6M 2020 RESULTS
Periodical Financial Information
6M 2020 RESULTS Periodical Financial Information Content Slides - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
6M 2020 RESULTS Periodical Financial Information Content Slides used during analyst call 2 Segment information 16 Equity / Solvency 52 Investment portfolio 64 Legal Settlement 69 General Information 72 Periodical financial information
Periodical Financial Information
2
Slides used during analyst call 2 Segment information 16 Equity / Solvency 52 Investment portfolio 64 Legal Settlement 69 General Information 72
Periodical financial information I 6M 20 results I 7 August 2020
Main messages
Dividend proposal confirmed – Group result resilient
Ageas
3
Periodical financial information I 6M 20 results I 7 August 2020
Results Strategy Dividend & SBB
Belgium 268 Belgium 168 Belgium 294 Belgium 333 Belgium 391 Belgium 415 Belgium 415
Belgium
UK 82 UK 64 UK 50 UK 47 UK 44 UK 23 CEU 36 CEU 150 CEU 53 CEU 19 CEU 48 CEU 86 CEU 86 CEU 75 Asia 52 Asia 106 Asia 43 Asia 89 Asia 77 Asia 92 Asia 87 Asia 108
8 11
paid dividend HQ & RO expenses
438 488 440 487 516 601 632 >650
proposed dividend Asia
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2020
Ageas
4
Periodical financial information I 6M 20 results I 7 August 2020
Shareholders’ meeting planned to approve proposal of EUR 2.38 intermediary dividend Dividend upstream
Upstream during
based on net result of the year before In EUR mio
EUR 216 mio cash received from opco’s in H1 EUR 15 mio from Malaysia in Q3 Belgium to follow Group decision Upstream more than covering dividend & holding costs on FY basis
485 310 116 181 5 300 606 791
6M 19 6M 20 Life Non-Life GA
In EUR mio In EUR bn In EUR bn
Ageas
Headlines
5
In bps avg technical liabilities In bps avg technical liabilities * incl. non-consolidated partnerships @ 100% In % NEP
262 221 81 157 12 (39) 355 339
Q2 19 Q2 20
17.7 16.6 3.4 3.5 21.0 20.0
6M 19 6M 20 Life Non-Life
6.6 6.5 1.6 1.5 8.2 8.1
Q2 19 Q2 20
95.7 91.7
6M 19 6M 20
93.1 83.6
Q2 19 Q2 20
79 75
6M 19 6M 20
71 94
Q2 19 Q2 20
22 28
6M 19 6M 20
27 30
Q2 19 Q2 20
Net result Q2 solid despite negative RPN(i) & impact of Covid-19 outbreak Non-Life combined ratio: claims frequency compensating for Q1 weather events Stable inflows despite lockdown measures across all regions Life Technical liabilities up in non-conso (10%) & slightly down in conso Margin Guaranteed: Q2 driven by strong underlying performance Operating margin Unit-Linked: close to target range
Lower Non-Life claims frequency partially compensating Covid-19 impact on Life results & Q1 weather
Periodical financial information I 6M 20 results I 7 August 2020
73.6 72.1 72.4 3.9 3.4 4.0 82.2 87.5 90.6 159.6 163.0 167.1
FY 19 3M 20 6M 20 excl shadow shadow non-conso
2,437 1,897 1,126 1,148
3,562 3,045
6M 19 6M 20 Life Non-Life 77 79 38 48
114 127
Q2 19 Q2 20
In bps avg technical liabilities In bps avg technical liabilities In % NEP
Belgium
6 Periodical financial information I 6M 20 results I 7 August 2020
Headlines
In EUR mio In EUR mio In EUR bn
145 73 50 66
195 139
6M 19 6M 20 Life Non-Life 1,029 825 465 462
1,494 1,287
Q2 19 Q2 20 58.2 57.4 57.6 3.1 2.8 3.3
61.3 60.2 60.9
FY 19 3M 20 6M 20 excl shadow shadow
82 46
6M 19 6M 20
97.6 91.2
6M 19 6M 20
91.1 82.0
Q2 19 Q2 20
43 36
Q2 19 Q2 20
34 40
6M 19 6M 20
85 91
Q2 19 Q2 20
Solid underlying performance in Life & Non-Life offset by lower investment result
Net result: lower cap gains & recurring financial income – Strong Q2 CY non-life Non-Life COR: Solid performance in Motor & Other compensating weather Operating margin Unit-Linked: 6M ‘19 incl. cost of cashback campaign (6bps) Operating margin Guaranteed impacted by lower investment result Life Technical Liabilities: partial recovery of UL unit prices in Q2 Inflows: 6M ‘19 included UL cash-back campaign - Non-Life +2%
Real Estate* Portfolio
7
Periodical financial information I 6M 20 results I 7 August 2020
In EUR bn
* All assets at fair value except the ‘Held to Maturity’ assets & loans which are valued at amortized costs ** AG Insurance stake in IPK at 51%
shareholders’ equity but contributing to available capital for solvency calculation)
lower fair value of car parks compensated by increased fair value of offices and senior housing
EUR 0.5 bn **
Investment Offices 2.6 Investment Offices 2.6 Car Parks 1.3 Car Parks 1.3 Investment Retail 1.2 Investment Retail 1.3
RE Development 0.3 RE Development 0.3
0.3
0.2
5.6 5.8
FY 19 6M 20
Positive revaluation of Real Estate in Q2
Investment Offices 51% Car Parks 14% Investment Retail 26% RE Development 6% Invest. Warehouses 3%
Economic view** Accounting view
96.9 97.8
6M 19 6M 20
UK
8
Periodical financial information I 6M 20 results I 7 August 2020
Headlines
* incl. non-consolidated partnerships @ 100%
52 26
6M 19 6M 20
41 25
Q2 19 Q2 20
98.3 87.9
Q2 19 Q2 20
881 857
6M 19 6M 20
456 433
Q2 19 Q2 20
In EUR mio In % of NEP In EUR mio
Lower claims frequency supporting profitability partly
Net result Q2 low claims frequency – 6M ’19
Inflows* marginally behind prior year Non-Life combined ratio in Q2 supported by low frequency
CEU
9
Periodical financial information I 6M 20 results I 7 August 2020
Headlines
* incl. non-consolidated partnerships @ 100%
16 37 40 49 57 86
6M 19 6M 20 Life Non-Life
4 11 21 29 25 40
Q2 19 Q2 20
1,047 561 710 715 1,757 1,276
6M 19 6M 20 Life Non-Life
485 186 338 316 823 503
Q2 19 Q2 20
90.2 82.9
6M 19 6M 20
88.8 78.5
Q2 19 Q2 20
66 233
6M 19 6M 20
(6) 109
Q2 19 Q2 20
8 10
6M 19 6M 20
7 21
Q2 19 Q2 20
In EUR mio In EUR mio In EUR bn In bps avg technical liabilities In bps avg technical liabilities In % NEP
15.4 14.7 14.8 0.8 0.5 0.7 16.2 15.3 15.5
FY 19 3M 20 6M 20 excl shadow shadow
Strong net result driven by Non-Life Inflows impacted by lockdown
Net result Q2 underlying strongly up in Non-Life Q2 inflows impacted by lockdown & change in Life product in Portugal Life Technical liabilities partial recovery in Q2 after Q1 decrease of UL prices Non-Life COR supported by lower claims frequency during lockdown Operating margin Unit-Linked up on improved expense margin Operating margin Guaranteed : Q1 ‘20 Reserve release & Q2 ’19 strengthening
(107) (124)
14,168 14,107 652 747
14,819 14,854
6M 19 6M 20 Life Non-Life
In EUR mio In EUR mio In EUR bn
Asia
10
Periodical financial information I 6M 20 results I 7 August 2020
Headlines
In % NEP
*Incl. non-consolidated partnerships @ 100% All growth rates are at constant FX 324 199 8 18
331 216
6M 19 6M 20 Life Non-Life
82.2 87.5 90.6
FY 19 3M 20 6M 20
103.2 88.9
Q2 19 Q2 20
99.3 92.6
6M 19 6M 20 5,077 5,524 360 323
5,437 5,847
Q2 19 Q2 20 182 129 3 12
185 142
Q2 19 Q2 20 13.2 12.9 1.0 1.2
14.2 14.1
6M 19 6M 20 regular single
In EUR bn
4.7 5.0 0.4 0.5
5.1 5.5
Q2 19 Q2 20
Additional information on Ageas non-consolidated partnerships in Asia is available on the excel spreadsheet published on Ageas’ website under quarterly results
(www.ageas.com/investors/quarterly-results)
Solid performance in Q2 supported by capital gains Gradual recovery from the pandemic
Solid net result – One-off tax benefit in Q2 2019 Inflows* up 9% in Q2, driven by a full recovery in China Life Technical liabilities up 10% year-to- date Regular premium: exceeding 90% of Life inflows Non-Life COR supported by low claims during lockdown
In EUR mio
Reinsurance
Headlines
11
In % NEP In EUR mio
ageas SA/NV reinsurance activities
Periodical financial information I 6M 20 results I 7 August 2020
1 (34) 22 24
6M 19 6M 20
Life Non-Life 1 (22) 43 44
Q2 19 Q2 20
8 1,137 1,020 1,137 1,028
6M 19 6M 20
Life Non-Life 8 275 330 275 338
Q2 19 Q2 20
105.1 98.4
6M 19 6M 20
112.1 88.1
Q2 19 Q2 20
Net result: Solid CY claims ratio in Q2 more than compensating weather impact Inflows: EUR 722 mio from Quota share of which EUR 303 mio in Q2 COR: strong CY claims ratio in Q2
* Of which 75% is underwritten by ageas SA/NV
Strong CY underwriting results in Q2 more than
enhance capital fungibility in the group
Insurance Limited in the UK, and 40% with all Portuguese Non-Life Entities
with the Portuguese Non-Life Entities
Net result Q2 driven by RPN(i) revaluation and incl. EUR 22 mio cap gain on Fresh
In EUR mio
Value legacies – Settlement liability down
Result driven by Fresh transactions & RPN(i) revaluation
GA
12
Periodical financial information I 6M 20 results I 7 August 2020
Headlines
Stable total liquid assets
In EUR mio
Impact on P&L from RPN(i) Expenses under control
In EUR bn In EUR mio*
5 300
6M 19 6M 20
14 10 35 32 49 42
6M 19 6M 20 Staff & Intercompany Operating
7 3 13 15 20 18
Q2 19 Q2 20
61 16
6M 19 6M 20
34 (40)
Q2 19 Q2 20
In EUR mio In EUR mio
Belgium intends upstreaming in H2
629 218 Belgium
6M 19 6M 20
2.2 1.6 1.5
FY 19 3M 20 6M 20
12 (39)
Q2 19 Q2 20
(359) (303) (344) 7 5 6 (514) (472) (461)
FY 19 3M 20 6M 20 RPI RPN(i) Settlement *net of ForSettlement provisioned expenses
Solvency
13
Periodical financial information I 6M 20 results I 7 August 2020
Solvency down on Fresh & market impact Solvency IIageas
Solvency IIageas in % Own Funds SCR
Non EU Non-controlled participations*
Belgium UK CEU Reinsurance GA
eliminations
Group
* Based on local solvency requirements
2.8 2.7 2.8 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.2 (0.6) (0.6) (0.6) 4.0 3.7 3.9 3.2 3.3 3.3
6.3 5.5 5.7 0.9 0.8 0.8 1.1 0.9 0.9 0.7 0.7 0.8 1.5 0.9 0.9
(1.8) (1.5)(1.5)
8.6 7.3 7.6 7.7 7.7 7.6
FY 193M 206M 20 FY 193M 206M 20 FY 193M 206M 20 FY 193M 206M 20 FY 193M 206M 20 FY 193M 206M 20 FY 193M 206M 20 FY 193M 206M 20
221% 205% 199% 179% 181% 185% 170% 160% 153% 173% 166% 191% 217% 196% 192% 243% 236% 227%Free Capital Generation
14
Periodical financial information I 6M 20 results I 7 August 2020
Operational FCG of EUR 437 mio*
expected dividend
Based on 175% SCR Solvency IIageas
Solvency IIageas
In EUR mio * * FCG Non-European NCP’s over 3M 2020 at EUR (238) mio - Operational FCG at EUR 121 mio – not included 2,438 1,980 1,418 491 491 656 65 321 (458) (669) (178) (50)
2,929 2,470 2,075
116
437
FY 19 Fresh tender FY 19 restated Model changes Market impact Operational impact Capital transactions Paid dividend 6M 20
15
Periodical financial information I 6M 20 results I 7 August 2020
Life & Non-Life
guidance
environment
Shareholders’ meeting 22 October
16
Periodical financial information I 6M 20 results I 7 August 2020
Slides used during analyst call 2 Segment information 16 Equity / Solvency 52 Investment portfolio 64 Legal Settlement 69 General Information 72
485 310 116 181 5 300 606 791
6M 19 6M 20 Life Non-Life GA
In EUR mio In EUR bn In EUR bn
Ageas
Headlines
17
In bps avg technical liabilities In bps avg technical liabilities * incl. non-consolidated partnerships @ 100% In % NEP
262 221 81 157 12 (39) 355 339
Q2 19 Q2 20
17.7 16.6 3.4 3.5 21.0 20.0
6M 19 6M 20 Life Non-Life
6.6 6.5 1.6 1.5 8.2 8.1
Q2 19 Q2 20
95.7 91.7
6M 19 6M 20
93.1 83.6
Q2 19 Q2 20
79 75
6M 19 6M 20
71 94
Q2 19 Q2 20
22 28
6M 19 6M 20
27 30
Q2 19 Q2 20
Net result Q2 solid despite negative RPN(i) & impact of Covid-19 outbreak Non-Life combined ratio: claims frequency compensating for Q1 weather events Stable inflows despite lockdown measures across all regions Life Technical liabilities up in non-conso (10%) & slightly down in conso Margin Guaranteed: Q2 driven by strong underlying performance Operating margin Unit-Linked: close to target range
Lower Non-Life claims frequency partially compensating Covid-19 impact on Life results & Q1 weather
Periodical financial information I 6M 20 results I 7 August 2020
73.6 72.1 72.4 3.9 3.4 4.0 82.2 87.5 90.6 159.6 163.0 167.1
FY 19 3M 20 6M 20 excl shadow shadow non-conso
Inflows
18
Periodical financial information I 6M 20 results I 7 August 2020
Covid-19 mainly impacting Life in inflows across Europe Asia recovering during Q2
In EUR mio
@ 100%
EUR mio
6M 19
6M 20
6M 19
6M 20
6M 19
6M 20
Belgium
75%
2,437
1,897
(22%)
1,126
1,148
2%
3,562
3,045
(15%)
United Kingdom
857
(3%)
881
857
(3%)
Consolidated entities
100%
690
(1%)
698
690
(1%)
Non-consolidated JV's
50%
183 166
(9%)
183
166
(9%)
Continental Europe
1,047
561
(46%)
710
715
1%
1,757
1,276
(27%)
Consolidated entities 1,047
561
(46%)
373
398
7%
1,419
959
(32%)
Portugal
51% - 100%
833 368
(56%)
373 398
7%
1,206
766
(37%)
France
100%
213 193
(9%)
213
193
(9%)
Non-consolidated JV's 337
317
(6%)
337
317
(6%)
Turkey (Aksigorta)
36%
337 317
(6%)
337
317
(6%)
Asia Non-consolidated JV's
14,168 14,107
(0%)
652 747
15%
14,819
14,854
0%
Malaysia
31%
472 537
14%
343 354
3%
816
890
9%
Thailand
31% - 15%
1,196 1,032
(14%)
175 212
21%
1,370
1,245
(9%)
China
25%
12,322 12,362
0%
12,322
12,362
0%
Philippines
50%
15 17
19%
15
17
19%
Vietnam
32%
36 54
48%
36
54
48%
India
26% - 40%
127 105
(18%)
133 181
35%
261
286
10%
Insurance Ageas
17,651
16,565
(6%)
3,368
3,466
3%
21,018
20,031
(5%)
Reinsurance 8
1,137
1,020
(10%)
1,137
1,028
(10%)
accepted from Consolidated entities
8
1,129
1,003
(11%)
1,129
1,011
(10%)
accepted from Non-consolidated partnerships 8
18
132%
8
18
132%
Life Non-Life Total
Inflows
19
Periodical financial information I 6M 20 results I 7 August 2020
Covid-19 mainly impacting Life in inflows across Europe Asia recovering during Q2
1,827 1,423 666 402 3,635 3,616 6,129 5,442 844 861 789 774 494 512 186 213 2,314 2,360
+0%
2,672 2,284 1,160 915 3,821 3,829 8,442 7,801 1,137 1,028
6M 19 6M 20 6M 19 6M 20 6M 19 6M 20 6M 19 6M 20 6M 19 6M 20 6M 19 6M 20
Belgium UK CEU Asia Insurance Reins. Non-Life Life
In EUR mio
Life inflows down during lockdown – Continued growth in Non-Life in a mature market Volumes down in Motor Life inflows down during lockdown – Non-Life outperforming market Recovery after weak Q1 Including EUR 722 from QS agreements Belgium UK CEU Asia Reinsurance
@ ageas part
Net result
20
Periodical financial information I 6M 20 results I 7 August 2020
Belgium UK CEU Asia Reins. GA ageas
300 5 300 145
73 16 37 324 199 1 485 310 50 66 40 49 8 18 22 116 181
195 139 52 26 57 86 331 216 (34) 24 5 606 791
6M 19 6M 20 6M 19 6M 20 6M 19 6M 20 6M 19 6M 20 6M 19 6M 20 6M 19 6M 20 6M 19 6M 20
Non-Life Life
In EUR mio
General Account
Strong Non-Life result; Covid-19 impact on investment mainly impacting Life result Strong Q2 compensating for February storms – LY including positive Ogden one-off Strong Non-Life performance – Life including positive one-off in Q1 Strong result despite impact low interest rates – LY including positive tax change in China Low claims frequency accross all ceding entities Including EUR 332 mio cap gain relating to Fresh transactions Belgium UK CEU Asia Reinsurance General Account
Lower Non-Life claims frequency partially compensating Covid-19 impact on Life results & Q1 weather
Net realised cap gains*
21
Periodical financial information I 6M 20 results I 7 August 2020
Substantially lower contribution of net capital gains
In EUR mio
* Net capital gains include capital gains, impairments & related changes in profit sharing (consolidated entitities), net of tax & @ ageas’s part – CEU JV’s not included
6M 19 6M 20 Q2 19 Q2 20
Life
50 (17) 17 32 Equity impairments in Q1
Non-Life
3 (5) (0) (2) Q2 cap gains thanks to partial recovery equity markets
Belgium 53 (22) 16 30 UK 4 4 1 (0)
Life
5 (3) 3
Non-Life
1 (0) (0) (0)
CEU 6 (3) 3 (0)
Life
70 51 21 36 Equity impairments in Q1
Non-Life
(1) (1) (1) 1 partially compensated by cap gains
Asia 69 51 19 36 Reinsurance 4 4
Life
125 31 40 67
Non-Life
11 (2) 3 (1)
Insurance 136 29 44 66
General Account & Eliminations
(4) 328 22
Total Ageas 133 358 44 88
Ageas
22
Periodical financial information I 6M 20 results I 7 August 2020
Excellent in Household offset by Motor & A&H Combined ratio
Net earned premium (In EUR mio)
In % Net earned premium
Quarter
product lines
Accident & Health
Year-to-date
in BE & UK
all product lines
64.4 62.2 67.0 59.7 58.5 59.7 59.7 55.3 56.3 45.5 35.2 34.7 34.1 35.5 35.8 35.3 36.0 36.4 36.8 38.1
99.6 96.9 101.1 95.2 94.3 95.0 95.7 91.7 93.1 83.6
(4.0) (5.9) (3.0) (5.6) (7.7) (8.4) (9.2) (7.4) (12.1) (6.1) 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 6M 19 6M 20 Q2 19 Q2 20
claims ratio expense ratio PY claims ratio 3,843 4,038 4,112 4,148 3,890 3,894 1,912 1,937 967 957
Ageas
23
Periodical financial information I 6M 20 results I 7 August 2020
Combined ratio
67.3 65.4 67.5 64.8 67.4 70.3 71.5 68.3 71.0 65.9 27.0 28.3 27.2 27.5 25.4 26.0 25.4 25.9 26.5 27.7
94.3 93.7 94.7 92.3 92.8 96.3 96.9 94.2 97.5 93.6
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 6M 19 6M 20 Q2 19 Q2 20 69.6 69.1 78.2 68.7 61.2 66.5 63.6 51.2 66.5 38.0 29.7 30.5 29.7 31.6 33.0 32.9 33.0 34.7 33.4 35.7
99.3 99.6 107.9 100.3 94.2 99.4 96.6 85.9 99.9 73.7
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 6M 19 6M 20 Q2 19 Q2 20 51.5 50.4 50.5 43.8 51.8 46.1 48.4 52.6 32.1 33.4 44.6 41.6 42.7 45.1 44.8 44.6 45.0 45.9 47.0 48.7
96.1 92.0 93.2 88.9 96.6 90.7 93.4 98.5 79.1 82.1
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 6M 19 6M 20 Q2 19 Q2 20 71.2 57.9 60.4 51.0 43.9 38.3 41.5 46.9 36.9 62.4 50.6 46.4 44.4 45.1 47.8 45.1 53.2 45.2 53.3 45.2
121.8 104.3 104.8 96.1 91.7 83.4 94.7 92.1 90.2 107.6
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 6M 19 6M 20 Q2 19 Q2 20
Accident & Health: low claims frequency in Q2 Motor: low claims frequency in Q2 Household: Q1 adverse weather in BE & UK Other lines: prudent reserving in UK
Strong performance accross all product lines
In % Net earned premium
NEP 813
811 838 884 871 930 450 467 231 227
NEP 1,616 1,724 1,790 1,782 1,636 1,623
808 794 406 393
NEP 1,029 1,078 1,067 1,072 1,028
982 493 502 249 253
NEP 385
424 418 410 356 359 161 173 81 84
Ageas
24
Periodical financial information I 6M 20 results I 7 August 2020
Guaranteed: on target - UL closing the gap
In bps Avg techn. liabilities
Operating margins
Life Unit-Linked
Quarter
Year-to-date
Life Guaranteed
Quarter
recurring investment income Year-to-date
compensated by strong Q2 underwriting result
12 17 4 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 2 (2) 6 18 19 24 23 26 20 28 24 28
20 36 25 27 25 28 22 28 27 30
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 6M 19 6M 20 Q2 19 Q2 20 Operating margin Expense & other m. Investment m. Underwriting m.
38 33 41 39 41 37 34 41 31 42 90 80 88 96 89 98 98 59 102 93 (39) (23) (36) (42) (42) (47) (53) (25) (61) (41)
89 90 93 93 88 88 79 75 71 94
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 6M 19 6M 20 Q2 19 Q2 20
Avg techn liabilities (In EUR bn)
56.9 57.9 57.3 55.9 55.9 56.6 56.4 56.9 56.4 56.9
Avg techn liabilities (In EUR bn)
12.6 13.0 12.1 15.1 15.7 16.0 16.3 16.1 16.3 15.4
2,437 1,897 1,126 1,148
3,562 3,045
6M 19 6M 20 Life Non-Life 77 79 38 48
114 127
Q2 19 Q2 20
In bps avg technical liabilities In bps avg technical liabilities In % NEP
Belgium
25 Periodical financial information I 6M 20 results I 7 August 2020
Headlines
In EUR mio In EUR mio In EUR bn
145 73 50 66
195 139
6M 19 6M 20 Life Non-Life 1,029 825 465 462
1,494 1,287
Q2 19 Q2 20 58.2 57.4 57.6 3.1 2.8 3.3
61.3 60.2 60.9
FY 19 3M 20 6M 20 excl shadow shadow
82 46
6M 19 6M 20
97.6 91.2
6M 19 6M 20
91.1 82.0
Q2 19 Q2 20
43 36
Q2 19 Q2 20
34 40
6M 19 6M 20
85 91
Q2 19 Q2 20
Solid underlying performance in Life & Non-Life offset by lower investment result
Net result: lower cap gains & recurring financial income – Strong Q2 CY non-life Non-Life COR: Solid performance in Motor & Other compensating weather Operating margin Unit-Linked: 6M ‘19 incl. cost of cashback campaign (6bps) Operating margin Guaranteed impacted by lower investment result Life Technical Liabilities: partial recovery of UL unit prices in Q2 Inflows: 6M ‘19 included UL cash-back campaign - Non-Life +2%
Life
Belgium
26
Net result & Life liabilities
In EUR mio
Periodical financial information I 6M 20 results I 7 August 2020
In EUR bn
58.2 57.4 57.6 3.1 2.8 3.3
61.3 60.2 60.9
FY 19 3M 20 6M 20 excl shadow shadow
Net result Life technical liabilities
145 73 50 66
195 139
6M 19 6M 20 Life Non-Life 77 79 38 48
114 127
Q2 19 Q2 20
Net result impacted by lower net cap gains & financial income, partial recovery in second quarter
Quarter
partly offset by Other (lower PY releases)
financial revenues
Year-to-date
lower financial income mainly in Real Estate & car parks
(vs. EUR 10 mio in 6M 19) Year-to-date Life technical liabilities slightly decreased mainly explained by :
a partial recovery in Q2.
Life
Belgium
27
Inflows
Unit-Linked Guaranteed Other Household Accident & Health Motor
In EUR mio
Periodical financial information I 6M 20 results I 7 August 2020
Non-Life Life
1,863 1,612 573 285
2,437 1,897
6M 19 6M 20 891 716 138 110 Q2 19 Q2 20 314 318 336 344 360 370 116 116
+2%
1,126 1,148
6M 19 6M 20 114 107 151 153 154 158 46 43
465 462
Q2 19 Q2 20
Life decrease in UL & Guaranteed Non-Life steady growth in mature market
Quarter
Year-to-date
campaign (not repeated in 6M 20)
year Quarter
Accident & Health and Other due to adjustments of premiums in P&C Commercial1 (Covid-19) Year-to-date
1 Part of the premiums in Commercial products are linked to the business activity
Following the lower economic activity these expected premiums are adjusted downwards.
Belgium
28
Periodical financial information I 6M 20 results I 7 August 2020
In % Net earned premium
Net earned premium (in EUR mio)
63.5 56.9 58.3 53.1 56.0 57.8 59.9 53.2 53.5 43.2 37.7 37.8 37.7 37.9 37.4 37.4 37.7 38.0 37.6 38.8
101.2 94.7 96.0 91.0 93.4 95.2 97.6 91.2 91.1 82.0
(3.4) (7.2) (8.2) (7.7) (8.3) (8.3) (9.0) (10.2) (10.1) (7.6) 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 6M 19 6M 20 Q2 19 Q2 20
claims ratio expense ratio PY claims ratio
Combined ratio
2019 & 2020 before QS
Solid operating performance despite weather events in the first quarter
The internal reinsurance agreement has an important impact on the combined ratio. For ease of comparability, the pro forma combined ratio commented in this section excludes all impacts from this internal reinsurance agreement. Quarter
aggravations in a few PY claims in Other Year-to-date
sales of old inwards reinsurance portfolio)
1,815 1,832 1,836 1,861 1,944 2,023 994 1,010 505 500
Belgium
29
Periodical financial information I 6M 20 results I 7 August 2020 70.1 70.4 70.0 68.0 71.0 76.2 77.3 78.2 76.2 76.4 25.4 27.6 27.6 26.9 24.4 24.4 24.9 24.9 25.1 26.5
95.5 98.0 97.6 94.9 95.4 100.6 102.2 103.1 101.3 102.9
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 6M 19 6M 20 Q2 19 Q2 20 62.6 56.2 59.7 58.0 55.3 60.3 58.1 42.1 60.5 34.0 37.2 36.4 36.4 36.8 37.3 37.3 37.8 38.0 38.0 38.2
99.8 92.6 96.1 94.8 92.6 97.6 95.9 80.1 98.5 72.2
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 6M 19 6M 20 Q2 19 Q2 20
51.7 43.9 47.8 38.6 49.3 46.3 53.3 52.2 34.1 26.1 45.7 45.2 44.8 45.6 46.6 46.6 46.6 46.6 46.6 46.7
97.4 89.1 92.6 84.2 95.9 92.9 99.9 98.8 80.7 72.8
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 6M 19 6M 20 Q2 19 Q2 20 87.5 65.8 58.3 46.8 40.3 35.8 39.6 23.8 31.2 42.2 47.6 45.0 44.6 44.8 43.0 44.3 43.9 45.6 43.3 46.5
135.1 110.8 102.9 91.6 83.3 80.1 83.5 69.4 74.5 88.7
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 6M 19 6M 20 Q2 19 Q2 20
In % Net earned premium
Strong operating performance in Motor & Household Combined ratio
2019 & 2020 before QS
NEP 504 484 472 481 522 562 273 270 141 130 NEP 562 568 570 578 596 614 299 312 150 156 NEP 579 595 605 609 621 640 315 327 159 165 NEP 170 185 190 193 206 207 107 102 54 49
Accident & Health: Increase mainly explained by 2 large claims in Q2 more than offsetting overall lower frequency Motor: Strong CY & PY performance Household: Strong underlying performance offsetting the Q1 weather impact Other lines : reserve release in Q1 partly offset by a few major aggravations
Belgium
30
Periodical financial information I 6M 20 results I 7 August 2020
Operating margins
In bps Avg techn. liabilities
(2) 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 32 31 31 33 39 39 34 39 42 34
30 32 31 34 40 40 34 40 43 36
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 6M 196M 20 Q2 19 Q2 20 Operating margin Investment m. Expense & other m. Underwriting m.
30 25 29 27 31 25 23 28 19 28 95 88 91 94 91 100 99 56 105 98 (38) (27) (34) (36) (37) (37) (40) (38) (39) (35)
87 86 86 85 85 88 82 46 85 91
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 6M 196M 20 Q2 19 Q2 20
Avg techn liabilities (In EUR bn)
47.5 48.1 48.7 48.0 47.7 48.0 47.8 48.2 47.8 48.2
Avg techn liabilities (In EUR bn)
5.7 5.9 6.1 7.6 8.1 9.0 8.8 9.7 8.8 9.3
Guaranteed: Covid-impact on Financial income UL: cost of cashback in 6M ‘19
Life Unit-Linked
Quarter
result Year-to-date
Life Guaranteed
Quarter
mortality result
guaranteed rate offset by lower recurring revenues on Real Estate and car parks Year-to-date
mortality result last year)
financial revenues partly compensated by client return.
FY 17 FY18 FY19 Q2’20 Guaranteed interest rate 2.32% 2.17% 1.95% 1.85% Fixed income yield 3.34% 3.25% 3.06% 2.97% Liabilities Guaranteed (EUR bn) 50.4 49.1 51.5 51.3 FY 17 FY 18 FY 19 Q2’20 Fixed income yield 1.88% 1.96% 1.63% 1.47% Reinvested amount (EUR bn) 2.9 3.2 3.6 2.6
Newly invested money mostly in corporate bonds (non-financial sector), mortgage loans and government bonds & related loans. Since April 2020, guaranteed rate was lowered from 50 to 25 bps.
Belgium
31
Yield & guaranteed rate on back book down at the same pace Evolution assets & liabilities
Back book Life New money Life & Non-Life
Periodical financial information I 6M 20 results I 7 August 2020
Belgium
32
Average rate on back book decreasing in line with evolution yield fixed income Evolution assets & liabilities
Periodical financial information I 6M 20 results I 7 August 2020
Back book
vs fixed income investments
0.0% 0.5% 1.0% 1.5% 2.0% 2.5% 3.0% 3.5% 4.0% 4.5% 5.0% 5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000 30,000 35,000 40,000 45,000 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 Liabilities guaranteed i-rate Existing bonds Existing guaranteed rates Book yield existing bonds
96.9 97.8
6M 19 6M 20
UK
33
Periodical financial information I 6M 20 results I 7 August 2020
Headlines
* incl. non-consolidated partnerships @ 100%
52 26
6M 19 6M 20
41 25
Q2 19 Q2 20
98.3 87.9
Q2 19 Q2 20
881 857
6M 19 6M 20
456 433
Q2 19 Q2 20
In EUR mio In % of NEP In EUR mio
Lower claims frequency supporting profitability partly
Net result Q2 low claims frequency – 6M ’19
Inflows* marginally behind prior year Non-Life combined ratio in Q2 supported by low frequency
52 26
6M 19 6M 20
UK
34
Net result & Inflows
Other Household Accident & Health Motor
17 16 618 560 176 198 70 82
881 857
6M 19 6M 20
In EUR mio
* incl. non-consolidated partnerships @ 100% & @ constant exchange rate
11 6 319 282 88 102 37 44
456 433
Q2 19 Q2 20 Periodical financial information I 6M 20 results I 7 August 2020
Q2 strong performance compensating for Q1 weather Inflow decrease in Motor largely offset by Non-Motor
Net result Quarter:
reinsurance agreement ramp up Year-to-date:
claims performance in Motor
mio (vs. positive EUR 20 mio) Quarter:
Year-to-date:
& lower volumes from TU
deals
41 25
Q2 19 Q2 20
UK
35
In % Net earned premium
66.3 69.3 80.7 68.3 60.2 63.3 59.3 58.0 58.8 44.6 33.5 32.8 31.5 34.9 36.6 35.4 37.5 39.8 39.5 43.3
99.8 102.1 112.2 103.2 96.8 98.7 96.9 97.8 98.3 87.9
(4.6) (4.4) 4.5 (1.4) (9.2) (9.4) (8.0) (6.6) (9.2) (7.6) 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 6M 19 6M 20 Q2 19 Q2 20
claims ratio expense ratio PY claims ratio
Net earned premium (In EUR mio)
Periodical financial information I 6M 20 results I 7 August 2020
Combined ratio
2019 & 2020 before LPT & QS
1,613 1,751 1,598 1,493 1,320 1,296 641 628 323 305
Lower Motor claims frequency driving overall improvement
The internal reinsurance agreement has an important impact on the combined ratio. For ease of comparability, the pro forma combined ratio commented in this section excludes all impacts from this internal reinsurance agreement Quarter
strong performance; partly offset by prudent provisioning related to potential COVID-19 impact on other lines and a limited number property losses
reflecting COVID-19 driven Motor claims frequency benefit.
commission cost related to strong Motor performance Year-to-date
56.0 55.3 73.7 67.0 46.3 54.0 46.9 85.2 43.1 95.5 54.3 48.6 44.9 47.0 56.7 47.9 50.0 49.0 51.0 47.9
110.3 103.9 118.6 114.0 103.0 101.9 96.9 134.2 94.1 143.4
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 6M 19 6M 20 Q2 19 Q2 20 74.6 75.8 91.0 75.0 63.7 72.1 68.1 55.4 70.3 37.6 25.1 27.2 25.5 27.6 29.7 29.4 30.7 34.0 31.2 36.6
99.7 103.0 116.5 102.6 93.4 101.5 98.8 89.4 101.5 74.2
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 6M 19 6M 20 Q2 19 Q2 20
UK
36
66.0 55.8 58.4 56.1 57.8 60.2 55.7 33.6 59.7 46.2 38.7 43.3 40.9 46.7 51.4 54.3 51.0 55.9 53.9 56.4
104.7 99.1 99.3 102.8 109.2 114.5 106.7 89.5 113.6 102.6
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 6M 19 6M 20 Q2 19 Q2 20 51.0 62.2 57.6 51.7 56.9 42.8 40.9 55.4 33.4 39.0 43.3 37.3 40.6 47.8 45.1 44.1 49.4 48.6 56.1 56.7
94.3 99.5 98.2 99.5 102.0 86.9 90.3 104.1 89.5 95.7
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 6M 19 6M 20 Q2 19 Q2 20 Periodical financial information I 6M 20 results I 7 August 2020
Combined ratio
2019 & 2020 before LPT & QS NEP 907
958 1,062 1,014 947 844 831 411 391 207 189
NEP 79
71 72 39 30 30 34 15 18 8 7
NEP 374
399 413 361 341 309 289 143 151 72 75
NEP 202
185 204 185 175 137 142 73 68 36 34
Lower claims frequency in Motor offsetting February ‘20 weather event impact
Accident & Health: H1 benefit from IBNR review Motor: Strong performance supported by lower claims frequency Household: February weather events’ impact 13pp Other: Prudent reserving for COVID-19 impact & Q1 weather
CEU
37
Periodical financial information I 6M 20 results I 7 August 2020
Headlines
* incl. non-consolidated partnerships @ 100%
16 37 40 49 57 86
6M 19 6M 20 Life Non-Life
4 11 21 29 25 40
Q2 19 Q2 20
1,047 561 710 715 1,757 1,276
6M 19 6M 20 Life Non-Life
485 186 338 316 823 503
Q2 19 Q2 20
90.2 82.9
6M 19 6M 20
88.8 78.5
Q2 19 Q2 20
66 233
6M 19 6M 20
(6) 109
Q2 19 Q2 20
8 10
6M 19 6M 20
7 21
Q2 19 Q2 20
In EUR mio In EUR mio In EUR bn In bps avg technical liabilities In bps avg technical liabilities In % NEP
15.4 14.7 14.8 0.8 0.5 0.7 16.2 15.3 15.5
FY 19 3M 20 6M 20 excl shadow shadow
Strong net result driven by Non-Life Inflows impacted by lockdown
Net result Q2 underlying strongly up in Non-Life Q2 inflows impacted by lockdown & change in Life product in Portugal Life Technical liabilities partial recovery in Q2 after Q1 decrease of UL prices Non-Life COR supported by lower claims frequency during lockdown Operating margin Unit-Linked up on improved expense margin Operating margin Guaranteed : Q1 ‘20 Reserve release & Q2 ’19 strengthening
(107) (124)
CEU
38
Net result & Life liabilities
In EUR mio
Periodical financial information I 6M 20 results I 7 August 2020
15.4 14.7 14.8 0.8 0.5 0.7 16.2 15.3 15.5
FY 19 3M 20 6M 20 excl shadow shadow
16 37 40 49 57 86
6M 19 6M 20 Life Non-Life
4 11 21 29 25 40
Q2 19 Q2 20
Strong Q2 net result driven by Non-Life performance
Net result
Quarter
Q2 ‘19 in Portugal (EUR 9 mio)
lockdown both in Motor and in Accident & Health Year to date
‘19 (EUR 9 mio) – Improved underwriting margin due to risk margin
Internal reinsurance: negative contribution of EUR 6 mio (vs. positive EUR 2 mio)
Life technical liabilities
Q1 following the drop in financial markets – partial recovery during Q2
CEU
39
Inflows impacted by COVID-19 & low interest rates Inflows
Unit-Linked Guaranteed Other Household Accident & Health Motor
In EUR mio
800 296 247 265
1,047 561
6M 19 6M 20 228 246 277 285 139 128 66 56
+1% 710 715
6M 19 6M 20 Periodical financial information I 6M 20 results I 7 August 2020 98 103 146 133 64 59 29 22
338 317
Q2 19 Q2 20 361 114 124 72
485 187
Q2 19 Q2 20
Life Quarter
low interest rates Year-to-date
environment – transition phase in product mix still on-going in Portugal Non-Life Quarter
Year-to-date
still outperforming the market, and Turkey
61.3 55.9 58.6 59.2 62.7 60.5 61.2 54.5 58.5 49.5 30.8 29.5 30.1 31.2 29.7 30.7 29.0 28.4 30.3 29.0
92.1 85.4 88.7 90.4 92.4 91.2 90.2 82.9 88.8 78.5
(4.3) (6.5) (6.5) (8.0) (2.9) (2.4) (3.7) (0.3) (7.2) 0.8 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 6M 19 6M 20 Q2 19 Q2 20
claims ratio expense ratio PY claims ratio
CEU
40
Periodical financial information I 6M 20 results I 7 August 2020
Net earned premium (In EUR mio)
In % Net earned premium
Excellent combined ratio supported by low claims frequency during lockdown Combined ratio
2019 & 2020 before LPT & QS
415 454 664 768 594 657 319 350 162 175
The new internal reinsurance agreement has an important impact on the combined ratio. For sake of comparability of the performance the pro forma combined ratio commented in this section excludes all impacts from this internal reinsurance agreement.
Quarter
lockdown, mostly in Motor and Accident & Health
frequency in Motor during lockdown
Year-to-date
benign weather conditions
61.9 58.8 64.9 61.4 62.5 63.0 65.4 58.8 65.4 55.9 26.7 25.2 25.1 26.8 24.8 26.0 24.3 23.8 26.0 24.6
88.6 84.0 90.0 88.2 87.3 89.0 89.7 82.6 91.4 80.5 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 6M 19 6M 20 Q2 19 Q2 20
CEU
41
60.1 71.5 65.5 70.4 68.0 67.2 64.9 55.1 63.7 44.4 31.6 32.3 32.5 35.0 35.3 36.6 34.3 33.9 34.6 33.5
91.7 103.8 98.0 105.4 103.3 103.8 99.2 88.9 98.3 77.9 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 6M 19 6M 20 Q2 19 Q2 20
54.0 36.1 42.3 46.5 48.5 40.3 40.7 40.9 27.7 40.3 40.3 35.9 38.0 34.7 34.2 33.2 33.6 32.7 34.3 34.0
94.3 72.0 80.3 81.2 82.7 73.5 74.3 73.7 62.0 74.3 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 6M 19 6M 20 Q2 19 Q2 20
72.3 31.7 12.1 3.9 72.6 28.3 26.5 21.1 1.3 21.0 45.1 40.8 41.3 39.2 41.5 42.4 38.5 38.1 42.6 41.6
117.4 72.5 53.4 43.1 114.0 70.7 65.0 59.2 43.9 62.6 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 6M 19 6M 20 Q2 19 Q2 20
Low claims ratio in Motor and Accident & Health Household supported by benign weather
Periodical financial information I 6M 20 results I 7 August 2020
Combined ratio
2019 & 2020 before LPT & QS NEP 238
255 328 373 318 349 170 188 86 94
NEP 96
94 202 249 188 207 102 108 52 55
NEP 51
70 91 105 74 86 41 46 22 23
NEP 30
35 43 41 13 15 7 8 3 4
Other: very small & volatile portfolio Accident & Health: supported by lower claims & expenses Motor: Improved claims ratio thanks to lower frequency Household: Very good claims ratio thanks to benign weather
CEU
42
Periodical financial information I 6M 20 results I 7 August 2020
Operating margins
In bps Avg techn. liabilities
Guaranteed and Unit-Linked margins up
In EUR bn
1 2 (1) (1) (5) 1 3 1 2 5 4 4 3 3 4 2 9 4 5 16 6 8 5 12 3 19
10 7 7 21 9 11 8 10 7 21
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 6M 19 6M 20 Q2 19 Q2 20 Operating margin Expense & other m. Underwriting m. Investment m.
95 100 110 111 99 105 103 108 105 114 77 59 76 106 80 91 92 77 83 68 (102) (71) (65) (78) (71) (106) (129) 48 (193) (74)
70 88 121 139 108 90 66 233 (6) 109
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 6M 19 6M 20 Q2 19 Q2 20
Avg techn liabilities (In EUR bn)
7.7 8.0 8.7 7.9 8.1 8.6 8.5 8.7 8.5 8.6
Avg techn liabilities (In EUR bn)
6.2 6.1 6.0 7.5 7.6 7.0 7.6 6.4 7.6 6.1
Life Unit-Linked
Quarter
Year-to-date
higher arbitrage cost due to financial market volatility
Life Guaranteed
Quarter
Q2 ‘19 impacted by reserve strengthening (116 bps) Year-to-date
supported by a reserve release in Q1 (126 bps impact in H1 vs. strengthening 58 bps in H1 ‘19)
14,168 14,107 652 747
14,819 14,854
6M 19 6M 20 Life Non-Life
In EUR mio In EUR mio In EUR bn
Asia
43
Periodical financial information I 6M 20 results I 7 August 2020
Headlines
In % NEP
*Incl. non-consolidated partnerships @ 100% All growth rates are at constant FX 324 199 8 18
331 216
6M 19 6M 20 Life Non-Life
82.2 87.5 90.6
FY 19 3M 20 6M 20
103.2 88.9
Q2 19 Q2 20
99.3 92.6
6M 19 6M 20 5,077 5,524 360 323
5,437 5,847
Q2 19 Q2 20 182 129 3 12
185 142
Q2 19 Q2 20 13.2 12.9 1.0 1.2
14.2 14.1
6M 19 6M 20 regular single
In EUR bn
4.7 5.0 0.4 0.5
5.1 5.5
Q2 19 Q2 20
Additional information on Ageas non-consolidated partnerships in Asia is available on the excel spreadsheet published on Ageas’ website under quarterly results
(www.ageas.com/investors/quarterly-results)
Solid performance in Q2 supported by capital gains Gradual recovery from the pandemic
Solid net result – One-off tax benefit in Q2 2019 Inflows* up 9% in Q2, driven by a full recovery in China Life Technical liabilities up 10% year-to- date Regular premium: exceeding 90% of Life inflows Non-Life COR supported by low claims during lockdown
Asia
44
Periodical financial information I 6M 20 results I 7 August 2020
Net result & Life liabilities
In EUR mio
324 199 8 18
331 216
6M 19 6M 20 Life Non-Life 182 129 3 12
185 142
Q2 19 Q2 20
82.2 87.5 90.6
FY 19 3M 20 6M 20
Net result Life Technical Liabilities
Solid Q2 underlying result
Quarter
− Higher level of capital gains (EUR 36 mio vs EUR 21 mio) − Mitigated by unfavourable evolution of discount rate curve − One-off tax benefit in Q2 ‘19 in China
lockdown Year-to-date
− Lower level of capital gains (EUR 51 mio vs very high EUR 70 mio) − Evolution of discount rate curve in China − One-off tax regime change in China
persistency levels
Asia
45
Inflows
Unit-Linked Guaranteed Other Household Accident & Health Motor
In EUR mio
13,538 13,372 630 735
14,168 14,107
6M 19 6M 20 63 56 33 4 36 5 84 96 171 230
652 747
6M 19 6M 20
All growth rates are at constant FX Periodical financial information I 6M 20 results I 7 August 2020 34 25 18 5 15 9 41 41 100 98
360 323
Q2 19 Q2 20 4,822 5,191 255 333
5,077 5,524
Q2 19 Q2 20
Strong recovery in Life in Q2, driven by China Non-Life inflows impacted by the lockdown
Life
growth & strong persistency
Non-Life
activities, as impacted by the Covid-19 pandemic
Asia
46
Inflows per country
In EUR mio
* incl. non-consolidated partnerships @ 100% All growth rates are at constant FX Periodical financial information I 6M 20 results I 7 August 2020 39 27 91 69 130 96
Q2 19 Q2 20
15 17
6M 19 6M 20
8 7
Q2 19 Q2 20
1,196 1,032 175 212 1,370 1,245
6M 19 6M 20
Life Non-Life 592 536 88 99 679 635
Q2 19 Q2 20
472 537 343 354 816 890
6M 19 6M 20
Life Non-Life 236 240 181 155 417 395
Q2 19 Q2 20
127 105 133 181 261 286
6M 19 6M 20
Life Non-Life 36 54
6M 19 6M 20
22 31
Q2 19 Q2 20
12,322 12,362
6M 19 6M 20
4,181 4,683
Q2 19 Q2 20
Resilient performance in the context of Covid-19 pandemic
China: up 14% in Q2 driven by new business & renewals Thailand: Non-Life growth mitigating the Covid-19 impact on Life Malaysia: down marginally (-3%) in Q2, due to COVID-19 India: -19% in Q2 due to lockdown Vietnam: continued rapid growth Philippines: only marginal decline
In EUR mio
Reinsurance
Headlines
47
In % NEP In EUR mio
ageas SA/NV reinsurance activities
Periodical financial information I 6M 20 results I 7 August 2020
1 (34) 22 24
6M 19 6M 20
Life Non-Life 1 (22) 43 44
Q2 19 Q2 20
8 1,137 1,020 1,137 1,028
6M 19 6M 20
Life Non-Life 8 275 330 275 338
Q2 19 Q2 20
105.1 98.4
6M 19 6M 20
112.1 88.1
Q2 19 Q2 20
Net result: Solid CY claims ratio in Q2 more than compensating weather impact Inflows: EUR 722 mio from Quota share of which EUR 303 mio in Q2 COR: strong CY claims ratio in Q2
* Of which 75% is underwritten by ageas SA/NV
Strong CY underwriting results in Q2 more than
enhance capital fungibility in the group
Insurance Limited in the UK, and 40% with all Portuguese Non-Life Entities
with the Portuguese Non-Life Entities
8 47 61 202 271 743 463 144 225
1,137 1,028
6M 19 6M 20
Reinsurance
48
Strong CY claims experience in Q2 Net result & Inflows
Portugal UK Protection Non –lIfe Protection Life Belgium
Quarter
19)
Year-to-date
19)
thanks to a new participation in India Non-Life and in Motor & TPL in UK
Periodical financial information I 6M 20 results I 7 August 2020
Gross inflows Quarter
UK & Portugal Year-to-date
from Q1 weather claims in Belgium
claims ratio in Q2 more than offsetting the weather claims in Q1
8 24 27 84 110 102 124 65 68 275 338 Q2 19 Q2 20
In EUR mio
Net result
1 (34) 22 24
6M 19 6M 20
Life Non-Life 1 (22) 43 44
Q2 19 Q2 20
Net result Q2 driven by RPN(i) revaluation and incl. EUR 22 mio cap gain on Fresh
In EUR mio
Value legacies – Settlement liability down
Result driven by Fresh transactions & RPN(i) revaluation
GA
49
Periodical financial information I 6M 20 results I 7 August 2020
Headlines
Stable total liquid assets
In EUR mio
Impact on P&L from RPN(i) Expenses under control
In EUR bn In EUR mio*
5 300
6M 19 6M 20
14 10 35 32 49 42
6M 19 6M 20 Staff & Intercompany Operating
7 3 13 15 20 18
Q2 19 Q2 20
61 16
6M 19 6M 20
34 (40)
Q2 19 Q2 20
In EUR mio In EUR mio
Belgium intends upstreaming in H2
629 218 Belgium
6M 19 6M 20
2.2 1.6 1.5
FY 19 3M 20 6M 20
12 (39)
Q2 19 Q2 20
(359) (303) (344) 7 5 6 (514) (472) (461)
FY 19 3M 20 6M 20 RPI RPN(i) Settlement *net of ForSettlement provisioned expenses
GA
50
Periodical financial information I 6M 20 results I 7 August 2020
Available cash up on upstream from operating companies
Cash position
In EUR mio
the EUR 650 million
05/08/2020
≈ 1000 ≈ 1100
settlement settlement SBB SBB FRESH
2,192 1,538
(50) (538) (18) (50) (52) (126) (23) 218 (16)
FY 19 Upstream Dividend Fresh Tender Cap. Injection Asia Settlement HQ & RO expenses Share buy-back Other 6M 20
HQ RO
GA
51
Periodical financial information I 6M 20 results I 7 August 2020
Successful tender on the Fresh securities Outstanding hybrids
In EUR mio
ageas SA/NV Ageasfinlux
Perp Fixed Rate Reset Temporary Write-Down Tier 1 Fixed-to-Floating Rate Callable Tier 2
Fresh
Tier 1
Fixed-to-Floating Rate Callable
Tier 2
Fixed Rate Reset Dated Subordinated Notes
Tier 2
CASHES %
3.875% 3.25% 3m EUR + 135 bps 5.25% 3.50% 3m EUR +200 bps
Amount
750 500 384 450 400 948 ISIN BE6317598850 BE0002644251 XS0147484074 BE6261254013 BE6277215545 BE0933899800 Call date June 2030 first reset date Reset to 5-yr mid-swap rate +379.2 bps July 2029 Step up to 3M Euribor +380 bps Undated, strike 315.0 mandatory 472.5 June 2024 Step up to 3M Euribor +413 bps June 2027 Step up after 12 years of 100bps Undated, strike 239.4, mandatory 359.1 Other Public issue Public issue Subscribed by Ageas & BNP Paribas Fortis Public issue Coupon served by FBB, trigger ACSM linked to Ageas dividend Market Price (30/06/2020) 94.80 103.71 62.81 110.31 106.92 71.08
Fortis Bank
(now BNPPF)
AG Insurance
(Belgium)
52
Periodical financial information I 6M 20 results I 7 August 2020
Slides used during analyst call 2 Segment information 16 Equity / Solvency 52 Investment portfolio 64 Legal Settlement 69 General Information 72
Equity
53
Periodical financial information I 6M 20 results I 7 August 2020
Equity up on net result & FY 19 dividend postponement
In EUR mio
7,290 7,702
3,931 3,729
791 9 (202) (50) (126) (207) (5) EUR 58.89 EUR 61.09
11,221 11,431
FY 19 result change UG/L dividend treasury shares FX IAS 19
6M 20
Shareholders’ equity per segment
Belgium 5,135
►
5,084 Asia 4,008
►
3,937 UK 998
►
947 Reinsurance 108
►
33 Continental Europe 1,326
►
1,328 General Account (354)
►
101
Shareholders equity
Equity per share Unrealised gains & losses Equity per segment
Equity
54
Periodical financial information I 6M 20 results I 7 August 2020
Debt leverage down after succesful transactions on the Fresh instrument Tangible net equity
I page 54
* Leverage calculated as (Subordinated liabilities + Senior debt) / (Tangible net equity + Subordinated liabilities + Senior debt) In EUR mio
FY 19 6M 20
IFRS Shareholders' Equity 11,221 11,431
Unrealised gains real estate 674 699 Goodwill (614) (598) VOBA (Value of Business Acquired) (58) (51) DAC (Deferred Acquisition Cost) (425) (430) Other (531) (537) Goodwill, DAC, VOBA related to N-C interests 381 375 Tax adjustment DAC, VOBA & Other 161 164
IFRS Tangible net equity 10,810 11,052
IFRS Tangible net equity/ IFRS Shareholder's Equity 96% 97% Debt leverage on tangible net equity * 22.4% 16.9%
Solvency
55
Periodical financial information I 6M 20 results I 7 August 2020
Solvency down on Fresh & market impact Solvency IIageas
Solvency IIageas in % Own Funds SCR
Non EU Non-controlled participations*
Belgium UK CEU Reinsurance GA
eliminations
Group
* Based on local solvency requirements
2.8 2.7 2.8 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.2 (0.6) (0.6) (0.6) 4.0 3.7 3.9 3.2 3.3 3.3
6.3 5.5 5.7 0.9 0.8 0.8 1.1 0.9 0.9 0.7 0.7 0.8 1.5 0.9 0.9
(1.8) (1.5)(1.5)
8.6 7.3 7.6 7.7 7.7 7.6
FY 193M 206M 20 FY 193M 206M 20 FY 193M 206M 20 FY 193M 206M 20 FY 193M 206M 20 FY 193M 206M 20 FY 193M 206M 20 FY 193M 206M 20
221% 205% 199% 179% 181% 185% 170% 160% 153% 173% 166% 191% 217% 196% 192% 243% 236% 227%Solvency II
56
Periodical financial information I 6M 20 results I 7 August 2020
Solvency down on Fresh & market – contribution from operations exceeding dividend accrual Solvency IIageas
* Impact including secondary impact, diversification & non-transferable
Impact on Solvency IIageas*
FY ’19 6M ’20 217% 192% 3M ’20 6M ’20 196% 192%
Debt initiatives
Tender of the Fresh – pre-compensated by EUR 750 mio T1 in 2019 Model refinements + 2 pp + 1 pp Market movements & RPN(i)
Quarterly impact mainly from interest rate
Operational +11 pp Strong across all operating entities +9 pp Capital transactions
SBB, injection in Asia & additional Fresh
Expected dividend
Free Capital Generation
57
Periodical financial information I 6M 20 results I 7 August 2020
Operational FCG of EUR 437 mio*
expected dividend
Based on 175% SCR Solvency IIageas
Solvency IIageas
In EUR mio * * FCG Non-European NCP’s over 3M 2020 at EUR (273) mio - Operational FCG at EUR 121 mio – not included 2,438 1,980 1,418 491 491 656 65 321 (458) (669) (178) (50)
2,929 2,470 2,075
116
437
FY 19 Fresh tender FY 19 restated Model changes Market impact Operational impact Capital transactions Paid dividend 6M 20
Free Capital Generation
58
Periodical financial information I 6M 20 results I 7 August 2020
Evolution SCR & OF split between types of impact Solvency IIageas
Own Funds SCR
In EUR mio 3,973 3,959 3,939 25 (14) (33) (12)
FY 19 Fresh tender FY 19 restated Model changes Market impact Operational impact Capital transactions Paid dividend 6M 20
8,634 8,151 7,567 491 491 656 15 470 (483) (676) (178) (50)
9,125 8,642 8,223
FY 19 Fresh tender FY 19 restated Model changes Market impact Operational impact Capital transactions Paid dividend 6M 20
Free Capital Generation
59
Periodical financial information I 6M 20 results I 7 August 2020
Operational FCG driven by a strong Q2
In EUR mio
Solvency IIageas
EUR mio
OF SCR FCG Quarterly impact
Belgium
314 14
290 135
Strong Non-Life Q2 compensating for weather in Q1 SCR up on asset management actions
UK
44 (2)
47 42
Strong Non-Life Q2 compensating for weather in Q1
CEU
79 (7)
91 51
Strong Non-Life Q2
Reinsurance
34 20
(1) 57
SCR increase following step-up to 40%
General Account
100 27
52 77
including EUR 116 mio dividends from NCP's
Group eliminations
(100) (27)
(42) (20) Total Ageas Solvency II scope
470 25
437 342
including EUR 116 mio dividends from NCP's
Solvency
60
High Solvency ratio providing resilience against market or other external evolutions Solvency IIageas sensitivities
As per 31/12/19
SCR OF Solvency
Base case
Beforestress 3,957 8,127
205% Yield curve
Down 50 bps 4,112 7,971
194%
Up 50 bps 3,890 8,424
217% Equity
Down 25% 3,823 7,753
203% Property
Down 10% 4,063 7,875
194% Spread*
Spreads on corporate & government bonds up 50 bps 4,022 7,935
197% Corporate spread
Up 50 bps 3,953 8,159
206% Sovereign spread
Up 50 bps 4,005 7,934
198% UFR – base case 4.05%
Down 15 bps 3,959 8,142
206%
Down 35 bps 3,963 8,114
205%
* Spread sensitivity doesn’t take into account any credit rating movement
Periodical financial information I 6M 20 results I 7 August 2020
Solvency
61
Periodical financial information I 6M 20 results I 7 August 2020
Solvency down driven by EIOPA VA PIM
Solvency II PIM in % Own Funds SCR
* Based on local solvency requirements ** minority interest not-fully owned subsidiaries equals minority interests exceeding contribution to group SCR after deduction capital charge related to participation in AII
In EUR bn Belgium UK CEU Reinsurance GA
eliminations**
Group
Non EU Non-controlled participations*
185% 204% 170% 172% 172% 178% 274% 258% 233% 170% 162% 186% 203% 200% 178% 243% 236% 227%
3.2 2.8 3.1 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.2 (0.6) (0.5) (0.6) 4.3 3.8 4.2 3.2 3.3 3.3
5.9 5.6 5.3 0.9 0.8 0.8 1.4 1.3 1.2 0.7 0.7 0.8 1.5 0.9 0.9
(1.7) (1.7)(1.6)
8.7 7.6 7.4 7.7 7.7 7.6
FY 193M 206M 20 FY 193M 206M 20 FY 193M 206M 20 FY 193M 206M 20 FY 193M 206M 20 FY 193M 206M 20 FY 193M 206M 20 FY 193M 206M 20
Solvency
62
Ageas asset mix not in line with EIOPA reference portfolio PIM sensitivities
As per 31/12/19
SCR OF Solvency
Base case
Beforestress 4,238 8,146
192% Yield curve
Down 50 bps 4,410 7,997
181%
Up 50 bps 4,115 8,411
204% Equity
Down 25% 4,072 7,730
190% Property
Down 10% 4,391 7,897
180% Spread*
Spreads on corporate & government bonds up 50 bps 4,589 7,604
166% Corporate spread
Up 50 bps 4,089 8,282
203% Sovereign spread
Up 50 bps 4,726 7,445
158% UFR – base case 4.05%
Down 15 bps 4,268 8,153
191%
Down 35 bps 4,289 8,142
190%
* Credit rating movement not taken up in spread sensitivity
Periodical financial information I 6M 20 results I 7 August 2020
( 1.5 ) ( 1.5 ) ( 1.5 ) ( 1.0 ) ( 0.9 ) ( 0.9 ) ( 0.8 ) ( 0.8 ) ( 0.8 ) 4.8 4.3 4.6 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.8 0.7 0.8 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.5 0.5 0.5
4.3 3.8 4.2
FY 19 3M 20 6M 20 Non Diversifiable Non-life UW Health UW Life UW Counterparty Default Market Loss-Absorption Deferred Taxes Loss-Absorption Techn. Liab. Diversification
Solvency
63
Periodical financial information I 6M 20 results I 7 August 2020
Composition of SCR & OF Composition of SCR & OF
Diversification Loss-Absorption Deferred Taxes
Insurance SCRageas per risk type Market risk movement driven by equity risk Tiering of Group PIM own funds Fresh transactions driving Tier 1 & 2 UT1 down on EIOPA VA
5.5 5.3 5.0 1.4 1.2 1.2 1.7 1.0 1.0 0.1 0.1 0.1
8.7 7.6 7.3
FY 19 3M 20 6M 20 Tier 3 Tier 2 Tier 1 restricted Tier 1
In EUR bn
64
Periodical financial information I 6M 20 results I 7 August 2020
Slides used during analyst call 2 Segment information 16 Equity / Solvency 52 Investment portfolio 64 Legal Settlement 69 General Information 72
Investment portfolio
65
Periodical financial information I 6M 20 results I 7 August 2020
Investment portfolio stable after drop in Q1
* All assets at fair value except the ‘Held to Maturity’ assets & loans which are valued at amortized costs
Gross UG/L on Available for Sale Gross UG/L on Real Estate Gross UG/L on Held to Maturity
Sovereign bonds 38.4 Sovereign bonds 38.8 Corporate bonds 20.8 Corporate bonds 20.4 Structured 0.1 Structured 0.1 Loans 11.1 Loans 12.8 Equities 4.6 Equities 4.1 Real Estate 5.6 Real Estate 5.8 Cash 3.7 Cash 2.1
84.3 84.1
FY 19 6M 20
° Sovereigns at EUR 6.8 bn (vs. EUR 6.4 bn) ° Corporates at EUR 1.3 bn (vs. EUR 1.5 bn)
Ageas Group has joined the commitment to incorporate ESG issues into its investment analysis and decisions and signed on behalf of all its consolidated entities the UN PRI
In EUR bn
Investment portfolio
66
Periodical financial information I 6M 20 results I 7 August 2020
Value fixed income assets up on higher Sovereign bond UG/L
* All assets at fair value except the ‘Held to Maturity’ assets & loans which are valued at amortized costs Belgium 18.5 Belgium 19.1 France 6.3 France 6.3 Austria 2.7 Austria 2.7 Portugal 2.8 Portugal 2.8 Spain 2.2 Spain 2.3 Italy, 1.5 Italy, 1.5 Germany 1.2 Germany 1.3 Ireland 0.5 Ireland 0.4 Other 2.6 Other 2.4
38.4 38.8
FY 19 6M 20
portfolio
Sovereign bond portfolio*
In EUR bn
Loan portfolio (customers & banks)*
Loans to banks 0.6
Loans to banks 1.1 RE 0.2 RE 0.2 Infrastructure 1.1 Infrastructure 1.2 Mortgages 1.2 Mortgages 1.2 Other 8.0 Other 9.1
11.1 12.8
FY 19 6M 20
benefiting from an explicit guarantee by the Belgian regions or the French State
Investment portfolio
67
Periodical financial information I 6M 20 results I 7 August 2020
Corporate bond portfolio* slightly down on lower UG/L, partial recovery in Q2
* All assets at fair value except the ‘Held to Maturity’ assets & loans which are valued at amortized costs ; consolidated @100%
Corporate bond portfolio – by sector
In EUR bn
Corporate bond portfolio – by rating
Banking 3.0 Banking 2.7 Other financials 2.4 Other financials 2.4 Non Financials 12.3 Non Financials 12.5 Government related 3.1 Government related 2.9
20.8 20.4
FY 19 6M 20
investment grade - 51% rated A or higher
portfolio / only 1% BBB-
investments
Transportation
bonds 1 notch down <5pp
AAA 10% AA 15% A 25% BBB+ 17% BBB 17% BBB- 6% BB or lower 1% Not Rated 9%
Investment portfolio
68
Periodical financial information I 6M 20 results I 7 August 2020
In EUR bn
* All assets at fair value except the ‘Held to Maturity’ assets & loans which are valued at amortized costs
Equity portfolio*
Equities 2.4 Equities 2.0 Equity funds 0.5 Equity funds 0.6 RE funds 0.9 RE funds 0.9
Mixed funds &
Mixed funds &
4.6 4.1
FY 19 6M 20
Real estate portfolio*
shareholders’ equity but contributing to available capital for solvency calculation)
Q2 – lower fair value of car parks compensated by increased fair value of
Investment Offices 2.6 Investment Offices 2.6 Car Parks 1.3 Car Parks 1.3 Investment Retail 1.2 Investment Retail 1.3
RE Development 0.3 RE Development 0.3
0.3
0.2
5.6 5.8
FY 19 6M 20
Equity portfolio* ytd down on lower UG/L, partial recovery in Q2 / Positive revaluation of Real Estate in Q2
69
Periodical financial information I 6M 20 results I 7 August 2020
Slides used during analyst call 2 Segment information 16 Equity / Solvency 52 Investment portfolio 64 Legal Settlement 69 General Information 72
Legal
70
Periodical financial information I 6M 20 results I 7 August 2020
Settlement in full execution mode
16/10/2017
any legal proceeding related to the events
Announcement 14/03/2016
Court’s decision to declare the settlement binding on 13/07/2018
Binding declaration and claims filing period Claims validation & payments ongoing
Claims filing ended on 28/07/2019
Legal
71
Periodical financial information I 6M 20 results I 7 August 2020
Recent developments & Proceedings related to the past that remain outstanding
Criminal investigation Civil proceedings Other proceedings
the Utrecht court of first instance on 9 September 2020
72
Periodical financial information I 6M 20 results I 7 August 2020
Slides used during analyst call 2 Segment information 16 Equity / Solvency 52 Investment portfolio 64 Legal Settlement 69 General Information 72
Outstanding shares
73
Periodical financial information I 6M 20 results I 7 August 2020
Another 4 mio shares canceled at Shareholders’ meeting in May 2020
* After deduction of shares for management plans * situation 31/12/2019 situation 30/06/2020 situation 06/08/2020
Total Issued Shares 198,374,327 194,553,574 194,553,574
Shares not entitled to dividend nor voting rights 11,747,866 11,356,447 11,519,429
Share buy-back 3,820,753 3,429,334 3,592,316 FRESH 3,968,254 1,219,048 1,219,048 Other treasury shares 2,749,206 2,749,206
3,958,859 3,958,859 3,958,859 Shares entitled to dividend & voting rights 186,626,461 183,197,127 183,034,145
Shareholders structure
74
Periodical financial information I 6M 20 results I 7 August 2020
Ageas 3.9% Ping An BlackRock, Inc. Fosun Identified retail investors 22% Identified institutional investors 43% Other investors 15%
Based upon press release 6 August 2020 Based upon the number of shares mentioned in the notification received 6 May 2013 Based upon the number of shares mentioned in the notification received 30 July 2020 Based upon the number of shares mentioned in the notification received 16 May 2019 Estimate by Estimate by Ageas Ping An BlackRock, Inc. Fosun Identified retail investors Identified institutional investors
Ratings
75
Periodical financial information I 6M 20 results I 7 August 2020
S&P MOODY'S FITCH Operating entities
AG Insurance (Belgium) A / positive A2 / stable A+ / stable Last review 21/11/19 13/12/19 29/04/20
unsollicited
Ageas Insurance Limited A / positive A+ / stable Last review 21/11/19 29/04/20 Muang Thai Life BBB+ / Stable A- / negative Last review 15/04/20 08/05/20 Etiqa Insurance Berhad (Malaysia) A / stable Last review 06/05/20 China Taiping Life A+ / stable Last review 14/05/20
Holding
ageas SA/NV A / positive A3 / stable A+ / stable Last review 21/11/19 13/12/19 29/04/20
unsollicited
76
Periodical financial information I 6M 20 results I 7 August 2020
Certain of the statements contained herein are statements of future expectations and other forward-looking statements that are based on management's current views and assumptions and involve known and unknown risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results, performance or events to differ materially from those expressed or implied in such statements. Future actual results, performance or events may differ materially from those in such statements due to, without limitation, (i) general economic conditions, including in particular economic conditions in Ageas’s core markets, (ii) performance of financial markets, (iii) the frequency and severity
(v) persistency levels, (vi) interest rate levels, (vii) currency exchange rates, (viii) increasing levels of competition, (ix) changes in laws and regulations, including monetary convergence and the Economic and Monetary Union, (x) changes in the policies of central banks and/or foreign governments and (xi) general competitive factors, in each case on a global, regional and/or national basis. In addition, the financial information contained in this presentation, including the pro forma information contained herein, is unaudited and is provided for illustrative purposes only. It does not purport to be indicative of what the actual results of operations or financial condition of Ageas and its subsidiaries would have been had these events occurred or transactions been consummated on or as of the dates indicated, nor does it purport to be indicative of the results of operations or financial condition that may be achieved in the future.
Investor Relations
Tel: E-mail: Website: + 32 2 557 57 32 ir@ageas.com www.ageas.com