A p L B A 1c 1c B C 1c continue as before 0.999999 pay - - PDF document

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A p L B A 1c 1c B C 1c continue as before 0.999999 pay - - PDF document

A p L B A 1c 1c B C 1c continue as before 0.999999 pay $30 ~ L 0.000001 instant death +U o o o o o o o o o o o o +$ 800,000 o o o p 1.0 0.9 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 $x 0 500 1000 2000 3000


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L p A B

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A B C

1c 1c 1c

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L 0.999999 0.000001 continue as before instant death

pay $30 ~

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+U +$

800,000

  • o o
  • o o
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p $x 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 1.0 500 3000 4000 5000 6000 7000 8000 9000 10000 1000 2000

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U Airport Site

Deaths Noise Cost Litigation Construction Air Traffic

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1

X

2

X A B C D

1

X

2

X A B C

This region dominates A

Deterministic attributes Uncertain attributes

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0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1 1.2

  • 6
  • 5.5
  • 5
  • 4.5
  • 4
  • 3.5
  • 3
  • 2.5
  • 2

Probability Negative cost S1 S2 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1

  • 6
  • 5.5
  • 5
  • 4.5
  • 4
  • 3.5
  • 3
  • 2.5
  • 2

Probability Negative cost S1 S2

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SocioEcon Age GoodStudent ExtraCar Mileage VehicleYear RiskAversion SeniorTrain DrivingSkill MakeModel DrivingHist DrivQuality Antilock Airbag CarValue HomeBase AntiTheft Theft OwnDamage PropertyCost LiabilityCost MedicalCost Cushioning Ruggedness Accident OtherCost OwnCost

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P ( U | E )

j

P ( U | E )

j

P ( U | E )

j

(a) (b) (c)

U U U U

1

U

2

U

2

U

2

U

1

U

1