Building a Resilient Tomorrow: Will Tech Get Us There? Alice C. - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Building a Resilient Tomorrow: Will Tech Get Us There? Alice C. - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Building a Resilient Tomorrow: Will Tech Get Us There? Alice C. Hill @Alice_C_Hill Climate Adaptation Forum: Disruptive Climate, Disruptive Technologies June 7, 2019 Superstorm Sandy 2012 U.S. Stock Exchange Goldman Sachs HQ Electrical

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Alice C. Hill

Building a Resilient Tomorrow: Will Tech Get Us There?

@Alice_C_Hill

Climate Adaptation Forum: Disruptive Climate, Disruptive Technologies June 7, 2019

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Superstorm Sandy 2012

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U.S. Stock Exchange

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Goldman Sachs HQ

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Electrical Substation Explosion

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Manhattan Dark

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Subway Station Flooding

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Fuel Lines After Sandy

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Stress on Health Care

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Infrastructure Interdependencies

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2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015

U.S. Billion-Dollar Disaster Events by Year (CPI-Adjusted 2011)

Increase in Billion-Dollar Events, 1980-Present

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1880 – 2016 Average Temperature

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Counties’ projected population at risk of displacement in 2100

5% 10% 25% 50%

Coastal Risk

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Drought Risk

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Wildfire Risk

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Extreme Cold Below Average Normal Above Average Extreme Heat

1951-1980

Extreme Cold Below Average Normal Above Average Extreme Heat

1983-1993

1951-1980 baseline

Extreme Cold Below Average Normal Above Average Extreme Heat

1994-2004

1951-1980 baseline

Extreme Cold Below Average Normal Above Average Extreme Heat

2005-2015

1951-1980 baseline

More Extreme Heat

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Courtesy: Rear Admiral (Ret.) David Titley, Ph.D.

Stationarity is Dead

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Mitigation Savings

Adapted from Multihazard Mitigation Council (2018) Natural Hazard Mitigation Saves: 2018 Interim Report

National Benefit-Cost Ratio per peril Federally Funded Beyond Code Requirements

Overall 6:1 4:1

Riverine Flood

7:1 5:1

Hurricane Surge

Too few grants

7:1

Wind

5:1 5:1

Earthquake

3:1 4:1

Wildland-Urban Interface Fire

3:1 4:1

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  • Visualizing Risk
  • How and Where We Build
  • Forecasting
  • Flexibility in Design

Technological Innovation

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Visualizing Risk

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Drone Missions

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Business Continuity

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How We Build

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Flood Resilient Design

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Flood Resilient Design

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Flood Resilient Design

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Storm Resilient Design

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Fire Resilient Design

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Skirball Fire 2017

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Fire Resilient Materials

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“Cooling Wood”

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Where We Build

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Land Use

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Relocation

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Forecasting

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Early Warning

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Flexibility in Design Flexibility in Design

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London

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Kuala Lumpur

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Boston

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The Case of

PERDIDO BEACH

2010 2012 2014

Hurricane Isaac Deepwater Horizon spill Massive flooding

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I’m just a part-time mayor in a small town. I don’t have a big planning staff, grant writers or any resources. So how can I even know the size of the threats we are facing—and what can I do to protect the people of my town?

Patsy W. Parker, Mayor of the Town of Perdido Beach

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Questions?

@Alice_C_Hill

Climate Adaptation Forum: Disruptive Climate, Disruptive Technologies June 7, 2019