Consorcio Transmantaro S.A. Index I. ISA Group Overview II. - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Consorcio Transmantaro S.A. Index I. ISA Group Overview II. - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Consorcio Transmantaro S.A. Index I. ISA Group Overview II. Peruvian Transmission sector overview IIII. CTM - Power Transmission Network IV. CTM credit highlights V. Financial information 1 I. ISA Group Overview 2 Business
Index
- I. ISA Group Overview
- II. Peruvian Transmission sector overview
- IIII. CTM - Power Transmission Network
- IV. CTM credit highlights
- V. Financial information
1
- I. ISA Group Overview
2
Business
3 Over than 40,500 circuits
- f transmission lines in
- peration.
Represent 69.1% of revenues. 907 km of toll road infrastructure in operation. Represent 22.4% of revenues. 25,466 km in operation. Represent 6.1% of revenues. ELECTRIC POWER TRANSMISSION VIAL CONCESSIONS TELECOMUNICATIONS SHIPPINGOF INTELLIGENT MANAGEMENT OF REAL – TIME SYSTEM Planning, coordination and supervision of the SIN
- peration in Colombia.
Represent 2.4% of revenues.
Source: Company information and public filings for the period ended March 31, 2014
4
Presence
Source: Company information and public filings for the period ended March 31, 2014
- II. Peruvian Transmission sector overview
Peru power sector
Overview
Vertical separation of activities
Generation: Competitive Transmission: Regulated monopolies Distribution: Regulated monopolies
Coordinated system operation based on
efficiency principles and cost minimization
Open access to transmission and distribution
networks
Differentiated client classification and price
regimes
Regulated and non-regulated clients Negotiated prices for competitive activities
and regulated tariffs (based on efficient costs) for which competitive market
- perations cannot be performed and/or are
not possible or recommended
Regulation promotes private investment and
competition
6
Power market rules Peru power sector segmentation Generation Transmission Distribution End-user
Generation
- Competitive
- Non-regulated users:
Freely agreed prices
- Regulated users:
Public auction or contracts with regulated prices Transmission
Regulated monopoly Competition to obtain
concessions (public projects)
Open access to networks Regulated transmission
tariffs Distribution
Regulated monopoly Open access to
networks
Regulated tariffs:
Regulated clients
Competition: Non-
regulated clients End-users:
Regulated: Regulated tariffs Non-regulated optional users
(greater than 0.2MW and smaller than 2.5MW)
Non-regulated users (greater than
2.5MW): Free price negotiation
Large users (free users greater than
10MW): Short term market
Source: CTM company information.
Power sector interrelations
7
Comité de Operación Económica del Sistema
Users
Tariff regulation Oversight Concessions Regulation Oversight Tariff regulation Claims Regulation Concessions
Regulator / oversight Coordinator Regulation
Market administration Transmission planning Operations coordinator Concessions Regulation Transmission plan Transmission plan Regulation Concessions Service
Power Companies
(Generation, transmission and distributions)
Investment promotion
Source: CTM company information.
Credible, stable and well respected regulatory framework
Constructive and transparent regulatory framework
8 Constructive and
transparent regulation
Established track-
record
Overall investor
friendly framework Organization Description
i) Defines national energy policies, ii) Regulates environmental
matters applicable to the sector and iii) Oversees licenses, authorizations and concessions
Private Investment Promotion Agency System operator responsible for the dispatch of all generation
units and main transmission lines that are part of the SEIN(1)
Coordinates the SEIN’s functioning in order to optimize
- perations while maintaining the security of the system
Proposes necessary expansions and reinforcements of the
SEIN’s transmission system to the MINEM
Manages the short-term market transactions (acts as clearing
house)
Does not have any legal or economic dependence on public or
government entities
Regulatory entity that controls and enforces compliance with
legal and technical regulations
Regulates tariffs and manages the bidding processes held by
distribution companies to purchase capacity and energy
Monitors and regulates the environmental requirements of
power generators in the country
Consumer protection agency
(1) National Interconnected Electricity Transmission System of Peru.
CTM enjoys strong and constructive relationships with regulatory agencies
Peru power sector overview
Transmission
9
Complementary System
- Installations included in the Transmission Plan that
are built as a result of a private decision
- Additionally, all installations not included in the
transmission Plan. Tariff determined by the regulator and paid only by users of that system aVNR
- Annuity of the Replacement Value (12%) through a
30 year period Total Cost
- CT = aVNR + COyM
COyM
- Operations and Maintenance Cost
Transmission sector overview Location of Peru’s power transmission assets
Regulated monopoly: Economies of scale business Open access Concession required Centralized planning by the COES Expansion plan approved by MEM Guaranteed System: Transmission lines considered in centralized
plan
- Tariff defined based on bids
- Include return on investment and O&M costs
Complementary System: Transmission lines implemented by private
parties’ decision
Source: CTM company information and Document of Energy Subsector 2012.
Guaranteed System
- Installations included in the Transmission Plan and
built as a result of a public bid
- Paid by all customers (end users)
Key differentiating factors
Revenues in US dollars Stable regulatory framework
- Legal stability agreements
- Tax stability agreements
Lowest risk profile within the power sector
10
Transmission segment offers the best risk / return profile in the power sector and one of the most attractive risk / return profiles in the entire market
The transmission segment has the most stable and predictable cash flows in the entire utilities space
Segments Transmission Distribution Generation Volume Risk Environmental Risk Construction Risk Operations Risk Counterparty Credit Risk Regulatory Risk
Higher Risk Medium Risk Low Risk Lowest Risk Very Low Risk
Transmission sector legal framework
11 July 23, 2006 (Law 28832) Secondary Transmission System (SST) Main Transmission System (SPT) Secondary Transmission System (SST) Complementary Transmission System (SCT) Guaranteed Transmission System (SGT)
Legal classification of transmission lines (pre and post 2006) Overview of transmission assets legal classifications
Guaranteed Transmission System (SGT) Complementary Transmission System (SCT) Secondary Transmission System (SST) Main Transmission System (SPT)
New assets built as a result of a auction process according to
the transmission plan
Compensation assigned to all the end users in the system BOOT type contract (30 year) Example: Zapallal – Trujillo All transmission lines that form part of the investment plan that
were not awarded via auction process as well as individual party initiative lines
Private contracts Example: El Platanal – Chilca Under LCE framework For existing installations (operating prior to 23 July, 2006) Example: CTM does not have SST lines As stipulated by LCE (Law of Electrical Concessions) For existing installations (operating prior to 23 July, 2006) Example: Mantaro – Socabaya
Main Transmission System (SPT)
Source: CTM company information. Note: Main transmission system lines (SPT) include Mantaro – Socabaya, Guaranteed Transmission System lines (SGT) include Chilca – La Planicie – Zapallal, Trujillo – Chiclayo, Zapallal – Trujillo, Talara – Piura, Pomacocha – Carhuamayo and Machupicchu – Abancay – Cotaruse. Complementary transmission lines (SCT) include Independencia – ICA, El Platanal – Chilca, CTM – Miski Mayo, CTM – Kallpa (CC Chilca), CTM – Kallpa, CTM – Egenor, CTM – Fenix, CTM – Termochilca and CTM – Cotaruse.
Before After New framework Legacy framework Legacy framework New framework
Tariff structure for transmission companies
12
Tariff structure
Contract for Main Transmission System (SPT)
- VNR: investment amount
- Term: 30 years
- Return: 12% per annum for the first 10
years
Total cost of service
= Annuity of investment O&M costs +
Contract for Guaranteed Transmission System (SGT)
- Investment: cost of investment
- Term: 30 years
- Return: 12% per annum
Total cost of service
= Annuity of investment O&M costs +
- Proposed operation and maintenance
costs
Contracts for Complementary Transmission System (SCT)
- Investment: cost of investment in facility
- Term: defined by parties
- Return: target 12% per annum
Total cost of service
= Annuity of investment O&M costs +
- Operation and maintenance cost
estimated as a % of investment value
Tolls & compensation / Indexation
- Tolls and tariffs determined by COES
- The tariff (annuity determined by VNR and
O&M costs) is adjusted upon each revision period by the WPSSSOP3500 index (finished goods less food and energy), as determined by the US bureau of labor statistics
- Tariff reviewed annually by OSINERGMIN
- Tolls and tariffs determined by COES
- The tariff (annuity determined by VNR and
O&M costs) is adjusted upon each revision period by the WPSSSOP3500 index (finished goods less food and energy), as determined by the US bureau of labor statistics
- Tariff reviewed annually by OSINERGMIN
- Amount established in contract
Source: CTM company information. Note: Main transmission system lines (SPT) include Mantaro – Socabaya, Guaranteed Transmission System lines (SGT) include Chilca – La Planicie – Zapallal, Trujillo – Chiclayo, Zapallal – Trujillo, Talara – Piura, Pomacocha – Carhuamayo and Machupicchu – Abancay – Cotaruse. Complementary transmission lines (SCT) include El Platanal – Chilca, Independencia – ICA, CTM – Miski Mayo, CTM – Kallpa (CC Chilca), CTM – Kallpa, CTM – Egenor, CTM – Fenix, CTM – Termochilca and CTM – Cotaruse.
In spite of changes in regulation, SPT and SGT are for the most part the same; CTM also aims to structure its SCT contracts as similarly as possible to SPT/SGT contracts
5,246 5,319 5,864 6,422 6,970 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Centro Norte Sur
44 254 339 278 500 185 195 360 370 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
27.0 27.2 29.5 31.8 33.6 39.7 0.94 0.93 1.00 1.07 1.12 1.30 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
Sales MWh Sales (MWh per cápita)
Transmission sector growth
13
Portfolio Projects3 Capex spent on transmission2
The transmission sector in Peru has seen strong historical growth which is expected to carry
- n as Peru continues to experience economic growth and increased electricity needs
(US$ in million)
Power consumption (total & per capita)1 High Demand (MWH)1
1 Source: APOYO Consultoría 2 Includes projects under construcion in the period 2013-2016 (APOYO Consultoría) 3 Source : National Society of Mining, Petroleum and Energy
Over US$ 8,000 million by 2016
Hydroelectric 62% Transmission Lines 17% Thermal Power (Gas) 11% Non-conventional renewable energy 7% Power Plants (cold reserve) 3%
- III. CTM - Power Transmission Network
Company snapshot
15
CTM transmission network Company highlights
ISA, through its subsidiaries in Peru (REP, CTM and ISA
Peru) controls 75.3% of the country’s transmission market(1).
CTM has 9 concessions with the Peruvian State and 10
contracts with private companies, representing 88% and 12% respectively, of total revenues. CTM operates 10 substations.
In 2012, CTM represents ~ 27% of the market share of
Peruvian transmission.
CTM’s main concession is the Mantaro-Socabaya line,
which began operations in 2000 and connects the National interconnected electricity transmission system
- f Peru (Central – Northern), which includes the main
urban areas of Peru.
On September 26, CTM entered into an agreement with
Proinversión to build the project "500 kV transmission line Mantaro - Marcona - Socabaya - Montalvo and the construction
- f
two electrical substations and the expansion of three existing substations. 500 kv transmission line of 920 km in length. Concession period, 30 years. USD 447 million of estimated investment.
Source: CTM company information, public filings and COES. (1) Source: Osinergmin, Market share 2012 based on percentage of total market transmission revenue.
Corporate structure
16
ISA: 100%(1) ISA : 60.0% EEB: 40.0% ISA: 60.0% EEB: 40.0%
Source: Company information and public filings. (1) ISA acquired the shares of public service and natural resources investment fund (managed by AC Capitales SAFI SA).
2013 revenues:
US$1,869 million
2013 EBITDA:
US$1,044 million
Network:
~41,000 km
#1 transmission player in Colombia and
leading transmission player in LatAm
Ratings: Baa3 / BBB- / BBB- 2013 revenues:
US$ 1,016 million
2013 EBITDA:
US$ 922 million
Leading power sector player in
Colombia
Ratings: Baa3 / BBB- / BB+
ISA Peru
- 2013 revenues:
US$11.8mm
- 2013 EBITDA:
US$9.7 mm
- Network:
393 km
CTM
- 2013adj. revenues: US$109.0 mm
- 2013 adj. EBITDA: US$ 90.2 mm
- Network:
2,465 km
- Rating: BBB-, Baa3. Fitch, Moody’s
REP
- 2013 revenues:
US$125.1 mm
- 2013 EBITDA:
US$76.0 mm
- Network:
6,231 km
- Rating:AAA, Apoyo and Equilibrium
Jointly, ISA subsidiaries control 75.3% of Peru’s transmission market
Proyectos de Infraestructura (PDI)
- 2013 revenues:
US$90.6 mm
- 2013 EBITDA:
US$3.7 mm
- ISA vehicle tasked with managing
construction of ISA projects in Peru
Each subsidiary has legal and tax stability agreements in place which guarantee same legal and tax regime as at
beginning of original concession
REP focuses on expansions of the existing network and CTM focuses on the development of new transmission lines
CTM is the vehicle that develops new transmission lines as a result of a more favorable tax regime that allows for
accelerated asset depreciation
ISA: 100.0%
Mantaro – Cotaruse – Socabaya Length: 1,221 km Beginning of operations: Oct-00 Remaining life: 18 years Tension: 220 kV
(1)
Pomacocha - Carhuamayo
Length:
106 km
Beginning of operations:
Sep-13
Remaining life:
30 years
:
Zapallal – Trujillo (Fideicomiso) Length: 529 km Beginning of operations: Dec-12 Remaining life: 30 years Tension: 500 kV 17 C hilca – La P lanicie – Z apallal Length: 290 km Beginning of operations: Jun-1 1 Remaining life: 28 years Tension: 220 kV / 500 kV
Source: CTM company information and public filings for the period ended March 31, 2014 (1) Includes an expansion that began in July 2011. (2) All lines have more than 15 years left on contracts.
Location of CTM’s existing assets
Main Transmission System (SPT) Guaranteed Transmission System (SGT)
Total existing network: 2,465 km
Talara - Piura
Length:
103 km
Beginning of operations:
May-13 Tension: 220 kV
Remaining life:
30 years 220 kV Tension:
Line kV Length CTM - Fenix
220 kV 8 km
CTM - Termochilca
500 kV 2 km
CTM - Cotaruse
220 kV NM
Complementary Transmission System (SCT)(2)
Overview of CTM’s lines
Overview of CTM’s lines
18
Source: CTM company information and public filings. 2) All lines have more than 15 years left on contracts. 3) Includes length of Mantaro-Marcona-Socabaya-Montalvo TL
Overview of CTM’s assets under development Location of CTM’s assets under development
Guaranteed Transmission System (SGT)
(million of US$, unless otherwise indicated)
Total expansion network3: 1,666 km
Complementary Transmission System (SCT)(2) Line kV Length El Platanal - Chilca 220 kV 107 km CTM - Miski Mayo 138 kV 41 km CTM - Kallpa (CC Chilca) 220 kV NM CTM - Kallpa 220 kV NM Independencia - ICA 220 kV 57 km CTM - Egenor 220 kV NM
Trujillo - Chiclayo (Fideicomiso) Length: 325 km Expected beginning of operations: Jun-14 Tension: 500 kV Estimated investment: $134 Physical / economic advance: 97% / 82% Machupicchu - Abancay - Cotaruse (Fideicomiso) Length: 421 km Expected beginning of operations: Jan-15 Tension: 220 kV Estimated investment: $107 Physical / economic advance: 58 / 37% Mantaro-Marcona-Socabaya-Montalvo (Fideicomiso) Length: 920 km Expected beginning of operations : Nov-16 Tension: 500 kV Estimated investment : $447mm
Total existing network: 2,465 km
Physical / economic advance 7% / 0.5%
- IV. CTM credit highlights
Contracted revenue and EBITDA ramp-up
20
Source: Company information and public filings. (1) Expansion began operating in July 2011. (2) Investment to date as of March 31st, 2014. (3) Adjustments result from increases in revenue which are a result of interest on accounts receivable related to disputed revenues under ongoing arbitration proceedings and interest on accounts receivable related to power transmission services from private clients, both of which are, for accounting purposes, considered financial income.
Main existing projects (MTS / GTS lines)
(US$ in million)
Adjusted Revenues(3)
Line (tension) Length (km)
- Est. beginning
- f ops.
Investment to date
(2)
Total Cost Trujillo – Chiclayo (500 kV) 325 jun 2014 $110.9 $133.8 Machu Picchu – Abancay – Cotaruse (220 kV) 421 jan 2015 $37.7 $106.8 Mantaro-Marcona-Socabaya- Montalvo 920 nov 2016 $7.7 $446.9
Main expansion projects (GTS lines)
(US$ in million) (US$ in million)
$32.1 $36.1 $49.8 $59.5 $109.0 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014E 2015E 2016E
Adjusted EBITDA and EBITDA margin(3)
$28.0 $31.6 $43.2 $47.3 $90.2 87.2% 87.4% 86.7% 79.5% 82.7% 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014E 2015E 2016E
Adjusted EBITDA margin (%)
Line (tension) Length (km) Beginning of
- ps.
Cost Mantaro-Socabaya (220 Kv) 1,222 Oct 2000 (1) $230.1 Chilca – La Planicie – Zapallal (500 / 220 kV) 290 jun 2011 $140.0 Ica Independencia (220kV) 57 jun 2011 $10.4 Zapallal – Trujillo (500 kV) 529 Dec 2012 $205.6 Talara – Piura (220 kV) 103 may 2013 $20.9 Pomacocha – Carhuamayo (220 kV) 106 sep 2013 $23.8 CTS lines (various) 158 Various $81
(US$ in million)
Stable and predictable cash flow generation
21
Inherent risk mitigants Regulated revenue (MTS/GTS) represents majority of revenue
(% of total revenue)
1Q14
Attractive / stable margins
(US$ in million)
Little to no client credit risk
In relation to regulated revenues:
− Revenue for lines are paid by all of the transmission system’s end-users (little to no counter-party credit risk) − Ultimately government is responsible for payment to transmission companies
In relation to non-regulated revenues
− Users are typically large consumers and / or producers of energy with strong credit profiles Revenues / debt in US$
All of CTM’s revenues are in US$, which matches currency
- f bond debt.
Regulated tariffs 88%
- f revenues in 1Q14
Attractive and stable margins
Majority of pipeline
projects consist of GTS lines − GTS lines expected to represent a more significant part of total revenue going forward $8.1 $18.0 $17.4 $18.4 $36.3 $19.6
56.7% 82.2% 80.6% 81.0% 84.9% 81.3%
4Q12 1Q13 2Q13 3Q13 4Q13 1Q14
Adjusted EBITDA margin (%)
The increase recorded in 4Q13
includes the additional income earned by Controversy Addendum 10.
Comments
SPT (BOOT contracts) 46.4% SGT 42.0% SCT 11.7%
Strong shareholder support and highly efficient / integrated business model
22
Sector expertise and strong shareholder support Highly efficient / integrated business model
CTM’s shareholders supply the optimal combination of
- perational expertise and financial support
Interconexión Eléctrica S.A. (“ISA”) Baa3 / BBB- / BBB-
- One of the leading power
transmission companies in Latin America
- ISA’s main shareholder is the
government of Colombia
- ISA has important presence in
Peru, Colombia, Brazil, Chile, Ecuador, Argentina, Bolivia, Panama and other parts of Central America
- ISA’s main business segment is
power transmission
60%
Empresa de Energía de Bogotá (“EEB”) Baa3 / BBB- / BB+
- Integrated energy company that
participates in the electricity and natural gas sectors with presence in Colombia, Peru and Guatemala
- Controlled by the City of Bogotá
- Participation in the energy sector
(generation, transmission and distribution) and the natural gas sector (transportation and distribution) through minority and majority stakes
40%
Source: Company information and public filings.
REP top service provider Efficiency focused business model REP synergies Proyectos de Infra. (PDI)
- CTM is focused on making
- perations as efficient and cost
effective as possible − In the transmission market, efficiency and cost effectiveness translate into competitive advantage
- REP is recognized for its technical
leadership in the power transmission sector in Peru
- REP also ensures that ISA
subsidiaries in Peru maintain the highest level of operational quality (aligning operational standards with those of ISA)
- REP is responsible for the
- peration and maintenance of CTM
assets
- Streamlining the operation of ISA
subsidiaries in Peru allows for increased economies of scale and numerous synergies
- PDI is tasked with managing the
construction of ISA subsidiary lines in Peru
- PDI is the leading player in the
sector and boasts a very strong execution track-record
- PDI‘s experience / expertise is
invaluable in maintaining low costs and the highest standard of quality
As a result of its business model, CTM is able to solidify its position as a leader in Peru’s transmission sector
Leading power transmission player in Peru
23
Leading market position, enhanced by market’s natural monopoly condition Market share 2012(1)
Source: COES and OSINERGMIN.
(1) Last information published by OSINERGMIN
(% of total sector sales)
CTM is a leading player in the Peruvian power transmission markets
CTM owns one of the most important transmission concessions in Peru, the Mantaro – Socabaya line that integrated
the national interconnected system
In 2012, the Company was responsible for ~27% of total revenue in the sector Going forward, CTM aims to increase or at least maintain its current market participation
CTM is controlled by ISA, who in turn also controls REP and ISA Peru
In 2012, between the three ISA subsidiaries in Peru, ISA controlled the 75.3% of total sales in the market ISA subsidiaries in Peru have significant strategic importance for the transmission sector and the country
REP 43.6% CTM 26.8% ABENGOA 9.4% REDESUR 6.1% ISA Peru 4.9% Eteselva 3.7% Conenhua 1.2% Others 4.3%
ISA controls the 75.3% of the market
Main Clients
Edegel 15.9% Enersur 18.0% Electroperu 10.3% Kallpa 16.4%
- Cia. Eléctrica el Platanal
5.6% Egenor (Duke) 4.2% Otros (empresas mineras y generadoras) 29.5%
CTM credit highlights
24
Peru, one of the most attractive investment destinations Constructive and transparent regulatory framework Lowest risk profile within the power sector Contracted revenue and EBITDA ramp-up Sector expertise and strong shareholder support Highly efficient / integrated business model Stable and predictable cash flow generation Leading power transmission Company in Peru
- V. Financial information
CTM key financial information
26
Adjusted Revenues Net Income
The increase recorded in 4Q13
includes the POC
- f
Talara- Piura TL, Pomacocha Carhuamayo TL, 500 kV Fénix and Termochilca connetion; also includes an additional income earned by Controversy Addendum 10.
$21.6 $22.7 $42.8 $21.9 $24.1 2Q13 3Q13 4Q13 1Q13 1Q14 ($2.8) $4.9 $15.9 $2.4 $5.8 2Q13 3Q13 4Q13 1Q13 1Q14
Net
Income significantly increased in 1Q14, mainly due to the POC
- f
the above projects.
CTM key financial information
27
Capex
(US$ in mm)
Source: CTM company information and public filings.
Comments
Historically stable margins expected to continue throughout projected period
Adjusted EBITDA and EBITDA margin
$8.1 $18.0 $17.4 $18.4 $36.3 $19.6
56.7% 82.2% 80.6% 81.0% 84.9% 81.3%
4Q12 1Q13 2Q13 3Q13 4Q13 1Q14
Adjusted EBITDA margin (%)
$47 $172 $203 $156 $97 $24 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 1Q14
In
1Q14, the 76%
- f
the executed Capex corresponds to the concessions
- f
the Guaranteed Transmission System related to the investments
- n
Trujillo- Chiclayo TL and MachuPicchu
- Abancay - Cotaruse TL.