1 Presentación Paul Gianmmalvo The 19/10/2019 Future of Project Controls 1 Presentation The Future of Project Controls, Cost Engineering and Project Managem ent Offices ( PMO) GIAMMALVO, Paul D Dr. The Good, the Bad and the Ugly… 1 Bio of expositor 1
1 Presentación Paul Gianmmalvo The 19/10/2019 Future of Project Controls To Today’s RE REALITY… ALITY… Glenn Butts, NASA https://is.gd/E610OJ Prof. Bent Flyvbjerg Oxford University ‐ https://is.gd/3lJBEo AND https://is.gd/jHqivx Mo More RE REALITY… ALITY… Glenn Butts, NASA https://is.gd/E610OJ Prof. Bent Flyvbjerg Oxford University ‐ https://is.gd/3lJBEo 2
1 Presentación Paul Gianmmalvo The 19/10/2019 Future of Project Controls The The RO ROOT CA CAUSE USES… Glenn Butts, NASA https://is.gd/E610OJ Prof. Bent Flyvbjerg Oxford University ‐ https://is.gd/3lJBEo AND https://is.gd/jHqivx Today’s Agenda: What are the TECHNOLOGIES impacting our craft? 1) Building Information Modelling (BIM) Automatically links the design software to generate Quantify Take offs and Bill of Materials into Cost Estimating software (i.e. Cost(OS), Timberline etc.) producing direct and indirect cost and resource loaded extensions. Automatically links the 3D design software to generate the activities and sequencing in the planning & scheduling software (i.e. P6, MSP, Spyder, MicroPlanner etc.) Enable “Front End Loading” (FEL) and Asset Life Cycle modeling, including Business Case (BEA, ROI, ROA, ERR, IRR) analysis, Life Cycle Costing, Value Engineering etc. 2) Drones, Time Lapse Photography and Facial Recognition Attendance/payroll tracking and activity based costing (ABC) • Productivity capture • Progress tracking, documentation and reporting • Claims documentation • Safety, Health and Environmental violations • 3) Artificial Intelligence (AI) and “Big Data Analytics”. If a process is: Repetitious Rule or formula based Subject to conditional (Boolean) operators then is it probably going to be automated. 3
1 Presentación Paul Gianmmalvo The 19/10/2019 Future of Project Controls What is “BIM” and what IMPACT it will have on “Project Controls”…? BIM6 Consulting & Performance http://bim6d.es/en/scope/ Wh What is is “BIM “BIM” and and wha what IM IMPACT CT it it will ill ha have on on “P “Project ject Con Controls”… ls”…? BIM Adoption Around the World ‐ Unlocking the potential of BIM and virtual reality ‐ https://www.geospatialworld.net/article/bim ‐ adoption ‐ around ‐ the ‐ https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=K6AbzBcQFyM world ‐ how ‐ good ‐ are ‐ we/ 4
1 Presentación Paul Gianmmalvo The 19/10/2019 Future of Project Controls 3D 3D BIM BIM fo for Shipb Shipbuild lding… ing… Step 1 ‐ Design the Ship (or Facility) using 3D BIM Software ‐ https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fBbX8IqJAjY BIM BIM Pr Process… Step 2B ‐ Document Management Software 3D BIM http://e ‐ specs.com/products/especs ‐ revit/ Step 1 ‐ Design the Ship (or Facility) using 3D BIM Software https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fBbX8IqJAjY Step 2A ‐ Scheduling Software 4D BIM Step 2C ‐ Cost Estimating Software 5D BIM https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3JLUKUG1njU https://www.nomitech.eu/ 5
1 Presentación Paul Gianmmalvo The 19/10/2019 Future of Project Controls Object Object Or Orien iented ed Desi Design gn Usi Using 3D 3D, 4D 4D and and 5D 5D BI BIM… Front End Engineering & Design Option 2 ‐ Pump B Option 1 ‐ Pump A (FEED) Schedule Impacts Technical Specifications Technical Specifications Life Cycle Costing Life Cycle Costing Initial Costs Initial Costs Procurement Lead Time Procurement Lead Time Installation Costs Installation Costs Installation Duration Installation Duration EVM Milestone Payments EVM Milestone Payments Testing & Commissioning Testing & Commissioning Maintenance Requirements Maintenance Requirements Warranties & Guarantees Warranties & Guarantees Operating Manuals Operating Manuals Cost Cost Cost Impacts vs vs Time Time Trade ‐ Trade ‐ Offs Offs BIM Risk BIM Risk Analy Analysis is Pr Process… s… Step 1 ‐ Design the Ship (or Facility) using 3D BIM Software https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fBbX8IqJ AjY 3) Establish the shape of the distribution (i.e. Normal, Raybull, Poisson etc) 6) Create Systems Dynamics Model 5) Analyze the Results and Make Appropriate Strategic and Tactical Decisions 4) Run the simulation using the Monte Carlo Random Number Generator for Schedule and Costs 6
1 Presentación Paul Gianmmalvo The 19/10/2019 Future of Project Controls BIM REQUIRES the adoption of GLOBALLY STANDARDIZED Coding Structures Standard Coding Structures (Omni ‐ Class) The databases for all these software packages REQUIRE the use of STANDARDIZED WBS/CBS and other coding structures. The most LIKELY “Leader” being OMNICLASS Adapted from Building Information Modeling in Project Management: Necessities, Challenges and Outcomes by Saeed Rokooei https://tinyurl.com/y9h6uozf https://www.csiresources.org/standards/omniclass PM PMO WB WBS & CBS CBS Coding Coding Structur Structures es as as ENABLER ENABLERS fo for BIM BIM htt https://www //www.csir csiresour esources.or es.org/standar ndards/ s/om omniclass niclass Basis for BIDDING purposes 4 (Owner’s Level 3 Control Accounts) Basis for Progress Tracking, 1 Table 22 ‐ Work Results Cost and Revenue Capture 2 Table 23 ‐ Products (EVM) and Estimating Database Updates. (Level 4 Data Exchange between 3 Table 35 ‐ Tools Owner and Contractor) 7
1 Presentación Paul Gianmmalvo The 19/10/2019 Future of Project Controls Original Original ST STAN ANDARDIZED RDIZED MULTI ‐ DI DIMENSI MENSIONAL NAL WBS BS Stru Structures es… Uniformat Basic Organization https://www.edmca.com/media/35207/masterformat ‐ 2016.pdf https://graphisoft.akamaized.net/cdn/ftp/techsupport/downloads/interoperabil ity/UniFormat_2010m.pdf Nor Norsok ok Z ‐ 014 014 OF OFFSHORE HORE Pl Platform rm St Stand andardiz ized WBS/ WBS/CBS CBS https://www.standard.no/pagefiles/951/z ‐ 014.pdf 8
1 Presentación Paul Gianmmalvo The 19/10/2019 Future of Project Controls In Intr troduc uctio tion to to the the Le Levels ls of of CO CODING STRUCTU STRUCTURES Stand St andard Acti Activi viti ties fr from om Cos Cost Es Esti timati ting ng Da Database base (R (RS Me Means) s) 9
1 Presentación Paul Gianmmalvo The 19/10/2019 Future of Project Controls St Stand andard Cr Crew ews fr from om Cos Cost Es Esti timating ting Da Database base (R (RS Me Means) s) Acti Activity vity Based Based Cos Costing ing Usi Using Ex Exam ampl ple fr from om RS RS Me Means 10
1 Presentación Paul Gianmmalvo The 19/10/2019 Future of Project Controls “Big “Big Pictur Picture” e” Ro Roadmap… What is Artificial Intelligence or “AI”? https://www.geospatialworld.net/blogs/difference ‐ between ‐ ai%EF%BB%BF ‐ machine ‐ learning ‐ and ‐ deep ‐ learning/ 11
1 Presentación Paul Gianmmalvo The 19/10/2019 Future of Project Controls Systems Dynamics Replacing MSP and P6? Kamran & Kusumo, 2018 (AIT ‐ Thailand) Model of O/C relationships Modeling Productivity Loss Using System Dynamics to Understand https://ascelibrary.org/doi/10.1061/%28ASCE%29ME.1943 ‐ Cumulative Impact Dr. Stephen P. Warhoe, PE CCP CFCC 5479.0000666 Use of Artificial/Machine Intelligence for “Project Controls” https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FTtVxxCSYHE https://goo.gl/hffzsg https://ligchine.com/screedsaver ‐ max ‐ 200 ‐ machine https://www.trafficandtransit.com/mega ‐ ton ‐ girder ‐ placement ‐ over ‐ la ‐ jolla ‐ village ‐ drive ‐ san ‐ diego 12
1 Presentación Paul Gianmmalvo The 19/10/2019 Future of Project Controls Use of Time Lapse Photography for “Project Controls” https://www.youtube.com/watch ?v=ptZmvz6YRuY https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=acLSbNxUP3s https://www.youtube.com/watch ?v=GDUIYZKlknk Use Use of of Dr Drones ones fo for “P “Project ject Con Controls”… ls”… 3D Progress Reporting 2D Progress Reporting https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Tm3NXhGLvuU AND https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=i3V2L1XHZcA Volume Calculations 13
1 Presentación Paul Gianmmalvo The 19/10/2019 Future of Project Controls Use of Facial Recognition for “Project Controls” https://gizmodo.com/this ‐ facial ‐ https://www.youtube.com/watch recognition ‐ software ‐ signals ‐ the ‐ end ‐ of ‐ ?v=K4u4Dpl6NKk the ‐ 1548210294 Project Management is NOT WORKING… 14
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