CommStat 12/20/18 Monthly Data Reports from our Partners Kayla - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
CommStat 12/20/18 Monthly Data Reports from our Partners Kayla - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
CommStat 12/20/18 Monthly Data Reports from our Partners Kayla Donohue, MPH Accidental or Undetermined Opioid-Related Fatalities Among Chittenden County Residents, 2010-2017 30 28 25 21 20 20 17 17 16 16 15 13 13 13 12 11 10 12
Monthly Data Reports from our Partners Kayla Donohue, MPH
Source: VDH
11 16 16 17 13 17 21 28 10 12 10 13 5 4 3 8 4 3 5 8 10 12 9 1 3 1 5 8 13 20 5 10 15 20 25 30 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Accidental or Undetermined Opioid-Related Fatalities Among Chittenden County Residents, 2010-2017
All Opioids Rx Opioid (No Fentanyl) Heroin Fentanyl
2 1 1 2 2 1 4 1 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct* Nov* Dec*
Accidental or Undetermined Opioid-Related Fatalities Among Chittenden County Residents, 2018
Source: VDH
* Indicating preliminary data, with 25 pending cases statewide
Source: SIREN, VDH
Source: SIREN, VDH
Source: Valcour
Source: UVMMC
9 10 8 7 16 15 23 11 11 11 8
5 10 15 20 25 30
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec 2018 2015-2017 Average 2015-2017 Min 2015-2017 Max
Monthly Surveillance of Opioid-Related Emergency Department Visits at UVMMC
Data Source: Howard Center Chittenden Clinic
35 994 960 970 980 990 1000 1010 1020 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov
Individuals Enrolled, Admitted, and Waiting by Month at the Chittenden Clinic (Hub)
Waiting Admitted Census DOC 1 3 2 1 4 6
645 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 Sep-13 Dec-13 Mar-14 Jun-14 Sep-14 Dec-14 Mar-15 Jun-15 Sep-15 Dec-15 Mar-16 Jun-16 Sep-16 Dec-16 Mar-17 Jun-17 Sep-17 Dec-17 Mar-18 Jun-18 Sep-18
Number of Medicaid Beneficiaries Treated in Chittenden County Spokes, Sep 2013-Sep 2018
Source: http://www.healthvermont.gov/sites/default/files/documents/pdf/ADAP_OpioidUseDisorderTreatmentCensusandWaitList.pdf
959 all payer patients
- n MAT at spokes in
- Nov. 2018
Department of Corrections, September 15 – October 15
428 new intakes *all screened for OUD 106 existing inmates requested to be screened for OUD
534 total OUD screenings
374 on Bupe 60 on Methadone
436 on MAT
2 on Naltrexone
21 referrals to hubs
112 30 11 7 6 3 2 1
Substances Presenting in ED Recovery Coach Visit (n=172)
97 26 24 24 23 20 13 11 4 ED Recovery Coach Follow Up Recovery Support Residential Detox Inpatient Turning Point Center Access Outpatient/Counseling MAT IOP
2018 Emergency Department Recovery Coach Follow-up (n=172)
*These categories are not mutually exclusive
- Number Currently Receiving Prescription – 30 clients
- Number Transitioned to Hub and Spoke – 10 clients
- Chittenden Clinic – 1 client
- Pine Street – 7 clients
- CHCB – 2 clients
- Incarcerated – 1 client
- Declined/Unreachable – 3 clients
- Average Length of Time to Transition out of Safe Recovery – 27 days
Safe Recovery Low Barrier Buprenorphine Program Data (October 22, 2018 – December 14, 2018)
Police Data for Property Crime & Drug-Related Incidents Valcour Agencies in Chittenden County Nancy Stetson
Source: Valcour
Source: Valcour
Source: Valcour
Source: Valcour
Source: Valcour
Source: Valcour
Source: Valcour
Amphetamine Positivity Rates Chittenden County VT, Apr – Sep 2018
For CCOA - CommStat, 12/19/18
6.4% 8.3% 10.1% 8.7% 9.7% 11.5% 0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep
Positivity Rate of Screen Tests, Chittenden County 2018
Amphetamine Opiates Fentanyl Heroin Cocaine Oxycodone
52.0% 56.3% 57.4% 58.0% 59.4% 69.1% 0.0% 0.0% 2.5% 0.0% 11.6% 13.7% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep
Positivity Rate of Amphetamine Confirm Tests, Chittenden Cty. 2018
Amphetamine Methamphetamine
Literature Review, MAT Efficacy, Outcomes & Next Steps
- Dr. Rawson & Dr. Evans
A life course perspective to addressing opioid use disorders
CommSTAT, Burlington, VT December 20, 2018 Liz Evans, PhD, MA Assistant Professor Department of Health Promotion & Policy School of Public Health and Health Sciences University of Massachusetts Amherst eaevans@umass.edu
- 1. When examined over many years, opioid use
resembles a chronic disease
2. Over 10 years, there is persistent use, cycles of abstinence and use, poor treatment adherence
3.
Hser YI, Huang D, Brecht ML, Li L, Evans E. Contrasting trajectories of heroin, cocaine, and methamphetamine use. J Addict Dis. 2008;27(3):13-21. n=1,797
Patterns of opioid use do change over time
Trajectories of Averaged Days of Opioid Use over 55 Months
Hser YI, Huang D, Saxon AJ, Woody G, Moskowitz AL, Matthews AG, Ling W. Distinctive Trajectories of Opioid Use Over an Extended Follow-up of Patients in a Multisite Trial on Buprenorphine + Naloxone and Methadone. J Addict Med. 2017 Jan/Feb;11(1):63-69. n=795
Treatment with MOUD can be a turning point event
“Medications for Opioid Use Disorders (MOUD)”
https://addiction.surgeongeneral.gov/
FDA-approved medications
- Methadone (1972)
- Buprenorphine (Suboxone, Subutex) (2002)
- Extended release naltrexone (Vivitrol) (2006)
Newer FDA-approved medications
- Implantable buprenorphine (Probuphine) (2016)
- Once-monthly injection buprenorphine (Sublocade)
(2017) MOUD is the evidence-based gold standard of care. Being retained in MOUD is associated with lower mortality, less opioid use, less infectious disease risks (HIV, Hepatitis C), fewer arrests and incarcerations, and other positive outcomes.
Risk of death is greatest when not receiving MOUD
High mortality risk periods
- -When out of MOUD
- -When in detoxification,
esp first 2 weeks
- -2 weeks after MOUD exit
Women with fatal opioid
- verdose lose more years
- f potential life than men
Evans et al., (2015). Gender differences in mortality among treated opioid dependent patients. Drug and Alcohol Dependence. 155:228-235. Evans et al., (2015). Mortality among individuals accessing pharmacological treatment for opioid dependence in California, 2006 – 2010. Addiction, 110: 996–1005. Evans, E., Li, L., Min, J., Huang, D., Urada, D., Lei, L., Hser, Y.I., & Nosyk, B. (2015). Mortality among individuals accessing pharmacological treatment for opioid dependence in California, 2006 – 2010. Addiction, 110: 996–1005.
Mortality among people with OUD On and off MOUD
Off MOUD On MOUD
Nosyk et al., (2018). Mortality among a population-based cohort of people with opioid use disorders in British Columbia, Canada. In review.
All-cause mortality is highest:
- -among people with other
concurrent substance use disorders
- -in the first week following
discontinuation from MOUD
- -in the year following the first
record of OUD
- -after first drug-related
hospitalization.
Table 1. Long-term Cohort Studies
1996 - 2006 1973 - 1984 1995 - 1999 2001 - 2009 1985 -2002 1963 - 1971 1966 - 1999 1984- 1989 1969 - 1991 1980 - 2007 1985 - 2005 2003 - 2007 1980 - 2005 1952 - 1972 1955 - 1976 1991 - 2006 1962 - 1997 1964 - 1981 1969 - 1981 1981 - 1986 1970 - 1977 1972 - 1997 1976 - 2009 2005 - 2013 2005 - 2009 1991 - 2006 1988 - 2008 1992 - 1998
Study #, Title/country 1950
50 51 52 53 541955
55 56 57 58 591960
60 61 62 63 641965
65 66 67 68 691970
70 71 72 73 741975
75 76 77 78 791980
80 81 82 83 841985
85 86 87 88 891990
90 91 92 93 941995
95 96 97 98 992000
00 01 02 03 042005
05 06 07 08 092010
10 11 12 13 14- 1. Bup vs. MM / Australiaa
- 2. ATOS / Australiab
- 3. ORCHID / Indiad
- 4. Pakistanc
- 5. Copenhagen / Denmarkc
- 6. Amsterdam / Netherlandsb
- 7. NTORS / UKb
- 8. Cohort1 / Englandc
- 9. English Town / Englandc
10. London Cohort 2 / Englandc 11. London Cohort3 / Englandc 12. Edinburgh / Scotlandc 13. Pregnant Women / Irelanda 14. ROSIE / Irelandb 15. MMT / Spaina 16. Vaillant 1 / USc 17. Tucson / USd 18. CAP / USd 19. San Antonio / USc 20. DARP / USb 21. Santa Clara / USa 22. Vietnam / USd 23. CMC / USa 24. TOPS / USb 25. Parents – MMT / USb 26. ALIVE / USd 27. Albuquerque / USb 28. START / USa
presen
aMethadone/Buprenorphine, bMethadone and other treatment modalities, cNon-methadone treatment, dNon-treatment source.
MMT HIV HAART BUP
Hser YI, Evans E, Grella C, Ling W, Anglin D. Long-term course of opioid addiction. Harv Rev Psychiatry. 2015 Mar-Apr;23(2):76-89.
Long-term Cohort Studies of Opioid Use Disorder
Methadone (MET) and buprenorphine (BUP) are each associated with a greater reduction of opioid use over 5 years (relative to no treatment)
Hser YI, Evans E, Huang D, Weiss R, Saxon A, Carroll KM, Woody G, Liu D, Wakim P, Matthews AG, Hatch-Maillette M, Jelstrom E, Wiest K, McLaughlin P, Ling W. Long-term outcomes after randomization to buprenorphine/naloxone versus methadone in a multi-site trial. Addiction. 2016 Apr;111(4):695-705. Estimated Days of Opioid Use by the Types of Treatment Based on Model 4 (N = 795)††
††The number of participants in each type of treatment varied in each month and is therefore not indicated in the figure; on average over the follow-up period, each month there were about 14.2% of theparticipants in BUP treatment, 38.5% in MET treatment, and 46.9% in neither BUP nor MET treatment.
Continued MOUD, with either buprenorphine or methadone, is associated with a reduction in arrests (relative to no MOUD)
Evans, E., et al., (2018). Criminal justice outcomes over 5 years after randomization to buprenorphine-naloxone or methadone treatment for opioid use disorder. In review..
No difference by MOUD type in the proportion arrested (buprenorphine: 55.3%, methadone: 54.0%) or incarcerated (40.9%, 47.3%) during follow-up.
How to achieve stable recovery from OUD? Maintaining opioid abstinence for at least 5 years substantially increases the likelihood of future stable abstinence. Stable recovery is predicted by
- -ethnicity
- -higher self-efficacy
- -lower psychological distress.
Hser Y (2007) Predicting long-term stable recovery from heroin addiction: findings from a 33-year follow-up study. J Addict Dis 26(1): 51–60.
Who achieves 5-year opioid abstinence?
Over 6.7 years of follow-up…
- -33% achieved 5-year abstinence from heroin
- -21% achieved 5-year abstinence from all opioids including
heroin 5-year opioid abstinence was positively associated with
- -older age at first opioid use
- -lower impulsivity
- -longer MOUD duration
- -greater social support
Zhu, Y., Evans, E., Mooney, L., et al (2018). Correlates of long-term opioid abstinence after randomization to methadone versus buprenorphine/naloxone in a multi-site trial. Journal of Neuroimmune Pharmacology. 13: 488-497.
Treatment with MOUD can be a turning point event, but…
Challenges <10% ever receive MOUD 10+ years of opioid use before 1st MOUD Treatment without MOUD is common MOUD non-adherence is a challenge
Evans, E., & Hser, YI. (2018). The natural history, clinical course, and long-term recovery from opioid use disorders. In Kelly and Wakeman (editors), Treating Opioid Addiction. Springer International. In press. Hser YI, Evans E, Grella C, Ling W, Anglin D. Long-term course of opioid addiction. Harv Rev Psychiatry. 2015 Mar-Apr;23(2):76-89
Only 9.3 – 11.2% of participants utilized buprenorphine treatment over 2 years
Evans et al., (2018). Effects of access barriers and medication acceptability on buprenorphine-naloxone treatment utilization over 2 years: Results from a multisite randomized trial of adults with opioid use disorder. In review.
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
Months from Follow-up 1
0.00 0.05 0.10 0.15 0.20 0.25 0.30
Proportion of patients receiving BUP treatment
Low access/low acceptability Low access/high acceptability High access/low acceptability High access/high acceptability
Individuals who reported buprenorphine to be both accessible and acceptable were most likely to use buprenorphine over time. Individuals who reported buprenorphine to be unacceptable were least likely to use buprenorphine, regardless the level of access to the medication.
Treatment with MOUD can be a turning point event, but…
Challenges Many years are spent incarcerated, not in MOUD, which elevates mortality risk Potential solutions Treatment with MOUD while incarcerated MOUD in community instead of incarceration Link to MOUD in community at exit from jail/prison
Evans, E., & Hser, YI. (2018). The natural history, clinical course, and long-term recovery from opioid use disorders. In Kelly and Wakeman (editors), Treating Opioid Addiction. Springer International. In press. Hser YI, Evans E, Grella C, Ling W, Anglin D. Long-term course of opioid addiction. Harv Rev Psychiatry. 2015 Mar-Apr;23(2):76-89
Treatment with MOUD can be a turning point event, but…
Challenges Individuals may need 5+ years of MOUD to achieve lasting recovery. Potential solutions Patient/provider expectations Shared decision-making re MOUD entry and adherence Recovery resources - social support, employment, trauma- informed care, opportunities for new identity development
Evans, E., & Hser, YI. (2018). The natural history, clinical course, and long-term recovery from opioid use disorders. In Kelly and Wakeman (editors), Treating Opioid Addiction. Springer International. In press. Hser YI, Evans E, Grella C, Ling W, Anglin D. Long-term course of opioid addiction. Harv Rev Psychiatry. 2015 Mar-Apr;23(2):76-89
Presented in Shi & Singh, 2015; adapted from Bronfenbrenner, 1979; 1994. Adopted by Healthy People 2020 and the World Health Organization (WHO).
Public Health Conceptual Model
An “ecological systems” approach considers the health of populations as shaped by a wide array of social and physiological factors, at multiple levels, over the life course.
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