Central Arizona Project Central Arizona Project Water Orders and - - PDF document

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Central Arizona Project Central Arizona Project Water Orders and - - PDF document

Central Arizona Project Central Arizona Project Water Orders and Excess Supply Water Orders and Excess Supply for 2009 for 2009 2009 CAP Supply 2009 CAP Supply Losses 50,000 af Excess Supply 832,000 af CAP Delivery Supply Ag Indian


slide-1
SLIDE 1

1

Central Arizona Project Central Arizona Project

Water Orders and Excess Supply Water Orders and Excess Supply for 2009 for 2009

2009 CAP Supply 2009 CAP Supply

2.8 MAF On-River

1,225,000 af

CAP Delivery Supply

1,575,000 af

Losses

50,000 af

M&I

478,000 af

Indian

206,000 af

Ag

9,000 af

Long- Term

693,000 af

Colorado River CAP

Excess Supply

832,000 af

slide-2
SLIDE 2

2

2009 Excess CAP 2009 Excess CAP

Excess Supply

832,000 af Ag Settlement Pool

400,000 af

Full Cost

61,200 af

Incentive Recharge

344,700 af

AWBA & CAGRD RR

195,900 af

Supply Orders

Fully Protected

Orders exceed supply by 169,800 af

Subject to Reduction

32k 1k 7k 1k 52k 99k 33k 24k 36k 4k 26k 63k 7k 55k 53k

Vidler TDRP Tonopah ID AFRP; HMRP SRP; SWC RWCD NMIDD QCID GRIIDD (PHX) MSIDD CAIDD; HIDD GRIIDD (PIN) Kai LSCRP; AVRP CMID; BKW CAVSRP SAVSRP PMRRP

63k

GSFs USFs Direct

2009 Excess Orders 2009 Excess Orders

18 Incentive

customers

Incentive Recharge, AWBA and CAGRD RR Orders

slide-3
SLIDE 3

3

32k 1k 7k 1k 52k 99k 33k 24k 36k 4k 26k 63k 7k 55k 53k

Vidler TDRP Tonopah ID AFRP; HMRP SRP; SWC RWCD NMIDD QCID GRIIDD (PHX) MSIDD CAIDD; HIDD GRIIDD (PIN) Kai LSCRP; AVRP CMID; BKW CAVSRP SAVSRP PMRRP

63k

GSFs USFs Direct

32k 1k 7k 1k 52k 99k 33k 24k 36k 4k 26k 63k 7k 55k 53k

Vidler TDRP Tonopah ID AFRP; HMRP SRP; SWC RWCD NMIDD QCID GRIIDD (PHX) MSIDD CAIDD; HIDD GRIIDD (PIN) Kai LSCRP; AVRP CMID; BKW CAVSRP SAVSRP PMRRP

63k

GSFs USFs Direct

6k 1k 21k 55k 36k 4k 26k 52k 52k 53k

Vidler TDRP Tonopah ID AFRP; HMRP SRP; SWC RWCD NMIDD QCID GRIIDD (PHX) MSIDD CAIDD; HIDD GRIIDD (PIN) Kai LSCRP; AVRP CMID; BKW CAVSRP SAVSRP PMRRP

54k

GSFs USFs Direct

32k 6k 1k 1k 21k 31k 55k 44k 33k 24k 36k 4k 26k 52k 11k 52k 10k 53k

Vidler TDRP Tonopah ID AFRP; HMRP SRP; SWC RWCD NMIDD QCID GRIIDD (PHX) MSIDD CAIDD; HIDD GRIIDD (PIN) Kai LSCRP; AVRP CMID; BKW CAVSRP SAVSRP PMRRP

54k 9k

GSFs USFs Direct Not Delivered

2009 Excess Orders 2009 Excess Orders

If AWBA & RR

are eliminated…

Uneven impacts Ag Pricing

Program

Recovery

agreements

Operational &

economic impacts

AWBA

commitments

Indian Firming

AWBA and CAGRD RR Orders set to zero

2009 Orders 2009 Orders

#1

1,525,000

  • 480,000
  • 191,000
  • =

854,000

400,000 688,400

  • = Excess "Deficit"

234,400

* includes recovery

  • Other Excess Order

Original Orders

Excess Supply CAP Delivery Supply M&I Subcontracts Indian Contracts

  • Ag Settlement Pool*
32k 1k 7k 1k 58k 99k 33k 24k 36k 4k 30k 70k 4 k 11k 147k 2 k 53k

Vidler TDRP Tonopah ID AFRP; HMRP SRP; SWC RWCD NMIDD QCID GRIIDD (PHX) MSIDD CAIDD; HIDD GRIIDD (PIN) Kai LSCRP; AVRP CMID; BKW CAVSRP SAVSRP PMRRP

77k

Show water not delivered GSFs USFs Direct 100k 200k 300k 400k

Outside Phoenix Pinal Tucson

slide-4
SLIDE 4

4

AWBA & RR @ 0% AWBA & RR @ 0%

#2

1,525,000

  • 480,000
  • 191,000
  • =

854,000

400,000 492,724

  • = Excess "Deficit"

38,724

* includes recovery

  • Other Excess Order

AWBA & CAGRD Replenishment Reserve to Zero

Excess Supply CAP Delivery Supply M&I Subcontracts Indian Contracts

  • Ag Settlement Pool*
32k 6k 1k 1k 27k 31k 55k 44k 33k 24k 36k 4k 30k 59k 4 k 11k 4k 144k 2 k 10k 53k

Vidler TDRP Tonopah ID AFRP; HMRP SRP; SWC RWCD NMIDD QCID GRIIDD (PHX) MSIDD CAIDD; HIDD GRIIDD (PIN) Kai LSCRP; AVRP CMID; BKW CAVSRP SAVSRP PMRRP

68k 9k

Show water not delivered GSFs USFs Direct 100k 200k 300k 400k

Outside Phoenix Pinal Tucson Not Delivered

AWBA & RR @ 0% AWBA & RR @ 0%

#2

1,525,000

  • 480,000
  • 191,000
  • =

854,000

400,000 492,724

  • = Excess "Deficit"

38,724

* includes recovery

  • Other Excess Order

AWBA & CAGRD Replenishment Reserve to Zero

Excess Supply CAP Delivery Supply M&I Subcontracts Indian Contracts

  • Ag Settlement Pool*
32k 6k 1k 1k 27k 31k 55k 44k 33k 24k 36k 4k 30k 59k 4 k 11k 4k 144k 2 k 10k 53k

Vidler TDRP Tonopah ID AFRP; HMRP SRP; SWC RWCD NMIDD QCID GRIIDD (PHX) MSIDD CAIDD; HIDD GRIIDD (PIN) Kai LSCRP; AVRP CMID; BKW CAVSRP SAVSRP PMRRP

68k 9k

Show water not delivered GSFs USFs Direct 100k 200k 300k 400k

Outside Phoenix Pinal Tucson Not Delivered

Still leaves 39 KAF “deficit” Uneven impacts Ag Pricing Program Recovery agreements Operational & economic impacts AWBA commitments

Indian Firming

slide-5
SLIDE 5

5

Protect AWBA GSF & Indian Protect AWBA GSF & Indian

#1

1,525,000

  • 480,000
  • 191,000
  • =

854,000

400,000 688,400

  • = Excess "Deficit"

234,400

* includes recovery

  • Other Excess Order

Original Orders

Excess Supply CAP Delivery Supply M&I Subcontracts Indian Contracts

  • Ag Settlement Pool*
32k 1k 7k 1k 58k 99k 33k 24k 36k 4k 30k 70k 4 k 11k 147k 2 k 53k

Vidler TDRP Tonopah ID AFRP; HMRP SRP; SWC RWCD NMIDD QCID GRIIDD (PHX) MSIDD CAIDD; HIDD GRIIDD (PIN) Kai LSCRP; AVRP CMID; BKW CAVSRP SAVSRP PMRRP

77k

Show water not delivered GSFs USFs Direct 100k 200k 300k 400k

Outside Phoenix Pinal Tucson

#2

1,525,000

  • 480,000
  • 191,000
  • =

854,000

400,000 492,724

  • = Excess "Deficit"

38,724

* includes recovery

  • Other Excess Order

AWBA & CAGRD Replenishment Reserve to Zero

Excess Supply CAP Delivery Supply M&I Subcontracts Indian Contracts

  • Ag Settlement Pool*
32k 6k 1k 1k 27k 31k 55k 44k 33k 24k 36k 4k 30k 59k 4 k 11k 4k 144k 2 k 10k 53k

Vidler TDRP Tonopah ID AFRP; HMRP SRP; SWC RWCD NMIDD QCID GRIIDD (PHX) MSIDD CAIDD; HIDD GRIIDD (PIN) Kai LSCRP; AVRP CMID; BKW CAVSRP SAVSRP PMRRP

68k 9k

Show water not delivered GSFs USFs Direct 100k 200k 300k 400k

Outside Phoenix Pinal Tucson Not Delivered

#8

1,525,000

  • 480,000
  • 191,000
  • =

854,000

400,000 617,500

  • = Excess "Deficit"

163,500

* includes recovery

  • Other Excess Order

{not defined}

Excess Supply CAP Delivery Supply M&I Subcontracts Indian Contracts

  • Ag Settlement Pool*
32k 6k 1k 1k 51k 7k 99k 33k 24k 36k 4k 30k 59k 4 k 11k 4k 144k 2 k 10k 53k

Vidler TDRP Tonopah ID AFRP; HMRP SRP; SWC RWCD NMIDD QCID GRIIDD (PHX) MSIDD CAIDD; HIDD GRIIDD (PIN) Kai LSCRP; AVRP CMID; BKW CAVSRP SAVSRP PMRRP

68k 9k

Show water not delivered GSFs USFs Direct 100k 200k 300k 400k

Outside Phoenix Pinal Tucson Not Delivered

Full Cost vs. Incentive Full Cost vs. Incentive

Full Cost Excess

Energy 1 = $45 Fixed OM&R = $63 Capital Charge = $18 Total = $126/AF

Incentive Recharge

Energy 2 = $70 10% Fixed OM&R = $6 Lost Federal Rev. = $5 Total = $82/AF

slide-6
SLIDE 6

6

Full Cost vs. Incentive Full Cost vs. Incentive

Incentive Recharge

Get water off CO River Store for long-term

Must earn long-term credit

Full Cost

More flexible

Annual recharge, replenishment,

small direct use, etc.

d e f a c t

  • p

r i

  • r

i t y b e t w e e n F u l l C

  • s

t & I n c e n t i v e R e c h a r g e

Potential Potential Reduction Strategies Reduction Strategies

Prorate Cap on volume Auction Preference USF or GSF Prioritize by contract date Bench against historic use Preference subcontractors Preference non-subcontractors Apportion by AMA or county Et cetera

slide-7
SLIDE 7

7

Prorated Prorated

#1

1,525,000

  • 480,000
  • 191,000
  • =

854,000

400,000 688,400

  • = Excess "Deficit"

234,400

* includes recovery

  • Other Excess Order

Original Orders

Excess Supply CAP Delivery Supply M&I Subcontracts Indian Contracts

  • Ag Settlement Pool*
32k 1k 7k 1k 58k 99k 33k 24k 36k 4k 30k 70k 4 k 11k 147k 2 k 53k

Vidler TDRP Tonopah ID AFRP; HMRP SRP; SWC RWCD NMIDD QCID GRIIDD (PHX) MSIDD CAIDD; HIDD GRIIDD (PIN) Kai LSCRP; AVRP CMID; BKW CAVSRP SAVSRP PMRRP

77k

Show water not delivered GSFs USFs Direct 100k 200k 300k 400k

Outside Phoenix Pinal Tucson

#9

1,525,000

  • 480,000
  • 191,000
  • =

854,000

400,000 456,950

  • = Excess "Deficit"

2,950

* includes recovery

  • Other Excess Order

Prorated

Excess Supply CAP Delivery Supply M&I Subcontracts Indian Contracts

  • Ag Settlement Pool*
32k 5k 2k 1k 38k 21k 73k 26k 25k 9k 18k 6k 27k 3k 22k 18k 43k 3 k 27k 3k 106k 1k 49k 39k 14k

Vidler TDRP Tonopah ID AFRP; HMRP SRP; SWC RWCD NMIDD QCID GRIIDD (PHX) MSIDD CAIDD; HIDD GRIIDD (PIN) Kai LSCRP; AVRP CMID; BKW CAVSRP SAVSRP PMRRP

50k 27k

Show water not delivered GSFs USFs Direct 100k 200k 300k 400k

Outside Phoenix Pinal Tucson Not Delivered

Preference GSFs Preference GSFs

#1

1,525,000

  • 480,000
  • 191,000
  • =

854,000

400,000 688,400

  • = Excess "Deficit"

234,400

* includes recovery

  • Other Excess Order

Original Orders

Excess Supply CAP Delivery Supply M&I Subcontracts Indian Contracts

  • Ag Settlement Pool*
32k 1k 7k 1k 58k 99k 33k 24k 36k 4k 30k 70k 4 k 11k 147k 2 k 53k

Vidler TDRP Tonopah ID AFRP; HMRP SRP; SWC RWCD NMIDD QCID GRIIDD (PHX) MSIDD CAIDD; HIDD GRIIDD (PIN) Kai LSCRP; AVRP CMID; BKW CAVSRP SAVSRP PMRRP

77k

Show water not delivered GSFs USFs Direct 100k 200k 300k 400k

Outside Phoenix Pinal Tucson

#7

1,525,000

  • 480,000
  • 191,000
  • =

854,000

400,000 440,120

  • = Excess "Surplus"

13,880

* includes recovery

  • Other Excess Order

Preference GSFs

Excess Supply CAP Delivery Supply M&I Subcontracts Indian Contracts

  • Ag Settlement Pool*
32k 6k 1k 1k 37k 22k 99k 33k 24k 36k 1k 30k 3k 32k 4 k 38k 4k 48k 2 k 106k 16k 37k

Vidler TDRP Tonopah ID AFRP; HMRP SRP; SWC RWCD NMIDD QCID GRIIDD (PHX) MSIDD CAIDD; HIDD GRIIDD (PIN) Kai LSCRP; AVRP CMID; BKW CAVSRP SAVSRP PMRRP

68k 9k

Show water not delivered GSFs USFs Direct 100k 200k 300k 400k

Outside Phoenix Pinal Tucson Not Delivered

slide-8
SLIDE 8

8

Historic Mean Historic Mean

#1

1,525,000

  • 480,000
  • 191,000
  • =

854,000

400,000 688,400

  • = Excess "Deficit"

234,400

* includes recovery

  • Other Excess Order

Original Orders

Excess Supply CAP Delivery Supply M&I Subcontracts Indian Contracts

  • Ag Settlement Pool*
32k 1k 7k 1k 58k 99k 33k 24k 36k 4k 30k 70k 4 k 11k 147k 2 k 53k

Vidler TDRP Tonopah ID AFRP; HMRP SRP; SWC RWCD NMIDD QCID GRIIDD (PHX) MSIDD CAIDD; HIDD GRIIDD (PIN) Kai LSCRP; AVRP CMID; BKW CAVSRP SAVSRP PMRRP

77k

Show water not delivered GSFs USFs Direct 100k 200k 300k 400k

Outside Phoenix Pinal Tucson

#10

1,525,000

  • 480,000
  • 191,000
  • =

854,000

400,000 368,885

  • = Excess "Surplus"

85,115

* includes recovery

  • Other Excess Order

Historic Mean

Excess Supply CAP Delivery Supply M&I Subcontracts Indian Contracts

  • Ag Settlement Pool*
32k 2k 5k 1k 42k 16k 64k 35k 33k 24k 24k 3k 30k 13k 39k 4 k 31k 4k 17k 2 k 137k 30k 23k

Vidler TDRP Tonopah ID AFRP; HMRP SRP; SWC RWCD NMIDD QCID GRIIDD (PHX) MSIDD CAIDD; HIDD GRIIDD (PIN) Kai LSCRP; AVRP CMID; BKW CAVSRP SAVSRP PMRRP

49k 27k

Show water not delivered GSFs USFs Direct 100k 200k 300k 400k

Outside Phoenix Pinal Tucson Not Delivered