APRIL 2013 BAML O&G Investor Forum
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Bank of America Merrill Lynch Oil & Gas Investor Forum
15 - 17 April 2013
Bank of America Merrill Lynch Oil & Gas Investor Forum 15 - 17 - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Bank of America Merrill Lynch Oil & Gas Investor Forum 15 - 17 April 2013 1 APRIL 2013 BAML O&G Investor Forum Disclaimer Important Notice Nothing in this presentation or in any accompanying management discussion of this presentation
APRIL 2013 BAML O&G Investor Forum
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15 - 17 April 2013
APRIL 2013 BAML O&G Investor Forum
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Disclaimer
Important Notice Nothing in this presentation or in any accompanying management discussion of this presentation (the "Presentation") constitutes, nor is it intended to constitute: (i) an invitation or inducement to engage in any investment activity, whether in the United Kingdom or in any other jurisdiction; (ii) any recommendation or advice in respect of the ordinary shares (the "Shares") in Bowleven plc (the "Company"); or (iii) any offer for the sale, purchase or subscription of any Shares. The Shares are not registered under the US Securities Act of 1933 (as amended) (the "Securities Act") and may not be offered, sold or transferred except pursuant to an exemption from, or in a transaction not subject to, the registration requirements of the Securities Act and in compliance with any other applicable state securities laws. The Presentation may include statements that are, or may be deemed to be "forward-looking statements". These forward-looking statements can be identified by the use of forward-looking terminology, including the terms "believes", "estimates", "anticipates", "projects", "expects", "intends", "may", "will", "seeks" or "should" or, in each case, their negative or other variations or comparable terminology, or by discussions of strategy, plans, objectives, goals, future events or
beliefs or current expectations concerning, amongst other things, the results of operations, financial conditions, liquidity, prospects, growth and strategies of the Company and its direct and indirect subsidiaries (the “Group”) and the industry in which the Group operates. By their nature, forward-looking statements involve risks and uncertainties because they relate to events and depend on circumstances that may or may not occur in the future. Forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future performance. The Group’s actual results of operations, financial conditions and liquidity, and the development of the industry in which the Group operates, may differ materially from those suggested by the forward-looking statements contained in the Presentation. In addition, even if the Group’s results of operations, financial conditions and liquidity, and the development of the industry in which the Group operates, are consistent with the forward-looking statements contained in the Presentation, those results or developments may not be indicative of results or developments in subsequent periods. In light of those risks, uncertainties and assumptions, the events described in the forward-looking statements in the Presentation may not
revise publicly any forward-looking statement, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise. All written and oral forward-looking statements attributable to the Company or to persons acting on the Company's behalf are expressly qualified in their entirety by the cautionary statements referred to above and contained elsewhere in the Presentation.
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Vision & Strategy
material exploration success and development.
appropriate.
relationships.
Vision Strategy – Focus on Africa “It is our vision to build an African focused exploration and production company which in time becomes renowned for its ability to consistently create and realise material shareholder value through exploration led
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Company Overview
Cameroon
seismic acquisition.
Bowleven under a TSA.
* Source: Annual Report 2012. Operator’s volumetrics. Pending update from results and testing of IM-5 well.
Kenya
Kenya Ethiopia
State back-in rights: Etinde 20%, Bomono 10% (at grant of exploitation licence).
Acreage: 2,316km2 Shallow Offshore Equity Interest: 75% (Vitol 25%) Operator: Bowleven Group Etinde Permit Acreage: 2,328km2 Onshore Equity Interest: 100% Operator: Bowleven Group Bomono Permit
Nigeria Cameroon
Acreage: ~14,000km2 Onshore Equity Interest: 50% (Adamantine 50%) Operator: Adamantine Block 11B
South Sudan
Corporate
million IM-5 costs reimbursed at FID.
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†
Resources to Reserves: The Path to FID*
Isongo discovery highlights extensive exploration/appraisal play.
Exploration Strategy
* FID: Final Investment Decision
IM-5: successful appraisal/development well - liquids rich and fertiliser gas requirements underpinned. Submission of Etinde Exploitation Authorisation Application (EEAA); integration of IM-5 results underway. Fertiliser gas sales term sheet including pricing agreed; signing ceremony pending. Access to potential development financing - Petrofac Strategic Alliance. FID targeted for H2 2013 subject to:
†
EEAA
Fertiliser FID (Ferrostaal, SNH, Proman, Helm)
Finance Gas Sales Group Objectives
Excellent Progress
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IM-5 Well Update
Douala Basin
acreage.
seeps.
leads.
phase on 2D dataset.
prospects portfolio on 3D dataset.
Rio del Rey Basin
acreage within a proven active hydrocarbon system.
condensate discoveries.
additional Tertiary prospects.
IM-5; Material exploration/appraisal upside.
Cretaceous Turonian plays accessible in onshore area and shallow waters.
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IM-5 Well - Pre-drill targets and results to date
Etinde Appraisal/Development Drilling
IM-3
Middle Isongo Intra Isongo Upper Isongo
IM-3 (Gas Condensate Discovery) Middle Isongo Net Pay 37m
Upper Isongo (Sands below GWC). 32m (net) encountered and found wet as prognosed. Intra Isongo Log evaluated net pay of approximately 70m. Samples obtained during logging confirm presence of liquids-rich hydrocarbons. DST result pending. Middle Isongo DST Tested >7,000 boepd (23mmscfd & 3,155 bcpd); CGR inferred 136bbls/mmscf
IM-5
properties and gas composition of Middle Isongo.
Intra Isongo.
water bearing.
development well.
Objectives
Forward Plan
Middle Isongo DST
Results to date
Middle Isongo Log evaluated net pay of approximately 25m. Samples obtained during logging confirm presence of liquids-rich hydrocarbons.
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Upper Isongo Intra Isongo Middle Isongo
Seismic Correlation Panel Tying IM Wells
IM-3 IM-5 IM-2 IM-4
Log evaluated net pay approx. 70m. Areally extensive Intra Isongo amplitude response implies gross reservoir thickness greater than 35m.
Upper Isongo Intra Isongo Middle Isongo
3m net
seismic resolution = no amplitude response
1 Km
Log evaluated net pay approx. 25m.
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basis to meet fertiliser plant requirements.
868% to 1,222 bcf and 184 mmbbls respectively. Material Volume Addition
IM Field
Volumetric Update Upper Isongo
1 Km
*Operator’s estimates. Volumes are presented as gross figures.. The WGIIP figures include NGLs, which comprise condensate and LPGs Volumes have been derived on a probabilistic basis but totals have been arithmetically summed. Totalling anything other than mean is statistically incorrect and is provided for illustrative purposes only.
WGIIP (bcf)* P90 P50 P10 Mean Upper Isongo 81 122 187 129 Middle Isongo 175 389 863 467 Intra Isongo 275 539 1,094 626 Total WGIIP (bcf) 531 1,050 2,144 1,222 CIIP (mmbbls)* P90 P50 P10 Mean Upper Isongo 5 8 13 9 Middle Isongo 25 56 127 68 Intra Isongo 44 91 193 107 Total CIIP (mmbbls) 74 155 333 184
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Middle Isongo
IM Field
Volumetric Update
Material Volume Addition
*Operator’s estimates. Volumes are presented as gross figures.. The WGIIP figures include NGLs, which comprise condensate and LPGs Volumes have been derived on a probabilistic basis but totals have been arithmetically summed. Totalling anything other than mean is statistically incorrect and is provided for illustrative purposes only.
basis to meet fertiliser plant requirements.
868% to 1,222 bcf and 184 mmbbls respectively. Material Volume Addition
WGIIP (bcf)* P90 P50 P10 Mean Upper Isongo 81 122 187 129 Middle Isongo 175 389 863 467 Intra Isongo 275 539 1,094 626 Total WGIIP (bcf) 531 1,050 2,144 1,222 CIIP (mmbbls)* P90 P50 P10 Mean Upper Isongo 5 8 13 9 Middle Isongo 25 56 127 68 Intra Isongo 44 91 193 107 Total CIIP (mmbbls) 74 155 333 184
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MIDDLE
P90 IM-5 P10
Middle Isongo
IM Field
Volumetric Update
Material Volume Addition
basis to meet fertiliser plant requirements.
868% to 1,222 bcf and 184 mmbbls respectively. Material Volume Addition
1 Km
*Operator’s estimates. Volumes are presented as gross figures.. The WGIIP figures include NGLs, which comprise condensate and LPGs Volumes have been derived on a probabilistic basis but totals have been arithmetically summed. Totalling anything other than mean is statistically incorrect and is provided for illustrative purposes only.
WGIIP (bcf)* P90 P50 P10 Mean Upper Isongo 81 122 187 129 Middle Isongo 175 389 863 467 Intra Isongo 275 539 1,094 626 Total WGIIP (bcf) 531 1,050 2,144 1,222 CIIP (mmbbls)* P90 P50 P10 Mean Upper Isongo 5 8 13 9 Middle Isongo 25 56 127 68 Intra Isongo 44 91 193 107 Total CIIP (mmbbls) 74 155 333 184
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Intra Isongo
IM Field
Volumetric Update
Material Volume Addition
basis to meet fertiliser plant requirements.
868% to 1,222 bcf and 184 mmbbls respectively. Material Volume Addition
*Operator’s estimates. Volumes are presented as gross figures.. The WGIIP figures include NGLs, which comprise condensate and LPGs Volumes have been derived on a probabilistic basis but totals have been arithmetically summed. Totalling anything other than mean is statistically incorrect and is provided for illustrative purposes only.
WGIIP (bcf)* P90 P50 P10 Mean Upper Isongo 81 122 187 129 Middle Isongo 175 389 863 467 Intra Isongo 275 539 1,094 626 Total WGIIP (bcf) 531 1,050 2,144 1,222 CIIP (mmbbls)* P90 P50 P10 Mean Upper Isongo 5 8 13 9 Middle Isongo 25 56 127 68 Intra Isongo 44 91 193 107 Total CIIP (mmbbls) 74 155 333 184
APRIL 2013 BAML O&G Investor Forum
13 P99 polygon ~4.5km2 P01 polygon ~30km2
Intra Isongo
IM Field
Volumetric Update
Material Volume Addition
basis to meet fertiliser plant requirements.
868% to 1,222 bcf and 184 mmbbls respectively. Material Volume Addition
*Operator’s estimates. Volumes are presented as gross figures.. The WGIIP figures include NGLs, which comprise condensate and LPGs Volumes have been derived on a probabilistic basis but totals have been arithmetically summed. Totalling anything other than mean is statistically incorrect and is provided for illustrative purposes only.
WGIIP (bcf)* P90 P50 P10 Mean Upper Isongo 81 122 187 129 Middle Isongo 175 389 863 467 Intra Isongo 275 539 1,094 626 Total WGIIP (bcf) 531 1,050 2,144 1,222 CIIP (mmbbls)* P90 P50 P10 Mean Upper Isongo 5 8 13 9 Middle Isongo 25 56 127 68 Intra Isongo 44 91 193 107 Total CIIP (mmbbls) 74 155 333 184
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Intra Isongo Exploration/Appraisal Upside
1 Km
IM-5
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Intra Isongo Exploration/Appraisal
Upside at discovery horizon and greater interval
Material Exploration/Appraisal Upside
quality sands.
200bbl/mmscf, Intra Isongo 100-285bbl/mmscf.
same horizon as the Intra Isongo discovery.
above and below Intra Isongo horizon - “greater interval”.
Intra Isongo Prospects
Unrisked In-Place Prospect Volumes* WGIIP (bcf) P90 P50 P10 Mean Intra Isongo discovery horizon 303 678 1,530 822 CIIP (mmbbl) P90 P50 P10 Mean Intra Isongo discovery horizon 48 114 269 141
*Operator’s estimates. Volumes are presented as gross figures.. The WGIIP figures include NGLs, which comprise condensate and LPGs Volumes have been derived on a probabilistic basis but totals have been arithmetically summed. Totalling anything other than mean is statistically incorrect and is provided for illustrative purposes only.
IE-3
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Intra Isongo Exploration/Appraisal
Upside at discovery horizon and greater interval
Greater Interval Sand Greater Interval Sand Intra Isongo Horizon
IM-5
Material Exploration/Appraisal Upside
quality sands.
200bbl/mmscf, Intra Isongo 100-285bbl/mmscf.
same horizon as the Intra Isongo discovery.
above and below Intra Isongo horizon - “greater interval”.
1 Km
Unrisked In-Place Prospect Volumes* WGIIP (bcf) P90 P50 P10 Mean Greater interval 296 630 1,413 769 CIIP (mmbbl) P90 P50 P10 Mean Greater interval 47 107 248 132
*Operator’s estimates. Volumes are presented as gross figures.. The WGIIP figures include NGLs, which comprise condensate and LPGs Volumes have been derived on a probabilistic basis but totals have been arithmetically summed. Totalling anything other than mean is statistically incorrect and is provided for illustrative purposes only.
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Intra Isongo Exploration/Appraisal
Upside at discovery horizon and greater interval Greater Interval Prospects
Unrisked In-Place Prospect Volumes* WGIIP (bcf) P90 P50 P10 Mean Intra Isongo discovery horizon 303 678 1,530 822 Greater interval 296 630 1,413 769 TOTAL (bcf) 599 1,308 2,943 1,591 CIIP (mmbbl) P90 P50 P10 Mean Intra Isongo discovery horizon 48 114 269 141 Greater interval 47 107 248 132 TOTAL (mmbbl) 95 221 517 273
Material Exploration/Appraisal Upside
quality sands.
200bbl/mmscf, Intra Isongo 100-285bbl/mmscf.
same horizon as the Intra Isongo discovery.
above and below Intra Isongo horizon - “greater interval”. IM-5
Intra Isongo Discovery Horizon *Operator’s estimates. Volumes are presented as gross figures.. The WGIIP figures include NGLs, which comprise condensate and LPGs Volumes have been derived on a probabilistic basis but totals have been arithmetically summed. Totalling anything other than mean is statistically incorrect and is provided for illustrative purposes only.
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IM Field
Discovered Volumes and Upside Potential (Unrisked)
Intra Isongo Unrisked Prospect Volumes* P90 P50 P10 Mean Total WGIIP (bcf) 599 1,308 2,943 1,591 Total CIIP (mmbbl) 95 221 517 273
Middle Isongo Hydrocarbon Column
Discovered Volumes* IM Field P90 P50 P10 Mean Total WGIIP (bcf) 531 1,050 2,144 1,222 Total CIIP (mmbbl) 74 155 333 184
Discovered Volumes prior to IM-5* P90 P50 P10 Mean Total WGIIP (bcf) 128 319 975 466 Total CIIP (mmbbl) 7 12 30 19 *Operator’s estimates. Volumes are presented as gross figures.. The WGIIP figures include NGLs, which comprise condensate and LPGs Volumes have been derived on a probabilistic basis but totals have been arithmetically summed. Totalling anything other than mean is statistically incorrect and is provided for illustrative purposes only.
Overview of Volumes
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Etinde Existing Discoveries
Overview of Gross Unrisked Mean Volumes In place*
Deep Omicron fairway *Operator’s estimates. IC IF IE IM
Manyikebi
Sapele-3 Sapele-2 Sapele-1/ST SNA-1X D-Discovery
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Hub and Spoke Development
Flexibility for future expansion
fertiliser plant.
timetable
requirements, with associated reduction in costs. Stage I Development Cost Target (Gross): ~$900 million Phased Approach
evaluation.
to be updated post completion of IM-5 well.
required. Liquids Focused – Gas Enabled
* Operator projections, currently excludes IF.
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from Etinde.
development with $60 million IM-5 costs reimbursed at FID.
and personnel (including engineering, design, project management, procurement and training).
Strategic Alliance
Hub and Spoke Development
Stage I Development Gantt Chart
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the Sapele and D-1R wells.
number of wells, completion type and reservoir connectivity.
platforms integrated with onshore hub facility constructed in Stage I.
(previously announced) validate Bowleven’s Deep Omicron in-place fairway volumes. Sapele & D-1R
Hub and Spoke Development
Stage II (MLHP-5)
Independent Volume Assessment In-Place Volumes Mean Bowleven‡ Sproule* Total mmboe 1,197 1,208
Independent Volume Assessment
‡ Operator’s volumetrics.
*Aggregated discovered and undiscovered volumes.
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Cameroon Overview
Further Prospectivity
Douala Basin
acreage.
seeps.
leads.
phase on 2D dataset.
prospects portfolio on 3D dataset.
Rio del Rey Basin
acreage within a proven active hydrocarbon system.
condensate discoveries.
additional Tertiary prospects.
IM-5; Material exploration/appraisal upside.
Cretaceous Turonian plays accessible in onshore area and shallow waters.
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Etinde - Further Prospectivity
MLHP-6 MLHP-5
active hydrocarbon systems.
dataset.
*Operator’s volumetrics.
MLHP-7
Intra Isongo and greater interval.
MLHP-5 MLHP-6
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system.
defined in area.
with airborne magnetic/gravity survey and geochemical datasets which now define a series of structural prospects.
Bomono Overview
Bowleven 2D Acquisition Vintage 2D
VOG: Gas and condensate production commenced Dec 2011.
Douala 10km Seeps
Historical
NE SW
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Bomono Exploration
Well Operations Future
immediate follow-up with second independent exploration well.
further discoveries.
Prospect Unrisked Mean HIIP Oil mmbbls Associated Gas bcf Gas bcf Condensate mmbbls Tertiary D & E Sands.
302 224
Tertiary B & C Sands.
196 7
Permit Status
two year exploration phase (to December 2014).
considering alternative farm-out partners in parallel.
Zingana-1 (Proposed Well) B & C Sands D & E Sands
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Kenya
Upcoming Work Programme
Geology
Cretaceous rift systems.
(Ngamia-1).
by Bowleven under a TSA. Block 11B
Block 11B
Ngamia-1 Ngamia-1 Twiga South-1 Twiga South-1 Paipai-1 Paipai-1
■Cretaceous ■Tertiary
Sabisa Sabisa
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Kenya Block 11B
and structural features closely analogous to successful discoveries to the south.
Vibroseis seismic acquisition.
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Funding Overview
initial capital investment at FID.
farm-down (up to 1/3).
Significant financing flexibility.
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Outlook
drilling anticipated 2014. Exploration
FEED/FEED work. Resources to Reserves: The Path to Development
Cameroon Exploration New Frontiers (Kenya)
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Petrofac Commercial Structure
invested has been repaid.
money multiple of 2.125 of amount invested, subject to not less than 20% IRR.
X% set at 10% ($500 million case) or 6% ($300 million case).
X% set at 5% ($500 million case) or 3% ($300 million case).
Euroil’s project NPV.
Basis of Petrofac’s Remuneration Commercial Structure
capital.
project cashflows.
Onshore Hub Offshore Infrastructure
$300 / $500 million Share of cost & profit oil
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Cond.
MLHP-7 MLHP-5
Further Disc.
Maximising Liquids Value
currently imports from Equatorial Guinea).
IM IE IF
Omicron Deep & Lower
Epsilon
D-Discovery (D-1R) Other existing & Future Discoveries Oil, Condensate & up to 90mmscfd of wet gas Liquids Stripping (Primary Processing) NGL Plant Up to 80mmscfd Dry Gas Power (AES) Up to 10mmscfd Fertiliser (Ferrostaal) Up to 70mmscfd LNG Up to 80mmscfd Delivery Point Gas Options
C4’s
Butane
C3’s
Propane
Methanol c.60-70mmscfd Small Scale LNG c.60-70mmscfd Reinjection
Total Liquids Production 10-15% Shrinkage 3rd Party Led Alternative In-House Solutions
Principal Contact: Kerry Crawford Tel: +44 131 524 5678 Kevin Hart Tel: +44 131 524 5678 www.bowleven.com Bowleven Plc. The Cube 45 Leith Street Edinburgh EH1 3AT United Kingdom info@bowleven.com