9 June 2006, Transport Accident Commission, Melbourne Bridging the - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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9 June 2006, Transport Accident Commission, Melbourne Bridging the - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

9 June 2006, Transport Accident Commission, Melbourne Bridging the Gap between Safe System Thinking and Real-world Practice Bruce Corben Monash University Accident Research Centre 9 June 2006 Acknowledgments: Michael Lenn, Nimmi Candappa,


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9 June 2006, Transport Accident Commission, Melbourne

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Bridging the Gap between Safe System Thinking and Real-world Practice

Bruce Corben Monash University Accident Research Centre 9 June 2006

Acknowledgments: Michael Lenné, Nimmi Candappa, Nicola Fotheringham, Karen Stephan, Christine Mulvihill, Max Cameron, Teresa Senserrick, George Rechnitzer, City of Port Phillip, City of Ballarat, VicRoads, TAC, DoJ

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Walking in Perspective

the original and fundamental form of human transport

  • Healthy
  • Personal independence
  • Social connection
  • Inexpensive

– For individuals – For society

  • Flexible
  • Socially responsible transport

– Non-polluting – Non-threatening to others – Very low cost

  • Walking vigorously promoted by governments and,

therefore, should be possible at low-risk

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Pedestrian Trauma in Australia The Next Ten Years

  • 2,500-3,000 deaths
  • ~30,000 serious injuries
  • Children, older people

and the intoxicated will predominate

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Trends in Pedestrian Deaths in Victoria (1980-2004)

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Speed - a powerful determinant of injury risk

Risk of pedestrian death by vehicle impact speed

20 40 60 80 100 10 20 30 40 50 60

Impact Speed (km/h) Risk of Death (%)

  • ------- All-aged pedestrians
  • ------- Older and child pedestrians
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  • We've enjoyed considerable success

targeting road user behaviour

– drink-driving – speed enforcement – restraint use – helmet wearing

  • Further gains will be far more difficult to

achieve

  • A major shift in thinking is needed and is

emerging

Over recent decades

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Australia’s Safe System

A Guiding Road Safety Philosophy

  • Human error inevitable
  • Human biomechanical tolerances are limited!
  • A shared responsibility

– system users must comply – system designers are ultimately responsible for designing and

  • perating a safe system
  • Principal focus on managing kinetic energy of the

system:

– ideally, to prevent collisions – ultimately, to prevent serious injuries

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“Safe System” Goals

For its success, the “Safe System” seeks to

  • Keep sources of kinetic energy separated, wherever possible
  • Dissipate the maximum (safe) amount of kinetic energy during

braking

  • Dissipate kinetic energy during a crash (through deformation of

physical structures) and so avoid serious injuries

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Kinetic Energy = ½ mv2

That is, speed is the principal determinant of kinetic energy

– twice the speed, four times the kinetic energy – three times the speed, nine times the kinetic energy

100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900 50 100 150

Velocity (km/h) Kinetic Energy (kJ)

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Kinetic energy to be managed in common urban speed zones

Compared to 30 km/h

(representing low-risk)

– 2.8 times at 50 km/h – 4.0 times at 60 km/h – 5.4 times at 70 km/h – 9.1 times at 80 km/h

100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900 50 100 150

Velocity (km/h) Kinetic Energy (kJ)

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Speed

The Evidence is Compelling

  • The relationship between speed, and crash

and injury risk is clear and powerful – but

  • ften not well understood
  • For pedestrians … “The safety level is

determined by the speed level. Other countermeasures are only fine tuning”

Source: Spolander, 1999

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Research into Practice

  • Stopping distances as a function of travel speed
  • Visionary Research Model for pedestrians
  • Lower speed limits in pedestrian areas
  • Roundabouts designed specifically for pedestrians
  • Dwell on Red traffic signals for intoxicated

pedestrians

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Speed - a major determinant of crash risk Stopping Distance vs Travel Speed

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Conceptual Structure of the Visionary Research Model

Layers of “protection” The “Safe Human”

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4 3 2 1 5 Exposure

Crash risk per exposure Kinetic energy per crash Transfer of kinetic energy to pedestrian Human tolerance Injury risk (kinetic energy) Crash risk (probabilities)

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40 km/h speed limits in shopping strips

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Pedestrian-friendly Roundabout Designs

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“Dwell-on-Red” Traffic Signal Operation

  • Targets alcohol-affected pedestrians
  • Operates only during high-risk times and at high-risk

locations/areas

  • Displays red to all directions when no vehicles approaching
  • As a result, more drivers approach during red signals, at lower

speeds

  • Reverts to normal operation once approaching vehicles

detected

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Evaluations of New Traffic Engineering Measures

  • Reduced crash risk due to reduced vehicle approach

speeds (at 30 metres)

  • Reduced injury risk due to reductions in potential

impact speeds (at crosswalks)

  • Enhanced feeling of safety and convenience for

pedestrians (at roundabout)

  • Minimal impact on drivers
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What should be the main focus for pedestrians and cyclists?

  • Speed limits that explicitly recognise the realities
  • f successfully managing kinetic energy
  • the laws of physics
  • the limits of human biomechanical tolerance to forces and

energy

  • Infrastructure to support the chosen speed

environment

  • Education, enforcement, promotion to support speed

limits and use of infrastructure

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From Philosophy to Practice Summary

  • Walking and cycling

  • ffer many important benefits to the individual and to society

– vigorously promoted by government; an obligation exists to make both low-risk

  • Safe System thinking will generate new, high-impact

solutions

  • Momentum and support for the new approach are

building worldwide

  • We know now, how to create low-risk traffic

environments

  • Undertake demonstrations of innovative measures
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9 June 2006, Transport Accident Commission, Melbourne