AND RETENTION ARE NEEDED LARS M. SVENDSEN, PLC PROJECT MANAGER, - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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AND RETENTION ARE NEEDED LARS M. SVENDSEN, PLC PROJECT MANAGER, - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

AARHUS MAY 2015 UNIVERSITY DCE DANISH CENTRE FOR ENVIRONMENT AND ENERGY INTRODUCTION TO HELCOM REDUCTION SCHEME AND POLLUTION LOAD COMPILATION ACTIVTIES - WHY IMPROVED DATA ON TRANSBOUNDARY INPUTS AND RETENTION ARE NEEDED LARS M.


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LARS M. SVENDSEN, PLC PROJECT MANAGER, CHAIR OF REDCORE DG

AARHUS UNIVERSITY MAY 2015 DCE – DANISH CENTRE FOR ENVIRONMENT AND ENERGY

INTRODUCTION TO HELCOM REDUCTION SCHEME AND POLLUTION LOAD COMPILATION ACTIVTIES - WHY IMPROVED DATA ON TRANSBOUNDARY INPUTS AND RETENTION ARE NEEDED

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AARHUS UNIVERSITY WS Transboundary inputs & retention 19.05.2015 Lars M. Svendsen May 2015 DCE – DANISH CENTRE FOR ENVIRONMENT AND ENERGY

POLLUTION LOAD COMPILATION - PLC

› Introduce PLC activities within HELCOM with attention to the importance of transboundary inputs and retention › Briefly mention HELCOM Nutrient Reduction Scheme and the importance of transboundary inputs - Bo Gustafsson, BNI Stockholm in the next presentation will have focus on that very important issue › Pollution Load Compilation is an integral part of HELCOM assessment since 1987: focusing on annual and periodical assessment of air- and waterborne inputs and selected hazardous substances entering to the Baltic Sea: collection riverine, direct and atmospheric inputs to the Baltic Sea

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AARHUS UNIVERSITY WS Transboundary inputs & retention 19.05.2015 Lars M. Svendsen May 2015 DCE – DANISH CENTRE FOR ENVIRONMENT AND ENERGY 3

Aims of PLC assessments:

  • Air and waterborne nutrient inputs
  • Time-series, trend and changes
  • Main pathways and sources
  • Evaluate effects of measures taken

Assessing progress in fulfilling HELCOM nutrient reduction scheme

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AARHUS UNIVERSITY WS Transboundary inputs & retention 19.05.2015 Lars M. Svendsen May 2015 DCE – DANISH CENTRE FOR ENVIRONMENT AND ENERGY

› HELCOM have two Recommendation (HELCOM “legal” acts)

  • bliging Contracting Parties to monitor, collect and submit

data for annual and periodic assessments: Airborne inputs: Waterborne inputs:

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HELCOM RECOMMENDATION 24/1 1) Adopted 25 June 2003 having regard to Article 20, Paragraph 1 b)

  • f the Helsinki Convention

MONITORING OF AIRBORNE POLLUTION LOAD HELCOM RECOMMENDATION 26/2 2) Adopted 2 March 2005 having regard to Article 20, Paragraph 1 b) of the Helsinki Convention COMPILATION OF WATERBORNE POLLUTION LOAD (PLC WATER)

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AARHUS UNIVERSITY WS Transboundary inputs & retention 19.05.2015 Lars M. Svendsen May 2015 DCE – DANISH CENTRE FOR ENVIRONMENT AND ENERGY

› Regularly assessments on waterborne inputs started with PLC1 in 1987, since PLC2-PLC5. The latest PLC assessment – PLC5.5 was published earlier this year:

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AARHUS UNIVERSITY WS Transboundary inputs & retention 19.05.2015 Lars M. Svendsen May 2015 DCE – DANISH CENTRE FOR ENVIRONMENT AND ENERGY

› Some very few examples from the latest assessment (PLC-5.5) › – please note that in most figures we have allocated waterborne inputs to the country with the river outlet as we did not have the necessary information on transboundary inputs and on retention in surface waters of countries receiving transboundary inputs › On airborne inputs EMEP provide information on the source for deposition including inputs transboundary from countries

  • utside EU, Baltic Se and North Sea shipping etc.

› Quantifying transboundary waterborne inputs and the proportion of these reaching the Baltic Sea (retention remove some of the transboundary inputs) is a major challenge

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AARHUS UNIVERSITY WS Transboundary inputs & retention 19.05.2015 Lars M. Svendsen May 2015 DCE – DANISH CENTRE FOR ENVIRONMENT AND ENERGY 7

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AARHUS UNIVERSITY WS Transboundary inputs & retention 19.05.2015 Lars M. Svendsen May 2015 DCE – DANISH CENTRE FOR ENVIRONMENT AND ENERGY 8

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AARHUS UNIVERSITY WS Transboundary inputs & retention 19.05.2015 Lars M. Svendsen May 2015 DCE – DANISH CENTRE FOR ENVIRONMENT AND ENERGY

NITROGEN, PHOSPHORUS AIR AND WATERBORNE INPUTS 2010

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AARHUS UNIVERSITY WS Transboundary inputs & retention 19.05.2015 Lars M. Svendsen May 2015 DCE – DANISH CENTRE FOR ENVIRONMENT AND ENERGY 10

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AARHUS UNIVERSITY WS Transboundary inputs & retention 19.05.2015 Lars M. Svendsen May 2015 DCE – DANISH CENTRE FOR ENVIRONMENT AND ENERGY 11

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AARHUS UNIVERSITY WS Transboundary inputs & retention 19.05.2015 Lars M. Svendsen May 2015 DCE – DANISH CENTRE FOR ENVIRONMENT AND ENERGY

PLC6 – TO BE PUBLISHED

› Next PLC assessment on1995-2014 air- og waterborne nutrient data to be ready late 2016 › Focus on source apportionment, evaluation of effectiveness of measures including importance of transboundary inputs and retention › We hope to collect good information on transboundary inputs and retention

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AARHUS UNIVERSITY WS Transboundary inputs & retention 19.05.2015 Lars M. Svendsen May 2015 DCE – DANISH CENTRE FOR ENVIRONMENT AND ENERGY

HELCOM REDUCTION SCHEME

› Baltic Sea Action Plan 2007 decided on maximum allowable inputs (MAI) to the Baltic Sea that in the long run will would allow for fulfilment of eutrophication targets and the needed reductions in inputs compared with a reference period (1997-203) › The HELCOM ministers in 2013adopted a revised nutrient reduction scheme with revised MAI and new country allocated reduction targets (CART) › CARTS are based on the net input from the countries taking into account transboundary inputs between contracting parties and from countries (and sources) outside HELCOM. It takes also into account retention in receiving countries surface waters › Bo will tell more about MAI and CART but now follows a couple of extracts from the Ministerial Declaration in 2013

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AARHUS UNIVERSITY WS Transboundary inputs & retention 19.05.2015 Lars M. Svendsen May 2015 DCE – DANISH CENTRE FOR ENVIRONMENT AND ENERGY 14

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AARHUS UNIVERSITY WS Transboundary inputs & retention 19.05.2015 Lars M. Svendsen May 2015 DCE – DANISH CENTRE FOR ENVIRONMENT AND ENERGY 15

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AARHUS UNIVERSITY WS Transboundary inputs & retention 19.05.2015 Lars M. Svendsen May 2015 DCE – DANISH CENTRE FOR ENVIRONMENT AND ENERGY 16

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AARHUS UNIVERSITY WS Transboundary inputs & retention 19.05.2015 Lars M. Svendsen May 2015 DCE – DANISH CENTRE FOR ENVIRONMENT AND ENERGY

ASSESSING PROGRESS FULFILLING MAI AND CART

› Extensive work on developing new PLC assessments products for the follow up on the progress in fulfilling MAI and CART › Core Pressure Indicator on Nutrient Inputs to follow-up MAI have been developed, finalized and approved

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AARHUS UNIVERSITY WS Transboundary inputs & retention 19.05.2015 Lars M. Svendsen May 2015 DCE – DANISH CENTRE FOR ENVIRONMENT AND ENERGY 18

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AARHUS UNIVERSITY WS Transboundary inputs & retention 19.05.2015 Lars M. Svendsen May 2015 DCE – DANISH CENTRE FOR ENVIRONMENT AND ENERGY 19

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AARHUS UNIVERSITY WS Transboundary inputs & retention 19.05.2015 Lars M. Svendsen May 2015 DCE – DANISH CENTRE FOR ENVIRONMENT AND ENERGY

› CART assessment follow-up: draft finalized and forwarded (today) for HOD’s adoption in June 2015 › Will be accessible on HELCOM’s web-site together with the data › CART follows the national inputs (net inputs) by taking into account estimated transboundary inputs and estimated retention in catchment receiving these inputs

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AARHUS UNIVERSITY WS Transboundary inputs & retention 19.05.2015 Lars M. Svendsen May 2015 DCE – DANISH CENTRE FOR ENVIRONMENT AND ENERGY

ASSESSING FULFILMENT OF NITROGEN CART 2012

Country/basin BOB BOS BAP GUF GUR DS KAT Denmark ↓ ↓ ↓ ↓ ↓ ↓ ↓ Estonia ↓ ↓ ↓ ↓ ↓ Finland ↑ ↓ ↓ ↓ ↓ Germany ↓ ↓ ↓ ↓ ↓ ↓ ↓ Latvia Lithuania Poland ↓ ↓ ↓ ↓ ↓ ↓ ↓ Russia Sweden ↓ ↓ ↓ ↓ ↓ ↓ ↓ Belarus ↓ Czech Republic ↓ Ukraine ↓ Baltic Sea shipping ↑ ↑ ↑ ↑ ↑ ↑ ↑ Other countries ↓ ↓ ↓ ↓ ↓ ↓ ↓ MAI ↓ ↓ ↓ ↓

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25000 50000 75000 100000 125000 150000 175000 200000 Nitrogen (tonnes)

Baltic Proper

2010-12 Ceiling Country/basin BOB BOS BAP GUF GUR DS KAT Sum Denmark

  • 29,4
  • 29,6
  • 26,1
  • 30,7
  • 29,4
  • 25,3
  • 20,2
  • 23,3

Estonia

  • 1,8
  • 0,5
  • 21,0

3,3

  • 14,7
  • 13,0
  • 12,4
  • 6,6

Finland 6,2

  • 5,4
  • 25,3
  • 2,6
  • 24,8
  • 30,3
  • 30,6
  • 0,7

Germany

  • 20,5
  • 21,7
  • 16,7
  • 22,0
  • 22,0
  • 11,2
  • 15,9
  • 15,4

Latvia 2,2 4,6 22,2 9,0 9,5

  • 5,7
  • 4,1

11,1 Lithuania

  • 8,8
  • 8,8
  • 1,5
  • 6,3

6,7

  • 12,9
  • 12,0
  • 0,6

Poland

  • 9,9
  • 9,7
  • 14,3
  • 9,3
  • 9,1
  • 12,4
  • 11,9
  • 14,1

Russia 29,4 26,4 4,4 3,1 10,7 5,7 9,1 4,1 Sweden

  • 12,5
  • 7,6
  • 17,3
  • 20,8
  • 19,1
  • 19,1
  • 20,0
  • 15,1

Belarus

  • 7,8

8,0

  • 1,4

Czech Republic

  • 13,6
  • 13,6

Ukraine

  • 13,6
  • 13,6

Baltic Sea shipping 22,0 19,5 15,8 19,7 19,0 14,8 16,5 16,8 Other countries

  • 21,3
  • 22,3
  • 20,7
  • 23,0
  • 21,6
  • 20,5
  • 17,8
  • 20,8

MAI

  • 1,1
  • 8,2
  • 12,7

0,3 3,2

  • 18,9
  • 19,1
  • 9,4
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AARHUS UNIVERSITY WS Transboundary inputs & retention 19.05.2015 Lars M. Svendsen May 2015 DCE – DANISH CENTRE FOR ENVIRONMENT AND ENERGY

ASSESSING FULFILMENT OF PHOSPHORUS CART 2012

Country/basin BOB BOS BAP GUF GUR DS KAT Denmark ↓ ↓ ↓ Estonia ↓ Finland ↓ Germany ↓ Latvia ↑ ↑ Lithuania ↓ ↑ Poland ↓ Russia ↑ Sweden ↓ ↓ ↓ Belarus ↓ ↑ Czech Republic ↓ Ukraine ↓ Baltic Sea shipping Other countries MAI ↓ ↓ ↓ ↓

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200 400 600 800 1000 1200 DK EE FI DE LT LV PL RU SE OC-a OC-w Phosphorus (tonnes)

Gulf of Riga

2010-12 Country/basin BOB BOS BAP GUF GUR DS KAT Sum Denmark

  • 11,9
  • 5,6
  • 11,7
  • 8,4

Estonia

  • 12,3
  • 6,8
  • 34,0
  • 16,3

Finland 1,6

  • 8,5
  • 1,4
  • 2,5

Germany 3,5

  • 3,1
  • 0,2

Latvia 46,0 7,7 17,0 Lithuania

  • 29,9

4,3

  • 27,2

Poland

  • 22,8
  • 22,8

Russia 0,0

  • 16,0

4,3

  • 13,7

Sweden 14,9

  • 12,4
  • 13,2
  • 17,3
  • 6,0
  • 5,2

Belarus

  • 29,2

42,6

  • 9,8

Czech Republic

  • 22,3
  • 22,3

Ukraine

  • 22,3
  • 22,3

Baltic Sea shipping Other countries 0,0 0,0 0,0 0,0 0,0 0,0 0,0 0,0 MAI 5,6

  • 8,9
  • 20,0
  • 13,7

0,5

  • 5,4
  • 8,3
  • 13,6
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AARHUS UNIVERSITY WS Transboundary inputs & retention 19.05.2015 Lars M. Svendsen May 2015 DCE – DANISH CENTRE FOR ENVIRONMENT AND ENERGY

› The CART follow-up assessment requires good information on transboundary inputs and on inland surface water retention e.g. for inputs to GUR and for some Countries › HELCOM HOD’s decided to cooperate more closely with transboundary river basin commissions: › - engage them in work to reduce nutrients inputs to the Balti Sea to reach CART › - engage them to improve data on transboundary pollution inputs and on retention within surface waters › - agreed to arrange this workshop on updating knowledge on transboundary inputs and retention coefficients and invite river basin commissions to participate

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AARHUS UNIVERSITY WS Transboundary inputs & retention 19.05.2015 Lars M. Svendsen May 2015 DCE – DANISH CENTRE FOR ENVIRONMENT AND ENERGY 24

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AARHUS UNIVERSITY WS Transboundary inputs & retention 19.05.2015 Lars M. Svendsen May 2015 DCE – DANISH CENTRE FOR ENVIRONMENT AND ENERGY 25

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AARHUS UNIVERSITY WS Transboundary inputs & retention 19.05.2015 Lars M. Svendsen May 2015 DCE – DANISH CENTRE FOR ENVIRONMENT AND ENERGY 26