A Lundin Group Company
Internationally Focused Upstream Company
International Petroleum Corp.
NC00114 08.19
September 2019
A Lundin Group Company International Petroleum Corp. - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
A Lundin Group Company International Petroleum Corp. Internationally Focused Upstream Company September 2019 NC00114 08.19 International Petroleum Corp. Corporate Strategy Deliver operational excellence Maintain financial resilience
NC00114 08.19
September 2019
NC00133 p09 04.19
Deliver operational excellence Maintain financial resilience Maximize the value of our resource base Grow through M&A
2
NCF00138 p02 07.19
Q2 operating costs of 12.6 USD/boe; ahead of guidance Full year guidance of 12.9 USD/boe retained
Q2 production at 46,100 boepd Expect to be toward lower end of 46,000 to 50,000 boepd full year guidance 2019 forecast exit rate >50,000 boepd
Production Guidance Operating Costs(1)
Capital expenditure guidance retained at 188 MUSD Drilling operations ongoing in Canada, France & Malaysia
Organic Growth
Strong cash flow generation Full year 2019 OCF forecast of 163 to 330 MUSD 1H OCF of 160 MUSD, 48% of high end guidance at 70 USD/bbl Brent (Brent avg 66 USD/bbl)
Operating Cash Flow(1)
Capital programme remains fully funded from cash flow
Liquidity
Opportunistic approach to further acquisitions
Business Development
>2x increase to 288 MMboe; >1.3 billion boe 2P+2C; 16 yr RLI
Resource Base(2)
37% increase in NAV per share to 12.40 USD, IPC trading at 71% discount
Shareholder Value(2)
No material incidents
HSE
(1) Non-IFRS measure, see MD&A (2) As at December 31, 2018, see Reader Advisory and MD&A
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NC00115 p22 01.19
Proven track record of reserves increases through organic growth 103% reserves replacement ratio in 2018(1) Year on year reserve increases in all countries
109% in Malaysia Addition of 3 infill wells and reservoir performance upgrade 174% in France Villeperdue reservoir performance upgrade and Villeperdue West project 98% in Canada - Suffield Gas optimisation performance
Reserves Cumulative Production
1) See Reader Advisory and MD&A
France Malaysia Canada - Suffield Asset
10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45
2002 2016 2017 2018
MMboe
10 15 20 25
2012 2016 2017 2018
MMboe
40 60 80 100 120
2017 2018
MMboe
+54% +63% +9%
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NC00115 p06 08.19
January 2018 January 2019
2C 2C 2P 2P 129 288 1,092 63 1,380 2P + 2C 192 2P + 2C
January 2017
29 2P
>100% reserves replacement in 2018 More than doubled 2P reserves to 288 MMboe (1) Increased reserves life index (RLI) from 11 to 16 years (1)
(1) As at December 31, 2018. See Reader Advisory and MD&A
More than 17x increase in Contingent Resource base (1)
Net Reserves and Contingent Resources (MMboe)
>6x ~7x
Net Reserves and Contingent Resources
>1.3 bn boe 5
NC00115 p05 08.19
10,300 boepd 46,100 boepd 34,400 boepd
2017 2018 2019 Guidance
International
Production (boepd)
Canada-Suffield Canada-BlackPearl
46,000 boepd 50,000 boepd
+10% Growth
Expect full year production at lower end of 46,000 to 50,000 boepd range > 50,000 boepd exit rate forecast
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NC00143 p01 09.19
Oil drilling and gas optimisation
N2N EOR project on track for Q4 startup Onion Lake production optimisation
Blackrod pilot (1 well pair)
Play openers: conventional oil drilling
Blackrod land acquisition in Q2 2019
Canada – Suffield Canada – Onion Lake / Other
1) As at December 31, 2018, see Reader Advisory and MD&A KM 100
Turtle Lake Candle Lake Gull Lake Pigeon Lake Buffalo Lake Sullivan Lake LacEdmonton
BrooksCalgary
Red Deer Saskatoon Moose JawMedicine Hat
Lloydminster
Swift Current Prince Albert North BattlefordAthabasca Cold Lake
Swan HillsSlave Lake
Lac La Biche Wabasca DesMarais e Lake Calling Lake McMillian Lake Lake La Biche Cold Lake Pimrose Lake Winefred Lake A t h a b a s c a R i v e r N t h S a s k a t c h e w a n R i v e r S t h S a s k a t c h e w a n R i v e rSaskatchewan Alberta
Manville Oil Sands Manville Oil Sands Red Deer River N t h S a s k a t c h e w a n R i v e rCanada
Suffield
Land acquisition
Onion Lake Blackrod Production optimisation Drilling
N2N project Conventional oil play openers
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NC00143 p02 09.19
3 infill wells on track for Q4 startup 2 appraisal wells completed
Malaysia
Execution of Vert-La-Gravelle Phase 1
France
A20
500mMalaysia – Bertam
2019 Infill Programme
Sézanne Sézanne
France – Paris Basin
Vert-La-Gravelle
Villeperdue West
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NCF00138 p12 07.19
2017 Actual 2018 Actual 2019 Guidance(3)
138 279(2) 306 332
Low Case WTI-WCS differential
High Case WTI-WCS differential
265
70 USD/bbl 70 USD/bbl 60 USD/bbl 60 USD/bbl 50 USD/bbl
Q1 83 MUSD H1 160 MUSD
50 USD/bbl
2) Including OCF related to Netherlands assets disposed in December 2018 3) At mid-point of 2019 production guidance
232 258 189 163 52% 48%
1) Non-IFRS measure, See MD&A
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NCF00138 p04 07.19
2017 2018 Net Debt (2) 2019 NAV (1) IPCO Market Cap (3) 543 514 526 1,151 1,274 2,314 166 111 2,037 71% discount to NAV
With YE 2017 Pricing
582
PXX BlackPearl Suffield International IPCO
1) As at December 31, 2018, see Reader Advisory and MD&A 2) Non-IFRS measure, see MD&A 3) Based on the price of IPC shares as at September 4 th, 2019, converted to USD (SEK 34.60 ; SEK/USD 9.78)
10
NCF00138 p24 07.19
1) As at December 31, 2018, see Reader Advisory and MD&A
May May May Jun Jul Aug Sep Jun Apr Apr Jun Jul Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Jan Feb Mar Apr Mar
USD per share
10 11 12 13 14 9 8 7 6 3 4 2 1 5 10 11 12 13 14 9 8 7 6 3 2 1 5
2017 2018 2019
01/01/17 USD 4.8 01/01/18 USD 9.1 01/01/19 USD 12.4
~71% discount to NAV
+89% +37%
NAV per share IPCO USD share price
Listing 25.5 M shares purchased and cancelled at 3.53 USD/share Suffield acquisition announced Malaysia infills and France 3D seismic announced 17.5 MMboe CR announced France 3D seismic completed Suffield acquisition completed Malaysian Infill wells
Infill drilling starts in Malaysia Infill drilling starts in Malaysia Additional gas
Canada approved Development drilling starts at Vert La Gravelle BlackPearl acquisition announcement Production curtailment announced Acquired additional 243 MMbo Blackrod CR’s BlackPearl acquisition completed Commenced Suffield
~26% discount to NAV
11
12
NC00133 p04 08.19
Production growth targeted in all countries
Suffield gas optimisation and oil drilling Onion Lake ramp up Malaysia infill wells France Vert-La-Gravelle project
Expect full year production towards lower end
Expect lower end of guidance range for Q3 Exit rate of 50,000 boepd retained
Malaysia
Canada Gas, 38% Canada Oil, 43%
France
Suffield Gas Suffield Oil Onion Lake Thermal C a n a d a O t h e r
2019 Production
International, 19%
2019 forecast exit rate > 50,000 boepd
10,000 20,000 30,000 40,000 50,000
34,400 10,300 46-50,000
2019 Forecast 2019 2018 2017
Oil Brent Oil WCS Gas
Production (boepd)
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
>3x
44,400 46,100
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NC00115 p19 09.19
1) At mid point 2019 capital guidance
2019 Capital Allocation (1)
Malaysia, 34% France, 21% Canada, 45%
France – 39 MUSD
Canada – 85 MUSD
Suffield
Exploration: 10 MUSD Additional budget: N2N + Blackrod acquisition 22 MUSD Onion Lake Thermal
Malaysia – 56 MUSD
Exploration: 16 MUSD
2019 Guidance: 188 MUSD
Opportunity to ramp up or down depending on commodity pricing Strong economic returns and production additions at current pricing Over 99% of capital in operated assets
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NC00133 p12 08.19
Malaysia Canada Other Onion Lake Suffield Canada, 71% France International, 29%
12.9
2019 Guidance
OPEX shown is net of self to self lease payments
2019 full year operating costs forecast at 12.9 USD/boe
Includes production optimisation, workovers and maintenance provisions
Q2 operating costs below guidance at 12.6 USD/boe
Net Unit Operating Costs (USD/boe) 2019 Guidance
1) Non-IFRS measure, see Reader Advisory and MD&A
15
16
NC00117 p12 08.19
1) 2P reserves and 2C resources as at December 31, 2018, see Reader Advisory and MD&A
Cold Lake Athabasca Peace River Onion Lake Blackrod MooneySuffield
Canada Canada
Calgary Edmonton Calgary Regina Medecine Hat Suffield Cold Lake Athabasca Peace River Blackrod Mooney Calgary Edmonton Calgary Regina Medecine Hat Suffield Cold Lake Athabasca Peace River Onion Lake Mooney Calgary Edmonton Calgary Regina Medecine Hat Cold Lake Athabasca Peace River Onion Lake Blackrod Suffield Mooney Calgary Edmonton Calgary Regina Medecine HatOnion Lake Blackrod Mooney John and Reita Lake
Conventional heavy oil and natural gas Q2 2019 production 25,400 boepd Focus on gas optimisation and oil development projects in 2019 Thermal and conventional heavy oil Q2 2019 production 9,600 boepd Phase 2 Onion Lake thermal facilities completed in 2018 Thermal heavy oil IPC’s single largest contingent resource opportunity Third pilot well pair planned for 2019 Mooney alkaline-surfactant-polymer flood John Lake and Reita Lake conventional heavy oil
Canada Canada Canada Canada Canada Canada
Suffield Area Onion Lake Blackrod Other Conventional Heavy Oil
2P Reserves 2C Contingent Resources 2P Reserves 2C Contingent Resources 2P Reserves 2C Contingent Resources 2P Reserves 2C Contingent Resources MMboe MMbbls MMbbls MMbbls 100.5 48.8 142.2 24.7 – 987 17.7 15.9 17
NC00117 p16 02.19
Easy Coulee Jenner Deberg Falcon South Gibson North Dieppe Dakota Lundy Lane Gibson Lake West Gibson Dieppe Chieftain Hill N2N YYY UU East Easy Coulee East Easy Coulee Ram Hill Easy Coulee Jenner Deberg Falcon South Gibson North Dieppe Dakota Lundy Lane Gibson Lake West Gibson Dieppe Chieftain Hill N2N YYY UU East Easy Coulee East Easy Coulee Ram Hill
2019 firm programme – 25 wells
Locations spread across South Gibson, Gibson Lake, North Dieppe, and N2N areas Progress preparations for 2020 drilling campaign
Favourable economic returns in current price environment
Breakeven oil price ~23 USD/bbl WCS price
2019 drilling locations
KM 4
Example - South Gibson
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NC00117 p21 09.19
Successfully offset shallow gas declines in 2019
Extensive well swabbing programme, completed 6,000 swabs of 8,500 Execution of 100 well recompletions Capital budget to execute an additional ~50 recompletions Low breakeven 0.2 to 1.6 CAD/Mcf
Example - Suffield Area Gas Production
9% 10% 9% 8% 11% 8% 2% 1%
0% 2% 4% 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 H1 2019 (2) Average Annual Decline Rate (%)
Suffield Gas Annual Historical Decline Rates (1)
Average annual decline 9%
(1) IHS Accumap (2) June 2019 vs YE 2018
20,000 40,000 60,000 80,000 100,000 120,000 140,000 160,000
Total (mscf/d)
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
Increased swabbing activity Recompletion programme starts
Average pre-acquisition decline rate
Suffield transaction close 19
N2N 3D view
NC00133 p06 08.19
Breakeven
WCS @ ~26 USD/bbl
N2N Facilities
N2N enhanced oil recovery project commenced
High value project given 22 MCAD Cenovus pre funding Facility CAPEX and 9 wells already completed (Cenovus) Additional 8 wells, 3 conversions and facility commissioning required Expected peak production adds of 1,250 bopd in 2–3 years (18% increase on current Suffield oil production) Strong economic returns, even at low prices Expected startup Q4 2019
Cold Lake Athabasca Peace RiverOnion Lake Blackrod Mooney
Canada Canada
Calgary Edmonton Calgary Regina Medecine HatSuffield
20
NC00117 p18 08.19
Onion Lake Area
Thermal facilities completed in 2018 Four pads on production Resource base supports 15,000 to 20,000 bopd for more than 20 years with 5 CAD/bbl sustaining capital Thermal heavy oil projects consistently rank among the most economic oil plays
Management focus
Maintain operational excellence Execute facility optimisation projects, including water intake solutions Startup of production on sustaining F-Pad in Q4 2019 Prepare surface location for sustaining production pad D’
Cold Lake Athabasca Peace RiverBlackrod Suffield Mooney
Canada Canada
Calgary Edmonton Calgary Regina Medecine HatOnion Lake
21
NC00117 p19 08.19
Instantaneous steam oil ratio ~2.5 at nameplate capacity(1)
Top quartile performance for Canadian thermal projects
F-Pad ramp up in 2019 delayed as a result of abnormally cold weather in Q1 2019 Facility optimisation work ongoing
0.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 6.0 7.0 8.0 9.0
Cenovus Christina Lake MEG Christina Lake Devon Jackfish 2 Devon Jackfish 3 IPC Onion Thermal SOR* Suncor Firebag Conoco Surmont Phase 1 Husky Saskatchewan^ JACOS Hangingstone Expansion Cenovus Foster Creek CNRL Kirby Suncor Mackay River IPC Blackrod SOR* Pengrowth Lindbergh Conoco Surmont Phase 2 Athabasca Leismer Nexen Long Lake Devon Jackfish 1 OSUM Orion Husky Sunrise Connacher Pod 1 Husky Tucker Lake Athabasca Hangingstone CNRL Wolf Lake Connacher Algar Sunshine West Ells Petrochina Canada Mackay River CNRL Senlac
1st quartile 2nd quartile 3rd quartile 4th quartile
* SOR reflected during realized production plateau ^ Average SOR of Husky’s Bolney, Celtic, Edam, Paradise Hill, Pikes Peak, Rush Lake, Sandall, and Vawn thermal heavy oil projects
1) SOR reflected during realised production plateau
4,000 6,000 8,000 10,000 12,000 14,000 16,000 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 Barrels Per Day Historical Production
Phase 1 design capacity Facility
Phase 2 design capacity Low WCS pricing F-Pad delayed ramp up
Facility Nameplate Capacity
Onion Lake Blackrod 2.5 2.9
Active AB/SK Thermal Projects- Last 12 Months Trailing SOR (Jan-Dec 2018) 22
NC00117 p20 02.19
Blackrod area
Amongst the best greenfield SAGD projects in Canada Regulatory approval in place for Phase 1 of 80,000 bopd multi-phase project Two successful stages of field piloting complete 100% owned and operated
Management Focus
Execute and put on stream 3rd pilot well pair to test longer horizontal well length and advanced completion design Successful results integrated into revised commercial development plan will reduce number of well pads required to reach design rates, significantly reducing capital requirements
Cold Lake Athabasca Peace RiverOnion Lake Suffield Mooney
Canada Canada
Calgary Edmonton Calgary Regina Medecine HatBlackrod Blackrod
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900 1,000 Nov-2013 Feb-2014 May-2014 Aug-2014 Nov-2014 Feb-2015 May-2015 Aug-2015 Nov-2015 Feb-2016 May-2016 Aug-2016 Nov-2016 Feb-2017 May-2017 Aug-2017 Nov-2017 Feb-2018 May-2018 Aug-2018 Nov-2018
SOR (bw/bo) Oil Prod. (b/d)
Blackrod 2nd Pilot Well Pair Performance
Oil Rate SOR
24 Month Production Plateau ~2.9 SOR
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NC00133 p07 08.19
Onion Lake Suffield Mooney
Canada Canada
Calgary Edmonton Calgary Regina Medecine HatBlackrod
Acquired 243 MMboe(1) resource at very low cost in Q2 2019
Among the best quality reservoir and thickest pay in Blackrod
Project economics improve with well pair 3 success
Longer wells with smart completion can reduce pre-production capex Produced water recycle skid further reduces cost base (Onion Lake)
Low cost opportunity to lock in further upside
X-Section
A B A
1) As at December 31, 2018, see Reader Advisory and MD&A
Blackrod Project
A t h a b a s c a R i v e r
R19 R18 T78 T77 T76 T75 R17W4
Blackrod
IPC Lands
Acquired lands Acquired lands
B A
X-Section Phase 1 development Phase 2&3 development
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NC00115 p41 09.19
PIPELINE Increase in incremental pipeline capacity 265 Mbpd increases to 2021 from Keystone, Rangeland, Enbridge Express, Enbridge Mainland PRODUCTION CURTAILMENT December 2018 announcement of 325 Mbopd (8.7%) production curtailment in Alberta Reduced through time to 100 Mbopd for October Extended to end 2020 STORAGE Decrease in storage levels to 26 MMbbls in August, the lowest level since November 2017 (37 MMbbls) RAIL SHIPPING Increase in rail shipments (August approx. 200 Mbpd) with 500 Mbpd capacity available
Source: GMP FirstEnergy, CAPP, Alberta Energy Regulator, Company disclosure, as at September 2019
Keystone XL (830) TMX (590) ENB Line 3 replacement (370) Debottlenecking, upgrades (630) AB & SK refineries & industry demand + existing pipeline (4,296)
Western Canada oil supply
7.5 6.5 5.5 4.5 3.5 2.5 1.5 0.5 7.0 6.0 5.0 4.0 3.0 2.0 1.0 0.0
million bbl/d
2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024
(2024e mb/d throughput in brackets)
WCS differential 11 USD/bbl in H1 2019 vs 39 USD/bbl in Q4 2018
8.0 AB & SK refineries & industry demand + existing pipeline (4,296) Enbridge Line 3 replacement (370) TMX (590)
D e b
t l e n e c k i n g , u p g r a d e s a n d
t i m i s a t i
s ( 6 3 ) Keystone XL (830)
Alberta production curtailments announced 25
26
NC00118 p02 02.19
Malaysia
4 8 12 16 20
MMboe
1) As at December 31, 2018, see Reader Advisory and MD&A
Bertam Field
Bertam Facilities
2012 2016 2017
+55%
2P Reserves(1) 2P growth Cumulative Production
2018 1
Reservoir and operational performance ahead of expectation Proven track record of reserve additions Successful programme of high value infill wells Focus on near field and in field production growth
27
500m
N
Infill 1 - A18 2018 Infills
3 Infill wells completed (2016 & 2018) 3 Infill wells planned for 2019 execution
2016 Infill
A16 A17 A15
2018 infills paid back in ~6 months ~1 year payback ~30 USD/boe breakeven
4,000 6,000 8,000 10,000 12,000 14,000
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec2015 2016 2017 2018 Historical
Bertam Field Gross Production
bopd
Base Infill wells >50% of production from infill wells
Infill 2 - A19 Infill 3 - A20
NC00113 p02 08.19
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NC00118 p08 08.19
1) See Reader Advisory and MD&A
Year on year reserves increases in A15 area
Water cut delayed from pre-drill expectations Oil in place larger than initial expectation
2019 Programme
Landing pilot identified good potential for the third infill well
500mN A15
A15
A15 Reserves (1)
Pre-drill YE 2016 YE 2017 YE 2018
+22% +29% +11% +79%
A20 well location
29
30
NC00119 p01 02.19
France
Paris Basin
KM 400
Aquitaine Basin Villeperdue Facilities
1) As at December 31, 2018, see Reader Advisory and MD&A
Paris and Aquitaine Basins
Long life low decline assets Strong reservoir performance in 2018 Reserve replacement ratio of 174% in 2018 Focus on undeveloped reserves and contingent resources Mature remaining contingent resources to investment decisions
2002 2016 2017 2018(1) +63%
5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45
MMboe
2P Reserves(1) Cumulative Production 31
NC00119 p06 02.19
– 10 20 30 40 50 60
Technology prover for Rhetian contingent resources
Development target Development target Water injector
3D Seismic Coverage
Potential development targets Villeperdue producing well extent
Vert-La-Gravelle producing well
Villeperdue West - Potential Sanction 2019 Vert-La-Gravelle - Development Opportunity
Vert-La-Gravelle Hydrocarbon Saturation Villeperdue Reservoir Thickness 1) As at December 31, 2018, see Reader Advisory and MD&A
2002
MMboe
+130% 2P+2C Growth +54% 2PGrowth 2P Reserves Cumulative Production 2C
2018 Villeperdue 3.8 MMboe Largest single contingent resource in France Villeperdue West matured to reserves in 2018 Requires horizontal wells to unlock potential
Merisier, 2.7
Triassic Opportunities, 7.2 MMboe
Aquitaine, 2.2
2C Contingent Resources 15.9 MMboe(1)
Proven track record of resource growth
27% 16% 44% 13%
32
NC00119 p04 08.19
Project commenced in Q2 2019
Targeting unswept oil in central and southern areas Spudded Q2 2019 2 horizontal producers and 1 injector (phase 1) Further upside from southern flank extension 23 MEUR of facilities built and commissioned in 2014
Application of tried and tested technology seeks to unlock significant value
Development target Water injector Vert-La-Gravelle producing well
Vert-La-Gravelle Hydrocarbon Saturation
Development target
Breakeven oil price ~43 USD/boe
33
NC00119 p05 02.19
3 D S e i s m i c C
e r a g e
Potential development targets Villeperdue producing well extent
Undeveloped potential in western flank
Oil-water contact extends beyond current wellstock 3D seismic derisked development potential Western wells have lower water cut than main field Field infrastructure already in place
Investment decision expected during 2019
Villeperdue Reservoir Thickness 3D View of Villeperdue West Reservoir Porosity
France
Paris Basin
OWC U n d e v e l
e d A r e a D e v e l
e d A r e a
34
35
NCF00138 p15 07.19
USD/bbl
Brent Spot WTI Spot
2018 2019
10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul
Suffield, 51.44 Onion Lake, 42.37 Malaysia, 73.42 France, 68.28
70.55 50.30 48.68 21.30 45.85 37.20 40.13 78.32 78.21 73.10 67.72 77.58 66.29 64.50 76.20 66.08
WTI - 10 days differential (month -1) 36
NCF00138 p16 07.19
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Empress / AECO differential AECO Day Ahead Index Realised Price CAD/Mcf CAD/Mcf
2018 2019 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul
2.70 2.11 2.29 3.07 3.86 2.43
37
NC00116 p15 01.19
Price Decks Brent USD/bbl (1)
2019
80 70 60 50
2020 2021 2022 2023 2024
(1) See Reader Advisory and MD&A
Year End 2018 Reserves Price Deck Year End 2017 Reserves Price Deck
38
NC00116 p16 01.19
(1) See Reader Advisory and MD&A
Year End 2018 Year End 2017
2019 30 35 40 45 3.0 3.5 4.0 4.5 1.5 2.0 2.5 50
USD/bbl CAD/MMbtu
55 60 65 70 75 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031
Year End 2018 Year End 2017 Western Canadian Select (WCS) USD/bbl Empress Gas Price CAD/MMbtu
39
(¹) Non-IFRS Measure, see MD&A
Second Quarter 2019 First Six Months 2019 Production (boepd) 46,100 45,200 Average Dated Brent Oil Price (USD/boe) 68.9 66.0 Operating costs (USD/boe) (1) 12.6 12.9 Operating cash flow (MUSD) (1) 76.5 159.6 EBITDA (MUSD)¹ 74.6 156.3 Net result (MUSD) 25.7 58.9
40
Second Quarter 2019 First Six Months 2019
Average Dated Brent oil price
(68.9 USD/bbl) (66.0 USD/bbl)
Revenue 30.8 33.8
Cost of operations
Tariff and transportation
Production taxes
Operating costs (2)
Cost of blending
Inventory movements 1.6 0.3 Revenue – production costs 18.3 19.8 Cash taxes
Operating cash flow (2) 18.2 19.5 General and administration costs (3)
EBITDA 2 17.7 19.1
(1) Based on production volumes (2) Non-IFRS Measures, see MD&A (3) Adjusted for depreciation
41
Opening Net Debt 1 Jan 2019 MUSD -276.8 Closing Net Debt 30 Jun 2019 MUSD -239.3
Operating Cash Flow MUSD 159.6 LUPE working capital repayment MUSD -14.2 Exploration & evaluation MUSD -13.9 Financial MUSD -12.5 Development MUSD -47.5 G&A MUSD -5.3 Working capital & other MUSD -28.7
(1) Non-IFRS Measure, see MD&A
42
bbl/d Floor (WTI in USD) Cap (WTI in USD) Q3 2019 7,500 50.00 72.88 Q4 2019 3,000 49.45 68.15 Q1 2020 3,500 50.00 77.50 Q2 2020 6,150 35.00 71.74
Credit Facilities
Two revolving credit facilities: International (200 MUSD) and Canadian (375 MCAD) IPC combined the two Canadian credit facilities into a single facility in Q2 Second lien notes repaid (75 MCAD) in June 2019 Lower cost of debt going forward No further hedging obligations following the refinancing of the Canadian financing facilities
Hedging
43
44
NC00144 p01 09.19
SUSTAINABILITY
P E O P L E E N V I R O N M E N T E T H I C S
Transpa- rency Corporate Governance Anti- corruption Whistle- blowing Health Safety Security Employ- ment Water Waste Land Air Bio- diversity Com- munities Con- tractors
IPC aligns with best practice Sustainability strategy & framework: UN Global Compact principles and Sustainable Development Goals Operationally: IOGP (International Oil and Gas Association) and IPIECA guidelines (the Global Oil and Gas industry association for advancing environmental and social performance) Ethics and oversight Board approved Code of Ethics and Business Conduct setting the Board’s expectations for the company’s directors, officers and employees IPC Policies on anti-corruption, anti-fraud, anti-money laundering and anti-competition in place to ensure ethical business practices Confidential whistleblowing channel in place to communicate serious concerns Disclosure of payments to governments in the ESTMA report
45
NC00144 p02 09.19
Health & Safety of staff and contractors No major occupational health & safety incidents since company inception in 2017 Incident free drilling campaigns in Malaysia, France and Canada Environmental Stewardship Emissions to air: continuously enhancing operational efficiency of CO2 emissions Water: sourcing and disposal to minimise impact on surrounding environment – produced water recycling at Onion Lake of 25-30% of water Communities and Stakeholders IPC actively engages and contributes to local communities and stakeholders IPC is investing in the new community centre and housing initiative at Onion Lake Cree Nation, and provide ongoing financial support to spiritual and educational initiatives throughout the year.
46
NC00144 p03 09.19
Continually striving to improve CO2 emissions Currently saving ~150,000 tonnes CO2 per year Achieving an efficiency of 20% CO2 emissions Most relevant reduction measures #1 Heat recovery – using process heat to pre-heat feed water for boilers #2 Gas recovery – reducing flaring and fugitive emissions by reusing the waste gas as fuel gas #3 Operational efficiency – reducing the need for fuel gas by aligning
Onion Lake Thermal Emission Reduction
The Onion Lake Thermal project has currently nine design features in place which contribute to reduced CO2 emissions –> Energy efficient steam generation with integrated heat and gas recovery processes
59 59 Canada 20 20 World 33 IPC Kg CO2 per barrel produced
90% Reserves 80% Production in Canada
47
48 Forward Looking Statements This presentation contains statements and information which constitute “forward-looking statements” or “forward-looking information” (within the meaning of applicable securities legislation). Such statements and information (together, “forward-looking statements”) relate to future events, including the Corporation’s future performance, business prospects or opportunities. Actual results may differ materially from those expressed or implied by forward-looking statements. The forward-looking statements contained in this presentation are expressly qualified by this cautionary statement. Forward-looking statements speak only as of the date of this presentation, unless otherwise indicated. IPC does not intend, and does not assume any obligation, to update these forward-looking statements, except as required by applicable laws. All statements other than statements of historical fact may be forward-looking statements. Any statements that express or involve discussions with respect to predictions, expectations, beliefs, plans, projections, forecasts, guidance, budgets, objectives, assumptions or future events or performance (often, but not always, using words or phrases such as “seek”, “anticipate”, “plan”, “continue”, “estimate”, “expect”, “may”, “will”, “project”, “forecast”, “predict”, “potential”, “targeting”, “intend”, “could”, “might”, “should”, “believe”, “budget” and similar expressions) are not statements of historical fact and may be “forward-looking statements”. Forward-looking statements include, but are not limited to, statements with respect to: : IPC’s intention and ability to continue to implement strategies to build long-term shareholder value; IPC’s intention to re- view future potential growth opportunities; the ability of IPC’s portfolio of assets to provide a solid foundation for organic and inorganic growth; the continued facility uptime and reservoir performance in IPC’s areas of operation; the proposed Vert La Gravelle development project, includ- ing drilling, and other organic growth opportunities in France, including the Villeperdue West project; the proposed third phase of infill drilling in Malaysia and the ability to identify and mature additional locations, and the production uplift from such drilling; future development potential of the Suffield operations, including continued and future oil drilling and gas optimization programs and the N2N EOR development project (including estimated peak rates and timing of such project); the proposed further conventional oil drilling in Canada, including the ability of such drilling to identify further drilling or development opportunities; development of the Blackrod project, including the land position acquired in May 2019, in Canada; the results of the facility optimization program and the work to debottleneck the facilities and injection capability and the F-Pad production, as well as water intake and steam generation issues, at Onion Lake Thermal; 2019 production range, exit rate, operating costs and capital expenditure estimates; potential further acquisition opportunities; estimates of reserves; estimates of contingent resources; estimates of prospective resources; the ability to generate free cash flows and use that cash to repay debt and to continue to deleverage; and future drilling and other exploration and development activities. Statements relating to “reserves”; “contingent resources” and “prospective resources” are also deemed to be forward-looking statements, as they involve the implied assessment, based on certain estimates and assumptions, that the reserves and resources described exist in the quan- tities predicted or estimated and that the reserves and resources can be profitably produced in the future. Ultimate recovery of reserves or resources is based on forecasts of future results, estimates of amounts not yet determinable and assumptions of management. The forward-looking statements are based on certain key expectations and assumptions made by IPC, including expectations and assumptions concerning: prevailing commodity prices and currency exchange rates; applicable royalty rates and tax laws; interest rates; future well produc- tion rates and reserve and contingent resource volumes; operating costs; the timing of receipt of regulatory approvals; the performance of existing wells; the success obtained in drilling new wells; anticipated timing and results of capital expenditures; the sufficiency of budgeted capital expenditures in carrying out planned activities; the timing, location and extent of future drilling operations; the successful completion of acquisitions and dispositions; the benefits of acquisitions; the state of the economy and the exploration and production business in the jurisdictions in which IPC operates and globally; the availability and cost of financing, labour and services; and the ability to market crude oil, natural gas and natural gas liquids successfully. Although IPC believes that the expectations and assumptions on which such forward-looking statements are based are reasonable, undue reliance should not be placed on the forward-looking statements because IPC can give no assurances that they will prove to be correct. Since for- ward-looking statements address future events and conditions, by their very nature they involve inherent risks and uncertainties. Actual results could differ materially from those currently anticipated due to a number of factors and risks. These include, but are not limited to: the risks as- sociated with the oil and gas industry in general such as operational risks in development, exploration and production; delays or changes in plans with respect to exploration or development projects or capital expenditures; the uncertainty of estimates and projections relating to reserves, resources, production, revenues, costs and expenses; health, safety and environmental risks; commodity price and exchange rate fluctuations; interest rate fluctuations; marketing and transportation; loss of markets; environmental risks; competition; incorrect assessment of the value of acquisitions; failure to complete or realize the anticipated benefits of acquisitions or dispositions; the ability to access sufficient capital from internal and external sources; failure to obtain required regulatory and other approvals; and changes in legislation, including but not limited to tax laws, royalties and environmental regulations. Readers are cautioned that the foregoing list of factors is not exhaustive. Additional information on these and other factors that could affect IPC, or its operations or financial results, are included in the management discussion and analysis for the three months ended June 30, 2019 (MD&A) (See “Cautionary Statement Regarding Forward-Looking Information” therein), the Corporation’s Annual Information Form (AIF) for the year ended December 31, 2018 (See “Cautionary Statement Regarding Forward-Looking Information”, “Reserves and Resources Advisory” and “ Risk Factors” therein) and other reports on file with applicable securities regulatory authorities, which may be accessed through the SEDAR website (www.sedar.com) or IPC’s website (www.international-petroleum.com). Non-IFRS Measures References are made in this press release to “operating cash flow” (OCF), “Earnings Before Interest, Tax, Depreciation and Amortization” (EBITDA), “operating costs” and “net debt”/”net cash”, which are not generally accepted accounting measures under International Financial Re- porting Standards (IFRS) and do not have any standardized meaning prescribed by IFRS and, therefore, may not be comparable with definitions of OCF, EBITDA, operating costs and net debt/net cash that may be used by other public companies. Non-IFRS measures should not be consid- ered in isolation or as a substitute for measures prepared in accordance with IFRS. Management believes that OCF, EBITDA, operating costs and net debt/net cash are useful supplemental measures that may assist shareholders and investors in assessing the cash generated by and the financial performance and position of the Corporation. Management also uses non- IFRS measures internally in order to facilitate operating performance comparisons from period to period, prepare annual operating budgets and assess the Corporation’s ability to meet its future capital expenditure and working capital requirements. Management believes these non-IFRS measures are important supplemental measures of operating performance because they highlight trends in the core business that may not otherwise be apparent when relying solely on IFRS financial measures. Management believes such measures allow for assessment of the Corpora- tion’s operating performance and financial condition on a basis that is more consistent and comparable between reporting periods. The Corporation also believes that securities analysts, investors and other interested parties frequently use non-IFRS measures in the evaluation of issuers. The definition and reconciliation of each non-IFRS measure is presented in IPC’s MD&A (See “Non-IFRS Measures” therein). Disclosure of Oil and Gas Information This presentation contains references to estimates of 2P reserves and resources attributed to the Corporation’s oil and gas assets. Gross reserves / resources are the total working interest (operating or non-operating) share reserves before the deduction of any royalties and without including any royalty interests receivable. Reserves estimates, contingent resource estimates and estimates of future net revenue in respect of IPC’s oil and gas assets in the Suffield area of Canada are effective as of December 31, 2018, and are included in the report prepared by McDaniel & Associates Consultants Ltd. (McDan- iel), an independent qualified reserves evaluator, in accordance with National Instrument 51-101 – Standards of Disclosure for Oil and Gas Activities (NI 51-101) and the Canadian Oil and Gas Evaluation Handbook (the COGE Handbook), and using McDaniel’s January 1, 2019 price fore- casts. Reserves estimates, contingent resource estimates and estimates of future net revenue in respect of IPC’s oil and gas assets in the Onion Lake, Blackrod and Mooney areas of Canada are effective as of December 31, 2018, and are included in the report prepared by Sproule Associates Limited (Sproule), an independent qualified reserves evaluator, in accordance with NI 51-101 and the COGE Handbook, and using McDaniel’s January 1, 2019 price forecasts. Reserve estimates, contingent resource estimates, prospective resource estimates and estimates of future net revenue in respect of IPC’s oil and gas assets in France and Malaysia are effective as of December 31, 2018, and are included in the report prepared by ERC Equipoise Ltd. (ERCE), an independent qualified reserves auditor, in accordance with NI 51-101 and the COGE Handbook, and using McDaniel’s January 1, 2019 price forecasts.
49 The contingent resource estimates in respect of the oil and gas assets acquired in May 2019 in the Blackrod area of Canada are effective as of December 31, 2018, and have been evaluated by Sproule, in accordance with NI 51-101 and the COGE Handbook. The lands acquired will be part
lands will be incorporated into the Phase 2 and Phase 3 development plan going forward. Additional details regarding the planned development at Blackrod, including an assessment of the contingencies, timing and economics for the proposed development, are available in the AIF. The price forecasts used in the reserve reports are available on the website of McDaniel (www.mcdan.com), and are contained in the MCR. The reserves life index (RLI) is calculated by dividing the 2P reserves of 288 MMboe as at December 31, 2018, by the mid-point of the initial 2019 production guidance of 46,000 to 50,000 boepd. The reserves replacement ratio is based on 2P reserves of 129.1 MMboe as at December 31, 2017 (including the 2P reserves attributable to the acquisition of the Suffield area assets which completed on January 5, 2018), production during 2018 of 12.4 MMboe, additions to 2P reserves during 2018 of 12.7 MMboe, disposals of 2P reserves related to the disposal of the Netherlands assets of 1.6 MMboe and 2P reserves of 128.0 MMboe as at December 31, 2018 (excluding the 2P reserves attributable to the acquisition of BlackPearl which completed on December 14, 2018). “2P reserves” means IPC’s gross proved plus probable reserves. “Proved reserves” are those reserves that can be estimated with a high degree of certainty to be recoverable. It is likely that the actual remaining quantities recovered will exceed the estimated proved reserves. “Probable reserves” are those additional reserves that are less certain to be recovered than proved reserves. It is equally likely that the actual remaining quantities recovered will be greater or less than the sum of the estimated proved plus probable reserves. Contingent resources are those quantities of petroleum estimated, as of a given date, to be potentially recoverable from known accumulations using established technology or technology under development, but which are not currently considered to be commercially recoverable due to one or more contingencies. Contingencies are conditions that must be satisfied for a portion of contingent resources to be classified as reserves that are: (a) specific to the project being evaluated; and (b) expected to be resolved within a reasonable timeframe. Contingencies may include factors such as economic, legal, environmental, political, and regulatory matters, or a lack of markets. It is also appropriate to classify as contingent resources the estimated discovered recoverable quantities associated with a project in the early evaluation stage. Contingent resources are further classified in accordance with the level of certainty associated with the estimates and may be sub-classified based on a project maturity and/or characterized by their economic status. There are three classifications of contingent resources: low estimate, best estimate and high estimate. Best estimate is a classification of estimated resources described in the COGE Handbook as being considered to be the best estimate of the quantity that will be actually recovered. It is equally likely that the actual remaining quantities recovered will be greater or less than the best estimate. If probabilistic methods are used, there should be at least a 50% probability that the quantities actually recovered will equal or exceed the best estimate. Contingent resources are further classified based on project maturity. The project maturity subclasses include development pending, development on hold, development unclarified and development not viable. All of the Corporation’s contingent resources are classified as either develop- ment on hold or development unclarified. Development on hold is defined as a contingent resource where there is a reasonable chance of development, but there are major non-technical contingencies to be resolved that are usually beyond the control of the operator. Development un- clarified is defined as a contingent resource that requires further appraisal to clarify the potential for development and has been assigned a lower chance of development until contingencies can be clearly defined. Chance of development is the probability of a project being commercially viable. References to “unrisked” contingent resources volumes means that the reported volumes of contingent resources have not been risked (or adjusted) based on the chance of commerciality of such resources. In accordance with the COGE Handbook for contingent resources, the chance
such volumes based on the chance of development of such resources. The contingent resources reported in this presentation are estimates only. The estimates are based upon a number of factors and assumptions each of which contains estimation error which could result in future revisions of the estimates as more technical and commercial information becomes available. The estimation factors include, but are not limited to, the mapped extent of the oil and gas accumulations, geologic characteristics of the reservoirs, and dynamic reservoir performance. There are numerous risks and uncertainties associated with recovery of such resources, including many factors beyond the Corporation’s control. There is uncertainty that it will be commercially viable to produce any portion of the contingent resources referred to in this presentation. 2P reserves and contingent resources included in the reports of McDaniel, Sproule and ERCE have been aggregated in this presentation by IPC. Estimates of reserves, resources and future net revenue for individual properties may not reflect the same level of confidence as estimates of reserves, resources and future net revenue for all properties, due to aggregation. This presentation contains estimates of the net present value of the future net revenue from IPC’s reserves. The estimated values of future net revenue disclosed in this presentation do not represent fair market value. There is no assurance that the forecast prices and cost assumptions used in the reserve evaluations will be attained and variances could be material. References to “contingent resources” do not constitute, and should be distinguished from, references to “reserves”. References to “prospective resources” do not constitute, and should be distinguished from, references to “contingent resources” and “reserves”. This presentation includes oil and gas metrics including “cash margin netback”, “taxation netback”, “operating cash flow netback”, “cash taxes”, “EBITDA netback” and “profit netback”. Such metrics do not have a standardized meaning under IFRS or otherwise, and as such may not be
“Cash margin netback” is calculated on a per boe basis as oil and gas sales, less operating, tariff/transportation and production tax expenses. Netback is a common metric used in the oil and gas industry and is used by management to measure operating results on a per boe basis to bet- ter analyze performance against prior periods on a comparable basis. “Taxation netback” is calculated on a per boe basis as current tax charge/credit less deferred tax charge/credit. Taxation netback is used to measure taxation on a per boe basis. “Operating cash flow netback” is calculated as cash margin netback less cash taxes. Operating cash flow netback is used to measure operating results on a per boe basis of cash flow. “Cash taxes” is calculated as taxes payable in cash, and not only for accounting purposes. Cash taxes is used to measure cash flow. “EBITDA netback” is calculated as cash margin netback less general and administration expenses. EBITDA netback is used by management to measure operating results on a per boe basis. “Profit netback” is calculated as cash margin netback less depletion/depreciation, general and administration expenses and financial items. Profit netback is used by management to measure operating results on a per boe basis. BOEs may be misleading, particularly if used in isolation. A BOE conversion ratio of 6 thousand cubic feet (Mcf) per 1 barrel (bbl) is based on an energy equivalency conversion method primarily applicable at the burner tip and does not represent a value equivalency at the wellhead. As the value ratio between natural gas and crude oil based on the current prices of natural gas and crude oil is significantly different from the energy equivalency of 6:1, utilizing a 6:1 conversion basis may be misleading as an indication of value. Currency All dollar amounts in this presentation are expressed in United States dollars, except where otherwise noted. References herein to USD mean United States dollars. References herein to CAD mean Canadian dollars.
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