AND PLANNING FOR GROWTH Kimberly H. Robinson Truckee Meadows - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Dec 19, 2022 33 likes •197 views

THE TRUCKEE MEADOWS REGION AND PLANNING FOR GROWTH Kimberly H. Robinson Truckee Meadows Regional Planning Agency December 8 th , 2014 Growth Projections We produce a Consensus Forecast every 2 years The Consensus Forecast evaluates

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THE TRUCKEE MEADOWS REGION AND PLANNING FOR GROWTH

Kimberly H. Robinson Truckee Meadows Regional Planning Agency December 8th, 2014

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Growth Projections

 We produce a Consensus Forecast every 2 years  The Consensus Forecast evaluates population and

employment growth over a 20-year planning horizon

 Users:

TMRPA
Reno
Sparks
Washoe County
RTC
WRWC
RTAA
WCSD

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How Much Are We Growing?

257,759 81,547 436,797 126,982

Around 127,000 additional people in 2034 29% Increase 31% Increase Around 81,000 additional jobs in 2034

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How Are These Numbers Used?

 RTC Travel Demand Model  The Consensus Forecast projections are spatially allocated to

Traffic Analysis Zones (TAZ) in order to predict future traffic volumes across our region

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Demographic Change

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Consensus Forecast Age Group Distribution

6% 19% 60% 14% 6% 19% 56% 18% Preschool (Ages 0-4) School (Ages 5-19) Working (Ages 20-64) Retired (Ages 65 and

lder)

2034 2014

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65+ Detail

62,201 103,209

20000 40000 60000 80000 100000 120000

2014 2034

All People Ages 65+

13,336 29,865

5000 10000 15000 20000 25000 30000 35000

2014 2034

Only People Ages 80+

+41,008 (66% increase) +16,529 (124% increase)

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Regional Population

56,822 137,035 99,616 112,222 39,649 30,000 50,000 70,000 90,000 110,000 130,000 150,000 Boomlets (<10) Millenials (10-32) Generation X (33-49) Baby Boomers (50-68) Mature Generation (69-89)

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Approved Future Housing Units

9,005 Tentative Map Units 54,377 Planned Development Units

c. 4,500 Additional

Subdivided Units

64,000 Total Approved Future Units

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Approved Future Housing Units: Percent by Jurisdiction

9% 28% 63%

Washoe County Sparks Reno

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Tesla Report - GOED

Year Direct Jobs Indirect Jobs Induced Jobs Total Jobs 2015 700 841 905 2,446 2016 1,700 2,044 2,197 5,941 2017 4,700 5,650 6,075 16,425 2018 6,500 7,814 8,402 22,715

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Residents In Washoe County

 6,500 workers * 54.5% workers in Washoe County *

50% existing residents = 1,771 new workers * 2.56 pph = 4,534 new residents in Washoe County by 2018

 6,500 workers * 75% workers in Washoe County * 50%

existing residents = 2,438 new workers * 2.56 pph = 6,241 new residents in Washoe County by 2018

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Projected Population Growth

2015 – 2018 Growth = 23,993 residents 5,783 5,947 6,125 6,138

2015 2016 2017 2018

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Final Thoughts

 Predicting the future is difficult but necessary, and

requires periodic reassessment

 New Consensus Forecast every two years  Potential residential lands study  Tracking approved future units  Enhanced economic development report with EDAWN

 Collaboration, information and assessment are the