ABSA Energy Market Update & How to save $$$ November 2015 - - PDF document

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ABSA Energy Market Update & How to save $$$ November 2015 - - PDF document

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7/27/2016 ABSA Energy Market Update & How to save $$$ November 2015 Marc White 28 July 2016 AGENDA 1. Introduction 2. Market Update 3. Energy Efficiency 4. Risks & Caveat Emptor 5. Future Energy Landscape 6. Q & A Goanna

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ABSA Energy Market Update & How to save $$$

November 2015 28 July 2016 Marc White

AGENDA

  • 1. Introduction
  • 2. Market Update
  • 3. Energy Efficiency
  • 4. Risks & Caveat Emptor
  • 5. Future Energy Landscape
  • 6. Q & A

Goanna Energy Consulting Pty Ltd 2

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What costs make up your Electricity Bill in 2016/17?

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+

Network = 51% Generation = 38% MRET = 8% Other = 3%

What are the 5 largest Energy users in a school?

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= 30%

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OK What are the Top 5 energy users for schools without Pools?

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Heating = 61% Lighting = 20% Canteen/Staff Fridges = 10%

Cooking, Computers Other = 9%

AGENDA

  • 1. Introduction
  • 2. Market Update
  • 3. Energy Efficiency
  • 4. Risks & Caveat Emptor
  • 5. Future Energy Landscape
  • 6. Q & A

Goanna Energy Consulting Pty Ltd 6

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2016/17 TasNetworks Tariff TAS94

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7%

2016/17 Tas Wholesale

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Every Small School (150MWh pa), means +$3,575 pa Every Large School (600MWh pa), means + $14,300

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Tas Wholesale

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Environmental Certificates (LGC’s)

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The current market sentiment for LGC’s is that there is a pending shortage of certificates, so as a consequence the market price has significantly increased from about $50 in mid-last year to more than $80 per certificate. An $80 certificate price multiplied by 12.75% gives $10.20/MWh (1.02 c/kWh) before being escalated for any retailer margin and distribution loss factors.

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AGENDA

  • 1. Introduction
  • 2. Market Update
  • 3. Energy Efficiency
  • 4. Risks & Caveat Emptor
  • 5. Future Energy Landscape
  • 6. Q & A

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Cost Management Strategy

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Physical assets Plant & Equipment Unit rates Network & Retail Consumption Efficient Utilisation

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Control Levers

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 Procurement Model  Network Tariff Reviews  Energy Efficiency  On-site Generation  Business Intelligence

Control Levers

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 Procurement Model  Network Tariff Reviews  Energy Efficiency  On-site Generation  Business Intelligence

What’s happening in the market? What’s driving my energy cost?

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Control Levers

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 Procurement Model  Network Tariff Reviews  Energy Efficiency  On-site Generation  Business Intelligence

What’s best practice? What’s are the options?

Control Levers

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 Procurement Model  Network Tariff Reviews  Energy Efficiency  On-site Generation  Business Intelligence

What’s coming? Is my current tariff the best?

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Control Levers

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 Procurement Model  Network Tariff Reviews  Energy Efficiency  On-site Generation  Business Intelligence

Has the Business Case changed? Maximising investments

Control Levers

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 Procurement Model  Network Tariff Reviews  Energy Efficiency  On-site Generation  Business Intelligence

What options are there? What is the best Business case?

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Top 5 Initiatives You Guess the Payback Period?

  • Solar PV?
  • Battery Storage (Combined with Solar)?
  • LED Lighting Conversion?
  • Ceiling Insulation?
  • End of Class/Day/Week Shutdown process?
  • Leaking Hot Water Service
  • Heating Controls

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Average Payback Periods

  • End of Day Shutdown process: Immediate!
  • Leaking Hot Water Service: <1 Year
  • Heating Programmable Controls: 1 – 2 Years
  • LED Lighting Conversion: 3 – 5 Years (Duty)
  • Reverse Cycle A/C Replacement: 3 – 5 Years
  • Ceiling Insulation 5 -7 Years
  • Solar PV 6 – 10 Years
  • Batteries 10 – 16 Years (Warranty 10?)

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AGENDA

  • 1. Introduction
  • 2. Market Update
  • 3. Energy Efficiency
  • 4. Risks & Caveat Emptor
  • 5. Future Energy Landscape
  • 6. Q & A

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Top 5 Commercial Energy Risks

  • Being Uninformed/Outdated knowledge

(Assuming you can manage energy maters by yourself, is like me thinking I could deliver a great maths class once a year)

  • Responding to Sales People/Advertising,

(as opposed to executing a well thought out strategy. Ask me how many Solar proposals we have seen that are likely to deliver the promised savings!)

  • Not Optimizing the Network tariff ($1.5M)
  • Not Checking the Bill ($660K)
  • Not running a competitive tender process

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AGENDA

  • 1. Introduction
  • 2. Market Update
  • 3. Energy Efficiency
  • 4. Risks & Caveat Emptor
  • 5. Future Energy Landscape
  • 6. Q & A

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Future Energy Landscape (1)

  • Network = Demand Based Tariffs

– Impact on Solar Investments?

  • Energy = Risk of structural change

– Fall-out from Energy Crisis – Rising gas prices on east-coast of Australia impacting

  • Gas appliances
  • Power generation

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Future Energy Landscape (2)

  • Best Practice = use of an energy Business

Intelligence platform to track and prepare

– Budgets – End-of-year cost outlooks – Invoice verification – Network Tariff Reviews – Next day maximum demand and/or energy consumption alerting

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AGENDA

  • 1. Introduction
  • 2. Market Update
  • 3. Energy Efficiency
  • 4. Risks & Caveat Emptor
  • 5. Future Energy Landscape
  • 6. Q & A

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Thank you

Goanna Energy Consulting Pty Ltd 27 General Information Only: Whilst Goanna has endeavoured to ensure that the information contained within this presentation is accurate, we do not make any warranties or representations in relation to the accuracy of the information contained herein. This presentation is intended as general advice only and is not intended to constitute personal financial product advice. It is has been prepared without taking into account the personal circumstances, financial needs or objectives of anyone person or

  • rganisation. Accordingly individuals or organisations, who seek

to rely on information contained within this presentation, should undertake their own independent enquiries and seek legal or financial advice prior to doing so. Examples used in this presentation are for illustrative purposes only.

Marc White

(03) 6223 7253 marc@goannaenergy.com.au www.goannaenergy.com.au