Investor Presentation
Aldermore Group PLC
Half Year Results 2016
aldermore.co.uk
Aldermore Group PLC Investor Presentation Half Year Results 2016 - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Aldermore Group PLC Investor Presentation Half Year Results 2016 aldermore.co.uk Half year results 2016 Results highlights Performance update Portfolio overview and outlook 1 Continue to build on our excellent track record of delivery
Half Year Results 2016
aldermore.co.uk
Half year results 2016
1
Results highlights Performance update Portfolio overview and outlook
Continue to build on our excellent track record of delivery
Generated strong returns and continued growth in H1 2016
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A diversified business supporting a significant, structural market opportunity
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Consistent, robust and prudent underwriting approach
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Benefit from modern systems, scaleable operating platform and an experienced team
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Deliberately constructed granular and highly secured portfolio
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Well positioned to navigate any challenges ahead and take advantage of opportunities
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Underlying profit before tax (£m)(1) Cost of risk (bps)
Another strong six months for the Group
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Underlying cost income ratio (%)(1) Net interest margin (%)
3.6% 3.6% H1 2015 H1 2016 44 63 H1 2015 H1 2016 53 45 H1 2015 H1 2016 20 20 H1 2015 H1 2016
(1) Excluding impairment of goodwill of £4.1m (pre- and post-tax) in H1 2016 and IPO related costs of £4.1m (pre-tax) and £3.2m (post-tax) in H1 2015 (2) H1 2016 RoE excludes impairment of goodwill of £4.1m (post-tax) and is after payment of AT1 coupon of £6.6m (post-tax)
Underlying PBT(1) up 45% to £63m; RoE(2) of 18.0% Excellent H1 origination, up by 26% to £1.5bn,
supports net loan growth of 11% to £6.8bn
Maintained net interest margin at 3.6% as expected Underlying cost/income ratio(1) further improved
by 8 percentage points to 45%
Another excellent credit performance; cost of risk
stable at 20bps
Strong capital position; total capital ratio of 14.0%
Generating balanced growth across a diversified portfolio
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1.3 1.5 0.2 0.2 0.8 0.9 2.4 2.7 1.4 1.5 2015 H1 2016
Asset Finance Invoice Finance SME Commercial Mortgages Residential Mortgages Buy-to-Let
6.1 6.8 +9% +12% +12% +11%
+11% Net loans to customers (£bn) Asset Finance grew by 11% to £1.5bn ‒ Customer numbers increased by 9% to c46,000 ‒ Origination up by 20% to £509m SME Commercial Mortgages up 12% to £0.9bn ‒ 15% growth in customers to c1,800 ‒ Strong origination growth of 29% to £210m Buy-to-Let grew by 12% to £2.7bn ‒ Customers numbers up by 9% to c17,000 ‒ Excellent origination of £519m up 74%; reflects
market spike ahead of stamp duty changes in April
Residential Mortgages up by 9% to £1.5bn ‒ 8% increase in customers numbers to c11,000 ‒ Origination was robust at £243m although down by
14% compared with H1 2015
Half year results 2016
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Results highlights Performance update Portfolio overview and outlook
Commentary
Note: Numbers may not exactly sum / reconcile due to rounding. (1) Includes derivatives held for risk management, fair value adjustments for portfolio hedged risk, other assets, prepayments and accrued income, deferred tax and property, plant and equipment. (2) Includes corporate deposits.
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(3) CET1 ratio = Common equity tier 1 capital / Risk Weighted Assets (RWA) (4) The year end 2015 leverage ratio was restated to 7.2% in the published Pillar 3 disclosures following finalisation of off-balance sheet exposures (5) Tangible book value = Ordinary shareholders’ equity less intangible assets. Outstanding number
Continued balance sheet momentum…
30 June 31 December (£m) 2016 2015 Growth % Key balance sheet items Net loans 6,799 6,145 11% Cash and investments 875 806 9% Intangible assets 22 24 (9%) Fixed and other assets(1) 50 34 45% Total assets 7,746 7,009 11% Customer deposits(2) 6,538 5,742 14% Wholesale funding 521 636 (18%) Other liabilities 118 97 22% Total liabilities 7,177 6,475 11% Ordinary shareholders' equity 495 460 8% AT1 capital 74 74
569 534 7% Total liabilities and equity 7,746 7,009 11% Key ratios Loans to deposits ratio 104% 107% Net loan growth (£bn) 654 1,344 Fully loaded CRD IV RWAs 4,281 3,693 Fully loaded CRD IV CET1 capital 473 436 Fully loaded CRD IV CET1 ratio(3) 11.0% 11.8% Fully loaded CRD IV Leverage ratio(4) 6.9% 7.2% Tangible book value per share (p)(5) 137 126 1 3 5
− Excellent origination of £1.5bn; up by 26% − Customer numbers up by 8% to c77,000 − Balanced growth across a diversified portfolio
− £4m goodwill impairment reflects current lower financial services company valuations
− SMEs form 23% of deposit base − Loans to deposits ratio of 104%
− Utilised less wholesale due to growth in deposits
for the first 6 months − Tangible book value per share of 137p
1 3 4 1 2 5 5 2 3 4
(£m) H1 2016 H1 2015 Growth % Key P&L items Interest income 176 139 26% Interest expense (60) (47) (27%) Net interest income 116 92 26% Net fee and other operating income(1) 13 12 5% (1) (300%) Operating income 128 105 22% Underlying operating expenses (58) (56) (4%) IPO related costs – (4) n/a Impairment of goodwill (4) – n/a Profit before impairment losses 66 45 47% Impairment losses (6) (5) (23%) Profit before tax 59 40 50% Tax (17) (8) (104%) Profit after tax 42 31 35% Underlying profit before tax(3) 63 44 45% Key ratios Net interest margin 3.6% 3.6% Underlying cost/income ratio(4) 45% 53% Cost of risk 20bps 20bps Underlying return on equity(3)(5) 18.0% 18.6% Earnings per share 10.3 p 8.8 p Net derivatives (expense)/ income and gains on disposal of debt securities(2)
…drives a 45% increase in underlying profit before tax
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(3) Excludes goodwill impairment of £4.1m (pre- and post-tax) in H1 16 and IPO related costs of £4.1m pre- tax (£3.2m post-tax) in H1 2015 (4) Cost/income ratio = Underlying operating expenses/ Operating income (5) Return on Equity = (PAT / average ordinary shareholder equity)*2 less (AT1 coupon paid / average
and in April 2015 of £3.5m pre-tax (£2.8m post-tax)
− Driven by balance sheet growth − Net interest margin stable at 3.6%
− Fee income growth driven by mortgage volumes
− Underlying operating expenses up 4% to £58m − Underlying cost/income ratio further improved by 8pts
− Overall cost of risk stable at 20bps − Additional level of caution within collective provision charge as emergence periods extended
zero relief on goodwill impairment
3 1 2 4 1 1 3 4 2 5
(1) Net fees and other operating income = Fee income + Fee expense + Other
(2) Net derivatives (expense)/income and gains on disposal of debt securities = Net income from derivatives and other financial instruments + Gains on disposal of available for sale debt securities
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Commentary
3 6 7 5 6 7
53 63 H1 2015 H1 2016 21 30 H1 2015 H1 2016
6.9% 6.9%
SME Commercial Mortgages
28 37 H1 2015 H1 2016 139 176 H1 2015 H1 2016
Actively managing portfolio to hold overall gross margin stable
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(1) Gross interest margin = interest income / average net loans
Gross interest margin (%)(1)
Asset Finance
36 44 H1 2015 H1 2016
6.5% 6.2%
4 3 H1 2015 H1 2016
Invoice Finance
4.3% 4.3%
Residential Mortgages
5.0% 5.1%
Group
5.4% 5.4%
Interest income (£m)
Buy-to-Let
5.0% 4.9%
Successfully maintained net interest margin at 3.6%
(1) Numbers may not exactly sum / reconcile due to rounding (2) Loans to Deposits Ratio (LDR) = net customer loans / customer deposits (3) Cost of funding = interest expense / average net loans (4) Net interest margin = net interest income / average net loans
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Deposit-led funding strategy
− £6.5bn of customer deposits; up by 14% − Retail deposits grew by 15% to £4.8bn − Now serving c126,000 customers − SME deposits grew by 8% to £1.5bn − Customer numbers grew by 12% to c16,000 − Corporate deposits now exceed £200m
Supported by wholesale funding of £521m
− On-balance sheet FLS funding of £323m − RMBS of £156m; reduction since year end reflects capital repayments on underlying mortgages − Tier 2 debt and other wholesale of £42m
Delivered stable cost of funding of 1.9% Net interest margin maintained at 3.6%
− In line with management expectations
3.4 4.2 4.8 1.0 1.4 1.5 0.2 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.5 5.1 6.4 7.1 2014 2015 H1 2016 Retail deposits SME deposits Corporate deposits Wholesale funding 2.1% 1.9% 1.9% 2014 2015 H1 2016 Cost of funding (%) 107%
LDR(2) (%)
Increasingly diversified funding base (£bn)(1)
104%
Stable cost of funding(3)
108%
Net interest margin(4)
3.4% 3.6% 3.6% 2014 2015 H1 2016 Net interest margin (%)
53% 45% H1 2015 H1 2016
Delivered a further 8% reduction in cost/income ratio
Underlying operating expenses up by only 4%
as we leverage our scaleable operating model − In line with management expectations
Other administrative expenses of £55m
− Driven by a small number of additional people to support growth
Provisions relates to FSCS charge of £1m
− Full year charge accounted for in first half − Only interest levy applicable in 2016
Depreciation and amortisation remains stable High degree of operating leverage
− Cost income ratio reduced by a further 8 percentage points to 45% in H1 2016
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Leveraging operational efficiency 52 55 2 1 2 2 56 58 H1 2015 H1 2016
Depreciation & amortisation Provisions Other administrative expenses
Underlying operating expenses(£m)(1) Underlying cost/income ratio (%)(1)(2)
(1) H1 2016 excludes £4.1m of pre-tax goodwill impairment and H1 2015 excludes IPO related costs of £4.1m (pre-tax) (2) Cost income ratio = Underlying operating expenses / operating income
Benefit from a diversified, granular and highly secured portfolio
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Average loan balance (as at 30 June 2016) (1) % of loan book at origination constituted by secured loans for Asset Finance; prepayment percentage for Invoice Finance; average loan-to-value ratio for SME Commercial Mortgages, Buy-to-Let and Residential Mortgages. (2) Non-performing loans ratio = Individually impaired loans / gross loans
Granular Portfolio
c£32k
82% 82% 2015 H1 2016
(3) Cost of risk = Impairments / average net loans
Group cost of risk (bps)(3) Group NPL ratio (%)(2)
0.31 0.31 2015 H1 2016
NPL ratio (%)(2) Cost of risk (bps)(3) Highly secured(1)
40 34 H1 2015 H1 2016 68% 69% 2015 H2016 1.51 1.68 2015 H1 2016 69 127 H1 2015 H1 2016 64% 64% 2015 H1 2016 0.83 0.59 2015 H1 2016 33 27 H1 2015 H1 2016 68% 69% 2015 H1 2016 0.21 0.18 2015 H1 2016 5 7 H1 2015 H1 2016 77% 77% 2015 H1 2016 0.29 0.31 2015 H1 2016 15 12 H1 2015 H1 2016 0.37 0.33 2015 H1 2016 20 20 H1 2015 H1 2016
SME Commercial Mortgages Asset Finance Invoice Finance Buy-to-Let Residential Mortgages c£136k c£468k c£163k c£139k
11.8% 11.0% 2.0% 1.7% 1.3% 1.2% 2015 H1 2016 Tier 2 capital ratio AT1 capital ratio CET1 ratio
Maintained a strong capital base with total capital ratio of 14%
Total capital ratio(%)(1)(2) Movement in CET1 capital ratio (%)
(1) CET1 capital ratio = Common Equity Tier 1 capital / risk weighted assets (2) Totals may not sum precisely due to rounding (3) Leverage ratio = Tier 1 capital / total exposures
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Capital position remains strong with total
capital ratio of 14.0%
− RWAs up 16% to £4.3bn (December 2015: £3.7bn); primarily driven by lending growth − AT1 and Tier 2 ratios marginally reduced
CET1 capital ratio in line with management
expectations at 11.0%
− Operational risk charge recalculated annually in Q1 based on last 3 years’ income − AT1 dividend payable annually at end of April − Organic capital generation driven by retained profits
Leverage ratio(3) of 6.9% remains well above
regulatory minimum requirements
Continue to assess potential to adopt IRB
11.8% 11.5% 11.3% 11.3% 11.0% 11.0% (0.3%) (0.2%) 1.1% (1.4%) 2015 CET1 ratio 2016
risk charge AT1 coupon Organic capital generation Increase in RWAs H1 2016 CET1 ratio
14.0% 15.1%
Half year results 2016
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Results highlights Performance update Portfolio overview and outlook
Supporting the UK’s SMEs, landlords and homeowners
(1) As at 30 June 2016
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Asset Finance
− Hire purchase and leasing − Target smaller ticket transactions
SME Commercial Mortgages
− Commercial property owner occupiers and investors − Multi-let rather than single trophy-tenant developments
Buy-to-Let
− Seamless offering supported by expert teams, flexible approach and modern systems − Able to span whole market from a single property to a large portfolio and corporate structures − Maximum loan size of £1m up to 70% LTV
Residential mortgages
− Target underserved prime credit quality customers − Self-employed, professionals, first time buyers, Help to Buy − Maximum loan size of £1m up to 75% LTV
A diversified specialist lender Award-winning, straightforward and transparent products
£1.5bn(1)
22% 2% 14% 40% 22% Asset Finance Invoice Finance SME Commercial Mortgages Buy-to-Let Residential Mortgages
£6.8bn(1)
Benefit from a granular portfolio with low concentration risk …
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Asset Finance(1) SME Commercial Mortgages(1)(2) Buy-to-Let(1) Residential Mortgages(1)
0% 15% 30% 45% 0 - 50k 50k - 100k 100k - 150k 150k - 200k 200k - 300k 300k - 400k 400k - 500k 500k - 1m 1m - 2m 2m+ 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 0 - 50k 50k - 100k 100k - 150k 150k - 200k 200k - 300k 300k - 400k 400k - 500k 500k - 1m 1m - 2m 2m+ 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 0 - 50k 50k - 100k 100k - 150k 150k - 200k 200k - 300k 300k - 400k 400k - 500k 500k - 1m 1m - 2m 2m+ 0% 10% 20% 30% 0 - 50k 50k - 100k 100k - 150k 150k - 200k 200k - 300k 300k - 400k 400k - 500k 500k - 1m 1m - 2m 2m+
(1) Credit concentration by asset size (£) (2) Excludes Property Development of £211m
Average
c£32k Average
c£468k Average
c£163k Average
c£139k
Average loan balance (as at 30 June 2016)
… and high levels of tangible security
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31% 30% 11% 11% 7% 2% 8%
Plant & Machinery Commercial Vehicles Professional Loans Cars - used Cars - new IT equipment Other £1.5bn(1)
(1) As at 30 June 2016 (2) Excludes Property Development of £211m; average loan to gross development value as at 30 June 2016 was 58%
Asset Finance backed by wide range of assets SME Commercial Mortgages (Indexed LTVs)(2) Buy-to-Let (Indexed LTVs) Residential Mortgages (Indexed LTVs)
48% 24% 24% 3% 1% 0% 0% 0 - 50 50 - 60 60 - 70 70 - 75 75 - 80 80 - 85 85+ < 75% LTV = 99% 15% 11% 16% 9% 8% 6% 1% 0% 0% 1% 2% 3% 6% 22% 0-50 50-60 60-70 70-75 75-80 80-85 85+ Average Owner Occupied (non Help to Buy) LTV = 62% Average Help to Buy (Mortgage Guarantee) LTV = 88%
% of portfolio which is Help to Buy
21% 22% 30% 14% 9% 3% 1% 0 - 50 50 - 60 60 - 70 70 - 75 75 - 80 80 - 85 85+ < 75% LTV = 87%
Owner occupied (non-HTB)
Proven ability to react to a changing market environment
Benefit from consistent and prudent underwriting approach as well as diversified portfolio
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Continue to build on our excellent track record of operational and financial delivery
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Confident of our ability to navigate any challenges ahead and take advantage of opportunities
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Purely UK-focused business; sheltered from potential changes to EU market access
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Business as usual; remain focused on delivering strong returns and balanced growth
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No direct impact on lending or savings observed to date; continue to monitor closely
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Appendices
Aldermore is a diversified, specialist lender
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68% 21% 3% 5% 2% 1% Retail deposits SME deposits Corporate deposits FLS RMBS Other wholesale
£6.8bn(1)
Customer loans Funding base
£7.1bn(1)
(1) As at 30 June 2016
Focused on large, growing customer segments
which are under- or poorly served by the wider market
Targeted human underwriting facilitated by modern,
legacy-free systems and combined with a rigorous focus on credit risk management
Diversified lending portfolio provides multiple
avenues to drive continued significant growth
Dynamic online deposit franchise anchors
diversified funding base
Expanding distribution; leveraging strong intermediary
relationships as well as growing direct capability
Delivering award-winning customer service Leveraging operating platform successfully to drive
efficiency and innovation
22% 2% 14% 40% 22% Asset Finance Invoice Finance SME Commercial Mortgages Buy-to-Let Residential Mortgages
82% 68% 18% 32% 424 509 H1 2015 H1 2016 92% 93% 8% 7% 281 243 H1 2015 H1 2016 80% 83% 20% 17% 298 519 H1 2015 H1 2016 79% 84% 21% 16% 163 210 H1 2015 H1 2016 41% 53% 59% 47% 20 19 H1 2015 H1 2016
0.3%
Diversified portfolio provides multiple growth levers
(1) Total market originations for H1 2016, except Invoice Finance which represents a stock figure as at March
Based Finance Association (Invoice Finance) and CML (Buy-to-Let and Residential Mortgages) (2) Annualised market share based on H1 2016 origination for Asset Finance, SME Commercial Mortgages, Buy- to-Let and Residential Mortgages. For Invoice Finance based on June 2016 period-end balance (3) Market size for SME Commercial Mortgages based on DeMontfort University study. H1 2016 market
Asset Finance Residential Mortgages Invoice Finance SME Commercial Mortgages
Grew customer numbers by 9% to c17,000 Took advantage of the expected spike in demand
ahead of introduction of 3% additional stamp duty
Grew customer numbers by 9% to 46,000 Organic origination growth of 20% mainly driven
by Wholesale
Customer numbers marginally reduced to 1,100 Continue to reorient away from smaller clients Customer numbers grew by 15% to c1,800 Origination driven by Commercial Investment and
Property Development
Leveraged strong broker relationships
£1.5bn £0.2bn £0.9bn £1.5bn Net loans (£bn), as at 30 June 2016 Intermediated Direct / Sales
Business segment H1 2016 performance Market size(1) and current market share(2)
3.5% £15bn 0.8% £19bn 0.8% £27bn(3) 2.3% £95bn 20
Loan origination (£m)
Buy-to-Let £2.7bn
£24bn
Customer numbers grew by 8% to c11,000 Continue to support Help to Buy Direct broadly stable at 7%
6% 22% 16% 12% 13% 10% 8% 13% Greater London South East Midlands East Anglia North West South West Yorkshire Other 35% 20% 8% 9% 8% 8% 4% 8% Greater London South East Midlands East Anglia North West South West Yorkshire Other
Diversified and prudently underwritten mortgage portfolios
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Geographic split (%) Indexed Loan to Value (%)(1)
SME Commercial Mortgages Buy-to-Let Residential Mortgages
£2.7bn
Net loans as at 30 June 2016 0% 1% 3% 24% 24% 48% 80+ 75-80% 70-75% 60-70% 50-60% 0-50% 1% 3% 9% 14% 30% 22% 21% 85%+ 80-85% 75-80% 70-75% 60-70% 50-60% 0-50% 24% 12% 11% 11% 16% 11% 15% 85%+ 80-85% 75-80% 70-75% 60-70% 50-60% 0-50%
£1.5bn
19% 18% 11% 8% 12% 13% 7% 12% Greater London South East Midlands East Anglia North West South West Yorkshire Other
£0.9bn Help to Buy and Family Guarantee (1) SME Commercial Mortgages excludes Property Development of £211m
99% 1% Online Phone 75% 3% 22% Online Phone Post
Dynamic, online deposit franchise forms core of funding base
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Retail SME
Balance Product suite Distribution and
(1) Deposit balances breakdown by initial contract term as at 30 June 2016 (2) Based on accounts opened in H1 2016
1.0 1.4 1.5 2014 2015 H1 2016 SME deposits (£bn) 13% 13% 16% 23% 19% 9% 1% 6% Notice (incl. ISA Notice) <1 year ISA 1 year 2 year 3 year 4 year 5 year 2% 58% 40% Notice <1 year 1 year
(2) (2) (2)
£4.8bn(1)
Customer deposits as at 30 June 2016 3.4 4.2 4.8 2014 2015 H1 2016 Retail deposits (£bn)
£1.5bn(1)
(2) (2)
Additional information – Risk weighted asset density
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(1) Risk weighted asset density = Risk Weighted Assets / Net loans (2) Total risk weighted asset density = Total Risk Weighted Assets / Total assets
Risk weighted asset density (%)(1) Asset Finance 71% 70% Invoice Finance 68% 70% SME Commercial Mortgages 121% 110% Buy-to-Let 37% 37% Residential Mortgages 37% 36% Credit risk weighted asset density 56% 55% Total risk weighted asset density(2) 55% 53% 30 June 2016 31 December 2015
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Disclaimer
This document contains certain forward-looking statements with respect to the business, strategy and plans of Aldermore Group PLC (“Aldermore”) and its current goals and expectations relating to its future financial condition and performance. Such forward-looking statements include, without limitation, those preceded by, followed by or that include the words "targets", "believes", "estimates", "expects", "aims", "intends", "will", "may", "anticipates", "projects", "plans", "forecasts", "would", "could", "should" or similar expressions
looking statements. By their nature, forward-looking statements involve risk and uncertainty because they relate to events and depend upon circumstances that will or may occur in the future. Factors that could cause actual business, strategy, plans and/or results to differ materially from the plans, objectives, expectations, estimates and intentions expressed in such forward-looking statements made by Aldermore or on its behalf include, but are not limited to: general economic and business conditions in the UK and internationally; market related trends and developments; fluctuations in exchange rates, stock markets, inflation, deflation, interest rates and currencies; policies of the Bank of England, the European Central Bank and other G8 central banks; the ability to access sufficient sources of capital, liquidity and funding when required; changes to Aldermore’s credit ratings; the ability to derive cost savings; changing demographic developments, and changing customer behaviour, including consumer spending, saving and borrowing habits; changes in customer preferences; changes to borrower or counterparty credit quality; instability in the global financial markets, including Eurozone instability, the potential for countries to exit the European Union (the “EU”) or the Eurozone, and the impact of any sovereign credit rating downgrade or other sovereign financial issues; technological changes and risks to cyber security; natural and other disasters, adverse weather and similar contingencies outside Aldermore’s control; inadequate or failed internal or external processes, people and systems; terrorist acts and other acts of war or hostility and responses to those acts; geopolitical, pandemic or other such events; changes in laws, regulations, taxation, accounting standards or practices, including as a result of an exit by the UK from the EU; regulatory capital or liquidity requirements and similar contingencies outside Aldermore’s control; the policies and actions of governmental or regulatory authorities in the UK, the EU or elsewhere including the implementation and interpretation of key legislation and regulation; the ability to attract and retain senior management and other employees; the extent of any future impairment charges or write- downs caused by, but not limited to, depressed asset valuations, market disruptions and illiquid markets; market relating trends and developments; exposure to regulatory scrutiny, legal proceedings, regulatory investigations or complaints; changes in competition and pricing environments; the inability to hedge certain risks economically; the adequacy of loss reserves; the actions of competitors, including non-bank financial services and lending companies; and the success of Aldermore in managing the risks of the foregoing. Any forward-looking statements made in this document speak only as of the date they are made and it should not be assumed that they have been revised or updated in the light
law, Aldermore expressly disclaims any obligation or undertaking to release publicly any updates or revisions to any forward-looking statements contained in this document to reflect any change in Aldermore’s expectations with regard thereto or any change in events, conditions or circumstances on which any such statement is based. The information, statements and opinions contained in this document and subsequent discussion do not constitute a public offer under any applicable law or an offer to sell any securities or financial instruments or any advice or recommendation with respect to such securities or financial instruments.