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Aug ugust ust 2018 2018 2 Current Status Aug 2018 Production - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Cor orpo porat ate e Presentation entation Aug ugust ust 2018 2018 2 Current Status Aug 2018 Production Overview 2018 average production forecast of 267,500-275,000 boepd 2018 average liquid production of 50,000 bpd
Production Overview 2018 average production forecast of 267,500-275,000 boepd 2018 average liquid production of 50,000 bpd 2018 production exit estimate of 290,000-297,500 boepd. Three Major Core Areas Alberta Deep Basin: Approximately 1.8 million acres (largest Deep Basin land position) NEBC Montney Gas/Condensate: One of Canada’s largest Montney producers Peace River Triassic Oil: Three large, regional, light oil and gas resource plays All three core areas completely de-risked via 1,200 wells drilled by Tourmaline since February 2009. Reserves 2P gas reserves of 10.7 TCF (Jan 1, 2018) 2P liquid reserves of 431.6 mmbbls (Jan 1, 2018) Only 14% of existing drilling inventory booked (2,074 of 14,471 locations – see Schedule A) Drilling Inventory Approximately 6,167 horizontal locations in the Deep Basin; 3,633 hz Montney locations in NEBC; 1,898 locations in Peace River High Charlie Lake core area (see Schedule A) Financial Position Net Debt $1.5 billion (June 30, 2018) Top quartile debt to cash flow ratio will be maintained EP Capital budgets will generate free cash flow for 2018 and beyond Cash flow increased by 65% to $1.2 billion in 2017, from $732 million in 2016 Continued strong earnings reflect Tourmaline’s capability to generate growing full cycle returns for shareholders. Shares OS 272.1 million (June 30, 2018) Insiders have purchased over 22% of OS (fully diluted) (D&O ownership 7.0%)
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1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Reserves per Share (BOEs)
50 100 150 200 250 300 350
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Production per Thousand Shares (BOEs)
$3.00 $4.00 $5.00 $6.00 $7.00
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
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$0.00 $1.00 $2.00 $3.00 $4.00 $5.00
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Cash Flow per Share ($)
* debt adjusted
* 0.00 00 1.00 00 2.00 00 3.00 00 4.00 00 5.00 00 6.00 00
50 1 100 1 150 2 200 2 250 3 300 3 350 4 400 Q1 Q1 201 012 Q2 Q2 201 012 Q3 Q3 201 012 Q4 Q4 201 012 Q1 Q1 201 013 Q2 Q2 201 013 Q3 Q3 201 013 Q4 Q4 201 013 Q1 Q1 201 014 Q2 Q2 201 014 Q3 Q3 201 014 Q4 Q4 201 014 Q1 Q1 201 015 Q2 Q2 201 015 Q3 Q3 201 015 Q4 Q4 201 015 Q1 Q1 201 016 Q2 Q2 201 016 Q3 Q3 201 016 Q4 Q4 201 016 Q1 Q1 201 017 Q2 Q2 201 017 Q3 Q3 201 017 Q4 Q4 201 017 Q1 Q1 201 018 Q2 Q2 201 018
AECO ($/m $/mcf) Earnings s befo fore e tax x ($ mi millions) s)
Earning ngs s be before re t taxes es ( (000 00,000 00s) AECO CO ( (CAD$/ $/mcf cf)
Q4 2014 earnings enhanced by the sale of 25% of the Peace River High Complex.
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5
400 600 800 1,000 1,200 1,400 1,600 1,800 Production (Mmcf/d) 2016A Natural Gas (Mmcf/d) 2017E Natural Gas (Mmcf/d) 2018E Natural Gas (Mmcf/d)
2016 WCSB Gas production was based on publicly available data 2017E production based on Peters and Co as at June 15, 2017 except for Tourmaline which is based on official guidance 2018E production for Tourmaline is based on Tourmaline’s 2018 forecast.
Tourmaline is currently producing between 1.3 and 1.35 bcf/day
Increased volumes accessing Saturn deep cut and acceleration of new liquid rich targets (Cardium, Viking, Falher D). Acceleration of Montney Turbidite development with incremental condensate production through the new Doe 2-11 plant (2H Mar, 2017 start-up). Four active rigs on the Peace River High yielding record oil volumes for the overall complex.
Tourmaline has doubled liquids production over the past 15 months with strong liquids growth across all three operated
Tourmaline grew total 2P liquid reserves by 73% in 2017 to 431.6 mmboe, underpinning the strong liquids production growth.
Deep Basin NEBC Peace River High
20,000 30,000 40,000 50,000 60,000 70,000 80,000 Q3 2016 Q4 2016 Q1 2017 Q2 2017 2018 (E) 2019 Ave (E) Q4 2019 (E) 20,138 28,028 34,215 36,127 50,000 64,500 72,500
Oil and NGLs (bbl/d)
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Through Product, Marketing and Transportation Diversification
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Tourmaline consistently outperforms the quarterly AECO index price (every year for seven years) Tourmaline’s transportation diversification strategy allows for direct participation in natural gas price rallies at multiple hubs (Dawn, Chicago, Ventura, San Francisco, etc) Oil, condensate and NGLs now generate over 1/3 of the Company’s revenue. These volumes are expected to grow by a further 50% over the next 18 months.
AECO & Station 2 14% Fixed Price 18%
NYMEX Basis 7%
NYMEX-Based Delivery 20% NGL 12% Oil 29%
Prod’n BOEPD After-tax Cash Flow $MM(2)(3) After-tax CFPS - Diluted E&P Capital Program(4) (6) $MM Free Cash Flow(5) $MM Dividend $MM Ending (Net Debt)(3) $MM 2018E 270,000 $1,343 $4.94 $1,082 $232 ($101) ($1,576) 2019E 291,000 $1,621 $5.96 $1,354 $235 ($109) ($1,448) 2020E 314,000 $1,733 $6.37 $1,155 $544 ($109) ($1,009) 2021E 333,000 $1,794 $6.59 $1,278 $479 ($109) ($639) 2022E 355,000 $1,888 $6.94 $1,322 $526 ($109) ($221)
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(1) 5 year plan derived by utilizing, among other assumptions, historical Tourmaline production performance and current cost assumptions inflated at 2.5% annually after 2018. 2019 and beyond provided for illustration only. Budgets and forecast beyond 2018 have not been finalized and are subject to a variety of factors including prior year’s results. (2) Price assumptions: Gas price - $3.00 2018 NYMEX US, $3.10 2019-2022 NYMEX US, $1.85 2018 AECO, $2.25 2019-2022 AECO (approximately 85% of Tourmaline's Q3 – Q4 2018 natural gas production is not exposed to AECO spot pricing). Oil price - $65.00/bbl 2018 WTI US, $60.00/bbl 2019 WTI US, $55.00/bbl 2020-2022 WTI US. (3) See “Non-GAAP Measures” in Forward Looking Statement Advisories. (4) E&P Capital Program is defined as total capital spending before acquisitions, dispositions and other corporate expenditures. (5) Free Cash Flow is defined as Cash Flow less Total Net Capital Expenditures. Total Net Capital Expenditures is defined as the sum of E&P Capital Program and other corporate expenditures, net of non-core dispositions. Free Cash Flow is prior to dividend payments. (6) 2018 E&P Capital Program is presented net of non-core dispositions.
100,000 150,000 200,000 250,000 300,000 350,000 400,000 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 Boe/d Spirit River NEBC Deep Basin
Alberta NE BC Fir Wild River
Cardium Viking Mannville/Notikewin Falher Cadomin Dunvegan Nikinassin Bluesky Gething Wilrich Gething
T43 T45 T47 T49 T51 T53 T55 T57 T59 T61 T63 T65 R10 R12 R14 R16 R18 R20 R22 R24 R26 R1W6 R3 R5 R7 R9
Current Production 180,000-185,000 boepd Current Reserves 984.4 mmboe (Jan 1, 2018) Tourmaline Land Base 1.77 million acres Drilling Inventory 2,322 locations (vertical)
(~1.5wells per section only)
6,167 hz locations
Tourmaline Gas Plant Tourmaline Lands Possible Facility Locations
Hinton Ansell Marsh Harley Minehead Smoky Cecilia Musreau /Kakwa Lovett Brazeau Edson Sundance
TCPL Main Line
Leland
Tourmaline has reached production levels of 180,000 boepd from the Deep Basin through the drilling of only 490 hz wells to date. The Company has a future hz drilling inventory of over 6,167 locations.
T59
Oldman
2015 Significant New Discoveries 9
Top Alberta Viking Wells
(March to May)
Top Alberta Cardium Wells
(March to May)
Tourmaline consistently drills a significant proportion of the best performing new wells in the Alberta Deep Basin. The Company attributes this to a combination of a dominant position in the subsurface sweet spots for multiple Cretaceous Formations, utilization of 3D seismic to select the majority of the horizontal locations, and continuously improving completion technology. Deep Basin liquid rich gas horizons, such as the Cardium and Viking, are yielding total condensate/ngl production that out-performs the
Source: NBF 10
T43 T45 T47 T49 T53 T55 T57 T59 R14 R16 R18 R20 R22 R24 R26 R1W6 R3 T57 T55 T59
Smoky Cabin Creek Stolberg Anderson
Tourmaline Gas Plant Tourmaline Lands Tourmaline Cardium Locations Tourmaline Pipelines Liquids Rich Cardium Fairway Cardium Faults
10-25-50-23W5 PAD (1 Vert, + 1 Hztl) IP 90 – 14.2 mmcfpd, 293 bbls/day cond. CR - 23.5 mmcfpd, 660 bbls/d CUM – 5.6 bcf, 110 mstb EUR – 21.0 bcf, 365 mbbls
Tourmaline Cardium Wells 2017-2018 Tourmaline Cardium Wells
The combination of extensive 3D seismic coverage and the lowest cost drilling/completion capability make the liquids rich Cardium play a significant new incremental opportunity in the overall Tourmaline Deep Basin portfolio.
11 Only the initial Cardium delineation locations are depicted, the potential location inventory is significantly larger. Note that each depicted surface location represents two hz wells (hanging wall/footwall)
12-36-50-23W5 Pad ( 1 Hztl) IP 90 - 15 mmcfpd CR - 5.7 mmcfpd CUM – 4.86 bcf, 135 mbbls EUR - 12.0 bcf, 320 mbbls
6-7 Proposed 2018 – 2019 Cardium Wells
6-1-51-23W5 PAD (2 Hztls) 5 day Test Average Rates 2-11
13-36 - 24.3 mmcfpd, 510 bbls/d cond.
TCPL Mainline
Westcoast McMahon Gas Plant
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* See Schedule A
Current Prod. 350-360 mmcf/d 7,500-8,500 bpd condensate Current Reserves 1,079.4 mmboe (Jan 1, 2018) Montney Drilling In excess of 3,600 horizontal Inventory* locations. Liquid rich Lower Turbidite horizon will add incremental locations. Tourmaline is the 4th largest Montney producer in NEBC with production in excess of 75,000 boepd.
TOU Land TOU Pipelines Major Pipelines
TCPL North Morntney 2019 Spectra Ft. Nelson Mainline
3-18 Sunrise Gas Plant 75 MMCF/D A-21-I Gundy
10 MMCF/D 2-11 Doe Gas Plant Start-up Mar 30, 2017 60 MMCF/D 13-25 Doe Gas Plant 100 MMCF/D 1-32 Doe
TOU 12 MMCF/D B-67-H Sundown Gas Plant 50 MMCF/D Mid-2018 expansion to 150 mmcfpd C-60-A Gas Plant 200 MMCF/D Q4 2019 Black Swan
25 mmcf/d TOU Gas Plants TOU Compressor Station TOU Wells
2018/2019 NEBC Development Plan 2018 Drilling 57 wells (D,C,T) 2018 Facilities Doe 2-11 sweetening facility will add 3,500 bpd condensate production in Q4 2018 Production acceleration at Gundy in Q4 2019 Facilities 200 mmcfpd deep cut plant at Gundy in Q4 2019 17,500 bpd condensate and ngls.
AltaGas North Gathering Line Pembina Gundy Line 2017 Alliance TCPL North Montney Line 2019
A-21-I Gundy
10 MMCF/D C-60-A Gas Plant 200 MMCF/D 2H 2019
9 Wells Rig Released June 2017 Average Rate to Date (mmcf/d) Number
Average Free Condy Yield (bbl/mmcf) Average Total Liquid Yield (bbl/mmcf) Upper Montney Lobe 6.0 260 35.4 50.1 Middle Montney Lobe 4.5 224 35.1 49.8 Lower Montney Lobe 3.8 199 32.6 47.2
Gundy Current Production: 13,000-15,000 BOEPD No of wells drilled by TOU: 28 No of potential locations: 1600 (100% TOU) Free Liquid Content: 30-50 bbls/mmcf
Black Swan
25 MMCF/D TWP 88 94-B-9 94-B-16 94-A-13
Spectra Fort Nelson Mainline 2.0 bcf/d (Sales)
Tourmaline Land Tourmaline Montney Well Tourmaline Future Padsite Tourmaline 2017 Drilled Wells Tourmaline 18/19 Schedule Wells Tourmaline Pipelines Tourmaline Proposed Gas Plant
Spectra Fort Nelson Mainline
7 Wells Rig Released August 2017 Average Rate to Date (mmcf/d) Number
Average Free Condy Yield (bbl/mmcf) Average Total Liquid Yield (bbl/mmcf) Upper Montney Lobe 8.0 220 19.6 31.7 Upper Middle Montney Lobe 3.6 216 25.9 39.4 Middle Montney Lobe 3.3 233 26.9 41.0 Lower Montney Lobe 3.0 227 38.1 52.1
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A-32-I Pad 6 Wells Spud July 2018 B-93-I Pad 11 Wells Frac August 2018 South Gundy Townsend Tie-In 40-50 MMCF/D
Drilling Execution Efficiency
Current Plan 2013 - 2014 Days 10 14 14.6 Cost ($MM) 1.3-1.7 2.1 3.5
Pacesetter 6.4 Days 1.31MM
2019 start-up.
2 expansion (incremental 50,000 boepd, not in the current 5 year development plan).
estimated at $150M for a second 200 mm/d deep cut.
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Tourmaline 2017 Upper Charlie Lake HZ Tourmaline HZ Wells Tourmaline Gas Plant Tourmaline HZ Well Locations
Legend
Tourmaline Lands
* See Schedule A
16-14 Lwr Ch Lk New Pool Test
90 day production rates 841 bopd, 1.9 mmcf/d, 1,158 boepd Cum oil 80,330 bbls in first 103 days
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3-10 Spirit River Gas Plant 12-6 Mulligan Oil Battery 5-14 Mulligan Oil Battery 15-13 Mulligan Oil Battery 6-3 Spirit River Oil Battery
Tourmaline Battery Site
Upper Charlie Lake Type Log 6-11-77-8 W6 Lower Charlie Lake
Tourmaline Lower Charlie Lake HZ Tourmaline Montney HZ Lower Charlie Lake Fairway Upper Charlie Lake Fairway
Progress 1-4 Lwr MNTN Q4 2016
IP90: 466 BOPD, 2.5 MMSCF/D, 891 BOEPD
Mulligan 8-15 Upper Trcl Pad Q3 2016
90 day production rates 1-21: 285 bopd, 0.3 mmcf/d, 335 boepd 4-13: 631 bopd, 1.0 mmcf/d, 798 boepd 5-13: 594 bopd, 0.5 mmcf/d, 678 boepd 8-21: 349 bopd, 0.5 mmcf/d, 429 boepd 12-13: 533 bopd, 0.6 mmcf/d, 642 boepd
6-10 Lwr Ch Lk Pad Q3 2016
90 day production rates 5-9: 156 bopd, 0.7 mmcf/d, 273 boepd 12-9: 149 bopd, 1.1 mmcf/d, 329 boepd 13-9: 246 bopd, 1.7 mmcf/d, 536 boepd 11-11: 285 bopd, 1.9 mmcf/d, 604 boepd
Mulligan 5-30 Upper Trcl Pad Q3 2017
5 day production rates 12-20: 257 bopd, 0.4 mmcf/d, 327 boepd 12-36: 550 bopd, 0.5 mmcf/d, 632 boepd 8-19: 228 bopd, 0.3 mmcf/d, 284 boepd
Spirit River 15-15 Upper Trcl Pad Q1 2017
10 day production rates 14-22: 876 bopd, 0.7 mmcf/d, 989 boepd 15-22: 507 bopd, 0.6 mmcf/d, 608 boepd 16-22: 873 bopd, 1.5 mmcf/d, 1129 boepd
Peace River High Charlie Lake Play
vertical wells
basis at $25/bbl (U.S. WTI)
Valhalla pad (L. Montney)
Well 1: 905 bopd, 5.9 mmcf/d (26 d) Well 2: 532 bopd, 5.1 mmcf/d (7d)
(currently not in 5 yr plan)
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12,750 18,500 20,000 25,000 31,500(+) 5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000 30,000 35,000 1H 2018 2H 2018 1H 2019 2H 2019 2020 (preliminary est)
Condensate Production (bbls/day)
Current Base Deep Basin Kca Deep Basin Wroe Compressor Project Dawson 2-11 Facility South Gundy Townsend Tie-In Deep Basin Kca/KV/Kf Gundy Deep Cut Deep Basin Facility Mods Kca/Kv/Kcf Gundy Phase 2 Production totals reflect anticipated total condensate production by the end of the specified period.
(750 bpd) (3,500 bpd) (750 bpd) (750 bpd) (5,000 bpd) (1,500 bpd) (5,000 bpd) (1,500 bpd)
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(not included in 5 year plan)
T45 T55 T65 T75 T85
Chinook Ridge
Alberta NE BC
The infrastructure skeleton in all three core operated complexes is now complete. This infrastructure is essentially all new and in the ‘growth’ areas of the WCSB.
Legend Tourmaline Lands Tourmaline Gas Plant Site Tourmaline Compressor Tourmaline Oil Battery Tourmaline Main Laterals Main Sales Pipelines
1.45-1.50 bcf/day. Two oil processing batteries with combined processing capacity of 48,000 bpd. Oil, condensate and ngl storage capability of 275,000 bbls. 12 MW gas fired electrical generating capacity. 4,425 km of Tourmaline Operated Pipelines
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are 100% owned and operated
Water Infrastructure
Recycling Facilities, 370,000 m3 capacity
Sundown Spirit River Sunrise- Dawson Mulligan/Earring Hinton Ansell Edson Marsh Harley Fir Minehead Horse Cecilia Musreau/ Kakwa Lovett Brazeau Kaybob Gundy
Third Party Revenue Growth 2017(E) $30-40M 2018(F) $40-50M 2019 (Target) $60-75M
A significant, growing business for Tourmaline.
This revenue is in addition to the estimated $300MM(+) per year of cash flow that is effectively preserved by owning the operated infrastructure and not processing gas through third party/midstream plants.
Reserves 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
(mmboe) (mmboe) (mmboe) (mmboe) (mmboe) (mmboe)
PDP 91.9 122.3 177.8 263.2 352.1 436.5 TP 249.2 316.5 472.3 644.1 859.2 1056.0 2P 438.1 590.1 855.8 1108.3 1747.2 2216.6 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
(/boe) (/boe) (/boe) (/boe) (/boe) (/boe)
2P FDA(i) $10.35 $11.84 $10.40 $5.89 $5.94 $3.76 With FDC
(i) See February 2018 press release for full FD&A disclosures (ii) Reserves figures include the Company’s working interest share of reserves prior to the deduction of interest owned by others (burdens) and include royalty interest reserves owned by the Company.
500 1000 1500 2000 2500 PDP TP 2P
MMBOE
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
0.00 2.00 4.00 6.00 8.00 10.00 12.00 14.00 16.00 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017*
$ Billion (*Jan 2017 Pricing)
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200 400 600 800 1000 MMboe
2 4 6 8 10 12 TCF
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(1) Based on Canadian Reserves from public information.
AB Deep Basin Outer Foothills AB Deep Basin B.C. Montney Charlie Lake Vertical Vertical Horizontal Horizontal Horizontal Total Well Costs 2.55 3.70 3.85 3.05 2.10
(Drill, Case, Complete, $ Million)
Average Reserves/Well (bcfe) 2.4 5.8 5.4 5.8 2.2 Year 1 Production Rate 1.3 mmcfepd 2.8 mmcfepd 4.0 mmcfepd 4.6 mmcfepd 193 boepd Development Cost/boe $6.28 $3.86 $4.30 $3.14 $5.73 Operating Expenses/boe(1) $2.75 $2.45 $2.84 $2.24 $9.51 Net Present Value @ $1,311 $5,215 $5,190 $10,060 $3,261 10% (000’s) Internal Rate of Return(2) 24% 53% 75% 332% 87% Payback period (months) 45 23 16 7 13 Year 1 Gas Price(3) $2.28 $2.18 $2.28 $2.03 $2.36 Future Development Locations(4) 2,322 450 6,167 3,633 1,805
Notes: (1) Average operating expenses over the initial five years of production. (2) Internal Rate of Return calculation is based on monthly cash flows. (3) Independent Reserve Engineer Jan 1, 2018 escalated price forecast, adjusted for transportation and heat content. (4) See Schedule A. 21
6.8 6.0 5.5 3.4 3.6 5.7 5.3 4.2 2.8 2.7 4.5 4.1 3.5 2.5 2.4
0.00 1.00 2.00 3.00 4.00 5.00 6.00 7.00 8.00 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Capital Cost ($MM) Drill & Complete Costs
(Equipping not included)
South Deep Basin NEBC (South Complex) PRH
Tourmaline has the lowest completed per stage well costs in the overall Montney play in Western Canada and the Alberta Deep Basin.
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23
1,000 1,500 2,000 1 4 7 10 13 16 19 22 25 28 31 34 37 40 43 46 49 52 55 58 61 64 67 70 73 76 79 82 85 88 91 94 97 100 103 106
Boe/d
1,000 1,500 1 4 7 10 13 16 19 22 25 28 31 34 37 40 43 46 49 52 55 58 61 64 67 70 73 76 79 82 85 88 91 94 97 100103106
Boe/d
EUR 895 mboe IP30 1,615 boe/d IP90 1,197 boe/d IP365 671 boe/d EUR 970 mboe IP30 1,359 boe/d IP90 1,165 boe/d IP365 762 boe/d EUR 367 mboe IP30 408 boe/d IP90 315 boe/d IP365 193 boe/d
200 300 400 500 1 4 7 10 13 16 19 22 25 28 31 34 37 40 43 46 49 52 55 58 61 64 67 70 73 76 79 82 85 88 91 94 97 100 103 106
Boe/d Months
$6.34 $5.58 $4.43 $4.35 $4.87 $4.37 $3.31 $3.19
$3.00 $3.50 $4.00 $4.50 $5.00 $5.50 $6.00 $6.50 $7.00
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
$/boe
$1.29 $1.02 $0.79 $0.74 $0.60 $0.45 $0.44 $0.46
$0.00 $0.50 $1.00 $1.50
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
$/ $/boe
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25
(1) Price Assumptions: Gas price - $3.00/mmbtu NYMEX US, $1.85/mcf AECO, approximately 85% of Tourmaline's Q3 - Q4 2018 natural gas production is not exposed to AECO spot pricing; 2018 Oil price - $65.00/bbl WTI US. (i) See “Non-GAAP Measures” in the Forward Looking Statement Advisories section of this presentation. (ii) E&P Capital Program is defined as total capital spending before acquisitions, dispositions and other corporate expenditures. (iii) Free Cash Flow is defined as Cash Flow less Total Net Capital Expenditures. Total Net Capital Expenditures is defined as the sum of E&P Capital Program and other corporate expenditures, net of non-core dispositions. Free Cash Flow is prior to dividend payments.
16%
AECO TCPL Mainline
11%
Kingsgate California ~200 MMcf/d US Midwest/Other ~85 Mmcf/d Station 2
26 2018 Exit: 440 mmcf/d of gas will be to US/Other Markets 2019 Exit: 540 mmcf/d of gas will be to US/Other Markets 37% 35% 11% 16%
2018 Natural Gas Portfolio Diversification
US/Other Markets Hedges Stn 2 Aeco
(2)
(1) US/Other Markets access 23% physical markets + 14% of Nymex Basis Differentials (2) ~38% of Station 2 exposed at 7A/Hunt
(1)
Dawn ~115 Mmcf/d
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29
30
$9.6 MM $12.3 MM $8.7 MM $7.9 MM $4.7 MM $2.9 MM $4.5 MM $4.4 MM 20.5 Bcfe 17.9 Bcfe 12.5 Bcfe 7.0 Bcfe 6.7 Bcfe 6.2 Bcfe 4.5 Bcfe 5.6 Bcfe
5 10 15 20 25
Marcellus* Utica* Haynesville* AB Montney (Industry Average) BC Montney (Industry Average) TOU BC Montney Deep Basin (Industry Average) TOU Deep Basin
Completed Well Cost $CDN EUR (Bcfe)
*USD Converted into CAD ($1USD = $1.30CAD) Based from publically available information and Peter's and Co.
$0.47/mcf $0.69/mcf $0.70/mcf $1.13/mcf $0.70/mcf $1.00/mcf $0.79/mcf $0.47/mcf
31 $2.80 $3.22 $1.85 $2.25 $1.77
$5.42 $0.38 $0.75 $1.54 $0.38 $1.40 $1.45 $- $2.00 $4.00 $6.00 $8.00 $10.00 $12.00 Tourmaline (USD)* Canada Peer Average (USD)** US Peer Average*** Costs Per BOE
Tourmaline Vs. Natural Gas Weighted Peers Cash Costs in USD* per BOE (Q1/17)
Operating Transportation G&A Interest
*CAD Converted into USD ($1USD = $1.25 CAD) ** Peer average consists of 6 CAD Peers (Weighted Gas Production > 50%) ***Peer average consists of 7 US Peers (Weighted Gas Production > 50%)
5 10 15 20 25 30 35
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Days Average Drill Days
Decrease Since 2013
$0.0 $1.0 $2.0 $3.0 $4.0 $5.0
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
MM Average Drill Cost
5 10 15 20
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Days Average Drill Days $0.0 $0.5 $1.0 $1.5 $2.0 $2.5 $3.0
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
MM Average Drill Cost
$- $1 $2 $3 $4
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
MM Average Drill Cost 5 10 15 20
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Days Average Drill Days
Decrease Since 2013
Decrease Since 2013
Decrease Since 2013
Decrease Since 2013
Decrease Since 2013
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$0 $500 $1,000 $1,500 $2,000 $2,500 $3,000 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
$ 000
Decrease Since 2012
$0 $500 $1,000 $1,500 $2,000 $2,500 $3,000 $3,500 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
$ 000
$0 $500 $1,000 $1,500 $2,000 $2,500 $3,000 $3,500 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
$ 000
Decrease Since 2012
Decrease Since 2012 33
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(1) Publicly Available Information (Peers include ARC Resources, Birchcliff, Encana, Painted Pony and Seven Generations) (2) Encana Operating Costs assume $CAD/USD = $0.80 + incremental $0.80/mcf for processing (EnCana groups processing into “Transportation and Processing”) (3) Peters and Co (October 3, 2017) except Painted Pony (National Bank)
1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 Tourmaline Peer 1 Peer 5 Peer 4 Peer 2 Peer 3
$0 $2 $4 $6 $8 $10 $12 $14
CAD$MM
40,000 60,000 80,000 100,000 120,000 140,000 160,000 180,000 Peer 5 Peer 4 Peer 1 Tourmaline (Sep/17) Peer 3 Peer 2
Boe/d
$- $1.00 $2.00 $3.00 $4.00 $5.00 $6.00 $7.00 Tourmaline Peer 1 Peer 2 Peer 3 Peer 4 Peer 5
$/Boe
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Source: NBF 200 400 600 800 1000
1200 Tourmaline 04-05-053-23W5 Tourmaline 09-07-062-05W6 Tourmaline 09-05-055-22W5 Tourmaline 14-08-059-01W6 Jupiter 16-33-059-01W6 Tourmaline 13-12-059-02W6 Tourmaline 13-08-053-23W5 Vermilion 04-20-042-10W5 Tourmaline 12-13-057-02W6 Bonavista 06-26-050-17W5 Jupiter 09-33-059-01W6 Tourmaline 05-13-057-02W6 Tourmaline 13-07-055-23W5 Bonavista 03-26-051-20W5 Cdn Nat 01-11-055-25W5 mmcfe (cumulative)
37
38
Notes: 1. Based on CDP (Carbon Disclosure Project) data and includes Scope 1 and Scope 2 emissions unless otherwise stated under "Notes“. 2. Represents 2016 data. 2017 data not yet available. 3. Encana excluded since Encana does not disclose Scope 2 emissions, so figures are not comparable. 4. Suncor intensity data has been derived from company website disclosure (Sustainability Reports). 5. Imperial CDP intensity disclosure includes only Scope 1 emissions so it is likely understated in graph relative to peers.
0.000 0.010 0.020 0.030 0.040 0.050 0.060 0.070 0.080
10,000,000 15,000,000 20,000,000 25,000,000 CNRL 807,045 Suncor 725,100 Husky 334,000 Imperial 378,000 Cenovus 295,414 Crescent Point 173,329 MEG 77,245 Tourmaline 233,278 CO2 Intensity (tonnes CO2(e)/boe) Gross CO2 Emissions (tonnes CO2(e))
Q1 2017 Production
39
40
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costs for drilling, completions, facilities
for horizontal clastic gas wells
frontal foothills Wilrich/Notikewin hz drlg
deliverability/develop predictive tools
approaches to maximize deliverability and recovery
settings and Outer Foothills settings
– Concurrent pairs, delayed flow-backs etc.
mechanisms
in vertical wells
in drilling builds
prediction and predictive drilling problem identification.
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DRILLING LOCATIONS Estimated Drilling Inventory This presentation discloses drilling locations in four categories: (i) proved undeveloped locations; (ii) probable undeveloped locations; (iii) unbooked locations; and (iv) an aggregate total of (i), (ii) and (iii). Of the 14,471 (gross) locations disclosed in this presentation, 1,056 are proved undeveloped locations, 21 are proved non-producing locations, 997 are probable undeveloped locations, nil are probable non-producing and 12,397 are unbooked. Proved producing wells, proved undeveloped locations, proved non-producing locations, probable undeveloped locations and probable non-producing locations are booked and derived from the Company's most recent independent reserves evaluation as prepared by GLJ and Deloitte LLP as of December 31, 2017 and account for drilling locations that have associated proved and/or probable reserves, as applicable. Unbooked locations are internal estimates based on the Company's prospective acreage and an assumption as to the number of wells that can be drilled per section based on industry practice and internal review. Unbooked locations do not have attributed reserves or resources (including contingent and prospective). Unbooked locations have been identified by management as an estimation of the Company's multi-year drilling activities based on evaluation of applicable geologic, seismic, engineering, production and reserves information. There is no certainty that the Company will drill all unbooked drilling locations and if drilled there is no certainty that such locations will result in additional oil and gas reserves, resources or production. The drilling locations on which the Company will actually drill wells, including the number and timing thereof is ultimately dependent upon the availability of funding, regulatory approvals, seasonal restrictions, oil and natural gas prices, costs, actual drilling results, additional reservoir information that is obtained and other factors. While a certain number of the unbooked drilling locations have been derisked by drilling existing wells in relative close proximity to such unbooked drilling locations, the majority of other unbooked drilling locations are farther away from existing wells where management has less information about the characteristics of the reservoir and therefore there is more uncertainty whether wells will be drilled in such locations and if drilled there is more uncertainty that such wells will result in additional oil and gas reserves, resources or production. The following provides additional information on the Company's estimation of unbooked locations.
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Deep Basin Vertical well count : Approximately 2,767 gross prospective sections at approximately 1.5 wells per section minus 10% for areas that are inaccessible or limited by spacing requirements minus approximately 963 existing wells. Includes 450 locations in the Outer Foothills area. Total Vertical Locations ~ 2,772 Deep Basin Horizontal well count : Approximately 2,767 gross prospective sections in the Deep Basin at approximately 2.5 wells per section in multiple horizons i.e. the Wilrich, Falher, Notikewin, Cardium, Dunvegan, Viking, Bluesky, Gething, Cadomin, or Nikanassin. Less existing horizontals, less 20% of existing vertical producers. In some instances there will be less than 2.5 wells per section at full development and in other cases there will be more than 3.5 wells per section due to the fact that there are multiple horizons. Total Horizontal Locations ~ 6,167 NE BC Well count : 300 gross sections in NE BC at 4-5 wells per sections in multiple lobes (2-5 depending upon location) yielding 3,633 locations. TOTAL NE BC = 3,633 locations Spirit River well count: 551 gross sections within the Charlie Lake Fairway x 3-4 wells per section = 2,171 wells Minus approximately 273 existing wells Total Spirit River ~ 1,898 wells Total gross locations ~ 14,471
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Prospective locations are unbooked locations that are not included in inventory. Unbooked locations are internal estimates based
industry practice and internal review. Unbooked locations do not have attributed reserves or resources (including contingent and prospective). Unbooked locations have been identified by management as an estimation of the Company's multi-year drilling activities based on evaluation of applicable geologic, seismic, engineering, production and reserves information. There is no certainty that the Company will drill all unbooked drilling locations and if drilled there is no certainty that such locations will result in additional oil and gas reserves, resources or production. The drilling locations on which the Company will actually drill wells, including the number and timing thereof is ultimately dependent upon the availability of funding, regulatory approvals, seasonal restrictions, oil and natural gas prices, costs, actual drilling results, additional reservoir information that is obtained and
proximity to such unbooked drilling locations, the majority of other unbooked drilling locations are farther away from existing wells where management has less information about the characteristics of the reservoir and therefore there is more uncertainty whether wells will be drilled in such locations and if drilled there is more uncertainty that such wells will result in additional oil and gas reserves, resources or production.
Certain information contained in this presentation constitutes forward-looking information within the meaning of applicable securities laws. This information relates to future events or the Company's future performance. All information other than information of historical fact is forward-looking information. The use of any of the words "anticipate", "plan", "contemplate", "continue", "estimate", "expect", "intend", "propose", "might", "may", "will", "shall", "project", "should", "could", "would", "believe", "predict", "forecast", "pursue", "potential" and "capable" and similar expressions are intended to identify forward-looking information. This information involves known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors that may cause actual results or events to differ materially from those anticipated in such forward-looking information. No assurance can be given that these expectations will prove to be correct and such forward-looking information should not be unduly relied upon. This information speaks only as of the date of this presentation or, if applicable, as of the date specified in those documents specifically referenced herein. In addition, this presentation may contain forward-looking information attributed to third-party sources. Without limitation of the foregoing, this presentation contains forward-looking information pertaining to the following: the reserve potential
Company's growth strategy and opportunities; the Company's capital exploration and development programs and future capital requirements; the estimated quantity and value of the Company's proved and probable reserves; expectations regarding the ability to raise capital and to continually add to reserves; the Company's estimates of future interest and foreign exchange rates; the Company's environmental considerations; the Company's assumptions regarding commodity prices; the Company's expectations regarding reduction in its operating costs; the timing of commencement of certain of the Company's operations and the level of production anticipated by the Company; the potential for production disruption and constraints; supply and demand fundamentals for crude oil and natural gas; the Company's access to adequate pipeline and other gathering, transportation and processing capacity; the Company's access to third-party infrastructure; the Company's drilling and recompletion plans; the Company's expected capital expenditures; expected debt levels and credit facilities; industry conditions pertaining to the oil and gas industry; the Company's plans for, and results of, exploration and development activities; the planned construction of the Company's gathering, transportation and processing facilities and related infrastructure; the timing for receipt of regulatory approvals; the Company's treatment under governmental regulatory regimes and tax laws and potential changes in such regimes and laws; the Company's future general and administrative expenses; and the Company's expectations regarding having adequate human resource staffing. 46
With respect to forward-looking information contained in this presentation, assumptions have been made regarding, among other things: future crude oil and natural gas prices; future interests rates and currency exchange rates; the Company's ability to obtain qualified staff and equipment in a timely and cost–efficient manner; the regulatory framework governing royalties, taxes and environmental matters; the Company's ability to market production of oil and natural gas successfully; the Company's future production levels; the applicability of technologies for recovery and production of the Company's reserves; the recoverability of the Company's reserves; future capital expenditures to be made by the Company; future cash flows from production meeting the expectations stated in this presentation; future sources of funding for the Company's capital program; the Company's future debt levels; geological and engineering estimates in respect of the Company's reserves; the geography of the areas in which the Company is conducting exploration and development activities; the impact
Actual results could differ materially from those anticipated in this forward-looking information as a result of a number of factors including the risk factors set forth in the Company's reports and documents on file with Canadian securities regulatory authorities at www.sedar.com
Looking Statements" and "Risk Factors" in the Company's most recently filed Annual Information Form and "Forward-Looking Statements" in the Company's most recently filed Management's Discussion and Analysis. Included in this presentation are estimates of the Company's 2018-2022 cash flow and cash flow per share which are based on various assumptions as to production levels, commodity prices and other assumptions and in the case of the years other than 2018 are provided for illustration only and are based on budgets and forecasts that have not been finalized and are subject to a variety of contingencies including prior years' results. To the extent such estimates constitute a financial outlook, they were approved by management of the Company in August 2018 and are included to provide readers with an understanding of the Company's anticipated cash flow based on the capital expenditures and other assumptions described and readers are cautioned that the information may not be appropriate for other purposes. In addition, information relating to "reserves" is deemed to be forward-looking information, as it involves the implied assessment, based on certain estimates and assumptions, that the reserves described exist in the quantities predicted or estimated, and that the reserves described can be profitably produced in the future. See also "Statement of Reserves Data and Other Oil and Gas Information" and "Certain Reserves Data Information" in the Company's Annual Information Form. Readers are cautioned not to place undue reliance on this forward-looking information, which is given as of the date it is expressed herein or
new information, future events or otherwise, unless specifically required to do so pursuant to applicable law.
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Oil and Gas Advisories Certain crude oil and natural gas liquids ("NGLs") volumes have been converted to millions of cubic feet equivalent ("mmcfe") or thousands of cubic feet equivalent ("mcfe") on the basis of one barrel ("bbl" of crude oil or NGLs to six thousand cubic feet ("mcf") of natural gas. Also, certain natural gas volumes have been converted to barrels of oil equivalent ("boe"), thousands of boe ("mboe") or millions of boe ("mmboe") using the same equivalency measure. Such equivalency measures may be misleading, particularly if used in
tip and does not represent a value equivalency at the wellhead. As the value ratio between natural gas and crude oil based on the current prices of natural gas and crude oil is significantly different from the energy equivalency of 6:1, utilizing a conversion on a 6:1 basis may be misleading as an indication of value. This presentation contains disclosure regarding finding and development costs. The aggregate of the exploration and development costs incurred in the most recent financial year and the change during that year in estimated future development costs generally will not reflect total finding and development costs related to reserves additions for that year. The estimated net present values disclosed in this presentation do not represent fair market value. Unless otherwise expressly stated, the information in this presentation pertaining to future drilling locations or drilling inventories is based solely on internal estimates made by management and such locations have not been reflected in any independent reserve or resource evaluations and have not been recognized as reserves or resources as defined in NI 51-101. See Schedule A - Drilling Locations. Similarly, unless otherwise expressly stated, the information in this presentation pertaining to targeted reserve volumes from future drilling is intended to indicate that in making its internal drilling decisions, the Company seeks to target drilling locations that, based on previous drilling results and its own internal assessments, it believes will on average ultimately generate the indicated volumes. Non-GAAP Measures This presentation includes references to financial measures commonly used in the oil and gas industry such as "cash flow" and "net debt", which do not have standardized meaning prescribed by Generally Accepted Accounting Standards (“GAAP"). Accordingly, the Company’s use of these terms may not be comparable to similarly defined measures presented by other companies. Management uses the terms “cash flow”, and “net debt”, for its own performance measures and to provide shareholders and potential investors with a measurement of the Company’s efficiency and its ability to generate the cash necessary to fund a portion of its future growth expenditures or to repay debt. However, investors are cautioned that these measures should not be construed as an alternative to net income determined in accordance with IFRS as an indication of the Company's performance. For these purposes, "cash flow" is defined as cash provided by operations before changes in non-cash working capital and "net debt" is defined as long-term bank debt plus working capital (adjusted for the fair value of financial instruments and future taxes). Additional information on these terms are included in the Company's most recently filed Management's Discussion and Analysis (See “Non-GAAP Financial Measures" therein) and other reports on file with applicable securities regulatory authorities and may be accessed through the SEDAR website (www.sedar.com) or Tourmaline's website (www.tourmalineoil.com). 48