prepared by Investor Relations department BTS Group Holdings PCL
BTS Group Holdings PCL
SET OPPORTUNITY DAY
2Q 2016/17 EARNINGS PRESENTATION
2 9 N O V E M B E R 2 0 1 6
BTS Group Holdings PCL SET OPPORTUNITY DAY 2Q 2016/17 EARNINGS - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
BTS Group Holdings PCL SET OPPORTUNITY DAY 2Q 2016/17 EARNINGS PRESENTATION 2 9 N O V E M B E R 2 0 1 6 prepared by Investor Relations department BTS Group Holdings PCL Disclaimer Investment involves risk. Prospective should understand the
prepared by Investor Relations department BTS Group Holdings PCL
2Q 2016/17 EARNINGS PRESENTATION
2 9 N O V E M B E R 2 0 1 6
prepared by Investor Relations department BTS Group Holdings PCL
Investment involves risk. Prospective should understand the characteristics of Securities and study information about BTS Group Holdings Public Company Limited (the “Company”) before making a decision to invest in Securities. This presentation is for information purposes only and is intended only for the initial direct attendee of the presentation. It may not be reproduced or redistributed to any other person. It shall not and does not constitute either an offer to purchase or buy or a solicitation to purchase or buy or an offer to sell or exchange
inducement to enter into investment activity. No part of this presentation, nor the fact of its existence, should form the basis of, or be relied on in connection with, any contract or commitment or investment decision whatsoever. No representation, warranty or undertaking, express or implied, is made as to, and no reliance should be placed on, the fairness, accuracy, completeness or correctness of the information or the opinions contained herein. This presentation is not to be relied upon in any manner as legal, tax or any other advice and shall not be used in substitution for the exercise of independent judgment and each person made aware of the information set-forth hereof shall be responsible for conducting its own investigation and analysis of the information contained herein. Except where otherwise indicated, the information provided in this presentation is based on matters as they exist as of the date stated or, if no date is stated, as of the date of preparation and not as of any future date, and the information and opinions contained herein are subject to change without notice. None of the Company nor any of its subsidiaries accepts any obligation to update
Company or any of its subsidiaries or any of their respective directors, officers, employees or agents shall have any liability whatsoever (in negligence or otherwise) for any loss howsoever arising from any use of this presentation or its contents or otherwise arising in connection with the presentation and any and all such liability is expressly disclaimed. The information contained herein must be kept strictly confidential and may not be reproduced or redistributed in any format without the express written approval of the Company. Some statements made in this presentation are forward-looking statements, which are subject to various risks and uncertainties. These include statements with respect to the Company’s corporate plans, strategies and beliefs and other statement that are not historical facts. These statement can be identified by the use of forward-looking terminology such as “may”, “will”, “expect” , “intend”, “estimate”, “continue”, “plan” or other similar words. The statements are based on the assumptions and beliefs of the Company’s management in light of the information currently available to the Company. These assumptions involve risks and uncertainties which may cause the actual results, performance or achievements to be materially different from any future results, performance or achievements expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements. Nothing in this Presentation is, or should be relied
2 2Q 2016/17 earnings presentation
prepared by Investor Relations department BTS Group Holdings PCL
Section
BTSG 2Q 2016/17 FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE
Section
BUSINESS UPDATES
3 2Q 2016/17 earnings presentation
prepared by Investor Relations department BTS Group Holdings PCL
4 2Q 2016/17 earnings presentation Section 1: BTSG 2Q 2016/17 Financial Performance
PROFITABILITY BALANCE SHEET 6-MONTH CASH FLOW
interest income and lower share of net loss from associates/JVs
an increase in other recurring income as well as the recognition of some non- recurring gains
*Cash and liquid investments include cash bal. of THB 2.5bn, current investments of THB 3.1bn, long term investments of THB 10.5bn
All 4 BUs under investment stage:
extensions)
prepared by Investor Relations department BTS Group Holdings PCL
7.2% YoY
5 2Q 2016/17 earnings presentation Section 1: BTSG 2Q 2016/17 Financial Performance
MASS TRANSIT
33% YoY from full quarterly MACO consolidation
buildings from 118 buildings in 2Q 15/16)
transaction)
MEDIA
Base Rama 9”); 72% sold with 24% foreign participation
864mn revenue recognised from the Line Sukhumvit 71
PROPERTY
Expansion of Services revenue of 20% YoY due to
content advertising revenue from Rabbit Internet Group
SERVICES
prepared by Investor Relations department BTS Group Holdings PCL
OPERATING REVENUE COMPARISON (YoY)
INCOME STATEMENT (THB mn) 2Q 2016/17 2Q 2015/16 %YoY 1Q 2016/17 % QoQ 1H 2016/17 1H 2015/16 %YoY Operating Revenues1 1,722.3 1,704.1 1.1% 1,553.5 10.9% 3,275.8 3,276.0 0.0% Gross operating profits 996.5 1,001.9 (0.5)% 914.2 9.0% 1,910.7 1,923.0 (0.6)% Operating EBITDA2 623.0 740.5 (15.9)% 636.1 (2.1)% 1,259.1 1,404.9 (10.4)% Net recurring profit – before MI 445.4 421.0 5.8% 460.8 (3.4)% 906.2 944.3 (4.0)% Accounting EBITDA 983.6 833.9 18.0% 990.7 (0.7)% 1,974.4 5,147.5 (61.6)% Net income (loss)3 548.1 473.8 15.7% 548.0 0.0% 1,096.2 3,490.1 (75.2)% Gross operating profit margin (%) 57.9% 58.8% 58.8% 58.3% 58.7% Accounting EBITDA margin (%) 45.6% 42.3% 50.5% 48.2% 72.1% Recurring net profit margin (%) 23.6% 25.3% 26.5% 25.0% 27.8% Operating EBITDA margin (%) 36.2% 43.5% 40.9% 38.4% 42.9%
P&L SNAPSHOT
37% Mass Transit 41% Media 8% Property 14% Services
2Q 2016/17 OPERATING REVENUE BREAKDOWN
1 operating revenue of 4 BUs & share of net profit from BTSGIF 2 excluding interest income 3to equity holders of the parent
6 2Q 2016/17 earnings presentation Section 1: BTSG 2Q 2016/17 Financial Performance
1,704 1,722 (9) 176 (188) 40 2Q 15/16 Mass transit Media Property Services 2Q 16/17 (1)% 33%
(THB mn)
(57)% 20%
prepared by Investor Relations department BTS Group Holdings PCL
7
HISTORICAL OPERATING REVENUE (THB mn)
KEY FACTORS
contractually agreed increase in operating fee of the Sukhumvit extension and Silom extension
from higher BTSGIF’s CAPEX, mainly from the first payment of new rolling stocks (THB 195mn)
expenses.
2015/16)
OPERATING PERFORMANCE
MASS TRANSIT (THB mn) 2Q 2016/17 2Q 2015/16 %YoY 1Q 2016/17 %QoQ 1H 2016/17 1H 2015/16 %YoY Revenue 642.3 650.8 (1.3)% 671.1 (4.3)% 1,313.4 1,286.8 2.1% O&M revenue 410.9 394.9 4.1% 417.3 (1.5)% 828.2 788.9 5.0% Share in BTSGIF 199.0 222.6 (10.6)% 221.2 (10.0)% 420.3 431.0 (2.5)% Int income from train procurement 32.3 33.3 (3.0)% 32.6 (0.9)% 64.9 66.9 (3.0)% Costs of revenue 227.3 207.4 9.6% 219.7 3.5% 446.9 416.1 7.4% Gross profit 415.0 443.4 (6.4)% 451.4 (8.1)% 866.5 870.8 (0.5)% Operating EBITDA 422.3 448.3 (5.8)% 458.4 (7.9)% 880.8 880.1 0.1% Gross margin (%) 64.6% 68.1% 67.3% 66.0% 67.7% Operating EBITDA margin (%) 65.8% 68.9% 68.3% 67.1% 68.4%
OPERATING REVENUE BREAKDOWN
64% O&M Share in BTSGIF 31%
2Q 2016/17
Int income from train procurement 5%
2Q 2016/17 earnings presentation Section 1: BTSG 2Q 2016/17 Financial Performance
379 392 386 392 394 395 395 409 417 411 34 34 33 34 34 33 33 33 33 32 166 217 194 147 208 223 219 197 221 199 1Q 14/15 2Q 14/15 3Q 14/15 4Q 14/15 1Q 15/16 2Q 15/16 3Q 15/16 4Q 15/16 1Q 16/17 2Q 16/17 Share of NP in BTSGIF (THB mn) Int income from train procurement (THB mn) O&M (THB mn)
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8
HISTORICAL OPERATING REVENUE (THB mn)
KEY FACTORS
full quarter effect of the consolidation of MACO’s Outdoor media segment
the slowdown of the overall advertising industry
169mn to THB 230mn mainly from (i) the full quarter effect of the consolidation of MACO (ii) the increase in the number of office buildings, which grew to 146 buildings (118 buildings in 2Q 2015/16)
2015/16) 33% Outdoor & Office Buildings and Others 67% BTS - Related
MEDIA (THB mn) 2Q 2016/17 2Q 2015/16 %YoY 1Q 2016/17 %QoQ 1H 2016/17 1H 2015/16 %YoY Operating revenue 703.0 527.4 33.3% 541.7 29.8% 1,244.7 1,066.6 16.7% Costs of revenue 223.6 147.3 51.9% 160.4 39.5% 384.0 324.8 18.2% Gross profit 479.4 380.2 26.1% 381.3 25.7% 860.7 741.8 16.0% Operating EBITDA 358.4 333.2 7.6% 327.1 232.6% 685.5 650.4 5.4% Gross margin (%) 68.2% 72.1% 70.4% 69.1% 69.5% Operating EBITDA margin (%) 51.0% 63.2% 60.4% 55.1% 61.0%
2Q 2016/17
OPERATING PERFORMANCE OPERATING REVENUE BREAKDOWN
2Q 2016/17 earnings presentation Section 1: BTSG 2Q 2016/17 Financial Performance
754 787 780 605 539 527 512 491 542 703
1Q 14/15 2Q 14/15 3Q 14/15 4Q 14/15 1Q 15/16 2Q 15/16 3Q 15/16 4Q 15/16 1Q 16/17 2Q 16/17
prepared by Investor Relations department BTS Group Holdings PCL
319 331 341 364 233 331 161 171 142 142
1,411 9,469
1Q 14/15 2Q 14/15 3Q 14/15 4Q 14/15 1Q 15/16 2Q 15/16 3Q 15/16 4Q 15/16 1Q 16/17 2Q 16/17 Operating revenue Proceeds from land sale
Sale of assets to U City
9
HISTORICAL OPERATING REVENUE (THB mn)
KEY FACTORS
reduction in residential property
due to no remaining backlog of Abstracts Phahonyothin Park (Tower A) to be transferred (2Q 2015/16: transferred 62 units)
mainly from an increase in revenue from U Sathorn Hotel and higher rental and services revenue
2015/16)
Sale of Mo Chit land
5% Residential Commercial & Others 95%
OPERATING PERFORMANCE
PROPERTY (THB mn) 2Q 2016/17 2Q 2015/16 %YoY 1Q 2016/17 %QoQ 1H 2016/17 1H 2015/16 %YoY Operating Revenue 142.3 330.7 (57.0)% 141.9 0.2% 284.2 563.8 (49.6)% Costs of revenue 88.5 204.6 (56.8)% 90.9 (2.7)% 179.4 344.6 (47.9)% Gross profit 53.8 126.2 (57.3)% 51.0 5.5% 104.8 219.1 (52.2)% Operating EBITDA (4.8) 46.0 (110.5)% (2.9) 66.7% (7.7) 59.9 (112.9)% Gross margin (%) 37.8% 38.1% 35.9% 36.9% 38.9% Operating EBITDA margin (%) (3.4)% 13.9% (2.0)% (2.7)% 10.6%
OPERATING REVENUE BREAKDOWN
2Q 2016/17
2Q 2016/17 earnings presentation Section 1: BTSG 2Q 2016/17 Financial Performance
prepared by Investor Relations department BTS Group Holdings PCL
10
HISTORICAL OPERATING REVENUE (THB mn)
KEY FACTORS
Revenue increased by 20% YoY to THB 235mn from (i) an increase in revenues of THB 29mn from BPS projects, (ii) an increase in revenue of THB 20mn from Rabbit Internet Group and (iii) an increase in revenue from ChefMan Restaurants of THB 16mn
Costs increased by 30% YoY to THB 186mn. SG&A rose by 57% YoY to THB 82mn. Key costs and SG&A items were mainly from (i) staff costs and (ii) marketing expenses of Rabbit Internet Group and BSSH
2015/16) 49% ChefMan BSS 29%
OPERATING REVENUE BREAKDOWN OPERATING PERFORMANCE
SERVICES (THB MN) 2Q 2016/17 2Q 2015/16 %YoY 1Q 2016/17 %QoQ 1H 2016/17 1H 2015/16 %YoY Revenue 234.8 195.1 20.3% 198.7 18.1% 433.5 358.8 20.8% Costs of revenue 186.4 142.9 30.4% 168.4 10.7% 354.8 267.5 32.6% Gross profit 48.3 52.2 (7.3)% 30.4 59.2% 78.7 91.3 (13.8)% Operating EBITDA (6.8) 23.6 (128.7)% (27.6) (75.4)% (34.4) 42.4 (181.3)% Gross margin (%) 20.6% 26.7% 15.3% 18.2% 25.4% Operating EBITDA margin (%) (2.9)% 12.1% (13.9)% (7.9)% 11.8%
2Q 2016/17
BPS 13% Rabbit Internet Group 9%
2Q 2016/17 earnings presentation Section 1: BTSG 2Q 2016/17 Financial Performance
126 144 138 139 164 195 190 193 199 235 1Q 14/15 2Q 14/15 3Q 14/15 4Q 14/15 1Q 15/16 2Q 15/16 3Q 15/16 4Q 15/16 1Q 16/17 2Q 16/17
prepared by Investor Relations department BTS Group Holdings PCL
46,917 45,976 5,796 6,058 12,455 17,448
31-Mar-16 30-Sep-16 Total current liabilities Total non-current liabilities Total shareholders' equity
65,169 69,483 55,002 59,414 10,167 10,069
31-Mar-16 30-Sep-16 Total current assets Total non-current assets
65,169 69,483 Cash 31 Mar 16: THB 2.36bn 30 Sep 16: THB 2.52bn Current Investments 31 Mar 16: THB 3.27bn 30 Sep 16: THB 3.12bn Long-Term Investments 31 Mar 16: THB 9.56bn 30 Sep 16: THB 10.47bn Restricted Deposits 31 Mar 16: THB 1.24bn 30 Sep 16:
31 Mar 16: THB 9.28bn 30 Sep 16: THB 14.45bn Net Debt 31 Mar 16: THB 6.92bn 30 Sep 16: THB 11.93bn ***** Issued Ordinary Shares 31 Mar 16: 11,929.3mn 30 Sep 16: 11,934.9mn
84% 16% 14% 86% 25% 66% 9% 72% 19% 9%
2Q 2016/17:
0.31x
2Q 2015/16: 0.06x
Gross Debt to Equity
11
2Q 2016/17:
0.26x
2Q 2015/16: 0.03x
Net Debt to Equity
2Q 2016/17:
4.68x
2Q 2015/16: 0.59x
Net Debt to Operating EBITDA
2Q 2016/17: 6.95x 2Q 2015/16: 10.65x
Interest Coverage
2Q 2016/17:
0.58x
2Q 2015/16: 1.91x
Current Ratio
ASSET BREAKDOWN (THB MN) LIABILITIES AND EQUITY BREAKDOWN (THB MN) KEY RATIOS
2Q 2016/17 earnings presentation Section 1: BTSG 2Q 2016/17 Financial Performance
prepared by Investor Relations department BTS Group Holdings PCL
Section
BTSG 2Q 2016/17 FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE
Section
BUSINESS UPDATES
12 2Q 2016/17 earnings presentation
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13
HISTORICAL AVERAGE FARE & % GROWTH (YOY) HISTORICAL RIDERSHIP & % GROWTH (YOY)
year’s low base effect from the bombing at Ratchaprasong
store-valued card since January 2016
2Q 2016/17 earnings presentation Section 2: Business Updates
58.5 59.1 59.1 56.5 61.7 7.1% 4.7% 4.8% 1.0% 5.5% 4.7% 1.0% 0.0%
9.3%
2Q 15/16 3Q 15/16 4Q 15/16 1Q 16/17 2Q 16/17
Ridership (mn trips) Ridership Growth (% YoY) Ridership Growth (% QoQ)
27.4 27.8 27.9 28.1 27.8 2.8% 3.5% 4.0% 4.6% 1.6% 2.0% 1.6% 0.4% 0.6%
2Q 15/16 3Q 15/16 4Q 15/16 1Q 16/17 2Q 16/17
Average Fare (THB/trip) Average Fare Growth (% YoY) Average Fare Growth (% QoQ)
prepared by Investor Relations department BTS Group Holdings PCL
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MAR 2012 Civil works start MAR 2016 MOU between MRTA & BMA signed 2016 Expected O&M contract signed LATE 2018 Targeted full operation GREEN SOUTH (12.8KM, 9 STATIONS) GREEN NORTH (18.4km, 16 STATIONS) MAR 2017 Expected 1st station operation (Samrong – E15 operation) MID 2015 Civil works start MAR 2016 MOU between MRTA & BMA signed 2016 Expected O&M contract signed 2020 Targeted full operation Civil Work Construction Progress (as of October 2016)
Green South
99%
Green North
15%
Source: MRTA, the Company
EARLY 2018 Expected 1st station operation
2Q 2016/17 earnings presentation Section 2: Business Updates
prepared by Investor Relations department BTS Group Holdings PCL
15
Rolling stocks From Delivery Schedule 22x4 trains
Siemens by 2018/19 24x4 trains
CRRC by 2019/20
2Q 2016/17 earnings presentation Section 2: Business Updates
Siemens Consortium (“Siemens”) and CRRC Changchun Railway Vehicles Co., Ltd. (“CRRC”) to procure additional trains. Total of EURO 270mn (before VAT) or approximately THB 10bn.
carriages to serve the increased patronage in existing network, together with green line south and north extensions.
prepared by Investor Relations department BTS Group Holdings PCL
16
E&M SALES & INSTALLATION, TOTAL VALUE ≈ 19BN
Systems on Green Line extensions
2Q 2016/17 earnings presentation Section 2: Business Updates
Source: MRTA, the Company
prepared by Investor Relations department BTS Group Holdings PCL
17
Source: MRTA, the Company, Thaigov website
2Q 2016/17 earnings presentation Section 2: Business Updates
6 JUL – 5 AUG 2016
RFP is available for sale
17 NOV 2016
Bid envelope opening
2020
Targeted operation year
7 NOV 2016
The tender submission
April 2017
Expect contract to be awarded and signed
Sino-Thai Engineering & Construction PCL (“STEC”) and Ratchaburi Electricity Generating Holding PCL (“RATCH”), submitted a tender offer of the Pink line and the Yellow line (total project value for both lines of THB 105.5bn)
winner will invest in civil work, E&M including rolling stocks and operation and maintenance services)
construction, 30 years of operation and maintenance) PINK (34.5 KM, 30 STATIONS) YELLOW (30.4KM, 23 STATIONS)
prepared by Investor Relations department BTS Group Holdings PCL
18 2Q 2016/17 earnings presentation Section 2: Business Updates
VGI Puncak Berlian
Redberry Sdn Bhd, Malaysia’s
(transit, in-store, cinema and
assets with exclusive concessionaires
Utusan Airtime Ikatan Asli
Sales Sdn Bhd
national broadcaster RTM
national TV channels
regional radio stations
advertising business
with key profile clients including Celcom, TM and SP Setia
2029
(transit, office, outdoor, aviation, online)
company in Thailand
TITANIUM COMPASS
19% 51% 20% 10%
is awarded 10 -year contract to manage Advertising media at SBK Line (the first heavy rail mass transit) in Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia
prepared by Investor Relations department BTS Group Holdings PCL
19 2Q 2016/17 earnings presentation Section 2: Business Updates
rail mass transit in KL, Malaysia
stations), 58 trains
stations) by the end 2016 and full operation by mid 2017
passengers per day in the first year
SBK LINE FACTSHEET
prepared by Investor Relations department BTS Group Holdings PCL
20 2Q 2016/17 earnings presentation Section 2: Business Updates
Distance from mass transit 300m from MRT Rama 9 Project value THB 3.0bn
473 (38 floors)
sqm THB 175k; fully furnished Expected transfer Sep 2019 Expected transfer complete Mar 2020 Distance from mass transit 700m from ARL Ramkamhaeng Project value THB 2.2bn
639 (36 floors)
sqm THB 105k Expected transfer May 2019 Expected transfer complete Sep 2019 100% SOLD 80% SOLD
THE LINE ASOKE - RATCHADA THE BASE GARDEN RAMA 9 THE LINE RATCHATHEWI
100% SOLD
THE LINE JATUJAK-MO CHIT
100% SOLD
THE LINE SUKHUMVIT 71
100% SOLD
STARTED TRANSFERS IN SEP 2016 EXPECT TO TRANSFER IN OCT 2017 EXPECT TO TRANSFER IN MAY 2018
PROJECT VALUE OF THB 2.0BN PROJECT VALUE OF THB 5.7BN PROJECT VALUE OF THB 2.9BN
prepared by Investor Relations department BTS Group Holdings PCL
21
6.5mn cards 5.3mn cards
2015/16 ACTUAL 2016/17 TARGET Rabbit Card in circulation
2,000 retail shops
Retail Shops
6.3mn cards 1,559 retail shops 1,479 retail shops 4,500 readers
Card Reader
3,000 readers 3,245 readers 3mn membership
Rabbit Rewards Membership
2.2mn membership 2.4mn membership
2Q 2016/17 earnings presentation Section 2: Business Updates
prepared by Investor Relations department BTS Group Holdings PCL
Section
BTSG 2Q 2016/17 FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE
Section
BUSINESS UPDATES
22 2Q 2016/17 earnings presentation
prepared by Investor Relations department BTS Group Holdings PCL
2,365 2,524** (2,178)* (57) 2,394 Beginning cash (31/3/16) CFO CFI CFF Ending cash (30/9/16)
23
* After tax (THB 368.6mn) and interest expense (THB 69.9mn) ** Excluding THB 13.6bn liquid investments
investment
BTS-SIRI JVs
deposits) in relation to offshore loan
institutions
contractors (E&M works)
purchase of assets (first payment of rolling stocks)
(THB mn)
2Q 2016/17 earnings presentation Appendix: 6-month Cash Flow Snapshot
prepared by Investor Relations department BTS Group Holdings PCL
24 2Q 2016/17 earnings presentation Appendix: Breakdown of Share of Income (Loss) from Investments and JVs
Per Financial Statements (THB mn) 2Q 2015/16 3Q 2015/16 4Q 2015/16 1Q 2016/17 2Q 2016/17 Share of loss from investments in JVs (87.8) (70.8) (94.1) (94.3) (66.3) Share of loss from investments in associates 168.6 199.6 225.9 193.9 175.5 Total 80.8 128.8 131.8 99.6 109.1 Share on Investments in Associates (THB mn) 2Q 2015/16 2Q 2016/17 Remarks Absolute Hotel Services (AHS) 2.4 1.5 BTSGIF 222.6 199.0
Advance payment of rolling stock
MACO and Aero Media 11.2 0.1
Full quarter of MACO’s consolidation
U CITY (67.7) (26.6)
No unrealised loss from mark to market trade securities
MACO’s associates
Total 168.5 175.5 Share on Investments in Joint Ventures (THB mn) 2Q 2015/16 2Q 2016/17 Remarks ATS (AEON-Rabbit)
Bayswater
Interest expense to BTS Group
BTS-SIRI JV projects (87.8) (28.3)
Transferred 128 units of The Line Sukhumvit 71
Rabbit LINE Pay
Total (87.8) (66.3)
prepared by Investor Relations department BTS Group Holdings PCL
25
RIDERSHIP SUMMARY
FY 2016/17 Ridership Growth Target 5-6% YTD Ridership Growth Actual +2.9% FY 2016/17 Fare Increase Target 1% YTD Fare Increase Actual +2.7% FY 2016/17 Farebox growth Target 6-7% YTD Farebox Increase Actual +5.7%
17.8 18.5 20.2 20.2 21.2 20.3 19.9
0.0% 3.9% 0.1% 10.3% 6.3% 0.7%
16.0 17.0 18.0 19.0 20.0 21.0 22.0
Apr-16 May-16 Jun-16 Jul-16 Aug-16 Sep-16 Oct-16 Ridership (mn trips) % YoY ridership growth
2Q 2016/17 earnings presentation Appendix: OCT 2016 & YTD 2016/17 Ridership in Core Network
prepared by Investor Relations department BTS Group Holdings PCL
2Q 2016/17 earnings presentation Appendix: Target of New Mass Transit Lines 26
LINE ROUTE AUTHORISING BODY TARGETED OPERATE YEAR CONSTRUCTION PROGRESS
station DISTANCE (KM)
BLUE HUA LAMPHONG - BANG KHAE MRTA 2019 UNDER CONSTRUCTION 11 14.0 BLUE BANG SUE - THA PRA MRTA 2019 UNDER CONSTRUCTION 9 13.0 BLUE BANG KHAE - BHUDHAMONTHON 4 MRTA 2021 4 8.0 DARK RED BANG SUE - RANGSIT SRT 2021 UNDER CONSTRUCTION 8 26.3 DARK RED BANG SUE – HUA LUM PHONG SRT 2020 5 6.5 LIGHT RED BANG SUE – PHAYATHAI – MAKKASAN – HUAMAK SRT 2020 9 19.0 DARK GREEN SOUTH BEARING - SAMUT PRAKARN BMA 2018 UNDER CONSTRUCTION 9 12.8 DARK GREEN NORTH MO CHIT – SAPHAN MAI – KHU KHOT BMA 2020 UNDER CONSTRUCTION 16 18.4 LIGHT GREEN BANG WA - BOROMMARATCHACHONNANI BMA 2019 6 7.0 LRT BANG NA - SUVARNABHUMI BMA 2021 14 18.3 GREY (PHASE I) WATCHARAPHON – THONG LO BMA 2021 15 16.3 PINK KHAE RAI – PAK GRED – MIN BURI MRTA 2020 30 34.5 YELLOW LAD PRAO – SAM RONG MRTA 2020 23 30.4 DARK GREEN SAMUT PRAKARN - BANGPU MRTA 2021 4 7.0 DARK GREEN KHU KHOT - LUMLUKKA MRTA 2021 4 7.0 ORANGE EAST THAILAND CULTURAL CENTER - MIN BURI MRTA 2020 17 21.2
TOTAL (KM) 259.7
259.7KM ONGOING PROJECTS PRIORITISED BY GOVERNMENT IN 5 YRS, 84.5KM UNDER CONSTRUCTION
CORE AND EXTENSIONS TO OUR CURRENT LINES LINES CONNECTING TO OUR LINES
137.7km
Sources: Office of Transport and Traffic Policy and Planning, Mass Rapid Transit Authority of Thailand, Bangkok Metropolitan Administration, State Railway of Thailand, Ministry of Transport, Bangkok Expressway and Metro Public Company Limited (BEM), BTS Group Holdings Public Company Limited (BTS)
prepared by Investor Relations department BTS Group Holdings PCL
2Q 2016/17 earnings presentation Appendix: Target of New Mass Transit Lines 27
PINK LINE
DARK GREEN NORTH LINE
GREY LINE
Phase I: Watcharaphol – Thong Lo (16.3km)
LIGHT RAIL TRANSIT (LRT)
DARK GREEN SOUTH LINE
Sources: Office of Transport and Traffic Policy and Planning, Mass Rapid Transit Authority of Thailand, Bangkok Metropolitan Administration, Ministry of Transport, the Company
LIGHT GREEN LINE
(7.0km)
YELLOW LINE
prepared by Investor Relations department BTS Group Holdings PCL
28 2Q 2016/17 earnings presentation Appendix: Target of New Mass Transit Lines
CURRENT STATUS: The route already includes in the master plan and approved by CMLT/BMC Awaiting EIA approval and cabinet’s acknowledgment 2017 Expected bidding 2021 Target operation year 2021 Target operation year LRT (18.3km) GREY PHASE I (26.0km) LIGHT GREEN (7km) 2019 Target operation year 2017 Expected O&M award CURRENT STATUS: The route already includes in the master plan and approved by CMLT Awaiting EIA approval and cabinet’s acknowledgment 2017 Expected bidding CURRENT STATUS: Awaiting to be included in the new master plan Awaiting EIA approval, BMC approval (CMLT already approved in the principle)
prepared by Investor Relations department BTS Group Holdings PCL
29 2Q 2016/17 earnings presentation Appendix: Mass Transit Funding Requirements
20,135 22,354 42,489 8,598 10,760 26,727 24,251 8,616 11,750 90,702 3,572 4,940 2,096 10,608
Dark Green South Dark Green North Pink Yellow LRT Light Green Grey Total Rolling Stock E&M Civil work
KEY ASSUMPTIONS
Total CAPEX/financing for expected lines = THB 144bn with D/E Ratio = 2.5 : 1 Total equity required by BTS Group = THB 41bn*
Source: Office of Transport and Traffic Policy and Planning (OTP), Mass Rapid Transit Authority of Thailand (MRTA), Bangkok Metropolitan Administration (BMA) and Company estimates
143,799 46,605** 46,862**
12.8km 18.4km 34.5km 30.4km 7.0km 16.3km 137.7km 18.3km
*If assume 50:50 JV, equity required by BTS Group for pink and yellow lines will be THB 28bn ** Excludes approximately THB 6bn in each line for land expropriation and other costs which are the costs invested by the government
12,170 15,700
PROJECTED CAPEX/FINANCING BREAKDOWN OF EXPECTED FUTURE LINES (THB mn)
prepared by Investor Relations department BTS Group Holdings PCL
30
7 November 2016: VGI’s Extraordinary General Meeting approved the acquisition of 90% in BSS from BTSC and 90% in BSSH from BTSG.
Investment cost of THB 1,956.5mn to acquire both BSS and BSSH 90% of BSS from BTSC Number of shares: 3,600,000 shares Price: THB 184.39 per share Investment cost: THB 663.8mn 90% of BSSH from BTSG Number of shares: 10,800,000 shares Price: THB 119.69 per share Investment cost: THB 1,292.7mn Source of funds: CFO and/or credit facilities
PRE COMPANY STRUCTURE POST COMPANY STRUCTURE
100% 97.5% 90% 10% 21.3% 51% 60% 51% 25% 80% 49% 49% 51% 51%
BTSG VGI Bangkok Bank
BSSH BTSC BSS ATS BPS Rabbit Internet Rabbit Pay Ask Broker Ask Direct
BTSG VGI BTSC BSSH BSS ATS BPS Rabbit Internet Rabbit Pay Ask Broker Ask Direct
97.5% 21.3% 60% 90% 90% 25% 80% 51%
Bangkok Bank
10% 10% 49% 49% 51% 51%
Rabbit Line Pay
50%
TIMELINE OF ACQUISITION AND CONSOLIDATION TRANSACTION SUMMARY
22 AUG 16: VGI’s BOD approved the acquisition of 90% in BSS and BSSH (“Rabbit”), which subject to EGM on 7 November 2016 7 NOV 16: EGM approved the acquisition transaction of Rabbit 31 MAR 17: To complete the transaction 1 APR 17: To start consolidating financial statement
2Q 2016/17 earnings presentation Appendix: Acquisition of Rabbit
prepared by Investor Relations department BTS Group Holdings PCL
Project Name Presale Period Project Value (THB mn) Units
per sqm (THB) Sold Construction Progress* Est. Transfer Start Est. Transfer Completion Foreign Participation THE LINE Jatujak – Mochit May 2015 5,727 841 179k 100% 48% Oct 2017 Dec 2017 14% THE LINE Sukhumvit 71 Aug 2015 1,990 291 169k; fully furnished 100% 96% Oct 2016 Dec 2016 48% THE LINE Ratchathewi Oct 2015 2,925 231 266k 100% 18% May 2018 Sep 2018 15% THE LINE Asoke-Ratchada Jun 2016 2,983 473 180k; fully furnished 100% 0% Apr 2019 Sep 2019 36% THE BASE Garden Rama 9 Sep 2016 2,228 639 105k 72% 0% May 2019 Sep 2019 24% Total/Weighted Average 15,853 2,475 183k 96% 24%
ACTIVE RESIDENTIAL PROJECTS UNDER SIRI JV TOTAL PRESALES BACKLOG
(THB mn)
Equity method needs to be applied to joint venture transactions Calculated based on BTS Group’s fiscal year
* As of Sep 2016
2016 RESIDENTIAL PROPERTY LAUNCH PLAN
Launch 6 Projects with total project value of THB 25bn Projects Launched so far this year:
31 2Q 2016/17 earnings presentation Appendix: Projects under Development & Development Pipeline
1,055 14,352 5,702 5,795 1,800
FY 16/17E FY 17/18E FY 18/19E FY 19/20E BTS-SIRI JV Presales Backlog
prepared by Investor Relations department BTS Group Holdings PCL
32 3 November 2016: BTSC was approved by the Securities and Exchange Commission, Thailand (SEC) to issue up to THB 22,000mn senior unsecured debentures. The bonds will be issued in four tranches due in 2019, 2021, 2023, and 2026. Amount up to THB 22bn Tenor 3, 5, 7, 10 years (NC5) Rating A / Stable by Fitch and TRIS Rationale Purchase new rolling stocks and electrical and mechanical system (E&M) for the Green Line North & South extension projects Subscription Period 7 – 9 November 2016 Issuance Date 10 November 2016 Tenor Amount up to Coupon Rate 3-year THB 5.5bn 2.46% 5-year THB 2.2bn 2.85% 7-year THB 4.1bn 3.30% 10-year (NC5) THB 10.2bn 3.87% Total THB 22bn 3.31% (average)
2Q 2016/17 earnings presentation Appendix: BTSC Debenture Summary
prepared by Investor Relations department BTS Group Holdings PCL 3,300 300 3,700 430
2,850 200 1,200 180 500 Mass Transit Media Property Services BTS Group
440
33
BTS GROUP REVISED CAPEX/ FINANCING (THB mn)
FY 2016/17 TOTAL CAPEX/FINANCING OF THB 12.8BN**
*Consolidates MACO from Jun 2016 onwards **Excludes real estate development cost for Property business
2016/17 BTSGIF CAPEX (REVISED) is expected to be
BTS GROUP TARGETS
6,330 500
Rolling stocks Outdoor Invest in BTS-SIRI JVs (gross) Land acquisition & others
200 5,400
MASS TRANSIT MEDIA*
30-40% Revenue Growth
PROPERTY
SERVICES
E&M Thana City Renovation
10
2Q 2016/17 earnings presentation Appendix: BTS Group Targets and CAPEX
prepared by Investor Relations department BTS Group Holdings PCL
34 2Q 2016/17 earnings presentation
Q&A SESSION