ALROSA
MOSCOW, 14 AUGUST 2020
ALROSA Q2&6M 2020 IFRS RESULTS MOSCOW, 14 AUGUST 2020 - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
ALROSA Q2&6M 2020 IFRS RESULTS MOSCOW, 14 AUGUST 2020 DISCLAIMER For notes es: The below applies to the presentation (the Presentation) following this important notice, and you are therefore advised to read this important notice
MOSCOW, 14 AUGUST 2020
DISCLAIMER
For notes es:
The below applies to the presentation (the “Presentation”) following this important notice, and you are therefore advised to read this important notice carefully before reading, accessing or making any other use of this Presentation. This Presentation contains statements about future events and expectations that are forward-looking statements. Any statement herein (including, without limitation, a statement regarding our financial position, strategy, management plans and future objectives) that is not a statement of historical fact is a forward-looking statement that involves known and unknown risks, uncertainties and
results, performance or achievements expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements. Past performance should not be taken as an indication or guarantee of future results, and no representation or warranty, express or implied, is made regarding future
looking statements contained herein to reflect actual results, changes in assumptions or changes in factors affecting these statements. This Presentation does not constitute or form part of and should not be construed as, an offer to sell or issue or the solicitation of an
should not be construed as investment, legal, tax, accounting or other advice, and investors and prospective investors in securities of any issuer mentioned herein are required to make their own independent investigation and appraisal of the business and financial condition of such issuer and the nature of the securities and consult their own advisers as to legal, financial, tax and other related matters. This Presentation has not been independently verified. No representation or warranty or undertaking, express or implied, is made as to the accuracy, completeness or fairness of the information or opinions contained in this Presentation. None of ALROSA nor any of its shareholders, directors, officers or employees, affiliates, advisors, representatives nor any other person accepts any liability whatsoever for any loss howsoever arising from any use of this Presentation or its contents or otherwise arising in connection
completeness, accuracy or fairness. This Presentation is not directed to, or intended for distribution to or use by, any person or entity that is a citizen or resident or located in any locality, state, country or other jurisdiction where such distribution, publication, availability or use would be contrary to law or regulation or which would require any registration or licensing within such jurisdiction. Persons in whose possession this Presentation and/or such information may come are required to inform themselves thereof and to observe such restrictions. Some figures included in this Presentation have been subject to rounding adjustments. By reviewing and/or attending this Presentation you acknowledge and agree to be bound by the foregoing.
3
ALROSA: COVID-19 RESPONSE
Team
Preve ventive ntive measur sures: temperature checks 2x a day, provision of PPE, sanitization, etc. Shift approach ch for unique specialists, ensuring physica ical l dista tanci cing WFH mode from March where applicable Internal nal commun unica icatio tion n program m to raise awareness, trainings Testin ting for COVID-19: up to 100%
sites where virus was identified
Operations
Cris isis is management ement commit mmittee tee 2020 outp tput cut t by 10-18% 18%
assessed Capex ex revis ised ed downwards Cost t cutt ttin ing measures Active ctive supply ly mana nagem ement ent Bala lance ce sheet t streng engthening ening and build ildin ing up liquid idit ity posit itio ion
Customers
Commitm itment t to support clients nts Contracts tracts with flexibility added:
purchases from April
year end cut by ½ from Aug. Communicati nication with clients on a daily basis (incl. with Head of sales) Sales s channe nels ls flexibility (digital, auctions)
Communities
Support t to the healthcar thcare syste tem: : ~RUB0.5 .5 bn bn allocat located to safety measures and medical equipment, incl. PPE, testing systems and ventilators Screening ning: : more then 33K COVID-19 tests were made in the regions of operations Development of telemedicine networks for the remote areas
Source: Company data. Note: (1) PPE – Personal Protective Equipment; (2) WFH – Working From Home.
9 3 2 5 13 3 39 49 69 53 65 74
2017 2018 2019
Insignificant Serious Fatalities
2 29 31
6M'20
“Systemic” changes
4
EMPLOYEE SAFETY IS UNDISPUTABLE PRIORITY
Prevention ion progra ram in action
Source: Company data and analysis.
Number of accidents
trial ial safety ety is our top-prio iority ity at at all l times mes
ther strength engthenin ening of H&S S funct ctio ion
malized lized H&S funct ctio ion built in 2017 with systems and functions being rolled across the Group
ensive ive experien erience ce in M&M to report to COO with a wide authority (up to suspension of operations)
eventio ion program am promoting transparency and disclosure launched in 2017
ive e result lts – drop in fatalities and “serious” accidents
back of awar arene eness / whis istleb tleblo lowing wing programs ms / motiva tivatio ion schemes mes chan ange 87% 35% 33% 13% 65% 67%
2017 2018 2019
Potential Non-potential % by type of accident
34% 66%
6M'20
80% 80% 70% 70% 55% 55% 50% 50% 50%
Jan Jan'18 18 Sep Sep'18 18 Jul' Jul'19 19 Mar'20 Jul' Jul'20
2020 output cut down
38.5 34.2 28-31
2019 2020 (initia (initial) l) 2020 (r (revis ised)
m ct
Output cuts at the assets with higher variable costs, and with lower vs average profitability …thus helping reduce cash outlays and speed up w/c release once demand recovers 29 26 20 22 ~20
2019 2020
Initial Revised New
MANAGING THROUGH THE DOWNTURN
Source: Company data and analysis.
5
Responsib sibil ility ity over custome mers
Mining majors helped industry destock by the end of 2019 and continued to support in 2020 E.g. ALROSA: from Mar’20 - minimum contracted volumes cut to 50% …starting Apr’20 up to 100% of purchases could be deferred to buy later in 2020 From Aug’20 – obligations to buy are cut by 50%
RUB bn
Capex downscale aled
A number
small projects were rescheduled or put on hold No impact on operational performance 2020 capex
was revised downward from RUB 22 bn by RUB 1-2 bn
Starting Apr’20 up to 100% of min allowed wed volu lumes es could be defer erred ed
DIAMOND MARKET OVERVIEW
6
Diam amon
y demand in Q2’20 20
After strong start in Jan’20 pandemic led to stores closure in Feb-May, retailers used their existing stocks In June retail sales started to increase showing their first yoy gain since early in 2020
Polish sher ers s structu ctura rally lly reduced stocks ks
Better offtake in H2’19 allowing to bring supply and demand into balance by the year-end Mid-stream decreases almost to zero rough purchases on lock-downs/travel restrictions
Miners1 adjusted diamon
s supply
$ bn
Major diamond producers adjusted supply to prevent stock-building at mid- stream and price decreases Production equivalent
~30%
diamond capacity was closed in March- April
(9%) 11% (82%) (91%) (68%) (10%) (50%) (59%) (100%) (84%) (55%)
689 1,391 220 79 272 1,489 1,135 721
285 704
Jan Jan Feb eb Mar Apr May Ju Jun
Net import Net export
3.0 2.5 0.7
Q2' 2'19 Q1'2 '20 Q2' 2'20 20 Source: Company data and analysis, GJEPC, Bureau of Economic Analysis. 1. Data based on results of ALROSA and other diamond producers with a market share totaling c. 75% in 12M 2019.
$ m, 2020 yoy change, U.S. PCE on jewelry 3.8% 1.6% (4.2%) (25%) (51%) (27%) 1.9%
2018 2019 Q1'2 '20 Q2'2 '20 Ap Apr'2 '20 Ma May'2 '20 Ju Jun'2 '20 yoy change
10.1 6.3 4.7 5.3 7.9 6.0 4.3 5.9 7.1 3.2 2.7 2.0 3.7 2.7 2.3 2.1 2.2 2.4 13.4 9.0 6.7 9.0 10.6 8.3 6.4 8.2 9.4 0.6
Q1'1 '18 Q2'1 '18 Q3'1 '18 Q4'1 4'18 Q1'1 '19 Q2'1 '19 Q3'1 '19 Q4'1 4'19 Q1'2 '20 Q2'2 '20
Gem-quality diamonds Industrial quality diamonds
ALROSA ROUGH DIAMOND SALES
7
1,556 1,034 933 802 969 780 585 877 868
26 23 16 22 18 16 16 11 13
1,582 1,057 949 824 988 796 601 888 881 74
Q1'1 '18 Q2' 2'18 Q3' 3'18 Q4'1 4'18 Q1'1 '19 Q2' 2'19 Q3' 3'19 Q4'1 4'19 Q1'2 '20 Q2' 2'20 20
Gem-quality diamonds Industrial quality diamonds
Source: Company data and analysis.
Q2’20 diamon
s shrank k by 93% qoq Q2’20 diamon
s by value slipped by 92% % qoq
$ mn m ct
Pri Price over
volume strateg trategy trans transla lated ted in into to a dec decade ade lowest sale les resul ults
es were 0.6 m ct ct
ined by 93% qoq (92% yoy
) due to sharp drop in consumer activity since the end of February on the back of COVID-19 pandemic
Sales es in in USD SD amounted to $74 74 m (down 92% qoq and 91% yoy)
Share 43% 57% Share 3% 97%
12.3 11.7 15.5 17.0 14.3 15.9 21.7 22.6 21.1 26.3
Q1'1 '18 Q2'1 '18 Q3'1 '18 Q4'1 4'18 Q1'1 '19 Q2'1 '19 Q3'1 '19 Q4'1 4'19 Q1'2 '20 Q2'2 '20
INVENTORIES
8
59% 82% 68% 17% 12% 19% 24% 6% 13%
15.9 21.1 26.3
Q2'1 '19 Q1'2 '20 Q2'2 '20
Other Work in progress Finished goods
Source: Company data and analysis.
Q2 ALROSA's s diamon
ies s expanded by 25% qoq ALROSA's s diamon
ies s structure
m ct, end of the period m ct, end of the period
Q2‘20 20 diamo iamond in invent ntor
es wer were up up by by 5.2 m ct ct (+25% qoq) to to 26 26.3 m ct ct as sales drop (-92%)
66 66% yoy yoy growth in in inve nvent ntori
es (+ (+10 10.4 m ct ct) due to sales drop on the back of squeezed consumer activity related to lockdowns around the world
+25%
+66%
1
PRICES
9
1% 2% 0% (2%) 1% 2% 2% (2%) (3%) (2%) (3%) (2%) (1%) (1%)
(7%) 18% 22% (18%) 11% 6% 22% (23%) (19%) 5% 4% 9% (17%) 63%
117 138 169 139 154 164 199 153 123 130 135 148 123 200
Q1'1 '17 Q2'1 '17 Q3'1 '17 Q4'17 Q1'1 '18 Q2'1 '18 Q3'1 '18 Q4'18 Q1'1 '19 Q2'1 '19 Q3'1 '19 Q4'19 Q1'2 '20 Q2'2 '20
LFL price index change ARP change
Source: Company data and analysis. 1. ARP (average realized prices) (sales revenue divided by sales volumes in carat terms) are also impacted by changes in the product mix throughout the reported period. 2. Average index change of like-for-like diamonds prices (excl. +10.8 carats).
ARP1 for r gem-diamon amonds s saw a spike of 54% yoy
$/ct
Q2’20 20 li like ke-fo for-li like pri rice ce index ex (LFL PI) was just 1.4% qoq lower lower as the Company continued to implement its “price-over-volume” strategy YTD the index was down 2% Q2’20 20 av average erage reali ealize zed pric rices es (AR ARP) for for gem em- qua uali lity diamo iamonds so soar ared by by 63 63% qoq (+ (+54 54% yo yoy) to to $200 200/ct ct due to higher share of large- size diamonds in the sales mix
3% 3% (6%) (9%) 21% (19%)
136 164 133
2017 2018 2019
Average price
2
57 63 10 25 30 0.1 13 3 0.3
44% 48% 1%
Q2'1 '19 Q1'2 '20 Q2'2 '20
Revenue EBITDA Net profit EBITDA margin
FINANCIAL HIGHLIGHTS
10
Expected ed decline of revenue for r the sake e of marke ket balan ance Free Cash Flow dropped on lower r top-lin ine
RUB bn RUB bn
Q2‘20 20:
enue: RUB 10.4 bn, -83% qoq on lower sales volumes
ITDA: RUB 0.1 bn, -100% qoq and yoy
fitabilit ility stood at 1%
come me RUB 0.3 bn
TM EBIT ITDA was at 1.2x (+45% qoq)
6M‘20 20:
enue: RUB 73.1 bn (-43% qoq)
ITDA: RUB 30.1 bn (-47% qoq)
fitabilit ility: 41%
come me: RUB 3.3 bn
2.4 22 (31)
Q2'1 '19 Q1'2 '20 Q2'2 '20 Source: Company data and analysis.
128 73 56 30 38 3.3
44% 41%
6M'1 6M'19 6M'20 6M'20
28 (8)
6M'1 M'19 6M'2 M'20
56 5 2 0.6 (53) (0.01)
Q1' 1'20 Re Revenu nue Sale Sales volum lume Sale Sales m mix ix Pr Pric icing ing li like-for-li like FX FX Q2'20 Re Revenu nue
GEM-DIAMONDS REVENUE DRIVERS
11
50 5 2 0.6 (47) (0.4)
Q2'19 19 Re Revenu nue Sale Sales volum lume Sale Sales m mix ix Pr Pric icing ing li like-for-li like FX FX Q2'20 Re Revenu nue
Source: Company data and analysis.
Q2’20 to Q1’20 gem-quali lity rough diamon
Q2’20 to Q2’19 gem-quali lity rough diamon
RUB bn RUB bn
Q2‘20 20 gem em-quali uality diamo iamond rev evenu nue decreased by 91% qoq (-90% yoy) to RUB 5 bn bn driven by
On a yoy basis there was a similar drivers’ impact
1
14 12 15 19 14 15 14 17 15 10 34 19 15 16 25 17 10 18 18
13.4 9.0 6.7 9.0 10.6 8.3 6.4 8.2 9.4 0.6
Q1'1 '18 Q2'1 '18 Q3'1 '18 Q4'1 4'18 Q1'1 '19 Q2'1 '19 Q3'1 '19 Q4'1 4'19 Q1'2 '20 Q2'2 '20
Non-production sales costs Production related sales costs Rough diamond sales, m ct
COSTS DYNAMICS
12
Source: Company data and analysis.
Q2 total l cost of sales s were slumped 69 69% % qoq
RUB bn
Q2‘20 20 total
costs of
sold produc ucts sli slipped by by 69 69% qoq and yoy to RUB 10.2 bn due to:
ion-rela lated sales s costs: RUB 0.2 bn as sales volumes dropped to record low 0.6 m ct (detailed breakdown is at p. 24)
ction ion sales s costs: down by 32% (-RUB 4.6 bn) mostly driven by drop of MET and exploration works (see p. 25)
T
48 48 31 31 30 30 34 34 48 48 32 32 25 25 35 35 33 33 10 10
0.2
25 9
Q2'1 '19 EBIT BITDA DA Sales les volu lume Sales m les mix ix Pr Pricin icing like- like-fo for-like
FX FX Oth Other er Q2'2 '20 EBIT BITDA DA
30 (41) 0.6 9 0.1 2 (0.04)
Q1'2 '20 EBIT BITDA DA Sales les volu lume Sales m les mix ix Pr Pricin icing like- like-fo for-like
FX FX Oth Other er Q2'2 '20 EBIT BITDA DA
PROFITABILITY DRIVERS
13
Source: Company data and analysis. 1. Mainly due to movement of ore &sands inventory, and decrease of MET(+RUB 8 bn). 2. Mainly due to movement of ore &sands inventory, and decrease of MET(+RUB 9 bn).
Q2 EBITDA bridge (qoq) Q2 EBITDA bridge (yoy)
RUB bn RUB bn
Q2‘20 20 EBITDA: RUB 0.1 bn bn Qoq
bn, COGS up: RUB 13 bn)
Yoy drivers:
+RUB 11 bn)
1 2
(37) 2 (0.3) 0.6 0.1
3.3 4.8 5.9 3.2 2.4 2.8 1.6 1.7 1.6 1.2 1.0 1.6 2.1 3.6 1.2 1.5 2.5 3.4 0.8 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.6 1.9 0.3 2.8
4.8 7.2 8.8 7.0 3.9 4.5 4.6 6.9 2.6 4.5
Q1'1 '18 Q2'1 '18 Q3'1 '18 Q4'1 4'18 Q1'1 '19 Q2'1 '19 Q3'1 '19 Q4'1 4'19 Q1'2 '20 Q2'2 '20
Infrastructure Maintenance Mining capacity
CAPEX
14
Source: Company data and analysis.
Q2 capex soar ared 72% qoq Annual capex dynamics ics
RUB bn RUB bn
Q2’20 20 cap capex ex grew 72% qoq to RUB 4.5 bn bn mainly due to RUB 2.5 bn payment for the new building for its sales & sorting unit Maintenance and mining capacity capex down 28% and 24% qoq respectively as optimization program was launched Total
capex ex wer ere flat lat yoy yoy although there was a shift in its structure: +RUB 2.5 bn on infrastructure projects and -RUB 1.6 bn in mining capacity:
.Munskoye deposit (-RUB 0.3 bn)
2020-202 2024E capex outloo
since its last update in June
22 29 26 22 21 20 23 19 18 17 2020E 2021E 2022E 2023E 2024E 4E Initial capex outlook Updated capex outlook 38 36 34 32 27 28 20 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
$ m $ m
494 500 200 200 200 300
507 759 375 10 503 357 500
2020E 2020E 2021E 2022E 2022E 2023E 2023E 2024E 4E 2025E 2025E 2027E
Eurobonds Bank loans RUB bonds 1,653 3,267 4,920
30.06.2020
2.7 2.9 2.1 1.4 2.1 1.9 2.9 5.9% 6.3% 7.7% 5.2% 6.4% 4.25% 4.19%
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 Q1'2 '20 Q2'2 '20
Weighted av. maturity (years) Weighted av. cost (%)
DEBT POSITION
15
3,062 2,347 1,622 1,535 1,895 3,091 2,781 1,374 1,494 971 1,286 1,438
1.7x 0.5x 0.7x 0.4x 0.7x 1.2x
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 Q2'2 '20
Total Debt Net Debt Net Debt / EBITDA, x
Source: Company data and analysis. 1. Including lease obligation (the equivalent of USD 84 m). 2. Based on EBITDA and Net Debt denominated in rubles. 3. Excluding lease obligation (the equivalent of USD 84 m) and amortization of discount. 4. For RUB-denominated debt based on FX rate as of 30 June 2020.
Sound finan ancial cial profil ile
$ m
Q2’20 20 Net debt +$0.4 bn qoq to $1.4 bn bn Net debt/EBITD TDA up to 1.2x Liquidity position ion grew 2x to $1.7 bn bn Recent transa nsaction ions:
IG IG stat status us co confirm nfirmed by by S&P S&P , Moody’s, Fi Fitch in June, Raex assign igned ed AAA AAA in May Weighted avera rage cost and maturity rity of debt
2
Liquidity y position ion Debt3 repaymen ent schedule
Cash and Equivalents (incl. deposits) Credit Lines
4 1
163.2 216.2 68.8 (0.3) (14.7) (0.8)
Q1'2 '20 Total al Deb ebt Lo Loan an receiv eceived ed Lo Loan an rep epaid id FX FX Change
f lease liab e liabilities ilities Q2'2 '20 Total al Deb ebt
77.4 100.6 30.2 2.6 (9.2) (0.4)
Q1'2 '20 Net Net Deb Debt FCF FCF Net Net in interes est FX FX Oth Other er Q2'2 '20 Net Net Deb Debt
DEBT ANALYSIS
16
Source: Company data and analysis.
Q2 Net Debt bridge (qoq) Q2 Total l Debt bridge (qoq)
RUB bn RUB bn
Q2‘20 20 net net debt +30 30% qoq to to RUB 100.6 bn bn mostly driven by:
Q2‘20 20 total debt +32 32% to to RUB 216.2 bn bn due to:
Eurobonds of $500 m and two 2Y bank loans (+RUB 68.8 bn)
0. 0.7x 1.2x
Net Debt/ LTM EBITDA
Q2‘20 20 FCF CF down wn to to -RUB RUB 30 30.2 bn bn from +RUB 21.8 bn in Q1‘20 due to:
mines (b) growth of fixed costs per unit on lower production
customers
government pension fund
FREE CASH FLOW
17
(24.2) (4.5) 30.0 0.1 (25.6) (30.2) (29.9) (0.6) (0.9)
Q1'20 EB EBITDA ITDA Cha Change ges s in pro profitabi bility Q2'20 EB EBITDA Ch Change ges s in NW NWC In Incom
Oth Other Ope Opera rating g cash flow
Ca Cape pex Q2'20 Fre ree cash sh flow
Source: Company data and analysis.
Q2 ’20: EBITDA to Free cash flow bridge
RUB bn
50% 50% 50% 76% 95% 76% 78% 26% 37% 59% 52% 70% 100% 100% 100%
2014 2015 2016 2017 H1 H1'1 '18 H2' H2'18 H1 H1'1 '19 H2' H2'19 Based on IFRS net income Based on FCF
65.7
38.0 (12M’17) 29.8 (H2’18) 42.7 (H1’18) 27.7 (H1’19)
10.8 10.8 15.4 80.7 57.5
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
DIVIDENDS
18
65.8 38.6
43.7 (H1'18) 28.3 (H1'19) 30.3 (H2'18) 19.4 (H2'19)
10.8 15.4 74.0 47.7
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 Source: Company data and analysis. 1. Dividends paid less than dividends accrued due to exclusion of dividends for treasury shares.
Divide idend accru ruals als Divide idend payments1
RUB bn RUB bn
Dividend policy adopted in 2018
On On Ju June 24 24, sharehold lder ers decid ecided ed to to pay ay RUB RUB 19 19.4 bn bn or RUB 2.63/share as dividends for H2’19, corresponding to 100% of the company’s FCF for the period – to be fully disbursed by the end of August
Divide idend payout ratios ios
Based on accrued dividends for the period
OUTLOOK
Marke rket t outlook
Lo Long-term erm fu fundam amentals als of
emai ain strong ng – diamond jewelry remains the product of choice for “special moments in life”, and being culturally accepted in new geographies End-deman mand for diamon
to gradually ally recove ver as as key economie ies are back to to “normal” life (based on China’s track record) Ro Rough diamo iamonds dema mand to to rebou
recover on seasonal activity Supply ly of
iamonds co conti ntinu nues es to to decr creas ease as deposits deplete and a number of mines are put on hold with potential acceleration of squeeze
Company mpany perfor forman mance ce
2020 production ion is expected to decrease to 28-31 m ct (see p. 21) 2020 sales volumes will depend on real market demand, consistent execution of “price-over-volume” sales strategy 2020 capex outlook was revised downward to RUB 20 bn (down RUB 1-2 bn) with no effect on operational performance Active cost cutting program am being rolle led out:
. Munskoye – June 1 to Oct 1, 2020; Zarnitsa pipe – May 1 to Dec 31, 2020, reduced production at Severalmaz from Q2’20
Source: Company data and analysis.
19
2020 PRODUCTION OUTLOOK
21
0.27 2.0 1.9 4.2 0.26 1.6 1.1 2.5 3.0
Za Zari ria Ai Aikhal V.Munsk skoe
Sev Severa ralma maz Tota Total re reduction
Initial outlook Updated outlook
Source: Company data and analysis.
2020 output reduction
m ct
Management ement response to to the downt wnturn:
which is expected to:
increase
Production ion outlook
m ct
Alm lmazy Anabara
V.Mu Munsk skoye Udachny ny
Severalm lmaz
Nyurbin insk skay aya Jubilee lee Aikhal al
Mirny ny Div ivis ision Other1
Botuobin inska skaya
Aikha khal Divis isio ion Udachn chny Divis isio ion Nyur urba Divis isio ion
Inter ernational al Allu luvials ls
Arkhan ange gelsk skaya ya Karpi pinsk skogo
Allu luvials ls 5.4 5.2 3.6 4.2 1.5 5.5 6.2 4.7 2.5 3.1 0.2 1.5 4.2 3.0 2.4 2.6
28-31
9.1 7.2 1.5 1.4
36.7 38.5 34.2 Poten tential ial to produce ce up to 37 37-38 38 m m ct ct
2018 2019 2020E 2021-3
17.9 20.1 16.1 17.0 19.7 21.6 18.0 18.5 16.2 15.0
Q1'1 '18 Q2'1 '18 Q3'1 '18 Q4'1 4'18 Q1'1 '19 Q2'1 '19 Q3'1 '19 Q4'1 4'19 Q1'2 '20 Q2'2 '20
ALROSA PRODUCTION (1/2)
22
5.7 10.1 17.2 7.5 6.4 10.5 17.2 7.2 5.9 7.4 1.30 0.84 0.61 1.38 1.23 0.93 0.71 1.22 1.36 0.77
Q1'1 '18 Q2'1 '18 Q3'1 '18 Q4'1 4'18 Q1'1 '19 Q2'1 '19 Q3'1 '19 Q4'1 4'19 Q1'2 '20 Q2'2 '20
Grade, ct/t
Source: Company data and analysis. 1. ROM – run of mine.
Q2 run-of
ine ore was down by 8% % qoq Ore and sands processin sing went up 24% qoq
m t m m3
Q2’20 20
wn 8% qoq (-31% 1% yoy) ) to to 15.0 m m3, largely due to decision to suspend project of pit deepening at the Arkhangelskaya pipe (Severalmaz) in 2020 and measures taken in line with production plan reduction
ed feedsto tock ck went nt up by 24% qoq (-30% % yoy)
erage e diam amond grad ade saw a seasonal l declin line e of 43% qoq (+8% % yoy) ) to 0.77 cpt due to re-launch of production lower-grade alluvial deposits at the Mirny Division and decreased production at high-grade assets related to production plan revision
5.3 4.1 3.8 6.5 6.1 5.6 5.2 6.0 5.9 3.1 2.0 2.1 1.0 3.3 1.5 2.2 1.6 2.6 2.0 0.7
0.2 2.3
5.8
0.5 0.2
1.9 5.4
0.3 0.1
1.8
7.4 8.5 10.5 10.3 7.8 9.7 12.1 8.8 8.0 5.7
Q1'1 '18 Q2'1 '18 Q3'1 '18 Q4'1 4'18 Q1'1 '19 Q2'1 '19 Q3'1 '19 Q4'1 4'19 Q1'2 '20 Q2'2 '20
Open pit Underground Alluvials
ALROSA PRODUCTION (2/2)
23
Source: Company data and analysis.
Diam amon
ion slump 29% % qoq
m ct
Q2’20 20 Dia Diamo mond output tput dropped ed by by 29 29% qoq an and 42 42% yo yoy to to 5.7 m ct ct, mainly following revised 2020 production plan from initial 34.2 m ct to 28-31 m ct range Open-pit mining share decreased to 55% due to a seasonal return to production at alluvial deposits A drop in underground mining share of 13% was associated with suspended operations at the Aikhal underground mine and halted ore processing from the Udachnaya and International underground mines The share of alluvial deposits in total production increased to 32% compared to 19% in Q2’19 as a result of lower production volumes at other assets
Share 32% 13% 55%
(2,999) (4,323) (8,261) (1,022) 1,068 (11,452) 12,195 12,302 11,466 3,813 4,237 3,046 3,097 2,595 3,237 1,988 2,073 1,093 215 280 1,078
21,308 21,48 487 19,920 Other production costs Services and transportation Materials costs Fuel and energy Labor costs Movement of diamonds Movement of ore and sands
PRODUCTION COSTS DYNAMICS AND BREAKDOWN
24
19,920
Q2'2 '20 Pr Product ctio ion co costs Mo Movem emen ent in in in inven entory
f ore e an and san ands Mo Movem emen ent in in in inven entory
f diamon amonds Q2'2 '20 Pr Product ctio ion co costs of f sales ales
(11,452)
Direc ect production ion related costs of sales s slumped Production ion cost adjust sted for r inventor
RUB m RUB m
Q2’20 20 producti ction rel elat ated ed cost of
ales slip lipped ed by by 99 99% qoq to to RUB 0.2 bn bn driven by:
sales being far below output due to COVID-19 (-RUB 12.5 bn)
(-RUB 0.8 bn)
28% % on volumes decrease (-RUB 1.2 bn)
) materials s +25% due to seasonality (+RUB 0.6 bn)
) services s & transpo port costs s -47% (-RUB 1.0 bn) due to decrease
Q2’20 20 produc uctio tion related elated costs costs of
ales we were down
99% yoy driven by:
was 42% down
bn)
Q2‘19 Q1‘20 20 Q2‘20 XX XX
(8,261) 207
Source: Company data and analysis.
NON-PRODUCTION COSTS DYNAMICS AND BREAKDOWN
25
4.7 4.8 1.1 4.3 3.4 4.1 1.7 2.5 1.8 1.6 0.8 0.9 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.4
1.8
0.9 Q2'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Other non-production costs Other taxes and payments Social expenses Exploration expenses SG&A Extraction tax and royalty
Source: Company data and analysis. 1. Mainly includes cost of diamonds for resale and other non-production costs.
Non-prod
ction costs s were down 32% qoq
RUB bn
Q2‘20 20 non-producti tion co costs ts wer were down wn 32% qoq to to RUB RUB 10 10 bn bn mostly due to:
volumes as employees being furloughed due to COVID related measures
&A expense ses s +17% 7% (+RUB 0.6 bn) due to payment of annual bonuses
Q2‘20 20 non non-producti tion co costs decr ecrease eased by by 33 33% yo yoy mostly due to:
employees were furloughed due to COVID related measures
monds ds for resale decreased by 94% (-RUB 1.0 bn)
ses s went down 45% (-RUB 0.7 bn) as charity expenses were cut
&A expense ses s decrease sed by 5% (-RUB 0.2 bn) as management was moved on shorter business week
produ
s up by 1.6x (+RUB 0.5 bn) mostly due to COVID-related expenses
1
10.0 14.5 15.0
Udach achny UG UG mine VM VM1 deposit it Mais iska kaya ya pipe VG VG2 deposit it Type of minin ing Underground Open-pit Open-pit Alluvials Productio ction star art 2014 2018 2025 2024 Ramp mp-up up 2021 2019 2027 2025 T ar arget et ore e output tput pa, a, m t 4.0 3.0 0.3 1.1 T ar arget et production ction pa, , m ct ct 5.6 1.8 1.2 0.4 Tota tal l CAPEX, , RUB bn bn 63.9 20.0 5.6 2.3 Inve veste ted share 87% 92% 7% 0% Resource ce base3, , m ct ct 207.6 40.4 12.7 4.7
KEY INVESTMENTS PROJECTS
Source: Company data 1. Verkhne-Munskoye deposit 2. Vodorazdelnye Galechniki deposit 3. Diamond mineral resources in accordance with the JORC Code as at 1 July 2018
26
1 2 3 4
Yakutsk sk
Mirny Udachny Nyurba
1 2 3 4
Yakutia
DIAMOND PRODUCTION BY ASSETS
27
1.3 0.3 0.8 0.1 1.1 0.5 3.2 2.2 2.4 1.7 0.9 8.8 5.7
Q1'20 Q2'20 Almazy Anabara Nyurba Division Aikhal Division Severalmaz Mirny Division Udachny Division
Source: Company data and analysis.
Diam amon
m ct
Q2‘20 20 diamo iamond produc uctio ion dropped by by 29 29% qoq
mainly due to revised production plan:
irny Divis Division ion – down
85% since no ore from the International underground mine was processed following the decision to suspend operations at processing plant No. 3 from 1 Apr to 1 Sep
Udachny achny Divi Divisio ion – down wn 73 73% due to the suspension of
everalm lmaz az Divi Divisio ion – down wn 49 49% due to decision to suspend from 16 May processing and mining operations
ikhal al Division Division – down wn 27 27% due to processing of lower- grade blocks of ore from Jubilee pipe and decreased production at Zarya pipe and Aikhal underground mine on the back of decision to suspend mining operations from 15 May to 31 Dec and 30 September respectively
For more details please see Q2&6M’20 Trading update
(27%) (85%) (73%)
(49%) (20%)
FX RATE
28
87% 8% 26% 96% 84% 13% 92% 74% 4% 16%
Rev Reven enue Cost st of f sales ales Cap apex ex Cash ash an and ca cash sh eq equivalen lents (in incl.
ank k dep eposits) sits) Total al deb ebt
RUB USD
Source: Company data and analysis. 1. Excluding lease obligation (the equivalent of USD 84 m)
Financial cial metrics ics breakdown
ency
% of metric's total, Q2’20
ALROSA is an exporter with ca. 90% of revenue denominated in USD Major portion of costs and capex is denominated in RUB, 84% of the Company’s debt portfolio1 is denominated in USD to create a natural hedge against FX risks ALROSA's financial sensitivity analysis shows that a change in the USD exchange rate by +/- 1 RUB/USD leads to the following change in metrics:
1
OPERATING CASH FLOW AND CAPEX
46 41 28 21 25 16 21 14 30 26 7 2 7 3 24 17 24 22 (26) (30) (5) (7) (9) (7) (4) (5) (5) (7) (3) (5)
Q1'1 '18 Q2'1 '18 Q3'1 '18 Q4'1 4'18 Q1'1 '19 Q2'1 '19 Q3'1 '19 Q4'1 4'19 Q1'2 '20 Q2'2 '20
OCF CAPEX FCF
2 1
Operating ating cash h flow and capex ex dynam amic ics
RUB bn
Source: Company data and analysis. 1. OCF – operating cash flow
29
SERGE RGEY Y TAKHIE HIEV HEAD OF CORPORATE FINANCE M: +7 985 760 55 74 E: ST@ALROSA.RU RUSSIA, 115184 MOSCOW 24 OZERKOVSKAYA EMB. DMIT ITRY RY BYALOSH SHIT ITSKI SKIY CORPORATE FINANCE M: +7 915 113 32 04 E: DB@ALROSA.RU