Alleghany
Investor Presentation February 2020
Alleghany Investor Presentation February 2020 I. Alleghany - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Alleghany Investor Presentation February 2020 I. Alleghany Overview Our Management Approach Strategy Philosophy 1 Own high-quality underwriting franchises Conservatism dominates our Underwrite for profit management
Investor Presentation February 2020
“Conservatism dominates our management philosophy. We shun investment fads and fashions in favor of acquiring relatively few interests in basic financial, industrial and
potential to deliver long-term value to our investors”
― Underwrite for profit ― Grow premiums only when market allows for profitable growth ― Consistently maintain appropriately conservative loss reserves
attractive
― Provide resources, support and oversight to help them grow revenues, profits and returns
risk profile
potential opportunities (and downturns)
Our Management Approach
Philosophy Strategy 1 2 3 5 4
A History of Investing in Successful Companies
1929 1946 1949 1968 1974 1985 2003 1986 1995 2002 2012 2007 1991 1993 2013 2019
Investors Diversified Services (“IDS”) (sold to American Express in 1984) New York Central Railroad (merged into Penn Central in 1968) MSL Industries Jones Motor Company Chicago Title (spun off in 1998/1999) Shelby Insurance (sold in 1991) Underwriters Reinsurance Company (sold to Swiss Re in 2000) World Minerals (sold in 2005) Darwin Underwriters established (IPO in 2006 and sold in 2008) PacificComp (sold to CopperPoint in 2017) Alleghany Capital Corporation Roundwood (formerly Alleghany Capital Partners) Alleghany Asset Management (sold to ABN Amro in 2001)2014 2015 2017 2018
Legacy Alleghany Current Alleghany / Logo2008
Indexed Total Return
Y BVPS Y Share Price S&P 500 (Total Return) CAGR 2019 Since '14 Since '09 Since '99 Y BVPS 15.8% 6.0% 7.8% 8.5% Y Share Price 28.3% 11.9% 11.8% 9.0% S&P 500 (Total Return) 31.5% 11.7% 13.5% 6.1%Attractive And Consistent Return
Note: As of December 31, 2019. Compound annual growth rates (“CAGR”) for BVPS and Stock Price include the impact of $10 special dividend paid in 2018.Continued Focus on BVPS Growth Long-term Conservative Orientation Quasi- autonomous Subsidiary Operating Model
Target Annual Growth in BVPS: 7% - 10%
Modest Financial Leverage and Conservative Risk Profile
(1) Alleghany 2020 Senior Notes were redeemed on January 15, 2020. (2) Reflects net occurrence PML (after-tax) in a 1-in-250 year event (having a likelihood of being exceeded in any single year of 0.4 percent) for largest single zone peril (e.g. Northeast U.S. Wind for 2019). (3) Risk assets are defined as high yield bonds, below investment grade collateralized loan obligations and bank loans, publicly traded equity securities, private equity and partnership interests.Debt to Capital Holding Company Liquidity Peak Zone PML / Shareholder Equity(2) Risk Assets / Shareholders’ Equity(3)
(millions)
19.4% 15.8% 15.6% 14.7% 17.5% 16.3% 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
Other Debt (ACC) Senior Notes$1,032 $821 $1,047 $1,383 $1,122 $1,283 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 9% 10% 7% 8% 8% 8% 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 0.51x 0.52x 0.53x 0.62x 0.58x 0.39x 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
13.9% excl. 2020 notes (1)90 years as a public company (NYSE: Y)
Alleghany Today
Notes: Financial data as of December 31, 2019 unless otherwise indicated. Market data as of February 14, 2020. (1) Contribution to 2019 adjusted earnings before interest and taxes, excluding corporate items. (2) Best’s Review March 2019 – Top 50 Global Reinsurers; ranking based on unaffiliated gross premiums written in 2018. (3) A.M. Best U.S. Surplus Lines – Segment Review, September 2019.Reinsurance 46%(1) Insurance 29%(1) Investments
Alleghany Capital Corporation 25%(1) TransRe RSUI CapSpecialty
Capital Allocation as of December 31, 2019
Note: All subsidiaries are majority owned unless otherwise stated. Market data as of February 14, 2020. (1) Excludes $350 million par value senior notes at TransRe that mature in 2039. Also excludes $367 million of debt at Alleghany Capital (“ACC”). (2) Alleghany Capital expected to increase its ownership to over 90% during the first half of 2020. Wilbert will then be accounted for on a fully-consolidated basis. (3) Parent cash and marketable securities exclude cash at the TransRe holding company ($50 million at 12/31/2019), which is included in TransRe capital. (4) Primarily Alleghany parent deferred compensation and taxes, as well as ACC parent. amounts in millions, except book value per shareConsolidated: Alleghany Capital Operating Entities: Stockholders' Equity $ 8,777 89.8% W&W|AFCO Steel $ 255 2.6% Parent Company Debt(1) 994 10.2% Jazwares 235 2.4% Total Capital $ 9,771 100.0% Concord 109 1.1% Precision Cutting Technologies 105 1.1% Shares outstanding (mm) 14.36 Wilbert (45% investment)(2) 82 0.9% BVPS $ 611.00 Kentucky Trailer 81 0.8% Market Capitalization $ 11,878 IPS 67 0.7% Total Alleghany Capital $ 934 9.6% (Re)insurance: Other: TransRe $ 5,243 53.7% Parent cash and marketable securities(3) $ 1,233 12.6% RSUI 1,874 19.2% Stranded Oil 87 0.9% CapSpecialty 395 4.0% Alleghany Properties 24 0.2% AIHL Re 21 0.2% Other items, net(4) (40) (0.4%) Total (Re)insurance $ 7,533 77.1% Total Other $ 1,304 13.3%
$13,804 2.6x $5,243 8 $29,130 $1,017 96.4% $1,592(1) 10.1% 3,829 2.0x 1,874 17 12,026 1,776 84.6 1,149 11.6 849 2.2x 395 18 3,523 (55) 101.6 130 5.5
Total (Re)insurance
$18,515(2) 2.5x 7,533(2)
($ in millions)Current (Re)insurance Operations
Note: As of December 31, 2019. (1) Total dividends to Alleghany of $1,901 million less a $309 million capital contribution in 2014 primarily to repay senior notes. (2) Inclusive of AIHL Re.March 6, 2012
July 1, 2003
January 1, 2002
Consolidated Underwriting Results for Past 10 Years
Note: Underwriting profit is a non-GAAP financial measure. Refer to the appendix for further information.Underwriting Profit Combined Ratio
2010-to-Date Underwriting Profits of $1.7 B and Combined Ratio of ~95.5%
$131 $50 $220 $421 $495 $467 $401 ($316) ($162) $33 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '15 '16 '17 '18 '19
Pre- TransRe
83.0% 93.4% 94.1% 90.1% 88.8% 89.0% 91.9% 106.4% 103.2% 99.4% '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '15 '16 '17 '18 '19
Pre- TransRe
95.5%
TransRe – Structural Competitive Advantages
History of Prudently Navigating Market Conditions and Opportunities
& specialty expertise
relationships 70% proportional business Leads or co-leads more than half
party capital Generates recurring fee income
$1,592 million since acquisition and repaid $667 million in senior notes
Net Premiums Written(1)
(2019)relating to Typhoons Hagibis and Faxai
2019 Highlights
$3.8 billion(1)
(1) Excludes Farmers quota share treaty which contributed $691 million to net premiums written.Business Overview
Personal Auto / Motor 15% Traditional Casualty 16% Professional Liability 15% Non- Catastrophe Property 20% Catastrophe Property 7% A&H 8% Guaranty 8% Marine & Energy 4% Aviation 2% Engineering 2% Other Specialty 3% Property 27% Casualty 46% Specialty 27%RSUI – Taking Advantage of Improving E&S Market
Continued New Business and Rate Momentum with Double Digit Renewal Rate Increases on Multiple Lines
Underwriting Profit
Cumulative Underwriting Profit: $1.8 billion
(Cumulative data for 2H 2003 – 2019 period)insurance market – wholesale only
profit and grow book value through cycles
technology, models and analytical tools
Business Overview
2019 Highlights
D&O Liability 7%Professional Liability 22% General Liability 7% Umbrella / Excess 13% Property 50%
Alternative Structures 1%0% 3% 6% 9% 12% 15% Q1 '17 Q2 '17 Q3 '17 Q4 '17 Q1 '18 Q2 '18 Q3 '18 Q4 '18 Q1 '19 Q2 '19 Q3 '19 Q4 '19
Renewal Rate Change (%)
RSUI – Accelerating Rate Increases and Increasing Opportunity
Note: Data is quarterly rate and new business submission increases over prior-year quarter.0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% Q1 '17 Q2 '17 Q3 '17 Q4 '17 Q1 '18 Q2 '18 Q3 '18 Q4 '18 Q1 '19 Q2 '19 Q3 '19 Q4 '19
New Business Submissions (Units)
CapSpecialty – Repositioned for Greater Efficiency & Overall Profitability
Meaningful Progress Towards Its Goal of Becoming A Preferred Specialty Insurer for Small and Mid-Sized Businesses
Gross Premiums Written
$372 million
(2019)size businesses
expense management & technology
2019
Business Overview
adverse development ($29 million)
since 2014
2019 Highlights
Traditional Property & Casualty 25% Healthcare 23% Specialty Casualty 20% Professional Liability 17% Surety 15%
Investments Are a Significant Part of Our Earnings Power
(1) Excludes Alleghany Capital.Portfolio Allocation Investment Leverage(1) Investment Results Pre-Tax
Quality of Debt Securities: AA-
Total: $20.1 billion
($ in millions)Debt Securities 71% Equity Securities 13% Cash & Short-term 10% Commercial Mortgage Loans 3% Other Invested Assets 3% 2.73x 2.59x 2.55x 2.56x 2.72x 2.55x
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
Alleghany Capital – Becoming a More Meaningful Contributor
(1) Adjusted earnings before income taxes (“Adjusted EBT”) represents noninsurance revenue less all operating expenses, and does not include: (i) amortization of intangible assets; (ii) change in the fair value of equity securities; (iii) net realized capital gains; (iv) other than temporary impairment ("OTTI") losses; and (v) income taxes. Excludes certain minor, legacy investments that were previously reflected in Alleghany Capital in 2018 and prior periods (2) ACC Share of Adjusted EBT calculated based on weighted average ownership percentages and includes Corporate Activity and Deal Expenses.Diversified Portfolio of High-Performing Businesses Help Mitigate Individual Business Seasonality
Adjusted Earnings Before Tax(1) – 100% Basis Strategy
permanent capital provider to leading middle-market businesses
management teams / founders with high integrity, aligned through meaningful ownership interests
markets, or rapid share gainers in large fragmented markets
improvements; follow-on capital for growth / add-on acquisitions
ACC Ownership Share of Adjusted EBT(2): $16 $25 $38 $66 $112 $25 $43 $64 $93 $161 $19 $33 $50 $83 $143 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
Corporate Activity & Deal Expenses Non-Industrial Industrial Adjusted EBT (Net of Corp. Activity & Deal Expenses) ($ millions)Company Description Founded Revenue(1) Acquired % Owned
tools and, through DTI, supplies waterjet cutting consumables 1975 $39 2012 100%
custom trailers and truck bodies for a variety of niche markets 1879 $241 2013 77%
structural steel for bridges and large structures 1945 $826 2017 80%
the funeral and precast concrete markets 1880 $179 2017 45%
the biopharmaceutical and other highly-complex manufacturing environments 1989 $646 2015 85%
musical instrument company 1997 $351 2016(3) 75%
the U.S. and Canada 1985 $186 2018 85%
(1)Alleghany Capital - Platform Companies Industrial Non-Industrial
(2)investment
Cabbage Patch Kids to an already impressive portfolio
transportation segment
Alleghany Capital – 2019 Bolt-On Acquisitions
(1) Debt and equity.precision cutting tools
Northeast, a key biopharmaceutical hub
team, particularly in construction management Wicked Cool Toys (Oct-2019) Warren Manufacturing (Jul-2019) CID Performance Tooling (Jun-2019) The Cardinal Group (Apr-2019)
$250 Million of Capital(1) Deployed in 2019
1) E&S market is firming
retrenching
(e.g., wildfires, casualty inflation)
2) Reinsurance market slowly improving 3) Opportunistic capital allocation 1) Late in economic cycle (elevated sovereign, corporate and household debt) 2) Geopolitical uncertainty (including trade) 3) Low return world 4) High asset prices (public and private) 5) Industry consolidation 6) Increasing loss cost trends / social inflation in casualty lines
Key Macroeconomic & Industry Themes
Opportunities Challenges 1 2 3 1 2 3 5 4 6
Slowing U.S. & Global Growth
Source: World Bank. GDP growth (annual %) based on constant local currency and U.S. dollars for aggregates.What Impact Will The Coronavirus Outbreak Have on Growth?
2.5% 1.8% 1.0% 5.7% (6.0)% (4.0)% (2.0)% 0.0% 2.0% 4.0% 6.0% 8.0% 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020E World United States European Union East Asia & Pacific
Investment Environment Remains Challenging
Source: Bloomberg. Market data as of February 14, 2020.Treasury Yields & Credit Spreads Is the S&P 500 Overpriced?
(20%) (10%) 0% 10% 20% 30% 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 Quarterly Earnings Growth 1.92% Slowing Growth 1.59% 1.25%0.0% 0.5% 1.0% 1.5% 2.0% 2.5% 3.0% 3.5% 4.0% 4.5% 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 Yield / Spread UST 10Y BBB Credit Spreads
Jan 2018 - Feb 2020
0.0x 5.0x 10.0x 15.0x 20.0x 25.0x 30.0x 35.0x 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 2019 Shiller P/E - S&P 500 32.3x
Alleghany’s Tactical Response
Professional Liability)
1 2 3 4
Alleghany Consolidated Performance
(1) Attributable to Alleghany common stockholders.Net Premiums Written Combined Ratio Consolidated Net Income(1) Stockholders’ Equity(1)
($ in millions) ($ in millions) ($ in millions)$221 $297 $(181) $561 $560 $457 $90 $40 $858 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
Change in fair value of equities, after-tax Consolidated Net IncomeKey Takeaways
Long-term focus with track record of consistent growth in book value
per share, despite significant headwinds over last 3 years
TransRe and RSUI are strong franchises in their respective market
segments with improving outlook
Alleghany Capital has achieved critical mass with prospect of improved
earnings contribution and double-digit return on equity
Holding company conservatively capitalized with significant optionality Reiterating long-term goal of 7 to 10% growth in book value per share
Non-GAAP Financial Measures
This document and the remarks made during the presentation today may also contain non-GAAP financial measures. Reconciliations of these non-GAAP financial measures to the most direct comparable GAAP measures and related information are provided in our financial supplement and Form 10-K and 10-Q filings, which are available on our website at www.alleghany.com, and below. Adjusted Earnings Before Income Taxes Adjusted earnings before income taxes represents noninsurance revenue less all operating expenses, and does not include: (i) amortization of intangible assets; (ii) change in the fair value of equity securities; (iii) net realized capital gains; (iv) OTTI losses; and (vii) income taxes. Because adjusted earnings before income taxes excludes income taxes, change in the fair value of equity securities, net realized capital gains, OTTI losses and amortization of intangible assets, it provides an indication of economic performance that is not affected by investment activity, levels of effective tax rates or levels of amortization resulting from acquisition accounting. Alleghany uses adjusted earnings before income taxes as a supplement to earnings before income taxes, the most comparable GAAP financial measure, to evaluate the performance
taxes to earnings before income taxes is presented on page 29 of the 4Q 2019 financial supplement. Underwriting Profit Underwriting profit represents net premiums earned less net loss and LAE and commissions, brokerage and other underwriting expenses, all as determined in accordance with GAAP, and does not include net investment income, net realized capital gains, OTTI losses, other revenue, other operating expenses, corporate administration, amortization of intangible assets and interest expense. Alleghany consistently uses underwriting profit as a supplement to earnings before income taxes, the most comparable GAAP financial measure, to evaluate the performance of its segments and believes that underwriting profit provides useful additional information to investors because it highlights net earnings attributable to a segment's underwriting performance. Earnings before income taxes may show a profit despite an underlying underwriting loss, and when underwriting losses persist over extended periods, a reinsurance or an insurance company's ability to continue as an ongoing concern may be at risk.