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BARCLAYS GLOBAL CONSUMER STAPLES CONFERENCE
SEPTEMBER 6, 2017
BARCLAYS GLOBAL CONSUMER STAPLES CONFERENCE SEPTEMBER 6, 2017 1 - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
BARCLAYS GLOBAL CONSUMER STAPLES CONFERENCE SEPTEMBER 6, 2017 1 MARK HUNTER PR ESID EN T A N D C EO MO LSO N C O O R S B R EW IN G C O MPA N Y FORWARD LOOKING STATEMENTS This presentation includes estimates or projections that constitute
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SEPTEMBER 6, 2017
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This presentation includes estimates or projections that constitute “forward-looking statements” within the meaning of the U.S. federal securities laws. Generally, the words “believe,” “expect,” “intend,” “anticipate,” “project,” “will,” and similar expressions identify forward-looking statements, which generally are not historic in nature. Although the Company believes that the assumptions upon which its forward-looking statements are based are reasonable, it can give no assurance that these assumptions will prove to be correct. Important factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from the Company’s historical experience, and present projections and expectations are disclosed in the Company’s filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission (“SEC”). These factors include, among others, our ability to successfully integrate the acquisition of MillerCoors; our ability to achieve expected tax benefits, accretion and cost savings and synergies; impact of increased competition resulting from further consolidation of brewers, competitive pricing and product pressures; health of the beer industry and our brands in our markets; economic conditions in our markets; additional impairment charges; our ability to maintain manufacturer/distribution agreements; changes in our supply chain system; availability or increase in the cost of packaging materials; success of our joint ventures; risks relating to operations in developing and emerging markets; changes in legal and regulatory requirements, including the regulation of distribution systems; fluctuations in foreign currency exchange rates; increase in the cost of commodities used in the business; the impact of climate change and the availability and quality of water; loss or closure of a major brewery or other key facility; our ability to implement our strategic initiatives, including executing and realizing cost savings; our ability to successfully integrate newly acquired businesses; pension plan and other post retirement benefit costs; failure to comply with debt covenants or deterioration in our credit rating; our ability to maintain good labor relations; our ability to maintain brand image, reputation and product quality; and other risks discussed in
forward-looking statements in this presentation are expressly qualified by such cautionary statements and by reference to the underlying assumptions. You should not place undue reliance on forward looking statements, which speak only as of the date they are made. We do not undertake to update forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise. Non-GAAP Information Please see our most recent earnings release or visit the investor relations page of our website – www.molsoncoors.com – to find disclosure and applicable reconciliations of non-GAAP financial measures discussed in this presentation.
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Introductions, company overview, strategic focus and growth priorities
Strategies to grow profit, cash, total shareholder return
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ATTRACTIVE PROFILE TO DRIVE LONG-TERM VALUE
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65% 8% 23% 4%
United States Canada Europe International Markets
100% of Millercoors
(FY 2016)
WORLDWIDE BRAND VOLUME
Net Sales
WW Brand Volume
Underlying EBITDA
INCREASED SCALE POST-MILLERCOORS ACQUISITION
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WITH A FOCUS ON PREMIUMIZATION
GLOBAL PRIORITY BRANDS NATIONAL CHAMPIONS CRAFT & AP PORTFOLIO #1 CRAFT BREWER IN US #1 CRAFT BRAND IN US – Blue Moon #1 SHANDY in US – Leinenkugel’s #1 CASK ALE IN UK – Doom Bar #1 CRAFT BRAND IN IRELAND – Franciscan Well #1 CRAFT BRAND IN SPAIN – La Sagra LEADING CRAFT BRANDS IN CANADA – Creemore, Granville Island & Belgian Moon
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DRIVING OUR FIRST CHOICE AMBITION AND CULTURE
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MAINTAIN FLEXIBILITY TO INVEST – AND PROTECT BOTTOM LINE
EARN MORE
Craft
Geographic Footprint
Customer Partnerships
Cost Savings
Shared Services, Global Procurement & World Class Supply Chain
INVEST WISELY
Dividends
approach
Growth EXPAND EBITDA MARGINS TOTAL SHAREHOLDER RETURN (TSR) + TOP-LINE GROWTH =
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THE ENTERPRISE GROWTH TEAM
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LEVERAGING OUR NEW GLOBAL SCALE
12 Note: 2016 volume and earnings results are pro forma
STRONG PERFORMANCE IN 2Q 2017
1. Solid growth in net sales/HL and worldwide brand volume 2. Higher net income, underlying income and underlying EBITDA 3. Underlying FCF more than tripled versus 1st half 2016 (actual) 4. Net debt reduced more than $522 million in 2nd quarter
$109.27 $111.10 Q2'16 Q2'17 25.8 26.4 Q2'16 Q2'17 $761.8 $805.3 Q2'16 Q2'17
+4.2% REPORTED WW FINANCIAL VOLUME -0.4%
WW BRAND VOLUME
(millions HL)
UNDERLYING EBITDA
(USD millions, constant currency)
NSR/HL
(USD, constant currency)
+2.3% +5.7% +1.7%
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FLAT BY 2018, GROWTH BY 2019
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TOP-LINE GROWTH COUPLED WITH COST EFFICIENCIES
15 2012 2016
On Premise 6th 2nd Off Premise –
15th 1st Off Premise – Impulse 12th 1st
DRIVING UPSIDE POTENTIAL FROM A SOLID BASE
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DRIVING GROWTH FROM A STRONG PLATFORM
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MAINTAIN FLEXIBILITY TO INVEST – AND PROTECT BOTTOM LINE
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MAINTAIN FLEXIBILITY TO INVEST – AND PROTECT BOTTOM LINE
Craft
Geographic Footprint
Customer Partnerships
Cost Savings
Shared Services, Global Procurement & World Class Supply Chain
Dividends
approach
Growth EXPAND EBITDA MARGINS TOTAL SHAREHOLDER RETURN + TOP-LINE GROWTH =
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$1,267 $1,398 $1,469 $1,471 $2,322 $2,383 $- $500 $1,000 $1,500 $2,000 $2,500 $3,000 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 PF 2016 PF
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 PF 2016 PF
18.9% 19.5% 19.6% 19.8% 20.7% 21.7%
1st Half 2017 constant-currency underlying EBITDA up 3.3% Medium-term EBITDA margin guidance average of 30bp-60bp/year
(1) Non-GAAP underlying earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization (EBITDA) is calculated by excluding special and other non-core items from the nearest U.S. GAAP earnings. 2015 and 2016 results are pro forma for the MillerCoors transaction. See reconciliation to nearest U.S. GAAP measures on our website. Note: Underlying EBITDA margin is calculated by dividing underlying EBITDA by net sales (including 42% of MillerCoors net sales in 2011-2014).
($ millions)
STEP CHANGE IN SCALE, STRATEGIES TO GROW
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underlying FCF
and FCF guidance
40% $210 million 40% $165 million 20%
2017 2018 2019 Estimated Total Savings
$175 million
$550 million
Shared Services/ IT/G&A Supply Chain Procurement
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Note: Underlying free cash flow is calculated by excluding special and other non-core cash impacts from the nearest U.S. GAAP metric. 2017 underlying free cash flow guidance also excludes planned capital spending related to building our British Columbia brewery, which is largely funded by proceeds from the sale of our Vancouver brewery in 2016.
Represents substantial step up in FCF levels
23 0x 1x 2x 3x 4x 5x 6x 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 PF
S&P Moody's
2.4x
Net debt down ~$522 million in 2nd Q 2017 ~4x leverage by end of 2018
Note: 2016 PF leverage ratio represents company estimates for S&P and Moody’s pro forma ratios.
Net debt reduced by +1.5 billion
4.3x 2.8x 2.1x 2.2x 5.1x 5.3x 2.6x 3.0x 4.4x
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Revisit dividend policy once deleveraging is well underway
$0.64 $0.76 $0.92 $1.08 $1.24 $1.28 $1.28 $1.48 $1.64 $1.64 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
2014: +16%; 2015: +11% DOUBLED IN 5 YEARS
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STRENGTHEN Balance sheet RETURN CASH to shareholders
BRAND-LED Growth opportunities
Current focus of FCF Maintain dividend now, revisit when deleverage well underway Select investments ahead of the curve
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MAINTAIN FLEXIBILITY TO INVEST – AND PROTECT BOTTOM LINE
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SEPTEMBER 6, 2017