BUILDING ON EXPERIENCE, SHAPING THE FUTURE
RioCan Conference Call Presentation – Third Quarter 2019 November 6, 2019
BUILDING ON EXPERIENCE, SHAPING THE FUTURE RioCan Conference Call - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
BUILDING ON EXPERIENCE, SHAPING THE FUTURE RioCan Conference Call Presentation Third Quarter 2019 November 6, 2019 FORWARD LOOKING ADVISORY & NON-GAAP MEASURES FORWARD LOOKING INFORMATION Certain information included in this
RioCan Conference Call Presentation – Third Quarter 2019 November 6, 2019
RioCan’s consolidated financial statements are prepared in accordance with IFRS. Consistent with RioCan’s management framework, management uses certain financial measures to assess RioCan’s financial performance, which are not generally accepted accounting principles (GAAP) under IFRS. The following measures, Funds From Operations (“FFO”), Net Operating Income (“NOI”), Adjusted Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization (“Adjusted EBITDA”), Debt to Adjusted EBITDA, Same Property NOI, Interest Coverage, Debt Service Coverage, Fixed Charge Coverage, and Total Enterprise Value as well as other measures discussed in this presentation, do not have a standardized definition prescribed by IFRS and are, therefore, unlikely to be comparable to similar measures presented by other reporting issuers. Non-GAAP measures should not be considered as alternatives to net earnings or comparable metrics determined in accordance with IFRS as indicators of RioCan’s performance, liquidity, cash flow, and profitability. For a full definition of these measures, please refer to the “Non-GAAP Measures” in RioCan’s Management’s Discussion and Analysis for the quarter ended September 30, 2019. RioCan uses these measures to better assess the Trust’s underlying performance and provides these additional measures so that investors may do the same.
NON-GAAP MEASURES
Certain information included in this presentation contains forward-looking statements within the meaning of applicable securities laws including, among others, statements concerning our objectives, our strategies to achieve those objectives, as well as statements with respect to management's beliefs, plans, estimates, and intentions, and similar statements concerning anticipated future events, results, circumstances, performance or expectations that are not historical facts. Certain material factors, estimates or assumptions were applied in drawing a conclusion or making a forecast or projection as reflected in these statements and actual results could differ materially from such conclusions, forecasts or projections. The forward looking information contained in this presentation is made as of the date hereof. Additional information on the material risks that could cause our actual results to differ materially from the conclusions, forecast or projections in these statements and the material factors, estimates or assumptions that were applied in drawing a conclusion or making a forecast or projection as reflected in the forward-looking information can be found in our most recent annual information form and annual report that are available on our website and at www.sedar.com. Except as required by applicable law, RioCan undertakes no obligation to publicly update or revise any forward-looking statement, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise.
FORWARD LOOKING INFORMATION
Q3 | RioCan | 02
Q3 | RioCan | 03
2.1% 2.3% >3.0%
Committed Occupancy Renewal Leasing Spread FFO per Unit
Q3 | RioCan | 04
Q3 2018 Q3 2019
Major Market Same Property NOI
Q3 2018 Q3 2019
7.7% Q3 2018 Q3 2019 7.7% for major markets
97.0% 97.2% Q3 2018 Q3 2019 97.7% for major markets $0.47 $0.47
Total Portfolio Same Property NOI Guidance for 2020
87.8% 88.7% >90%
% of Revenues from Major Markets
48.6% 49.5%
>50%
% of Revenues from GTA
Q3 | RioCan | 05
RENT BREAKDOWN Q3 2019
Grocery / Pharmacy / Liquor / Restaurants 28.0% Personal Services 21.8% Value Retailers 13.6% Specialty Retailers 10.7% Furniture & Home 9.9% Department Stores & Apparel 8.4% Movie Theatres 4.5% Entertainment & Hobby 3.1%
4% since 2007 6% since 2007 8% since 2007
74.1% OF RENT FROM NECESSITY- BASED AND SERVICE-ORIENTED TENANTS Q2 2019 Q3 2019 Vision Q2 2019 Q3 2019 Vision
Q3 | RioCan | 06
eCentral & eCondos
November 5, 2019 with 328 units (70%) occupied as of September 30, 2019
market rent units)
quarter 2020
Frontier (Phase One)
November 5, 2019 with 176 units (77%) occupied as of September 30, 2019
towers (up to 840 units)
Future est. density, 6.9M sf, 25% Application submitted, 7.1M sf, 26% Zoning approved, 13.3M sf, 49%
Total Pipeline by Zoning Status (27.4M sf)
Q3 | RioCan | 07
43 potential residential projects 20,000 potential units 1 2,100 additional units underway by 2021 1 2,700 units currently under construction 1 100% located in Canada’s major markets Delivering best-in-class purpose-built rental units and condos along Canada’s most prominent transit corridors, RioCan Living shapes the communities where Canadians shop, live and work.
1. At 100% of the project 2. Zoned NLA increased by 0.2M sf when compared to Q2 2019 primarily due to the acquisition of the remaining 50% co-ownership interest in eCentral and Yonge Sheppard Centre in Toronto, Ontario, partially offset by development completions.
located in Canada's six major markets with residential projects accounting for 19.7M square feet or 71.9% of the pipeline
development pipeline
2
Q3 | RioCan | 08
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Q3 2018, despite:
number of marketable securities sold
as a result of development completions
costs
completions and strategic acquisitions
and other fee income
Target is to be below 80%
FFO Payout Ratio * FFO per Unit
Q3 2018 Q3 2019 Q3 2018 Q3 2019
* For the twelve months ended
78.0% 77.4% $0.47 $0.47
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$25.02 $25.13 $25.34 $25.78 $26.01 $23.00 $24.00 $25.00 $26.00 $27.00 Q3 2018 Q4 2018 Q1 2019 Q2 2019 Q3 2019
Book value per unit has increased by 4.0% compared to Q3 2018
Q3 | RioCan | 11
Net rent CAGR since 2015 ─ 3.5%
$18.32 $19.49 Q3 2018 Q3 2019
+6.4%
$17.11 $17.59 $17.75 $19.07 $19.49 $15.00 $16.00 $17.00 $18.00 $19.00 $20.00 2015 2016 2017 2018 Q3 2019
Average net rent psf of $33.96 on active urban intensification projects
November 5, 2019
1. Canadian operations only
1 1
The Trust has recognized $287.7M of cumulative fair value gains in connection with the 4.2M sf of PUD projects in this category which are substantially completed, near completion, or under construction
Q3 | RioCan | 12
Key Statistics Development Completions Q1 Q2 Q3 Q3 YTD
92,000 269,000 51,000 412,000
$101.8M $105.0M $48.5M $255.3M Development Expenditures $92.5M $102.5M $135.2M $330.2M
1. Includes 4.2M sf for properties under development (PUD) and 0.3M sf of residential inventory
Future est. density, 6.9M sf, 25% Application submitted, 7.1M sf, 26% Zoning approved, 13.3M sf, 49%
Total Pipeline by Zoning Status (27.4M sf)
Zoning approved and active with cost estimates in progress, 8.8M sf Zoning approved and active with detailed cost estimates, 4.5M sf 1 No significant fair value gains yet recognized for excess density despite approved zoning No significant fair value gains yet recognized for excess density
Yonge Eglinton Northeast Corner (eCondos) King Portland Centre (Kingly) Windfield Farms Townhomes
Q3 | RioCan | 13
Yorkville Project (11YV) Windfield Farms Condos
Q3 | RioCan | 14
73% of the 593 units sold as of November 5, 2019. Estimated value creation range of 15%-17% with first possessions anticipated in Q3 20241 62% of the 503 units sold as of November 5, 2019. Estimated value creation range of 17%-20% with first possessions anticipated in Q2 2022
As at September 30, 2019 Target Properties Under Development (PUD) & Residential Inventory
$1.3B
N/A PUD and Residential Inventory as % of Gross Assets – Per Line of Credit and Credit Facilities Agreements
8.8%
~ 10%1 Investment in Greenfield Development and Residential Inventory as % of Unitholder’s Equity – Per Declaration of Trust
4.0%
N/A
Current PUD and Inventory Balance Annual Development Spend Annual Development Completions Target PUD and Inventory Balance * $1.3B
$400M-$500M
< $1.5B
$300M-$600M 1. Maximum permitted is 15%. RioCan targets this metric to be no more than 10% (except for short-term fluctuations as large projects are completed)
Q3 | RioCan | 15
Prudent approach to development
RioCan plans to self fund development as much as possible
CONSISTENTLY ABOVE 95%
Target Q3 20191 Debt to Adjusted EBITDA <8.0x 8.07x Debt to Total Assets 38% - 42% 43.6% 2 Interest Coverage >3.0x 3.48x Debt Service Coverage >2.25x 2.95x Fixed Coverage >1.10x 1.16x Unencumbered Assets N/A $8.9B Unencumbered Assets to Unencumbered Debt >2.0x 2.16x NOI % from Unencumbered Assets >50% 58.9% Unsecured vs. Secured Debt 60% / 40% 61% / 39% Ratio of floating rate debt to total debt <15% 9.7% FFO Payout Ratio <80% 77.4% PRUDENT CAPITAL MANAGEMENT & FLEXIBLE CAPITAL STRUCTURE
Q3 | RioCan | 16
1. Metrics are calculated based on RioCan’s proportionate share 2. Primarily due to the timing of strategic acquisitions in Q3 2019 totaling approximately $500 million. Applying the $220.4 million net proceeds from the recent equity offering to pay down the debt, the Trust’s debt to total assets would be in the mid-42% range, while holding everything else constant as of September 30, 2019.
Q3 | RioCan | 17
Q3 | RioCan | 18
Edward Sonshine, O.Ont., Q.C. Chief Executive Officer Jonathan Gitlin President & Chief Operating Officer Qi Tang Senior Vice President & Chief Financial Officer
Contact Information RioCan Yonge Eglinton Centre 2300 Yonge Street P.O. Box 2386 Toronto, ON M4P 1E4 (T) 1-800-465-2733 or (416) 866-3033