CAPITAL MARKETS DAY 2017
DALATA HOTEL GROUP PLC CLAYTON HOTEL CHISWICK, 7 NOVEMBER 2017
CAPITAL MARKETS DAY 2017 DALATA HOTEL GROUP PLC CLAYTON HOTEL - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
CAPITAL MARKETS DAY 2017 DALATA HOTEL GROUP PLC CLAYTON HOTEL CHISWICK, 7 NOVEMBER 2017 AGENDA 8.45am Welcome & Overview Pat McCann 9.00am Impact of IFRS 16 Carol Phelan 9.45am Overview of UK Operat ions Emma Dalton 10.15am
DALATA HOTEL GROUP PLC CLAYTON HOTEL CHISWICK, 7 NOVEMBER 2017
8.45am Welcome & Overview Pat McCann 9.00am Impact of IFRS 16 Carol Phelan 9.45am Overview of UK Operat ions Emma Dalton 10.15am Coffee Break 10.45am Overview of Revenue Management Richard Noake 11.00am Overview of UK Corporate S ales Richard Coupland 11.15am UK Growt h S t rat egy Dermot Crowley 12.15pm Guest S peaker – Robin Rossman, S TR 12.30pm Lunch 1.00pm Q&A – Pat McCann & Dermot Crowley
CAROL PHELAN
Group Head of Financial Reporting, Treasury and Tax
The presentation contains forward looking statements. These statements have been made by the Directors in good faith based on the information available to them up to the time
Due to inherent uncertainties, including both economic and business risk factors underlying such forward looking information, actual results may differ materially from those expressed or implied by these forward looking statements. The Directors undertake no obligation to update any forward looking statements contained in this presentation, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise.
Context Key Points Key features of standard Impact on Dalata In summary
Dalata t oday has c. €0.9bn of propert y, plant and equipment, a limit ed number of leases and c. €0.2bn of net debt This very st rong balance sheet gives us t he flexibilit y t o take on further leaseholds which are becoming a bigger feat ure of our port folio The changing account ing requirement s for leases under IFRS 16 are t herefore relevant for Dalat a This presentation will seek t o address some of t he changes, t he impact , or not, t hereof and the remaining work t o be complet ed ahead of implement ation Effect ive from 1 January 2019
As at 31 October 2017 Leased Owned
2,233 5,097
IFRS 16 will see leases t reated as financing the “ acquisition” of asset s and t his “ financing” must no longer be off balance sheet. To this end it will bring a lease liability (and a right of use -“ RoU” - asset) on balance sheet Income st atement will be impacted due t o re-categorisation of rent int o interest and depreciation with increased lease expenses in early years due t o t he front-loaded finance charge versus t he current st raight line rent expense IFRS 16 will have no impact on cash flows IFRS 16 will have no impact on st rategy or commercial negotiation, Dalata have always considered leases as anot her form of financing Dalata current ly has, and will continue t o have, plent y of capacity t o take on new leases and grow the business
Leases will now come ont o t he balance sheet in t he form of a:
based on discounted lease payments to the expected end of the lease likely discounted using Dalata’s incremental borrowing rate at lease inception/ transition Borrowing rate for a “ loan” with similar term and security in a similar economic environment (e.g. 30 year lease borrowing rate for 30 year loan secured on a hotel lease and assuming 100% debt financing)
As we enter leases, the asset value will be based on the amount of the financial liability plus any lease payments made before or at commencement date
BALANCE SHEET OVERHAUL
Rent expenses, ot her t han variable rent (e.g. t urnover based rent), will no longer flow t hrough operating expenses and hence EBITDA There will however be an annual interest charge on the lease liabilit y. Part of the rent payment will be allocated t o this and part t o the “ repayment ” of the lease liabilit y and so interest will be at it s highest at lease incept ion and decline as t he lease liability is “ repaid” Int erest is calculat ed using t he discount rat e and fact oring in compounding and act ual rent payment s Depreciation will flow st raight line t hrough t he P&L as t he RoU asset is depreciat ed over t he t erm of t he lease This combination of st raight line depreciat ion of the RoU asset and the effective interest rat e method will result in: higher t ot al expenses in early years t han rent would have result ed in pre IFRS 16 a decreasing “ t ot al lease expense” t hrough t he lease t erm as int erest decreases – “ front -loading”
INCOME STATEMENT: INCREASED EBITDA BUT FRONTLOADING OF INTEREST COSTS WILL REDUCE PROFITS EARLY ON:
No impact what soever on act ual pre-t ax cash flows The cash flow st at ement will have rent re-cat egorised int o int erest and “ liability repayment” so
NO CHANGE TO CASH, PRESENTATIONAL CHANGES IN FINANCIAL STATEMENTS
Discount rates will be applied t o t he rental payment s t o create t he lease liabilit y and are the main area
The estimation of t hese are the biggest challenge current ly for all those impacted, in particular t hose wit h long t erm leases It is expected that , in line with standard, in most cases est imated incremental borrowing rate will be used t o est imat e discount rat e as near impossible t o det ermine int erest rat e implicit in t he lease “ Incremental borrowing rate” will be an estimation as companies t ypically can not borrow for this t erm
Under implementation approach select ed, the discount rate t o be used is t he est imated rate at date of t ransit ion (1 January 2019) so discount rat es up cannot be finally est imat ed unt il t hen New leases will be capit alised at discount rat es which depend on market rat es/ dynamics at t hat t ime
Once set on t ransit ion or upon ent ering a new lease, discount rates are not amended, unless t he lease t erm changes or t he lease is modified Companies will t herefore have different discount rat es because of timing differences in when leases are ent ered The better a credit risk and the more benign the market is, the higher a liabilit y you have on balance sheet as lower “ incremental borrowing rat e” ---> higher liability following discount ing So you will be penalised from a balance sheet perspective the more credit worthy you are and the better quality your underlying assets Therefore, users of financial st atement s will need t o look t hrough t he numbers and understand how the asset and liabilit y are being calculat ed
Financing spread adj ustment – to reflect term, level of indebtedness, lessee entity, economic environment Lease specific adj ustment – for the “ secured” asset – the lease and the underlying asset to which it applies
Balance Sheet (£m) – Year 1 Post IFRS 16
Lease Liabilit y
(28.0)
RoU Asset
28.0
Income statement: Depreciat ion of RoU Asset
(1.12)
Int erest on lease liabilit y
(2.11)
Lease “ expense”
(3.23) Balance Sheet (£m) – Year 1 Post IFRS 16
Lease Liabilit y
(36.3)
RoU Asset
36.3
Income statement: Depreciat ion of RoU Asset
(1.45)
Int erest on lease liabilit y
(1.74)
Lease “ expense”
(3.19)
Hotel Operator A Highly leveraged on existing business 25 year lease, £2.5m rent p.a. S ay incremental borrowing rate – 8% Hotel Operator B Low levels of leverage in existing business 25 year lease, £2.5m rent p.a. S ay incremental borrowing rate – 5%
Incremental borrowing rat e must reflect a:
FOR EXAMPLE
As Dalat a is a very st rong credit (new leases have Group guarantee) and invest s in leases on high qualit y asset s, discount rates are expected t o be lower which will lead t o higher lease liabilities t han others with poorer quality balance sheets or lease asset s Given Dalata is a relat ively young company with essentially all material long term leases at the start of t heir life, there will be no “ averaging” due t o lease age profile so t he IFRS 16 “ front-loading” effect will be pronounced This will affect EPS EBITDA will effectively be what is current ly EBITDAR as rent is removed, apart from t urnover related rent which will remain as rent hence all EBITDA relat ed met rics change Existing debt covenants are based on frozen GAAP so no impact
CHANGES IN KEY FINANCIALS
We have always viewed leases as a form of financing which increases our long term financial
As always, financing for each potential opportunit y will be assessed in light
market dynamics, overall capit al st ruct ure of t he Group, cash flow proj ect ions and st ress t est ing It will not influence lease terms sought or not such as variable element s, lease terms, break clauses et c
COMMERCIAL IMPACT ON LEASES
This will not impact on how we st ruct ure leases:
25 year lease st art ing 1 Jan 2019; £2.5m rent ; 1.8x rent cover --> £4.5m EBITDAR Assuming a 5% discount rat e
Balance Sheet (£m) Pre IFRS 16 Post IFRS 16
£m Lease Liability
RoU Asset
Income Statement (£m) – 2019 Pre IFRS 16 Post IFRS 16 £m EBITDAR 4.5 4.5 Rent (2.5)
2.0 4.5 Depreciation of RoU Asset
Int erest on lease liabilit y
Profit before t axat ion 2.0 1.3
Over the life of the lease, cumulatively the total of pre IFRS 16 rent will equal the total of the post IFRS 16 interest and depreciation by which it is replaced
(2.0) (1.5) (1.0) (0.5)
1.0 1.5
PBT Effect (Rent v Deprec & Interest)
PBT Effect (rent v deprec & interest)
Numbers have been prepared t o show the not ional impact on the port folio t oday t o be transitioned under IFRS 16 A discount rat e of 5%has been applied t o all leases t o calculat e pro forma numbers This is not indicative of what we believe the discount rate will be upon transition The approach for discount rate set ting remains t o be finalised on a lease by lease basis and, in any case, cannot be set unt il 1 January 2019 given t ransition approach selected The 2019 numbers are based upon average of most recent consensus (from Davy, Berenberg, Investec, Goodbody) The port folio of hotels includes exist ing leased hot els, excluding the Ballsbridge hotel as t his hotel is not expected t o be in operation as previously indicated. It also includes Maldron Hot el Newcast le which is t o
Discount rat e of 5% used not indicative of rat e on t ransit ion, t he approach and result for which remains t o be det ermined on a lease-by-lease basis Debt and lease service cover remains at 2.5x – a reasonable expect ed covenant might be c. 1.4 x
2019 Balance Sheet (€m) Pre IFRS 16 Post IFRS 16 Lease Liabilit y
RoU Asset
2019 Income Statement (€m) Pre IFRS 16 Post IFRS 16 EBITDA 130.3 153.1 Depreciat ion (26.1) (26.1) Depreciat ion of RoU Asset
Int erest (9.3) (9.3) Int erest on lease liabilit y
Tax 2 (13.9) (13.9) Profit aft er t axat ion 81.0 74.1 2019 Cash flow Statement (€m) Pre IFRS 16 Post IFRS 16 Operat ing cash flow 102.6 122.0 Financing cash f lows: Rent payment (net of t ax 4)
S enior debt service (26.7) (26.7) Cash flow for invest ment, dividends or furt her debt repayment 75.9 75.9 2019 KPIs Pre IFRS 16 Post IFRS 16 Net Debt : EBITDA 1.1x 2.9x Debt & Lease S ervice Cover 1 2.5x 2.5x Lease liabilit y: Rent 5
1. Debt and Lease Service Cover calculated as Free Cashflow excluding rent: Interest, Rent and senior debt repayments. 2. Tax treatment not yet finalised by Tax Authorities 3. Assumes conversion of operating cashflow of 90%(after tax) before maintenance capex (4%of revenues) 4. Assume tax deduction of 15%- blended for UK and Ireland 5. Lease liability divided by rent
No impact on cash flows, quality of underlying balance sheet, use of leases as a form of finance or in negot iat ing lease t erms. We have always considered leases as anot her form of financing Practical approach t o t heoret ical set ting of incremental borrowing rat es (particularly for long t erm leases) biggest challenge for t hose impact ed by IFRS 16 and t heir advisors and this process is only underway. As a result , it is not yet pract ical t o call out a discount rat e The bett er a credit risk of a company and the higher qualit y of the leased asset s, the lower the discount rate and consequent ly t he higher the liabilit y on balance sheet expect ed that the qualit y of t he Dalata covenant and asset s will lead t o lower discount rat es t han some peers Users will have t o look t hrough the numbers t o t he disclosures t o see how liabilities and asset s are being det ermined Dalat a exist ing freeholds not affected Dalat a current ly has, and will cont inue t o have, plent y of capacity t o t ake on new leases and grow t he business
EMMA DALTON
Group General Manager, UK
Jurys Doyle 1996 – 2007 UK Trainee Management Program 1997 General Management Development Program 2003 6 Cit ies, 3 UK New Hot el Openings (Edinburgh, Leeds, Cardiff) Dalata Hotel Group 2007 - Present General Manager of Maldron Hot el Limerick from 2007 - 2010 Oversaw t he opening of Maldron Hot el Cardiff in 2011 and GM of t hat propert y unt il early 2017 Appoint ed UK Group General Manager 2017
Evolving as presence in UK grows Dedicated UK resources across all functions that report in matrix to both UK Group GM and functional heads
UK Organisational Structure Make our teams and people central to growing a competitive advantage versus the competition
Develop our teams locally in existing hotels Create career plans and identify potential talent early Continually looking for new people to grow with our UK expansion S uccession Planning for new developments Identify and select teams for new hotel openings as they arise
We will train and develop the people necessary to ensure we can continue to grow using the Dalata decentralised model
Building sales relationships across the various channels Growing purchasing power Providing an increased UK perspective to Dublin based Central Office
Essential to ensure that there is a dedicated focus on the UK hotel portfolio as it grows and develops Being central to the planned expansion strategy Operational excellence
Ensuring integrity of both Clayton & Maldron brands Delivering consistency in service & product Rolling out new brand initiatives within the hotels Constant review of customer satisfaction results and implementing actions to continually improve Providing UK perspective to the Development Team as new opportunities and locations are assessed Managing new openings with focused pre-opening plans, selecting teams and developing business plans
Decent ralised st ructure in t he UK is unique S t rong leadership & level of experience at property level General Managers develop t hrough our business We deliver Career Pat h Development Plans for our ambit ious t eams Training is geared t owards UK Growt h & Development New Hot el Opening t eams are Dalat a People – GM, DGM, HR, FC Experienced Cent ral Team, support & visible at local level Easy t o do business wit h, hot els own t heir client relat ionships, part of t he local business communit y
Qualit y Product in key locat ion, seamless t ransit ion t o Clayt on Brand Dalat a is bringing ‘ int ensity & focus’ t o t he business Close t eam engagement , sharing informat ion Re-educated t he t eam on Operat ional & Business Excellence Business rest ruct ure & addit ion of st rong Dalat a GM & DGM Posit ive changes in people behaviour, embracing Dalat a cult ure Role out of Alkimii Forecast ing & Payroll syst em Int egrated int o t he communit y, local relat ionship engagement Improvement in Business Performance from t he out set
RICHARD NOAKE
Group Revenue Manager, UK & NI
13 Y ears experience wit hin t he area of Revenue Management Worked wit h hot els in numerous market s across UK/ NI and Europe Travelodge – S enior Revenue Manager IHG – Clust er Revenue Manager Hot el Collect ion – Regional Revenue Manager Jurys Inn – Regional Revenue Manager Amaris Franchise (Hilt on) Group Revenue Manager Franchise Division Area of expert ise is rooms revenue management and analyt ics
Martha Mannion
Head of Rooms Revenue & Distribution
Group Revenue Managers
Claire Lynskey Regional Ireland Sharon O’Donoghue Dublin Richard Noake U.K. & N.I. Lisa Noonan Group Online Distribution Manager Stephen Doyle Brand Revenue Co-ordinator Tanya Colbert CRO Manager Leona McGarry S ystems & S tandards Manager Monika Moscicka Group Revenue Executive Nicola Crowley Group Revenue Co-ordinator
–
Strategic Direction
–
Training & Support
–
Market Insights
–
Systems Support
–
Pinpoints Opportunities & Risk
–
Distribution Channel support
–
Update on current trends
Central Revenue Team
–
Senior member
–
Local knowledge
–
Full control of pricing and inventory allocation
–
Responsible for maximising rev par
Revenue Manager
Hotel Revenue Manager
GDS OTA ’s Wholesalers Hot els own websit e Reservat ion Delivery Rat es & Availabilit y
RICHARD COUPLAND
Group Sales Director, UK
Over 25+ years in Hot els wit h S t rong S ales & Revenue background Worked wit hin maj or UK and Ireland Hot el chains – including:
Former Forte Hotel Group, S heraton WW, Hilton, Jurys Inn, Apex & Mercure (ACCOR Franchise)
S ince 2000 – S ales & Dist ribution Business Development wit hin Corporat e & GDS sect ors. Joined Dalat a Hot el Group PLC in May 2016
Globally Procurement/ Travel Managers looking for great er efficiencies Increased use of TMC’s from Rat e negot iation t o execut ion of Travel Policies Growing adopt ion t o online booking plat forms, reducing t ime and st eering t ravellers t o select ed hot els Access t o real-t ime dat a in relat ion t o spend, bookings & hot el cont ent Corporat e responsibilit y; ensuring t hat employer obligat ions are met Access t o compet it ive rat es and money-saving alt ernatives t hrough bet t er purchasing power
Advance St rong Direct Relat ionships wit h Global & Local Corporate Clients Cult ivat e part nerships wit h Travel Management Companies & Conference/ Meet ing Planners Fully engaged wit h indust ry pract it ioners, GDS part ners & t he t rade Sales and Revenue t eam rat e st rat egy, volume & market share Cont inuous educat ion & knowledge of Dalat a Hot el Group Brands Succession planning for t he fut ure - long t erm pre-
Corporate – Local & Global
Meet ing & Event s
Conventions
DALATA - Managed S egments
Greater S cope for creat ivity & ident ity. Not led by
Cultivate Consortia/ Agency partnerships, be first in t he market place wit h opport unities. Abilit y t o be more proact ive in our revenue management st rat egy OTA’ s & Agent Transient Programs posit ive for Dalat a for brand awareness. Operat e in Global Market place – Ready t o compet e in new pipeline hot el locat ions Freedom t o focus on t he guest experience and give personalised S ervice
GDS/AGENCY – TRANSIENT
OTA ’ S DALATA –TRANS IENT S EGMENTS
treams
ales & Revenue Approach
upport Team Development
EMMA DALTON
Group General Manager, UK
DERMOT CROWLEY
Deputy CEO, Business Development & Finance
In May 2016, we out lined an opport unity for Dalat a t o expand int o t he UK market In June 2016, t he Brit ish elect orate vot ed t o leave t he European Union and we decided t o review our st rat egy t o ensure it was st ill correct t o expand int o t he UK In lat e 2016, we decided t hat t he UK hot el market remained an at t ractive opport unit y for Dalat a Today, we out line t o t he Market :
An opportunity to grow in a selection of large regional UK cities due to structural changes in the industry The estimated size of the opportunity for Dalata A more detailed description of the strategy and the cities which we will target The impact that risks surrounding Brexit have had on our strategy
Dalat a has already est ablished a significant foot print in t he UK wit h over 1,700 rooms across eight 3 and 4 st ar hot els UK port folio current ly comprises of 2 hot els in London, 4 hot els in provincial UK (Birmingham, Manchest er, Leeds & Cardiff) and 2 hot els in Nort hern Ireland Dalat a’s UK pipeline includes t he development of a furt her 800 rooms in Belfast , Newcast le and Manchest er which will bring Dalat a’s UK foot print t o over 2,500 rooms by 2020 All of Dalat a’s hot els in t he UK are performing well wit h RevPar for H1 2017 up approximat ely 14.6% and a st rong increase in EBITDAR margin from 35.6% t o 38% . Dalat a’s UK hot els are currently out performing versus t he market (see slide overleaf) Dalat a’s management t eam, t hrough it s exist ing UK operations combined wit h it s previous experience wit h Jurys Inn, has excellent in-depth knowledge of t he UK hot el market and is a nat ural next st ep t o scale t he Group’s operations
22.6% 6.5% 10.3% 13.6% 19.1% 22.9%
1.8% 10.9% 9.7% Belfast Leeds Manchester Cardiff London
Dalata Market
The overall hotel market in large regional UK cities is very fragmented and only budget brands have a significant market share The specific 3 and 4 star market in certain large regional cities is very fragmented and there are no dominant brands in this market segment:
comprise of 70%
International brands are increasingly evolving to a franchise model leaving a shortage of operators with any scale
The st ock of 3 and 4 st ar hot els is considerably older t han t he age profile of t he Budget sect or Dalat a’s management t eam believe t hat a large st ruct ural opport unity has emerged in t he 3 and 4 st ar hot el market s in cert ain regional cit ies in t he UK. Key drivers of t his st ruct ural opport unit y include t he following:
Opportunity now exists for a hotel operator with a strong balance sheet and operational focus to become the market leader in fragmented 3 and 4 star hotel markets
1 Edinburgh 2 Manchester 3 Glasgow 4 Brighton 5 Bristol 6 Leeds 7 Liverpool 8 Oxford 9 Belfast 10 Reading 11 Birmingham 12 York 13 Cambridge 14 Southampton 15 Milton Keynes 16 Cardiff 17 Portsmouth 18 Newcastle 19 Bournemouth 20 Exeter
3% 35% 22% 40%
5 S t ar 4 S t ar 3 S t ar Budget & 2 S t ar
Source : AM PM Hotels
12% 7% 5% 4% 4% 4% 3% 3% 3% 2% Premier Inn Travelodge Ibis Holiday Inn Hilton Holiday Inn Express Jurys Britannia Hotels Marriott Mercure
Fragmented market with only budget brands having a significant share
Source : AM PM Hotels
8% 7% 6% 5% 5% 4% 4% 3% 3% 3% Holiday Inn Hilt on Jurys Britannia Hotels Marriott Mercure Crowne Plaza Novotel DoubleTree by Hilt on Radisson Blu
Very fragmented with no dominant brand
Source : AM PM Hotels
Operators with less than 4% market share comprise 70%
market
7% 6% 5% 4% 4% 4% 3% 2% 2% 2%
Source : AM PM Hotels
47% 9% 4% 16% 24%
Owner Operator Franchised Managed/ Franchised Managed Leasehold Over 70%
33%
Source : AM PM Hotels
Source: Company Investor Relations Sites
Hilton Marriott/ Starwood IHG Accor Franchised 72% 43% 70% 33% Managed 24% 52% 30% 67% * Owned/ Leased 3% 2% 0%
*Accor do not disclose separat ely no. rooms managed, owned and leased
Worldwide Rooms by Ownership Model
19% 18% 20% 18% 24% Not S tated Under 10 years 10 - 20 years 20 - 40 Years 40 + years Hot els list ed as ‘ not st at ed’ on t he dat abase are t ypically older propert ies
t o 15% market share of 3/ 4 st ar market in each cit y
market share in achieved) in 5 – 7 years
Dalat a will look t o address t hose opport unities in a more bespoke manner as and when t hey arise
Adhere t o Dalat a’s core principles by operating 3 and 4 st ar modern well maint ained hot els in prime locat ions wit h a st rong mix of corporat e and business demand Typical hot els will meet t he following crit eria:
>100 rooms Each location has to be prime city centre / good secondary Target 3* and 4* market segment Will be branded Clayton or Maldron
Group will look t o grow using a combination of leasehold int erest s and direct ownership int erest s Dalat a is well posit ioned t o exploit t he value of it s balance sheet covenant t o secure very compet it ive rent al rat es Dalat a’s owner/ operat or model gives full cont rol of brands st andards while securit y of t enure allows for longer t erm asset management and invest ment init iat ives
criteria – central location, over 100 rooms, under 20 years old and able to rebrand as Clayton or Maldron
time soon
t he indust ry with t he depart ure of int ernat ional brands from operating hot els in t hese cit ies
et higher rent al covers t o provide a larger cushion should Brexit impact RevP AR negat ively. We now use 1.85x in Y ear 3 compared t o 1.7x pre Brexit .
it e select ion and locat ions wit hin t he cit ies need t o be very st rong. Peripheral locat ions are always most exposed in downt urn
AR growt h – t ypically, we are assuming flat market RevP AR growt h in our proj ect ions
Dalata Competition Financial resources & Ability to secure sites
strategy to own or lease
Depth of Hotel Operational Expertise & Resources
training & development programmes
growing hotel group
upport of Central Office functions
larger Third Party Operators (TPOs) to provide same level of training or
(TPOs) or scale (independent
S enior Management Team
enior management team has operated in UK hotel market for over 20 years
enior management team created, rolled out and
Inn
experience exists within TPOs or independent operators
to roll out their brands
Hotel La Tour (Birmingham) – Existing Asset Clayton Manchester – Development Asset
year lease at init ial rent of £1.6m p.a.
ext ensive meet ing facilities
t reet
S t ructural changes in t he 3 and 4 st ar hotel market segment s in the UK provide a unique opportunit y for Dalat a t o become t he market leader in a number of large regional cit ies in t he UK Dalata has identified 20 regional UK cities with st rong market opport unities for new Maldron or Clayt on
nat ional presence grows Dalata will grow it s presence in it s 20 t arget cities through acquisit ion of hotels where available although t he lack of suitable asset s point s t o the development of large new hotels in cit y cent re locations as the most effect ive way t o expand Opport unity t o develop approximately an additional 8,000 rooms in t he UK over t he next 5 t o 7 years UK expansion will be undert aken in a prudent and controlled manner with low levels of gearing and minimising financial risk
CLYDE STREET
S cotland’ s largest city, 5th third-largest city in the United Kingdom Combines a strong mix of business and leisure demand generators Attractive market experiencing robust levels of hotel demand and further growth through 2017 Ranks 5th in our strategic analysis of the UK’ s top 60 cities Circa 300 bedroom new build Clayton Hotel Transport links are excellent Very close to retail & leisure attractions International Financial S ervices District is a 5 minute walk
GLASGOW CLAYTON GLASGOW
ARTISAN REAL ESTATE INVESTORS
A shareholding part nership between t he S anlam Group, Argosy and S alt Propert ies Limit ed Have delivered a varied port folio of large scale mixed-used development proj ect s and invest ment asset s in at t ractive regional UK locat ions. Recent proj ect s include New Waverley Edinburgh Tot al invest ment of approx £200 million 2 new hot els 10,000 sq. met res of Grade A
220 resident ial unit s
Agreement for Lease cont ract s exchanged S ubj ect t o planning permission Planning applicat ion Q1 2018 Rent per room £8.0k Lease t erm – 35 years 5 year rent reviews, Linked t o RPI S ubj ect t o cap & collar Rent Cover wit hin t arget parameters
We examined 60 of t he UK’s largest cit ies and analysed them using a range of qualitative and quantitat ive data including a wide range of macroeconomic data including employment and other demographic fact ors In a few cases, Dalata ignored the rankings as we knew from market knowledge that alt hough a cit y scored relat ively well, ot her fact ors ruled it out as being suit able 20 cities were selected as being suit able t arget locations on t he basis of Dalata’s existing market knowledge and in-dept h market analysis We t hen treated t hose cities as a sub market and examined market share by brand, market share by
We also identified exist ing hot els that would sat isfy our criteria of being a modern purpose built hotel, cent rally locat ed wit hin one of t hose cit ies and free of a brand We also examined whet her t here were any port folios t hat primarily cont ain hot els t hat mat ch our crit eria
City with large population, high RevPAR, large busy airport, strong local economy with mix of corporate and leisure demand as indicated by high
Criteria Value Ranking Population 2.76m 2nd RevPAR £63.24 8th Private S ector Jobs 840k 2nd Total Jobs 1,100k 2nd Airport Passengers 23.1m 3rd Train Passengers 24.6m 5th Total No. Hotel Rooms 16,521 2nd Pipeline as %
11% 46th Gross Value Added 127 12th
City with relatively large population, but low RevPAR, below average
not have a very strong leisure market
Criteria Value Ranking
Population 570k 6th RevPAR £42.67 39th Private S ector Jobs 240k 9th Total Jobs 350k 9th Airport Passengers 0.9m 20th Train Passengers 9.1m 15th Total No. Hotel Rooms 3,070 21st Pipeline as %
6% 36th Gross Value Added 78 43rd
Very fragmented market apart from major budget operators
12% 8% 7% 4% 4% 3% 3% 3% 2% 2%
Source : AM PM Hotels
17% 27% 25% 14% 17% Not Stated Under 10 Years 10 - 20 Years 20 - 40 Years 40 + Years Hotels listed as ‘not stated’ on the database are typically older properties
Source : AM PM Hotels