BUILDINGS ARE A PRODUCT OF CONTEXT POLITICAL ECONOMIC CULTURAL - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Feb 13, 2023 164 likes •474 views

ULI BRITISH COLUMBIA BUILDINGS in 2050 BUILDINGS ARE A PRODUCT OF CONTEXT POLITICAL ECONOMIC CULTURAL & VISION WORLD POPULATION in 2050 9.5 BILLION c omprised of: 5.9 BILLION (62%) Africa, S & E Asia includes 3.0 BILLION India and

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ULI BRITISH COLUMBIA BUILDINGS in 2050

BUILDINGS ARE A PRODUCT OF CONTEXT

POLITICAL ECONOMIC CULTURAL & VISION

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5.9 BILLION (62%) Africa, S & E Asia includes 3.0 BILLION India and China 674 MILLION Europe 623 MILLION North America

WORLD POPULATION in 2050

440 MILLION USA 43 MILLION Canada (87% Urban) 140 MILLION Mexico

9.5 BILLION comprised of:

Map produced by the SASI group (Sheffield) and Mark Newman (Michigan)

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CANADA in 2050

 43M population on the 2cd largest land mass in the world  Significantly under populated for optimum economy,  Dependant on USA for national boundaries protection  Canada has the world’s largest water supply,  Abundant food supply, and  Abundant natural resources  Vancouver will be a major North American gateway to 33%

f the world’s population located in China and India,

countries with very significant immigrant populations within Canada/BC

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 Beyond normal immigration, what will be Canada’s share

f the estimated 100M Climate Migrants in 2050 – fleeing

the “too hot, crowded and too wet” portions of the world.

 An opportunistic immigration policy of 400,000/yr vs the

projected 250,000/yr of new immigrants/natural growth could increase Canada’s population to 50M by 2050.

CANADA in 2050

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 By 2050 - 87% of Canada’s population will be in urban

centers

 Immigration patterns to 2006 generated

 90% located around 33 metropolitan areas  50% - located in/around Montreal, Toronto, Vancouver

 Economic opportunity attracts population growth  Accessibility drives population distribution  Affordability drives population settlement

87% of Canada’s population will be in urban

CANADA in 2050

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 Metro Vancouver population could grow to 4,000,000 from

current population 2.2 million

 More aggressive growth rates could yield 5,000,000  What are the attitudes, issues and requirements related to

accommodating 1,800,000 to 2,800,000 new residents in the Metro Vancouver over the next 40 years?

 Will we embrace significant immigration growth and

become a stronger more self sustaining part of the global economy

 “The future isn’t a place we go to, it is a place we create”.

Metro Vancouver population could grow to 4,000,000 from

VANCOUVER in 2050

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 Attract intellectual /economic capital to our region to

transform from a tourist destination /retirement “resort” for the wealthy to a world class, urban city with a robust economy and a vibrant future, by:

 Coordinated cross regional planning policies guided by a

common vision of the Region

 Planned distributed of populations centered on rapid

transit for optimal density/utilization

 Effective incentives / measures to ensure residential

affordability and liveability and commensurate public amenity

VANCOUVER in 2050

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Population and Density (persons per sq km) in 2006



Metro Vancouver 2.2M in 2,878 km² (735 persons/km²)



City of Vancouver 580,000 in 115 km² (5,040 persons/km²) Population and Density (persons per sq km) in 2006

VANCOUVER in 2010

* Burnaby, Surrey, Richmond, Coquitlam, Port Coquitlam, New Westminster, Port Moody, and Vancouver,

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Population Density (persons per sq km) in 2006

 Currently 8*cities contain 1,716,00 people on 704 km²

(24.5% of Metro Vancouver land area of 2,878 km²)



If these 8 cities and 704 km² were populated at the Vancouver density rate of 5,040 persons/km² population could be 3,546,700 persons Population Density (persons per sq km) in 2006

VANCOUVER in 2050

* Burnaby, Surrey, Richmond, Coquitlam, Port Coquitlam, New Westminster, Port Moody, and Vancouver,

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 Increasing Density on 3 Rapid Transit lines at 2.5X

Vancouver density (12,700 p/sq/km) generates 1,270,000 people

 Develop the balance of lands at the current Vancouver

density of 5,040 p/sq/km generates 3,040,000 people:

 total population of 4,310,000 (6,750 p/sq/km)

Increasing Density on 3 Rapid Transit lines at 2.5X

VANCOUVER in 2050

Translink Stations shown on current Expo, Millennium, Canada Lines (and proposed Evergreen Line)

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 There will be a shift from conceiving of buildings as being

in the landscape to one of experiencing the urban environment/buildings as the urban landscape

 We will have considered the relationship between building

heights and density in relationship to panoramic “views of the mountains” from within the City

 In the interests of creating a vibrant pedestrian oriented

urban realm in the downtown core area(s) for public squares, mid block pedestrian ways and distributed cultural facilities throughout the distributed urban cores.

BUILDINGS in 2050

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Sustainable Cities in 2050 will be shaped by:

 Transit oriented high density  High performance resource sensitive buildings  Mixed use buildings with built in adaptability over

economic life

 Dynamic, engaging multi layered ground planes and public

spaces Sustainable Cities in 2050 will be shaped by:

BUILDINGS in 2050

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FUTURE VISIONS

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FUTURE VISIONS

Ken Yeang – Green Towers, MAD Architects – Urban Forest, OR Design - Sustainability Centre

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VANCOUVERISM

Seawall at False Creek North (day) and Coal Harbour (night)

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HIGH DENSITY BUILDINGS

Fairmont Pacific Rim, Vancouver, 2010

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HIGH DENSITY ALTERNATIVES

Vanke Centre, Shenzen , 2010

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HIGH DENSITY ALTERNATIVES

Vanke Centre, Shenzen , 2010

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HIGH DENSITY ALTERNATIVES

60 Richmond Housing Co-Op, Toronto, 2009

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60 Richmond Housing Co-Op, Toronto, 2009

HIGH DENSITY ALTERNATIVES

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MEDIUM DENSITY ALTERNATIVES

Borneo Sporenburg Housing, Amsterdam, 1996-2000

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VERTICAL COMMUNITIES

Millennium Tower , Tokyo. 1988

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FA Swiss Tower “The Gherkin”, London, 2006

PROGRESSIVE OFFICES

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Commerzbank Tower, Frankfurt, 1997

PROGRESSIVE OFFICES

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Manitoba Hydro Place, Winnipeg, 2010

PROGRESSIVE OFFICES

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Parkade, Shanghai, 2006 - Athlete's Village, Vancouver, 2010

URBAN LANDSCAPES

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NET NET- NET ZERO BUILDINGS

Masdar Headquarters, Abu Dhabi, Completion 2013

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NET ZERO CITIES

Masdar City, Abu Dhabi, Completion 2012

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CULTURAL FACILITIES

Copenhagen Opera House, Copenhagen, 2007 – Oslo Opera House, Oslo, 2006

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PARKS AND PLAZAS

Millennium Park, Chicago, 2001 – Olympic Park, Seattle, 2004