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A new Approach to Potash Production
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A new Approach to Potash Production Gensource Potash Corporation - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
A new Approach to Potash Production Gensource Potash Corporation www.gensource.ca 1 (TSX.V: GSP) Disclaimer This presentation contains certain forward-looking statements relating, but not limited, to Gensource Potash Corporation expectations,
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www.gensource.ca Gensource Potash Corporation (TSX.V: GSP)
This presentation contains certain forward-looking statements relating, but not limited, to Gensource Potash Corporation expectations, intentions, plans and beliefs. Forward-looking information can often be identified by forward looking words such as “anticipate”, “believe”, “expect”, “goal”, “plan”, “intend”, “estimate”, “may” and “will” or similar words suggesting future outcomes or other expectations, beliefs, plans, objectives, assumptions, intentions or statements about future events or performance. Forward-looking information may include reserve and resource estimates, estimates of future production, costs of capital projects and timing of commencement of operations, and is based on current expectations that involve a number of business risks and uncertainties. Factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from any forward-looking statement include, but are not limited to, failure to establish estimated resources and reserves, the recovery of resources varying from estimates, capital and operating costs varying significantly from estimates, delays in obtaining or failures to obtain required governmental, environmental or
development of projects and other factors. Forward-looking statements are subject to risks, uncertainties and other factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from expected results. Shareholders and prospective investors should be aware that these statements are subject to known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those suggested by the forward-looking statements. Shareholders are cautioned not to place undue reliance on forward-looking information. By its nature, forward-looking information involves numerous assumptions, inherent risks and uncertainties, both general and specific, that contribute to the possibility that the predictions, forecasts, projections and various future events will not occur. Gensource undertakes no obligation to update publicly or otherwise revise any forward-looking information whether as a result of new information, future events or other such factors which affect this information, except as required by law. This caution is provided in accordance with the requirements of Parts 4A and 4B of National Instrument 51-102 Continuous Disclosure Obligations, respecting disclosure of forward looking information. 14
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CONTENTS:
Appendix – State of the Potash Industry / Market
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Goal: Using the expertise of the Management Team and Advisory Board, GSP will:
Saskatchewan, becoming the next independent potash producer – and vertically-integrated marketer.
early 20th century and which use less energy, less water and require smaller initial capital expenditure
industry), disrupt the existing potash industry operations and project development norms – by showing what is possible when up-to-date extraction techniques are employed within an innovative business model by a team of experts.
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Mike Ferguson, P.Eng., President & CEO. Mike led the Potash One team that developed the Legacy project– the only Saskatchewan greenfield potash development to proceed. Rob Theoret, B.Comm., CIM, CFO. Co-founder of Nexxt Potash and has successfully financed several local junior development companies. Deborah Morsky, VP Corp. Services. Deborah brings 25 plus years of family business leadership and experience as a professional in insolvency and financial restructuring. Kerny Korchinski, Director. Kerny is an accomplished Saskatchewan entrepreneur building a private business from conception to $100 million in annual revenue. Paul Martin, Director. Chairman of Charlton Communications Saskatchewan's largest public relations firm specializing in communications strategy and support, media relations, government relations, event planning and strategic advice.
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Max Ramey, PE, Solution Mining. Max was the technical drive behind the Legacy Project. With his extensive experience and track record in operations and design of solution mining facilities, Max is a world-class expert in high demand. John McEwan, PE, Processing. John created the process design for the Legacy project based on his almost 40 years in the mining industry. With solution processing expertise in many minerals under varied chemical conditions, John leads the effort to move processing techniques into the 21st century. Sandy Debuscherre, Drilling. Sandy is the most well-known and sought-after drilling design and execution consultant in the province, with extensive experience in oil & gas and potash exploration and operational drilling. Sandy’s expertise extends to horizontal drilling and solution mining-specific aspects of drilling and casing operations. Steve Halabura, P.Geo., FEC (Hon), Director, Geology. Steve is the pre-eminent geologist in the Prairie Evaporite. Steve was responsible for siting Legacy (Potash One/K+S), Jansen Lake (BHP-B), Burr (Athabasca Potash) and more. Jim Elliot, Strategic Business Advisor. Jim founded Tron Power in northern Saskatchewan and led the development of that company into arguably the most successful First Nations owned construction contracting company in western Canada.
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a 3-legged stool = VERTICAL INTEGRATION
standard 2.8–4.0 Mt/a, $4 Billion project. This statement follows from point 2,
water, power and natural gas
mining to processing to transportation to marketing. Success of a Gensource project has the potential to disrupt the current industry.
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Producing Facility
Direct- ship Logistics System
Potash end- Users Vertically Integrated Business Structure
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Business model Foundations:
The market for potash is not an open one. There is no organized exchange for the commodity and private sales between the few large suppliers/sales organizations and regional or national distributors set benchmark prices each year. The ultimate distribution of potash in the consuming regions is just as concentrated as the production with often only a handful of organizations controlling the distribution of the product in many large market areas.
1972, so engaging the right team to develop the project becomes critical to success. Gensource represents the re-assembly of the one team that has developed a new mine to the point of construction in the province – the Legacy Mine, now owned and being constructed by K+S Potash Canada.
location to site a new mine? Surprisingly, not where exploration permits (KP’s) are available.
The typical cost of a new 3 Mt/a facility is in the $ 3.5-4.0 B range. Gensource’s novel approach to potash development is staged and vertically integrated, resulting is significantly less initial capex - financing becomes a much more attractive proposition.
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Start of Land Rush Era … End of the Land Rush Era:
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Currently ~ 11 million acres
century technology, because that is “how it is done”
to revert to Crown
Originally ~ 800,000 acres
leases
knowledge (speculators) enter.
1960’s - 2005 2013
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Features:
provincial government
regulations making it very expensive to obtain and maintain a potash permit (KP). Result:
– Sure to keep out all but very deep-pocketed mining companies.
“Potash 2.0” becomes the only rational way to enter the industry, and requires:
– Updated mining and processing technologies for the 21st century – Departure from the typical “junior mining” development approach:
be the same 3 Mt/a capacity design)
More importantly – “FINANCE-ABLE” e.ca 14
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“Potash 2.0” developments must deal with the issues identified during the past 50+ years of operation in SK (and exacerbated by the recent “rush”)
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Issue Discussion Significant salt tailings stored on surface for indefinite (infinite?) periods
Resolution of the problem for existing operations is difficult. Using mining methods that leave all or most of the salt underground provides advantages to new operations. Large fresh water consumption Existing mining methods consume very large volumes of fresh water delivered from surface sources, solution mining more so than conventional mining. Methods to increase re- circulation and prevent creation of excess brine will significantly reduce fresh water use. Energy consumption, particularly for evaporation-crystallization solution mining operations is very large Thermal processes consume large amounts of energy – new approaches driving for energy reduction, and elimination of evaporation step, result in not only reduced operating costs but lower carbon footprint as well.
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Gensource is utilizing technologies that should result in a 21st Century facility that operates as follows:
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Brine Processing and Crystallization Plant
Solution mining well field
KCl-rich brine KCl-depleted brine Fresh water Power Gas
Local Utilities
(lower consumption Than current technologies)
Water Vapour Storage Solid KCl (potash)
products of combustion
Potash to Market
NaCl Tailings
“Industrial” non-potable water
Typical Saskatchewan Solution Mining Math
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Calculation Range Typical Length 1610 meters 1610 meters x Width 1610 meters 1610 meters x Thickness 30- 35 meters 30 meters x Grade 22-28% 25% x Specific Gravity 2.14 2.14 x Process Losses 5-10% 10% x Anomaly Losses 15-30% 25% x Extraction Ratio 30-40% 35% = Total Potash product / section 9.8 million tonnes
A small 20,000 acre area could provide: 300 million tonnes Mine Life 100 + years
The right resource and land package required to provide a long mine life
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Example:
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The Lazlo project is made up of Freehold mineral leases (21 years), with a novel approach to engaging the surrounding minerals.
acres
possible
grades, thickness and temperatures
*GSP freehold mineral leases in both Lazlo and Lothar – over 12,500 ac.
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This project is made up of Freehold mineral leases (21 years), with a novel approach to engaging the surrounding Minerals.
ac each possible
strong grades and good thickness
going
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1. Global potash consumers are looking for a long term stable supply of potash 2. Saskatchewan has an estimated 3,000 + years supply of potash 3. Access to Market (Leg 1):
1. Through partnerships created in 2013, Gensource is signatory to 5 Letters of Intent with fertilizer distributors in China and one in Brazil. 2. Work continues with India-based fertilizer companies to create market partnerships. 3. Result: “Access to Market” moving ahead, negotiating formal off- take agreements. Leg 1
4. GSP has assembled a world class project development team with direct potash mine development experience. Leg 2 5. Leg 3, Financing, is now underway on a sound foundation, not a typical junior mining foundation….
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Project Development Overview to Construction Decision, showing Financing
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Financing in 3 phases:
complete 2nd half.) - Goal: Entrench strategic investors
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GSP Action Items – remainder of 2014:
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GSP mine and process designs Fall ’14
Spring’15
Fall ‘14
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Example of Value Creation With The Gensource Potash Team
*KP289 was identified and applied by Steve Halabura. *KP289 constituted Potash One’s Legacy project , which was led by Mike Ferguson to construction decision. *Nov 22nd, 2010, Legacy project/Potash One was acquired by K+S with 437 million dollars.
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Shares outstanding – 127 million
Warrants Exercise Expiry 28,527,958 $0.05 01-03-2016 Stock Symbol GSP – TSX.V Share Price $0.07 (Sept 24, 2014) 52 Week High/Low $0.10 - $0.025 26 Options Exercise Expiry 7,941,748 $0.10 08-24-2016 & 01-23-2019
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with potash demand
10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000 30,000 35,000 40,000 45,000 50,000 55,000 60,000 700,000 900,000 1,100,000 1,300,000 1,500,000 1,700,000 1,900,000 2,100,000 2,300,000
Potash Demand (Kt) Grain Demand (Kt)
Potash Demand Vs. Grain Demand
Potash Demand (Kt) = 11,522 + 0.017*[Grain Demand (Kt)] R² = 62% www.gensource.ca Gensource Potash Corporation (TSX.V: GSP) 29
Potash demand posted a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 3.6% from 1950 to 2008. Implication: Potash Demand Grows ≈ 2 Mt/year
10000 20000 30000 40000 50000 60000 1950 1952 1954 1956 1958 1960 1962 1964 1966 1968 1970 1972 1974 1976 1978 1980 1982 1984 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010E
Potash Consumption
1950-2008 CAGR = 3.6% 1991-2008 CAGR ~ 3 %
Potash Consumption ('000 Product Tonnes)
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Source: Integer Research Limited
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Current Market Situation
– But, this is not supported by the data in recent years.
tracts of farm land currently receive much less than optimum fertilizer application
– Russian-Belarusian company BPC breakup – Uralkali increasing production – Prices dropping quickly – General uncertainty
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2-3x Price Increase
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$305
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Current world potash production and demand (2012)
32% 19% 15% 9% 5% 8% 4% 8%
Potash Production by Country
Canada Russia Belarus Germany Israel China Jordan Rest of World
20% 16% 14% 9% 10% 8% 23%
Potash Demand by Country
China USA Brazil India Oceana Europe Other
Source: Integer, Gensource Potash Corp
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Mike Ferguson, P.Eng. President & CEO Gensource Potash Corp. Suite 1100, 201 1st Ave. South Saskatoon, Saskatchewan mike@gensource.ca 306-974-6414
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Rob Theoret, B.Comm., CIM CFO Gensource Potash Corp. Suite 1100, 201 1st Ave. South Saskatoon, Saskatchewan rob@gensource.ca 306-974-6406