Cleveland Municipal School District 1 F I V E Y E A R F I N A N - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Cleveland Municipal School District 1 F I V E Y E A R F I N A N - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Cleveland Municipal School District 1 F I V E Y E A R F I N A N CI A L F O R E CA ST O C T O B E R 2 0 12 O C T O B E R 2 0 12 The primary goal of the Cleveland Municipal School District is to become a premier school district in the


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SLIDE 1

F I V E Y E A R F I N A N CI A L F O R E CA ST

O C T O B E R 2 0 12

Cleveland Municipal School District

1 O C T O B E R 2 0 12

The primary goal of the Cleveland Municipal School District is to become a premier school district in the United States of America.

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SLIDE 2

Five Year Forecast - Contents

2

Major Assumptions General Fund Revenues

  • General Fund Revenues

General Fund Expenditures Five Year Forecast Summary

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SLIDE 3

Cleveland Municipal School District

3

Major Assumptions Major Assumptions

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SLIDE 4

Major Assumptions

4

Revenue:

Forecast assumes no new levy revenue. Forecast assumes that the property tax current collection rate will remain at

78.87%. Current economic conditions continue to have a significant impact on tax collection rates.

In 2012 Cuyahoga County will complete the six year reappraisal of all property.

The impact on the District should be minimal.

  • The impact on the District should be minimal.

Projections are based on the bridge formula to determine state funding in all

years.

Forecast assumes the Average Daily Membership for K-12 to be:

FY13 – 38,182 FY14 – 36,615 FY 15 – 35,117 FY16 – 34,095 FY 17 – 33,233

Forecast assumes that Charter School ADM will increase by 70% of CMSD

decrease.

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SLIDE 5

Major Assumptions continued

5

Expenditures:

Forecast assumes a total of 2,591 classroom teachers in FY13 (2,300 are

budgeted within the General Fund).

Forecast assumes 50 less employees each year in FY14-17 due to attrition. Forecast shifted $4.3 million of personnel costs to the General Fund in FY13

due to a decline in Title I funding.

  • due to a decline in Title I funding.

Forecast shifts $2.0 million of personnel cost to the General Fund in FY14 due

to a decline in federal funding.

Healthcare rates are forecasted to increase 7.7% in FY13 and 9.7% in FY14-16. Forecast assumes all union agreements as currently defined including step

increases.

Forecast assumes a $3.2 textbook budget for all fiscal years. $13.1 million of adjustments are necessary to balance the budget for the 2012 –

2013 school year.

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SLIDE 6

Cleveland Municipal School District

6

General Fund Revenues General Fund Revenues

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SLIDE 7

Cleveland Municipal School District

FY 2012-2013 State, 67.7%

W here the M oney Comes From

7

Local Taxes, 23.7% State of Ohio Reimbursemen ts, 4.3% Other, 4.3%

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SLIDE 8

General Fund Revenue Decline

8

662.7 668.2 654.2 611.2 575.0 595.0 615.0 635.0 655.0 675.0 $51.5 million 564.4 562.2 537.2 480.8 475.0 495.0 515.0 535.0 555.0 575.0 2010 2011 2012 2013* Total Revenue Total Revenue Excluding Charter $83.6 million

*Projected

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SLIDE 9

Cleveland Municipal School District

Local Taxes – Property Tax Revenue 100.0 125.0 150.0 175.0

4.3 1.0 0.3 1.0 I n M illions)

9

0.0 25.0 50.0 75.0 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

147.1 148.1 144.1 144.0 144.0 144.0 144.0 144.0

Real Estate Personal Tangible Fiscal Year

Revenue (I n M i

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SLIDE 10

Cleveland Municipal School District

Property Taxes – Current Collection Rate

87.0 88.0 89.0 90.0 91.0 92.0 93.0 94.0 95.0 96.0 97.0 98.0 99.0 98.6 ection Rate

10

75.0 76.0 77.0 78.0 79.0 80.0 81.0 82.0 83.0 84.0 85.0 86.0 87.0

1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

80.9 78.9

Current Collec

Year

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SLIDE 11

Cleveland Municipal School District

Property Taxes – Total Collection Rate

91.00 93.00 95.00 97.00 99.00 101.00 103.00 105.00 107.00

1.3

ection Rate

11

75.00 77.00 79.00 81.00 83.00 85.00 87.00 89.00 91.00

1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

98.6 78.9 6.5

Current Collection Rate Delinquencies

Current Collec

Year

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SLIDE 12

Cleveland Municipal School District

State Foundation Revenue

$425 $430 $435 $440

27.3 34.1

I n M illions)

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$400 $405 $410 $415 $420

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

411.3 404.5 421.4 413.9 411.2 408.0 405.8 403.9 34.1

State Foundation Fiscal Stabilization Fund Revenue (I n Fiscal Year

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SLIDE 13

Cleveland Municipal School District

State Foundation Revenue – Excluding Charter School Portion

$300 $310 $320 $330 $340

27.3 34.1

I n M illions)

13

$240 $250 $260 $270 $280 $290

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

313.0 298.5 304.4 283.4 271.6 260.9 253.6 247.4

State Foundation Fiscal Stabilization Fund Revenue (I n Fiscal Year

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SLIDE 14

Cleveland Municipal School District

Education Jobs $15 $20

I n M illions)

14

$0 $5 $10 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 17.7

Education Jobs

Revenue (I n M i

Fiscal Year

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SLIDE 15

Cleveland Municipal School District

Property Tax Allocation – State Hold Harmless Reimbursements

$30 $40 $50 $60 38.6 39.8 26.9 I n M illions)

15

$0 $10 $20 $30 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 12.4 12.4 12.3 12.2 12.2 12.2 12.2 12.2 4.5 4.4 26.9 13.9 13.9 13.9 13.9 13.9

Property Tax Reimbursements Utility Tax Reimbursements HB 66 CAT Reimbursements

Revenue (I n

Fiscal Year

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SLIDE 16

Cleveland Municipal School District

Other Revenue

$15 $20 $25 $30 2.1 0.6 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 1.4 1.3 1.2 1.1 1.0 1.0 1.7 1.9 1.8 6.2 4.0 4.0 4.0 4.0 2.5 1.7 3.5 I n M illions)

16

$0 $5 $10 $15 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 10.6 18.2 24.4 18.3 20.3 20.6 20.7 20.7 2.4 1.7

Other Interest Catastrophic Aid Medicaid Advance In

Fiscal Year

Revenue (I n

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SLIDE 17

Cleveland Municipal School District

Total Revenue – Excluding Charter School Portion

$400 $500 $600

340.3 332.6 304.4 17.7 55.5 56.6 39.2 26.1 26.1 26.1 26.1 26.1 17.2 23.9 31.7 26.2 25.9 26.1 26.1 26.1 I n M illions)

17

$0 $100 $200 $300

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 151.4 149.1 144.4 145.0 144.1 144.1 144.1 144.1 340.3 332.6 304.4 283.4 271.6 260.9 253.6 247.4 Property Tax State Foundation Ed Jobs State Reimbursement Other Revenue (I n Fiscal Year

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SLIDE 18

Cleveland Municipal School District

18

General Fund Expenditures General Fund Expenditures

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SLIDE 19

Cleveland Municipal School District

Where the Money Goes All Other $118,262,885 18.4%

FY 2012-2013

19

Salaries & Benefits, $393, 133,569, 61.3% Charter School Pass-Through $130,500,000 20.3%

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SLIDE 20

Cleveland Municipal School District

Salaries

$310 $330 $350 $370 s (I n M illions)

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$250 $270 $290 $310 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

359.3 312.7 309.3 276.3 289.0 288.5 287.8 286.8 Salaries

Fiscal Year

Expenditures (

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SLIDE 21

Cleveland Municipal School District

Fringe Benefits

$80 $100 $120 $140

60.7 54.9 57.7 56.5 62.0 67.8 74.1 80.9 4.4 3.9 4.0 3.7 3.9 3.9 3.9 3.9 6.6 5.2 4.5 4.4 4.4 4.4 4.4 4.4 3.5 7.8 8.4 11.2 7.3 6.2 4.5 3.9

s (I n M illions)

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$0 $20 $40 $60 $80 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

50.2 47.9 44.7 41.0 42.6 42.8 42.7 42.6 54.9 57.7 56.5 62.0 STRS/ SERS Employee Insurance Benefits Medicare Workers Compensation Other

Fiscal Year

Expenditures (

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SLIDE 22

Cleveland Municipal School District

Purchased Services

$150 $200 $250 $300

98.3 117.0 130.5 139.6 147.1 152.2 156.5

s (I n M illions)

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$0 $50 $100 $150 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

15.1 14.2 12.0 12.8 13.0 13.2 13.4 13.6 9.3 7.8 10.3 10.8 11.0 11.2 11.4 11.4 63.4 56.5 57.7 69.0 69.3 70.0 70.8 71.7 98.3 106.0 117.0 Utilities Student Transportation (Contract) Other Purchased Services Charter School Pass-Through

Fiscal Year

Expenditures (

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SLIDE 23

Cleveland Municipal School District

Supplies, Textbooks, Equipment, and Other Expenditures

15.0 20.0 25.0 30.0 1.3 7.8 8.3 6.5 7.4 7.5 7.7 7.8 7.3 7.7 11.5 4.2 7.0 7.0 7.0 7.0 7.0 res (I n M illions)

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0.0 5.0 10.0 15.0 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 12.6 9.0 10.0 10.6 10.6 10.6 10.6 10.6 1.3 0.8 1.0 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 8.3 6.5 7.4 7.5 7.7 7.8 7.3

Supplies and Textbooks Equipment Other Expense Transfers/ Advances

Expenditure

Fiscal Year

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SLIDE 24

Cleveland Municipal School District

Total Expenditures– Excluding Charter School Portion

300.0 400.0 500.0 600.0 125.3 119.8 119.3 116.8 120.2 125.1 129.6 135.7 87.8 78.4 80.0 92.6 93.3 94.4 95.6 96.7 12.6 9.0 10.0 10.6 10.6 10.6 10.6 10.6

15.5 19.8 10.7 14.4 14.5 14.7 14.8 14.3

res (I n M illions)

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0.0 100.0 200.0 300.0 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 359.3 312.7 309.3 276.3 289.0 288.5 287.8 286.8

Wages Benefits Purchased Services Supplies and Materials Capital Outlay Other

Expenditure

Fiscal Year

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SLIDE 25

Cleveland Municipal School District

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Five-Year Forecast Summary Five-Year Forecast Summary

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SLIDE 26

Cleveland Municipal School District

October 2012 Five-Year Forecast

(in millions of dollars)

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B e g in n in g C a s h B a la n c e $ 5 .4 $ 1 3 .0 $ 3 4 .8 $ 4 1 .8 $ 1 1 .1 ($ 4 9 .8 ) ($ 1 2 6 .8 ) ($ 2 1 6 .2 ) T

  • ta

l R e v e n u e s 6 6 2 .7 6 6 8 .2 6 5 4 .3 6 1 1 .2 6 7 .2 6 4 .2 6 2 .0 6 .1 T

  • ta

l E x p e n s e s 7 .1 6 4 6 .4 6 4 7 .3 6 5 5 .0 6 6 8 .1 6 8 1 .2 6 9 1 .4 7 1 .3 (1 3 .1 ) F Y 2 1 7 F Y 2 1 6 F Y 2 1 4 F Y 2 1 5 F Y 2 1 F Y 2 1 1 F Y 2 1 2 F Y 2 1 3 (1 3 .1 ) R e v e n u e

  • v

e r E x p e n s e s (3 7 .4 ) 2 1 .8 7 .0 (3 .7 ) (6 .9 ) (7 7 .0 ) (8 9 .4 ) (1 1 .2 ) E n d in g C a s h B a la n c e 1 3 .0 3 4 .8 4 1 .8 1 1 .1 (4 9 .8 ) (1 2 6 .8 ) (2 1 6 .2 ) (3 1 7 .4 ) E n c u m b ra n c e s / R e s e rv e s 6 .5 8 .2 1 1 .1 1 1 .1 7 .0 7 .0 7 .0 7 .0 U n e n c u m b e re d B a la n c e $ 6 .5 $ 2 6 .6 $ 3 .7 $ .0 ($ 5 6 .8 ) ($ 1 3 3 .8 ) ($ 2 2 3 .2 ) ($ 3 2 4 .4 )

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SLIDE 27

Summary

27

Fiscal Year 2012 - 2013

$13.1 million of adjustments are necessary to balance

the budget. Fiscal Year 2013 - 2014

  • Fiscal Year 2013 - 2014

A significant deficit of $56.8 million is projected for

the school year 2013 - 2014.

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SLIDE 28

Fiscal Caution, Watch and Emergency

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Fiscal Caution Fiscal W atch Fiscal Emergency

  • Lower bond ratings

State control Higher Class Sizes

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SLIDE 29

Q U E ST I O N S

29

Cleveland Municipal School District

Five-Year Financial Forecast – October 2012

Q U E ST I O N S

T H E P R I M A R Y G O A L O F T H E C L E V E L A N D M U N I C I P A L S C H O O L D I S T R I C T I S T O B E C O M E A P R E M I E R S C H O O L D I S T R I C T I N T H E U N I T E D S T A T E S O F A M E R I C A .