Charting our I nternational Future : A Competitive Greater Montreal - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Charting our I nternational Future : A Competitive Greater Montreal - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Charting our I nternational Future : A Competitive Greater Montreal ISRN Annual Meeting Yves Charette Greater Montreal Economic Development Coordinator Toronto, May 5 th , 2010 Montreal Metropolitain Community at a glance 82 Local
Montreal Metropolitain Community at a glance…
- 82 Local municipalities
- 5 Administratives regions
- 7 Regional conferences of
elected officials
- 4 360 KM2
- 3,6 Population
- 75 Languages spoken
- 19.4 % of Inhabitants speak at
least two languages at home
- 120 Cultural communities
- 150 G $ Metropolitan GDP
- 1,90 million Jobs
- 172 900 Jobs in the new
economy
- 1 International airport
- 1 Port
- 5 Universities
- 66 Cegeps and Colleges
- 201 Research centers
- 60 Consulates and foreign
delegations
Key Economic Indicators
Comparing metropolitan performances Comparing metropolitan performances
GDP per capita (US$) 15 14 13 12 11 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 RANK 4.5% 55,148 44,222 Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington 4.6% 27,883 22,316 Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario 4.6% 50,132 40,033 Cleveland-Elyria-Mentor 4.7% 48,875 38,759 Baltimore-Towson 4.9% 49,397 38,803 Orlando-Kissimmee 5.1% 44,761 34,953 Sacramento--Arden-Arcade—Roseville 5.1% 50,526 39,423 Portland-Vancouver-Beaverton 5.2% 70,958 55,156 San Francisco-Oakland-Fremont 5.2% 47,544 36,928 Pittsburgh 5.4% 53,851 41,333 San Diego-Carlsbad-San Marcos 5.4% 72,250 55,446 Washington-Arlington-Alexandria 5.5% 46,645 35,668 Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Miami Beach 5.6% 54,203 41,355 Los Angeles-Long Beach-Santa Ana 5.6% 64,318 48,887 New York-Northern New Jersey-Long Island 7.5% 67,216 46,869 Houston-Sugar CAGR (2002-2007) 2007 2002 CITY GDP per capita (US$) 15 14 13 12 11 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 RANK 4.5% 55,148 44,222 Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington 4.6% 27,883 22,316 Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario 4.6% 50,132 40,033 Cleveland-Elyria-Mentor 4.7% 48,875 38,759 Baltimore-Towson 4.9% 49,397 38,803 Orlando-Kissimmee 5.1% 44,761 34,953 Sacramento--Arden-Arcade—Roseville 5.1% 50,526 39,423 Portland-Vancouver-Beaverton 5.2% 70,958 55,156 San Francisco-Oakland-Fremont 5.2% 47,544 36,928 Pittsburgh 5.4% 53,851 41,333 San Diego-Carlsbad-San Marcos 5.4% 72,250 55,446 Washington-Arlington-Alexandria 5.5% 46,645 35,668 Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Miami Beach 5.6% 54,203 41,355 Los Angeles-Long Beach-Santa Ana 5.6% 64,318 48,887 New York-Northern New Jersey-Long Island 7.5% 67,216 46,869 Houston-Sugar CAGR (2002-2007) 2007 2002 CITY GDP per capita (US$) 30 29 28 27 26 25 24 23 22 21 20 19 18 17 16 RANK 0.3% 36,433 35,849 Toronto 1.3% 45,080 42,175 Detroit-Warren-Livonia 1.6% 30,812 28,496 Montréal 2.3% 51,185 45,593 Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Marietta 3.0% 43,451 37,396 Phoenix-Mesa-Scottsdale 3.4% 45,789 38,768 Cincinnati-Middletown 3.4% 34,433 29,063 Vancouver 3.5% 59,070 49,736 Denver-Aurora 3.5% 44,584 37,522
- St. Louis
3.9% 58,600 48,370 Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington 4.0% 40,015 32,905 Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater 4.0% 53,136 43,676 Chicago-Naperville-Joliet 4.2% 59,398 48,369 Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington 4.4% 64,669 52,039 Boston-Cambridge-Quincy 4.5% 63,034 50,559 Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue CAGR (2002-2007) 2007 2002 CITY GDP per capita (US$) 30 29 28 27 26 25 24 23 22 21 20 19 18 17 16 RANK 0.3% 36,433 35,849 Toronto 1.3% 45,080 42,175 Detroit-Warren-Livonia 1.6% 30,812 28,496 Montréal 2.3% 51,185 45,593 Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Marietta 3.0% 43,451 37,396 Phoenix-Mesa-Scottsdale 3.4% 45,789 38,768 Cincinnati-Middletown 3.4% 34,433 29,063 Vancouver 3.5% 59,070 49,736 Denver-Aurora 3.5% 44,584 37,522
- St. Louis
3.9% 58,600 48,370 Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington 4.0% 40,015 32,905 Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater 4.0% 53,136 43,676 Chicago-Naperville-Joliet 4.2% 59,398 48,369 Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington 4.4% 64,669 52,039 Boston-Cambridge-Quincy 4.5% 63,034 50,559 Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue CAGR (2002-2007) 2007 2002 CITY Sources: Statistics Canada, US Census Bureau, 2002-2007; Analysis SECOR
Strategic Issues – Labor productivity
40 45 50 55 60 65 70 75 80 1987 1989 1991 1993 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007
North America 1,61 % 1,86 % 1,66 % North America 1,61 % 1,86 % 1,66 % Montréal 0,91 % 0,45 %
- 0,20 %
Montréal 0,91 % 0,45 %
- 0,20 %
Canada 1,32 % 1,16 % 0,36 % Canada 1,32 % 1,16 % 0,36 % CAGR 1987-2007 1997-2007 2002-2007 CAGR 1987-2007 1997-2007 2002-2007
GDP per job - Montréal CMA and North America
(1987- 2007; 2002 constant $)
GDP per job - Montréal CMA and North America
(1987- 2007; 2002 constant $)
Source: Communauté métropolitaine de Montréal
Strategic Issues - Training
Wash.
- S. Fr.
Houst. Bost. NY.Sea. Dal. Min. Phi. L.A
- S. Die.
- St. L.
Atl. Orl. Balt. Sacr. Tam. Tor. Van. Mont. Den. Chic. Port. Cle. Pitt. Mia. Cin. Detr. Phoe. 25 000 35 000 45 000 55 000 65 000 75 000 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45% 50% Wash.
- S. Fr.
Houst. Bost. NY.Sea. Dal. Min. Phi. L.A
- S. Die.
- St. L.
Atl. Orl. Balt. Sacr. Tam. Tor. Van. Mont. Den. Chic. Port. Cle. Pitt. Mia. Cin. Detr. Phoe. 25 000 35 000 45 000 55 000 65 000 75 000 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45% 50%
GDP per capita and share of people 25 years and over with a university degree
(US$, %, 2006, 2007)
GDP per capita and share of people 25 years and over with a university degree
(US$, %, 2006, 2007)
Sources: data on the share of people 25 years and over with a university degree : US Census Bureau, 2005-2007 American Community Survey; Statistics Canada, 2006 Census; data on GDP per capita : Statistics Canada, 2006 Census; Bureau of Economic Analysis; Analysis SECOR
Strategic Issues – Private Investment
1,4% 6,6% 3,0% 4,7% 9,6% 7,4%
Montréal CMA Canada United States
Construction Machinery and equipment
Sources: Institut de la statistique du Québec; Statistics Canada; US Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis
* Administrative regions of Montréal, Laval, Laurentides, Lanaudière and Montérégie. 2008 :
intentions and 2007 : preliminary estimates ** Housing excluded
Surviving the Recession
The official explanation « Following the financial crisis of 2008 and at the first signs of economic slowdown, the government intervened under an action plan calling for an injection of $15 billion in the economy. Thanks to the government’s quick initiatives, Québec was less affected by the recession than its main partners, i.e. the United States and Ontario. » Budget 2010-2011
Surviving the Recession
- Other possible explanations
– Massive investments in infrastructure (Johnson Commission) – Automotive industry (dead with GM) – Financial services (dead with Stock Exchange) – Chronic high unemployment – Lag in Aerospace, ICT and Pharma
Surviving the Recession
2 5 8 11 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09
North America Toronto CMA Montréal CMA
%, seasonally adjusted
Sources: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics and Statistics Canada
Unemployment rate
Loonie starts kicking Aerospace stalls –post 911 GM shuts down Aerospace takes off Boom in professional & financial services Day‐care policy
Surviving the Recession
70 85 100 115 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09
Canada Toronto CMA Montréal CMA
2000=100, seasonally adjusted
Source: Statistics Canada
Manufacturing employment
Surviving the Recession
10 20 30 40 50 60 70 1988 1991 1994 1997 2000 2003 2006 2009
Motor vehicles and parts, Toronto CMA Aerospace products and parts, Montréal CMA
'000
Source: Statistics Canada
Employment
Lagged growth Aircraft motors (Pratt & Whitney)
2010-2015 Economic Development Plan
A LEARNING REGION AN OPEN & ATTRACTIVE REGION A DYNAMIC REGION
Facilitate the development of skills Increase the impact of clusters and metropolitan networks Increase the ability to attract and retain activities, firms, and individuals
TOP 10
Economic Development Plan : A Competitive Metropolitan Montréal Region
A LEARNING REGION (Skills task force) A DYNAMIC REGION (Innovation task force) AN OPEN & ATTRACTIVE REGION (Visibility task force + Montreal International)
Cluster Maturation Process
1 3 6 9 3 Years
Activation Results Impact
Buzzwords in Urban Economic Development
- Research needed by policymakers