February 23, 2011
Apartment Investor Academy
Ventura County Apartment Market Update
Dawn Dyer, President Dyer Sheehan Group, Inc.
Ventura, CA (805) 653‐8100 dawn@dyersheehan.com
Apartment Investor Academy Ventura County Apartment Market Update - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Apartment Investor Academy Ventura County Apartment Market Update Dawn Dyer, President Dyer Sheehan Group, Inc. Ventura, CA (805) 653 8100 dawn@dyersheehan.com February 23, 2011 Why Apartments? Why Apartments? Strong Fundamentals
February 23, 2011
Ventura County Apartment Market Update
Dawn Dyer, President Dyer Sheehan Group, Inc.
Ventura, CA (805) 653‐8100 dawn@dyersheehan.com
Apartment Investor Academy | Ventura County Apartment Market February 23, 2011
Strong Fundamentals Apartment Recovery Leading Job Growth The Housing Market Collapse & Credit Crisis Demographic Trends Favor Multi-Family Lifestyle Choices The Greening of America Strong Economics Supply Constraints
Apartment Investor Academy | Ventura County Apartment Market February 23, 2011
Efficient Use of Scarce Land Resources Provides Workforce Housing Promotes Diversity in Communities Revitalization of Downtowns & Greyfields Supports Job Retention Reduces Commute Times
Apartment Investor Academy | Ventura County Apartment Market February 23, 2011
New Demand from those who Lost or Bailed Changes in Consumer Psyche Tougher Mortgage Requirements Affordability Homeownership vs. Rent & Invest
Apartment Investor Academy | Ventura County Apartment Market February 23, 2011
Generation Y Aging Boomers Single Person Households New Americans Alternative Family Structures
Apartment Investor Academy | Ventura County Apartment Market February 23, 2011
Live/Work/Play Eco‐Friendly Lock and Leave Convenience Mobility Freedom from Responsibilities of Owning
Apartment Investor Academy | Ventura County Apartment Market February 23, 2011
Job Growth for 20‐34 Year Olds U.S. Housing Policy Pent‐Up Demand (Renters & Investors) Affordability Recession‐Proof Elasticity Flight to Quality
Apartment Investor Academy | Ventura County Apartment Market February 23, 2011
Basic Commodity Item Short‐Term Leases Low Vacancy During Recession Strong Demand Factors Rent Appreciation Anticipated Opportunities to Reposition Benefits of 1031 Exchange Leverage
Apartment Investor Academy | Ventura County Apartment Market February 23, 2011
EVP/Chief Operating Officer
County Commerce Bank
2400 E. Gonzales Road, Oxnard, CA 93036 3260 Telegraph Road, Ventura, CA 93003 Phone: (805) 477‐7611 Fax: (805) 477‐0638
morman@CountyCommerceBank.com www.CountyCommerceBank.com
February 23, 2011
Parker Shaw
Multi‐Family Sales Dyer Sheehan Group, Inc.
Apartment Investor Academy | Ventura County Apartment Market February 23, 2011
1961 1964
Average Yr Built
24,828 51,646
Average Bldg Size (SF)
31 53
Average # of Units
496 896
Total Units
$109,061.37 $114,631.29
Average Price/Unit
$145.18 $146.62 Average Price/ SF 6.37% 6.29% Average Cap Rate $3,406,322 $8,000,068 Average Sale Price $54,501,150 $136,001,150 Total Sale Volume 16 17 Total Transactions
2010 Sales w/o Serenade All 2010 Sales
Apartment Investor Academy | Ventura County Apartment Market February 23, 2011
1961 1964
Average Yr Built
24,828 51,646
Average Bldg Size (SF)
31 53
Average # of Units
496 896
Total Units
$109,061.37 $114,631.29
Average Price/Unit
$145.18 $146.62 Average Price/ SF 6.37% 6.29% Average Cap Rate $3,406,322 $8,000,068 Average Sale Price $54,501,150 $136,001,150 Total Sale Volume 16 17 Total Transactions
2010 Sales w/o Serenade All 2010 Sales
Apartment Investor Academy | Ventura County Apartment Market February 23, 2011
Ventura County Total Transactions
10 20 30 40 50 60 2000 '01 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 2010 Yearly Transactions 10-Year Average
Apartment Investor Academy | Ventura County Apartment Market February 23, 2011
Ventura County Average Cap Rate
4.5% 5.0% 5.5% 6.0% 6.5% 7.0% 7.5% 8.0% 8.5% 9.0% 2000 '01 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 2010
Apartment Investor Academy | Ventura County Apartment Market February 23, 2011
Ventura County Average Price Per Unit
$60,000 $80,000 $100,000 $120,000 $140,000 $160,000 $180,000 $200,000 $220,000 2000 '01 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 2010 Yearly Average 10-Year Average
February 23, 2011
Multi‐Family Sales Dyer Sheehan Group, Inc. Parker@DyerSheehan.com
Apartment Investor Academy | Ventura County Apartment Market February 23, 2011
Ventura County Vacancies
0.00% 1.00% 2.00% 3.00% 4.00% 5.00% 6.00% 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Average Monthly Rent in Dollars
Average Weighted Vacancy Rate
Apartment Investor Academy | Ventura County Apartment Market February 23, 2011
Average Ventura County Rents
$0 $200 $400 $600 $800 $1,000 $1,200 $1,400 $1,600 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Monthly Rent in Dollars $0.00 $0.20 $0.40 $0.60 $0.80 $1.00 $1.20 $1.40 $1.60 $1.80 $2.00 Rent in $ oer SF Average Monthly Rent Average Rent in $ per SF
Apartment Investor Academy | Ventura County Apartment Market February 23, 2011
Average Two Bedroom Apartment Rents Ventura County, January 2011
Camarillo Fillmore Moorpark Ojai Valley Oxnard/Port Hueneme Santa Paula Simi Valley Ventura Thousand Oaks/Westlake Village Combined Areas
$800 $900 $1,000 $1,100 $1,200 $1,300 $1,400 $1,500 $1,600 $1,700 Average Monthly Rent in Dollars
Apartment Investor Academy | Ventura County Apartment Market February 23, 2011
Access to Development Capital Land and Production Costs Limited Land Zoned for Multi Family Entitlement Hurdles, Delays, and Litigation Fees, Infrastructure, and Offsite Improvements Parking Standards GOD, SOAR and MS4 NIMBYs and BANANAs
Apartment Investor Academy | Ventura County Apartment Market February 23, 2011
Ventura County Building Permits
500 1000 1500 2000 2500 3000 3500 4000 4500 5000 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Total Permitted Units Single Family Permits Multi‐Family Permits
Apartment Investor Academy | Ventura County Apartment Market February 23, 2011
Strong Market Fundamentals Continue Supply/Demand Imbalance Most Affordable Housing Type Low Vacancy Rates Changing Demographics Opportunities to Add Value Strong Upside Potential in Rents
Apartment Investor Academy | Ventura County Apartment Market February 23, 2011
Dyer Sheehan Group, Inc. Dawn@DyerSheehan.com