SLIDE 11 The Great Transformation
The WBGU understands imminent change in politics, economy and society that is required in
- rder to master the challenges described as a ‘Great Transformation’. The key requirements
this comprehensive transformation must fulfil stem from the planetary boundaries, which make the conversion of national economies and the global economy under consideration of these boundaries compulsory, in order to avoid irreversible damages to global ecosystems and their consequences for humankind. Production, consumption patterns and lifestyles must be altered in such a way as to reduce greenhouse gas emissions to a minimum in the coming decades (decarbonisation of the energy systems and establishment of low-carbon societies), to minimise the scarcity of essential resources (above all land, water, strategic mineral resources) through major resource efficiency increases, and to avoid abrupt changes within the Earth system (tipping points), through economic and development strategies which take the planetary boundaries into account. Such a transformation cannot succeed without a hitherto unparalleled level of global cooperation, the further development of normative infrastructures in the international system, new welfare concepts, technology leaps, multifaceted institutional innovations and flexible reform alliances. The WBGU considers only two great transformations, waves of change or civilisation phases in the history of humankind to be comparable to the Great Transformation faced now: the Neolithic Revolution, i.e. the transition from hunter-gatherer to agricultural society, and the Industrial Revolution, already referred to as a ‘Great Transformation’ by the Hungarian economist Karl Polanyi.
Flagship Report WBGU German Advisory Council on Global Change
Martin Herrmann Deutsche Allianz Klimawandel und Gesundheit