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Cash Report 2016 Interactieve discussie en vooruitblik over de toekomst van cash en geldautomaten 16 september 2016 40 jaar Geldautomaten in Nederland European research 5 years tracking the state of cash Future 2011 2013 2016


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Cash Report 2016

Interactieve discussie en vooruitblik over de toekomst van cash en geldautomaten

16 september 2016 40 jaar Geldautomaten in Nederland
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European research

5 years tracking the state of cash 2011 2013 2016 “European Cash Report” “Future Scenario” Report Netherlands
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Cash report structure

  • 1. EU Trends, Objectives & Key Themes
  • 2. EU Statistics
  • 3. Cross Country Comparisons
  • 4. Observations
  • 5. Future Scenarios
  • 6. Key findings & Closing remarks
  • 7. 28 Country Pages

28 EU countries Report Format

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The volume of cash transactions is increasing

Cash in Circulation is consistently increasing for many years across multiple currencies…

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The volume of cash transactions is increasing

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But Access is Shrinking

Bank Branches Declining ATM Deployment Declining since 2011

Question: Why does the one stakeholder that has the least (commercial) interest in promoting cash, still predominantly control access to cash?

?

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ATMs per EU country and development over time in NL

NL

6500 7000 7500 8000 8500 9000 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Nr
  • f
ATMs in NL
  • 1. NL heeft relatief weinig ATMs

per inwoner

  • 2. Dekking van ATMs in NL is

bovengemiddeld

  • 3. Aantal ATMs in NL daalt al

jaren

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Branches per EU country and development over time in NL

500 1000 1500 2000 2500 3000 3500 4000 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Nr
  • f
Bank Branches in NL
  • 1. NL heeft relatief zeer weinig

Bank kantoren per inwoner

  • 2. Dekking van Bank kantoren in

NL is iets onder het EU gemiddelde

  • 3. Aantal Bank kantoren in NL

daalt al jaren

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ATM withdrawals per EU country (number/value) and in NL (over time)

50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450 500 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Nr
  • f
ATM withdrawals in NL (x Mio)

Behoefte aan cash (b)lijkt ook in NL redelijk stabiel (ondanks beperking van toegang)

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Proportion of non-cash payments is increasing

Questions: Will we come to a natural ‘tipping point’ at which the share of cash is so marginal that it will become increasingly tempting to fully switch to electronic payments?

?

How will the industry respond to the apparent fact that its core product is losing relative importance?

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Yet cash remains predominant

60%

Of all payment transactions in Europe are cash

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A two-speed cash Europe?

60% of all payments are in cash

20 out of 28 countries: >50% of all payments are in cash 26 out of 28 countries: cash largest payment instrument in volume
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A mixed payment Europe

Cash payments <50% Cash payments 50% - 60% Cash payments 70-80% Cash payments 80-90% Cash payments >90%

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Will cash disappear?

Key Attributes Payment methods Anonymous Legal Tender Secure Safe Haven/ Fall Back Direct Tangible/Budgeting Remote payment "Higher" value payment (>5000 EUR) Availability Reliability Efficient Safe Convenience Cash + + + + + +
  • +
+ +/- +/- + Cards
  • +/-
  • +
+ +/- +/- + + + Debit Card
  • +/-
  • +/-
+/- +/- +/- + +/- + Credit Card
  • +/-
  • +
+ +/- +/- +/- +/- + Pre paid cards +
  • +/-
  • +/-
  • +/-
+/- +/- +/- + Credit Transfer
  • +/-
  • +
+ + + + + + Direct Debit
  • +/-
  • +
+ +/- +/- + +/- +/- Cheques +/-
  • +/-
+/-
  • Mobile
  • +/-
  • +
  • +/-
+/- +/- + Internet
  • +/-
  • +
+
  • +
+/- + + Virtual Currency
  • +/-
+/-
  • +
  • +/-
+/-
  • +/-
Instant Payments
  • +/-
  • +
  • +
+ +/- +/- +/- + +

1 2 3

  • 1. Cash covers

many key attributes

  • 2. Cash

uniquely covers some key attributes

  • 3. Non cash

seems to cannibalise each other

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Cash en non cash in Nederland

Quotes from the article:

  • The payments industry and the retail

community have the joint ambition to increase the share of cashless payments to 60 percent by 2018

  • [….] as cashless payments are more

efficient than cash transactions (as well as safer and more convenient),

  • [….] we do not foresee the

Netherlands will evolve into a completely cashless society. In fact, the consensus is that the cash infrastructure will remain ubiquitous and that it is up to payers and payees to agree on their payment method.

Artikel o.b.v. interview met Piet Mallekoote, directeur Betaalvereniging Nederland, Sept 2016
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Innovatie in Cash en ATMs

  • Innovatie vooral achter de schermen: (re-organisatie van de cash cycle, ATM

management)

  • Functionaliteit van ATM’s grotendeels ongewijzigd sinds 40 jaar en beperkt tot basis

functies: Geld opnemen, saldo check KBC België:

Tijd voor Cashtech?

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taco@paymentsadvisorygroup.co m Download full cash report 2016 at: www.g4scashreport.com