JUNE 2011 PRESENTATION
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Cautionary Statement Forward-Looking Statements Certain information - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
J UNE 2011 P RESENTATION 1 Cautionary Statement Forward-Looking Statements Certain information contained in this presentation, including any information as to future financial or operating performance and other statements that express
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Forward-Looking Statements Certain information contained in this presentation, including any information as to future financial or operating performance and other statements that express management's expectations or estimates of future performance, constitute "forward-looking statements". All statements, other than statements of historical fact, are forward-looking statements. The words “anticipate”, “plans”, “estimate", "expect", "expects", "expected" and similar expressions identify forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements are necessarily based upon a number of estimates and assumptions that, while considered reasonable by management, are inherently subject to significant business, economic and competitive ncertainties and contingencies The Compan ca tions the reader that s ch for ard looking statements in ol e kno n and nkno n risks ncertainties and other factors that ma uncertainties and contingencies. The Company cautions the reader that such forward-looking statements involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors that may cause actual financial results, performance or achievements of Franco-Nevada to be materially different from the Company's estimated future results, performance or achievements expressed or implied by those forward-looking statements and the forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future performance. These risks, uncertainties and other factors include, but are not limited to: fluctuations in the prices of the primary commodities that drive the Company’s Revenue (gold, platinum group metals, copper, nickel, uranium, oil and gas); fluctuations in the value of the Canadian and Australian dollar, Mexican peso, and any other currency in which the Company generates revenue, relative to the US dollar; changes in national and local government legislation, including taxation policies; regulations and political or economic developments in any of the countries where the Company holds interests in mineral and oil and gas properties; influence of macroeconomic developments; business opportunities that become available to, or are pursued by us; reduced t d bt d it it l liti ti titl di t l t d t i t t f th ti d l t itti i f t t ti t h i l diffi lti access to debt and equity capital; litigation; title disputes related to our interests or any of the properties; development, permitting, infrastructure operating or technical difficulties on any of the properties; rate and timing of production differences from resource estimates; risks and hazards associated with the business of development and mining on any of the properties, including, but not limited to unusual or unexpected geological formations, cave-ins, flooding and other natural disasters or civil unrest; integration of acquired assets. The forward-looking statements contained in this presentation are based upon assumptions management believes to be reasonable, including, without limitation, the ongoing operation of the properties by the owners or operators of such properties in a manner consistent with past practice, the accuracy of public statements and disclosures made by the owners or
those anticipated, estimated or intended. Accordingly, readers should not place undue reliance on forward-looking statements because of the inherent uncertainty. For additional information with respect to risks, uncertainties and assumptions, please also refer to the “Risk Factors” section of our most recent Annual Information Form filed with the Canadian securities regulatory authorities at SEDAR on www.sedar.com, as well as our annual and interim Management’s Discussion and Analysis. The forward-looking statements herein are made as of the date of this presentation only and Franco-Nevada does not assume any obligation to update or revise them to reflect new information, estimates or opinions, future events or results or otherwise, except as required by applicable law. Non-IFRS Measures EBITDA, Adjusted EBITDA and Adjusted Net Income are intended to provide additional information only and do not have any standardized meaning prescribed by IFRS and should not be considered in isolation or as a substitute for measures of performance prepared in accordance with IFRS. Definitions and reconciliations to IFRS can be found in our financial disclosures. These measures are not necessarily indicative of operating profit or cash flow from operations as determined under IFRS. Other companies may calculate these measures differently. The following notes are standardized for the attached presentation.
1. EBITDA is defined by the Company as Net Income excluding income tax expense, finance costs, finance income and depletion and depreciation. 2 Adjusted EBITDA is defined by the Company as net income excluding income tax expense finance costs and income foreign exchange gains and losses gains and losses on investments
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2. Adjusted EBITDA is defined by the Company as net income excluding income tax expense, finance costs and income, foreign exchange gains and losses, gains and losses on investments, income/losses from equity investees, depletion and depreciation and impairment charges related to royalty and stream interests and investments. 3. Adjusted Net Income is defined by the Company as net income excluding foreign exchange gains and losses, gains and losses on investments, impairment charges related to royalties, streams, working interests and investments; unusual non-recurring items; and the impact of taxes on all these items.
40 45 32 30 35 16
Logarithmic Scale
20 25 8 DOW/Gold 10 15 4
Arithmetic Scale
5 1 2
3
arejo
Palma ke
Goldstri
Tasiast
Sudbury
4
S
5
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*Does not include Franco-Nevada’s 135 oil & gas assets and 157 undeveloped oil & gas interests
Goldstrike Bald Mountain Hemlo Stillwater East Boulder Gold Quarry Subika Tasiast Subika Marigold Musselwhite Morrison Podolsky McCreedy West
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Australia 4%
Weyburn 4% Edson 2%
US 4% Other 8%
Palmarejo 26% Sudbury Basin 5% Other Minerals 2% 4% O&G + Other 6%
US 38% Mexico 30%
Goldstrike - NPI Ezulwini Stillwater 9%
Canada 20%
8% Gold Other 17% Marigold 4% MWS 3% Ezulwini 4% Gold Quarry 4% Goldstrike - NSR 6%
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70 80 50 60
Reflects
30 40 US$ (millions)
86% precious metals in
year end top–up payments
10 20
metals in Q1 2011
‐ Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 2010 2009 2011
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2011
80 50 60 70
O&G +
30 40 50 ($ Millions)
10 20 Q1 2008 Q1 2009 Q1 2010 Q1 2011
10
400% 450% 250% 300% 350%
150% 200% 250%
0% 50% 100%
Gold Price Gold Price
‐50% 0% Q4'07 Q1'08 Q2'08 Q3'08 Q4'08 Q1'09 Q2'09 Q3'09 Q4'09 Q1'10 Q2'10 Q3'10 Q4'10 Q1'11
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New mines:
Peculiar Knob (
d ti t)
WPG Resources
Project restarts:
Royalties reaching hurdles:
Royalties reaching hurdles: Subika (2%)
Newmont Mining
NPI’s pending payout:
Permitting projects:
Pre-feasibility stage:
( )
g
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* Note: Certain royalties do not cover the entire property or are rounded. See Annual Information Form for further details. ** Risk adjusted undiscounted value reflecting total in-situ resources disclosed by operators on or before March 24, 2011. Values are calculated at $1,400/oz Au, $4.25/lb Cu, $35/oz Ag and $15/lb Mo. No recovery rates are applied.
Tasiast ‐ Mauritania
Detour Lake ‐ Ontario
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* Based on press release dated January 31, 2011 from Detour Gold and February 3, 2011 from Trade Winds Block A. Tasiast potential based on BMO Research (Feb 17, 2011) ** Tasiast potential based on Kinross scoping study. Detour potential based on February 2, 2011 BMO analyst projections. *** Calculated at full operation at Tasiast by 2015, and 660 koz/yr at Detour Lake, and assuming $1400/oz gold price.
Gold Quarry – Nevada Palmarejo‐ Mexico
MWS – South Africa 15
* Based on Broker Estimates
Morrison ‐ Sudbury Subika‐ Ghana Gold Quarry ‐ Nevada
2% of revenues
2% of revenues 2% of revenue 10% of revenues
4% of profits 2% of revenues 1.5% of revenues
2% of revenues
2% of revenues 25% gold stream
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* Assuming commodity prices at May 12, 2011 or original March consensus assumptions of $1,400/oz Au, $1750/oz Pt and $575/oz Pd.
450 500 Includes:
expansions Excludes:
until permitted 300 350 400 ) expansions
adjusted
50%
Includes:
200 250 US$ (Millions
48%
50 100 150 2008A 2009A 2010A 2011E* 2012‐2015**
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* Represents high end of 2011 March revenue guidance at consensus prices. ** Potential Compounded Annual Growth Rate 2008-2015 based on potential incremental revenue to 2015. Incremental revenue calculation based on operator guidance and consensus prices, including $1,400/oz Au.
(US Millions)
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Note: Cash flow estimate based on consensus commodity prices ($1,400 Au, $1,750 Pt, $575 Pd, $80 Oil) and operator’s production guidance.
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150% 200%
FNV FNV
50% 100%
Gold Gold
50% 0%
S&P S&P
Q1’08 Q2’08 Q3’08 Q4’08 Q1’09 Q2’09 Q3’09 Q4’09 Q1’10 Q2’10 Q3’10 Q4’10 Q1’11
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Goldstrike ‐ Barrick Palmarejo ‐ Coeur Detour – Detour Gold Mesquite – New Gold Tasiast ‐ Kinross MWS – First Uranium East Boulder ‐ Stillwater Weyburn ‐ Cenovus Sudbury – Quadra FNX
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* Note: Revenue for 2011 is calculated as gross revenue and includes gross stream revenue before payments of $400/oz (See MD&A for further details). Revenue calculated using consensus commodity prices for 2011; $1,400/oz Au, $1,750/oz Pt, $575/oz Pt and $80/bbl oil.
140% 160% 180%
M&I Resource Inferred Resource +27%
100% 120% 140%
Growth (¹) (²) (3)
P&P Reserve
Further growth in 2011 expected from:
+4% +16%
40% 60% 80%
ecious Metals G
0% 20% 40% 2007 2008 2009 2010
Pre
2011
2007 2008 2009 2010
2011 24
(1) Based on publicly reported reserves and resources by operators. Non-public reserve and resource information has not been included and some royalties do not cover all of reported ounces. Prosperity project not included until permitted. (2) Operators have varying economic assumptions and effective dates vary from June 30 to Dec. 31. Adjustments made so all resources are reported exclusive of reserves. (3) Au + Pt + Pd oz, included, Ag oz excluded.
Goldstrike
Mining ~10 years Stock pile processing ~20 years
Gold Quarry Palmarejo
Stock pile processing ~20 years New layback potential ~ 20 years Guadalupe development > 10 years
Stillwater Oil & Gas
Existing reserves > 25 years Existing reserves 10 years Weyburn potential > 40 years
Falcondo Tasiast
Weyburn potential > 40 years Existing resources > 20 years Expanding reserves > 20 years
Tasiast Detour
2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040+ Expanding reserves > 20 years Expanding reserves > 15 years
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* Management expectation based on current public information provided by operators. ** See Appendix for references & assumptions.
2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040+
Goldstrike ‐ Barrick 2009 Annual Report. December 2009 reserve of 12.2 moz and 2009 production of 1.36 moz implies mine life of 9 years. Barrick 2009 Annual report states Barrick expects to fully process ore in stockpiles by 2035. (www.barrick.com) Gold Quarry – Newmont Investor Day Presentation from May 27, 2010. Gold Quarry West Wall Layback has potential to add 10 years of additional mine life beginning in 2019. (www.newmont.com) Palmarejo ‐ Coeur d’Alene Mines, Palmarejo Technical Report, February 2011. States mine life of 8 years from 2011. Assumption of 3 yrs of additional mine life based on 4.0 M tonne M&I resource mined at 1.4 M tonnes per year. ( ) (www.coeur.com) Stillwater – Stillwater press release dating February 25, 2010. Reserve of 20.6 moz at December 31, 2009 and 2009 production rate of 530 koz. Implies mine life >25 yrs. (www.stillwatermining.com) Oil & Gas – Oil & Gas Reserve Report by GLJ Petroleum Consultants Ltd.. (www.franco‐nevada.com). Falcondo – Xstrata Nickel October 2009 reports a reserve of 74.2 Mt grading 1.29% Ni. Press release from Xstrata Nickel dated October 12, 2010 indicates capacity at 50% of approximately 14,000 tonnes of Ni per annum or implied full capacity
Tasiast – September 22, 2010 Denver Gold Forum Presentation by Kinross. Estimate 425m tonnes of ore and processing of p , y p g
Detour ‐ May 25, 2010 Feasibility Study for Detour Lake describes16 year mine plan. (www.detourgold.com). Franco‐Nevada does not operate or explore but relies on others. Because it is not an operator, it must rely on decisions made by others decisions on which it has little or no influence It must also assume that public disclosure by its operators
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made by others, decisions on which it has little or no influence. It must also assume that public disclosure by its operators is accurate and true. Information contained herein is based on information made available by these operators.
Pierre Lassonde Director, Chairman David Harquail Director, President & CEO Derek Evans(1) Director Graham Farquharson(2) Director L i Gi
(1)
Di t Louis Gignac(1) Director Randall Oliphant(1) Director
Director
David Harquail President & CEO Sandip Rana Chief Financial Officer Jacqueline Jones Chief Legal Officer & Corporate Secretary Geoff Waterman Chief Operating Officer Paul Brink SVP, Business Development Steve Alfers Chief of U S Operations 27
(1) Member of the Audit and Risk Committee (2) Member of the Compensation and Corporate Governance Committee
Steve Alfers Chief of U.S. Operations
Capital Structure Shares Outstanding 126.3m 2012 Warrants (C$32 exercise price) 5.75m Analyst Coverage BMO Capital Markets David Haughton BOA/Merrill Lynch Mike Jalonen 2013 Warrants(1) (C$64.27 exercise price) 4.05m 2014 Warrants(1) (C$32.14 exercise price) 2.08m 2017 Warrants (C$75 exercise price) 5.75m y CIBC Capital Markets Cosmos Chiu Credit Suisse Anita Soni GMP Securities Craig West Paradigm Capital Don MacLean Options & other 3.53m 147.46m Share Price Range (2) C$38.38- C$27.75 Paradigm Capital Don MacLean RBC Capital Markets Stephen Walker Scotia Capital Tanya Jakusconek TD Securities Greg Barnes UBS Securities Brian MacArthur C$27.75 Market Capitalization $4.5B Working Capital + Marketable Investments $361m Available Credit Facilities $175m UBS Securities Brian MacArthur Wellington West Paolo Lostritto Major Shareholders Fidelity US Available Credit Facilities $175m Debt or Hedges Nil Annual Dividends (Indicative)(3) $61m Management Ownership 4.5% Fidelity US Invesco Trimark Canada
US Blackrock Europe 28 (5.8% diluted) Oppenheimer US
(1) Warrants now of Franco-Nevada GLW Holdings Corp. that upon exercise will entitle the holder thereof, at its election, to receive either 0.1556 of a Franco-Nevada common share or C$5.20 in cash, per warrant. Former $10 GLW warrants each still exercisable at $10/warrant. To acquire one whole FNV share, approximately 6.43 warrants need to be exercised (i.e. $64.27/FNV share). Former $5 GLW warrants each still exercisable at $5/warrant. To acquire one whole FNV share, approximately 6.43 warrants need to be exercised (i.e. $32.14/FNV share). (2) Previous 52 weeks. (3) Year starting July 1. 2011 with current shares outstanding.