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Ashmore Group plc Final Results 12 months to 30 June 2011 13 - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Ashmore Group plc Final Results 12 months to 30 June 2011 13 September 2011 Contents Highlights Emerging Markets Backdrop AuM, Update on Themes, Distribution Financial Results Strategy and Outlook Appendices 1


  1. Ashmore Group plc Final Results 12 months to 30 June 2011 13 September 2011

  2. Contents � Highlights � Emerging Markets Backdrop � AuM, Update on Themes, Distribution � Financial Results � Strategy and Outlook � Appendices 1

  3. Highlights � Final assets under management (“AuM”) of US$65.8 billion at 30 June 2011, an increase of US$30.5 billion (86%) from US$35.3 billion at 30 June 2010 – Completion of acquisition of AshmoreEMM � Total net revenue of £333.8 million, an increase of 17% from FY2009/10 (£286.2 million) Net management fees (1) up by 31% to £249.3 million − − Performance fees up 3% to £85.4 million (FY2009/10: £82.9 million) − Foreign exchange loss £7.4 million (FY2009/10: £7.0 million gain) � Operating margin of 72% (FY2009/10: 73%) � Profit before tax of £245.9 million, an increase of 13% from FY2009/10 (£217.2 million) � Basic earnings per share of 28.1p (FY2009/10: 23.9p) � 10.34p final dividend, making a full year dividend of 14.5p …strong financial performance 1) Net of distribution costs and fee rebates, but before net management fee hedging gains/(losses). 2

  4. Emerging Markets Backdrop Growth story Superior Economic Growth Outlook 1) Driver of global growth � Around 50% of global economy in terms of GDP (PPP basis) 7% � 2011E forecasted GDP growth of 6.4% for Emerging Markets 6% vs 2.2% for developed world (IMF) Real GDP Growth 5% 4% 2) Favourable demographics � 3% Over 85% of global population � 2% Increasing middle class with high household savings (EM > 30% vs developed < 10%) 1% 0% 3) Reduced dependency on developed world 2005-2010 2011E-2015E � EM countries now export more to China than to the U.S. Emerging Markets Dev eloped Markets � Less levered EM banks fared better in credit crisis Increasing Global Economic Presence 4) Developing capital markets GDP based on PPP % of world total 100% � EM stocks represented 32% of the market cap of stocks worldwide at end of 2010 but only 13% of the MSCI 80% 47% 52% � EM IPO volume made up 69% of global volume in 2010 63% 69% 60% � EM sovereign debt issuance of US$75bn and corporate issuance of US$280bn in 2010 40% 53% 48% 20% 37% 31% 0% 1990 2000 2010 2015E Sources: IMF, Bloomberg, Ashmore Emerging Markets Dev eloped Markets …Emerging Markets fundamentals continue to demonstrate the attractions of the asset class 3

  5. Emerging Markets Backdrop Misconception of risk Converging Credit Ratings 1) Strong financial position � Lower debt to GDP at consumer, corporate and government June 2006 Latest Change levels Developed Markets � EM banks have fared much better in the credit crisis (not as dependent on leverage) UK AAA AAA 0 USA AAA AA+ -1 2) Favourable foreign exchange reserve balances Spain AAA AA -2 � Reduced fiscal deficits and higher levels of reserves Portugal AA- BBB- -6 3) Improving economic and political fundamentals and Ireland AAA BBB+ -7 stability Greece A CC -11 � Inflation risks country-specific and manageable � Increasingly better governance Emerging Markets Russia BBB BBB 0 4) Improving credit quality and spreads � Significant improvement in fundamental sovereign risks India BB+ BBB- +1 � Spreads over Treasuries near historical lows Brazil BB BBB- +2 Turkey B+ BB +2 Colombia BB BBB- +2 China A- AA- +3 Sources: Bloomberg …perception of risk within developed countries is beginning to change 4

  6. Emerging Markets Backdrop “Ashmore Advantage” � Focused exclusively on Emerging Markets Dedicated to Emerging Markets � Longstanding presence and dedication to Emerging Markets since 1980’s � 86 investment professionals within Ashmore globally Depth, Breadth & � Breadth of investment themes enables countries/companies to be helped throughout their Experience economic and business life cycles � Specialist, long-term approach starting with macro, top-down active management Investment Philosophy & Process � Unchanged since 1992 and proven across wide range of market conditions � Contacts – governments, corporates, entrepreneurs, investee companies Relationships � Investors – diversified across geographical regions including Emerging Markets � Strong focus on behaviour of market participants, liquidity conditions, and key local Combination of Global & relationships – regional office presence along with frequent in-country visits Local Asset Management � Established an extensive network of contacts, including policy-makers, local financial Resources institutions and major international counterparties …leading to track record of consistent long-term out performance 5

  7. Assets under Management Overview Key Highlights Assets under Management (US$bn) � AuM increased by US$30.5bn to US$65.8bn, an 86% increase 65.8 � Strong gross subscriptions of US$23.0bn (FY2009/10: US$11.3bn) � Redemption rate in line with growth in scale and type of AuM 37.5 35.3 � US$9.9bn AuM increase achieved through 31.6 acquisition of AshmoreEMM 24.9 20.1 11.0 5.9 Jun-04 Jun-05 Jun-06 Jun-07 Jun-08 Jun-09 Jun-10 Jun-11 External debt Local currency Corporate debt Blended debt Equities Alternatives Overlay / liquidity Multi strategy …continues trend of growing AuM 6

  8. Assets under Management Subscriptions and redemptions FY2010/11 AuM Development (US$bn) Redemptions as a % Average AuM by Year 65.8 5.1 41% 9.9 23.0 US$11.3bn (7.5) 16% 20% US$7.5bn 35.3 US$7.1bn 12% US$3.7bn 8% US$2.2bn Jun-07 Jun-08 Jun-09 Jun-10 Jun-11 AuM at June Subscriptions Redemptions Acquisition Performance AuM at June 2010 2011 …record subscriptions and relatively low redemption rate 7

  9. Assets under Management Investment performance Funds Outperforming vs Benchmark – Gross 1 Year 1,2 “Ashmore owned” through period Including acquired track record through period 1 00% 1 00% 80% 80% 60% 60% 40% 40% 20% 20% 0% 0% External Local Corporate Blended Equity Total External Local Corporate Blended Equity Total debt currency debt debt debt currency debt debt Outperformance Underperformance Outperformance Underperformance Funds Outperforming vs Benchmark – Gross 3 Years 1,2 “Ashmore owned” through period Including acquired track record through period 1 00% 1 00% 80% 80% 60% 60% 40% 40% 20% 20% 0% 0% External Local Corporate Blended Equity Total External Local Corporate Blended Equity Total debt currency debt debt debt currency debt debt Outperformance Underperformance Outperformance Underperformance Sources: Ashmore (un-audited). Source benchmarks: Bloomberg, HSBC, JP Morgan and Morgan Stanley NB. (1) (a) All funds and segregated accounts (excluding special situations, multi-strategy and passively managed funds) with a benchmark as at 30-Jun-11 (1 year: 46 funds; 3 years: 28 funds) (b) SICAV institutional USD share classes have been used as representative performance for multi-share class SICAV funds; (c) One year performance is the 12 month period ending 30-Jun-11; Annualised three year performance is the 36 month period ending 30-Jun-11; (2) All fund performance gross with the exception of one fund which is net. …99% of AuM outperformed benchmark over one year 8

  10. Assets under Management Investment performance Ashmore EM External Debt (Broad) Composite Ashmore Local Currency (Broad) Composite Ashmore Local Currency (Bonds) Composite AshmoreEMM Global Equity Composite Ashmore composite performance Lower quartile Benchmark index Upper quartile …strong relative performance 95 th percentile 5 th percentile 9 Sources: Ashmore (un-audited), Third party consultant database.

  11. Update on Themes Reclassification and look-through AuM as Classified by Mandate AuM as Classified by Mandate AuM as Invested in Underlying Asset Class (%) – Historic (%) – Revised (%) Theme Multi-strategy reclassification & crossover Other Special 1% situations Multi- External debt strategy 7% Multi-strategy External 28% External debt 13% 13% debt 35% 22% Equities 18% Overlay / Other liquidity 14% 13% Local Special Alternatives currency situations 4% 14% 4% Corporate debt Corporate Local 14% debt Equities currency Equities 2% 15% 32% Local 15% Corporate Blended currency debt debt 17% 2% 17% …clear and transparent and aligned with marketing approach 10

  12. Update on Themes Revised Reporting Basis External Local Corporate Overlay / Equities Alternatives Debt Currency Debt Liquidity US$2.8bn US$10.1bn US$14.3bn US$9.4bn US$1.3bn US$8.6bn � Special Situations: � Broad � Broad � Broad � Broad Global Active � Overlay � Distressed debt � Sovereign � FX � High yield � Global Small Cap � Hedging � Private equity � Sovereign, � Bonds � Investment-grade � Fund of closed- � Cash management investment grade ended funds � Infrastructure Global � Local Currency Emerging � Global Quant � Real estate Markets Sub- Themes Blended Debt² US$10.9bn Africa, Brazil, Asia, China, China, Regional/ Asia, Brazil, Country Frontier, Colombia, Russia Focused China, Turkey LatAm, Middle India, Russia, Sub- East, Russia, Themes Turkey South Asia, Turkey Multi-Strategy 1,2 US$8.4bn NB. All data as at 30-Jun-11. 1) Dynamic asset allocation across themes (includes Ashmore Group’s multi-strategy, listed permanent capital vehicle). 11 2) Some funds are permitted to invest into other themes and AuM shown is as invested (aggregate of investments made across all funds).

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