Aus ustr tralia: alia: Tren ends ds an and d po poss ssible - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

aus ustr tralia alia tren ends ds an and d
SMART_READER_LITE
LIVE PREVIEW

Aus ustr tralia: alia: Tren ends ds an and d po poss ssible - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

MELBOURNE INSTITUTE Applied Economic & Social Research Eco Econo nomic mic ineq inequa uali lity ty in in Aus ustr tralia: alia: Tren ends ds an and d po poss ssible ible po poli licy y res espo pons nses es Roger


slide-1
SLIDE 1

Page 1

MELBOURNE INSTITUTE Applied Economic & Social Research

Eco Econo nomic mic ineq inequa uali lity ty in in Aus ustr tralia: alia: Tren ends ds an and d po poss ssible ible po poli licy y res espo pons nses es

Roger Wilkins

Friday, 21 July 2017

slide-2
SLIDE 2

Page 2 Page 2

“Australian statistics show that we are at the most unequal we’ve been in 75 years.”

Leader of the Opposition, Bill Shorten, speaking on ABC TV’s Q&A program, September 21, 2015.

slide-3
SLIDE 3

3 4 5 6 7 8 9

1970-71 1973-74 1976-77 1979-80 1982-83 1985-86 1988-89 1991-92 1994-95 1997-98 2000-01 2003-04 2006-07 2009-10 2012-13

%

Income share of the top 1% Persons aged 15 and over

Top incomes in Australia – Tax records data

8.2% in 2014-15

slide-4
SLIDE 4

Overall inequality as measured by household surveys

0,27 0,28 0,29 0,30 0,31 0,32 0,33 2000-01 2002-03 2004-05 2006-07 2008-09 2010-11 2012-13 2014-15

Gini coefficient - Equivalised income

ABS HILDA

slide-5
SLIDE 5

Relative income poverty

8 9 10 11 12 13 14 2000-01 2002-03 2004-05 2006-07 2008-09 2010-11 2012-13 2014-15 %

Proportion in relative poverty (less than half of median income)

ABS HILDA

slide-6
SLIDE 6

What about the distribution of wealth?

0,60 0,61 0,61 0,62 0,62 0,63 0,63 0,64 0,64 2002-03 2004-05 2006-07 2008-09 2010-11 2012-13 2014-15

Wealth inequality (Gini coefficient)

ABS HILDA

slide-7
SLIDE 7

Household annual disposable income per capita

38.000 40.000 42.000 44.000 46.000 48.000 50.000 52.000 54.000 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016

$

March 2017 prices - Quarterly seasonally adjusted series

slide-8
SLIDE 8

Earnings inequality

0,20 0,22 0,24 0,26 0,28 0,30 0,32 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015

Gini coefficient - Weekly earnings of full-time employees

Males Males Females Females

slide-9
SLIDE 9

Page 9

Policies to address economic inequality – a few principles

  • There are many tools available (and required)
  • Evaluate the distributional effects of all policies and institutions.
  • Address inequality of opportunity and inequality of outcomes (It is not

enough to tackle inequality of opportunities)

  • Prioritise tackling the economically inefficient sources of inequality
  • In-kind income is an important consideration
  • Don’t underestimate the importance of incentives or the benefits of a

market-based economy

slide-10
SLIDE 10

Page 10

Some policies to address economic inequality

Improve progressivity of the income tax and transfer system

  • Traditional mechanism, and has an important role to play
  • Reduce various tax expenditures/exemptions (e.g., capital gains)

Reduce economic rents

  • Especially those deriving from government actions – licensing, zoning,

regulatory activity, etc.

  • Competition policy also a useful tool

Invest in public education and health systems

  • Especially helpful for reducing inequality of opportunity

Broad-based land tax

  • Easier and more efficient than a wealth tax

Treat gifts and inheritances as taxable income of the recipient

slide-11
SLIDE 11

Page 11 Page 11

Increase minimum wages

  • Better to take steps to improve labour’s productivity and bargaining power

Introduce a Universal Basic Income (unconditional payment to all adults)

  • A decent UBI would require much higher taxes (e.g., $20,000 UBI = $380 billion) and

would blunt the benefits of work

  • Not very effective at reducing inequality (and may increase it)
  • Also doesn’t appeal as a response to automation: Doesn’t seem to be a good idea to plan

for a world in which many or most do not work

  • Taxing capital intensive production (a ‘robot tax’) is likely to be preferable

What I wouldn’t do

slide-12
SLIDE 12

Page 12

MELBOURNE INSTITUTE Applied Economic & Social Research

Eco Econo nomic mic ineq inequa uali lity ty in in Aus ustr tralia: alia: Tren ends ds an and d po poss ssible ible po poli licy y res espo pons nses es

Roger Wilkins