? Adapted from: Lassaletta et al. 2014 Environmental Research Letters - - PDF document

adapted from lassaletta et al 2014 environmental research
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? Adapted from: Lassaletta et al. 2014 Environmental Research Letters - - PDF document

8/1/2017 Nitrogen Management Raj Khosla Colorado State University https://www.euractiv.com/wpcontent/uploads/sites/2/2016/10/Digitalfarming.jpg Nitrogen management Nitrogen Use Efficiency I (<50%) ? Adapted from: Lassaletta et al.


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8/1/2017

  • Prof. R. Khosla, Colorado State University

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Nitrogen Management

Raj Khosla Colorado State University

https://www.euractiv.com/wp‐content/uploads/sites/2/2016/10/Digital‐farming.jpg

Nitrogen management

?

I

Adapted from: Lassaletta et al. 2014 Environmental Research Letters

Nitrogen Use Efficiency

(<50%)

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8/1/2017

  • Prof. R. Khosla, Colorado State University

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Ammonium fertilizer NH3 NH4

+

NH3 N2 NO2

  • NO3
  • N2O,

NO, NO2

OM

Urea N2O Runoff Leaching

NH3

Forms Of Nitrogen Only two are plant available: NO3

  • and NH4

+

NO2

NO2 HNO2 HNO3 NO‐ N2 N2O NH2OH N2H4 NH3 NO3

NH4

+

How do we manage nitrogen for crop production?

CSU Agricultural Research, Development & Education Center Eastern Colorado Research Center Arkansas Valley Research Center San Luis Valley Research Center Plainsman Research Center Southwestern Research Center Western Research Center

200 lbs 150 lbs 0 lbs 50 lbs

200 lbs 150 lbs 0 lbs 50 lbs

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Calculating the Optimal N Rate

Nitrogen Rate (lbs/Acre) Grain Yield (Bu/Acre) Optimal Range

N rate = 35+ (1.2 X EY (bu/ac))

N Management

State N Rate Recommendation CO 35+ (1.2 X EY (bu/ac)) – (8 X Average ppm NO3 N in Soil) – (.14 X EY (bu/ac) X %OM)‐ Other N Credits KS (1.6X YG (bu/ac))‐(%OM X 20) ‐ Profile N ‐ Legume N‐ other N Credit OH ‐27 + (1.36 X Yield Potential (bu/ac) ‐100) – N credit (lb/ac) or 110 + [1.36 X (Yield potential (bu/ac) ‐100)] – N credit (lb/ac) IN ‐27 + (1.36 X Yield Potential (bu/ac) ‐100) – N credit (lb/ac) or 110 + [1.36 X (Yield potential (bu/ac) ‐100)] – N credit (lb/ac) MI ‐27 + (1.36 X Yield Potential (bu/ac) ‐100) – N credit (lb/ac) or 110 + [1.36 X (Yield potential (bu/ac) ‐100)] – N credit (lb/ac) MO Fertilizer N Recommendation (lbs/ac) – Pre‐plant N Test Credits (lbs/ac) MT N Fertilizer YG Recommendation (lbs/ac) ‐ PSNT NO3

‐ (lbs/ac) *Wheat

ND Fertilizer N recommendation (lbs/ac)‐ Soil Nitrate Concentration (lbs/ac)‐ N Credits (lbs/ac) NE 35+ [1.2 X EY (bu/ac)] – (8 X Average ppm NO3 N in Soil) – (.14 X EY (bu/ac) X %OM)‐ other N credits OR YG (bu/ac) X Required N Protein Goal (lb/ac) – Residual Soil N (lb/ac) *Wheat PA EY (bu/ac) – ( (Manure since last harvest (lb/ac) + Previous Crop Factor (lb/ac) + Three year Manure History Factor (lb/ac)) X Soil Nitrate (lb/ac)) SD YG bu/ac X 1.2 – Soil NO3 (lbs/ac) – Manure N (lb/ac) + no‐till Adjustment VA EY (bu/ac) – ((Applied Manure Factor Last Year (lb/ac) + Leguminous Crop Factor (lb/ac) + Manure History Factor (lb/ac)) * (PSNT (ppm)) IA N Rate Web Application WI N Rate Web Application MN N Rate Web Application IL N Rate Web Application ND N Rate Web Application

Common Variables

State N Rate Recommendation CO 35+ (1.2 X EY (bu/ac)) – (8 X Average ppm NO3 N in soil) – (.14 X EY (bu/ac) X %OM)‐ other N Credits

Estimated Yield (EY) Soil N Test N Credits

Web Application

Max Economic Return To Nitrogen

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+/- 2 bu/A from the mean

  • %

+/- 10 bu/A from the mean

Only 36%

Mean: 182.5 bu/A

>192.5 bu/A

40%

Under-fertilized

<172.5 bu/A

24%

Over-fertilized

Yield Map

Pixels = Average?

8%

high med med low low

Management Zones are delineated on farm fields by classifying the field into different sections or zones.

* CSU, USDA-ARS, Centennial Ag Inc.

Based on the research conducted in Colorado*

N rate = 35+ (1.2 X EY (bu/ac))

Average

In 9 out of 10 site years we can separate low from high zone but NOT low from medium or medium from high zones based on grain yield

Mean grain yield across MZs

16 12 8 4

a a b

Low Medium High Management zones Grain yield (Mg ha -1) 12 9 6 3

ab

b

Low Medium High Management zones Grain yield (Mg ha -1)

a

20 15 10 5

b b

Low Medium High Management zones Grain yield (Mg ha -1)

a

Source: Koch et al. 2004

Low Productivity (Zone 3) Medium Productivity (Zone 2) High Productivity (Zone 1)

The three data layers

Aerial Imagery Topography Farmer’s experience

are stacked as GIS layers to delineate the zone

Traits such as dark color, low- lying topography, and historic high yields were designated as a zone of potentially high productivity or high zone

Delineating management zones…

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Macro-variability

Micro-variability

Low Productivity (Zone 3) Medium Productivity (Zone 2) High Productivity (Zone 1)

Landsat 8

Worldview‐2 Natural Color display (Bands 5‐3‐2) Captured 9/13/2013 Spatial Resolution: 2m Boulder Creek Flood Plain Landsat 8 Natural Color display (Bands 4‐3‐2) Captured 9/17/2013 Spatial Resolution: 30m Boulder Creek Flood Plain

500 ft

NDVI = NIR- Red / NIR + Red

How to translate NDVI readings into N rate recommendations?

Nitrogen Algorithm(s)

 One of the first modern applications of remote sensing and it’s use…  to determine N rates by estimating yield using NDVI  NDVI provides an estimate of above ground biomass  First Nitrogen Application Algorithms were derived from yield estimates using remote sensing  Big turning point in the history of data‐driven N management

Raun et al 2001. In-Season Prediction of Potential Grain Yield in Winter Wheat Using Canopy reflectance

Cumulative Growing Degree Days (GDD) Above Ground Biomass

NDVI Time 1 NDVI Time 2

Expected Yield (EY) = (NDVI T1 + NDVI T2) / GDD (INSEY)

  • In 2002, Raun et al., developed the Nitrogen

Fertilization Optimization Algorithm (NFOA)

  • a multi-step process:
  • 1. Generate Yield Prediction Equation (YP0) from the

INSEY and previous year’s yield data

  • 2. Field data collection for N response

Nitrogen Algorithm(s)

Raun et al 2002 Improving NUE in Cereal Grain Production with Optical Sensing and Variable Rate Application

Generate Yield Prediction Equation (YP0)

INSEY Grain Yield (kg/ha)

YPo= a X e (b X INSEY)

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N-Rate Field Experiment

Collect sensor readings

Collect temperature data for GDD

Nitrogen Algorithm(s)

NDVI 0.85

NDVI 0.59 NDVI 0.73

Response Index (RI) = NDVIRich / NDVIReference

Potential for yield increase ~44% with additional N RI= .85 / .59 = 1.44 RI= .85 / .73 = 1.16 Potential for yield increase ~16% with additional N

How much additional N?

  • 3. Calculate Yield Potential with added N fertilizer (YPN)

YPN = YP0 * RI

  • 4. Compute Grain N uptake at YP0 & YPN

GNUP_YP0 = YP0 x % N Grain GNUP_YPN = YPN x % N Grain

  • 5. Final N Rate = (GNUP_YPN – GNUP_YP0) / NUE

Nitrogen Algorithm(s)

Raun et al 2002 Improving NUE in Cereal Grain Production with Optical Sensing and Variable Rate Application

Limitations: I. NDVI saturates at high LAI values

  • II. This algorithm does not account for location of plant in the field

VEGETATION INDICES EQUATION

Normalized Green Index (GRI) Normalized Red Edge Index (NREI) Normalized Difference Red Edge Index (NDREI) Green Chlorophyll Index (GRI) Red Edge Chlorophyll Index (RECI) Green Soil Adjusted Vegetation Index (GSAVI) Green Optimal Soil Adjusted Vegetation Index (GOSAVI) Modified Chlorophyll Absorption in Reflectance Index

G/(NIR+RE+G)

G/NIR+RE+G

RE/(NIR + RE + G)

RE/(NIR + RE + G)

(NIR – RE)/(NIR + RE)

(NIR – RE)/(NIR + RE)

NIR/G‐1 NIR/RE‐1 1.5 * [(NIR – RE)/(NIR + RE +.5)] (1 + .16)(NIR – G)(NIR + G + .16) [(NIR – RE) ‐ .2 *(NIR – G)]/(NIR/RE)

Cao et al 2014: Active Canopy Sensing of Winter Wheat Nitrogen Status: An evaluation of two Sensor Systems

New Vegetation Indices to Detect N Status

VEGETATION INDICES Equation Normalized Green Index G/(NIR + RE +G) Normalized Red Edge Index RE/(NIR + RE +G) Normalized NIR Index NIR/(NIR + RE +G) Red Edge Ratio Vegetation Index NIR/RE Green Ratio Vegetation Index NIR/G Red Edge Green Ratio Vegetation Index RE/G Green Difference Vegetation Index NIR‐G Red Edge Difference Vegetation Index RE‐G Normalized Difference Red Edge (NIR‐RE)/(NIR+RE) Green Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NIR‐G)/(NIR+G) Red Edge GNDVI (RE‐G)/(RE+G) Green Wide Dynamic Range Vegetation Index (a*NIR‐G)/(a*NIR+G)(a‐.12) Red Edge Wide Dynamic Range Vegetation Index (a*NIR‐RE)/(a*NIR + RE)(a‐.12) Optimized Vegetation Index 1 100*(lnNIR‐lnRE) Modified Double Difference Index (NIR‐RE)‐(RE‐G) Modified Normalized Difference Index (NIR‐RE)/(NIR‐G) Green Chlorophyll Index NIR/G‐1 Red Edge Chlorophyll Index NIR/RE‐1 Modified Red Edge Simple Ratio (NIR/RE‐1/SQRT(NIR/RE+1) Modified Green Simple Ratio (NIR/G‐1)/SQRT(NIR/RE+1) Modified Enhanced Vegetation Index 2.5* (NIR‐RE/(NIR+6*RE‐.75*G+1) Modified Normalized Difference Red Edge [NIR‐(RE‐2*G)]/[NIR+(RE‐2*G)] Modified Chlorophyll Absorption in Redlectance Index [(NIR‐RE)‐.2*(NIR‐G)](NIR/RE) Modified Transformed CARI 3*[(NIR‐RE)‐.2*(NIR‐G)(NIR/RE)] Green Soil Adjusted Vegetation Index 1.5*[(NIR‐G)/(NIR+G+.5)] Red Edge Soil Adjusted Vegetation Index 1.5*[(NIR‐RE/(NIR+RE+.5)] Green Optimal Soil Adjusted Vegetation Index (1+.16)(NIR‐G)/(NIR+G+.16) Red Edge Optimal Soil Adjusted Vegetation Index (1+.16)(NIR‐RE)/(NIR+RE+.16) Red Edge Transformed Vegetation Index .5[120*(NIR‐G)‐200*(RE‐G)] Grenn re‐Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NIRE‐RE)/SQRT(NIR+RE)

Limitations:  NDVI saturates at high LAI values

  • II. Accounting for location of plant in field
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N Rate (kg ha-1) = (135.3 x (NDVIRef. / NDVITarget)2) – (134.8 x (NDVIRef. / NDVITarget)) + 1

~96 lbs/a ~96 lbs/a ~96 lbs/a

NDVI

0.41

NDVI

0.41

NDVI

0.41

Coupling site-specific management zones with active proximal sensors

N Rate (kg ha-1) = (135.3 x (NDVIRef. / NDVITarget)2) – (134.8 x (NDVIRef. / NDVITarget)) + 1

~92 lbs/a ~144 lbs/a ~37 lbs/a

High

Medium

N Rate (kg ha-1) = Crop properties + Soil Properties

NDVI

0.41

NDVI

0.41

NDVI

0.41

Low

Crop Based Management

Micro-variability Macro-variability High MZ Medium MZ Low MZ N management strategies

High

Medium

Low

Uniform Remote Sensing 0 kg/ha 112 kg/ha 224 kg/ha 0 kg/ha 112 kg/ha 224 kg/ha 0 kg/ha 112 kg/ha 224 kg/ha Management Zones 224 kg/ha 168 kg/ha 112 kg/ha Remote sensing within Management Zones 112 kg/ha 168 kg/ha 224 kg/ha 56 kg/ha 112 kg/ha 168 kg/ha 0 kg/ha 56 kg/ha 112 kg/ha N management strategies

224 kg/ha

High

Medium

Low

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8/1/2017

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150 120 90 60 30

d c b a d c b a

NUEa (kg Grain / kg N)

d c b a

NUEa

2010 2011 2012

Uniform MZ RS RS + MZ

224 168 112 56

N applied (kg/ha)

Improvement in NUE and reductions in N loadings in the biosphere.

Uniform MZ RS RS + MZ

28

Difference in N applied (kg/ha)

N loadings

Uniform MZ RS RS + MZ

15 10 5

a a a a a a b a Yield (Mg/ha)

Yield

a a a a

Uniform MZ RS RS + MZ

2010 2011 2012

Difference in N2O emission (kg/ha/y)

0 75

Uniform MZ RS RS + MZ

2010 2011 2012

6.0 4.5 2.0 1.5

N2O emission (kg/ha/y)

N2O emissions

  • 54%
  • 55%
  • 50%

Reductions in N2O linked to fertilizer

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There will be even more complex soil and crop models that encompass many other sensitive parameters

Machine learning

Model Time Scale

Daily time-step; historical weather data to predict N flux

Weather Inputs

Real-time; solar radiation; temperature; precipitation

Soil Inputs

NRCS SSURGO; root depth; slope; SOM; drainage Cultivar; maturity class; population; yield

Crop Inputs Management Inputs

Tillage; manure; previous crop characteristics

N Fertilizer Inputs

Type; rate; timing; pricing

N Rate Output

Mass balance; deterministic and stochastic; price risk factors

Graphical Output

N loss and uptake; N dynamics; crop development; fertilizer maps

Method Approach

Sella et al 2016 Adapt-N Outperforms Grower-Selected Nitrogen Rates in Northeast and Midwestern United States Strip Trials,

N Fertilizer Inputs Management Inputs Graphical Output N Rate Output

Nrec=Nexp_yld - Ncrop_now – Nsoil_now

  • Nrot_credit – Nfut_gain – loss - Nprofit_risk
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8/1/2017

  • Prof. R. Khosla, Colorado State University

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Increasing NUE with advanced decision making process

N2O

N

Yield

Thank you

RKhosla@Colostate.Edu