Western Interstate Commission For Higher Education Oregon H High gher Educati tion i in a a Western rn C Con ontext: D Data, a, Tren ends, a and S nd Strateg egies es Oregon Higher Education Coordinating Commission August 9, 2017
What is WICHE?
The Western Interstate Commission for Higher Education - WICHE An interstate compact formed 65 years ago
WICHE’s Role in the Region Promotes access and excellence in higher education for all citizens of the West through: Regional collaboration Resource sharing Sound public policy Innovation
Changing Demographics in the West and Oregon THE GOAL:
High School Graduates in the WICHE Region, 1993-94 to 2012-13 (Actual); 2013-14 to 2031-32 (Projected) 950,000 850,000 ACTUA 750,000 L PROJECTED AL 650,000 550,000 450,000 350,000 1993 1996 1999 2002 2005 2008 2011 2014 2017 2020 2023 2026 2029 Source: Western Interstate Commission for Higher Education, “Knocking at the College Door: Projections of High School Graduates, December 2016” http://www.wiche.edu/knocking.
High School Graduates in the WICHE region by Race/Ethnicity, 2001-01 to 2012-13 (Actual); 2013- 14 to 2031-32 (Projected) 830,996 789,092 772,755 666,730 2001 2006 2011 2016 2021 2026 2031 American Indian/Alaska Native Asian/Pacific Islander Black Hispanic White Nonpublic Source: Western Interstate Commission for Higher Education, “Knocking at the College Door: Projections of High School Graduates, December 2016” http://www.wiche.edu/knocking.
Cumulative Change in West’s Public High School Graduates after 2012-13 by Race/Ethnicity 278K H K Hispan anic +65K 86K 6K Asian an/Pac ac. I Isl. 70 14K 4K Am. m. Ind. d./Alask ska N Native 50 42K B K Blac ack 54K 4K P Private e School ools 30 356K 6K W Whi hite Thousands +3K 10 +2K -4K -8K -10 -14K -30 -37K -39K -50 2012-13 2018-19 2024-25 2030-31 Source: Western Interstate Commission for Higher Education, “Knocking at the College Door: Projections of High School Graduates, December 2016” http://www.wiche.edu/knocking.
High School Graduates in Oregon, 1993-94 to 2012- 13 (Actual); 2013-14 to 2031-32 (Projected) 40,000 38,000 36,000 PROJECTED 34,000 ACTUAL 32,000 30,000 28,000 26,000 24,000 22,000 20,000 1993 1996 1999 2002 2005 2008 2011 2014 2017 2020 2023 2026 2029 Source: Western Interstate Commission for Higher Education, “Knocking at the College Door: Projections of High School Graduates, December 2016” http://www.wiche.edu/knocking.
High School Graduates in Oregon by Race/Ethnicity, 2001-01 to 2012-13 (Actual); 2013-14 to 2031-32 (Projected) 37,262 35,417 32,456 2001 2006 2011 2016 2021 2026 2031 American Indian/Alaska Native Asian/Pacific Islander Black Hispanic White Nonpublic Source: Western Interstate Commission for Higher Education, “Knocking at the College Door: Projections of High School Graduates, December 2016” http://www.wiche.edu/knocking.
Cumulative Change in Oregon’s Public High School Graduates after 2012-13 by Race/Ethnicity 4,000 5, +3,341 5,807 Hi 807 Hispanic ic 3,500 1, 1,815 815 Asian/Pac. I . Isl. 498 3,000 498 Am. I Ind./ ./Alask ska Native ve 2,500 779 779 Black ck 2, 2,918 918 Priv ivate S Schools ls 2,000 +1,177 +1,689 25, 25,463 463 White te 1,500 1,000 +284 500 -107 0 -217 -500 -250 -1,000 2012-13 2015-16 2018-19 2021-22 2024-25 2027-28 2030-31 Source: Western Interstate Commission for Higher Education, “Knocking at the College Door: Projections of High School Graduates, December 2016” http://www.wiche.edu/knocking.
Postsecondary Trends THE GOAL:
Oregon Undergraduate Enrollment by Institution Type, 2010-2015 (With Percent of Total Enrollment) 120,000 51% 52% 50% 49% 47% 100,000 46% 41% 43% 40% 42% 38% 38% 80,000 60,000 40,000 10% 10% 10% 10% 11% 11% 20,000 0 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Total Public, 2-year Total Public, 4-year or above Total Private not-for-profit, 4-year or above Source: IPEDS Fall Enrollment Survey 2010-2015
Total Undergraduate Enrollment in Oregon Public Institutions of Higher Education by Race/Ethnicity, 2005 & 2015 (With Percent Change) +3% 120,000 100,000 80,000 60,000 40,000 +161% 20,000 +11% +43% -16% 2005 2015 0 White Hispanic Asian Black American Indian or Alaska Native Source: IPEDS Fall Enrollment Survey 2005 & 2015.
Graduation Rates by Institutional Type, 2015 80% 76% 75% 73% 71% 70% 69% 70% 59% 58% 60% 50% 50% 39% 40% 32% 29% 30% 20% 10% 0% Associate's Colleges Baccalaureate/ Research/Doctoral Private Four-Year Master's Institutions Universities Institutions Oregon WICHE US (no territories) National Center for Education Statistics (NCES), Integrated Postsecondary Education Data System (IPEDS). Graduation Rate Survey, 2015
Oregon Postsecondary Graduation Rates by Institutional Type, 2002-2015 60% 58% 55% Public, Four-Year 50% 48% 45% 40% Public, Two-Year 35% 32% 29% 30% 25% 2002 2005 2008 2011 2014 National Center for Education Statistics (NCES), Integrated Postsecondary Education Data System (IPEDS). Graduation Rate Survey, 2002-2015
Oregon Graduation Rates at Public, Four- Year Institutions, 2015 69% Asian 59% White 49% Hispanic 37% Black 34% American Indian/Alaska Native 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% National Center for Education Statistics (NCES), Integrated Postsecondary Education Data System (IPEDS). Graduation Rate Survey, 2002-2015
Oregon Graduation Rates at Public, Two-Year Institutions, 2015 34% Asian 30% White 29% Hispanic 19% American Indian/Alaska Native 19% Black 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% National Center for Education Statistics (NCES), Integrated Postsecondary Education Data System (IPEDS). Graduation Rate Survey, 2002-2015
Levels of Education for Oregon Residents, Aged 25-64, 2015 600,000 549,275 474,142 500,000 457,148 400,000 300,000 251,691 199,135 200,000 134,680 78,612 100,000 0 Less than 9th to 12th High school Some Associate's Bachelor's Graduate or 9th Gade grade, no of GED college, no degree (9%) degree professional (4%) diploma (22%) degree (21%) degree (6%) (26%) (12%) Source: US Census, American Community Survey, PUMS One Year Survey, 2015
Postsecondary Educational Attainment, Associate’s Degree and Above, Adults Aged 25-64 (2015) Colorado 49% North Dakota 47% Washington 45% Hawaii 44% Oregon 42% Utah 42% South Dakota 42% Montana 41% California 41% Alaska 38% Wyoming 38% Idaho 37% Arizona 37% New Mexico 34% Nevada 32% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45% 50% Source: U.S. Census, American Community Survey, PUMS 1 Year Survey, 2015.
Postsecondary Educational Attainment, Associate’s Degree and Above, Adults Aged 25-64, 2005-2015 45% 44% 43% 42% 42% 41% OREGON 41% 40% WICHE 39% 39% 38% 37% 37% 36% 35% 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Source: U.S. Census, American Community Survey, PUMS 1 Year Survey, 2015.
Postsecondary Educational Attainment, Associate’s Degree and Above, By Race/Ethnicity, Adults Aged 25-64 (2015) 70% 61% 60% 60% 49% 50% 45% 40% 34% 34% 30% 26% 22% 21% 19% 20% 10% Oregon WICHE 0% Asian/Pacific White Black American Hispanic Islander Indian/Alaksa Native Source: U.S. Census, American Community Survey, https://www.census.gov/hhes/socdemo/education/.
Postsecondary Funding and Finance THE GOAL:
Public FTE Enrollment, Educational Appropriation and Total Revenue per FTE, WICHE Region, Fiscal 2000-2016 $14,000 3,500,000 $12,000 3,000,000 $2,217 $4,523 $3,269 $2,822 $2,099 Dollars Per FTE $2,684 $4,371 $10,000 2,500,000 Education Revenue $3,260 $3,974 FTE Public FTE Enrollment $8,000 2,000,000 $6,000 1,500,000 $9,578 $8,892 $8,754 $8,713 $8,211 $8,115 $7,337 $7,180 $4,000 $6,394 1,000,000 $2,000 500,000 $000 0 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 Educational Appropriations per FTE, Constant Dollars Net Tuition per FTE, Constant Dollars Net Public FTE Enrollment Source: State Higher Education Executive Officers, “State Higher Education Finance, The FY 2016 Report,” http://sheeo.org/sites/default/files/SHEEO_SHEF_2016_Report.pdf
Public FTE Enrollment, Educational Appropriation and Total Revenue per FTE, Oregon, Fiscal 2000- 2016 16,000 180,000 160,000 14,000 140,000 12,000 Dollars Per FTE Education Revenue $5,213 $8,282 120,000 Public FTE $4,649 FTE Enrollment $5,748 10,000 $5,682 $5,483 $8,070 100,000 $5,263 $6,656 8,000 80,000 6,000 60,000 $7,626 $7,197 4,000 $6,496 $6,105 $5,991 $5,945 40,000 $5,248 $4,598 $4,214 2,000 20,000 0 - 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 Educational Appropriations per FTE, Constant Dollars Net Tuition per FTE, Constant Dollars Net Public FTE Enrollment Source: State Higher Education Executive Officers, “State Higher Education Finance, The FY 2016 Report,” http://sheeo.org/sites/default/files/SHEEO_SHEF_2016_Report.pdf
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