3 rd quarter 2019 results presentation 12 December 2019 Agenda I - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
3 rd quarter 2019 results presentation 12 December 2019 Agenda I - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
3 rd quarter 2019 results presentation 12 December 2019 Agenda I Financial and Operational Highlights Q3 2019 Financial and Operational Highlights Q3 2019 3 II II Portfolio Update Portfolio Update 7 III III Financial Results Q3 2019
Consus Real Estate AG
Agenda
2
I
Financial and Operational Highlights Q3 2019 Financial and Operational Highlights Q3 2019 3
II II
Portfolio Update Portfolio Update 7
III III
Financial Results Q3 2019 Financial Results Q3 2019 15 15
IV IV
Outlook Outlook 24 24
V
Appendix Appendix 27 27
Titel
Consus Real Estate AG
VAI Campus in Stuttgart with a GDV of €1,127m the largest development project of Consus
- I. Financial and Operational Highlights Q3 2019
Consus Real Estate AG
- I. Q3 2019 Highlights – Consus delivering on its strategy
Total revenue of € 525.0 million (Q3 2018 : € 170.6 million), overall performance of € 608.6 million (Q3 2018 : € 327.5 million) – Growth of 209% Adjusted EBITDA of € 285.2 million (Q3 2018 : € 93.4 million) reflecting upfront sale of Leipzig plus income from property development – Adjusted EBITDA margin of 54% Pro Forma Adjusted LTM EBITDA (“PF LTM EBITDA”) of € 438 million (FY 2018: € 246 million) – Reflecting income from property development, plus Leipzig upfront sale and benefit of upfront sale in Q4 2018 Pro Forma LTM Adjusted Net Income of € 127 million, and reported Net Income of € 29 million, reflecting increasing profitability as business grows Financial Highlights – continued growth trajectory 4
Q3 Highlights Q3 Highlights Portfolio Update Results Q3 2019 Outlook Appendix
Continued strong growth in the business
Consus Real Estate AG
- I. Q3 2019 Highlights – Consus delivering on its strategy
5
Q3 Highlights Q3 Highlights Portfolio Update German Real Estate Results Q3 2019 Outlook
Financial Highlights – deleveraging in progress
Significant reduction in leverage : Net debt / PF LTM EBITDA reduced to 5.7x (Q2 2019: 7.8x) – Reflects strong upfront sales and strength of portfolio – Includes benefit of Q3 2019 and Q4 2018 upfront sales Net debt reduced marginally to € 2,480 million (H1 2019: € 2,503 million) Average run-rate interest rate at 7.9%, down 60 basis points sequentially – Q2 2019 : 8.5% reflecting impact of bond issuance High cost mezzanine debt reduced by over € 125 million in the third quarter 2019 to further reduce interest rate – Amount of high cost mezzanine targeted to be no longer be material by end H1 2020 – Consus medium term target to reduce financing costs by 200 basis points to c. 6% ‘Tap’ of € 50 million senior secured notes in October to further reduce average interest rate going forward
Q3 Highlights Q3 Highlights Portfolio Update Results Q3 2019 Outlook Appendix
Deleveraging and reduction in interest rate demonstrating improved financing efficiency and repayment of expensive debt
Consus Real Estate AG
- I. Q3 2019 Highlights – Consus delivering on its strategy
Continued portfolio growth: GDV(1) increases from € 10.0 billion to € 10.3 billion, with further project acquisitions in progress Market Gross Asset Value of € 3.39 billion as at 30 September (H1 2019: € 3.28 billion) Forward Sales volume at € 2.8 billion (H1 2019: € 2.8 billion) with three new Forward sale LOIs signed post September 30, 2019 bringing the total of both forward sales signed and LOI’s signed to €419 million for the year to date. Six projects, with a total GDV of c. € 650 million, currently in negotiation for a forward sale Successful closure in July of upfront sale in Leipzig, with c. € 160 million of net debt repaid and significant profit – Further upfront sale expected to sign in Q1 2020 Berlin (13% of portfolio) market update: no material impact expected on Consus business model due to focus on new built residential
Portfolio Highlights and recent developments 6
Outlook confirmed
Target €450 million Adjusted EBITDA in 2020 Target Net Debt / Adjusted EBITDA of c.3x in the medium term Target Adjusted EBITDA margin of 20%
(1) As of September 30, 2019, Includes one projects signed but not yet closed. On a 100% basis
Q3 Highlights Q3 Highlights Portfolio Update Results Q3 2019 Outlook Appendix
Titel
Consus Real Estate AG
‚Königshöfe im Barockviertel‘ in Dresden forward sold to institutional investor with a GDV of €68m
- II. Portfolio Update
Consus Real Estate AG
- II. Consus - the leading real estate developer in Germany
8
Consus continues to acquire attractive development projects…
Key financials + KPIs
~20%
Targeted Medium-term Adjusted EBITDA margin
~20%
Targeted Medium-term Adjusted EBITDA margin
€ 3.39 billion
Market GAV(5)
€ 3.39 billion
Market GAV(5)
€ 10.3 billion GDV(1)
development portfolio across
67 projects
€ 10.3 billion GDV(1)
development portfolio across
67 projects € 2.8 billion
GDV in forward sales volume contracted + LOI(2)
€ 2.8 billion
GDV in forward sales volume contracted + LOI(2)
3.0x
Targeted Medium-term Net Debt / Adjusted EBITDA
3.0x
Targeted Medium-term Net Debt / Adjusted EBITDA
€ 450 million
Targeted Adjusted EBITDA(4) 2020
€ 450 million
Targeted Adjusted EBITDA(4) 2020
Breakdown of the development portfolio by city (3)
Dusseldorf 10% Leipzig 5% Stuttgart 21% Cologne 11% Hamburg 19% Munich 5% Dresden 3%
67 projects in total(6)
Frankfurt 13% Berlin 13%
(1) As of September 30, 2019, including acquisition signed but not yet closed. On a 100% basis; (2) Incl. Forward sales in negotiation and LOI signed of €820m and pre-sold condominiums of €210m; (3) Including yielding assets, which will be sold over time; (4) EBITDA pre Purchase Price Allocation (PPA) and pre one-off costs; (5) Based on Market GAV of the Consus property assets on 100% basis as estimated by management as of September 30 2019 (6) Dortmund is included in Düsseldorf, Erfurt is included in Leipzig; Böblingen, Karlsruhe and Mannheim are included in Stuttgart, Bayreuth and Passau are included in Munich, Offenbach is included in Frankfurt am Main
4.6 10.3 0.7 0.9 3.5 0.8 1.2
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 GDV as of Dec 2017 Organic acquisitions H1 2018 Organic acquisitions H2 2018 SSN acquisition Closing upfront sale Q3 New acquisitions YTD GDV
- € billion
(1)
Q3 Highlights Portfolio Update Portfolio Update Results Q3 2019 Outlook Appendix
Portfolio with increased share of Forward sales GDV: €10.3bn(1)
Target Forward Sales (3) 42% Forward Sold (2) 27% Condominium sales
22%
Upfront sale LOI signed 9%
Consus Real Estate AG
- II. Attractive development portfolio
9
Strong footprint in Germany’s top economic regions
Consus has a flexible portfolio extending until 2026 under the current business plan Consus has a flexible portfolio extending until 2026 under the current business plan
(1) As of September 30, 2019, including one acquisition signed, but not closed. On a 100% basis; (2) Adjusted for dilution from Leipzig 416 upfront sale Note: Dortmund is included in Düsseldorf, Erfurt is included in Leipzig; Böblingen, Karlsruhe and Mannheim are included in Stuttgart, Bayreuth and Passau are included in Munich, Offenbach is included in Frankfurt am Main
Leipzig/Erfurt
GDV in €m: 531 Area in k m²: 321
- Avg. Sales Price:
3.139 (2) % of total GDV: 5% Projects: 16
Cologne
GDV in €m: 1,081 Area in k m²: 240
- Avg. Sales Price:
4.500 % of total GDV: 11% Projects: 7
Frankfurt/Offenbach
GDV in €m: 1,365 Area in k m²: 182
- Avg. Sales Price:
7.493 % of total GDV: 13% Projects: 7
Hamburg
GDV in €m: 1,960 Area in k m²: 359
- Avg. Sales Price:
5.464 % of total GDV: 19% Projects: 6
Berlin
GDV in €m: 1,355 Area in k m²: 207
- Avg. Sales Price:
6.534 % of total GDV: 13% Projects: 9
Dresden
GDV in €m: 345 Area in k m²: 72
- Avg. Sales Price:
4.815 % of total GDV: 3% Projects: 5
Duesseldorf
GDV in €m: 1002 Area in k m²: 218
- Avg. Sales Price:
4.590 % of total GDV: 10% Projects: 5
Stuttgart/Karlsruhe
GDV in €m: 2,139 Area in k m²: 545
- Avg. Sales Price:
3.923 % of total GDV: 21% Projects: 9
Berlin Leipzig Dresden Frankfurt Dusseldorf Cologne Hamburg Stuttgart Munich
21%
Munich
GDV in €m: 483 Area in k m²: 67
- Avg. Sales Price:
7.233 % of total GDV: 5% Projects: 3
5% 11% 10% 13% 19% 13% 5% 3%
Main focus on residential and “quartier” developments Approach to develop large projects in phases All “quartier” developments include commercial properties
Q3 Highlights Portfolio Update Portfolio Update Results Q3 2019 Outlook Appendix
67 projects with GDV of € 10.3 billion(1)and thereof 33% under construction
Consus Real Estate AG
- II. Top 20 development projects
Balanced distribution of properties to be developed in the short and medium term
10
# Project name City Status GDV in k€ % of total GDV Net floor area in sqm Construction period % Residential % Commercial
1 VAI Campus Stuttgart 1,127,400 € 11% 185,415 2021 - 2026 65% 35% 2 Holsten Quartiere Hamburg 883,787 € 9% 133,517 2021 - 2026 66% 34% 3 Benrather Gärten Duesseldorf 661,786 € 6% 158,989 2025 - 2029 52% 11% 4 The Wilhelm Berlin 439,530 € 4% 15,912 2019 - 2023 95% 5% 5 Quartier C Karlsruhe 370,649 € 4% 111,249 2021 - 2026 64% 29% 6 2stay Frankfurt 359,311 € 4% 27,600 2021 - 2023 0% 100% 7 Neuländer Quarree Hamburg 356,917 € 3% 81,315 2020 - 2024 37% 29% 8 Cologneo II Cologne 350,779 € 3% 71,583 2022 - 2025 64% 36% 9 Covent Garden Munich 313,005 € 3% 29,273 2021 - 2023 92% 8% 10 Ostend Frankfurt 300,790 € 3% 42,700 2023 - 2025 66% 34% 11 Otto Quartier Stuttgart area 275,195 € 3% 73,360 2021 - 2025 25% 71% 12 Cologneo I Part 1 Cologne Forward sold 241,415 € 2% 54,321 2017 - 2022 62% 36% 13 Billwerder Neuer Deich Hamburg 231,457 € 2% 44,475 2021 - 2024 67% 33% 14 Forum Pankow Berlin Forward sale in neg. 219,124 € 2% 36,205 2020 - 2025 59% 22% 15 New Yorker Hamburg 219,066 € 2% 45,374 2021 - 2024 85% 15% 16 New Frankfurt Towers VauVau Frankfurt Forward sold 218,102 € 2% 37,745 2017 - 2021 84% 6% 17 Steglitzer Kreisel Tower Berlin Condominium sales 209,631 € 2% 27,284 2017 - 2021 88% 12% 18 Westend Ensemble - Upper West Frankfurt Condominium sales 207,601 € 2% 19,843 2020 - 2022 75% 20% 19 UpperNord Tower VauVau Duesseldorf Forward sold 175,000 € 2% 25,066 2019 - 2022 96% 4% 20 Bundesallee Project Berlin Forward sold 164,437 € 2% 28,668 2016 - 2020 25% 75%
Q3 Highlights Portfolio Update Portfolio Update Results Q3 2019 Outlook Appendix
Significant portion of Top 20 projects are forward sold and under construction
Please note: Figures as of Sep 30, 2019
Consus Real Estate AG
- II. Overview of total Forward sales/LOI year-to-date
11
Forward Sales Signed » Letter of intent in negotiation with institutional purchasers » Expected to be converted to signed letter of intent within 3-6 months and in signed forward sale agreements within 6-12 months » Reduction of number of projects reflects LOIs being signed » Existing development projects being prepared for negotiations to start » Signed letter of intent with institutional purchasers, expected to be converted into signed forward sale agreements within 3-6 months » LOIs signed for projects in Hamburg, Leipzig and Passau (part of development) » Signed binding agreements between Consus and institutional purchasers » Reduction of one due to hand-over of project » Condominiums sold to retail purchasers rather than institutional purchasers » Sales started successfully on the “Auers” condominium project in Passau Letter of intent signed Forward sale in negotiation Condo Sales Started
Projects sold to institutional purchasers Units sold to retail The forward sales and condominium business models allow for strong cash flow visibility, while minimising development risk
~€650m GDV 169m GDV ~€1,770m GDV ~€210m GDV
€2.8 billion GDV forward sold or under LOI allows for strong visibility on future performance
6 projects 3 projects 18 projects 7 projects
30/09/2019
~ €2.8 billion
3 LOIs signed in October 2019 ∆ -3 ∆ +3 ∆ -1 ∆ +1 Q3 Highlights Portfolio Update Portfolio Update Results Q3 2019 Outlook Appendix
Consus Real Estate AG
» LOI in negotiation for a residential development in the Erfurt city center with 122 1- to 3-room apartments, two commercial units and about 50 parking spaces. » This 107m landmark tower will contain 194 apartments. The addition of one floor to the hotel (building permit already available) has increased the number of hotel rooms to 164. Completion of the tower by the end of 2020. » Just 5.5 km from Berlin city center, in the family-friendly district of Pankow, the shopping and commercial center Staytion Berlin-Pankow will be developed. Consus is constructing a total of seven new buildings to create a mixed neighborhood. » At one of Düsseldorf's main transport hubs, a sophisticated new Quartier will be
- developed. Apartments for different target groups are being built. Future residents will
benefit from the convenient location and excellent connections to the city center, airport and surrounding area.
- II. Forward Sales in negotiation
City / Project KPIs Pictures Delivery Construction Development / Forward sale Acquisition Status
» LOI in negotiation for a development with 107 city apartments in the Stuttgart region for approx. €54m. Böblingen is home to the largest Mercedes-Benz factory globally. GDV €54m Completion 2021 Asset type Mixed Area (k sqm) 9 In neg. Stuttgart region, City-Carré Böblingen
12
» LOI in negotiation for a residential development in the popular district Hamburg- Altona with 289 apartments, commercial spaces and underground parking for approx. €110m. GDV €110m Completion 2021 Asset type Mixed Area (k sqm) 19 In neg. Hamburg, Bahrenfelder Höfe GDV €33m Completion 2022 Asset type Residential Area (k sqm) 8 Erfurt (near Leipzig), TAP Hochhaus GDV €114m Completion 2020 Asset type Mixed Area (k sqm) 16 Stuttgart region, Schwabenlandtower GDV €220m Completion 2025 Asset type Mixed Area (k sqm) 36 Berlin, Staytion GDV €128m Completion 2022 Asset type Mixed Area (k sqm) 25 Dusseldorf, Upper Nord Quartier In neg. In neg. In neg. In neg. Q3 Highlights Portfolio Update Portfolio Update Results Q3 2019 Outlook Appendix
€ 650 million of forward sales in negotiation
Consus Real Estate AG
» Residential quartier development in an old brewery location with close proximity to one
- f Germany´s most important high-speed train terminals
» Development of a new city quartier in Bergisch Gladbach. Planning comprises 7 residential complexes, a nursing home and boarding house, assisted living, a Kindergarten, a district center and a parking garage with about 450 parking spaces.
- II. New development project acquisitions
City / Project KPIs Pictures
GDV €148m Completion 2024 Asset type Mixed-use Area (k sqm) 31 Cologne area, Bergisch Gladbach Wachendorff Quartier GDV €82m Completion 2023 Asset type Residential Area (k sqm) 17 Erfurt, Braugold Quartier » Large quartier development in Duesseldorf-South on a 148k sqm plot of land with excellent connections to the city center, airport and surrounding area. GDV €661m Completion tbd Asset type Mixed-use Area (k sqm) 124 Duesseldorf, Benrather Gärten
13
Delivery Construction Development / Forward sale
Total GDV: € 1.2 billion
Acquisitions agreed YTDdemonstrate ongoing ability to source attractive projects
Acquisition
Acquisitions continually being evaluated to replace projects sold/developed
» Development of a mixed-use "Zero Energy District" with a combination of flexible forms
- f living and work, primarily focused on creativity, technology, production, crafts, trade
and culture. GDV €275m Completion 2023-2025 Asset type Mixed-use Area (k sqm) 70 Stuttgart Area, Otto Quartier Q3 Highlights Portfolio Update Portfolio Update German Real Estate Results Q3 2019 Outlook
Signed: Q2 | Closed: Q3 Signed: Q2 | Closed: Q3 Signed: Q2 | Closed: Q3 Signed: Q3 | Not closed
Two further acquisitions signed in Q4 19, with potential GDV of c. € 1 billion
Consus Real Estate AG
- II. Consus investment highlights
14
Exposure to Germany’s favorable macro conditions in highly attractive locations
- above 80% in city center
locations
Exposure to Germany’s favorable macro conditions in highly attractive locations
- above 80% in city center
locations
1.
Unique and flexible forward sales business model
- allows for single sales of large
volume mixed-use projects
Unique and flexible forward sales business model
- allows for single sales of large
volume mixed-use projects
2.
Attractive development portfolio
- Successful upfront sales
highlight existing value
Attractive development portfolio
- Successful upfront sales
highlight existing value
4.
Solid cash flow generation model and performance visibility
- Forward sale model allows early
stage repayment of investment
Solid cash flow generation model and performance visibility
- Forward sale model allows early
stage repayment of investment
3.
Strong operational capabilities and track record
- Ability to develop complex
mixed-use sites
Strong operational capabilities and track record
- Ability to develop complex
mixed-use sites
5.
Largest German real estate developer
- Scale provides competitive
advantage
Largest German real estate developer
- Scale provides competitive
advantage
6.
Q3 Highlights Portfolio Update Portfolio Update Results Q3 2019 Outlook Appendix
Titel
Consus Real Estate AG
Cologneo I Corpus in Cologne forward sold to institutional investor with a GDV of €241m
- III. Financial Results Q3 2019
Consus Real Estate AG
- III. LTM Q3 2019 – Adjusted Key Group Metrics
Q3 2019 FY 2018
(1) EBITDA adjusted for Purchase Price Allocation (“pre-PPA”) and one-off expenses
€438m €2,480m 5.7x 7.9% €246m €2,104m 8.6x 8.1%
16
H1 2019 €319m €2,503m 7.8x 8.5% Pro-forma LTM Adjusted EBITDA(1) Net debt Net debt / PF LTM Adjusted EBITDA(1) Average run-rate interest rate
- Strong growth of LTM adjusted EBITDA,
with significant impact from Leipzig sale
- Upfront Leipzig sale combined with Q4
2018 upfront sale drive strong growth
- full year 2019 without benefit from
Q4 2018 upfront sale
- Deleveraging demonstrates strength of
business and portfolio
- driven by EBITDA growth
- Pro forma LTM adjusted net income
- f € 127 m for Q3 2019
- Significant progress made and more
potential for interest rate reduction
- recent refinancings demonstrate
strong reduction
Q3 Highlights Portfolio Update Results Q3 2019 Results Q3 2019 Outlook Appendix
Consus Real Estate AG
- III. Q3 2019 Key Group Metrics
Key Income Statement Figures Key Balance Sheet & Cash Flow Figures Adjusted Q3 2018 Q3 2019 Total Total Income Adjusted EBITDA(1) Financial Result Consolidated Net Income Net Debt Net Debt Operating Cash Flow Operating Cash Flow Prepayments Received Prepayments Received Market Gross Asset Value Market Gross Asset Value as of 30/09/2019 €2,480m €123.3m €750.5m €3,390m Net Debt / PF Adjusted EBITDA(1)
(1) EBITDA adjusted for Purchase Price Allocation (“pre-PPA”) and one-off expenses
5.7x 73% Net Debt / Market GAV €247.7m €93.4 €(114.1)m €(8.4)m
17
Overall Performance €464,0m €590.2m €285.2m €(173.1)m €29.3m €671.3m
Q3 Highlights Portfolio Update Results Q3 2019 Results Q3 2019 Outlook Appendix
Consus Real Estate AG
- III. Simplified Group Structure – Q3 2019
Legend Shareholder Debt facility Operating SPVs Consus
- wnership
Gröner(4)
CG Gruppe
SPVs 55 projects Estimated market GAV(1) €3.39 billion Senior Secured Notes: €400m Convertible: €174m Other debt: €55m(2) CG Development and Construction Debt: €1,124m
Consus Swiss Finance (former SSN Group)
SPVs 12 projects SSN Development and Construction Debt: €884m Aggregate Other shareholders 75.0%(3) ~57% ~43% 93.4%5
18
Note: Simplified structure on a 100% basis. Debt as of 30 September 2019 pro forma for Bond (1) Estimated market GAV as of 30 September 2019; (2) Includes €26m of debt at Pebble Investment GmbH level (100% owned by Consus) (3) On a fully diluted basis and following completion of acquisition of additional shares as per SPAs; (4) Gröner refers to Gröner GbR, Gröner Unternehmensgruppe GmbH and Gröner Unternehmensbeteiligungen GmbH (5) Consus owns 93.4% of SSN Group. SSN holds 51.0% of the shares in SG Development GmbH, which holds nine out of twelve development projects. As part of the acquisition
- f SSN, Consus also acquired additional 38.9% of the shares in SG Development GmbH, resulting in Consus direct and indirect ownership of 86.5% (6) Project-related group debt included in respective Junior- and Mezzanine debt percentages (7) Includes €23.6m debt at
Consus Development (former SG Development)
Q3 Highlights Portfolio Update Results Q3 2019 Results Q3 2019 Outlook Appendix
Consus Real Estate AG
49% 50% 59%
11% 11% 12% 27% 27% 18% 13% 12%
Other Mezzanine debt Expensive Mezzanine Junior debt Senior debt
30/03/19 Average interest rate 10%
- III. Consus delivering on its strategy
19
- Amount of mezzanine debt will decline significantly through the year and H1 2020
- Expensive mezzanine reduced by over € 125 million in Q3 2019
- By end of Q1, mezzanine debt expected to be reduced by over 50% from
€ 500 million level at June 30
- By end H1 2020, expensive mezzanine debt targeted
to no longer be material
- Reduction in mezzanine debt driving significant reduction in average interest rate
- Reduction through combination of refinancing and sales, including
- Refinancing of Wilhelmstraße, 2stay and Holsten project will reduce
average interest rate from c. 13% to c. 7% on c. € 420 million of debt
- Leipzig 416 upfront sale was used to significantly reduce high cost
mezzanine and junior debt
- € 110 million acquisition financing of large-scale Benrather Gärten project
development in Duesseldorf in Q4 with ‘Schuldscheindarlehen’ at 5.1% average interest rate
- Reduction of average interest rate to c. 6% targeted over medium term
Reduction of mezzanine debt from 40% to 28% of total project debt
30/06/19 30/09/19
€1.68bn €1.88bn €2.05bn
8.1% 8.5% (1) 7.9%
Reduction in average interest rate Key Highlights
Over time, project-level debt will be reduced through repayment and refinancing
2. 3. 1. 4.
Q3 Highlights Portfolio Update Results Q3 2019 Results Q3 2019 Outlook Appendix
(1) Increase impacted by issuance of €400m senior secured notes
Consus Real Estate AG
- III. Consolidated Q3 2019 Financials – Income Statement
20 Income Statement
in k € Adjusted Q3 2018 Q3 2019
Income from letting activities 19,864 13,702 Income from real estate inventory disposed of 19,334 186,535 Income from property development 131,421 313,725 Income from service, maintenance and management activities
- 11,079
Total income 170,619 525,040 Change in project related inventory 156,928 83,613 Overall performance 327,546 608,653 Expenses from letting activities (9,393) (6,756) Cost of materials (218,491) (304,340) Net income from the remeasurement of investment properties (5,000) 7,620 Other operating income 5,473 13,318 Personnel expenses (23,477) (49,534) Other operating expenses (48,977) (48,774) EBITDA 37,681 220,187 Depreciation and amortization (1,418) (6,053) EBIT 36,263 214,135 Financial income 9,064 22,393 Financial expenses (72,174) (194,559) EBT (26,847) 41,969 Income tax expenses 8,098 (12,643) Consolidated Net income (18,749) 29,326 in k € LTM FY 2018 LTM Q3 2019 Q3 2018 Q3 2019 EBITDA 148,884 280,581 88,490 220,187 PPA Adjustments 81,936 144,681 (7) 62,677 One-off expenses 15,458 12,767 5,019 2,328 Adjusted EBITDA(1) 246,278 438,029 93,441 285,192 Adjusted EBITDA Bridge Q-o-Q / LTM
(1) EBITDA adjusted for Purchase Price Allocation (“pre-PPA”) and one-off expenses
- Reflect upfront sale project in Leipzig
- Strong growth reflects growth of business
- Net financial expense of € 172m reflects
increase in debt, with average interest rate now falling
- Positive net income as business grows.
2. 3. 4.
Comments
1. 2. 1. 4. 3.
Q3 Highlights Portfolio Update Results Q3 2019 Results Q3 2019 Outlook Appendix
Consus Real Estate AG
- III. Consolidated Q3 2019 Financials – Balance sheet: Assets
Current & Non-current Assets
in k € Adjusted FY 2018 Q3 2019 Investment property 328,027 390,101 Property, plant and equipment 8,771 10,270 Right of use asset 12,955 Goodwill 1,032,480 1,093,381 Other intangible assets 6,158 6,379 Investments accounted for using the equity method 21,590 20,891 Financial assets 10,037 61,601 Contract assets 23,096 109,930 Total non-current assets 1,430,158 1,705,508 Work-in-progress incl. acquired land and buildings 2,139,761 2,284,056 Trade and other receivables 53,933 52,514 Receivables from related parties 62,853 38,731 Tax receivables 8,644 9,804 Financial assets 38,439 31,123 Other assets 15,499 16,784 Contract assets 198,505 197,913 Cash and cash equivalents 91,603 158,365 Assets held for sale 1,329 28,330 Total current assets 2,610,565 2,817,620 Total assets 4,040,723 4,523,128
21
- Growth reflecting forward sales and
related construction activities.
- Project additions and development offset
by forward sales
- Cash increased from forward sales and
project financing
- Investment property being disposed as
part of programme of reducing investment properties not supporting development projects
- Contract assets: land revenue now only
recognised at the end of the contract,
- ffset by the prepayments received in
relation to land being separately disclosed in liabilities
- Work-in-progress : land assets remaining
in inventory until revenue recognised at the end of the contract, and PPA is expensed over time for development work performed and not expensed at the start
- f the contract.
Comments
1. 1. 2.
Q3 Highlights Portfolio Update Results Q3 2019 Results Q3 2019 Outlook Appendix
2. 3. 4. 3 4.
Consus Real Estate AG
- III. Consolidated Q3 2019 Financials – Balance sheet: Equity & Liabilities
Equity and liabilities
in k € Adjusted FY 2018 Q3 2019 Subscribed capital 134,040 136,582 Capital reserves 904,233 863,619 Other reserves (33,008) (19,114) Non-controlling interest 148,705 155,617 Total equity 1,153,970 1,136,702 Financing liabilities 1,049,150 1,748,430 Provisions 1,712 1,902 Other liabilities 15,017 10,987 Deferred tax liabilities 111,475 128,825 Total non-current liabilities 1,177,355 1,890,143 Financing liabilities 1,146,374 889,757 Provisions 4,735 9,811 Trade payables 41,913 78,398 Liabilities to related parties 43,196 23,923 Tax payables 44,389 44,512 Prepayments received 323,986 328,807 Other liabilities 72,647 72,982 Contract liabilities 32,158 33,093 Liabilities included in a disposal group classified as held for sale
- 15,000
Total current liabilities 1,709,399 1,496,284 Total liabilities 2,886,753 3,386,427 Total equity & liabilities 4,040,723 4,523,128
22
- Total equity of 1,137 million
- Net debt of 2,480 million
- Trade payables increased as work volume
increases
- Prepayments received: prepayments
related to land are recognised directly on the balance sheet, as not offset against contract asset as the income has not been recognised
- Contract liabilities: related to
prepayments in excess of contract assets for specific projects
Comments
1. 2. 3. 2. 1. 3.
Q3 Highlights Portfolio Update Results Q3 2019 Results Q3 2019 Outlook Appendix
2.
Consus Real Estate AG
- III. Consolidated Q3 2019 Cash Flow Statement
Cash flow
in k € Adjusted Q3 2018 Q3 2019 Profit (loss) before tax (24,933) 41,969 Less profit from discontinued operations (1,894)
- Depreciation and amortisation
1,418 6,053 Depreciation and impairment of property, plant and equipment 1,418 3,346 Amortisation and impairment of intangible assets
- 93
Depreciation on right-of-use asset
- 2,613
Valuation gains on investment property (5,000) (7,620) Financial expenses (income) 63,110 172,166 Financial income (9,064)) (22,393) Financial expenses 72,174 194,559 Transition Adjustments IFRS 15 11,746 Other non cash adjustments 10,426 2,296 Other working capital adjustments (53,468) (91,510) Decrease / (increase) in rent and other receivables 34,689 14,110 Decrease / (increase) prepayments, accrued income and other assets (14,786) (1,055) Decrease/ (increase) in inventories and contractual assets (224,751) (285,733) (Decrease) / increase in prepayments 130,882 193,303 Decrease in inventory property
- (34,377)
(Decrease) / increase in trade, other payables and accruals, contractual liabilities and other liabilities 20,498 19,546 Income tax paid (3,470) 2,695 Net cash flow from operating activities of discontinued operations 1,395
- Net cash flow from operating activities
(669) 123,354 Net cash flow from investing activities 14,330 (196,010) Net cash flow financing activities (38,944) 139,419
23
Q3 Highlights Portfolio Update Results Q3 2019 Results Q3 2019 Outlook Appendix
Titel
Consus Real Estate AG
ÜBerlin condominium project in Berlin with a GDV of €210m
- IV. Outlook
Consus Real Estate AG
- IV. Development in 2019 as expected - Guidance for 2020 confirmed
Overview of Key Financials
» Total amount of projects of 67 with a development timeline until 2026 » GDV going forward influenced by timings of acquisitions and disposals » Deleveraging planned following acquisitions and upfront sales » Expected tax rate ~30%
Comments Target Medium-term Net Debt / Adjusted EBITDA Target Medium-term Net Debt / Adjusted EBITDA » ~ 3x Target 2020 Adjusted EBITDA Target 2020 Adjusted EBITDA » €450 million Gross Development Value (GDV)(1) Gross Development Value (GDV)(1) » €10 billion in total Target Adjusted EBITDA margin Target Adjusted EBITDA margin » c. 20% 25
» Strong growth in Adjusted EBITDA expected in 2019 » 2020 Adjusted EBITDA target increased from €300m to €450m post SSN acquisition
(1) As of September 30, 2019, Includes one projects signed but not yet closed. On a 100% basis
Q3 Highlights Portfolio Update Results Q3 2019 Outlook Outlook Appendix
Consus Real Estate AG
ISIN WKN
DE000A2DA414 A2DA41
Number of Shares
136.581.507
Market Segment
Deutsche Börse Scale m:access
Stock Exchanges
Xetra, München, Frankfurt
Indices
E&G-DIMAX
Market cap.(2)
€836m
Analysts
SRC Research: €13.0 BUY Baader Bank: €10.0 BUY Hauck & A.: €8.80 Updated to BUY Deutsche Bank: €7.0 BUY UBS: €7.30 HOLD
- IV. General Information – Stock Performance
26
Financial Calendar
12 Dec 2019 Publication of Consus Q3 Interim Statement
Consus Share Stock Chart(1) Shareholder structure incl. recent contribution in kind
» Aggregate Group ~57% » Christoph Gröner ~6% (CEO CG Gruppe) » Free Float ~37%
(1) Bloomberg, Factset (2) As of December 11, 2019 €
Move to Prime Standard in 2020
23 Apr 2020 Publication of Consus FY19 Statement 25 Jun 2020 Consus Annual General Meeting
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Q3 Highlights Portfolio Update Results Q3 2019 Outlook Outlook Appendix
Titel
Consus Real Estate AG
Vitopia Kampus Kaiserlei in Frankfurt/Offenbach forward sold to institutional investor with a GDV of €60m
- V. Appendix
Consus Real Estate AG
9.8 8 7.5 7.1 6.3 5.8 5.6 5.4 5 4.3 3.7
UK France Poland Hungary Italy Netherlands Austria Spain Germany Denmark Belgium
- V. Exposure to Germany’s favourable macro conditions
Excellent business opportunity for residential developers
28
„We want to build 1.5 million new apartments and homes in the next 4 years. This is absolutely necessary“
Source: German Chancellor Angela Merkel, Die Bundesregierung, May 26, 2018
(1) Based on estimated average price of €325k per unit
German Chancellor Angela Merkel
Demand of 3.2m units with c. € 1 trillion GDV(1) until 2030
(1)
Rent affordability remains healthy
New unit (70 sqm) price as a multiple of gross annual salary
Source: Deloitte Property Index 2018, Morgan Stanley Research
- 8.0%
- 6.0%
- 4.0%
- 2.0%
0.0% 2.0% 4.0% 6.0% 70 80 90 100 110 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 Rental-price index GDP growth Source: Destatis, EIU
Strong and consistent rental price growth
No decline in rental prices in
- ver 20 years across the
economic cycle 2018 Source: Institut der deutschen Wirtschaft, July 2019
Demand of 3.2m new apartments until 2030
Q3 Highlights Portfolio Update Results Q3 2019 Outlook Appendix Appendix
Consus Real Estate AG
- V. Unique and flexible business model
Core business model consists of forward sales to institutional purchasers
29
Consus acquires land plots and lays
- ut overall project structure
Finalize the project and obtain building permits for residential developments with commercial potential Prior to starting construction, projects are forward-sold to institutional purchasers Construction begins after completion
- f the forward-sale and is paid on the
basis of pre-agreed milestones over the construction period
Forward sales model targeting a cash flow positive profile as soon as the first payment is received Flexibility to optimise development pipeline based on local demand Reduced requirement for capital due to early capital recycling Minimize “lock-in” period of equity investment given forward sale business model
78% with forward sales approach
Business model focused on Forward Sales – existing project portfolio enables dynamic portfolio management
Buy
Plots
Plan
Project
Sell
Forward
Build
& Deliver
(1) As of September 30, 2019, including one acquisition signed, but not yet closed.. On a 100% basis;
Development portfolio Post building permit, construction phase takes ~24-36months Approach for condominium sales is similar under Germany´s highly regulated sales structure. Most significant difference is sales of apartments over time, versus 100% upfront, and financing structure
GDV: €9.6bn(2)
GDV: €10.3
Q3 Highlights Portfolio Update Results Q3 2019 Outlook Appendix Appendix
Consus Real Estate AG
- V. Solid cash flow generation model and performance visibility
Consus developments target to become cash flow positive prior to construction start
(1) Delivery includes finalization of construction and tenancy
30
Delivery Construction Development / Forward sale Acquisition
30% 60% 10% 20% 5% 54% 1%
- 20%
5% 11% 20%
Land Acquisition Development / Forward Sale Construction Delivery Project Cash Collection Project Cash Costs Cumulated Project Cash Flow Margin
Cash flow positive as construction starts Cash flow positive as construction starts
First cash inflow as forward sale is entered into Target to become cash flow positive prior to construction start
Balanced payments profile Balanced payments profile
90% of the cash inflows are received during the construction phase including payment for the land Small remaining payment at delivery
Limited working capital consumption Limited working capital consumption
Regular payments from buyers to cover construction costs Minimal working capital needs throughout the life of the project
High profitability High profitability
Targeted Adjusted EBITDA margin of 20% at delivery, with upside potential based on
- utperforming occupancy and rent levels
achieved, and downside floor
Illustrative forward sales business model cash flow profile
Project cash flow breakeven
(1)
Q3 Highlights Portfolio Update Results Q3 2019 Outlook Appendix Appendix
Consus Real Estate AG Impact on Consus
- V. Rent regulation: status and impact
31
German Federal Government – rent increase limitation in designated areas
- Likely extension of rent increase limitation „Mietpreisbremse“ in designated German cities by
5 years until 2025
- When re-letting, the new rent may exceed the local guidance rent („Mietspiegel“) by max.
10%
- New built apartments remain exempt from this legislation
Berlin senate - rent cap proposal (1)
- Rents can not be increased for 5 years
- Tenants can apply for rent decreases if net rent exceeds 30% of household income
- New apartments built after Jan 1, 2014 are exempt from rent cap
(1) Rent cap proposal by Berlin government coalition as of 30.08.2019
- No sales impact seen to date
- New federal proposal not materially different from
current environment
- Berlin discussions with institutions not been impacted to
date
- Berlin projects only 12% of total portfolio and mostly
mixed-use projects
- Current Berlin proposals not seen to be in line with the
constitution
- Expectation some form of further rent restrictions will
be put in place, but will not impact new builds Longer term view:
- Current proposals would reduce supply and increase
prices for new-built apartments
- Government needs a solution to drive supply
Q3 Highlights Portfolio Update Results Q3 2019 Outlook Appendix Appendix
Consus Real Estate AG
Consus as Germany´s largest real estate developer in top 9 cities best positioned to benefit from substantial sector growth opportunity Consus as Germany´s largest real estate developer in top 9 cities best positioned to benefit from substantial sector growth opportunity
Market cap of Top 10 listed real estate developers Market cap of all listed real estate developers
< € 3 billion
- V. Excellent opportunity for residential developers
32 10x
- pportunity
10x
- pportunity
10x
- pportunity
Real Estate Development sector highly fragmented in Germany Consus is the leading developer in Germany’s top 9 cities
in k sqm
(1)
(1) Bulwiengesa study based on projects until 2023; Consus’ long-term projects that will be completed after 2023 such as Hamburg Holsten and Stuttgart VAI Campus are not fully reflected in study; Current Consus total net floor area under development of 2.2m m2
500 1,000 1,500 2,000
Büschl PROJECT PI Pandion Groß & Partner BPD Bonava Instone Zech Group Consus
Consus developments in Top 9 German cities Consus developments in Top 9 German cities
€ 34 billion
Development area (‘000 sqm) Source: Bulwiengesa Projektentwicklerstudie Top 9 Cities in Germany as of 21 Mar 2019
Q3 Highlights Portfolio Update Results Q3 2019 Outlook Appendix Appendix
Consus Real Estate AG
- V. Consus’ focus on stakeholders
Consus Group has a long history of “green” buildings
33 Consus is a socially responsible and sustainability focused corporate citizen actively engaging with its stakeholder communities Consus is a socially responsible and sustainability focused corporate citizen actively engaging with its stakeholder communities
Environment Environment
» Construction with sustainable energy concepts, such as geothermal and photovoltaic, CO2-neutral heating systems and ecological construction standards » Emission-free production of electricity through, for example, wind turbines for the
- peration of elevator installations as well as for the charging stations for e-
vehicles » Future development of Zero Energy Quartiers through decentralized energy, water and mobility infrastructure » Highly sustainable eco-building certification “LEED Gold” for forward sold project Franklinhaus in Berlin
Social Social
» Creating affordable housing for every income by transforming unused
- ffices into high-rise residential buildings
» Planning and development of socially mixed city districts for housing, schools, kindergartens, work, co-working, boarding, community areas, green and leisure areas as well as optimized infrastructure » Financial support for Fly & Help foundation building schools in Africa » Support for children in need via foundation Laughing Hearts e.V and Off- Road Kids e.V. » Substantial sports sponsoring with additional focus on youth talent development
- Largest roof photovoltaic
system in Leipzig installed with 1.6 megawatt peak power production
- 750 tons of CO2 reduction p.a.
- Support of “Laughing Hearts
e.V.” foundation for children in care with refurbishment of their Berlin headquarters
Q3 Highlights Portfolio Update Results Q3 2019 Outlook Appendix Appendix
Consus Real Estate AG
- V. Solid cash flow generation model and performance visibility
Illustrative cash flow profile towards run-rate
34
Revenue Operating costs Adjusted EBITDA Capex ∆ in working capital Interest expense Taxes Free Cash Flow
Revenue visibility Profitability visibility Limited maintenance investment required Revenue
Run-rate revenue level as total portfolio GDV spread over the average life
- f the projects
I II III IV V VI VII Operating costs
~80% of the forward sale price Turnkey agreements with contractors minimize cost overrun risk
Adjusted EBITDA
Target 20% margin in the medium-term
Capex
No Capex required as land acquisition, development, and construction costs run through operating costs and working capital
Working capital
Limited working capital consumption at run-rate as development portfolio replenishment is funded through existing projects sale Release of working capital in ramp-up phase as increasing percentage of projects is forward sold with related pre-payments
Interest expense
Decreasing over time (targeting up to 200bps average interest rate reduction in the medium term) Progressive rebalancing of senior/junior split at SPVs through corporate level refinancing and deleveraging via cash flows
Taxes
Indicative 30% corporate tax rate
Inventory release in ramp- up phase
Decreasing interest expense Strong FCF generation Free Cash Flow
Strong cash generation Used also to deleverage SPVs level debt VIII VI VII V IV III II I
VIII
Strong cash flow generation as the run-rate is achieved Strong cash flow generation as the run-rate is achieved
Q3 Highlights Portfolio Update Results Q3 2019 Outlook Appendix Appendix
Consus Real Estate AG
- V. Illustrative Example of the PPA adjustment mechanism
50 60 120 10 50 10 Construction cost till Consus acq. Developer margin till Consus acq. Fair value / Price paid by Consus Construction cost post acq. Margin on construction cost post acq. Sale value
» According to IFRS 3, an acquirer must record the net assets of the target on its balance sheet at fair value as at the date of the acquisition » The process is known as purchase price allocation (PPA) » All future additions to inventory post-acquisition are recorded at cost, with no further value adjustment » Therefore, Consus accounts for its inventories (both for CG and SSN) at fair value as at the time of their acquisition » The PPA impact is a one time activity and for all construction post acquisition of CG Gruppe and SSN, there would be no PPA adjustments » At revenue recognition, the increased value of inventory due to the fair value process (PPA) reduces the reported EBITDA » In order to provide the underlying profitability, Consus reverses the PPA adjustment to reflect underlying cost excluding the fair value impact, to provide EBITDA pre-PPA » This would be the EBITDA recorded if the assets had not been included at fair value and the purchase price allocated » This adjustment is done only once a forward sale is entered into, ensuring clear allocation of the PPA adjustment and matching the cash flow profile » For forward sales to institutions, land and development work are separately accounted for, reflecting their separate performance obligations
Key elements of PPA adjustment EBITDA reportable: 10 EBITDA pre-PPA (adjusted): 20
» Margin for CG Gruppe: 10 + 10 = 20 » Cash inflow for CG Gruppe / Consus: 20 » Effective margin for Consus: 20 – 10 = 10
Illustration: Consus accounting for inventories acquired at CG Gruppe acquisition
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Q3 Highlights Portfolio Update Results Q3 2019 Outlook Appendix Appendix
Titel
Consus Real Estate AG
Disclaimer
THIS PRESENTATION AND ITS CONTENTS ARE NOT FOR RELEASE, PUBLICATION OR DISTRIBUTION, IN WHOLE OR IN PART, DIRECTLY OR INDIRECTLY, IN OR INTO OR FROM THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA, CANADA, AUSTRALIA, JAPAN OR ANY JURISDICTION WHERE SUCH DISTRIBUTION IS UNLAWFUL. This presentation (“Presentation”) was prepared exclusively by Consus Real Estate AG (“Consus”) solely for informational purposes and has not been independently verified and no representation or warranty, express or implied, is made or given by or
- n behalf of Consus. Nothing in this Presentation is, or should be relied upon as, a promise or representation as to the future.
This Presentation does not constitute or form part of, and should not be construed as, an offer or invitation or inducement to subscribe for, underwrite or otherwise acquire, any securities of Consus, nor should it or any part of it form the basis of, or be relied on in connection with, any contract to purchase or subscribe for any securities of Consus, nor shall it or any part of it form the basis of, or be relied on in connection with, any contract or commitment whatsoever. This Presentation is not an advertisement and not a prospectus for the purposes of the Prospectus Directive (as defined below). Any offer of securities of Consus will be made by means of a prospectus or offering memorandum that will contain detailed information about Consus and its management as well as risk factors and financial statements. Any person considering the purchase of any securities of Consus must inform itself independently based solely on such prospectus or offering memorandum (including any supplement thereto). This Presentation is being made available to you solely for your information and background and is not to be used as a basis for an investment decision in securities of Consus. Certain statements in this Presentation are forward-looking statements. These statements may be identified by words such as "expectation", "belief', "estimate", "plan", "target“ or "forecast" and similar expressions, or by their context. By their nature, forward-looking statements involve a number of risks, uncertainties and assumptions that could cause actual results or events to differ materially from those expressed or implied by the forward-looking statements. These risks, uncertainties and assumptions could adversely affect the outcome and financial consequences of the plans and events described herein. Actual results may differ from those set forth in the forward-looking statements as a result of various factors (including, but not limited to, future global economic conditions, changed market conditions affecting the industry, intense competition in the markets in which Consus operates, costs of compliance with applicable laws, regulations and standards, diverse political, legal, economic and other conditions affecting Consus’ markets, and other factors beyond the control of Consus). Neither Consus nor any of its respective directors, officers, employees, advisors, or any other person is under any obligation to update
- r revise any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise. You should not place undue reliance on forward-looking statements, which speak of the date of this Presentation. Statements contained in
this Presentation regarding past trends or events should not be taken as a representation that such trends or events will continue in the future. No obligation is assumed to update any forward-looking statements. This document contains certain financial measures (including forward-looking measures) that are not calculated in accordance with IFRS and are therefore considered "non-IFRS financial measures". Such non-IFRS financial measures used by the Consus are presented to enhance an understanding of the Consus's results of operations, financial position or cash flows calculated in accordance with IFRS, but not to replace such financial information. A number of these non-IFRS financial measures are also commonly used by securities analysts, credit rating agencies and investors to evaluate and compare the periodic and future operating performance and value of other companies with which the Consus competes. These non-IFRS financial measures should not be considered in isolation as a measure of the Consus’s profitability or liquidity, and should be considered in addition to, rather than as a substitute for, net income and the other income or cash flow data prepared in accordance with IFRS. In particular, there are material limitations associated with the use of non-IFRS financial measures, including the limitations inherent in determination of each of the relevant adjustments. The non-IFRS financial measures used by the Consus may differ from, and not be comparable to, similarly-titled measures used by other companies. Certain numerical data, financial information and market data (including percentages) in this Presentation have been rounded according to established commercial standards. Furthermore, in tables and charts, these rounded figures may not add up exactly to the totals contained in the respective tables and charts. Accordingly, neither Consus nor any of its directors, officers, employees or advisors, nor any other person makes any representation or warranty, express or implied, as to, and accordingly no reliance should be placed on, the fairness, accuracy or completeness of the information contained in the Presentation or of the views given or implied. Neither Consus nor any of its respective directors, officers, employees or advisors nor any other person shall have any liability whatsoever for any errors
- r omissions or any loss howsoever arising, directly or indirectly, from any use of this information or its contents or otherwise arising in connection there-with. It should be noted that certain financial information relating to Consus contained in this
document has not been audited and in some cases is based on management information and estimates. This Presentation is intended to provide a general overview of Consus’ business and does not purport to include all aspects and details regarding Consus. This Presentation is furnished solely for your information, should not be treated as giving investment advice and may not be printed or otherwise copied or distributed. Subject to limited exceptions described below, the information contained in this Presentation is not to be viewed from nor for publication or distribution in nor taken or transmitted into the United States of America (“United States”), Australia, Canada or Japan and does not constitute an offer of securities for sale in any of these jurisdictions. Any securities offered by Consus have not been, and will not be, registered under the U.S. Securities Act of 1933, as amended (the “Securities Act”), or the securities laws of any state or other jurisdiction of the United States and such securities may not be offered or sold within the United States, except pursuant to an exemption from, or in a transaction not subject to, the registration requirements of the Securities Act and applicable state or local securities laws. This Presentation does not contain or constitute an offer of, or the solicitation of an offer to buy or subscribe for, securities to any person or in any jurisdiction to whom or in which such offer or solicitation is unlawful. By receiving this Presentation, you agree to be bound by the foregoing limitations. Any failure to comply with these restrictions may constitute a violation of applicable securities laws. This Presentation does not constitute investment, legal, accounting, regulatory, taxation or other advice.