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CASCADES INC. Institutional Roadshow Toronto November 21, 2013 - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

CASCADES INC. Institutional Roadshow Toronto November 21, 2013 DISCLAIMER Certain statements in this presentation, including statements regarding future results and performance, are forward-looking statements within the meaning of


  1. CASCADES INC. Institutional Roadshow – Toronto November 21, 2013

  2. DISCLAIMER Certain statements in this presentation, including statements regarding future results and performance, are forward-looking statements within the meaning of securities legislation based on current expectations. The accuracy of such statements is subject to a number of risks, uncertainties and assumptions that may cause actual results to differ materially from those projected, including, but not limited to, the effect of general economic conditions, decreases in demand for the Corporation’s products, the prices and availability of raw materials, changes in the relative values of certain currencies, fluctuations in selling prices and adverse changes in general market and industry conditions. This presentation may also include price indices as well as variance and sensitivity analyses that are intended to provide the reader with a better understanding of the trends related to our business activities. These items are based on the best estimates available to the Corporation. The financial information included in this presentation also contains certain data that are not measures of performance under IFRS (“non-IFRS measures”). For example, the Corporation uses earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization (EBITDA) because it is the measure used by management to assess the operating and financial performance of the Corporation’s operating segments. Such information is reconciled to the most directly comparable financial measures, as set forth in the “Supplemental Information on Non-IFRS Measures” section of our most recent quarterly report or annual report. Specific items are defined as items such as charges for impairment of assets, for facility or machine closures, accelerated depreciation of assets due to restructuring measures, debt restructuring charges, gains or losses on sales of business units, unrealized gains or losses on derivative financial instruments that do not qualify for hedge accounting, foreign exchange gains or losses on long-term debt and other significant items of an unusual or non-recurring nature. All amounts in this presentation are in Canadian dollars unless otherwise indicated. 2

  3. INTRODUCTION Where we come from  • Unique culture – green visionaries, opportunistic turnarounds, importance of autonomy and empowerment, open book and profit sharing, decentralized structure • Business model challenged with dollar at near parity and volatile recycled fibre costs Our recent performance and financial situation • Cost inflation in 2011/2012 but Asian drivers result in less volatile fibre costs at the moment  • Anemic economic growth, in Canada and Europe • Productivity and profitability improving; more to come • Benefits from a more favorable FX • 2011 left us with an over-levered balance sheet • No immediate maturity but we wish to reduce leverage Our action plan  • Started at the end of 2011 • A lot has been done but the plan is not completed yet • Balance sheet reflects investments but benefits not yet in results • New Greenpac mill ramping-up according to plan Preserving and improving a Canadian success story 3

  4. OVERVIEW OF OUR OPERATIONS Green packaging and tissue product offering Packaging Products Tissue Papers Containerboard Boxboard Europe Specialty Products Leading NA packaging and tissue manufacturer with substantial recycling capabilities 4

  5. OVERVIEW OF OUR OPERATIONS Closed-loop business model 100+ business units 77% recycled fibre (2.9M tons) NA integration rate (2012): CLIENTS 23 units 34% (520K tons) 33 units 2 Trims and rejects may be sent to recycling centers NA integration rate (YTD 2013): • Containerboard Group 1 : 53% 57 units 2 • Tissue Papers Group: 69% Upstream and downstream integration in North America 1 Combined integration rate for our containerboard and boxboard activities in North America. 5 2 Including Reno De Medici’s units. Also including seven manufacturing/converting tissue papers units which are counted in both Converting and Manufacturing.

  6. OVERVIEW OF OUR OPERATIONS Balanced play in less cyclical sectors Cascades LTM Sales: $3,795M LTM EBITDA: $317M Packaging Products Tissue Papers 74% of Sales 26% of Sales 62% of EBITDA 38% of EBITDA Containerboard Boxboard Europe Specialty Products 33% of Sales 21% of Sales 20% of Sales 36% of EBITDA 12% of EBITDA 14% of EBITDA Exposure to two healthiest sectors in the Pulp and Paper industry LTM figures as at 09/30/2013. EBITDA excluding specific items. Breakdown of sales and EBITDA before eliminations & corporate activities. 6

  7. OUR FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE AND SITUATION Historical performance EBITDA Sales (M CAN$) (M CAN$) 500 4,500 465 3,929 4,017 3,877 400 4,000 3,795 350 2 310 3,625 3,645 315 317 306 304 1 3,500 300 3,278 3,182 229 3,000 200 2,500 100 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 09/30/13 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 09/30/13 LTM LTM IFRS IFRS CANADIAN GAAP CANADIAN GAAP Results progressing as productivity, FX and pricing environment improve EBITDA excluding specific items. Note 1 – Elimination of joint venture consolidation Note 2 – Impact of Dopaco divestiture and elimination of joint venture consolidation 7

  8. OUR FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE AND SITUATION Historical segmented EBITDA Containerboard Boxboard Europe Containerboard Boxboard Europe (M CAN$) (M CAN$) (% of sales) (% of sales) 48 16% 20 12% 42 36 12% 15 9% 33 13 11 11 27 26 9 25 25 10 10 11 23 10 21 24 19 8% 10 6% 7 12 4% 5 3% 0 0% 0 0% Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 2011 2011 2012 2012 2012 2012 2013 2013 2013 2011 2011 2012 2012 2012 2012 2013 2013 2013 Our 2 core sectors performed in sync resulting in our best quarter since 2010 Specialty Products Tissue Papers Specialty Products Tissue Papers (M CAN$) (% of sales) (M CAN$) (% of sales) 20 12% 44 20% 39 39 35 16 15 15 15 33 33 31 29 15 9% 33 15% 13 28 11 11 10 6% 22 18 10% 8 5 3% 11 5% 2 0 0% 0 0% Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 2011 2011 2012 2012 2012 2012 2013 2013 2013 2011 2011 2012 2012 2012 2012 2013 2013 2013 8 EBITDA excluding specific items.

  9. OUR FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE AND SITUATION Variance of EPS excluding specifics in Q3 Q2-2013 Q3-2013 Share of Share of Operating Ass/JV & Excluding As Operating Ass/JV & Excluding As segments Non-Cont. Int. specifics Specifics reported segments Non-Cont. Int. specifics Specifics reported EBITDA 83 83 (1) 82 96 96 (13) 83 Depreciation (44) (44) (44) (46) (46) (46) EBIT 39 0 39 (1) 38 50 0 50 (13) 37 Financing expenses (26) (26) (26) (27) (27) 1 (26) Interest expense on employee future benefits (3) (3) (3) (3) (3) (3) FX gain (loss) on LT debt and fin. inst. 0 (5) (5) 0 11 11 Share of results of associates and JVs (1) (5) 5 (1) (1) (5) 0 Profit before tax 10 (1) 9 (6) 3 20 (5) 15 4 19 Provision for income taxes (1) 1 0 0 0 (9) 2 (7) 0 (7) Non-controlling interests (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) Net earnings 9 (1) 8 (6) 2 11 (4) 7 4 11 per share $0.10 ($0.01) $0.09 ($0.06) $0.03 $0.12 ($0.05) $0.07 $0.05 $0.12 Change in Operating results after-tax (normalized 30%) $0.07 ($0.05)  Tax rate mix, Europe valuation allowance, prior year tax adj. Change in Income taxes provision (vs normalized 30%) ($0.04)  Mainly share of Greenpac & Boralex Change in Share of results of Assoc. and JVs - net of taxes ($0.02) Tax consideration and equity pick-up had a negative impact on EPS excluding specifics 9

  10. OUR BUSINESS DRIVERS – COST STRUCTURE AND FX Energy costs higher than last year A weaker CAN$ would be a game changer 1 Energy prices Natural gas Crude oil Exchange rates US$/CAN$ €/CAN$ (US$) (US$) 7.00 110 1.10 0.95 6.00 100 1.05 0.90 5.00 90 1.00 0.85 4.00 80 0.95 0.80 3.00 70 0.90 0.75 2.00 60 0.85 0.70 1.00 0.00 50 0.80 0.65 Q4-10 Q1-11 Q2-11 Q3-11 Q4-11 Q1-12 Q2-12 Q3-12 Q4-12 Q1-13 Q2-13 Q3-13 Q1-11 Q2-11 Q3-11 Q4-11 Q4-10 Q1-12 Q2-12 Q3-12 Q4-12 Q1-13 Q2-13 Q3-13 US$/CAN$ €/CAN$ Natural gas (US$/mmBtu) Crude oil (US$/barrel) 2011 2012 2013 Change • US$/CAN$ forecasts by top Canadian banks Q3 2013 Q3 2013 Year Year Q3 Q3 2012 Q2 2013 Averages • Range 2014  0.90 to 0.99 (average 0.95) Energy prices • Range 2015  0.93 to 0.98 (average 0.96) Natural gas Henry Hub (US$/mmBtu) 4.04 2.79 3.58 28% -13% Crude oil WTI (US$/barrel) 94.01 94.92 102.42 14% 11% Stronger CAN$ and significant variable cost inflation negatively impact results Source: Bloomberg 10 1 EBITDA sensitivity of $7M to every change of C$0.01 vs $US; balance sheet impact on US debt conversion

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