Andrew Gronewold, Ph.D., P .E. drewgron@umich.edu University of - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Andrew Gronewold, Ph.D., P .E. drewgron@umich.edu University of - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Overview Seasonal forecasting Final thoughts Forecasting Great Lakes Water Levels Across Multiple Time Scales Andrew Gronewold, Ph.D., P .E. drewgron@umich.edu University of Michigan School for Environment and Sustainability Department of


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Overview Seasonal forecasting Final thoughts

Forecasting Great Lakes Water Levels Across Multiple Time Scales

Andrew Gronewold, Ph.D., P .E.

drewgron@umich.edu

University of Michigan School for Environment and Sustainability Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering Department of Earth and Environmental Sciences

June 2020

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Overview Seasonal forecasting Final thoughts

Outline

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Overview

2

Seasonal forecasting

3

Final thoughts

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Overview Seasonal forecasting Final thoughts

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Overview

2

Seasonal forecasting

3

Final thoughts

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172 174 176 178

Hurricane Sandy Fort Gratiot (Lake Huron) Buffalo (Lake Erie)

Surface water elev. (m, IGLD85)

9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

−2 −1 1 2 3 4

The Battery (New York)

Surface water elev. (m, MSL)

October 2012 November 2012

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Overview Seasonal forecasting Final thoughts

Outline

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Overview

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Seasonal forecasting

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Final thoughts

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Credit: David Babb, Penn State University

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From NOAA-GLERL

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Overview Seasonal forecasting Final thoughts

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1

Overview

2

Seasonal forecasting

3

Final thoughts

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– ’s

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Overview Seasonal forecasting Final thoughts

Forecasting Great Lakes Water Levels Across Multiple Time Scales

Andrew Gronewold, Ph.D., P .E.

drewgron@umich.edu

University of Michigan School for Environment and Sustainability Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering Department of Earth and Environmental Sciences

June 2020

7 / 7