1 Results Presentation August 2018
Half year ended 30 June 2018
1H18 results and strategic progress update
1 AUGUST 2018
and strategic progress update Half year ended 30 June 2018 1 - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
1 AUGUST 2018 1H18 results and strategic progress update Half year ended 30 June 2018 1 Results Presentation August 2018 Introduction Chris Weston CEO 2 Results Presentation August 2018 Agenda Headlines 1H18 results review Strategic
1 Results Presentation August 2018
1 AUGUST 2018
2 Results Presentation August 2018
3 Results Presentation August 2018
4 Results Presentation August 2018
Encouraging H1 results Full year guidance unchanged
Our 2015 strategy has evolved to reflect changing markets Execution of our strategy has strengthened the Group’s foundations and is
Detailed plans, focused on operating margin and capital efficiency and
We expect to deliver ROCE in the mid teens in 2020, with potential for
5 Results Presentation August 2018
6 Results Presentation August 2018
Good underlying growth
No exceptional items in
Effective tax rate of 31% Dividend in line with 2017
Movement £m pre-2017 exceptional items 1H18 1H17 CHANGE CHANGE
excluding pass-through fuel and currency
Revenue 857 779 10% 14% Operating profit 76 79 (4)% 8% Net interest expense (17) (16) (8)% Profit before tax 59 63 (7)% Taxation (18) (18)
41 45 (10)% Diluted earnings per share 15.85 17.88 (11)% Dividend per share 9.38 9.38
9% 10% (1)pp ROCE 11% 12% (1)pp
7 Results Presentation August 2018
Movement
pre- 2017 exceptional items
1H18 1H17 CHANGE CHANGE
excluding currency
Revenue (£m) 386 307 26% 32% Operating profit (£m) 40 14 169% 192% Operating margin 11% 5% ROCE (rolling 12 month) 16% 8% Fleet capital expenditure (£m) 26 24
% REVENUE BY SECTOR 1H18
Business services & construction Petrochemical & refining Oil & Gas Utilities Events Manufacturing Mining Other
19% 17% 12% 11% 9% 7% 5% 20%
UTILISATION
at 30 June (MW)
REVENUE
(% OF GROUP excl. pass-through fuel)
1H18 1H17 61% 52%
8 Results Presentation August 2018
39% 16% 11% 10% 8% 7% 2% 7%
Movement
pre- 2017 exceptional items
1H18 1H17 CHANGE CHANGE
excluding currency
Revenue (£m) 219 212 3% 15% Operating profit (£m) 23 31 (24)% (15)% Operating margin 11% 14% ROCE (rolling 12 months) 10% 10% Fleet capital expenditure (£m) 27 14
% REVENUE BY SECTOR 1H18
Oil & Gas Events Mining Business services & construction Utilities Manufacturing Petrochemical & refining Other
REVENUE
(% OF GROUP excl. pass-through fuel)
UTILISATION
at 30 June (MW) 1H18 1H17 70% 69%
9 Results Presentation August 2018
Movement
pre- 2017 exceptional items & excluding pass-through fuel
1H18 1H17 CHANGE CHANGE
excluding pass- through fuel and currency
Revenue (£m) 163 218 (25)% (15)% Operating profit (£m) 14 36 (62)% (55)% Operating margin 8% 17% ROCE 7% 16% Fleet capital expenditure (£m) 34 77
REVENUE
(% OF GROUP excl. pass-through fuel)
This segment now includes only Utility customer projects
UTILISATION
at 30 June (MW) 1H18 1H17 65% 75%
10 Results Presentation August 2018
Working capital outflow of £68m Capital expenditure reduced by
Net debt/EBITDA of 1.4x
£m 1H18 1H17 EBITDA 224 230 Working capital (68) (51) Cash flows relating to prior period exceptionals (4) (10) Other 8 15 Operating cash flow 160 184 Tax (33) (33) Net interest (18) (17) Acquisitions (33) (28) Purchase of fixed assets (95) (128) Other fixed asset movements
Free cash flow (19) (18) Dividends (45) (45) Changes in equity (7)
(71) (63) Exchange (18) 29 Movement in net debt (89) (34) Net debt (741) (683)
11 Results Presentation August 2018
WORKING CAPITAL BREAKDOWN (£m)
200 400 600 800 1,000
H118 FY17 H117 FY16
Inventory Receivables Payables
£247m £656m £(299)m £(361)m £238m £736m £(410)m £(346)m £232m £770m £244m £740m
12 Results Presentation August 2018
Monthly cash collection targets by region (and
customer on major projects)
Augmented and structured stakeholder
engagement
Sales agent effectiveness measured and
changes made
New regional senior positions created (above
project managers) to increase focus and provide escalation path
Tighter enforcement of contract provisions,
including application of late payment penalties
Monthly billing and collection targets by
region
Regular execution review of top debtors
and unbilled accounts to agree remedial actions
Temporary resources added to clear
unbilled backlog and support collections
13 Results Presentation August 2018
POWER SOLUTIONS UTILITY ($m)
10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun
Invoicing Receipts
2018
14 Results Presentation August 2018
TRADE RECEIVABLES – INCLUDING UNBILLED ($m)
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 50 100 150 200 250 300
H117 FY17 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun 2018
Trade receivables/revenue %
15 Results Presentation August 2018
Clear target to reduce inventory levels in 2018 Central team established to review and
approve all new orders (to confirm the ‘need’)
Safety stock levels set by the central team Identification and movement of excess
inventory across the regions to meet business needs
Centrally managed global buyback procedure
with key suppliers
Regular stock counts and write-off reviews
Recently begun inventory system regional roll-out System automation of stock categorisation (9 box
definitions: fast moving, slow moving, non moving etc.) to enable greater visibility and support inventory sharing
Creation of virtual inventory sharing warehouse for
depots/regions to identify stock availability prior to placing new orders
Consignment stock arrangement established with
key supplier
Scrappage/third party sale process for surplus
items, where no supplier buyback option exists
16 Results Presentation August 2018
Growth in Rental Solutions and Industrial expected to offset Utility headwinds
Expected effective tax rate of 31% Full year fleet capex down c.10% on prior year Working capital improves to small inflow in H2 Net debt/EBITDA to reduce to 1.2 – 1.3x
17 Results Presentation August 2018
18 Results Presentation August 2018
CUSTOMER TECHNOLOGY EFFICIENCY
Priority
leading products
Priority
Priority
19 Results Presentation August 2018
50 100 150 200 250 300 350
2014 2017
Repricing and off-hires of
legacy Utility contracts
Customer liquidity increasing
Impact of oil price fall on North
American oil & gas sector
Rental Industrial Utility
OPERATING PROFIT (£m)
20 Results Presentation August 2018
Progress in the strategic priorities has built a firm foundation and is
Re-examined our strategy, the markets we operate in and the impact of
Markets have evolved and our strategy has evolved with them Implementing detailed plans for the continued execution of the strategy Determined revised financial expectations
21 Results Presentation August 2018
Focus on high value key
sectors
− Deliver sector customer
needs
Build sector specific
capability
− Technical expertise − Sales approach
Improve cost position
Focus on natural
resource & industrial sectors
Low cost operating
model
− Optimise fleet
allocation and
− Efficient hub & spoke
depot network
Focus on utilities in
emerging markets
− Flexible, innovative
solutions to infrastructure issues
Lowest cost of energy
− Efficient technology
and operations
22 Results Presentation August 2018
Being particular about the sectors we target Offering specialist solutions Being simple to do business with
Customer focus
Developing competitive configurable products Smarter use of connected systems & data analytics Integrating renewable & storage technology
Technology investment
Being mobile & modular Getting the very maximum out of our assets Striving for the most competitive cost base
Capital efficiency
Living Always Orange Nurturing our full potential Staying safe and professional at all times
Expert people
23 Results Presentation August 2018
Being particular about the sectors we target Offering specialist solutions Being simple to do business with
Customer focus
Continued focus on key sectors
− Focus and technical capability: increase in higher value,
complex solutions
− Hybrid solutions (off grid, mining)
Sales & marketing discipline and process enhancements
− Segmentation and channel development (telesales and
ecommerce)
− Real time pricing governance
System investment to improve customer experience
− End to end systems being deployed
Remote monitoring and data analytics
− Improved customer service and product development
TRANSLATING PRIORITIES INTO DETAILED PLANS
24 Results Presentation August 2018 24 Results Presentation March 2018
25 Results Presentation August 2018
TRANSLATING PRIORITIES INTO DETAILED PLANS
Continued focus on reducing the total cost of energy
− Fuel efficiency, hybrid solutions and emissions
Complex sector specific applications Remote monitoring platform and data analytic capability Hybrid solutions and storage integration
− Integrating renewables, storage and thermal − Deploy to existing fleet/sites to improve efficiency and
reliability
Developing competitive configurable products Smarter use of connected systems & data analytics Integrating renewable & storage technology
Technology investment
26 Results Presentation August 2018
TRANSLATING PRIORITIES INTO DETAILED PLANS
Centralised fleet management to drive utilisation Remote monitoring and data analytics
− Reduce maintenance costs − Improve utilisation
Deploy Rental Solutions systems into Industrial
− Back office and process efficiencies
Cost reduction program to deliver £50m of savings Reduction in working capital
Being mobile & modular Getting the very maximum out of our assets Striving for the most competitive cost base
Capital efficiency
Cost focus is key in Power Solutions Utility Addressing receivables and costs to ensure competitiveness
27 Results Presentation August 2018
Comprehensive business led review now completed We are already well advanced to respond to changing demand
− Customer focus and systems − Technology
Focus on operational excellence as well as growth Detailed plans to improve capital efficiency
− Fleet asset investment − Working capital
Culture change driving an improved commercial understanding
28 Results Presentation August 2018
29 Results Presentation August 2018
Volume growth Pricing Operational efficiency
Working capital Capital investment Utilisation
30 Results Presentation August 2018
Sector focus and specialisation
Higher value, complex solutions
Remote monitoring & new systems
Inventory systems
Utilisation
Introduce e-commerce
Operating profit Working capital Fixed assets
16%
2020 1H 18 1 2 3 4 5 6
4 6 3 2 1 5
31 Results Presentation August 2018
Sector focus and specialisation
Higher value, complex solutions
Remote monitoring & new systems
Inventory management
Utilisation
Operating profit Working capital Fixed assets
10%
2020 1H 18
4 3 2 1
5
1 2 3 4 5
32 Results Presentation August 2018
Embedding our dedicated sector sales resources Focus on specialty products and more complex solutions to support improved pricing New systems to enable real-time pricing and improved governance Introduction of e-commerce platform and telesales to service more transactional market Hybrid solutions provide new growth opportunities
New systems to support the customer journey and improve efficiency Remote asset monitoring to drive down unplanned maintenance costs Introduction of data analytics to reduce costs of regular servicing Global fleet management
33 Results Presentation August 2018
Sales discipline to drive operating profit with focus on margin, not growth Cost reduction program Billing & collections under spotlight and part of sales process Inventory management and systems investment Optimising utilization, capital expenditure discipline
Operating profit Working capital Fixed assets
7%
2020 1H 18
3 1 5 2 4
1 2 3 4 5
34 Results Presentation August 2018
REDUCE WORKING CAPITAL ROFIT
Continue actions already in place (referenced earlier)
DRIVE UTILISATION
All capital expenditure requires CEO/CFO approval New product build programme limited to G16 upgrades in the short term Global fleet management and deployment Group Operations Council established to oversee and govern fleet operations Asset monitoring to improve site efficiency and remove fleet redundancy Surplus fleet transfers to Rental and Industrial Solutions to support volume growth
REDUCE COSTS
Planned maintenance cost reduction through introduction of condition-based maintenance regimes Procurement savings through extension of spare parts supplier base Optimisation of fleet logistics and project manning Review regional office and support function locations Improve sales productivity through training and development
35 Results Presentation August 2018
Operating profit Working capital Fixed assets
2020 1H 18 Mid-teens %
11%
Operating profit improvement the
key driver
Some uplift in working capital and
fixed asset ratios
Broader base of improvement:
− Cost reductions − Working capital − Fixed asset utilisation
Self-help measures are key
36 Results Presentation August 2018
37 Results Presentation August 2018
The first half results are encouraging: we are on track to achieve our full year
Our 2015 strategy has evolved to reflect changing markets Execution of our strategy has strengthened the Group’s foundations and is
Detailed plans, focused on operating margin and capital efficiency and
We expect to deliver ROCE in the mid teens in 2020, with potential for further
38 Results Presentation August 2018
38 Results Presentation March 2018
39 Results Presentation August 2018
40 Results Presentation August 2018
Note: UAE Dirhams included within US Dollar as it is pegged to the US dollar; Argentinian Peso includes Power Solutions Utility contracts which are pegged to the US Dollar but paid and reported in Argentinian Pesos.
FX RATES REVENUE (£m)
FY17 average July 2018 FYF average FY17 actual FY17 Restated at July 2018 FYF average rates Variance % Variance US Dollar 1.29 1.35 814 780 (34) (4)% Euro 1.14 1.13 209 211 2 1% Australian Dollar 1.68 1.78 77 73 (4) (6)% Argentinian Peso 21.36 33.01 64 42 (22) (35)% Brazilian Real 4.12 4.82 216 185 (31) (15)% Canadian Dollar 1.67 1.74 23 22 (1) (4)% Russian Rouble 75.19 82.31 76 69 (7) (9)% Other 219 207 (12) (5)% Total revenue 1,698 1,589 (109) (6)% Total operating profit 224 202 (22) (10)%
41 Results Presentation August 2018
The information contained in this presentation has largely been extracted from the Results Announcement for the six months ended 30 June 2018. This presentation may contain certain “forward-looking” statements. By their nature, forward-looking statements involve risk and uncertainty because they relate to future events and circumstances. Actual outcomes and results may differ materially from any outcomes or results expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements. Any forward-looking statements made by or on behalf of Aggreko speak only as of the date they are made and no representation or warranty is given in relation to them, including as to their completeness or accuracy or the basis
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