuM up 5% to EUR 107bn
107 60 Q3/03 102 AuM, EURbn 63 C/I ratio, % Q2/03 Key ratios
50
22 52 43
- 11
48
- 20
- 10
10 20 30 40 50 60 Q3/02 Q4/02 Q1/03 Q2/03 Q3/03
EURm
Life Insurance, product result
Product result down 17%, still
high level
Lower volatility Implementation of changed
business model
Investment return decreased in
Q3
3.3 0.4 Inv return, % 4.6 Q3/03 4.8 Financial buffers*, % Q2/03 Key ratios
* Financial buffers in % of provisions
51
Life - solvency situation
End of Q3/03
178 52 119 67 Sweden 237 293 506 213 Finland 119 82 509 427 Denmark 164 76 196 120 Norway Solvency in %
- f requirement
Solvency buffer Actual solvency Required solvency EURm
52
Life – financial buffers*
4.6 3.4 1.5 3.4 6.2 Q3/03 842 54 39 153 595 Q3/03 4.3 65 Sweden % of total provisions EURm 4.8 869 Total 3.9 175 Finland 6.2 588 Denmark 1.6 41 Norway Q2/03 Q2/03
* Financial buffers are defined in accordance with local regulations and practices.
53
Group Treasury operating profit
QoQ:
Financial markets focused on
economic recovery
Increased medium- and long-term
interest rates
– loss on bond portfolio
Gain on equities
31 27 58 91 35 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 Q3/02 Q4/02 Q1/03 Q2/03 Q3/03
EURm
54
Other column
QoQ:
OM/HEX shares EUR 27m in Q3 Nordisk Renting EUR 32m in Q2
General:
Funding cost for acquisition of
Nordea Bank Norway
Results from real estate holdings
(non-owner occupied)
Expenses in Group functions not
defined as service offered to business areas
Depreciation of goodwill related
to the creation of Nordea
13 Operating profit, Life 6 Investment earnings
- 16
- 24
Income
- 31
- 31
Goodwill 9 10 Equity method
- 85
- 128
Operating profit 5 Loan losses
- 71
- 83
Expenses Q2/03 Q3/03
55
Outlook 2003
General economic outlook slightly improved Scope for revenue growth in 2004
– expectations of growth globally as well as in the Nordic economies
Sharp attention on cost control will be maintained Expenses expected to be well within 2003 cost target Target for average loan losses over a business cycle, maximum
0.40%
– still some caution regarding the fish farming portfolio
Loan losses in Q4 not expected to exceed average quarterly level
in 2003
56
57
Companies 55% Public sector 2% Personal customers 43%
Loan portfolio by customer group
End of Q3/03
EUR 148.7bn
58
Housing loans 76% Other loans 24%
Lending to personal customers
End of Q3/03
EUR 63.5bn
Continued strong growth in
mortgage lending
Other loans comprise
–
consumer credits
–
investment credits
–
car financing
–
- verdraft facilities
–
credit cards
59
Construction 3% Real estate 27% Manufacturing 16% Finance 14% Commerce and services 11% Agriculture & Fishing 5% Shipping & Offshore 5% Transport, communication 5% Other companies 6% Renting, consulting and
- ther services
8%
Lending to companies by industry
End of Q3/03
EUR 82.1 bn
60
147.0 4.5 4.3 8.6 7.0 12.2 12.5 9.1 3.8 2.8 22.0 60.2 Q2/03 147.0 4.7 4.3 8.5 8.7 10.7 13.5 8.9 3.5 2.9 22.6 58.6 Q1/03 148.7 3.9 4.3 8.3 6.1 11.2 13.2 9.1 4.6 2.5 22.0 63.5 Q3/03 145.7 4.6 4.3 10.3 8.2 9.1 13.9 8.3 3.5 3.1 22.4 57.9 Q4/02 147 5 4 11 9 9 15 9 3 3 23 56 Q3/02 Total Shipping & Offshore Agriculture & Fishing Other companies/public sector Renting, Consulting and other services Finance Manufacturing Trade and services Transport, communication Construction Real estate Personal customers EURbn
Loan portfolio
End of period
61
Asia 0.5% Other OECD 0.5% Other 8.9% The Baltic states and Poland 0.9% Other EU countries 4.5% Latin America 0.6% USA 1.2% Non-OECD 0.7% Nordic countries 91.1%
Lending by geographical area
End of Q3/03
EUR 148.7bn
Nordic countries, EUR 135.4bn Denmark 37.5 Finland 30.9 Norway 22.7 Sweden 44.3
62
Transfer risk exposure
- EURm. End of Q3/03
69 Turkey 112 Iran
- of which
3 Argentina
326 Middle East
26 110 262
627
- of which
Latin America
Panama Chile Mexico Brazil 35 Indonesia South Korea China 19 48 144
- of which
270 Asia
63
Nordea fisheries financing
End of Q3/03
Fish processing/ export 21% Fish farming 44% Fishing vessels 35%
Total outstanding EUR 1.9bn Mainly Norwegian exposure Fish farming the troubled area Increased salmon prices in Q3
Total exposure approx. EUR 2.2 bn
64
Nordea shipping portfolio
Distribution by type of vessel
End of Q3/03
Combined vessels 1% Misc.loans 12% Crude tankers 12% Bulkers 10% Liners 10% Product tankers 9% Feries 8% Chemical tankers 8% Cruise 8% Pure car carries 7% Gas tankers 7% Other dry cargo 4% Reefers 4%
Outstanding, EUR 5.1bn Well diversified portfolio by
type of vessel
Focus on large industrial
players
Exposure split approx
55% / 45% Nordic / Int’l.
Total exposure approx. EUR 5.9bn
65
Nordea real estate financing portfolio
End of Q3/03
Denmark 8.1% Norway 19.4% Sweden 50.2% Finland 22.3%
Largest industry exposure Relatively large and financially
strong companies
High level of collateral coverage Lending to residential real estate
companies approx 50%
Total exposure approx. EUR 22.0bn
66
Nordea telecom financing portfolio
End of Q3/03
Operators 72%
Manufactures 28%
Total outstanding EUR 2.8bn Majority of exposure related to
– major Nordic equipment manufacturers – major Nordic telecom operators
ECA or cash cover for 9% of exposure
Total exposure approx. EUR 4.8 bn
67
0.57 71 109 836
- 379
- 65
- 1,571
- 2,015
2,851
Q2/03
0.55 72 124 805
- 393
- 64
- 1,630
- 2,087
2,892
Q1/03
0.57 71 105 844
- 384
- 64
- 1,624
- 2,072
2,916
Q3/03
0.76 66 130 1,107
- 391
- 64
- 1,698
- 2,153
3,260
Q4/02
0.57 73 138 846
- 377
- 79
- 1,834
- 2,290
3,136
Q3/02
Transfer risk reserve Of which: General provisions Appraised by category Specific provisions Provisions Provisions/impaired loans, gross (%) Impaired loans,net/lending (%) Impaired loans, net Impaired loans, gross
- EURm. End of period
Impaired loans
68
2,072 76 194 1 282 178 142 227 191 179 76 153 373 Provisons 4 5 Public sector 2,916 101 239 515 214 173 295 257 233 88 213 583 Gross 844 25 45 233 36 31 68 66 54 12 60 210 Net Total Shipping & Offshore Agriculture & Fishing Other companies Renting, Consulting and other services Finance Manufacturing Trade and services Transport, communication Construction Real estate Personal customers
- EURm. End of Q3/03
Impaired loans
69
Loan losses
181 219 236 246 221
- 115
- 143
- 138
- 154
- 132
66 76 98 92 89
- 200
- 100
100 200 300 Q3/02 Q4/02 Q1/03 Q2/03 Q3/03 Gross Reversals Net
EURm
Loan losses at manageable
level
– 0.24% of total loans and
guarantees annualised in Q3
Loan losses concentrated to
Norwegian retail portfolio
Vast majority within fish
farming
Fish farming represents 0.6%
- f loan book
Pan Fish shares valued at
zero
70
Comments on certain industries
Real estate
Vacancy rates increasing from very low levels in commercial real
estate
Rent levels down from peak but still higher than original levels 3-5
years ago
Low interest rates help secure cash flow and secondary market
values
New construction volumes adjusted to decreased demand Large foreign interest in Nordic property market Residential part of portfolio performing strongly
71
Comments on certain industries
Shipping and Offshore industry
Pick up in economy leading to increased rates Bulk market particularly strong Tanker market strong but volatile Crusing market recovering from global uncertainties Offshore industry suffering from uncertainty of oil prices Nordea´s exposure well diversified with modern ships and globally
competitive companies
Restructuring and consolidation of industry continue
72
73
Economic capital (EC)
EC is the capital required by Nordea to cover unexpected losses 6 different risk categories are incorporated The measurement period is one year The confidence level is 99.97% The economic capital may change over time due to:
– the composition of risk exposures – changes in parameters
Economic capital is used for
– risk management – performance measurement – capital allocation
74
Economic capital
9.9 10.2 9.5 9.1 9.0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Q3/02 Q4/02 Q1/03 Q2/03 Q3/03 EURbn
No major changes in EC
since last quarter
Ongoing sale of real estate
holdings
EC reduced by EUR 1.2bn
since Q4/02
75
Economic capital per business area
End of Q3/03
CIB 22% Other 10% Treasury 6% Asset Mgmt & Life 11% Retail 51%
EUR 9.0bn
76
Distribution of economic capital - by risk category
End of Q3/03
Credit risk 60% Business risk 10% Market risk 16% Real estate risk 5% Operational risk 8% Life risk 1%
77
78
Vision
We will be valued as the leading financial services group in the Nordic and Baltic financial markets with a substantial growth potential. We will be in the top league or show superior profitable growth in every market and product area in which we choose to compete. We will have the leading multichannel distribution with a top world ranking in e-based financial services and solutions.
Mission: ‘Making it possible’
By providing a broad set of easily accessible and competitive financial services and solutions, Nordea helps customers where we operate to reach their objectives.
79
Strategic themes
Attract, develop and retain highly motivated, competent and performance oriented employees Ensure stable and profitable growth of income Ensure operational excellence, strict cost management and reduced complexity Ensure capital efficiency and high credit portfolio quality Sustainable growth of economic profit
80
Top priorities firmly anchored throughout the Group
Other / Group
- Reduce IT-development
costs and projects
- Support and procurement
at Group level
- Shared service centres
- Further reduce economic
capital and non-core assets
- Roll-out economic profit-
driven management system to push profitability
Retail Banking
- Increase share of wallet for
personal customers in a multi-channel strategy
- Add value for small and
medium sized corporates
- Benchmark processes and
structures
- Emphasise Nordic projects
and solutions
- Drive e-banking
- Implement economic profit
- n business unit level
- Refine credit granting and
controls
- Refine credit scoring
models Reduce volatility and ensure growth of income
Corporate and Institutional Banking
- Enhance position among
large corporates in Sweden
- Focus on fin. institutions
- Gain market share in debt
capital markets
- Streamline international
activities
- Re-focus Nordea
Securities
- Reduce portfolio of
development projects
- Limit use of balance sheet
- Price according to risk
- Increase proactivity and
more strict monitoring of credit portfolio
Asset Management & Life
- Capture share of expected
growth in the Long-Term Savings and Life area
- Reduce volatility in Life
- Centralise equity and fixed
income processes
- Standardise service
concepts
- Streamline support
functions
- Implement new business
model in Life & Pensions Ensure capital efficiency and maintain credit portfolio quality Speed-up integration and unification and improve cost efficiency Top priorities
81
Financial targets
Note: Dividend for 2002 EUR 0.23 per share. Dividend for 2001 was EUR 0.23 per share
7.1 76 0.19 64 3,745 11.3 # 15 Actual 2002 > 40 % of net profit n.a Dividend pay-out ratio,% > 6.5% 7.5 Tier 1 capital ratio, % In the top five of the peer group # 5 YTD Total shareholder return, peer group ranking < 0.40% of loans and guarantees
- n average over a business cycle
0.25 Loan losses ratio, % < 55 % from 2005 and with present business mix 61 Cost/income ratio, % Same cost level through 2004 as in 2002 2,700 Costs, EURm Sustainable RoE>15% from 2004 18.9 Return on equity excluding goodwill, % Target Jan-Sep 2003 Key performance indicator
82
10 20 30 40 50 60 70 DnB SAMPO SEB SWEDBANK HYPOVEREINSBANK COMMERZBANK BANK OF IRELAND KBC SHB ALLIED IRISH DANSKE BANK ABBEY NATIONAL NORDEA ABN AMRO SOCIETE GENERALE LLOYDS TSB HBoS BNP BARCLAYS RBoS
Peer group* by market cap, EURbn
15 October 2003
*As defined by Nordea
83
Strong distribution network throughout the Nordic and Baltic Sea region
Riga Vilnius Tallinn
Helsinki
Luxembourg
Stockholm
St Petersburg Frankfurt Hamburg
Oslo
Countrywide network
Branch office or subsidiary Office of an associated bank
Moscow
Copenhagen
8,041 Personnel 9,430 Personnel 32,227 Total personnel* 1,240 Total locations 1,542 Personnel 71 Branches/salepoints Poland and Baltic 9,173 Personnel 345 Branch offices Denmark 4,041 Personnel 146 Branch offices Norway 262 Branch offices Sweden 416 Branch offices Finland
Warzaw
*Full time equivalents
84
Large customer base with high penetration in e-banking
1,540 465 460 4,200 SE 40 60 30 260 Baltic Sea Region 270 220 65 600 NO 3,560 1,660 965 9,700 Total 305 610 Life insurance customers (1,000) 1,200 510 Net banking customers (1,000) 330 80 Corporate customers 3,000 1,600 Personal customers Banking customers (1,000) FI DK
85
86
381 135 42 52 91
- 85
403 94 48 43 35
- 128
- 150
- 100
- 50
50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450 Retail CIB Asset Mgmt* Life* Group Treasury Other
Q2/03 Q3/03
Results by business area
EURm
*Product result for Asset Management and Life
87
88
Retail Banking operating profit
415 341 347 381 403 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450 500 Q3/02 Q4/02 Q1/03 Q2/03 Q3/03
EURm
Strong sales Continued growth in household
mortgages
Sale of Inkassosentralen Loan losses in Retail Banking
Norway
24 56 Q3/03 23 RoE, % 57 C/I ratio, % Q2/03 Key ratios
89
Retail Banking operating profit by markets
91 84 61 57 66 57 50 55 54 52 57 56 C/I ratio % 6
- 1
27 31
- 9
2 45 32 27 28 23 24 RoE % 10 10 231 228 120 133 193 191 202 202 758 768 Net interest income 8 7 108 119 39 50 122 84 89 96 368 357 Non-interest income Q2 Q3 Q2 Q3 Q2 Q3 Q2 Q3 Q2 Q3 Q2 Q3
EURm
- 1
- 1
3
- 14
17 149 2 151
- 196
347 5
- 74
79
- 104
183 121
- 3
124
- 151
275 130
- 13
143
- 155
298 403
- 89
499
- 626
1,125 18 339 159 315 291 1,126 Total income
- 17
- 205
- 105
- 156
- 156
- 644
Total expenses 2 126
- 27
160 123 381 Operating profit 3
- 3
- 81
1
- 12
- 94
Loan losses 134 SE 1 54 159 135 482 Profit bef. loan loss P&B NO FI DK Retail
90
5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 Denmark Finland Norway Sweden Q2/03 Q3/03
Retail Banking lending
EURbn End of period
91
5 10 15 20 25 Denmark Finland Norway Sweden Q2/03 Q3/03
Retail Banking deposits
EURbn End of period
92
Retail Banking deposits
6.0 6.1 6.1 9.4 6.8 6.1 3.9 7.1 2.7 9.7 1.2 4.3
5 10 15 20 25 Denmark Finland Norway Sweden
Corporate Personal customer - saving accounts Personal customer - current accounts
- EURbn. End of Q3/03
93
Retail Banking, volumes and margins
1.3% 1.6% 0.9% 1.5% 1.7% 1.2% Q3/03 1.3% 1.6% 1.0% 1.4% 1.6% 1.2% Q2/03 Margins 41.3 41.8 Deposits from personal customers 118.2 119.8 Total lending 69.8 70.4 Total deposits 28.5 28.6 Deposits from corporates 59.2 61.5 Lending to personal customers 59.0 58.3 Lending to corporates Q2/03 Q3/03
EURbn
Volumes
Margins are quarterly averages and exclude Poland and Baltic, volumes end of period
94
Retail Banking, lending and deposit margins
Quarterly averages 0.5 0.7 0.9 1.1 1.3 1.5 1.7 1.9 2.1 2.3 2.5 Q 1 / 2 Q 2 / 2 Q 3 / 2 Q 4 / 2 Q 1 / 3 Q 2 / 3 Q 3 / 3 Lending to corporates Lending to personal customers Deposits from corporates Deposits from personal customers Stable lending margins Overall deposit margins
relatively stable
Falling short-term rates
– compensated by hedges
%
95
96
E-banking customers
Equity trading customers
50 100 150 200 250 300 350 Jan-00 June-00 Nov-00 April-01 Sept-01 Feb-02 July-02 Dec-02 May-03
E-banking customers
1 1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5 4 Jan-00 June-00 Nov-00 April-01 Sept-01 Feb-02 July-02 Dec-02 May-03
(1,000) Mill.
97
Payments and log-ons
E-banking payments 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 Q1/00 Q3/00 Q1/01 Q3/01 Q1/02 Q3/02 Q1/03 Q3/03 Denmark Finland Norway Sweden Mill. E-banking log-ons 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 Q1/00 Q3/00 Q1/01 Q3/01 Q1/02 Q3/02 Q1/03 Q3/03 Denmark Finland Norway Sweden Mill.
98
Penetration on the net
Equity trading penetration rate
Executed trades
10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 Jan-00 May-00 Sept-00 Jan-01 May-01 Sept-01 Jan-02 May-02 02-Sep Jan-03 May-03 Sep-03
Mutual funds penetration rate
5 10 15 20 25 30 Jan-01 May-01 Sept-01 Jan-02 May-02 Sep-02 Jan-03 May-03 Sep-03
% %
99
Cards
Issued debit and credit cards
0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 4.0 4.5 5.0
J a n
- 1
M a y
- 1
S e p t
- 1
J a n
- 2
M a y
- 2
S e p t
- 2
M a r
- 3
J u l
- 3
Card payments
5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40
J a n
- 1
M a y
- 1
S e p t
- 1
J a n
- 2
M a y
- 2
S e p t
- 2
J a n
- 3
M a y
- 3
S e p
- 3
Mill. Mill.
100
Payment transactions, households
Payment transactions
150 160 170 180 190 200 210 220 230 240 250
Q1/01 Q2/01 Q3/01 Q4/01 Q1/02 Q2/02 Q3/02 Q4/02 Q1/03 Q2/03 Q3/03
Mill. Payment transactions up 2%
in Q3
Card payments up 5% in Q3 Continued migration from
transactions in branches to e-banking
101
102
123 138 109 135 94 30 60 90 120 150 Q3/02 Q4/02 Q1/03 Q2/03 Q3/03
CIB operating profit
EURm
Markets income reduced but still
at good level
– reflected in FID income
Custody Services
– pressure on prices
Seasonal decline in customer
demand
Nii down following lower volumes
13 56 Q3/03 19 RoE, % 52 C/I ratio, % Q2/03 Key ratios
103
Stock market development
Source: Nordea Securities
7.3 24.5 75.2 Sweden 24.0 Nordic average 6.3 14.3 19.5 Norway 0.9 25.4 38.8 Finland 10.8 31.6 17.6 Denmark Q3 2003, % Chg Q3 vs Q2, % Q3 2003, EURbn Market index Market Volume
104
CIB operating profit by main area
- 33
10
- 43
- 40
- 3
Q2 52 52
- 55
107 Q3 Markets
- 49
1
- 1
- 48
- 37
- 11
Q3 Other 75 75
- 57
132 Q2 Q2 Q3 Q2 Q3 Q2 Q3 Q2 Q3 Q2 Q3 EURm 2 2
- 12
14 33
- 2
35
- 12
47 20 21
- 26
47 88 2 86
- 35
121 56 94 3
- 3
96
- 122
218 17 50 74 135 273 Total income
- 30
- 13
- 21
- 39
- 143
Total expenses 52 C/I ratio % 10 10 Transfer risk
- 1
10 Equity method
- 14
38 52 92 135 Operating profit 1
- 14
- 13
Loan losses
- 13
Investment Banking 37 53 96 130 Profit bef. loan loss International and Shipping Division Financial Instititutions Division Corporate Banking Division CIB
* Markets has product responsibility for trading products such as FX, fixed income and related derivatives and is evaluated by
monitoring the product result. The product result includes all income and expenses related to the respective products, which is allocated to the customer responsible unit within Corporate and Institutional Banking and Retail Banking.
105
CIB lending volume
5 10 15 20 25 30 Corporate Banking Division Financial Institutions Division International and Shipping Division Total Q2/03 Q3/03
EURbn
End of period
106
107
Asset Management product result
35 38 31 42 48 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 Q3/02 Q4/02 Q1/03 Q2/03 Q3/03 EURm
Product result up 14% Net inflow of EUR 2.4bn
– 9% inflow annualised – ytd inflow EUR 6.7bn
AuM up 5% to EUR 107bn
107 60 Q3/03 102 AuM, EURbn 63 C/I ratio, % Q2/03 Key ratios
108
Assets under management
20 40 60 80 100 120 Q1/03 Q2/03 Q3/03 Life & pensions Institutional clients European private banking & fund distribution Nordic private banking Nordic retail funds
EURbn
107
109
Asset structure – Investment Management*
*Including mgmt of own investment funds
Nordic fixed income 56% Int'l. equities 20% Nordic equities 13% Int'l. fixed income 11%
Q3/03 EUR 70.4bn
Nordic fixed income 54% Int'l. equities 20% Nordic equities 13% Int'l. fixed income 13%
Q2/03 EUR 67.4bn
110
Asset structure – Investment Funds
Fixed income funds 50% Equity funds 39% Balanced funds 11%
Q3/03 EUR 38.4bn
Fixed income funds 48% Equity funds 41% Balanced funds 11%
Q2/03 EUR 35.6bn
111
Investment Funds, volumes and margins
2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 DK FI NO SE Q2/03 Q3/03 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0 1.2 1.4 DK* FI NO SE Q2/03 Q3/03
Margins * Net margin
% EURbn End of period
112
European Fund distribution
500 1000 1500 2000 2500 3000 3500 Q3/00 Q1/01 Q3/01 Q1/02 Q3/02 Q1/03 Q3/03 Inflow AUM
More than 1000 active distribution
agreements
Assets by country of source:
– 25% from Germany – 25% from Switzerland – 18% from Spain – 10% from Austria – 8% from France – 7% from Luxembourg – 7% from Other
Adding volume of EUR 1.2bn in
European Private Banking the non- Nordic AuM of Nordea is EUR 4.5bn
EURm
113
22 52 43
- 11
48
- 20
- 10
10 20 30 40 50 60 Q3/02 Q4/02 Q1/03 Q2/03 Q3/03
EURm
Life Insurance, product result
Product result down 17%, still
high level
Lower volatility Implementation of changed
business model
Investment return decreased in
Q3
3.3 0.4 Inv return, % 4.6 Q3/03 4.8 Financial buffers*, % Q2/03 Key ratios
* Financial buffers in % of provisions
114
Life - breakdown of product result
52
- 3
55 4
- 165
- 13
- 126
297 54 Q2/03 46 Product result before distribution expenses 7 Operating profit Unit Linked business 43
- 3
28
- 13
126
- 151
50 Q3/03 Change in discount rate for life provisions Total product result Distribution expenses Retail Allocation to/from financial buffers Fluctuations compared to normalised investment return Normalised operating margin Allocation to policy-holders
EURm
115
Life
15 52
- 3
55 548 4 87 51 4
- 165
- 13
225
- 126
297 54
- 28
- 626
247 461
Q2/03
- 11
48 22 43 Product result
- 2
- 3
- 3
- 3
Distribution expenses Retail 9 25 598
- 1
100 26
- 1
11
- 8
24
- 48
- 14
86
- 27
- 636
250 499
Q1/03
3 46 457 7 87 39
- 1
28
- 13
25 126
- 151
50
- 24
- 532
236 370
Q3/03
41 51 722
- 7
127 58
- 4
- 51
113
- 83
117 79
- 30
- 770
284 595
Q4/02
- 277
Change in discount rate for life provisions 16
- 9
465 2 84
- 11
- 1
579
- 6
- 583
- 435
129
- 26
- 511
285 381
Q3/02
Premiums written, net of reinsurance Of which profit within Retail Banking Product result before distribution expenses TOTAL LIFE & PENSIONS Operating profit Premiums written, net of reinsurance UNIT LINKED BUSINESS Operating profit TRADITIONAL LIFE Normalised operating margin Allocated to policyholders Change in financial buffers Insurance operating expenses Fluctuations compared to normalised investment return Actual operating margin Net profit from Health & Pers. accident insurance Benefits paid and change in provision Normalised investment. return Premiums written net
EURm
116
Life
46 1 3 2 26 13 Product result before distribution expenses
- 3
- 1
- 1
- 1
Distribution expenses Retail
- 151
- 15
1
- 14
- 123
Fluctuation compared to normalised investment return 1 12 1 9
- 2
- 2
3 2 Other 13 171 1 10 12
- 1
- 6
19 126 16
- 10
- 258
123 161 Denmark 457 41 63 171 Premiums written, net of reinsurance 43 3 1 25 Total product result TOTAL LIFE & PENSIONS 7 2
- 1
3 Operating profit 87 16 11 41 Premiums written, net of reinsurance UNIT LINKED BUSINESS 39 1 3 23 Operating profit TRADITIONAL LIFE 50 7 4 22 Normalised operating margin
- 13
- 6
- 7
Allocated to policyholders 28 9 3 21 Change in financial buffers
- 24
- 1
- 9
- 1
Insurance operating expenses 126 Change in discount rate for life provisions 25
- 8
6 9 Actual operating margin
- 1
- 532
236 370 Total
- 33
17 25 Sweden
- 72
33 52 Norway Net profit from other business
- 166
Benefits paid and change in provision 60 Normalised investment return 130 Premiums written net Finland EURm
117
Life - investments
5 10 15 20 25 Q3/02 Q4/02 Q1/03 Q2/03 Q3/03
Equities Bonds Real estate Unit linked Equities
–
predominantly listed equities
–
50/50 Nordic/international
Bonds
–
¾ Nordic issuers
–
primarily govmn’t & mortgage inst. EURbn
23.4
End of period
118
Life - asset allocation
10 Total equity exposure including hedge, % 15 15 22.6 22.9 Total 4 10 17 17* Q3/03 Equities, % 4 7 19 17 Q2/03 2.6 3.0 6.0 11.0 Q2/03 Q3/03 2.7 Sweden 3.1 Norway 6.1 Finland 11.0 Denmark Total, EURbn
*Hedged
119
Life - solvency situation
End of Q3/03
178 52 119 67 Sweden 237 293 506 213 Finland 119 82 509 427 Denmark 164 76 196 120 Norway Solvency in %
- f requirement
Solvency buffer Actual solvency Required solvency EURm
120
Life – financial buffers*
4.6 3.4 1.5 3.4 6.2 Q3/03 842 54 39 153 595 Q3/03 4.3 65 Sweden % of total provisions EURm 4.8 869 Total 3.9 175 Finland 6.2 588 Denmark 1.6 41 Norway Q2/03 Q2/03
* Financial buffers are defined in accordance with local regulations and practices.
121
Life – solvency sensitivity, end of Q3/03
178 164 237 119 Solvency in % of requirement 165 147 213 118 Equities drop 12% 221 166 263 117 Interest rates down 50bp 162 Norway 141 Sweden 120 Denmark Finland 209 Interest rates up 50bp
%
122
Life – buffer sensitivity, end of Q3/03
54 39 153 595 Financial buffers*
- 9
- 21
- 50
- 51
Equities drop 12% 95 3 56 116 Interest rates down 50bp
- 3
Norway
- 39
Sweden
- 54
Denmark Finland
- 59
Interest rates up 50bp EURm
* Financial buffers are defined in accordance with local regulations and practices.
123
124
Group Treasury operating profit
QoQ:
Financial markets focused on
economic recovery
Increased medium and long-term
interest rates
– loss on bond portfolio
Gain on equities
31 27 58 91 35 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 Q3/02 Q4/02 Q1/03 Q2/03 Q3/03
EURm
125
Group Treasury operating profit by main areas
Q2/03 Q3/03 Q2/03 Q3/03 Q2/03 Q3/03 Q2/03 Q3/03
EURm Group Funding Investment & Risk Trading
Equity portfolios Fixed income portfolios
Total
91 35
Operating profit
18 33 57
- 6
75 27
Investment earnings
16 8 16 8
Profit excl. Investment earnings
- 8
- 9
- 1
- 3
- 3
Expenses
24 17 19 33 60
- 3
Income
126
Group Treasury - investments
5 10 15 20 Q3/02 Q4/02 Q1/03 Q2/03 Q3/03 Fixed income Equities
Equities
–
listed, unlisted & private equity funds
Bonds
–
¾ Nordic issuers
–
primarily government and mortgage inst. EURbn
15.9
End of period
127
Treasury – risk management
End of Q3/03
Price risk
– price risk in interest-rate positions, calculated as a parallel shift assuming a
change in market interest rates of 100bp
Equity risk (VaR)
– risk related to equities, calculated as VaR, comprise all equities including listed,
unlisted and private equity
43 96 Q2/03 46 99 2002 55 122 Q3/03 Equity risk (VaR) Interest rate risk EURm, end of period
128
129
Balance sheet - key items
135,113 260,680 12,539 92,928 148,688 Q3/03 136,910 251,776 11,545 92,556 147,252 Q3/02 134,660 249,619 11,897 94,177 145,740 Q4/02
- 1
Risk-weighted assets 4 Total assets 9 Shareholders’ equity Deposits 1 Lending Change, 12 months %
EURm End of period
130
146 28 23 22 25 5 149 30 25 23 30 5 30 60 90 120 150 Lending Bonds and
- ther interest
bearing securities Loans and advances to credit inst. Assets, insurance Other assets, banking Other Q4/02 Q3/03
Balance sheet structure - assets
EURbn End of period
131
Real estate holdings
3.2 1.9 0.3 0.2 0.8 Q3/03 2.1 0.6 0.3 0.2 Non owner occupied properties 3.7 1.9 0.4 1.2 2002 4.1 2.0 0.3 1.5 2001 4.0 1.6 0.4 1.4 2000 5.5 Total 1.6 Investments of the insurance companies 0.4 Shares in real estate holding companies 1.4 Owner occupied properties 1999 Book value. EURbn
End of period
132
94 62 26 29 20 12 6 93 67 25 36 22 13 5
10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100
Deposits and
- ther
borrowings from the public Debt securities in issue Liabilities to credit inst. Provisions and
- ther liabilities,
banking Liabilities, insurance Shareholder´s equity Other
Q4/02 Q3/03
Balance sheet structure – liabilities and equity
EURbn End of period
133
Lending 147 146 147 147 149 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 Q3/02 Q4/02 Q1/03 Q2/03 Q3/03
Lending and deposits
Deposits 93 94 95 91 93 20 40 60 80 100 Q3/02 Q4/02 Q1/03 Q2/03 Q3/03 EURbn EURbn
End of period
134
Capital base
13,244
- 258
- 1,441
4,745 10,198
- 54
- 1,832
9 341 11,734
- 805
12,539 End of Q3/03 Deductions for other investments Group goodwill Other deductions TIER 1 Capital TIER 2 Capital (subordinated debt) Deductions for investments in insurance companies Deductions insurance companies and other Hybrid capital Minority interests Shareholders’ equity in the capital base Capital base Shareholders’ equity
EURm
135 * Statistics as of August 2003
136
Market shares, personal customer deposits
5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 Denmark Finland Norway Sweden
Aug 02 Aug 03 %
137
Personal customer deposits - market volume & share
10 20 30 40 50 J u n
- S
e p
- D
e c
- M
a r
- 1
J u n
- 1
S e p
- 1
D e c
- 2
M a r
- 2
J u n
- 2
S e p
- 3
D e c
- 3
M a r
- 3
J u n
- 3
30% 32% 34% 36% 38% 40%
100 200 300 400 500 00-Aug 00-Nov 01-Feb 01-may 01-Aug 01-Nov 02-Feb 02-may 02-Aug 02-Nov 03-Feb 03-May 03-Aug 18% 20% 22% 24% 26% 28% 100 200 300 400 500 Aug-00 Nov-00 Feb-01 May-01 Aug-01 Nov-01 feb-02 may-02 Aug-02 Nov-02 Feb-03 May-03 Aug-03 15% 17% 19% 21% 23% 25%
EURbn
Finland
DKKbn
Denmark
SEKbn
Sweden
NOKbn
Norway
Market volume Market share 100 200 300 400 May-00 Aug-00 Nov-00 Feb-01 May-01 Aug-01 Nov-01 Feb-02 May-02 Aug-02 Nov-02 Feb-03 May-03 Aug-03 5% 7% 9% 11% 13% 15%
138
Market shares, corporate deposits
5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 Denmark Finland Norway Sweden Aug 02 Aug 03
%
139
Corporate deposits - market volume & share
5 10 15 20 Jun-00 Sep-00 Dec-00 Mar-01 Jun-01 Sep-01 dec-01 Mar-02 Jun-02 Sep-02 Dec-03 Mar-03 Jun-03 40% 43% 46% 49% 52% 55% 100 200 300 Aug-00 Nov-00 Feb-01 May-01 Aug-01 Nov-01 Feb-02 May-02 Aug-02 Nov-02 Feb-03 May-03 Aug-03 14% 16% 18% 20% 22% 24% 26% 28% 100 200 300 Aug-00 Nov-00 Feb-01 May-01 Aug-01 Nov-01 Feb-02 May-02 Aug-02 Nov-02 Feb-03 May-03 Aug-03 10% 12% 14% 16% 18% 20% EURbn
Finland
DKKbn
Denmark
SEKbn
Sweden
NOKbn
Norway
Market volume Market share 100 200 300 400 Aug-00 Nov-00 Feb-01 May-01 Aug-01 Nov-01 feb-02 May-02 Aug-02 Nov-03 Feb-03 May-03 Aug-03 10% 15% 20% 25%
140
Market shares, personal customer lending
5 10 15 20 25 30 35 Denmark Finland Norway Sweden Aug 02 Aug 03
%
141
Personal customer lending - market volume & share
10 20 30 40 50 Jun-00 Sep-00 Dec-00 Mar-01 Jun-01 Sep-01 Dec-02 Mar-02 Jun-02 Sep-03 Dec-03 Mar-03 Jun-03 27% 29% 31% 33% 35% 37% 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 A u g
- N
- v
- F
e b
- 1
M a y
- 1
A u g
- 1
N
- v
- 1
F e b
- 2
M a y
- 2
A u g
- 2
N
- v
- 3
F e b
- 3
M a y
- 3
A u g
- 3
10% 12% 14% 16% 18% 20% 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 Aug-00 Nov-00 Feb-01 May-01 Aug-01 Nov-01 Feb-02 May-02 Aug-02 Nov-02 Feb-03 May-03 Aug-03 6% 7% 8% 9% 10% 11% EURbn
Finland
DKKbn
Denmark
SEKbn
Sweden
NOKbn
Norway
Market volume Market share
50 100 150 200 250 Aug-00 Nov-00 Feb-01 May-01 Aug-01 Nov-01 Feb-02 May-02 Aug-02 Nov-02 Feb-03 May-03 Aug-03 12% 14% 16% 18% 20% 22%
142
Market shares, corporate lending
5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 Denmark Finland Norway Sweden
Aug 02 Aug 03
%
143
Corporate lending - market volume & share
10 20 30 Jun-00 Sep-00 Dec-00 Mar-01 Jun-01 Sep-01 Dec-02 Mar-02 Jun-02 Sep-02 Dec-03 Mar-03 Jun-03 40% 42% 44% 46% 48% 50% 250 500 750 1,000 1,250 1,500 1,750 Aug-00 Nov-00 Feb-01 May-01 Aug-01 Nov-01 Feb-02 May-02 Aug-02 Nov-02 Feb-03 May-03 Aug-03 10% 12% 14% 16% 18% 20% 100 200 300 400 500 Aug-00 Nov-00 Feb-01 May-01 Aug-02 Nov-02 Feb-02 May-02 Aug-02 Nov-02 Feb-03 May-03 Aug-03 10% 12% 14% 16% 18% 20% EURbn
Finland
DKKbn
Denmark
SEKbn
Sweden
NOKbn
Norway
Market volume Market share
50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 Aug-00 Nov-00 Feb-01 May-01 Aug-01 Nov-01 Feb-02 May-02 Aug-02 Nov-02 Feb-03 May-03 Aug-03 22% 24% 26% 28% 30% 32%
144
Investment funds - market volume & share
5 10 15 20 25 Sep-99 Jun-00 Mar-01 Dec-01 Sep-02 Dec-02 Mar-03 Jun-03 Sep-03 20% 22% 24% 26% 28% 30% 32% 34% 200 400 600 800 1000 Jun-99 Mar-00 Dec-00 Sep-01 Jun-02 Mar-03 14% 16% 18% 20% 22% 24% 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 Mar-99 Dec-99 Sep-00 Jun-01 Jan-02 Jun-02 Sep-03 Dec-02 Mar-03 Jun-03 Sep-03 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% 14% EURbn
Finland
DKKbn
Denmark
SEKbn
Sweden
NOKbn
Norway
Market volume Nordea market share
50 100 150 200 250 300 350 J u n
- 9
9 M a r
- D
e c
- S
e p
- 1
J u n
- 2
S e p
- 2
D e c
- 2
M a r
- 3
J u n
- 3
S e p
- 3
20% 22% 24% 26% 28% 30% 32%
145
Investment funds, net inflow, Norway
Market volume, Nordea volume, and accumulated market share ytd
- 3,000
- 2,000
- 1,000
1,000 2,000 3,000 S e p
- 1
N
- v
- 1
J a n
- 2
M a r
- 2
2
- m
a y J u l
- 2
S e p
- 2
N
- v
- 2
J a n
- 3
M a r
- 3
M a y
- 3
J u l
- 3
S e p
- 3
- 60
- 50
- 40
- 30
- 20
- 10
10 20 30 40 50 60
Market net inflow Nordea net inflow Nordea %
% NOKm
146
Investment funds, net inflow, Finland
Market volume, Nordea volume, and accumulated market share ytd
- 400
- 200
200 400 600 800 1000 1200 Sep-01 Nov-01 Jan-02 Mar-02 02-may Jul-02 Sep-02 Nov-02 Jan-03 Mar-03 May-03 Jul-03 Sep-03
- 16
- 8
8 16 24 32 40
Market net inflow Nordea net inflow Nordea %
% EURm
147
Investment funds, net inflow, Sweden
Market volume, Nordea volume, and accumulated market share ytd
- 2,000
2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 10,000 12,000 14,000 Sep-01 Nov-01 Jan-02 Mar-02 May-02 Jul-02 Sep-02 Nov-02 Jan-03 Mar-03 May-03 Jul-03 Sep-03
- 4
4 8 12 16 20 24 28
Market net inflow Nordea net inflow Nordea %
% SEKm
18bn 19bn
148
2 4 6 8 10 12 C
- p
e n h a g e n H e l s i n k i O s l
- S
t
- c
k h
- l
m Q2/03 Q3/03
%
Market share, equity dealing - Nordea Securities
60.4 17.0 31.0 13.4
Q2/03
75.2 19.5 38.8 17.6
Q3/03
Sweden Norway Finland Denmark
EURbn Equity market turnover
149
Appendix
Financials
Page 150
Nordea share
Page 162
Other
Page 168
Macro statistics
Page 173
150
Appendix
Financials
151
Deferred tax asset
Taxes showed a positive contribution of EUR 159m in Q3 A result of the change in the Group’s legal structure A loss has materalised in the taxation of NBF in connection with the sale of NBD,
NBN, and NBS to Nordea AB
– deferred tax asset of approx. EUR 300m
152
Pension commitments
Defined benefit plans in Sweden, Norway and partly Finland and
Denmark, mainly covered by pension funds under local regulation
Aggregated deficit of EUR 12m not recognised in balance sheet
– reflecting surpluses in Finland (EUR 41m), Sweden (EUR 6m) and Denmark
(EUR 5m)
– deficit of EUR 64m in Norway, which according to existing accounting rules will
be amortised over average remaining time to retirement Nordea will implement RR29/IAS19 of from 2004 IAS leads to valuation adjustment
– will be recognised as a non-recurring reduction of equity of approx. EUR 250m
153 27% 9 3 (6) 87 80 Q2/03 27% 9 5 (4) 85 81 Q3/03
Denmark Finland Sweden Norway Total
14% 111 (65) (176) 454 278 Q2/03 23% 240 (25) (265) 1,949 1,683 Q2/03 (12) (64) 6 6 32 41 Funded status not recognised in balance sheet – surplus/(deficit)
1
257 120 121 128
- Net liability in accountings 2
(269) (184) (115) (122) 32 41 Funded status
- surplus/(deficit)1
25% 1,998 1,729 Q3/03 19% 863 748 Q2/03 32% 545 577 Q2/03 15% 21% 34% Equity exposure 287 772 589 Assets Q3/03 Q3/03 Q3/03
EURm
471 894 548 Pension commitments
1) The deficit not recognised in balance sheet for Norway is amortised over average remaining time to retirement
2) The liability in Sweden is related to former employees in Postgirot Bank
Pension commitments
End of period
154
579
- 40
- 50
81 488 19
- 92
561
- 902
- 363
- 539
1,463 99 155 366 843 Q2/03 380
- 41
- 19
29 373 14
- 98
457
- 917
- 397
- 520
1,374 29 157 353 835 Q1/03 470
- 40
- 40
27 443 10
- 89
522
- 881
- 350
- 531
1,403 56 130 379 838 Q3/03 446
- 43
- 44
41 404 16
- 76
464
- 993
- 448
- 545
1,457 54 130 388 885 Q4/02 39 Investment earnings, banking
- 13
Operating profit, Life Insurance 399
- 42
- 4
419 4
- 66
481
- 925
- 404
- 521
1,406 34 127 371 874 Q3/02 Other Profit before inv. earnings and insurance Equity method Loan losses Profit before loan losses Operating profit Goodwill depreciation Operating profit, General Insurance Expenses Other expenses Personnel expenses Income Trading Commission income Net interest income EURm
Operational income statement
155
Statutory income statement
193
- 86
- 123
402
- 22
424 4
- 12
- 54
486
- 962
- 83
- 358
- 521
1,448 58 34 379 6 971
- 1,703
2,674 Q3/02
- 907
Total expenses
- 1
Minority interest
481 Total operating profit
- 11
Pension adjustments 159 Taxes
- 101
Loan losses, net 12 Change in value of property taken over for protection of claims 10 Profit from companies accounted for under the equity method 446
Operating profit, banking
35
Operating profit, insurance 628
525
- 68
- 319
- 520
1,432 33 101 393 6 899
- 1,462
2,361 Q3/03
Profit before Loan losses Total income
General administrative expenses Personnel expenses Other expenses Depreciation according to plan Net interest income Net result from financial operations Other income Dividends received Net commission income
Net profit
Interest expenses Interest income
EURm
156
Reconciliation of operational and statutory accounts
- 30
16)
- 30
Change in value of property taken over 1,288
- 2
- 139
- 16
1,445 92 1,353 43
- 249
1,589
- 2,799
- 215
- 1,007
- 1,577
4,388 160 283 1,128 42 2,775 Statutory Jan-Sep 2003
- 16
16 104
- 88
30
- 88
- 88
- 215
111 16
- 27
27 Other adjustment 17
- 109
92 Insurance
- 137
137 137
- 11
- 8
- 3
148 26 31 91 Investment activities 3 230
- 442
30 11 168 Trading income 1,288
- 2
- 139
1,429
- 121
109 137 1,304 43
- 279
1,540
- 2,700
- 1,110
- 1,590
4,240 184 442 1,098 2,516 Operational Jan-Sep 2003 4) 3) 5) 2) 4) 1) 10) 10) 8) 7) 9) 6) 12) 11) 13) 15) 16) 14,15) 14) 13) 18) 18) 17) 17) Allocation to Pension foundation Taxes Minority interests Total expenses Operating insurance Operating profit, life insurance Goodwill depreciation Operating profit Loan losses, net Profit from companies – equity method Profit excluding investment earnings Investment earnings, banking Profit before Loan losses Total income Personnel expenses Other expenses Depreciation according to plan Commission income Net result from financial operations Other income Trading Net profit Dividends received Net interest income
EURm
157
Reconciliation of operational and statutory acounts
1. Net interest income from trading transactions in Nordea Markets (for example interest related to swaps etc.), reclassified as trading income in the operational accounts. Mainly customer trading. 2. Commission income in Nordea Markets, reclassified as Trading income in the operational accounts. 3. Net result from financial operations from trading transactions in Nordea Markets (foreign exchange and derivatives trading) reclassified to trading income in the
- perational accounts. Mainly customer trading.
4. Other income and dividends received in Nordea Markets, reclassified to trading income in the operational accounts. 5. Trading income in the operational accounts, equals income in Nordea Markets (incl. income allocated to Business Areas), reclassified from the statutory accounts as described in 1) through 4) above. 6. Net interest income from Treasury’s portfolio of certificates and bonds, reclassified as investment earnings, banking in the operational accounts. 7. Securities gains/losses on Treasury’s investment portfolios (certificates, bonds and equities), reclassified from Net result form financial operations in the statutory accounts, to investment earnings, banking in the operational accounts. 8. Real estate gains/losses. Reclassified from Other income in the statutory accounts to Investment earnings, banking in the operational accounts. 9. Dividends received on equities (non-insurance portfolio), reclassified as Investment earnings in the operational accounts. 10. Costs related to investment activities, reclassified from relevant category of cost in the statutory accounts, to being reported on a net basis as part of investment earnings, banking in the operational accounts. 11. Operating profit for insurance, in separate lines for general and life in the operational accounts. 12. Depreciation of goodwill related to insurance included in
- ne-line consolidation of insurance activities (Operating
profit, insurance) in the statutory accounts, reclassified to Depreciation of goodwill in the operational accounts. 13. Pension adjustments accounted for according to Swedish regulations in the statutory accounts. Reclassified to Personnel expenses in the Operational accounts. 14. Depreciation according to plan, including goodwill within banking is separate line in the statutory accounts. Depreciation excluding goodwill is reclassified as Other expenses in the operational accounts. 15. Depreciation of goodwill, see footnote 14) (Banking) and 12) (Insurance), shown as part of Depreciation according to plan in the statutory accounts, as opposed to separate line item in the operational accounts. 16. Change in value of property taken over in the statutory accounts, reclassified as Loan losses, net, in the
- perational accounts.
17. The difference between statutory accounts and operational accounts at the Total operating profit level is related to Pension adjustments (Sweden), only. There is no difference between the two at the Net profit level. 18. Reclassification of net result from sale of shares in OM Hex from Net result from financial operations to Other income
158
Expenses - breakdown
902
- 5
907 128 81 49 23 85 541 Q2/03 917
- 3
920 142 82 58 18 99 521 Q1/03 881
- 3
884 123 74 53 14 88 532 Q3/03 993
- 5
998 130 89 62 34 136 547 Q4/02 925
- 5
930 146 79 50 21 111 523 Q3/02 Information technology 2) Other Expenses
- f which investment activities 3)
Expenses Rents, premises and real estate expenses Postage, telephone and office expenses Marketing Personnel 1)
EURm
1) Variable salaries were EUR 22m in Q3 2003 (Q2 2003: EUR 27m). 2) Refers to IT operations, service expenses and consulting fees. Total IT-related costs in Q3 2003, including personnel etc were EUR 166m (Q2 2003: EUR 174m). 3) Including personnel expenses (Q3 EUR 1m)
159
Total IT-related expenses*
177 216 184 174 166
50 100 150 200 250 Q3/02 Q4/02 Q1/03 Q2/03 Q3/03
EURm
*Total IT-related costs, including computer operations, service expenses, consultants and
personnel personnel etc (excluding IT expenses in insurance operations)
160
64 66 65 58 61
10 20 30 40 50 60 70 Q3/02 Q4/02 Q1/03 Q2/03 Q3/03
C/I ratio
C/I ratio, banking %
58 64
10 20 30 40 50 60 70 2001 2002 C/I ratio, banking %
161
Retail Inv e 24 Europay Q4/02 Other Eq m
- 16
Real Invest
- 10
+30
- 40
Q2/02 2
- 4
22
- 4
Q3/02 Eq m GI Inv e Other Other Other Other P&L Other GI Retail Other Retail Retail Other BA 27 OM/HEX shares 8 Inkassosentralen General Ins Danish Morg. Inst 75 32 43 Q2/03 Huoneistokeskus Nordisk Renting Q1/03 35 Q3/03 Total Contant Oy EURm
Gains and losses on various disposals etc
162
Appendix
Nordea share
163
60 80 100 120 140 160 180 Nordea DJ STOXX European Banks
Nordea share price vs DJ STOXX European banks
6 March 2000* - 15 October 2003
* Date of announcement of MNB/Unidanmark merger June-02 June-00 June-01
%
June-03
164
Shareholder structure, end of Sep 2003
18.5% 7.0% 6.9% 6.1% 3.9% 31.6% 2.1% 23.8% Swedish institutions International institutions Swedish state Danish institutions Finnish institutions Finnish public Danish public Swedish public
Number of shareholders approx. 505,000
165
Largest registered shareholders, end of Sep 2003
0.38 11,013,811 Länsförsäkringar fonder 0.37 10,753,549 Xact fonder 0.59 17,268,300 Nordea Bank Sverige vinstandelsstiftelse 47.6 1,393,636,079 Total for the 20 largest shareholders 3.50 102,529,423 Nordea Danmark fonden 2.66 77,972,802 Robur fonder 18.51 542,015,102 Swedish state 3.78 110,587,426 Alecta 2.46 72,154,933 Nordea fonder 2.32 68,000,000 AMF Pension 2.13 62,379,204 SEB fonder 2.03 59,510,512 Tryg i Danmark smba 1.80 52,621,590 Fjärde AP-fonden 1.34 39,133,353 Skandia 0.38 11,097,394 Skandia fonder 0.43 12,474,666 Solidium Oy (Finnish state) 0.52 15,340,000 AMF Pension fonder 1.01 29,456,780 SHB/SPP fonder 1.09 31,947,534 Tredje AP-fonden 1.14 33,316,277 Andra AP-fonden 1.16 34,063,423 Första AP-fonden % Number of shares Shareholder
166
Number of shares
2,928,108,227 45,050 Conversions* New issue Sep, 2002 2,928,108,227
- 57,008,000**
Buyback Cancellation Oct, 2003 2,928,063,177 40,008,000** Buyback Market Aug-Sep 2002 2,968,071,177 2,405,087 Conversions* New issue June, 2002 2,965,666,090 17,000,000** Buyback Market April, 2001 2,982,666,090 3,473,373 Conversions* New issue 2000-2001 2,979,192,717 18,348,501 Unidanmark New issue June, 2000 2,960,844,216 869,776,488 Unidanmark New issue April, 2000 2,091,067,728 815,800,287 Merita New issue Jan, 2000 Outstanding shares Number of shares issued Subject Type of transaction Date *Convertible bond conversions ** Shares bought back in April 2001 and Aug-Sep 2002 cancelled in Oct 2003 Fully diluted average number of shares Jan-Sepember 2003 2,928,108,227
167
8.9* 44.1 0.21 4.28
n.a
Q3/03 52 50 71.5 55.5 38.4 Share price, end of period, SEK 14.0 0.30 4.06
EUR 0.23
2002
1) Pro forma incl. Unidanmark
14.0 0.58 3.74
SEK
2.00 2000 11.0 10.6 11.3 P/E ratio 0.53 0.55 0.53 Earnings per share, EUR 2.68 3.43 4.00 Shareholders’ equity per share, EUR
SEK
1.64
SEK
1.75
EUR
0.23 Dividend 1998 19991) 2001
Data per share
*Share price converted to euro devided by 12 months rolling EPS
168
Appendix
Other
169
Ratings
Individ. Long Short Long Short Long Short BFSR A1 P-1 Norgeskreditt Aaa Nordea Kredit A-1 Aa3 P-1 Nordea Hypotek B AA- F1+ A+ A-1 Aa3 P-1 B Nordea Bank S B AA- F1+ A+ A-1 Aa3 P-1 B- Nordea Bank N B AA- F1+ A+ A-1 Aa3 P-1 B Nordea Bank F B AA- F1+ A+ A-1 Aa3 P-1 B Nordea Bank D Fitch S&P Moody’s
170
Business structure
*) Customer relations parts of these units will be transferred to business areas.
Corporate Nordic Wealth Management Household Planning and Control Investment Management Investment Funds Nordic Wealth Management European Private Banking Group IT Electronic Banking* Global Operations Services* Group Credit and Risk Control Carl-Johan Granvik Group Treasury Group Planning and Control Group Legal CEO Lars G Nordström Corporate Banking Division Financial Institituitions Division Investment Banking Nordea Securities International and Shipping Division Group Support and Procurement Group Human Resources Group Identity and Communications Group Management Secretariat Production and Productivity Market Support Product Companies Group Finance Investor Relations Group Corporate Development Group Compliance Life & Pensions Board of Directors Internal Audit Activity Regional Banks Denmark Regional Banks Finland Regional Banks Norway Regional Banks Sweden Regional Banks Poland and Baltic Retail Banking Kari Jordan Asset Management & Life Christian Clausen Group Processing and Technology Markku Pohjola Group Corporate Centre Arne Liljedahl Group Staffs Peter Schütze Corporate and Institutional Banking Tom Ruud Markets
171
Legal structure, 28 Oct 2003
Nordea Life Holding A/S Denmark Nordea AB (Publ) Sweden Nordea Securities AB Sweden Nordea Asset Management AB Sweden Nordea Bank Norge ASA Norway
Nordea Liv Holding AS Norway Nordea Life Assurance I Sweden AB (publ) Sweden Nordea Pension Danmark, Livsfor- sikringsselskab A/S Denmark Various subsidiaries Nordea Life Assurance II Sweden AB (publ) Sweden Various subsidiaries Various subsidiaries
Nordea Bank Sweden AB (publ) Sweden Nordea Bank Danmark A/S Denmark
Various subsidiaries Various subsidiaries Various subsidiaries Various subsidiaries
Nordea Bank Finland Plc Finland
Various subsidiaries
172
Group Executive Management
Lars G Nordström Group CEO Christian Clausen Head of Asset Management & Life Carl-Johan Granvik Head of Group Credit and Risk Control Kari Jordan Head of Retail Banking Arne Liljedahl Head of Group Corporate Centre, Group CFO Markku Pohjola Head of Group Processing and Technology, Deputy Group CEO Tom Ruud Head of Corporate and Institutional Banking Peter Schütze Head of Group Staffs
173
Appendix
Macro statistics and estimates
Source: Nordea Markets Economic Research Estimates from September 2003
174
Macro data
% 2003e 2004e 2005e Gross domestic product DK 0.7 2.2 2.5 FI 1.7 3.0 3.5 NO 0.9 2.9 2.8 SE 1.6 2.5 2.9 Inflation DK 2.2 1.8 2.0 FI 0.9 0.6 1.8 NO 2.2 1.0 2.3 SE 2.1 1.5 1.9 Private consumption DK 0.8 2.5 2.3 FI 3.1 3.0 2.6 NO 3.2 4.3 3.5 SE 2.2 2.5 2.7 Unemployment DK 6.0 5.8 5.1 FI 9.2 9.1 8.7 NO 4.6 4.5 4.0 SE 4.8 4.6 4.4
In Norway, forecasts are for mainland GDP
175
Market development - GDP
2.9 2.8 3.5 2.5 2005e 2.5 1.6 Sweden 2.9 0.9 Norway 3.0 1.7 Finland 2.2 0.7 Denmark 2003e
%
Source: Nordea Economic Research, September 2003 In Norway, forecasts are for mainland GDP
2004e 2002 1.9 1.3 2.2 2.1
176
Gross domestic product
- 8
- 6
- 4
- 2
2 4 6 8 10 Q1/90 Q1/95 Q1/00 Denmark Finland Norway Sweden
Change in % YoY
177
Inflation
- 2
2 4 6 8 10 12 14 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 Denmark Finland Norway Sweden
%
178
Private consumption
- 8
- 6
- 4
- 2
2 4 6 8 10 Q1/90 Q1/95 Q1/00 Denmark Finland Norway Sweden Change in % YoY
179
Household savings ratio
2 4 6 8 10 12 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 Denmark Finland Norway Sweden
%
180
Unemployment
5 10 15 20 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 Denmark Finland Norway Sweden
% of labour force
181
Credit growth total lending to non-bank sector
- 10
- 5
5 10 15 96 March 96 Sept 97 March 97 Sept 98 March 98 Sept 99 March 99 Sept 00 March 00 Sept 01 March 01-Sep 02-Mar 02-Sep Mar-03 Denmark Finland Norway Sweden
Change in % YoY
182
Bankruptcies
200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400 1600 1800 Jan-94 Jan-95 Jan-96 Jan-97 Jan-98 Jan-99 Jan-00 Jan-01 Jan-02 Jan-03 Denmark Finland Norway Sweden
Number of bankruptcies per month
183
Exchange rate, EUR/USD
0.8 0.85 0.9 0.95 1 1.05 1.1 1.15 1.2 1/1 /98 1/5 /98 1/9 /98 1/1 /99 1/5 /99 1/9 /99 1/1 /00 1/5 /00 1/9 /00 1/1 /01 1/5 /01 1/9 /01 1/1 /02 1/5 /02 1/9 /02 1/1 /03 1/5 /03 1/9 /03 USD
184
Exchange rate, EUR/SEK
8 8.4 8.8 9.2 9.6 10 1/1 /98 1/5 /98 1/9 /98 1/1 /99 1/5 /99 1/9 /99 1/1 /00 1/5 /00 1/9 /00 1/1 /01 1/5 /01 1/9 /01 1/1 /02 1/5 /02 1/9 /02 1/1 /03 1/5 /03 1/9 /03 SEK
185
Exchange rate, EUR/NOK
7 7.5 8 8.5 9 9.5 10 1 / 1 / 9 8 1 / 5 / 9 8 1 / 9 / 9 8 1 / 1 / 9 9 1 / 5 / 9 9 1 / 9 / 9 9 1 / 1 / 1 / 5 / 1 / 9 / 1 / 1 / 1 1 / 5 / 1 1 / 9 / 1 1 / 1 / 2 1 / 5 / 2 1 / 9 / 2 1 / 1 / 3 1 / 5 / 3 1 / 9 / 3 NOK
186
Oilprice development, Brent, USD/Barrel
5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 1 / 1 / 9 1 / 1 / 9 1 1 / 1 / 9 2 1 / 1 / 9 3 1 / 1 / 9 4 1 / 1 / 9 5 1 / 1 / 9 6 1 / 1 / 9 7 1 / 1 / 9 8 1 / 1 / 9 9 1 / 1 / 1 / 1 / 1 1 / 1 / 2 1 / 1 / 3 Dollar
187
Stock exchange indices
100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 2/1 /97 2/7 /97 2/1 /98 2/7 /98 2/1 /99 2/7 /99 2/1 /00 2/7 /00 2/1 /01 2/7 /01 2/1 /02 2/7 /02 2/1 /03 2/7 /03 HEX Index Affärsvärldens General Index Oslo Total Index KFX Index
Index 100 = 1990
188
Money market, 3 months rates
2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 1/1 /98 1/4 /98 1/7 /98 1/10 /98 1/1 /99 1/4 /99 1/7 /99 1/10 /99 1/1 /00 1/4 /00 1/7 /00 1/10 /00 1/1 /01 1/4 /01 1/7 /01 1/10 /01 1/1 /02 1/4 /02 1/7 /02 1/10 /02 1/1 /03 1/4 /03 1/7 /03 1/10 /03
Denmark Finland Norway Sweden
%
189
Government bond, 10 year
3 3.5 4 4.5 5 5.5 6 6.5 7 7.5 1/1 /98 1/5 /98 1/9 /98 1/1 /99 1/5 /99 1/9 /99 1/1 /00 1/5 /00 1/9 /00 1/1 /01 1/5 /01 1/9 /01 1/1 /02 1/5 /02 1/9 /02 1/1 /03 1/5 /03 1/9 /03 Denmark Finland Norway Sweden %
190
Stock exchange indices
200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400 31/1 /97 31/5 /97 30/9 /97 31/1 /98 31/5 /98 30/9 /98 31/1 /99 31/5 /99 30/9 /99 31/1 /00 31/5 /00 30/9 /00 31/1 /01 31/5 /01 30/9 /01 31/1 /02 31/5 /02 30/9 /02 31/1 /03 31/5 /03 HEX Index Affärsvärldens General Index Oslo Total Index KFX Index
Index 100 = 1990
191
Financial calendar 2004
Q4 report 2003 will be published on 18 February 2004 AGM will be held on 31 March 2004 Q1 report 2004 will be published on 28 April 2004 Q2 report 2004 will be published on 18 August 2004 Q3 report 2004 will be published on 27 October 2004