africa opportunity fund
play

AFRICA OPPORTUNITY FUND February 2016 LSE: AOF Summary Africa - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Confidential and Proprietary AFRICA OPPORTUNITY FUND February 2016 LSE: AOF Summary Africa Opportunity Fund Absolute return - oriented strategy solely focused on Africa Listed closed-end fund that invests across asset classes and


  1. Confidential and Proprietary AFRICA OPPORTUNITY FUND February 2016 LSE: AOF

  2. Summary Africa Opportunity Fund • Absolute return - oriented strategy solely focused on Africa • Listed closed-end fund that invests across asset classes and continent| Value driven Africa Opportunity Partners Track Record • 585% cumulative return investing in Africa since 2003, with three down years • Strong alignment with investors – managers have aggregate personal investment of $8 mm in AOF The African Investment Opportunity • Rising GDP with high real interest rates • Rising working population, middle class and disposable income • Rising productivity and efficiencies • Inadequate infrastructure and insufficient intra-African trade • Weakening currencies, declining exports, and rising budget deficits 2 LSE: AOF Confidential & Proprietary

  3. Contents I. Summary II. Africa Opportunity Fund i. Investment Strategy and Universe ii. Track Record iii. Portfolio and Case Studies III. Appendix I: The African Investment Opportunity IV. Appendix II: AOF Reference Data i. Team ii. C Share iii. Monthly returns iv. References 3 LSE: AOF Confidential & Proprietary

  4. Investment Strategy Absolute return-oriented strategy solely focused on Africa AOF’s closed -end structure gives manager flexibility to invest across asset classes and across the continent 1) Targets deep-value investments with a preference for companies generating high ROAs with low leverage and high earnings yields 2) Exploits structural mispricing of securities caused by cross-border market inefficiencies 3) Invests long and short allowing for both hedging and alpha generation 4) Seeks returns of 15% per annum* Strong alignment with fund investors – managers have aggregate personal investment of $8 mm in AOF * Investors should note that the target return of 15% net per annum is a target only and not a profits forecast. The existence of such a target should not be considered as an assurance or guarantee that it can or will be met. 4 LSE: AOF Confidential & Proprietary

  5. African Universe Overview • Access to Africa via Equity and Fixed Income • 25 Exchanges represent a 33% increase over 10 years Africa-Related Number Size $ mm securities • Privatization, globalization and foremost the development of the African middle class has driven the Equities 1 185 936 888 increase in Africa focused public companies EuroBonds 40 42 556 • More than ever African listed companies reflect the Corp Bonds 609 36 625 domestic economy vs. the export economy Sov. Bonds 1 017 189 794 • Total 2 851 1 205 862 African capital markets, though still in their relative infancy, have experienced material growth and development over the last 10 years, i.e. short sales, options, and CDS Source: AOP and Bloomberg 5 LSE: AOF Confidential & Proprietary

  6. Manager Track Record * Generated 585% cumulative net return investing in Africa since 2003 Investment Team Track Record * See Slide 26 for Investment Team Details Source: AOP and Bloomberg 6 LSE: AOF Confidential & Proprietary

  7. Manager Track Record * Outperformed all indices over the past 12 years Source: AOP and Bloomberg 7 LSE: AOF Confidential & Proprietary

  8. AOF Portfolio Breakdown Geography Sector Asset Class Source: AOF 30 June 2015 Report 8 LSE: AOF Confidential & Proprietary

  9. AOF A Shares - Top Ten Positions Largest Holdings Description % of NAV Sonatel Fast growing mobile phone provider in Senegal and neighbouring countries 19.9% Enterprise Group Ltd Property and life insurance company in Ghana 19.6% IAM Gold - 6.75% 10/01/20 Medium sized gold producer with operations in West Africa 5.9% First priority debt issued by Tizir, an Eramet lead JV developing the Grande Cote Tizir - 9% 09/28/2017 Mineral Sands Project in Senegal with the Tyssedal Titanium smelter in Norway 4.5% providing collateral Tanzanzia Breweries Tanzania's largest beer producer and distributor of wines and spirits 4.4% Microfinance lender with operations in Botswana, Mozambique, Namibia, Letshego 4.4% Swaziland, Tanzania, Uganda and Zambia Standard Chartered Bank Ghana Leading retail and corporate banking provider in Ghana 3.7% Large South African food retailer operating over 1,700 stores in 16 countries across Shoprite Africa, while serving over 14 million shoppers annually (Size shown net of short 3.4% position in SA vs. long position in Zambia) Holding company with projects in natural resources, iron ore, manganese and Pallinghurst 3.2% precious stones Triton Class A Preferred 8% Underwater timber harvesting operation with license over Volta Lake in Ghana 2.7% TOTAL 71.7% Source: AOF 30 September 2015 Report 9 LSE: AOF Confidential & Proprietary

  10. AOF C Shares - Top Ten Positions Largest Holdings Description % of NAV Nigerian listed reinsurer operating in 35 African countries, offering marine & Continental Reinsurance Ltd 9.0% aviation, bond, auto, engineering, general accident and life reinsurance services Kenya Power & Lighting Ltd Distributes and sells electricity to over 2.6 million Kenyan consumers 7.9% Stanbic Bank Uganda Ltd Leading retail and corporate banking provider in Uganda 7.3% Enterprise Group Ltd Property and life insurance company in Ghana 6.8% Mashonaland Holdings Property investment and development company in Zimbabwe 6.4% African Bank Investment Ltd 5% South African bank and financial services provider focused on microlending and 6.1% 08/28/18 the underserviced areas of the South African population Fully integrated Nigerian cement producer with operations in 14 other African Dangote Cement Plc 5.6% countries Microfinance lender with operations in Botswana, Mozambique, Namibia, Letshego Holdings Ltd 5.2% Swaziland, Tanzania, Uganda and Zambia First priority debt issued by Tizir, an Eramet lead JV developing the Grande Cote Tizir Ltd 9% 09/28/2017 Mineral Sands Project in Senegal with the Tyssedal Titanium smelter in Norway 4.5% providing collateral IAM Gold - 6.75% 10/01/20 Medium sized gold producer with operations in West Africa 3.8% TOTAL 62.4% Source: AOF 30 September 2015 Report 10 LSE: AOF Confidential & Proprietary

  11. Sonatel – Case Study Public Equity – Value & Income • Dominant telecom company in West Africa with EBITDA of $820 mm for the 12 months ending June 2015 • EBITDA margin is 53%, Net Margin is 24%, ROA is 20%, and ROE is 41% • Current market capitalization is $4.0 bn, P/E is 11.7x, dividend yield is 6.0% • Strong balance sheet with net cash • Total subscribers reached 28 million in June 2015, an 8% increase since December 2014 • 42% France Telecom ownership, high dividend payout ratio • ARPU is currently $5 vs Verizon’s $71 - data growth should increase ARPU Source: Bloomberg and Sonatel FY2014 - Valuation Data as of Jan 2016 • Free cash flows have averaged 35% of revenues over the last 3 years versus Verizon’s 13% over the same period • Company with high real returns on assets 11 LSE: AOF Confidential & Proprietary

  12. Tanzania Breweries – Case Study Public Equity – Value & Growth • Tanzania Breweries is a Tanzania based brewer, with an estimated market share of 75% • Consumption is 10 liters/capita versus 12 liters/capita for the African universe* • EBIT and Net income margins have averaged 29% and 19% over the past 8 years and ROE and ROA have averaged 46% and 28% • PE is 21x versus the peer universe of 32x and dividend yield is 2.0% versus a peer average of 2.8% • Market capitalization is $2 billion with little debt Source: Bloomberg, Tanzania Breweries reports * Source :BMI Research March 2015 12 LSE: AOF Confidential & Proprietary

  13. Massmart Holdings – Case Study Public Equity – Short Position • Massmart distributes and retails general merchandise, food, and liquors in Southern Africa - South Africa makes up 92% of revenues • Walmart acquired 51% of Massmart in June 2011 • Weaker economic growth and strong competition in South Africa continue to pressure Massmart’s profitability • EBIT margin has declined from 6.1% in 2009 to 2.6% in 2015 whilst ROE decreased from 42% to 20% • During same period total debt to equity has climbed from 6% to 68% • PE multiple has fallen to 20x from an all-time high of 37x in 2012 • Market capitalization is $1.2 billion; Enterprise value is $1.7 billion; Current PE is 20x; Current EV/CFO 13x; and Dividend Source: Bloomberg Feb 2016, Massmart Holdings reports yield is 4.6% 13 LSE: AOF Confidential & Proprietary

  14. Diamond Corp – Case Study Public Equity – Emerging growth • DiamondCorp is an emerging diamond producer established in 2005 to acquire 74% of the Lace Diamond Mine in South Africa • The Lace Mine was active from 1901 to 1931, and mothballed by DeBeers for over 60 years • Estimated to have 13mm carats of diamonds in M&I resources and 1.5 million in reserves • Currently producing 4k tons/month and targeting 30k tons/month by July 2016 • Management forecast 50%+ operating margins at full production • Current mkt cap is $50 million and EV is $69 million - ~65% of debt is ZAR denominated Source: Bloomberg, Diacmondcorp reports 14 LSE: AOF Confidential & Proprietary

Download Presentation
Download Policy: The content available on the website is offered to you 'AS IS' for your personal information and use only. It cannot be commercialized, licensed, or distributed on other websites without prior consent from the author. To download a presentation, simply click this link. If you encounter any difficulties during the download process, it's possible that the publisher has removed the file from their server.

Recommend


More recommend